DOGE-1

DOGE-1 Satellite Price Prediction 2026

DOGE-1
Solana
AI Analysis
Analysis as of Jul 28, 2026

DpBzjtgGLF7QA9Ug3eUVGbnqa6j3jvYBn1XuQuktvfhm

$0.000101

-13.13%

FDV $703,461

LiveContract:DpBzjtgGLF7QA9Ug3eUVGbnqa6j3jvYBn1XuQuktvfhmChain:SolanaHolders:16,317Market cap:$703,461

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Report snapshotas of Jul 28, 03:47 PM
FDV

$1,412,261

Liquidity

$128,242

Holders

16,103

Snipers

0

Risk

High

AI Executive Summary

DOGE-1 Satellite (DOGE-1) is a Solana-based meme/utility hybrid token with a total supply of ~6.94 billion tokens, currently priced at $0.000203 with a fully diluted valuation of ~$1.32–1.41M. The token is inspired by the real-world DOGE-1 lunar satellite mission and trades on Meteora Dynamic AMM v2. It experienced a sharp 24h price spike of ~42–48% driven by a high-volume burst in candles 6–9 (07:00–09:00 UTC on July 28), but has since retraced. The token has 16,103 holders, though the 30-day trend shows a net decline of ~132 holders. Liquidity is moderate at $128K. No sniper data is available. The update authority is a non-burn address and the token is mutable=false, which partially mitigates rug risk.

Risk: High
Sentiment: Bearish
Tied to a real-world aerospace narrative (DOGE-1 lunar satellite mission)
Strong 24h price surge (+42–48%) driven by a high-volume event (~$119K–$91K volume in candles 6–9)
Verified contract with mutable=false metadata, reducing some manipulation risk
Relatively broad holder base of 16,103 wallets with top 10 holding only 15.26% of supply
Predominantly swap-acquired holders (14,516 of 16,103), indicating organic market participation

Price Prediction

bearish

Short term

bearish
1–48 hours

After a sharp spike from ~$0.000137 to a high of ~$0.000351 (candle 7), the price has retraced to ~$0.000203. The 6h change is -21.6%, indicating strong selling pressure following the pump. Short-term direction is bearish as the market digests the spike. Immediate support is around $0.000165–0.000183 (prior consolidation zone); resistance is the recent high near $0.000294–0.000351.

Target low$0.000150
Target high$0.000265
Support: $0.000183, $0.000165, $0.000151
Resistance: $0.000240, $0.000265, $0.000294–0.000351

Medium term

neutral
7–30 days

The 30-day holder trend is declining (-132 net), and the token lacks social links or verifiable community momentum data. Medium-term direction depends on whether the spike event catalyzes new holder acquisition or fades. The aerospace narrative provides a potential re-rating catalyst if the DOGE-1 satellite mission achieves milestones.

Catalysts
  • DOGE-1 satellite mission news or launch updates
  • Broader Solana meme token market rally
  • Community campaigns or token burns as described in project narrative
  • Sustained buy pressure above $0.000240 reclaiming prior support-turned-resistance

Bullish factors

  • 24h buy pressure at 58.7% ($203K buys vs $142K sells)
  • Verified contract and mutable=false metadata reduce manipulation risk
  • Broad holder base (16,103) with relatively low top-10 concentration (15.26%)
  • Real-world aerospace narrative provides potential re-rating events
  • High 24h volume spike suggests genuine market interest

Bearish factors

  • 30-day holder count declining (-132, -0.82%)
  • Sharp 6h retracement of -21.6% after the pump spike
  • Thin liquidity ($128K) relative to 24h volume ($346K+), creating high slippage risk
  • No social links provided — community engagement unverifiable
  • Update authority not renounced (7ffk2QYgpBPp3eK3bZajfkcCkgMZbJgH2MeEV1uvfc7V)
  • Price action pattern consistent with pump-and-dump dynamics
Confidence: low. Price prediction confidence is low due to the highly volatile nature of the token (candle 7 showed a range from $0.000146 to $0.000351 in a single hour), thin liquidity ($128K), absence of sniper data, and the speculative meme-driven price action. The 30-day holder decline further reduces conviction in sustained upward movement.

