OGSON

The Original Son Price Today & AI Analysis

OGSON
Solana
AI Analysis
Analysis as of Jun 17, 2026

EvZ6egJEkVhqN2KJkKLuGqrYZ6rDCkb4Ry7Pvk89pump

$0.051838

FDV $1,837

LiveContract:EvZ6egJEkVhqN2KJkKLuGqrYZ6rDCkb4Ry7Pvk89pumpChain:SolanaHolders:82Market cap:$1,837

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Report snapshotas of Jun 17, 03:17 AM
FDV

$152,076

Liquidity

$43,067

Holders

537

Snipers

0

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

OGSON (The Original Son) is an extremely new PumpSwap-listed Solana memecoin (mint: EvZ6egJEkVhqN2KJkKLuGqrYZ6rDCkb4Ry7Pvk89pump) with a total supply of 1 billion tokens and a fully diluted valuation of ~$129K–$152K. The token sat dormant with only 3 holders for at least 30 days before exploding to 537 holders within the last 24 hours — a +534 holder gain (+99%) in a single day. Price surged ~373% in 24h and ~105% in the last hour alone, driven by a single hourly candle with a massive wick. Liquidity is thin at $43K, the token is unverified, has no social links, no description, and top-holder concentration data is unavailable. This is a very high-risk, ultra-early-stage speculative token.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Neutral
Explosive 373% 24h price surge from near-zero base
Holder count went from 3 to 537 in under 24 hours — entirely new community
Dormant for 30+ days before sudden activation, suggesting coordinated launch or viral trigger
Extremely thin liquidity ($43K) amplifies both upside and downside volatility
No social links, no description, unverified contract — minimal transparency

AI Price Analysis

neutral

Short term

neutral
1–48 hours

The single hourly candle (open $0.0000283, high $0.0001416, close $0.0001293) shows a massive 400%+ intra-hour move with a long upper wick, suggesting initial euphoria and partial profit-taking. Current price ~$0.000152 is above the candle close, indicating continued buying. However, with only $43K liquidity and 1,273 sell transactions vs 1,171 buys in 24h, the token is at risk of a sharp reversal. Short-term direction is highly uncertain — momentum is bullish but fragile.

Target low$0.000027 (candle open / re-test of breakout)
Target high$0.000200 (extension of current momentum)
Support: $0.0001293 (hourly candle close), $0.0000267 (hourly candle low / launch base)
Resistance: $0.0001416 (hourly candle high), $0.000200 (psychological round number extension)

Medium term

bearish
1–4 weeks

Without established community, utility, social presence, or verified contract, sustaining price gains beyond the initial pump is historically very difficult for tokens of this profile. The 30-day dormancy followed by a sudden spike is a classic pump pattern. Medium-term outlook is bearish unless significant organic community development occurs.

Catalysts
  • Emergence of social media presence or influencer promotion
  • Listing on a broader DEX aggregator or CEX
  • Sustained holder growth beyond the initial 24h spike
  • Broader Solana memecoin market rally

Bullish factors

  • 373% 24h price surge with continued upward momentum
  • 534 new holders in 24h shows rapid community formation
  • Near-balanced buy/sell pressure (50.9% buy vs 49.1% sell) suggests genuine two-sided market
  • 734 unique buyers vs 556 unique sellers — more buyers than sellers

Bearish factors

  • Extremely thin liquidity ($43K) — large orders will cause severe slippage
  • No social links, no description, unverified contract
  • 30+ days of dormancy before activation — suspicious launch pattern
  • Top holder concentration data unavailable — unknown distribution risk
  • Single candle with long upper wick signals potential exhaustion
  • More sell transactions (1,273) than buy transactions (1,171) despite higher buy volume
Confidence: low. Only one hourly OHLC candle is available, providing minimal technical history. Holder concentration data is unavailable. The token is less than 24 hours old in its active phase. Price prediction confidence is therefore low.

OGSON call history

Full track record →
Jun 17neutral
24h
7d
30d-98.8%

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Deep Analysis

Only one hourly candle is available (2026-06-17T02:00 UTC): Open $0.0000283, High $0.0001416, Low $0.0000267, Close $0.0001293, Volume $269,136. This is a massive bullish candle with a body spanning ~357% from open to close, and a long upper wick (high is ~9.5% above close), indicating strong buying followed by partial profit-taking before the hour closed. The low is marginally below the open, suggesting the initial dip was quickly bought. Current price ($0.0001521) is above the candle close, indicating post-candle continuation buying.

