TOLYBOT

TolyBot Price Prediction 2026

TOLYBOT
Solana•
AI Analysis
Analysis as of May 17, 2026

FjgXCL8ov5BkvZGoY2QthvhUmx82mVkSmhni6nCJpump

$0.045901

-19.05%

FDV $58,972

LiveContract:FjgXCL8ov5BkvZGoY2QthvhUmx82mVkSmhni6nCJpumpChain:SolanaHolders:4,533Market cap:$58,972

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Ask Unhosted AI about TOLYBOT

What's Twitter saying?

Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweets

Whale activity

Who is accumulating or distributing

What are the risks?

Red flags, security, concentration

Should I buy?

Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

Report snapshotas of May 17, 02:20 PM
FDV

$206,760

Liquidity

$36,877

Holders

606

Snipers

26

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

TolyBot (TOLYBOT) is a Solana-based meme/utility token launched on PumpSwap with a total supply of ~999.99M tokens and a fully diluted valuation of ~$206K. The token experienced an explosive launch event on May 16–17, 2026, with price spiking from ~$0.000012 to a high of ~$0.000580 before retracing sharply. As of analysis, price sits at ~$0.000207, still up ~142% on 24h but well off peak. Sell pressure is overwhelming (83.9% of 24h volume), liquidity is thin at $36.88K, and the holder base exploded from 196 to 746+ in a single day. The token carries very high risk characteristics typical of a newly launched PumpSwap meme token.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Bearish
Explosive single-day holder growth: +550 holders (+74%) on May 16 alone, from a flat base of 196 over the prior 30 days
Extreme sell pressure: 83.9% of 24h volume ($1.21M) is sell-side vs only $231K buy-side
All 20 tracked snipers are in profit (realized PnL ranging from 54.6% to 558.5%), indicating significant early-buyer advantage
Ultra-thin liquidity of $36.88K against $198K FDV creates severe slippage risk
Token was dormant (196 holders, zero change) for 30 days before sudden activation on May 16

Price Prediction

bearish

Short term

bearish
1–24 hours

Price is currently at ~$0.000207, recovering from the post-launch dump but facing massive sell-side overhang. With 83.9% sell pressure, 13,978 sell transactions vs 3,182 buys, and all snipers in profit with incentive to exit, the short-term path of least resistance is downward. The 5m (+7.4%) and 1h (+11.2%) upticks may be a dead-cat bounce. Immediate support is the recent consolidation zone around $0.000163–$0.000165; a break below risks revisiting the $0.000099–$0.000108 range.

Target low$0.000099
Target high$0.000250
Support: $0.000163 (candle 15–16 consolidation base), $0.000108 (candle 7–8 range), $0.000078 (candle 10 low)
Resistance: $0.000209 (candle 1 high / current resistance), $0.000250 (psychological level), $0.000450–$0.000534 (candle 17 open/high zone)

Medium term

bearish
1–7 days

Without a fundamental catalyst, new exchange listing, or viral narrative, TOLYBOT is likely to continue distributing. The token was dormant for 30 days before this pump, suggesting the activation was event-driven (possibly coordinated). Sniper profit-taking, thin liquidity, and concentrated whale holdings all point to continued downward pressure. A recovery above $0.000300 would require sustained new buyer inflow that current data does not support.

Catalysts
  • New exchange listing or partnership announcement
  • Viral social media campaign or influencer promotion
  • Broader Solana meme coin market rally
  • Sniper/whale accumulation at lower levels

Bullish factors

  • Strong 24h price gain of +141.97% demonstrates momentum and market awareness
  • 5m (+7.4%) and 1h (+11.2%) price upticks suggest short-term buying interest
  • Holder base grew +410 in 24h (68%), indicating new market participants entering
  • All snipers in profit suggests token has maintained value above launch price for early buyers

Bearish factors

  • 83.9% sell pressure ($1.21M sell vs $231K buy in 24h) is severely lopsided
  • Price already down ~64% from all-time high of ~$0.000580 (candle 18)
  • All 20 snipers are in profit and have strong incentive to continue selling
  • Liquidity of only $36.88K is dangerously thin for a $198K FDV token
  • Token was dormant for 30 days — activation pattern suggests coordinated pump
  • No verified contract, no social links, no description — minimal transparency
  • Holder count already declining: -8 holders in the last 1 hour
Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to the extreme volatility of this newly launched token (candle 18 range: $0.000012–$0.000580), absence of verified contract or social links, unknown update authority, and the speculative nature of PumpSwap meme tokens. Price action is highly susceptible to single large wallet moves given thin $36.88K liquidity.

