Raydium Price Today & AI Analysis

RAYSolanaAnalysis as of Apr 29, 2026

$1.81

+0.75% 24h

Contract

Live

4k3Dyjzvzp8eMZWUXbBCjEvwSkkk59S5iCNLY3QrkX6R

Chain

Solana

Holders

266,000

Market cap

$489,384,881

At a $1B market cap, $RAY would be $3.7 (2.04x from today’s price)

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What's Twitter saying?Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweets Whale activityWho is accumulating or distributing What are the risks?Red flags, security, concentration Should I buy?Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

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Raydium: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-04-29 14:49 UTC

Holder addresses

148,434

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

Not available

How concentrated is Raydium ownership?: Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 148,434 addresses (2026-04-29 14:49 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling Raydium?: This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is Raydium liquidity falling?: Liquidity is not available in the saved inputs. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.

Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-04-29 14:49 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

Report snapshot

as of Apr 29, 02:49 PM UTC

FDV

$442,693,420

Liquidity

Not available

Holders

148,434

Snipers

Not available

Risk

Medium

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1h chart read; Support, resistance, Fibonacci and RSI divergence are drawn on the chart once it loads.

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AI Executive Summary

Risk

Medium

Sentiment

Bullish

Raydium (RAY) is a well-established decentralized exchange and AMM protocol on Solana with a fully diluted valuation of ~$442.7M and a current price of ~$0.798. The token has 148,434 holders and a total supply of ~555M RAY. RAY is a verified, non-spam token with active social channels and a known protocol backing. However, the token is mutable (update authority not renounced), holder counts are declining across all timeframes, and OHLC/candle data is unavailable, limiting technical precision.

Key points

Established Solana-native DEX and AMM protocol with real utility and liquidity infrastructure
Verified contract with no spam flag and broad social presence (Discord, Reddit, Telegram, Twitter, Website, Medium)
148,434 holders with a relatively healthy distribution across whales, sharks, dolphins, fish, and octopus tiers
Top 10 holders control 37.3% and top 100 control 47.86% — moderate concentration for a DeFi protocol token
24h price gain of +6.44%, suggesting short-term positive momentum despite declining holder counts

AI Price Analysis

bullish

Short term · 1–7 days

bullish

RAY posted a +6.44% gain in the last 24 hours, moving from ~$0.749 to ~$0.798. Without OHLC candle data, precise support and resistance levels are estimated from the 24h price change and FDV context. The short-term momentum is positive, but declining holder counts (-1,517 in 24h, -10,301 in 7d) represent a headwind. A continuation above $0.80 would be constructive.

Target low

$0.72

Target high

$0.92

Support: $0.75 (prior 24h open estimate), $0.70 (psychological round number)
Resistance: $0.85 (near-term resistance estimate), $1.00 (major psychological level)

Medium term · 1–3 months

neutral

Medium-term outlook is neutral-to-cautiously-bullish. RAY's utility as the core AMM of Solana positions it to benefit from any Solana ecosystem growth. However, persistent holder decline (-9.2% over 30 days) and a mutable token contract introduce uncertainty. Recovery above $1.00 would require renewed ecosystem momentum and holder accumulation.

Catalysts

Solana ecosystem growth driving DEX volume and RAY fee revenue
Potential protocol upgrades or new product launches by Raydium
Broader crypto market bull cycle lifting DeFi tokens
Re-accumulation by whales reversing the current holder decline trend

Bullish factors

Strong 24h price performance (+6.44%)
Established protocol with real on-chain utility on Solana
Broad holder base of 148,434 across multiple tiers
FDV of ~$442.7M reflects meaningful market recognition
Active social community across 6+ platforms

Bearish factors

Holder count declining across all timeframes: -0.09% (1h), -1.0% (24h), -6.9% (7d), -9.2% (30d)
Token is mutable — update authority not renounced, introducing governance/rug risk
No OHLC or trading analytics data available to confirm technical trend
Top 10 holders control 37.3% — moderate concentration risk
No sniper or smart money data available to assess early buyer behavior

Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to the absence of OHLC candle data and trading analytics, which prevents precise technical analysis. Price targets and support/resistance levels are estimated from the 24h price change and market context rather than derived from actual chart data.

