SERIOUS

Serious Cat Price Today & AI Analysis

SERIOUSSolanaAnalysis as of Jul 9, 2026

Price

$0.053893

Contract

Live
22oWMe4xmvS5TogkbMLKALnUhgXxB2KYB8TRG9YRpump

Chain

Solana

Holders

364

Market cap

$3,893

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Serious Cat: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-07-09 02:19 UTC

Holder addresses

642

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

$51,066.24
How concentrated is Serious Cat ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 642 addresses (2026-07-09 02:19 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling Serious Cat?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is Serious Cat liquidity falling?
As of 2026-07-09 02:19 UTC, reported liquidity was $51,066.24. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-07-09 02:19 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

Report snapshot

as of Jul 9, 02:19 AM UTC

FDV

$195,922

Liquidity

$51,066.24

Holders

642

Snipers

Not available

Risk

Very High
Loading price chart…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Bearish

SERIOUS (Serious Cat) is a Pump.fun-launched meme token on Solana with mint address 22oWMe4xmvS5TogkbMLKALnUhgXxB2KYB8TRG9YRpump. The token has experienced an explosive 484% price surge in 24 hours, driven almost entirely by a single-day holder explosion from 32 to 642 holders. However, the token exhibits extreme red flags: a single wallet (FC3B3XkJKP7FLmuhhXb76fX7rD6sGnUgaPE3ksuocttm) holds ~100% of the total supply (999,964,233 out of 999,999,994 tokens), liquidity is shallow at $51.07K, sell pressure dominates at 76.2%, and the price has already collapsed from its intraday high of ~$0.0000555 to the current ~$0.000196 — a pattern consistent with a pump-and-dump or early-stage rug setup.

Key points

  • Single wallet holds ~100% of total supply — extreme concentration risk
  • Explosive 484% 24h price gain followed by sharp intraday reversal from $0.0000555 high
  • Holder base grew from 32 to 642 in under 24 hours — rapid but fragile retail FOMO
  • 76.2% sell pressure vs 23.8% buy pressure in 24h trading
  • Token was dormant for ~30 days (32 holders flat) before sudden activation on July 8

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term · 1–24 hours

bearish

The token has already reversed sharply from its intraday high of ~$0.0000555 (candle 8) down to ~$0.0000127 in the most recent candles, representing a ~77% drawdown from peak. The current reported price of ~$0.000196 appears inconsistent with the OHLC data (which shows prices in the $0.000010–$0.000055 range), suggesting either a data lag or a second pump wave. Sell pressure at 76.2% and 2,798 sells vs 1,304 buys strongly favor continued downside. Immediate support is around $0.0000084 (candle 3 low); resistance at $0.0000555 (candle 8 high).

Target low

$0.0000050

Target high

$0.0000300

Support

$0.0000084 (candle 3 low), $0.0000097 (candle 4 low), $0.0000132 (candle 5 low)

Resistance

$0.0000155 (candle 4/5 highs), $0.0000344 (candle 7 high), $0.0000555 (candle 8 all-time high)

Medium term · 1–30 days

bearish

Given the extreme supply concentration (one wallet holds ~100%), shallow liquidity ($51.07K), and the token's history of 30 days of zero activity before this pump, the medium-term outlook is highly bearish. If the dominant holder begins distributing, the price could collapse to near zero. Sustained growth would require genuine community adoption and liquidity deepening, neither of which is evidenced in the data.

Catalysts

  • Dominant whale wallet beginning to sell/distribute supply
  • Liquidity withdrawal from the PumpSwap pool
  • Broader Solana meme coin market downturn
  • Failure to attract new buyers as FOMO fades

Bullish factors

  • Explosive 484% 24h price gain demonstrates strong short-term momentum
  • Holder count grew from 32 to 642 in under 24 hours (+95% in 7d), showing rapid retail interest
  • Social links (Twitter, website) suggest some marketing effort
  • 5m price change of +1.17% and 1h change of +173% suggest a possible second pump wave in progress

Bearish factors

  • Single wallet holds ~100% of supply — catastrophic concentration risk
  • 76.2% sell pressure (166.74K sell volume vs 52.02K buy volume in 24h)
  • Price already collapsed ~77% from intraday high of $0.0000555
  • Only $51.07K total liquidity — extremely shallow, high slippage risk
  • Token was dormant for 30 days before this pump — no organic growth history
  • Unverified contract, non-renounced update authority
  • Meme coin with no clear utility or fundamental value

Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to extreme supply concentration in one wallet (making price entirely dependent on that holder's actions), shallow liquidity, inconsistency between reported spot price and OHLC candle data, and the highly speculative meme coin nature of the asset. Price behavior is unpredictable in pump-and-dump dynamics.

