Chameleon

Meccha Chameleon Price Prediction 2026

Chameleon
Solana•
AI Analysis
Analysis as of Jun 25, 2026

GuSborgzpo6Hc7msoRouQyPJ3psxgAHm4amC9iDhpump

$0.041547

-1.63%

FDV $15,464

LiveContract:GuSborgzpo6Hc7msoRouQyPJ3psxgAHm4amC9iDhpumpChain:SolanaHolders:1,039Market cap:$15,464

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Ask Unhosted AI about Chameleon

What's Twitter saying?

Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweets

Whale activity

Who is accumulating or distributing

What are the risks?

Red flags, security, concentration

Should I buy?

Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

Report snapshotas of Jun 25, 07:17 PM
FDV

$387,323

Liquidity

$65,876

Holders

751

Snipers

0

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

Meccha Chameleon (Chameleon) is a Solana meme token launched on PumpSwap with a total supply of ~1B tokens and a current FDV of ~$387K. The token has experienced an explosive 407% price surge in the past 24 hours, rising from ~$0.000077 to ~$0.000387. However, this rally is accompanied by severe structural red flags: a single wallet holds 47.40% of supply, sell pressure dominates at 69.7%, liquidity is thin at $65.88K, and the top 10 holders control 72.19% of supply. The token was dormant at 36 holders for weeks before a sudden activation on June 12, 2026.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Bearish
Explosive 407% 24h price pump on PumpSwap
Single wallet controls 47.40% of total supply — extreme concentration risk
Token was completely dormant (36 holders) for ~3 weeks before sudden activation on June 12
Sell pressure heavily dominates at 69.7% of 24h volume ($252.81K sells vs $110.07K buys)
Thin liquidity of only $65.88K against $387K FDV creates high slippage risk

Price Prediction

bearish

Short term

bearish
1–24 hours

The token has pumped 407% in 24h and is showing heavy sell pressure (69.7% of volume). With a dominant whale holding 47.40% of supply and thin $65.88K liquidity, a sharp retracement is likely. The most recent candle (candle [1]) closed at $0.000387 after a high of $0.000412, suggesting the pump may be losing steam. Short-term downside risk is significant.

Target low$0.000130
Target high$0.000445
Support: $0.000241 (candle [4] close / prior resistance), $0.000132 (candle [5] close, pre-pump consolidation zone), $0.000078 (candle [20]–[21] base, pre-pump floor)
Resistance: $0.000412 (candle [1] intraday high), $0.000445 (candle [2] all-time high in dataset)

Medium term

bearish
3–14 days

Without sustained buying interest and given the extreme whale concentration, the token is likely to retrace significantly from its pump highs. The historical holder pattern (dormant for weeks, then sudden spike) is consistent with coordinated pump-and-dump activity. Medium-term outlook is bearish unless new catalysts emerge.

Catalysts
  • Whale wallet (47.40%) begins distributing — would be catastrophic for price
  • Broader Solana meme coin market sentiment shift
  • New exchange listing or partnership announcement (no evidence of this currently)
  • Sustained organic holder growth beyond current 751 holders

Bullish factors

  • Strong 24h price momentum (+407%) with accelerating holder growth (+366 holders in 24h)
  • Increasing buy transactions (1,364 buys in 24h) showing retail interest
  • Price making higher highs and higher lows across the 24h candle series
  • Token trading on PumpSwap with social links (Twitter, website) suggesting some community presence

Bearish factors

  • Single wallet holds 47.40% of supply — extreme dump risk
  • Sell pressure dominates at 69.7% ($252.81K sells vs $110.07K buys)
  • Total liquidity only $65.88K — any significant sell would cause massive slippage
  • Top 10 holders control 72.19% of supply
  • Token was dormant at 36 holders for ~3 weeks — suggests coordinated launch/pump
  • No verified contract, update authority unknown, mutable=false but other metadata incomplete
  • 2x more sellers (810) than buyers (331) in 24h
Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to the extreme volatility (407% 24h move), very thin liquidity ($65.88K), and the speculative/meme nature of the token. Price action is highly susceptible to single-wallet manipulation given the 47.40% concentration. Short-term direction is nearly impossible to predict with precision.

