TOLYBOT

TolyBot Price Today & AI Analysis

TOLYBOTSolanaAnalysis as of May 17, 2026

Price

$0.043079

+9.55% 24h

Contract

Live
FjgXCL8ov5BkvZGoY2QthvhUmx82mVkSmhni6nCJpump

Chain

Solana

Holders

4,356

Market cap

$28,683

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TolyBot: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-05-17 14:20 UTC

Holder addresses

606

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

$36,876.83
How concentrated is TolyBot ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 606 addresses (2026-05-17 14:20 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling TolyBot?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is TolyBot liquidity falling?
As of 2026-05-17 14:20 UTC, reported liquidity was $36,876.83. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-05-17 14:20 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

Report snapshot

as of May 17, 02:20 PM UTC

FDV

$206,760

Liquidity

$36,876.83

Holders

606

Snipers

Not available

Risk

Very High
Loading price chart…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Bearish

TolyBot (TOLYBOT) is a Solana-based meme/utility token launched on PumpSwap with a total supply of ~999.99M tokens and a fully diluted valuation of ~$206K. The token experienced an explosive launch event on May 16–17, 2026, with price spiking from ~$0.000012 to a high of ~$0.000580 before retracing sharply. As of analysis, price sits at ~$0.000207, still up ~142% on 24h but well off peak. Sell pressure is overwhelming (83.9% of 24h volume), liquidity is thin at $36.88K, and the holder base exploded from 196 to 746+ in a single day. The token carries very high risk characteristics typical of a newly launched PumpSwap meme token.

Key points

  • Explosive single-day holder growth: +550 holders (+74%) on May 16 alone, from a flat base of 196 over the prior 30 days
  • Extreme sell pressure: 83.9% of 24h volume ($1.21M) is sell-side vs only $231K buy-side
  • All 20 tracked snipers are in profit (realized PnL ranging from 54.6% to 558.5%), indicating significant early-buyer advantage
  • Ultra-thin liquidity of $36.88K against $198K FDV creates severe slippage risk
  • Token was dormant (196 holders, zero change) for 30 days before sudden activation on May 16

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term · 1–24 hours

bearish

Price is currently at ~$0.000207, recovering from the post-launch dump but facing massive sell-side overhang. With 83.9% sell pressure, 13,978 sell transactions vs 3,182 buys, and all snipers in profit with incentive to exit, the short-term path of least resistance is downward. The 5m (+7.4%) and 1h (+11.2%) upticks may be a dead-cat bounce. Immediate support is the recent consolidation zone around $0.000163–$0.000165; a break below risks revisiting the $0.000099–$0.000108 range.

Target low

$0.000099

Target high

$0.000250

Support

$0.000163 (candle 15–16 consolidation base), $0.000108 (candle 7–8 range), $0.000078 (candle 10 low)

Resistance

$0.000209 (candle 1 high / current resistance), $0.000250 (psychological level), $0.000450–$0.000534 (candle 17 open/high zone)

Medium term · 1–7 days

bearish

Without a fundamental catalyst, new exchange listing, or viral narrative, TOLYBOT is likely to continue distributing. The token was dormant for 30 days before this pump, suggesting the activation was event-driven (possibly coordinated). Sniper profit-taking, thin liquidity, and concentrated whale holdings all point to continued downward pressure. A recovery above $0.000300 would require sustained new buyer inflow that current data does not support.