DOGE-1 call history

Full track record →
Jul 28bearish
24h-41.1%
7d-49.7%
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Deep Analysis

The 17 hourly candles reveal a dramatic pump-and-dump pattern. Candles 17–12 (July 27 18:00–28 01:00) show low-volume consolidation between $0.000137–$0.000167 with minimal activity (volumes of 38–354 USD). Candle 15–16 (July 27 20:00–21:00) show early accumulation with volumes of $9.7K–$10.6K and upward closes. Candle 9 (July 28 06:00) is the peak volatility candle with $119K volume, a high of $0.000302, and a close near open ($0.000171) — a classic shooting star/doji pattern indicating rejection at highs. Candle 8 (07:00) shows $91K volume with a massive wick low of $0.000047 (likely a flash crash or thin liquidity event), closing at $0.000183. Candle 7 (08:00) shows $61K volume with a high of $0.000351 — the absolute peak. Candles 6–1 (09:00–14:00) show progressive retracement from $0.000293 down to $0.000204, with declining volumes ($8.4K → $1.6K). The overall pattern is a sharp spike followed by a controlled bleed-down.

Trend

Short-term
downtrend
Medium-term
sideways

Momentum

Status
overbought

Volume

Trenddecreasing
Buy 59%Sell 41%

Short-term trend is clearly bearish following the spike peak at $0.000351 (candle 7). The price is making lower highs and lower lows from candles 7 through 1. Medium-term (pre-spike baseline) was sideways consolidation around $0.000137–$0.000167.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.000183–0.000188 (candle 2 low and candle 1 open)
Major$0.000137–0.000151 (pre-spike consolidation base, candles 10–17)
Resistance
Immediate$0.000240 (candle 5 open / prior support level)
Major$0.000294–0.000351 (candle 6–7 highs, spike peak zone)

The key support zone is the pre-spike consolidation range of $0.000137–$0.000165. If price breaks below $0.000183, the next meaningful support is the pre-pump base around $0.000150–$0.000165. Resistance is layered at $0.000240 (candle 5 open), $0.000265 (candle 7 close), and the spike high of $0.000351.

Notable patterns

  • Shooting star / doji at candle 9 peak ($119K volume, close near open at $0.000171 vs high of $0.000302) — strong bearish reversal signal
  • Flash wick to $0.000047 in candle 8 (07:00) — extreme thin-liquidity event or wash trade
  • Higher highs from candles 16→7 followed by lower highs from candles 7→1 — classic pump-and-dump V-shape
  • Volume climax at candle 9 ($119K) with bearish close — distribution signal
  • Low-volume consolidation candles 10–14 (volumes $28–$354) suggesting minimal organic activity pre-pump

Total holders16,103
24h Δ+1.1
7d Δ+0.82
30d Δ-0.82
Accelerating Growth
No

Correlation with price

The 24h holder increase of +182 (+1.10%) coincides with the 24h price spike of ~42–48%, suggesting the price pump attracted new buyers. However, the 30-day trend shows a net loss of 132 holders (-0.82%), and the 7-day gain of +132 is almost entirely attributable to the last 24 hours (the spike event). The historical daily data from June 28 to July 27 shows consistent daily net losses ranging from -1 to -29 holders per day, with only one positive day (July 16: +5). This indicates the 24h gain is an anomaly driven by the price spike rather than organic growth.

The 30-day holder trend is structurally declining. From June 28 (16,224 holders) to July 27 (15,916 holders), the token lost 308 holders over 29 days before the spike event. The current total of 16,103 reflects a 24h inflow of +187 new holders during the pump. The distribution shows 3,117 'octopus' (small) holders, 2,311 'fish', 842 'dolphins', 41 'sharks', and 144 'whales', suggesting a broad but shallow holder base. Acquisition is predominantly via swap (14,516 of 16,103), indicating market-driven rather than airdrop-driven distribution. The declining 30-day trend is a concern for long-term token health.