Chameleon call history

Full track record →
Jun 25bearish
24h+44.4%
7d-61.9%
30d-90.9%

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Deep Analysis

The 24-hour OHLC series shows a clear multi-phase pump. Candles [24]–[20] (20:00–00:00 UTC) show a base/accumulation phase around $0.000078–$0.000094 with very low volume ($1,907–$4,463). Candles [19]–[17] (01:00–03:00 UTC) show early upward movement with slightly increasing volume. Candles [16]–[9] (04:00–11:00 UTC) show a slow grind upward from ~$0.000124 to ~$0.000152 with moderate volume. The major breakout occurs at candle [4] (16:00 UTC) where price surges from $0.000132 open to $0.000247 high on $55.9K volume — a 5x move from the base. Candle [2] (18:00 UTC) is the highest-volume candle ($114.8K) with a high of $0.000445, showing a massive wick suggesting profit-taking. Candle [1] (19:00 UTC, most recent) closes at $0.000387 on reduced volume ($16.3K), forming a potential bearish shooting star relative to candle [2]'s high.

Trend

Short-term
uptrend
Medium-term
uptrend

Momentum

Status
overbought

Volume

Trenddecreasing
Buy 30%Sell 70%

Short and medium-term trend is technically uptrend given the 407% 24h move, but the trend is driven by a single explosive pump event rather than organic accumulation. The reduced volume on the most recent candle and the large upper wick on candle [2] suggest the uptrend may be exhausting.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.000317 (candle [1] low)
Major$0.000078 (candle [20] low — pre-pump base)
Resistance
Immediate$0.000412 (candle [1] high)
Major$0.000445 (candle [2] all-time high in dataset)

Immediate support sits at the candle [1] low of $0.000317. A break below this opens a path to the $0.000241 zone (candle [4] close). Major support is the pre-pump base around $0.000078. On the upside, immediate resistance is the candle [1] high of $0.000412, with the dataset peak at $0.000445 from candle [2].

Notable patterns

  • Parabolic pump pattern: ~5x move from base ($0.000078) to peak ($0.000445) in under 24 hours
  • Large upper wick on candle [2] (18:00 UTC): opened $0.000258, high $0.000445, closed $0.000331 — bearish shooting star / rejection candle
  • Volume climax at candle [2] followed by sharp volume decline — classic pump exhaustion
  • Higher highs and higher lows from candle [20] through candle [2], but candle [1] fails to make new high
  • Candles [6] and [11] show near-doji formations (open ≈ close) during consolidation phases before the main pump

Total holders751
24h Δ+49
7d Δ+58
30d Δ+95
Accelerating Growth
Yes

Correlation with price

Holder growth is strongly correlated with the price pump. The token sat at 36 holders from May 26 through June 11 (completely flat), then began growing on June 12 (+95 holders in one day, +73%). The most explosive holder growth occurred in the last 24 hours (+366 holders, +49%), coinciding directly with the 407% price surge. This pattern suggests the price pump is attracting new retail buyers rather than organic community growth.

Holder growth is accelerating sharply but is almost entirely pump-driven. The token was completely dormant at 36 holders for approximately 3 weeks (May 26 – June 11, 2026), which is highly unusual and suggests the token was pre-mined or seeded with a small group of insiders. The sudden activation on June 12 (+95 holders) and the explosive growth in the last 24h (+366 holders, bringing total to 751) is consistent with a coordinated pump attracting retail FOMO buyers. The 30d growth of 95% sounds impressive but is almost entirely from the last 2 weeks. Distribution breakdown shows 42 whales, 3 sharks, 13 dolphins, 3 fish, 1 octopus — heavily skewed toward whale-tier holders.

Top 10 hold72.19%
Top 100 hold100.00%
Sentiment
Distributing

Notable holders

7MoPAyN5kqpfwo8DAs8wA3ECS1Rr6MtksPCBueDguSxJ

Project treasury or team/insider whale — holds 47.40% of total supply (473.99M tokens). This extreme concentration is the single largest risk factor for the token. No on-chain label available; likely a founding wallet or undisclosed team address.