Deep Analysis

The 18-hour OHLC series tells a clear pump-and-dump story. Candle 18 (21:00 UTC May 16) shows an explosive launch: open $0.0000470, high $0.000580, low $0.0000123, close $0.000479 — an enormous wick range indicating violent price discovery. Candle 17 (22:00) opened at $0.000450, hit $0.000534 (all-time high in this series), then crashed to close at $0.000165 on massive $574K volume — a classic bearish engulfing/shooting star. Candles 15–16 show consolidation at $0.000163–$0.000165 on declining volume. Candles 10–14 (02:00–06:00) show a secondary dip to $0.000078 low with recovery, forming a V-shape. Candles 7–9 show a tight sideways range ($0.000089–$0.000115). Candles 4–6 (09:00–11:00) show a recovery push with candle 4 reaching $0.000205 high. Candle 1 (14:00, most recent) closes at $0.000207 — a new local high in the recovery sequence, forming a series of higher lows from candle 10 onward.

Trend

Short-term
uptrend
Medium-term
downtrend

Momentum

Status
overbought

Volume

Trenddecreasing
Buy 16%Sell 84%

Short-term (last 6 hours): higher lows and higher highs forming from the $0.000078 bottom, with price recovering to $0.000207. Medium-term (18-hour view): decisively downtrend from the $0.000580 ATH, with price still ~64% below peak. The overall structure is a post-pump distribution phase with a short-term relief bounce.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.000182–$0.000187 (candles 2–3 open/close range)
Major$0.000078 (candle 10 low — the recent swing low)
Resistance
Immediate$0.000209 (candle 1 high)
Major$0.000450–$0.000534 (candles 17–18 open/high zone — the pump peak)

The $0.000163–$0.000165 zone (candles 15–16) served as consolidation support after the initial dump and is now a key pivot. The $0.000078 low from candle 10 is the critical support floor for the current recovery. On the upside, $0.000209 is immediate resistance (current candle high), with the major resistance cluster at $0.000450–$0.000534 representing the original pump zone that would require extraordinary buying pressure to reclaim.

Notable patterns

  • Shooting star / bearish engulfing at ATH (candle 17): open $0.000450, high $0.000534, close $0.000165 — classic distribution signal
  • V-shaped recovery from $0.000078 low (candles 10–14) suggesting short-term buyer interest at lower levels
  • Declining volume on recovery (candles 10→1): volume falling from $8,457 to $2,506 as price rises — bearish divergence
  • 30-day dormancy followed by single-day explosion: 196 holders flat for 30 days, then +550 in one day — coordinated activation pattern
  • Higher lows sequence forming in candles 9→8→7→6→5→4→1 suggesting short-term uptrend structure within broader downtrend

Total holders606
24h Δ+68
7d Δ+68
30d Δ+68
Accelerating Growth
Yes

Correlation with price

Holder growth is entirely concentrated in the 24-hour window coinciding with the price pump event. The historical data shows exactly 196 holders with zero change for all 30 prior days (April 17 – May 15), then a sudden surge to 746 on May 16 (+550, +74%) coinciding with the price spike to $0.000580. Current holder count of 606 is down from the May 16 peak of 746, suggesting ~140 holders have already exited. The -8 holder change in the last hour confirms ongoing attrition. Holder growth is therefore a lagging indicator of the pump event rather than organic accumulation.

The holder trend is highly unusual: 30 days of complete stasis at 196 holders followed by an explosive single-day gain of +550 holders (+74%) on May 16. This pattern is consistent with a coordinated token launch or relaunch event. The current 606 holders (down from 746 peak) suggests the initial wave of buyers is already thinning. The -8 holders in the last hour is a warning sign that the holder base is contracting as early participants exit. Growth acceleration is technically true (from 0% for 30 days to +74% in one day) but is event-driven rather than organic. Distribution breakdown: 140 whales, 57 sharks, 184 dolphins, 128 fish, 88 octopus — a relatively broad distribution by tier but dominated by whale-class holders.