Top 10 hold15.26%
Top 100 hold72.07%
Sentiment
Mixed

Notable holders

HLnpSz9h2S4hiLQ43rnSD9XkcUThA7B8hQMKmDaiTLcC

individual whale — largest single holder at 3.27% (227.3M tokens), no exchange or contract indicators

3.27%

388FMYVUfehhxSHuEjzo3571LyGaH7iTVMXXoWQrW9G5

individual whale — second largest at 1.41% (97.8M tokens)

1.41%

etuRQCa36CRcX5mg9ZvRRsd8nkrHQxjtstV8HCEBQTQ

individual whale — 1.37% (94.8M tokens)

1.37%

3uXfCsXTG4J72KV7rAoBozk7qLjhQxH2C78d28oy1ugr

individual whale — 1.36% (94.7M tokens)

1.36%

8K6EFSBE3JzqYGB2dNFpDrCHgGiGpLkHku3SUaVgnbxq

individual whale — 1.36% (94.3M tokens)

1.36%

The top 10 holders collectively own 15.26% of supply, and the top 100 own 72.07% — a notably concentrated distribution at the top-100 level despite relatively low top-10 concentration. The largest holder (HLnpSz9h2S4hiLQ43rnSD9XkcUThA7B8hQMKmDaiTLcC) holds 3.27%, which is the only significantly outsized position. Holders 2–10 each hold between 1.24%–1.41%, suggesting a cluster of similarly-sized whale wallets that may represent early participants or airdrop recipients. The near-uniform sizing of holders 2–10 (~94–98M tokens each) is notable and could indicate coordinated wallet distribution. The top-100 concentration of 72.07% is high and represents meaningful sell pressure risk if these holders decide to exit.

Liquidity$128,240
Depth
Shallow
Slippage risk
high

Volume (24h)

Buy$203,200
Sell$142,820
Net flow
inflow

Traders (24h)

Unique buyers668
Unique sellers612

Total liquidity of $128.24K is shallow relative to the 24h trading volume of ~$346K (buy + sell), meaning the pool turned over nearly 2.7x its liquidity in 24 hours. This creates significant slippage risk for larger trades. The net flow is positive (inflow) with 58.7% buy pressure ($203K buys vs $142K sells) and more unique buyers (668) than sellers (612). However, the volume was heavily concentrated in a 4-hour spike window (candles 6–9), and post-spike volumes have dropped to $1.6K–$4.2K per hour. The Meteora Dynamic AMM v2 pair (2fckuYXUrwbA9LHKMP1az5DTFstFrRjqqbBstz7yvVXL) is the sole liquidity venue identified, creating single-pool concentration risk. The flash wick to $0.000047 in candle 8 demonstrates the pool's vulnerability to thin-liquidity manipulation.

Supply & Valuation

Total supply6,941,771,269.58
FDV$1,412,261.24

Authorities

Mint authority
Active
Freeze authority
Active

The total supply is ~6.94 billion tokens with an FDV of ~$1.41M at current prices. The metadata shows mutable=false, which means the token metadata cannot be changed — a positive signal. However, the update authority (7ffk2QYgpBPp3eK3bZajfkcCkgMZbJgH2MeEV1uvfc7V) is not a burn address (not 11111... or a known renounced address), meaning the deployer retains some authority. Mint authority and freeze authority status are not explicitly provided in the metadata, so they are marked as unknown. The mutable=false flag partially mitigates metadata manipulation risk, but the non-renounced update authority warrants caution. No vesting schedule, team allocation, or burn mechanism details are verifiable from on-chain data alone, though the project description mentions token burns as a community engagement mechanism.

Volatility
high

The token experienced a single-hour range of $0.000146–$0.000351 (candle 7) and a flash wick to $0.000047 (candle 8), representing extreme intraday volatility. The 24h price change of ~42–48% followed by a -21.6% 6h retracement confirms very high volatility.

Liquidity
high

Total liquidity of $128.24K against 24h volume of ~$346K creates a 2.7x turnover ratio. Single-pool liquidity on Meteora Dynamic AMM v2 with no other venues identified. The flash wick to $0.000047 demonstrates thin liquidity vulnerability.

Concentration
medium

Top 10 holders own 15.26% of supply — relatively low. However, top 100 holders own 72.07%, which is high. The cluster of 9 wallets each holding ~1.24–1.41% (holders 2–10) with near-uniform balances raises questions about coordinated distribution.

SniperDump
low

No sniper data is available, so sniper dump risk cannot be quantified. Rated low by default per methodology, but this should not be interpreted as confirmation of no sniper activity.