47.40%

2Y5S1PxHfBovuttig1NjXHC99NiWqH9WeHmjBbhgSJQX

Individual whale — holds 3.46% of supply. One of several wallets in the 2–3.5% range that may represent coordinated insider distribution.

3.46%

AeNPttuPvCiUHitC25bBD4CrCJrbTzS7X1kyEX9sgkJi

Individual whale — holds 3.31% of supply. Similar profile to holder #2.

3.31%

AcWGZE1QF7R3MYQAFdUS94ochkPCmekWuvSVS7eZVCLK

Individual whale — holds 3.30% of supply. The cluster of wallets at 3.1–3.5% (holders #2–#5) holding nearly identical amounts is suspicious and may indicate coordinated wallet splitting.

3.30%

DBxYf63XXmxbrzyrgveTxF2mzE9y6C3qdYcGGWsusiZX

Individual whale — holds 3.12% of supply. Part of the suspicious cluster of near-equal holdings among top holders #2–#6.

3.12%

The whale map reveals extreme concentration risk. The top holder alone controls 47.40% of supply — nearly half the entire token supply in a single wallet. The top 10 wallets collectively hold 72.19% of supply, and the top 100 hold 100% (meaning all 751 holders are within the top 100 by supply). The cluster of wallets holding 2–3.5% each (holders #2–#10) with suspiciously similar balances raises concerns about coordinated wallet splitting from a single entity. The dominant sell pressure (69.7%) and 2:1 seller-to-buyer ratio (810 sellers vs 331 buyers) suggests whales are actively distributing into the pump.

Liquidity$65,880
Depth
Shallow
Slippage risk
high

Volume (24h)

Buy$110,070
Sell$252,810
Net flow
outflow

Traders (24h)

Unique buyers331
Unique sellers810

Market health is poor despite the price pump. Total liquidity of $65.88K is extremely thin relative to the $387.32K FDV — a liquidity-to-FDV ratio of only ~17%. This means any significant sell order from the 47.40% whale would completely drain the pool and crash the price. The 24h net flow is strongly negative: $252.81K in sells vs $110.07K in buys, a net outflow of ~$142.74K. There are 2.45x more sellers (810) than buyers (331), and 2x more sell transactions (2,727) than buy transactions (1,364). The token is on PumpSwap pair 145oMsfrPcfPv3BR6HYfvbCB8jwn3z6Fo4LSprRho71W. High slippage risk for any position larger than a few thousand dollars.

Supply & Valuation

Total supply999,996,466 (≈1 billion)
FDV$387,323

Authorities

Mint authority
Active
Freeze authority
Active

The token has a total supply of approximately 1 billion tokens with a current FDV of $387,323. The update authority is listed as 'unknown' in the metadata, and the contract is not verified. The token is marked as mutable=false, which is a minor positive signal, but mint and freeze authority status cannot be confirmed from the available data. The token was launched on PumpFun (mint address ends in 'pump'), which typically auto-revokes mint authority upon bonding curve completion, but this cannot be confirmed without direct on-chain verification. The absence of a token description and unverified contract status are additional concerns. Social links (Twitter, website, Moralis) exist but provide no additional on-chain security guarantees.

Volatility
high

407% price increase in 24 hours with a base price of ~$0.000078 just 24 hours ago. Extreme volatility makes position sizing and risk management nearly impossible. The token can retrace 80%+ rapidly.

Liquidity
high

Total liquidity of only $65.88K against $387K FDV. Any sell order above ~$5,000–$10,000 would cause significant slippage. The dominant whale (47.40% of supply = ~$183K at current prices) cannot exit without completely destroying the price.

Concentration
high

Top holder controls 47.40% of supply. Top 10 holders control 72.19%. Top 100 holders control 100% of supply. This is among the most concentrated distributions possible. A single wallet decision determines the token's fate.

SniperDump
medium

No sniper data available. However, the token's dormancy pattern (36 holders for 3 weeks) and sudden activation strongly suggests pre-coordinated insider accumulation. Early holders who bought at ~$0.000078 are sitting on 5x gains and have strong incentive to sell.