Top 10 hold31.27%
Top 100 hold86.31%
Sentiment
Distributing

Notable holders

EH5FYz1qcRhrs6VivDNfYjaxuN76HZc1oNWK6AHW43KL

DEX Liquidity Pool (PumpSwap pair address — matches the trading pair address listed in price data)

9.71%

wedtmMBQXNhg9DUk1TbRiKQH7EudH95BWVAWuFWHZ3C

Project Treasury or Team Wallet (round balance of exactly 49,999,939.999996 — near-perfect 5% allocation suggests intentional allocation)

5.00%

4iD83DYUbfcLx1A6V1D5uHbpZdQaZnYYXHywq6NNG4rs

Individual Whale

2.95%

6uw63EB8yWT99Naqh8L1Lmwi1TwFua8Sozk8dWDYU9rd

Individual Whale

2.30%

Et2Q2HFRSGCMEL5TcjtRNbZ9bFSNzutkA399tNh1VjzF

Individual Whale

2.27%

The top 10 holders control 31.27% of supply and the top 100 control 86.31% — a highly concentrated distribution. Holder #1 (EH5FYz1qcRhrs6VivDNfYjaxuN76HZc1oNWK6AHW43KL, 9.71%) matches the PumpSwap trading pair address, representing locked liquidity rather than a selling threat. Holder #2 (wedtmMBQXNhg9DUk1TbRiKQH7EudH95BWVAWuFWHZ3C, 5.00%) holds a suspiciously round 50M token balance suggesting a pre-allocated team or treasury wallet. Holders 3–20 each hold 1.22%–2.95%, forming a cluster of individual whales. The 86.31% top-100 concentration means the remaining ~506 holders share only 13.69% of supply. Combined with the 83.9% sell pressure and sniper distribution data, overall whale sentiment is distributing.

Liquidity$36,880
Depth
Shallow
Slippage risk
high

Volume (24h)

Buy$231,430
Sell$1,210,000
Net flow
outflow

Traders (24h)

Unique buyers667
Unique sellers3,633

Market health is critically poor. Total liquidity of $36.88K against a $198K FDV represents a liquidity-to-FDV ratio of only ~18.6%, meaning any moderate sell order will cause severe slippage. The 24h volume imbalance is extreme: $1.21M in sells vs $231K in buys (83.9% sell pressure), with 3,633 unique sellers vs only 667 unique buyers — a 5.4:1 seller-to-buyer ratio. Total 24h transactions: 17,160 (13,978 sells vs 3,182 buys). Net flow is strongly outflow. The token is trading on PumpSwap (pair EH5FYz1qcRhrs6VivDNfYjaxuN76HZc1oNWK6AHW43KL), a decentralized venue with no order book depth. A $10K sell order against $36.88K liquidity would likely move price 20–30%+. This is a high-slippage, low-liquidity environment unsuitable for large position entries or exits.

Supply & Valuation

Total supply999,994,090.27
FDV$206,759.56

Authorities

Mint authority
Active
Freeze authority
Active

Total supply is ~1 billion tokens (999,994,090.27), a standard meme token supply. FDV is $206,759.56 at current price. The metadata lists update authority as 'unknown' and the contract as unverified, making it impossible to confirm whether mint or freeze authorities have been renounced. The token is marked as 'mutable: false' which is a mild positive (metadata cannot be changed), but without on-chain authority verification, rug risk from authorities cannot be assessed. The token has no description, no social links, and no verified contract — all red flags for transparency. The '.pump' suffix in the mint address (FjgXCL8ov5BkvZGoY2QthvhUmx82mVkSmhni6nCJpump) confirms this was launched via Pump.fun, where mint authority is typically burned upon bonding curve graduation, but this cannot be confirmed from the data provided. Investors should verify authority status independently before committing capital.

Volatility
high

Price ranged from $0.0000123 to $0.000580 within a single hour (candle 18) — a 47x intra-candle range. 24h change of +141.97% with a 6h change of +94.3% demonstrates extreme volatility. The token can lose 50%+ of value in a single hour as demonstrated by candle 17.

Liquidity
high

Total liquidity of only $36.88K against $198K FDV. Any sell order above ~$5K will experience significant slippage. The 24h sell volume of $1.21M has already severely stressed the liquidity pool.

Concentration
high

Top 10 holders control 31.27% of supply; top 100 control 86.31%. Excluding the liquidity pool (9.71%), a single suspected team wallet holds 5.00%. The remaining top holders each control 1.22%–2.95%, creating multiple potential dump vectors.

SniperDump
high

All 20 tracked snipers are in realized profit (54.6%–558.5% PnL). Most have already sold (18/20 show sell activity, only 2 retain meaningful balances). While sniper distribution appears largely complete, the pattern confirms this token attracted coordinated early buyers who have profited at the expense of later entrants.