SERIOUS call history

Full track record →

Jul 9bearish
24h-63.0%
7d-96.6%
30d-95.2%

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Solana
Contract
22oWMe...pump
Total Supply
999,999,994.74

Key Risks

  • Single wallet holds ~100% of supply — existential rug-pull risk at any moment
  • Shallow liquidity ($51.07K) means any significant sell causes catastrophic price impact
  • 76.2% sell pressure indicates active distribution into retail buyers
  • Token was dormant for 30 days before pump — no organic community or development history

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

9 hourly candles analyzed (July 8 18:00 UTC through July 9 02:00 UTC). The token launched a sharp pump starting at candle 9 (18:00, open $0.0000312, high $0.0000538), peaked in candle 8 (19:00, high $0.0000555 — the all-time high in this dataset), then entered a sustained downtrend. Candles 7 through 3 show progressively lower highs and lower lows: candle 7 high $0.0000344, candle 6 high $0.0000152, candle 5 high $0.0000163, candle 4 high $0.0000155, candle 3 high $0.0000126. Candles 1–3 show price stabilizing in the $0.0000084–$0.0000126 range with lower volume, suggesting a potential base formation but no confirmed reversal. Volume peaked in candle 2 (71,348 USD) during the sell-off, confirming distribution.

Trend

Short-term

Downtrend

Medium-term

Downtrend

Clear lower highs and lower lows from candle 8 peak ($0.0000555) through candle 1 ($0.0000126 high). The dominant trend is bearish following the initial pump. No confirmed reversal pattern is present in the available data.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Oversold

Volume trend

Decreasing

Buy

24%

Sell

76%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.0000084 (candle 3 low)

Major support

$0.0000028 (estimated pre-pump baseline / near zero)

Immediate resistance

$0.0000155 (candle 4/5 highs)

Major resistance

$0.0000555 (candle 8 all-time high)

The $0.0000084 level (candle 3 low) represents the most recent tested support. A break below this level would open the door to near-zero prices given the lack of liquidity depth. The $0.0000555 all-time high from candle 8 is the major resistance; reclaiming it would require a significant new wave of buying interest that is not currently evidenced by the data.

Notable patterns

  • Pump-and-dump pattern: sharp spike to $0.0000555 followed by sustained lower highs and lower lows
  • High-volume distribution candle (candle 2: $71,348 volume on down close)
  • Potential base formation in candles 1–3 (price stabilizing $0.0000084–$0.0000126) but unconfirmed
  • Bearish engulfing structure: candle 7 opened at $0.0000331 and closed at $0.0000135, engulfing prior candle range
  • Volume declining as price stabilizes — inconclusive, could be exhaustion or accumulation

Liquidity

Liquidity

$51,066.24

Depth

Shallow

Slippage risk

High

Liquidity is critically shallow at $51.07K on a single PumpSwap pool (HFMLGxje4YrmbFnFWKFwihjcgTLzzDu2zM1PMbDnUeKd). With a fully diluted valuation of ~$197K and only $51K in liquidity, the liquidity-to-FDV ratio is approximately 26% — extremely low. Any meaningful sell order would cause severe slippage. The 24h trading data shows a deeply negative net flow: $166.74K in sell volume vs $52.02K in buy volume (76.2% sell pressure), with 2,798 sells from 1,068 unique sellers vs 1,304 buys from 497 unique buyers. Sellers outnumber buyers more than 2:1. This is a clear distribution market where early buyers and potentially the dominant holder are offloading into retail demand. Market health is poor.

Supply & authorities

Total supply

999,999,994.74

FDV

$197,020

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

  • Volatilityhigh

    484% 24h price gain followed by ~77% intraday drawdown from peak. Extreme volatility consistent with pump-and-dump dynamics. Price swings of 50–80% within single hours are evidenced in the OHLC data.

  • Liquidityhigh

    Only $51.07K total liquidity on a single PumpSwap pool. Any sell order above a few hundred dollars will cause significant slippage. Liquidity could be withdrawn at any time by the pool provider.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Sniper DumpNot assessed

    Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.

  • AuthorityNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

  • Single wallet holds ~100% of supply — existential rug-pull risk at any moment
  • Shallow liquidity ($51.07K) means any significant sell causes catastrophic price impact
  • 76.2% sell pressure indicates active distribution into retail buyers
  • Token was dormant for 30 days before pump — no organic community or development history
  • Unverified contract with non-renounced update authority
  • Price already down ~77% from intraday high — late buyers are deeply underwater
  • No utility, no verified team, no audited code

Mitigating factors

  • Rapid holder growth (32 to 642) shows some market interest and liquidity demand
  • Social links (Twitter, website) suggest minimal marketing infrastructure exists
  • Mutable flag is false, suggesting metadata is locked
  • Token is listed on PumpSwap with a functioning trading pair

Suitable for

This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who fully understand they may lose 100% of their investment. It is entirely unsuitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone not prepared for immediate total loss. The extreme supply concentration alone makes this one of the highest-risk tokens possible.