Authority
medium

Update authority (7ffk2QYgpBPp3eK3bZajfkcCkgMZbJgH2MeEV1uvfc7V) is not renounced. Mutable=false reduces metadata risk. Mint and freeze authority status are unknown, representing residual rug risk.

Key risks

  • Thin liquidity ($128K) relative to trading volume creates high slippage and manipulation risk
  • 30-day holder decline (-132, -0.82%) indicates structural holder attrition
  • Price action consistent with pump-and-dump dynamics (spike + rapid retracement)
  • Update authority not renounced; mint/freeze authority status unknown
  • Top-100 concentration of 72.07% represents significant potential sell pressure
  • No social links — community engagement and project legitimacy unverifiable
  • Single liquidity pool — no diversified market depth
  • Near-uniform whale wallet sizes (holders 2–10) may indicate coordinated distribution

Mitigating factors

  • Mutable=false metadata reduces risk of metadata manipulation
  • Verified contract status
  • Relatively low top-10 concentration (15.26%) compared to typical meme tokens
  • Broad holder base of 16,103 wallets with predominantly swap-acquired positions
  • Real-world aerospace narrative (DOGE-1 satellite) provides potential legitimate use case
  • Net buy pressure in 24h (58.7% buys, 668 unique buyers vs 612 sellers)
Suitable for: Suitable only for high-risk-tolerant, speculative traders who can afford to lose their entire investment. Not suitable for conservative or income-focused investors. Position sizing should be minimal given the thin liquidity, volatile price action, and structural holder decline. Any position should be treated as a short-term speculative trade rather than a long-term investment.

DOGE-1 Satellite is a high-risk speculative meme token with a real-world aerospace narrative hook. The token experienced a significant 24h price spike driven by concentrated volume, but structural indicators (declining 30-day holders, thin liquidity, non-renounced authority) suggest caution. The investment thesis hinges on whether the DOGE-1 satellite mission narrative can sustain community interest and attract new holders beyond the pump event.

Bull case (low)

The DOGE-1 satellite mission achieves a verifiable milestone (launch announcement, orbit confirmation, media broadcast), catalyzing renewed community interest and media coverage. New holders enter during the narrative catalyst, reversing the 30-day holder decline. Buy pressure sustains above $0.000240, reclaiming the pre-retracement level, with price targeting the spike high zone of $0.000294–$0.000351.

  • DOGE-1 satellite mission news or launch event
  • Broader Solana meme token market rally
  • Community campaigns, airdrops, or token burns as described in project narrative
  • Sustained buy pressure from 668+ daily unique buyers
  • Viral social media attention linking token to aerospace milestone

Base case

Price consolidates in the $0.000165–$0.000220 range as the pump fades and the market finds a new equilibrium. Holder count stabilizes near 16,000 with modest daily fluctuations. The token trades with low volume ($2K–$10K/day) until a new catalyst emerges. FDV remains in the $1.1M–$1.5M range.

  • No major new catalyst (positive or negative) in the next 30 days
  • Liquidity pool remains intact without significant LP withdrawal
  • Top-100 holders maintain positions without mass distribution
  • Broader Solana market remains stable

Bear case (high)

The 24h price spike proves to be a coordinated pump with no sustained follow-through. The 30-day holder decline accelerates as pump participants exit. Top-100 holders (72.07% of supply) begin distributing, overwhelming the thin $128K liquidity pool. Price retraces to pre-pump levels of $0.000137–$0.000150, representing a ~33–26% decline from current levels.

  • Continued 30-day holder attrition accelerating post-pump
  • Top-100 whale distribution into thin liquidity
  • No verifiable social presence or community engagement data
  • Post-spike volume collapse (candles 1–5 averaging $1.6K–$4.2K/hour)
  • Pump-and-dump price action pattern with lower highs forming

GeneratedJul 28, 03:47 PM
Data freshnessMost recent candle: 2026-07-28T14:00:00.000Z (current hour). Holder data: 2026-07-27T00:00:00.000Z (1-day lag). Price: real-time at $0.000203.
Model confidence
low