Authority
medium

Update authority is listed as 'unknown' and the contract is unverified. The '.pump' suffix suggests Pump.fun origin where mint authority is typically burned, but this cannot be confirmed. Mutable is set to false (positive). Risk is medium rather than high due to the Pump.fun origin suggesting standard authority handling, but verification is not possible from available data.

Key risks

  • Extreme sell pressure (83.9% of volume) with 5.4:1 seller-to-buyer ratio indicating active distribution
  • Ultra-thin liquidity ($36.88K) creating severe slippage and exit risk for any position above $1–2K
  • All snipers in profit with high sell-through rate — coordinated early buyer advantage confirmed
  • Token was dormant for 30 days before sudden activation — suggests coordinated pump rather than organic growth
  • No verified contract, no social links, no description — near-zero transparency
  • Holder count already declining (-8 in last hour, down from 746 peak to 606 current)
  • Top 100 holders control 86.31% of supply — extreme concentration

Mitigating factors

  • Pump.fun origin typically involves mint authority burn upon graduation, reducing rug risk
  • Mutable: false prevents metadata manipulation
  • Liquidity pool (9.71% of supply) is locked in the trading pair, not a selling threat
  • Price is still +141.97% on 24h, suggesting some genuine market interest
  • Broad holder tier distribution (whales/sharks/dolphins/fish/octopus) suggests not purely whale-controlled
Suitable for: Suitable only for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who understand meme token dynamics and can afford to lose 100% of invested capital. Not suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone investing more than a negligible portion of their portfolio. Position sizing should be minimal given the liquidity constraints — exits above $5K face severe slippage.

TolyBot (TOLYBOT) is a high-risk, newly launched Solana meme token that experienced a violent pump-and-dump event on May 16–17, 2026. The token is currently in a post-pump distribution phase with overwhelming sell pressure, thin liquidity, and all early buyers (snipers) in profit. The investment case is purely speculative — there is no verified utility, no social presence, and no fundamental value proposition evident from the data. Any investment is a bet on continued speculative momentum against a strong headwind of distribution.

Bull case (low)

If TOLYBOT gains viral traction on social media, attracts a community narrative around the 'TolyBot' brand (potentially tied to Toly/Anatoly Yakovenko of Solana), or benefits from a broader Solana meme coin rally, new buyer inflow could overwhelm the current sell pressure. A recovery toward the $0.000300–$0.000450 range is possible if daily buy volume exceeds $500K+ consistently.

  • Viral social media campaign or influencer endorsement
  • Association with Solana ecosystem narrative (Toly branding)
  • Broader Solana meme coin market rally lifting all boats
  • New exchange listing increasing accessibility and volume

Base case

No analysis available for this section yet — refresh in a moment.

—

Bear case (high)

Continued distribution by whales and remaining snipers drives price back toward the $0.000078–$0.000099 support zone or lower. Liquidity pool drains as sellers overwhelm buyers, potentially causing a liquidity crisis. Holder count continues declining as early buyers exit, leaving only bag-holders. Price could revisit the sub-$0.000050 range seen at token launch.

  • 83.9% sell pressure continues or intensifies as more holders exit
  • Whale wallets (holders 2–20) begin distributing their 1.22%–5.00% positions
  • No new catalysts emerge to attract fresh buyer interest
  • Thin liquidity amplifies downward price moves disproportionately
  • Token's 30-day dormancy pattern suggests lack of genuine community or utility

GeneratedMay 17, 02:20 PM
Data freshnessPrice and OHLC data current as of candle close 2026-05-17T14:00:00Z. Holder metrics reflect snapshot at time of data pull. Sniper data covers first 1,000 blocks post-launch.
Model confidence
low

Data sources

  • On-chain token metadata (Mint: FjgXCL8ov5BkvZGoY2QthvhUmx82mVkSmhni6nCJpump)
  • PumpSwap DEX price feed and OHLC candles (pair EH5FYz1qcRhrs6VivDNfYjaxuN76HZc1oNWK6AHW43KL)
  • 24h trading analytics (buy/sell volume, unique wallets, transaction counts)
  • Holder metrics and distribution data (606 total holders, top 20 balances)
  • Historical holder time series (30-day daily snapshots)
  • Sniper analysis (20 snipers, first 1,000 blocks)
  • Top 20 holder wallet addresses and balances