Catalysts

  • New exchange listing or partnership announcement
  • Viral social media campaign or influencer promotion
  • Broader Solana meme coin market rally
  • Sniper/whale accumulation at lower levels

Bullish factors

  • Strong 24h price gain of +141.97% demonstrates momentum and market awareness
  • 5m (+7.4%) and 1h (+11.2%) price upticks suggest short-term buying interest
  • Holder base grew +410 in 24h (68%), indicating new market participants entering
  • All snipers in profit suggests token has maintained value above launch price for early buyers

Bearish factors

  • 83.9% sell pressure ($1.21M sell vs $231K buy in 24h) is severely lopsided
  • Price already down ~64% from all-time high of ~$0.000580 (candle 18)
  • All 20 snipers are in profit and have strong incentive to continue selling
  • Liquidity of only $36.88K is dangerously thin for a $198K FDV token
  • Token was dormant for 30 days — activation pattern suggests coordinated pump
  • No verified contract, no social links, no description — minimal transparency
  • Holder count already declining: -8 holders in the last 1 hour

Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to the extreme volatility of this newly launched token (candle 18 range: $0.000012–$0.000580), absence of verified contract or social links, unknown update authority, and the speculative nature of PumpSwap meme tokens. Price action is highly susceptible to single large wallet moves given thin $36.88K liquidity.

Token Info

Chain
Solana
Contract
FjgXCL...pump
Total Supply
999,994,090.27

Key Risks

  • Extreme sell pressure (83.9% of volume) with 5.4:1 seller-to-buyer ratio indicating active distribution
  • Ultra-thin liquidity ($36.88K) creating severe slippage and exit risk for any position above $1–2K
  • All snipers in profit with high sell-through rate — coordinated early buyer advantage confirmed
  • Token was dormant for 30 days before sudden activation — suggests coordinated pump rather than organic growth

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

The 18-hour OHLC series tells a clear pump-and-dump story. Candle 18 (21:00 UTC May 16) shows an explosive launch: open $0.0000470, high $0.000580, low $0.0000123, close $0.000479 — an enormous wick range indicating violent price discovery. Candle 17 (22:00) opened at $0.000450, hit $0.000534 (all-time high in this series), then crashed to close at $0.000165 on massive $574K volume — a classic bearish engulfing/shooting star. Candles 15–16 show consolidation at $0.000163–$0.000165 on declining volume. Candles 10–14 (02:00–06:00) show a secondary dip to $0.000078 low with recovery, forming a V-shape. Candles 7–9 show a tight sideways range ($0.000089–$0.000115). Candles 4–6 (09:00–11:00) show a recovery push with candle 4 reaching $0.000205 high. Candle 1 (14:00, most recent) closes at $0.000207 — a new local high in the recovery sequence, forming a series of higher lows from candle 10 onward.

Trend

Short-term

Uptrend

Medium-term

Downtrend

Short-term (last 6 hours): higher lows and higher highs forming from the $0.000078 bottom, with price recovering to $0.000207. Medium-term (18-hour view): decisively downtrend from the $0.000580 ATH, with price still ~64% below peak. The overall structure is a post-pump distribution phase with a short-term relief bounce.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Overbought

Volume trend

Decreasing

Buy

16%

Sell

84%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.000182–$0.000187 (candles 2–3 open/close range)

Major support

$0.000078 (candle 10 low — the recent swing low)

Immediate resistance

$0.000209 (candle 1 high)

Major resistance

$0.000450–$0.000534 (candles 17–18 open/high zone — the pump peak)

The $0.000163–$0.000165 zone (candles 15–16) served as consolidation support after the initial dump and is now a key pivot. The $0.000078 low from candle 10 is the critical support floor for the current recovery. On the upside, $0.000209 is immediate resistance (current candle high), with the major resistance cluster at $0.000450–$0.000534 representing the original pump zone that would require extraordinary buying pressure to reclaim.