Token Info

Chain: Solana
Contract: 4k3Dyj...kX6R
Total Supply: 554,997,750.18 RAY

Key Risks

Persistent holder decline across all timeframes (-9.2% over 30 days) signals weakening retail interest
Token is mutable — update authority not renounced, introducing governance risk
Top 10 holders control 37.3% of supply — concentration risk if large holders exit
No OHLC or volume data available, limiting ability to assess true market health

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

No OHLC candle data was provided for RAY. Technical analysis based on candlestick patterns, volume profiles, and precise support/resistance derivation from historical price action is not possible. All technical levels below are estimated from the available 24h price change data (price moved from ~$0.749 to ~$0.798, a +$0.048 gain) and general market context.

Trend

Short-term

Uptrend

Medium-term

Sideways

Short-term trend appears bullish based on the +6.44% 24h price gain. Medium-term trend is assessed as sideways given the lack of historical OHLC data and the persistent holder decline over 30 days, which suggests the token has not been in a sustained uptrend.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Neutral

Volume trend

Stable

Buy

50%

Sell

50%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.75

Major support

$0.70

Immediate resistance

$0.85

Major resistance

$1.00

Support and resistance levels are estimated from the 24h price range (open ~$0.749, current ~$0.798) and psychological price levels. $0.75 represents the approximate 24h open and acts as immediate support. $0.70 is a major psychological round number. $0.85 is the next logical resistance zone above current price. $1.00 is a major psychological resistance level. These levels should be validated against actual chart data when available.

Notable patterns

No candle patterns can be identified — OHLC data unavailable
24h price gain of +6.44% suggests a strong bullish session
Holder decline concurrent with price rise may indicate distribution by existing holders into strength
Divergence between rising price and falling holder count warrants monitoring

Liquidity

Not available

Depth

Not assessed

Slippage risk

Not assessed

Liquidity depth and slippage risk cannot be assessed without a liquidity observation.

Supply & authorities

Total supply

554,997,750.18 RAY

FDV

$442,693,419.54

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

Volatilitymedium
RAY is a mid-cap DeFi token (~$442M FDV) on Solana. While more stable than meme tokens, it remains subject to significant volatility tied to Solana ecosystem sentiment, broader crypto market cycles, and DeFi sector rotation. The 6.44% single-day move illustrates this volatility.
LiquidityNot assessed
A liquidity observation is not available in the saved inputs.
ConcentrationNot assessed
Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.
Sniper DumpNot assessed
Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.
AuthorityNot assessed
Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

Persistent holder decline across all timeframes (-9.2% over 30 days) signals weakening retail interest
Token is mutable — update authority not renounced, introducing governance risk
Top 10 holders control 37.3% of supply — concentration risk if large holders exit
No OHLC or volume data available, limiting ability to assess true market health
Solana ecosystem risk — RAY's value is tightly coupled to Solana's DeFi activity and TVL
Broader DeFi sector headwinds could suppress RAY price regardless of protocol performance

Mitigating factors

Verified contract with no spam flag — legitimate, established protocol
Raydium is one of Solana's largest and most battle-tested AMMs with real utility
Active social community across 6+ platforms suggests ongoing engagement
FDV of ~$442M reflects significant market recognition and liquidity
148,434 holders provide a broad base of token distribution
Price showed +6.44% gain in 24h, suggesting near-term buying interest

Suitable for

RAY is suitable for investors with medium risk tolerance who have conviction in the Solana DeFi ecosystem. It is NOT suitable for risk-averse investors due to its mutable authority, declining holder trend, and crypto market volatility. Best suited as a portfolio allocation for Solana ecosystem believers rather than a speculative trade.