Limitations

  • Mint and freeze authority status are unknown — rug risk from authorities cannot be fully assessed
  • Sniper sniped amounts (USD) are unknown, preventing precise sniper concentration % calculation
  • No social media data, community metrics, or developer information available
  • Update authority is listed as unknown — cannot verify contract security
  • Historical holder data only available at daily granularity; intra-day holder dynamics are estimated
  • 24h price change shown as 0% in analytics section conflicts with 141.97% in price section — likely a data normalization artifact; the 141.97% figure from the price feed is used as primary
  • Token has no description or verified utility — fundamental analysis is not possible
  • FDV figures differ slightly between metadata ($206,759.56) and analytics ($198,360) — likely due to price feed timing differences

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, particularly newly launched meme tokens, carry extreme risk including total loss of capital. Past price performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research (DYOR) and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply999,994,090.27

Key Risks

•Extreme sell pressure (83.9% of volume) with 5.4:1 seller-to-buyer ratio indicating active distribution
•Ultra-thin liquidity ($36.88K) creating severe slippage and exit risk for any position above $1–2K
•All snipers in profit with high sell-through rate — coordinated early buyer advantage confirmed
•Token was dormant for 30 days before sudden activation — suggests coordinated pump rather than organic growth

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

medium confidence
High risk

All 20 tracked snipers are in realized profit, with a median realized PnL of approximately 150%+ and the top performer (DrnuP46...) at 558.5%. The highest-volume sniper exits include HpBQZoprd ($5,970 sold, +192.8% PnL), AgmLJBMDC ($4,224 sold, +54.6% PnL), CodMUWbYz ($1,679 sold, +107.7% PnL), and 912iwi9r ($1,374 sold, +96.3% PnL). The sell-through rate is high — most snipers have already exited or are actively exiting. Only 2 of 20 snipers show a remaining balance ($78 and $5 respectively), confirming near-complete distribution by early buyers. This is a strong bearish signal: smart money entered early and has largely already exited at profit.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration2.00%
PnL stateMostly In Profit
Sell-through rateHigh
Profit-taking risk
high

20 snipers identified in first 1,000 blocks; exact supply sniped unknown but sell activity documented across 18 of 20 snipers with realized PnL ranging from 54.6% to 558.5%

Bearish — early buyers (snipers) are overwhelmingly in profit and have demonstrated high sell-through behavior. The aggregate sniper sell activity aligns with the 83.9% sell pressure observed in 24h trading analytics. Early buyer distribution appears largely complete, removing a key source of future sell pressure but also removing the 'smart money holding' signal.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the price prediction for TolyBot (TOLYBOT)?

Price is currently at ~$0.000207, recovering from the post-launch dump but facing massive sell-side overhang. With 83.9% sell pressure, 13,978 sell transactions vs 3,182 buys, and all snipers in profit with incentive to exit, the short-term path of least resistance is downward. The 5m (+7.4%) and 1h (+11.2%) upticks may be a dead-cat bounce. Immediate support is the recent consolidation zone around $0.000163–$0.000165; a break below risks revisiting the $0.000099–$0.000108 range. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.000099 to $0.000250.

Is TOLYBOT a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 9.1/100. Suitable only for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who understand meme token dynamics and can afford to lose 100% of invested capital. Not suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone investing more than a negligible portion of their portfolio. Position sizing should be minimal given the liquidity constraints — exits above $5K face severe slippage.

How are TOLYBOT holders trending?

TolyBot currently has 606 holders and is growing (24h: 68, 7d: 68, 30d: 68). The holder trend is highly unusual: 30 days of complete stasis at 196 holders followed by an explosive single-day gain of +550 holders (+74%) on May 16. This pattern is consistent with a coordinated token launch or relaunch event. The current 606 holders (down from 746 peak) suggests the initial wave of buyers is already thinning. The -8 holders in the last hour is a warning sign that the holder base is contracting as early participants exit. Growth acceleration is technically true (from 0% for 30 days to +74% in one day) but is event-driven rather than organic. Distribution breakdown: 140 whales, 57 sharks, 184 dolphins, 128 fish, 88 octopus — a relatively broad distribution by tier but dominated by whale-class holders.

What does sniper activity look like for TOLYBOT?

Snipers hold roughly 2.00% of supply with PnL state "mostly_in_profit" and sell-through rate "high". Profit-taking risk: high.

What are the key risks of holding TOLYBOT?

Extreme sell pressure (83.9% of volume) with 5.4:1 seller-to-buyer ratio indicating active distribution • Ultra-thin liquidity ($36.88K) creating severe slippage and exit risk for any position above $1–2K • All snipers in profit with high sell-through rate — coordinated early buyer advantage confirmed

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