SAM MOGMAN

SAM MOGMAN Price Today & AI Analysis

SAM MOGMAN
Solana•
AI Analysis
Analysis as of May 2, 2026

EvmirLpR7d1bLKFAPmndAimac5jYGwwg5Ee31tc7baiN

$0.052680

+2.32%

FDV $2,678

LiveContract:EvmirLpR7d1bLKFAPmndAimac5jYGwwg5Ee31tc7baiNChain:SolanaHolders:87Market cap:$2,678

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Ask Unhosted AI about SAM MOGMAN

What's Twitter saying?

Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweets

Whale activity

Who is accumulating or distributing

What are the risks?

Red flags, security, concentration

Should I buy?

Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

Report snapshotas of May 2, 10:19 PM
FDV

$53,902

Liquidity

$17,535

Holders

386

Snipers

13

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

SAM MOGMAN (SAM MOGMAN) is an extremely new Solana meme token launched on PumpSwap with mint address EvmirLpR7d1bLKFAPmndAimac5jYGwwg5Ee31tc7baiN. The token has only existed for roughly 24 hours based on holder data (386 holders all acquired within the last 24h), carries a fully diluted valuation of ~$53.9K, and total liquidity of only $17.54K. While the 24h price change is +107.87%, the hourly data shows a sharp reversal with sell pressure dominating at 84.9% of volume. This is a high-risk, ultra-early-stage speculative token with no verified contract, no description, and no established social presence.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Bearish
Explosive 24h launch: 386 holders acquired in under 24 hours, all via swap
Extreme sell pressure: 84.9% of 24h volume is sells ($153.6K sell vs $27.34K buy)
Very low liquidity: only $17.54K total, creating high slippage risk for any meaningful position
Top holder (PumpSwap LP pair address) controls 17.05% of supply
13 snipers active at launch, majority in profit — elevated dump risk

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term

bearish
1–24 hours

The most recent hourly candle (22:00 UTC) shows a sharp rejection from the $0.0000591 high, closing at $0.0000539 — a ~8.8% drop from the high. The 1h price change is -31.26%, and sell pressure is 84.9% of volume. With only $17.54K liquidity and 958 unique sellers vs 270 buyers in 24h, the short-term outlook is bearish. The 5m uptick of +6.43% may be a brief relief bounce.

Target low$0.0000175
Target high$0.0000596
Support: $0.0000437 (candle [1] low), $0.0000175 (candle [3] absolute low)
Resistance: $0.0000596 (candle [2] high / recent peak), $0.0000591 (candle [1] open / candle [3] high zone)

Medium term

bearish
3–14 days

Without a verified contract, established community, or utility, medium-term price sustainability is highly questionable. The token launched with a burst of activity but faces structural sell pressure from snipers in profit and a heavily concentrated holder base. Unless new catalysts emerge (viral social moment, influencer attention), price is likely to drift lower as early buyers exit.

Catalysts
  • Viral social media moment or influencer promotion
  • New exchange listing or aggregator visibility
  • Broader Solana meme coin market rally
  • Sniper profit-taking exhaustion leading to supply absorption

Bullish factors

  • 107.87% 24h price gain demonstrates initial strong demand
  • 5m price up +6.43% suggesting possible short-term bounce
  • Only 386 holders — very early stage with potential for viral growth
  • Majority of snipers (8 of 13 with known PnL) are in profit, meaning token has appreciated since launch

Bearish factors

  • 84.9% sell pressure ($153.6K sells vs $27.34K buys) in 24h
  • 1h price down -31.26% — sharp reversal underway
  • Only $17.54K total liquidity — any sell creates massive slippage
  • No verified contract, no description, no established utility
  • Top 10 holders control 39.36% of supply — concentrated
  • Token is less than 24 hours old with no track record
  • Snipers in profit (e.g., sniper [4] at +166.7%) represent significant overhead supply
Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to the token being less than 24 hours old, having only 3 hourly OHLC candles available, extremely thin liquidity ($17.54K), no verified contract, no description or utility, and dominant sell pressure. Price action is highly volatile and unpredictable at this stage.