Raydium (RAY) represents a bet on the continued growth and dominance of Solana's DeFi ecosystem. As the native token of one of Solana's premier AMMs, RAY has real utility and protocol revenue backing. However, the current data shows a concerning trend of declining holders (-9.2% over 30 days) alongside a mutable token contract, which tempers the bullish case. The short-term price action (+6.44% in 24h) is encouraging but must be weighed against the structural holder decline.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Medium probability

Solana DeFi renaissance drives RAY to $1.50+

Solana ecosystem TVL growth drives increased DEX volume and RAY fee revenue
New Raydium product launches (e.g., concentrated liquidity, new pool types) attract users
Broader crypto bull market lifts all DeFi tokens with RAY outperforming due to Solana's speed/cost advantages
Whale accumulation reverses holder decline trend, signaling institutional confidence
RAY burns or buybacks from protocol revenue reduce circulating supply

Base Case

RAY consolidates between $0.65–$1.00 over the next 3 months

Solana DeFi activity remains stable without major growth or contraction
Holder decline stabilizes as weak hands exit and long-term holders remain
No major protocol incidents or adverse authority actions
Broader crypto market remains range-bound
RAY maintains its position as a top-3 Solana DEX by volume

Bear Case

Medium probability

Continued holder exodus and DeFi headwinds push RAY below $0.50

Accelerating holder decline (-9.2% in 30d) continues, signaling loss of community confidence
Solana ecosystem competition from other DEXs (Orca, Jupiter) erodes Raydium's market share
Broader crypto bear market or Solana-specific negative event (network outage, hack) crushes sentiment
Large holder (top 10 control 37.3%) distribution event causes sharp price decline
Mutable authority used to make adverse token changes

Analysis details

Generated

Apr 29, 02:49 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-04-29 14:49 UTC

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

Token metadata (Mint: 4k3Dyjzvzp8eMZWUXbBCjEvwSkkk59S5iCNLY3QrkX6R)
Real-time price feed (USD: $0.797649, 24h change: +6.44%)
Holder metrics (total: 148,434; distribution tiers; acquisition breakdown)
Supply concentration data (top 10: 37.3%, top 100: 47.86%)
Holder change data (1h, 24h, 7d, 30d)
Token metadata fields (mutable, update authority, decimals, FDV, total supply)

Limitations

No OHLC candle data — all technical levels are estimated, not derived from chart data
No trading analytics — buy/sell volume, unique buyers/sellers, and net flow are unknown
No top holders list — individual whale classification and sentiment analysis are not possible
No historical holder series — day-by-day holder trend cannot be plotted
No sniper analysis — early buyer behavior and smart money signals cannot be assessed
Mint and freeze authority status not explicitly provided in metadata
Price targets carry high uncertainty due to missing technical data

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does NOT constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments carry significant risk of loss. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research (DYOR) and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analyst has no position in RAY and receives no compensation for this analysis.

Frequently Asked Questions

How concentrated is Raydium ownership?

Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 148,434 addresses (2026-04-29 14:49 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.

Are large holders selling Raydium?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is Raydium liquidity falling?

Liquidity is not available in the saved inputs. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.

What is the short-term price outlook for Raydium (RAY)?

Is RAY a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as medium with a risk score of 45/100. RAY is suitable for investors with medium risk tolerance who have conviction in the Solana DeFi ecosystem. It is NOT suitable for risk-averse investors due to its mutable authority, declining holder trend, and crypto market volatility. Best suited as a portfolio allocation for Solana ecosystem believers rather than a speculative trade.

What are the key risks of holding RAY?

Persistent holder decline across all timeframes (-9.2% over 30 days) signals weakening retail interest • Token is mutable — update authority not renounced, introducing governance risk • Top 10 holders control 37.3% of supply — concentration risk if large holders exit