Trend

Short-term
uptrend
Medium-term
sideways

Momentum

Status
overbought

Volume

Trendincreasing
Buy 51%Sell 49%

Short-term trend is sharply upward based on the single available candle and current price above close. Medium-term trend cannot be determined from one candle; classified as sideways given the 30-day dormancy prior to this event.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.0001293 (hourly candle close)
Major$0.0000267 (hourly candle low — launch base)
Resistance
Immediate$0.0001416 (hourly candle high)
Major$0.000200 (psychological extension level)

The candle low of $0.0000267 represents the absolute floor of the launch event. The candle close of $0.0001293 is the first meaningful support level. The candle high of $0.0001416 is the first resistance. With only one candle, these levels carry limited statistical significance.

Notable patterns

  • Single massive bullish candle with long upper wick — potential exhaustion/shooting star signal
  • Price continuation above candle close suggests residual buying pressure
  • 30-day flat base followed by vertical breakout — classic pump-and-dump pattern risk
  • Volume-to-liquidity ratio of ~6.5x indicates highly speculative, thin-market trading

Total holders537
24h Δ+534
7d Δ+534
30d Δ+534
Accelerating Growth
Yes

Correlation with price

Holder growth and price surge are perfectly correlated — both occurred simultaneously within the last 24 hours after 30+ days of complete stagnation at 3 holders. This suggests the price pump attracted new buyers rather than organic community growth preceding the price move.

The historical holder data shows a flat line of exactly 3 holders from at least 2026-05-18 through 2026-06-16 (30 days of data), with zero net change on every recorded day. Then within the last 24 hours, holders surged from 3 to 537 — a gain of 534 holders (+99% of current base). The 7d and 30d growth figures are identical to the 24h figure, confirming all growth occurred in this single day. Growth is accelerating from zero to maximum velocity, but this is a launch event rather than sustained organic growth. The distribution data shows 0 whales, 0 sharks, 0 dolphins, 0 fish, and 0 octopus — and top10/top100 concentration is reported as 0%, which is likely a data artifact rather than genuine equal distribution.

Top 10 hold0.00%
Top 100 hold0.00%
Sentiment
Mixed

Notable holders

N/A

No top holder data available

0.00%

Top holder data is entirely unavailable for OGSON — the API returned no top 20 holders, and the distribution metrics show 0% concentration for top 10 and top 100, which is almost certainly a data artifact or indexing lag given the token is less than 24 hours old in its active phase. With only 537 holders and 3 original holders who held the token for 30+ days before the pump, there is a significant risk that the original 3 holders control a large portion of supply. The true distribution health is likely very concentrated, but this cannot be confirmed from available data. Sentiment is classified as mixed due to the uncertainty.

Liquidity$43,070
Depth
Shallow
Slippage risk
high

Volume (24h)

Buy$143,890
Sell$138,780
Net flow
inflow

Traders (24h)

Unique buyers734
Unique sellers556

Liquidity is extremely shallow at $43K on PumpSwap (pair: 2woWheeSNUuRWWqEKWWysPmpd95jhy9LXA3U9dsKPDTJ). The 24h trading volume of ~$282K represents a volume-to-liquidity ratio of approximately 6.5x, which is very high and indicates intense speculative activity relative to available depth. Any moderately sized sell order will cause significant price impact. The net flow is slightly positive (buy volume $143.89K vs sell volume $138.78K), and there are more unique buyers (734) than unique sellers (556), suggesting net accumulation pressure in the 24h window. However, sell transaction count (1,273) exceeds buy transaction count (1,171), indicating sellers are transacting more frequently in smaller sizes. Slippage risk is high for any position exceeding a few hundred dollars.

Supply & Valuation

Total supply1,000,000,000 OGSON
FDV$129,300 (trading analytics) / $152,076 (metadata)

Authorities

Mint authority
Active
Freeze authority
Active

OGSON has a fixed total supply of 1 billion tokens with 6 decimals, consistent with standard PumpFun/PumpSwap launch parameters. The update authority is listed as 'unknown' and the token is marked as mutable=false, which is a partial positive signal (immutable metadata reduces certain manipulation vectors). However, mint authority and freeze authority status are not explicitly provided in the available data and cannot be confirmed as renounced. The token is unverified, has no description, and no social links — all red flags for a newly launched token. The FDV discrepancy between $129K (analytics) and $152K (metadata) reflects price movement during data collection. With no confirmed authority renouncements, rug risk from authorities remains unknown and should be treated as elevated.