Deep Analysis

Only 3 hourly candles are available. Candle [3] (20:00 UTC): O=$0.0000349, H=$0.0000541, L=$0.0000175, C=$0.0000510 — a large bullish candle with a long lower wick indicating a volatile launch with strong recovery from lows. Candle [2] (21:00 UTC): O=$0.0000555, H=$0.0000596, L=$0.0000555, C=$0.0000596 — a strong bullish candle, near-full body, continuation of uptrend. Candle [3] (22:00 UTC): O=$0.0000591, H=$0.0000591, L=$0.0000437, C=$0.0000539 — a bearish candle with the open equal to the high (shooting star / bearish engulfing top), closing well below open. This is a classic topping signal after the rapid pump.

Trend

Short-term
downtrend
Medium-term
sideways

Momentum

Status
overbought

Volume

Trenddecreasing
Buy 15%Sell 85%

The 3-candle sequence shows a rapid pump followed by a sharp bearish reversal candle. Short-term trend has flipped to downtrend as the most recent candle closed significantly below its open. Medium-term is sideways/unknown given insufficient data.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.0000437 (candle [1] low)
Major$0.0000175 (candle [3] absolute low — launch floor)
Resistance
Immediate$0.0000591 (candle [1] open = candle [2] close area)
Major$0.0000596 (candle [2] all-time high)

The $0.0000437 level is the nearest support from the most recent candle's low. A break below this opens a path to the launch-day low of $0.0000175. Resistance sits at $0.0000591–$0.0000596, the recent peak zone. Given the shooting-star reversal pattern, retesting resistance in the short term is unlikely without a significant catalyst.

Notable patterns

  • Shooting star / bearish reversal candle at the top (candle [1]: open = high, close well below)
  • Volume climax at peak followed by 95%+ volume collapse — classic pump exhaustion
  • Long lower wick on launch candle (candle [3]) indicating strong initial volatility and recovery from extreme lows
  • No higher highs established — only 3 candles, insufficient for trend confirmation

Total holders386
24h Δ+100
7d Δ+100
30d Δ+100
Accelerating Growth
Yes

Correlation with price

The explosive holder growth (0 to 386 in under 24 hours) correlates directly with the 107.87% price pump. However, the historical holder data shows the token had only 1–7 holders as recently as April 29–May 1, suggesting this is a brand-new launch event. The rapid holder accumulation coincides with the price spike, but the dominant sell pressure (84.9%) suggests many of these new holders are already selling rather than holding.

The token launched with essentially zero holders prior to May 2, 2026. The historical series shows 0 holders for most of April, a brief 7-holder spike on April 29 (possibly a test or pre-launch), then 1–2 holders on April 30–May 1, and then an explosive jump to 386 holders within the last 24 hours. Growth is technically 100% across all timeframes as the token is brand new. The +2 holders in the last hour (+0.52%) suggests the initial frenzy is slowing. Acquisition method is almost entirely via swap (381/386), consistent with a PumpSwap launch. The distribution shows 136 whales and 122 dolphins, indicating many early buyers took meaningful positions.

Top 10 hold39.36%
Top 100 hold89.90%
Sentiment
Mixed

Notable holders

31HHHd2f81LcijsGLmGcRM7ZezZEomb5oBQzrs4wLcM

DEX liquidity pool (PumpSwap pair address — matches the trading pair address listed in price data)