Notable patterns

  • Shooting star / bearish engulfing at ATH (candle 17): open $0.000450, high $0.000534, close $0.000165 — classic distribution signal
  • V-shaped recovery from $0.000078 low (candles 10–14) suggesting short-term buyer interest at lower levels
  • Declining volume on recovery (candles 10→1): volume falling from $8,457 to $2,506 as price rises — bearish divergence
  • 30-day dormancy followed by single-day explosion: 196 holders flat for 30 days, then +550 in one day — coordinated activation pattern
  • Higher lows sequence forming in candles 9→8→7→6→5→4→1 suggesting short-term uptrend structure within broader downtrend

Liquidity

Liquidity

$36,876.83

Depth

Shallow

Slippage risk

High

Market health is critically poor. Total liquidity of $36.88K against a $198K FDV represents a liquidity-to-FDV ratio of only ~18.6%, meaning any moderate sell order will cause severe slippage. The 24h volume imbalance is extreme: $1.21M in sells vs $231K in buys (83.9% sell pressure), with 3,633 unique sellers vs only 667 unique buyers — a 5.4:1 seller-to-buyer ratio. Total 24h transactions: 17,160 (13,978 sells vs 3,182 buys). Net flow is strongly outflow. The token is trading on PumpSwap (pair EH5FYz1qcRhrs6VivDNfYjaxuN76HZc1oNWK6AHW43KL), a decentralized venue with no order book depth. A $10K sell order against $36.88K liquidity would likely move price 20–30%+. This is a high-slippage, low-liquidity environment unsuitable for large position entries or exits.

Supply & authorities

Total supply

999,994,090.27

FDV

$206,759.56

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

  • Volatilityhigh

    Price ranged from $0.0000123 to $0.000580 within a single hour (candle 18) — a 47x intra-candle range. 24h change of +141.97% with a 6h change of +94.3% demonstrates extreme volatility. The token can lose 50%+ of value in a single hour as demonstrated by candle 17.

  • Liquidityhigh

    Total liquidity of only $36.88K against $198K FDV. Any sell order above ~$5K will experience significant slippage. The 24h sell volume of $1.21M has already severely stressed the liquidity pool.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Sniper DumpNot assessed

    Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.

  • AuthorityNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

  • Extreme sell pressure (83.9% of volume) with 5.4:1 seller-to-buyer ratio indicating active distribution
  • Ultra-thin liquidity ($36.88K) creating severe slippage and exit risk for any position above $1–2K
  • All snipers in profit with high sell-through rate — coordinated early buyer advantage confirmed
  • Token was dormant for 30 days before sudden activation — suggests coordinated pump rather than organic growth
  • No verified contract, no social links, no description — near-zero transparency
  • Holder count already declining (-8 in last hour, down from 746 peak to 606 current)
  • Top 100 holders control 86.31% of supply — extreme concentration

Mitigating factors

  • Pump.fun origin typically involves mint authority burn upon graduation, reducing rug risk
  • Mutable: false prevents metadata manipulation
  • Liquidity pool (9.71% of supply) is locked in the trading pair, not a selling threat
  • Price is still +141.97% on 24h, suggesting some genuine market interest
  • Broad holder tier distribution (whales/sharks/dolphins/fish/octopus) suggests not purely whale-controlled

Suitable for

Suitable only for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who understand meme token dynamics and can afford to lose 100% of invested capital. Not suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone investing more than a negligible portion of their portfolio. Position sizing should be minimal given the liquidity constraints — exits above $5K face severe slippage.

TolyBot (TOLYBOT) is a high-risk, newly launched Solana meme token that experienced a violent pump-and-dump event on May 16–17, 2026. The token is currently in a post-pump distribution phase with overwhelming sell pressure, thin liquidity, and all early buyers (snipers) in profit. The investment case is purely speculative — there is no verified utility, no social presence, and no fundamental value proposition evident from the data. Any investment is a bet on continued speculative momentum against a strong headwind of distribution.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

If TOLYBOT gains viral traction on social media, attracts a community narrative around the 'TolyBot' brand (potentially tied to Toly/Anatoly Yakovenko of Solana), or benefits from a broader Solana meme coin rally, new buyer inflow could overwhelm the current sell pressure. A recovery toward the $0.000300–$0.000450 range is possible if daily buy volume exceeds $500K+ consistently.