Volatility
high

373% 24h price surge from a near-zero base, with a single hourly candle showing 400%+ intra-hour move. Extreme volatility is inherent to this token's current phase.

Liquidity
high

Only $43K in total liquidity on PumpSwap. Any position over ~$500 will face significant slippage. A coordinated sell could drain the pool rapidly.

Concentration
high

Top holder data is unavailable. The token had only 3 holders for 30+ days before the pump — those original holders likely control significant supply. True concentration is unknown but presumed high.

SniperDump
medium

No sniper data is available, so sniper dump risk cannot be quantified. The 30-day dormancy before activation reduces the likelihood of typical bot sniping, but the original 3 holders represent an unknown dump risk.

Authority
medium

Mint and freeze authority status are unknown. The token is marked mutable=false which is a partial positive, but without confirmed authority renouncements, the risk cannot be dismissed.

Key risks

  • Original 3 holders may control large supply and could dump at any time
  • Extremely thin liquidity ($43K) makes the token highly susceptible to price manipulation
  • No social presence, no description, unverified contract — minimal accountability
  • 30-day dormancy followed by sudden pump is a classic coordinated pump-and-dump pattern
  • Top holder concentration data unavailable — true distribution unknown
  • Single candle technical history provides no reliable basis for price prediction
  • Mint/freeze authority status unconfirmed

Mitigating factors

  • Token metadata is marked mutable=false, reducing metadata manipulation risk
  • Near-balanced buy/sell pressure (50.9%/49.1%) suggests some genuine two-sided market activity
  • 534 new holders in 24h shows rapid community formation, not just a single buyer
  • More unique buyers (734) than unique sellers (556) in 24h
  • PumpSwap listing provides some baseline of DEX accessibility
Suitable for: Suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who can afford to lose 100% of their investment. This token exhibits multiple hallmarks of a high-risk memecoin launch: extreme volatility, thin liquidity, unknown authority status, no social presence, and a suspicious dormancy-then-pump pattern. Not suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep familiarity with Solana memecoin dynamics.

OGSON is a pure speculative play on memecoin momentum with no fundamental value proposition. The investment case rests entirely on whether the initial pump can attract sustained community interest and liquidity. The risk/reward is extremely asymmetric — potential for further short-term gains exists, but the probability of a rapid reversal to near-zero is high given the token's profile.

Bull case (low)

Viral momentum continues: the token attracts social media attention, influencer promotion, or broader memecoin market tailwinds, driving holder count into the thousands and liquidity above $500K. Early buyers see 5–10x returns from current levels.

  • Organic viral spread on Crypto Twitter/Telegram
  • Broader Solana memecoin market rally
  • Sustained holder growth beyond initial 24h spike
  • Liquidity deepening through additional LP provision

Base case

Token experiences a partial correction (30–60% from current price) as initial excitement fades, stabilizes at a new floor with a small but active community of ~500–1000 holders, and trades sideways with occasional volatility spikes. Most participants break even or take small losses.

  • Some organic community forms around the token
  • Original holders take partial profits rather than full dumps
  • Liquidity remains above $20K to sustain basic trading
  • No major negative catalyst (rug, exploit, or mass exodus)

Bear case (high)

Classic pump-and-dump: the original 3 holders (who held for 30+ days) sell into the pump, liquidity drains, and the price collapses back toward the pre-pump level of ~$0.0000267 or lower. New 24h buyers suffer 80–95% losses.