17.05%

2pPiJAi1QWs6oCs2kU9dPSb7dCfNDeX7iadkRg5bJ1WA

Individual whale / early buyer

3.31%

3Evds187U2hXWZ2pWSnPAhKMn6DKnDuGS32PgANK49Ps

Individual whale / early buyer

3.27%

FqPhkL96b2pRQVEDZ34Q2iNJdpVtA1dzCehdZPenvbs1

Individual whale / early buyer

2.67%

3ucHSMCFV9Dq95jq16d6hV21s63EX148Qb6PeeAhbq8j

Individual whale / early buyer

2.57%

The top holder at 17.05% is address 31HHHd2f81LcijsG5LmGcRM7ZezZEomb5oBQzrs4wLcM, which matches the PumpSwap trading pair address listed in the price data — this is the DEX liquidity pool, not a human whale. Excluding the LP, the next 9 holders control ~22.31% of supply collectively (positions ranging from 1.75% to 3.31%). The top 10 combined hold 39.36% and top 100 hold 89.9%, indicating very concentrated distribution. With 136 classified as 'whales' out of 386 total holders, a large proportion of the holder base holds significant positions. The mixed sentiment reflects that some whales are likely accumulating while others (given 84.9% sell pressure) are distributing.

Liquidity$17,540
Depth
Shallow
Slippage risk
high

Volume (24h)

Buy$27,340
Sell$153,600
Net flow
outflow

Traders (24h)

Unique buyers270
Unique sellers958

Liquidity is critically shallow at only $17.54K on PumpSwap (pair 31HHHd2f81LcijsG5LmGcRM7ZezZEomb5oBQzrs4wLcM). The FDV of $53.9K–$59.13K against $17.54K liquidity means the liquidity-to-FDV ratio is approximately 30–33%, which is low but not atypical for brand-new PumpSwap launches. However, any sell order above a few hundred dollars will cause significant slippage. The 24h net flow is strongly negative: $153.6K in sells vs $27.34K in buys — a 5.6:1 sell-to-buy ratio. Unique sellers (958) vastly outnumber unique buyers (270) at a 3.5:1 ratio. This is a clear outflow market with dominant selling pressure. The total 24h volume of ~$180.9K is 10x the total liquidity, indicating extremely high turnover relative to pool depth — a hallmark of speculative meme token trading.

Supply & Valuation

Total supply999,997,931.10
FDV$53,902.20

Authorities

Mint authority
Active
Freeze authority
Active

Total supply is approximately 1 billion tokens (999,997,931.10). The FDV is $53,902.20 at current price. The update authority is TSLvdd1pWpHVjahSpsvCXUbgwsL3JAcvokwaKt1eokM — this is NOT the system program (11111...) or a known burn address, meaning the metadata update authority has not been renounced. However, the token is marked as 'Mutable: false', which means the metadata itself cannot be changed despite the update authority existing. Mint and freeze authority status are not explicitly provided in the data, so they are marked as unknown. The contract is unverified and there is no description or social links beyond 'moralis'. The combination of unverified contract, unknown mint/freeze authority, and non-renounced update authority (even with immutable metadata) warrants a medium rug risk rating from an authority perspective. The token appears to be a standard PumpSwap meme launch with no stated utility.

Volatility
high

107.87% gain in 24h followed by -31.26% in 1h. Only 3 hourly candles of history. Extreme price swings are expected for a sub-$60K FDV meme token with $17.54K liquidity.

Liquidity
high

Total liquidity of only $17.54K on a single PumpSwap pool. Any position above ~$500 will face severe slippage. Pool could be drained or abandoned at any time.

Concentration
high

Top 10 holders control 39.36% of supply; top 100 control 89.9%. Excluding the LP (17.05%), individual whales hold 2–3% each. A coordinated exit by top holders would collapse the price.

SniperDump
high

13 snipers identified in first 1000 blocks. 8 of 13 are in profit (up to +166.7%). The largest sniper already sold $2,189. Several profitable snipers still hold positions, representing significant overhead supply ready to be dumped.

Authority
medium

Update authority (TSLvdd1pWpHVjahSpsvCXUbgwsL3JAcvokwaKt1eokM) is not renounced. Metadata is marked immutable (Mutable: false), limiting metadata manipulation risk. Mint and freeze authority status unknown. Contract unverified.