Authority
medium

Update authority is 'unknown', contract is unverified, and mint/freeze authority status cannot be confirmed. The token was launched via PumpFun which typically revokes mint authority, but this is unverified. Mutable=false is a positive signal but insufficient alone.

Key risks

  • Single wallet (7MoPAyN5kqpfwo8DAs8wA3ECS1Rr6MtksPCBueDguSxJ) holds 47.40% of supply — catastrophic dump risk
  • Sell pressure at 69.7% with 2.45x more sellers than buyers — active distribution in progress
  • Liquidity of $65.88K is insufficient to support meaningful exits
  • Token was dormant at 36 holders for ~3 weeks before sudden activation — classic pump setup
  • Cluster of wallets with near-identical holdings (2–3.5% each) suggests coordinated insider wallet splitting
  • No verified contract, unknown update authority
  • No token description — minimal transparency from creators

Mitigating factors

  • Token launched on PumpFun which typically auto-revokes mint authority
  • Mutable=false reduces risk of metadata manipulation
  • Social links present (Twitter, website) suggesting some public accountability
  • Holder count growing rapidly (+366 in 24h) indicating genuine retail interest
  • Price has established a clear support base around $0.000078–$0.000132
Suitable for: This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant traders who understand meme coin dynamics and can afford to lose 100% of their investment. It is NOT suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone investing more than they can afford to lose entirely. Given the extreme concentration, thin liquidity, and active distribution signals, this token exhibits multiple characteristics of a pump-and-dump scheme.

Meccha Chameleon is a high-risk Solana meme token exhibiting classic pump-and-dump characteristics: a 3-week dormancy period followed by a sudden price explosion, extreme supply concentration (47.40% in one wallet), dominant sell pressure (69.7%), and thin liquidity ($65.88K). While the short-term momentum is undeniable (+407% in 24h), the structural fundamentals are deeply concerning. Any investment thesis must be predicated on extremely short time horizons and strict risk management.

Bull case (low)

Continued retail FOMO drives further price appreciation. If the dominant whale holds and new buyers continue entering (as evidenced by +366 holders in 24h), the token could test and break the $0.000445 resistance level, potentially reaching $0.0006–$0.0008 in a continued pump scenario.

  • Sustained retail FOMO and viral social media momentum
  • Dominant whale (47.40%) continues to hold rather than distribute
  • Broader Solana meme coin market remains bullish
  • New exchange listings or influencer promotion

Base case

The token experiences a partial retracement of 40–60% from its pump high as early buyers take profits, settling into a new range around $0.000130–$0.000200. Holder count stabilizes around 800–1,000 as retail interest fades. The token survives but trades at a fraction of its pump peak.

  • Dominant whale does not immediately dump full position
  • Some retail buyers hold through initial retracement
  • Liquidity remains sufficient for small trades
  • No new major catalysts emerge in either direction

Bear case (high)

The dominant whale begins distributing their 47.40% position into the thin $65.88K liquidity pool, causing a catastrophic price collapse of 80–95% from current levels. Given the active sell pressure (69.7%) and the token's pump-and-dump characteristics, this is the most likely outcome.

  • Dominant whale (47.40%) initiates sell — would drain all liquidity
  • Retail buyers exhaust FOMO buying pressure
  • Sell pressure (69.7%) continues to dominate
  • Thin liquidity amplifies any downward price movement
  • Historical pattern: token was dormant for 3 weeks, suggesting coordinated exit strategy

GeneratedJun 25, 07:17 PM
Data freshnessData reflects on-chain state as of approximately 2026-06-25T19:00:00 UTC. Price and volume data is current to the most recent hourly candle. Holder data reflects real-time snapshot.
Model confidence
low

Data sources

  • Moralis on-chain token metadata API
  • PumpSwap DEX trading analytics
  • Hourly OHLC price candles (24 candles)
  • On-chain holder metrics and distribution data
  • Historical daily holder count series (30 days)
  • Top 20 holder wallet data