  • Original holders dumping accumulated supply into new buyers
  • No social presence or utility to sustain interest
  • Thin liquidity amplifying sell pressure
  • Typical memecoin lifecycle: pump → dump → abandonment

GeneratedJun 17, 03:17 AM
Data freshnessData reflects on-chain state as of approximately 2026-06-17T02:00–03:00 UTC. The token is less than 24 hours old in its active trading phase.
Model confidence
low

Data sources

  • Solana on-chain metadata (mint, supply, decimals, mutability)
  • PumpSwap DEX trading analytics (volume, liquidity, buy/sell data)
  • OHLC price candles (hourly, 1 candle available)
  • Historical holder metrics (30-day daily series)
  • Holder acquisition and distribution data
  • Sniper analysis endpoint (returned no data)

Limitations

  • Only one hourly OHLC candle available — technical analysis is severely limited
  • Top holder data (top 20) is unavailable — concentration risk cannot be properly assessed
  • Sniper analysis data is unavailable — early buyer behavior unknown
  • Mint and freeze authority status are unconfirmed
  • Update authority listed as 'unknown' — cannot verify renouncement
  • Supply concentration metrics (top10/top100 = 0%) appear to be data artifacts, not genuine equal distribution
  • Token is less than 24 hours old in active phase — all metrics are extremely preliminary
  • No social links or project description available for qualitative assessment

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does NOT constitute financial advice. OGSON is an extremely high-risk speculative asset. The analyst has no position in this token. Past price performance is not indicative of future results. Investing in newly launched memecoins carries a very high risk of total loss of capital. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply1,000,000,000 OGSON

Key Risks

Original 3 holders may control large supply and could dump at any time
Extremely thin liquidity ($43K) makes the token highly susceptible to price manipulation
No social presence, no description, unverified contract — minimal accountability
30-day dormancy followed by sudden pump is a classic coordinated pump-and-dump pattern

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

low confidence
Low risk

No sniper analysis data is available for OGSON. The token's 30-day dormancy (only 3 holders) followed by a sudden 24h explosion to 537 holders is itself a notable signal. The acquisition method shows 535 of 537 holders acquired via swap, and only 2 via transfer, suggesting organic DEX buying rather than airdrop farming. However, without sniper data, it is impossible to assess early-buyer concentration or profit-taking risk from insiders.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration0.00%
PnL stateUnknown
Sell-through rateUnknown
Profit-taking risk
low

No sniper data available — endpoint returned no results.

Unknown — no sniper data available. The dormancy pattern and sudden activation suggest possible coordinated promotion, but this cannot be confirmed from available data.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the short-term price outlook for The Original Son (OGSON)?

The single hourly candle (open $0.0000283, high $0.0001416, close $0.0001293) shows a massive 400%+ intra-hour move with a long upper wick, suggesting initial euphoria and partial profit-taking. Current price ~$0.000152 is above the candle close, indicating continued buying. However, with only $43K liquidity and 1,273 sell transactions vs 1,171 buys in 24h, the token is at risk of a sharp reversal. Short-term direction is highly uncertain — momentum is bullish but fragile. Short-term outlook is neutral (1–48 hours), with a target range of $0.000027 (candle open / re-test of breakout) to $0.000200 (extension of current momentum).

Is OGSON a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 9.1/100. Suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who can afford to lose 100% of their investment. This token exhibits multiple hallmarks of a high-risk memecoin launch: extreme volatility, thin liquidity, unknown authority status, no social presence, and a suspicious dormancy-then-pump pattern. Not suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep familiarity with Solana memecoin dynamics.

How are OGSON holders trending?

The Original Son currently has 537 holders and is growing (24h: 534, 7d: 534, 30d: 534). The historical holder data shows a flat line of exactly 3 holders from at least 2026-05-18 through 2026-06-16 (30 days of data), with zero net change on every recorded day. Then within the last 24 hours, holders surged from 3 to 537 — a gain of 534 holders (+99% of current base). The 7d and 30d growth figures are identical to the 24h figure, confirming all growth occurred in this single day. Growth is accelerating from zero to maximum velocity, but this is a launch event rather than sustained organic growth. The distribution data shows 0 whales, 0 sharks, 0 dolphins, 0 fish, and 0 octopus — and top10/top100 concentration is reported as 0%, which is likely a data artifact rather than genuine equal distribution.

What does sniper activity look like for OGSON?

Snipers hold roughly 0.00% of supply with PnL state "unknown" and sell-through rate "unknown". Profit-taking risk: low.

What are the key risks of holding OGSON?

Original 3 holders may control large supply and could dump at any time • Extremely thin liquidity ($43K) makes the token highly susceptible to price manipulation • No social presence, no description, unverified contract — minimal accountability

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