SERIOUS (Serious Cat) is a high-risk Pump.fun meme token exhibiting classic pump-and-dump characteristics: 30 days of dormancy, sudden price explosion, extreme supply concentration in one wallet, shallow liquidity, and overwhelming sell pressure. The investment case is almost entirely speculative momentum trading with very high probability of total loss.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

The dominant wallet is a long-term holder or project treasury that does not sell. Viral meme momentum continues to attract new buyers, liquidity deepens, and the token develops a genuine community. Price recovers toward the $0.0000555 all-time high and beyond.

  • Dominant wallet commits to not selling (no evidence of this)
  • Viral social media traction drives sustained new buyer inflow
  • Liquidity pool deepens significantly above $500K
  • Broader Solana meme coin bull market lifts all boats

Base Case

The token continues to trade with high volatility and declining volume. The dominant wallet holds but does not add liquidity. Price gradually drifts lower as sell pressure exceeds buy pressure, settling 80–95% below the all-time high. Most retail buyers who entered during the pump lose the majority of their investment.

  • Dominant wallet does not immediately dump but also does not support the price
  • Retail interest fades within 24–72 hours as no new catalysts emerge
  • Liquidity remains shallow, making recovery difficult
  • 76.2% sell pressure trend continues

Bear Case

High probability

The dominant wallet (holding ~100% of supply) begins selling into the shallow $51.07K liquidity pool. Price collapses to near zero within hours. Retail holders are unable to exit due to slippage and liquidity withdrawal.

  • Dominant wallet sells even 1–5% of holdings into shallow liquidity
  • Retail FOMO fades as price stagnates or declines
  • Liquidity provider withdraws the $51.07K pool
  • No new catalysts or viral moments to sustain momentum

Analysis details

Generated

Jul 9, 02:19 AM UTC

Saved observation

2026-07-09 02:19 UTC

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

  • Moralis on-chain token metadata (mint, supply, authorities, social links)
  • Moralis price feed (USD spot price, 24h change)
  • Moralis OHLC candles (9 hourly candles, July 8–9 2026)
  • Moralis trading analytics (buy/sell volume, unique wallets, liquidity)
  • Moralis holder metrics (total holders, acquisition method, distribution tiers)
  • Moralis historical holders (30-day daily series)
  • Moralis top holders (top 20 by balance)
  • Sniper analysis: not available (no data provided)

Limitations

  • No sniper/smart money data available — smart money analysis is limited to inferences from holder and volume data
  • Spot price ($0.000196) appears significantly higher than the most recent OHLC candle close ($0.0000126), suggesting either a data lag, a second pump wave after candle data cutoff, or a data inconsistency — this creates uncertainty in price analysis
  • Mint and freeze authority status could not be definitively confirmed from provided metadata
  • Only 9 hourly candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis or trend confirmation
  • Top holder classification is inferred (no on-chain labels provided); the dominant wallet could be deployer, team, or a single whale
  • 30-day holder history only goes back to June 9 — token history before that date is unknown
  • No audit, no verified contract — smart contract risk cannot be assessed

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does NOT constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially meme tokens, carry extreme risk including total loss of capital. The analyst has no position in this token. Always conduct your own research before making any investment decision.

Frequently Asked Questions

How concentrated is Serious Cat ownership?

Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 642 addresses (2026-07-09 02:19 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.

Are large holders selling Serious Cat?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is Serious Cat liquidity falling?

As of 2026-07-09 02:19 UTC, reported liquidity was $51,066.24. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.

What is the short-term price outlook for Serious Cat (SERIOUS)?

The token has already reversed sharply from its intraday high of ~$0.0000555 (candle 8) down to ~$0.0000127 in the most recent candles, representing a ~77% drawdown from peak. The current reported price of ~$0.000196 appears inconsistent with the OHLC data (which shows prices in the $0.000010–$0.000055 range), suggesting either a data lag or a second pump wave. Sell pressure at 76.2% and 2,798 sells vs 1,304 buys strongly favor continued downside. Immediate support is around $0.0000084 (candle 3 low); resistance at $0.0000555 (candle 8 high). Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.0000050 to $0.0000300.

Is SERIOUS a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as very high with a risk score of 9.4/100. This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who fully understand they may lose 100% of their investment. It is entirely unsuitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone not prepared for immediate total loss. The extreme supply concentration alone makes this one of the highest-risk tokens possible.

What are the key risks of holding SERIOUS?

Single wallet holds ~100% of supply — existential rug-pull risk at any moment • Shallow liquidity ($51.07K) means any significant sell causes catastrophic price impact • 76.2% sell pressure indicates active distribution into retail buyers

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