Key risks

  • Critically shallow liquidity ($17.54K) — high slippage and exit risk
  • Dominant sell pressure: 84.9% of volume is sells, 958 sellers vs 270 buyers
  • Token is less than 24 hours old with no established community, utility, or track record
  • 13 snipers mostly in profit represent significant overhead supply
  • Top 10 holders (excl. LP) control ~22% of supply — concentrated exit risk
  • No verified contract, no description, no clear use case
  • Mint and freeze authority status unknown — potential rug vector
  • Sharp 1h reversal (-31.26%) after pump suggests momentum exhaustion

Mitigating factors

  • Metadata marked as immutable (Mutable: false) — metadata cannot be changed
  • Token launched on PumpSwap — standard Solana meme launchpad with some baseline legitimacy
  • Price has appreciated significantly from launch lows ($0.0000175 to $0.0000539 current)
  • 386 holders acquired organically via swap in under 24h shows genuine initial interest
  • 5m price uptick (+6.43%) suggests some short-term buying interest remains
Suitable for: Suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who understand they may lose 100% of their investment. Absolutely not suitable for conservative investors, those unfamiliar with meme token dynamics, or anyone investing more than they can afford to lose entirely. Position sizing should be minimal ("lottery ticket" sizing only).

SAM MOGMAN is an ultra-early-stage Solana meme token with a sub-$60K FDV, launched within the last 24 hours on PumpSwap. The token exhibits classic meme launch dynamics: explosive initial price action (+107.87%), followed by sharp reversal (-31.26% in 1h) driven by overwhelming sell pressure (84.9%). The investment case is purely speculative — there is no utility, no verified contract, and no established community. The bull case depends entirely on viral momentum; the bear case (most likely) is a continued dump as snipers and early whales exit.

Bull case (low)

Viral social media traction drives a second wave of buyers, absorbing sniper supply and pushing price to new all-time highs above $0.0000596. The token gains listing on aggregators and broader Solana meme coin community attention.

  • Viral social media moment (Twitter/X, Telegram) driving new buyer inflow
  • Broader Solana meme coin market rally lifting all small-cap tokens
  • Sniper supply fully absorbed by new retail buyers
  • Influencer or KOL promotion creating FOMO buying

Base case

Token experiences continued volatility with intermittent pumps and dumps over the next 48–72 hours before settling into low-activity trading. Price stabilizes somewhere between $0.0000175 and $0.0000437 as speculative interest fades. A small core of holders remains but volume and liquidity decline significantly.

  • Sniper selling pressure is gradually absorbed over 24–48 hours
  • No major new catalyst emerges to drive a second pump
  • Liquidity remains thin but pool is not fully drained
  • Token does not get abandoned entirely — some residual community forms

Bear case (high)

Sell pressure continues to dominate as snipers and early whales exit their profitable positions. Liquidity drains, price collapses back toward or below the launch-day low of $0.0000175. Token becomes abandoned with minimal trading activity.

  • 8 of 13 snipers in profit with strong incentive to sell
  • 84.9% sell pressure already dominant in 24h
  • Only $17.54K liquidity — small sells cause outsized price impact
  • No utility or community to sustain long-term holder interest
  • Holder growth slowing (only +2 in last hour)

GeneratedMay 2, 10:19 PM
Data freshnessData reflects on-chain state as of approximately 2026-05-02T22:00 UTC. Price and volume data is current to within the last hour. Holder data reflects the most recent snapshot. OHLC data covers only the last 3 hours of trading.
Model confidence
low

Data sources

  • Moralis on-chain token metadata API
  • PumpSwap DEX trading analytics
  • Hourly OHLC price data (3 candles)
  • Holder distribution and historical holder series
  • Top 20 holder wallet data
  • Sniper analysis (first 1000 blocks, 13 snipers)

Limitations

  • Only 3 hourly OHLC candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis
  • Sniper sniped amounts (USD) are unknown for all 13 snipers — precise sniper concentration % cannot be calculated
  • Mint and freeze authority status not explicitly provided in metadata
  • No social media data or community metrics available beyond 'moralis' reference
  • Token is less than 24 hours old — all metrics are based on an extremely short history
  • Historical holder data shows zeros for most of April, suggesting data gaps or token non-existence prior to May 2
  • No order book depth data available — slippage estimates are approximations based on liquidity pool size

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does NOT constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially ultra-early-stage meme tokens, carry extreme risk of total loss. Always conduct your own research (DYOR) and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. Past price performance is not indicative of future results.