Limitations

  • No sniper/early buyer data available — smart money analysis is limited to inference from holder patterns
  • Update authority and mint/freeze authority status are unknown — cannot fully assess rug risk
  • Token description is absent — no project fundamentals to evaluate
  • Wallet classifications are inferred from on-chain patterns, not verified labels
  • Meme token price prediction has inherently low reliability due to sentiment-driven volatility
  • Top 100 holders = 100% of supply suggests the holder data may be incomplete or the token has very limited distribution
  • No audit or verified contract available

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does NOT constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially meme tokens, carry extreme risk including total loss of capital. The analyst has no position in this token. Always conduct your own research (DYOR) before making any investment decisions. Past price performance does not guarantee future results.

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply999,996,466 (≈1 billion)

Key Risks

•Single wallet (7MoPAyN5kqpfwo8DAs8wA3ECS1Rr6MtksPCBueDguSxJ) holds 47.40% of supply — catastrophic dump risk
•Sell pressure at 69.7% with 2.45x more sellers than buyers — active distribution in progress
•Liquidity of $65.88K is insufficient to support meaningful exits
•Token was dormant at 36 holders for ~3 weeks before sudden activation — classic pump setup

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

low confidence
High risk

No sniper data is available for Meccha Chameleon. Sniper analysis cannot be performed. However, the holder history showing 36 static holders for ~3 weeks (May 26 – June 11) before a sudden activation is a significant red flag consistent with pre-coordinated wallet seeding. The dominant wallet (47.40% of supply) and the cluster of wallets each holding 2–3.5% suggest possible coordinated distribution among insiders.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration0.00%
PnL stateUnknown
Sell-through rateUnknown
Profit-taking risk
high

No sniper data available for this token.

Unknown due to absent sniper data. However, the token's dormancy period (36 holders for ~3 weeks) and sudden activation pattern suggest early holders may be insiders or coordinated actors who accumulated at very low prices and are now distributing into the pump — consistent with the 69.7% sell pressure observed.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the price prediction for Meccha Chameleon (Chameleon)?

The token has pumped 407% in 24h and is showing heavy sell pressure (69.7% of volume). With a dominant whale holding 47.40% of supply and thin $65.88K liquidity, a sharp retracement is likely. The most recent candle (candle [1]) closed at $0.000387 after a high of $0.000412, suggesting the pump may be losing steam. Short-term downside risk is significant. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.000130 to $0.000445.

Is Chameleon a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 9.1/100. This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant traders who understand meme coin dynamics and can afford to lose 100% of their investment. It is NOT suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone investing more than they can afford to lose entirely. Given the extreme concentration, thin liquidity, and active distribution signals, this token exhibits multiple characteristics of a pump-and-dump scheme.

How are Chameleon holders trending?

Meccha Chameleon currently has 751 holders and is growing (24h: 49, 7d: 58, 30d: 95). Holder growth is accelerating sharply but is almost entirely pump-driven. The token was completely dormant at 36 holders for approximately 3 weeks (May 26 – June 11, 2026), which is highly unusual and suggests the token was pre-mined or seeded with a small group of insiders. The sudden activation on June 12 (+95 holders) and the explosive growth in the last 24h (+366 holders, bringing total to 751) is consistent with a coordinated pump attracting retail FOMO buyers. The 30d growth of 95% sounds impressive but is almost entirely from the last 2 weeks. Distribution breakdown shows 42 whales, 3 sharks, 13 dolphins, 3 fish, 1 octopus — heavily skewed toward whale-tier holders.

What does sniper activity look like for Chameleon?

Snipers hold roughly 0.00% of supply with PnL state "unknown" and sell-through rate "unknown". Profit-taking risk: high.

What are the key risks of holding Chameleon?

Single wallet (7MoPAyN5kqpfwo8DAs8wA3ECS1Rr6MtksPCBueDguSxJ) holds 47.40% of supply — catastrophic dump risk • Sell pressure at 69.7% with 2.45x more sellers than buyers — active distribution in progress • Liquidity of $65.88K is insufficient to support meaningful exits

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