Zcash Price Today & AI Analysis

ZECSolanaAnalysis as of Apr 30, 2026

$1,159.7

-5.20% 24h

Contract

Live

A7bdiYdS5GjqGFtxf17ppRHtDKPkkRqbKtR27dxvQXaS

Chain

Solana

Holders

136,175

Market cap

$117,152,941

At a $500M market cap, $ZEC would be $4,949.52 (4.27x from today’s price)

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Zcash: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-04-30 12:49 UTC

Holder addresses

12,299

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

$2,690,851.54

How concentrated is Zcash ownership?: Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 12,299 addresses (2026-04-30 12:49 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling Zcash?: This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is Zcash liquidity falling?: As of 2026-04-30 12:49 UTC, reported liquidity was $2,690,851.54. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.

Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-04-30 12:49 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

Report snapshot

as of Apr 30, 12:49 PM UTC

FDV

$22,764,060

Liquidity

$2,690,851.54

Holders

12,299

Snipers

Not available

Risk

High

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1h chart read; Support, resistance, Fibonacci and RSI divergence are drawn on the chart once it loads.

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AI Executive Summary

Risk

High

Sentiment

Neutral

This token is a Solana-native representation of Zcash (ZEC), trading at ~$334.72 with a fully diluted valuation of ~$22.76M and a circulating supply of ~68,009 tokens. The token trades on Orca Whirlpool with $2.69M in liquidity. While price action over the past 24 hours has been mildly bullish (+0.65%), the holder base has been in severe decline — down 35% over 7 days and 41% over 30 days — raising significant red flags about long-term demand. The update authority has NOT been renounced (held by FvULawNPGBbuwYus74ECaQoV1oH9Tk6XPN7VPN51NYds) and the token is mutable, adding meaningful rug/manipulation risk.

Key points

Solana-wrapped/synthetic ZEC representation with only ~68,009 tokens in supply
Severe holder exodus: -41% holders over 30 days, accelerating in recent weeks
Mutable token with non-renounced update authority — elevated centralization risk
Balanced 24h buy/sell pressure (50.7% buy vs 49.3% sell) with $2.69M liquidity on Orca Whirlpool
Top 10 holders control 29.45% of supply; top 100 control 68.77%

AI Price Analysis

neutral

Short term · 24–72 hours

neutral

Price has been grinding higher from a 24h low near $318 to the current ~$334.72, forming a series of higher lows over the past 12 hours. However, the persistent holder decline and moderate volume suggest limited conviction. Short-term price is likely to consolidate between $329–$336 unless a catalyst emerges.

Target low

$326.00

Target high

$336.00

Support: $329.19 (candle [8] low), $325.44 (candle [10] low), $318.07 (candle [22] low)
Resistance: $335.11 (candle [5] high), $334.73 (current price / candle [1] high), $331.91 (candle [24] high)

Medium term · 7–30 days

bearish

The accelerating holder decline (-35% in 7 days, -41% in 30 days) is a structurally bearish signal. Unless new demand catalysts emerge — such as broader ZEC market momentum or new integrations — continued holder attrition is likely to weigh on price. The mutable token and non-renounced authority add downside tail risk.

Catalysts

Broader Zcash (ZEC) market rally driving demand for this Solana-native representation
New DEX integrations or yield farming incentives attracting liquidity
Reversal of holder exodus trend
Authority renouncement improving trust

Bullish factors

Mild 24h price appreciation (+0.65%) despite holder decline
Balanced buy/sell pressure (50.7%/49.3%) indicating no panic selling
Reasonable liquidity depth of $2.69M on Orca Whirlpool
5,711 buys vs 5,589 sells in 24h — slight buy-side dominance

Bearish factors

Holder count down 41% over 30 days and accelerating (−6.2% in 24h)
Mutable token with non-renounced update authority (FvULawNPGBbuwYus74ECaQoV1oH9Tk6XPN7VPN51NYds)
Top 100 holders control 68.77% of supply — high concentration risk
No sniper data available, limiting smart money visibility
Unique sellers (313) outnumber unique buyers (263) in 24h

Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to the absence of sniper data, the token's synthetic/wrapped nature making it dependent on external ZEC price dynamics, and the severe holder decline which introduces high uncertainty about future demand.

Token Info

Chain: Solana
Contract: A7bdiY...QXaS
Total Supply: 68,009.13537502

Key Risks

Accelerating holder exodus: -41% in 30 days, -6.2% in 24 hours — structural demand destruction
Non-renounced, mutable update authority enabling potential metadata manipulation or rug
Unknown mint/freeze authority status — potential for supply inflation or account freezing
Top holder (9.26%) represents ~$2.1M in tokens — single-point dump risk

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

Over the 24 hourly candles analyzed (2026-04-29T13:00 to 2026-04-30T12:00), price declined from an open of ~$331.56 (candle [24]) to a low of ~$318.07 (candle [22] low) before recovering strongly to the current ~$334.73. The recovery phase (candles [10]–[1]) shows a clear series of higher lows and higher highs, indicating a short-term uptrend. Candle [11] was a large bearish candle (O:$328.77, L:$324.75, C:$326.01) with the highest volume in the series ($368K), suggesting a capitulation/shakeout event. Subsequent candles recovered, with candle [8] showing a strong bullish body (O:$329.32, C:$333.97) on elevated volume ($143K), consistent with a bull engulfing pattern following the shakeout.