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply999,997,931.10

Key Risks

•Critically shallow liquidity ($17.54K) — high slippage and exit risk
•Dominant sell pressure: 84.9% of volume is sells, 958 sellers vs 270 buyers
•Token is less than 24 hours old with no established community, utility, or track record
•13 snipers mostly in profit represent significant overhead supply

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

medium confidence
High risk

13 snipers were active in the first 1000 blocks. Of the 13, 8 show positive realized PnL (ranging from +16.2% to +166.7%), 3 show negative PnL (-25.2% to -39.3%), and 2 show 0% (likely still holding or no sells recorded). The dominant sniper (sniper [4]) has already sold $2,189 at +166.7% profit, representing the largest known exit. Several other profitable snipers still hold balances (snipers [6], [12], [13]), posing ongoing dump risk. Exact sniped supply amounts are unknown, limiting precise concentration calculation, but the mixed PnL state with majority in profit suggests continued sell pressure from early entrants.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration1.30%
PnL stateMixed
Sell-through rateModerate
Profit-taking risk
high

13 snipers identified in first 1000 blocks; exact balances unknown for most. Sniper [4] (3XSYLa8VqkTV4RxKGG92nQb3gPziFFFEVLCYkEaEtZ5k) sold $2,189 at +166.7% PnL — the largest known exit. Snipers [6], [7], [9] also in significant profit (73.2%, 69.3%, 71.1% respectively).

Mixed-to-bearish. While most snipers are in profit (favorable for them), this means they have strong incentive to sell. The largest sniper has already exited at +166.7%. Several others with 69–73% gains still hold positions, representing overhead supply. Only 3 snipers are at a loss, reducing the 'bag-holder' support base.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the short-term price outlook for SAM MOGMAN (SAM MOGMAN)?

The most recent hourly candle (22:00 UTC) shows a sharp rejection from the $0.0000591 high, closing at $0.0000539 — a ~8.8% drop from the high. The 1h price change is -31.26%, and sell pressure is 84.9% of volume. With only $17.54K liquidity and 958 unique sellers vs 270 buyers in 24h, the short-term outlook is bearish. The 5m uptick of +6.43% may be a brief relief bounce. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.0000175 to $0.0000596.

Is SAM MOGMAN a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 9.1/100. Suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who understand they may lose 100% of their investment. Absolutely not suitable for conservative investors, those unfamiliar with meme token dynamics, or anyone investing more than they can afford to lose entirely. Position sizing should be minimal ("lottery ticket" sizing only).

How are SAM MOGMAN holders trending?

SAM MOGMAN currently has 386 holders and is growing (24h: 100, 7d: 100, 30d: 100). The token launched with essentially zero holders prior to May 2, 2026. The historical series shows 0 holders for most of April, a brief 7-holder spike on April 29 (possibly a test or pre-launch), then 1–2 holders on April 30–May 1, and then an explosive jump to 386 holders within the last 24 hours. Growth is technically 100% across all timeframes as the token is brand new. The +2 holders in the last hour (+0.52%) suggests the initial frenzy is slowing. Acquisition method is almost entirely via swap (381/386), consistent with a PumpSwap launch. The distribution shows 136 whales and 122 dolphins, indicating many early buyers took meaningful positions.

What does sniper activity look like for SAM MOGMAN?

Snipers hold roughly 1.30% of supply with PnL state "mixed" and sell-through rate "moderate". Profit-taking risk: high.

What are the key risks of holding SAM MOGMAN?

Critically shallow liquidity ($17.54K) — high slippage and exit risk • Dominant sell pressure: 84.9% of volume is sells, 958 sellers vs 270 buyers • Token is less than 24 hours old with no established community, utility, or track record

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