  • Viral social media campaign or influencer endorsement
  • Association with Solana ecosystem narrative (Toly branding)
  • Broader Solana meme coin market rally lifting all boats
  • New exchange listing increasing accessibility and volume

Base Case

No analysis available for this section yet — refresh in a moment.

Bear Case

High probability

Continued distribution by whales and remaining snipers drives price back toward the $0.000078–$0.000099 support zone or lower. Liquidity pool drains as sellers overwhelm buyers, potentially causing a liquidity crisis. Holder count continues declining as early buyers exit, leaving only bag-holders. Price could revisit the sub-$0.000050 range seen at token launch.

  • 83.9% sell pressure continues or intensifies as more holders exit
  • Whale wallets (holders 2–20) begin distributing their 1.22%–5.00% positions
  • No new catalysts emerge to attract fresh buyer interest
  • Thin liquidity amplifies downward price moves disproportionately
  • Token's 30-day dormancy pattern suggests lack of genuine community or utility

Analysis details

Generated

May 17, 02:20 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-05-17 14:20 UTC

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

  • On-chain token metadata (Mint: FjgXCL8ov5BkvZGoY2QthvhUmx82mVkSmhni6nCJpump)
  • PumpSwap DEX price feed and OHLC candles (pair EH5FYz1qcRhrs6VivDNfYjaxuN76HZc1oNWK6AHW43KL)
  • 24h trading analytics (buy/sell volume, unique wallets, transaction counts)
  • Holder metrics and distribution data (606 total holders, top 20 balances)
  • Historical holder time series (30-day daily snapshots)
  • Sniper analysis (20 snipers, first 1,000 blocks)
  • Top 20 holder wallet addresses and balances

Limitations

  • Mint and freeze authority status are unknown — rug risk from authorities cannot be fully assessed
  • Sniper sniped amounts (USD) are unknown, preventing precise sniper concentration % calculation
  • No social media data, community metrics, or developer information available
  • Update authority is listed as unknown — cannot verify contract security
  • Historical holder data only available at daily granularity; intra-day holder dynamics are estimated
  • 24h price change shown as 0% in analytics section conflicts with 141.97% in price section — likely a data normalization artifact; the 141.97% figure from the price feed is used as primary
  • Token has no description or verified utility — fundamental analysis is not possible
  • FDV figures differ slightly between metadata ($206,759.56) and analytics ($198,360) — likely due to price feed timing differences

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, particularly newly launched meme tokens, carry extreme risk including total loss of capital. Past price performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research (DYOR) and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Frequently Asked Questions

How concentrated is TolyBot ownership?

Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 606 addresses (2026-05-17 14:20 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.

Are large holders selling TolyBot?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is TolyBot liquidity falling?

As of 2026-05-17 14:20 UTC, reported liquidity was $36,876.83. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.

What is the short-term price outlook for TolyBot (TOLYBOT)?

Price is currently at ~$0.000207, recovering from the post-launch dump but facing massive sell-side overhang. With 83.9% sell pressure, 13,978 sell transactions vs 3,182 buys, and all snipers in profit with incentive to exit, the short-term path of least resistance is downward. The 5m (+7.4%) and 1h (+11.2%) upticks may be a dead-cat bounce. Immediate support is the recent consolidation zone around $0.000163–$0.000165; a break below risks revisiting the $0.000099–$0.000108 range. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.000099 to $0.000250.

Is TOLYBOT a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as very high with a risk score of 9.1/100. Suitable only for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who understand meme token dynamics and can afford to lose 100% of invested capital. Not suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone investing more than a negligible portion of their portfolio. Position sizing should be minimal given the liquidity constraints — exits above $5K face severe slippage.

What are the key risks of holding TOLYBOT?

Extreme sell pressure (83.9% of volume) with 5.4:1 seller-to-buyer ratio indicating active distribution • Ultra-thin liquidity ($36.88K) creating severe slippage and exit risk for any position above $1–2K • All snipers in profit with high sell-through rate — coordinated early buyer advantage confirmed

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