Trend

Short-term

Uptrend

Medium-term

Downtrend

Short-term (last 12 hours) is in a clear uptrend with higher lows and higher highs from the $324.75 bottom. Medium-term (30-day holder data and price context) remains in a downtrend given the persistent holder exodus and the price being below the 30-day implied peak levels.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Neutral

Volume trend

Decreasing

Buy

51%

Sell

49%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$329.19 (candle [8] low)

Major support

$318.07 (candle [22] low — 24h bottom)

Immediate resistance

$334.73 (current price / candle [1] high)

Major resistance

$335.11 (candle [5] high — 24h peak)

The $318–$320 zone represents the strongest support, having held during the deepest intraday selloff. The $334–$335 zone is the key resistance cluster where the current price is testing. A clean break above $335.11 would open the path toward $336–$338. Failure here risks a retest of $329 and potentially $324.

Notable patterns

Bull engulfing pattern on candle [8] following the high-volume shakeout in candle [11]
Higher lows sequence: $324.75 → $325.44 → $329.19 → $330.68 → $330.85 (candles [11]→[10]→[8]→[5]→[4])
Volume climax/capitulation candle [11] with $368K volume — highest in the 24h series
Tapering volume on recovery rally (candles [8] to [1]: $143K → $97K → $51K → $78K → $135K → $82K → $49K) suggesting weakening momentum near resistance
Doji-like candle [13] (O:$326.67, H:$326.85, L:$326.67, C:$326.85) indicating indecision before the next leg up

Liquidity

$2,690,851.54

Depth

Moderate

Slippage risk

Medium

Total liquidity of $2.69M on the Orca Whirlpool pair (GTHKH8s82ZR8GTSFZ1dUu6wfdxhy59wpMShxzG5zjiPm) represents a moderate depth relative to the $22.76M FDV (~11.8% liquidity-to-FDV ratio). This is adequate for small-to-medium trades but larger positions (>$50K) may experience meaningful slippage. The 24h volume of ~$3.08M total ($1.56M buys + $1.52M sell) is healthy relative to liquidity, representing ~114% of liquidity pool size in daily turnover. Net flow is marginally positive (inflow) with 5,711 buy transactions vs 5,589 sell transactions. However, unique sellers (313) outnumber unique buyers (263), suggesting fewer but larger buy orders are driving the slight buy-side dominance — a pattern consistent with whale accumulation or bot activity rather than broad retail demand. The balanced buy/sell pressure (50.7%/49.3%) indicates no extreme directional pressure.

Supply & authorities

Total supply

68,009.13537502

FDV

$22,764,060.08

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

Volatilitymedium
24h price range of ~$318–$335 (~5.3% swing) is moderate. The token tracks real ZEC price, so volatility is partially anchored to the broader ZEC market. However, thin liquidity relative to FDV can amplify moves.
Liquiditymedium
$2.69M liquidity on Orca Whirlpool is moderate. Liquidity-to-FDV ratio of ~11.8% is acceptable but not deep. Large trades (>$50K) risk meaningful slippage. Liquidity concentration in a single pool adds risk.
ConcentrationNot assessed
Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.
Sniper DumpNot assessed
Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.
AuthorityNot assessed
Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

Accelerating holder exodus: -41% in 30 days, -6.2% in 24 hours — structural demand destruction
Non-renounced, mutable update authority enabling potential metadata manipulation or rug
Unknown mint/freeze authority status — potential for supply inflation or account freezing
Top holder (9.26%) represents ~$2.1M in tokens — single-point dump risk
Unique sellers (313) outnumber unique buyers (263) despite net buy-side volume dominance
No sniper data available — early buyer overhang cannot be assessed
Token description is empty and social presence is minimal — low transparency

Mitigating factors

Price has remained stable (~$318–$335) despite severe holder decline, suggesting whale support
Balanced buy/sell pressure (50.7%/49.3%) with no panic selling evident
$2.69M liquidity provides reasonable depth for typical trade sizes
Verified contract status (not flagged as spam)
Token tracks real ZEC price, providing external price anchor
5,711 buy transactions vs 5,589 sell transactions in 24h — slight buy-side transaction dominance

Suitable for

This token is suitable ONLY for high-risk-tolerant, experienced DeFi traders who understand the risks of mutable Solana tokens, synthetic/wrapped assets, and tokens with accelerating holder decline. It is NOT suitable for conservative investors, long-term holders, or those without active position monitoring capabilities. Position sizing should be minimal relative to portfolio.