Data sources

  • On-chain token metadata (Mint: DpBzjtgGLF7QA9Ug3eUVGbnqa6j3jvYBn1XuQuktvfhm)
  • Meteora Dynamic AMM v2 trading pair (2fckuYXUrwbA9LHKMP1az5DTFstFrRjqqbBstz7yvVXL)
  • 17 hourly OHLC candles (July 27–28, 2026)
  • 24h trading analytics (volume, buyers, sellers, price changes)
  • Top 20 holder distribution data
  • 30-day daily historical holder metrics (June 28 – July 27, 2026)
  • Sniper analysis endpoint (returned no data)

Limitations

  • No sniper data available — early buyer behavior and smart money signals cannot be assessed
  • Mint authority and freeze authority status not explicitly provided in metadata
  • No social links or off-chain community data available for sentiment analysis
  • Only 17 hourly candles provided — insufficient for robust technical analysis beyond short-term patterns
  • Top holder classification is inferred from address patterns only; no on-chain labels or exchange attribution data provided
  • Single liquidity pool identified — other venues may exist but are not captured
  • The flash wick to $0.000047 in candle 8 may represent a data anomaly or thin-liquidity event rather than actual traded price
  • 30-day holder data has 1-day lag; current 16,103 figure includes 24h inflow not reflected in historical series

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, particularly in small-cap meme tokens, carry extreme risk including total loss of capital. Past price performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply6,941,771,269.58

Key Risks

Thin liquidity ($128K) relative to trading volume creates high slippage and manipulation risk
30-day holder decline (-132, -0.82%) indicates structural holder attrition
Price action consistent with pump-and-dump dynamics (spike + rapid retracement)
Update authority not renounced; mint/freeze authority status unknown

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

low confidence
Low risk

No sniper data is available for this token. Smart money signals cannot be derived from sniper activity. The absence of sniper data may indicate the token launched without significant bot/sniper activity, or that the data source does not cover this token's launch event. Analysis is based solely on holder distribution and trading analytics.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration0.00%
PnL stateUnknown
Sell-through rateUnknown
Profit-taking risk
low

No sniper data available — sniper analysis endpoint returned no results.

Unknown — no sniper data available. However, the 24h holder increase of +182 (+1.10%) during the price spike suggests new buyers entered during the pump event. The 30-day declining holder trend (-132) indicates earlier holders have been gradually exiting.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the price prediction for DOGE-1 Satellite (DOGE-1 )?

After a sharp spike from ~$0.000137 to a high of ~$0.000351 (candle 7), the price has retraced to ~$0.000203. The 6h change is -21.6%, indicating strong selling pressure following the pump. Short-term direction is bearish as the market digests the spike. Immediate support is around $0.000165–0.000183 (prior consolidation zone); resistance is the recent high near $0.000294–0.000351. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–48 hours), with a target range of $0.000150 to $0.000265.

Is DOGE-1 a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated high with a risk score of 7.5/100. Suitable only for high-risk-tolerant, speculative traders who can afford to lose their entire investment. Not suitable for conservative or income-focused investors. Position sizing should be minimal given the thin liquidity, volatile price action, and structural holder decline. Any position should be treated as a short-term speculative trade rather than a long-term investment.

How are DOGE-1 holders trending?

DOGE-1 Satellite currently has 16,103 holders and is declining (24h: 1.1, 7d: 0.82, 30d: -0.82). The 30-day holder trend is structurally declining. From June 28 (16,224 holders) to July 27 (15,916 holders), the token lost 308 holders over 29 days before the spike event. The current total of 16,103 reflects a 24h inflow of +187 new holders during the pump. The distribution shows 3,117 'octopus' (small) holders, 2,311 'fish', 842 'dolphins', 41 'sharks', and 144 'whales', suggesting a broad but shallow holder base. Acquisition is predominantly via swap (14,516 of 16,103), indicating market-driven rather than airdrop-driven distribution. The declining 30-day trend is a concern for long-term token health.

What does sniper activity look like for DOGE-1 ?

Snipers hold roughly 0.00% of supply with PnL state "unknown" and sell-through rate "unknown". Profit-taking risk: low.

What are the key risks of holding DOGE-1 ?

Thin liquidity ($128K) relative to trading volume creates high slippage and manipulation risk • 30-day holder decline (-132, -0.82%) indicates structural holder attrition • Price action consistent with pump-and-dump dynamics (spike + rapid retracement)

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