This Solana-native ZEC representation offers exposure to Zcash price action on-chain, but is burdened by severe structural risks: an accelerating holder exodus (-41% in 30 days), a mutable token with non-renounced authority, and concentrated whale ownership. The price has held relatively stable, suggesting whale support, but the fundamental demand picture is deteriorating rapidly. The risk/reward is unfavorable for most investors.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

Broader ZEC market rally drives renewed demand for this Solana-native representation. Whales accumulate aggressively, halting the holder decline. Authority is renounced, improving trust. New DeFi integrations (yield farming, lending) attract liquidity and new holders.

Zcash (ZEC) experiences a significant market rally (e.g., privacy coin narrative resurgence)
Update authority renounces control, reducing rug risk perception
New Solana DeFi protocol integrates this token for yield or collateral
Holder decline reverses and new retail demand enters

Base Case

Price consolidates in the $320–$340 range over the next 1–2 weeks, tracking real ZEC price movements. Holder decline continues at a moderate pace but slows as the remaining base stabilizes around 10,000–11,000 holders. No authority exploit occurs. Volume remains moderate with balanced buy/sell pressure.

Real ZEC price remains stable or mildly bullish
No authority exploit or malicious action by update authority
Whale holders (top 10) do not aggressively distribute
Liquidity remains at or above $2M on Orca Whirlpool
Holder decline rate slows from -6.2%/day to -1%–2%/day as weak hands have already exited

Bear Case

Medium probability

Holder exodus accelerates further, liquidity providers exit, and the largest whale (9.26%) begins distributing. The mutable authority makes a metadata change or supply manipulation event, triggering a confidence collapse and rapid price decline toward $200 or below.

Continued acceleration of holder decline beyond -6.2%/day
Large whale (ByiAbN9MJhfQKGK5WJrfgko6XS88qqERQVRLWZTsvyTf, 9.26%) begins selling
Update authority exploits mutable status for malicious action
Broader ZEC or crypto market downturn
Liquidity pool withdrawal by major LPs

Analysis details

Generated

Apr 30, 12:49 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-04-30 12:49 UTC

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

Solana on-chain token metadata (mint, authority, supply, decimals)
Orca Whirlpool DEX pair data (GTHKH8s82ZR8GTSFZ1dUu6wfdxhy59wpMShxzG5zjiPm)
Hourly OHLC candle data (24 candles, 2026-04-29T13:00 to 2026-04-30T12:00)
24h trading analytics (volume, buy/sell counts, unique wallets)
Top 20 holder snapshot with balances and percentages
30-day daily historical holder count series
Supply concentration metrics (top 10, top 100)
Holder distribution breakdown (whales, sharks, dolphins, fish, octopus)

Limitations

No sniper/early buyer data available — smart money analysis is severely limited
Mint authority and freeze authority status not explicitly provided — inferred as unknown
No social media metrics, community data, or developer activity data available
Token description is empty — no whitepaper or use-case documentation to assess
Only 24 hourly candles provided — insufficient for medium/long-term technical analysis
Holder classification (whale/shark/dolphin etc.) thresholds not defined in source data
This is a synthetic/wrapped ZEC representation — its price is dependent on external ZEC market dynamics not fully captured in this dataset
Update authority wallet (FvULawNPGBbuwYus74ECaQoV1oH9Tk6XPN7VPN51NYds) not further identified — could be a multisig, team wallet, or protocol contract

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does NOT constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments carry substantial risk of loss. The accelerating holder decline, mutable token status, and non-renounced authority represent material risks. Always conduct your own due diligence before making any investment decisions. Past price performance is not indicative of future results.

Frequently Asked Questions

How concentrated is Zcash ownership?

Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 12,299 addresses (2026-04-30 12:49 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.

Are large holders selling Zcash?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is Zcash liquidity falling?

As of 2026-04-30 12:49 UTC, reported liquidity was $2,690,851.54. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.

What is the short-term price outlook for Zcash (ZEC)?

Is ZEC a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as very high with a risk score of 8.2/100. This token is suitable ONLY for high-risk-tolerant, experienced DeFi traders who understand the risks of mutable Solana tokens, synthetic/wrapped assets, and tokens with accelerating holder decline. It is NOT suitable for conservative investors, long-term holders, or those without active position monitoring capabilities. Position sizing should be minimal relative to portfolio.

What are the key risks of holding ZEC?

Accelerating holder exodus: -41% in 30 days, -6.2% in 24 hours — structural demand destruction • Non-renounced, mutable update authority enabling potential metadata manipulation or rug • Unknown mint/freeze authority status — potential for supply inflation or account freezing