spepe

shadilay pepe Price Prediction 2026

spepe
Solana
AI Analysis
Analysis as of Aug 8, 2026

DFEj59h41x2uwiyUocyY7SYmVdZdJJo6rdsb4DjYaW7S

$0.047369

+190.33%

FDV $70,747

LiveContract:DFEj59h41x2uwiyUocyY7SYmVdZdJJo6rdsb4DjYaW7SChain:SolanaHolders:932Market cap:$70,747

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Report snapshotas of Aug 8, 04:19 PM
FDV

$70,747

Liquidity

$36,473

Holders

0

Snipers

0

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

shadilay pepe (SPEPE) is a meme token on Solana trading on PumpSwap with a mint address of DFEj59h41x2uwiyUocyY7SYmVdZdJJo6rdsb4DjYaW7S. The token references the 1986 Italo disco song 'Shadilay' by P.E.P.E., a well-known meme in certain internet communities. With a total supply of ~960M tokens and a fully diluted valuation of ~$70.7K, this is a micro-cap meme token. The 24h price surge of ~190% is accompanied by heavily skewed sell pressure (74.7% sell volume), raising significant concerns about sustainability. Liquidity is very thin at $36.47K.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Bearish
References the culturally resonant 'Shadilay' meme, which has a dedicated following
Extreme 24h price appreciation of ~190% suggests speculative momentum
Very low FDV (~$70.7K) means small capital can move price significantly
Trading on PumpSwap, consistent with pump.fun-originated tokens

Price Prediction

bearish

Short term

bearish
1–24 hours

The token has already surged ~190% in 24h with sell pressure dominating at 74.7% of volume ($362.9K sells vs $123.1K buys). The most recent candle (16:00 UTC) shows a pullback from the high of $0.0000885 back toward $0.0000707, suggesting momentum is fading. With 6,665 sells vs 2,741 buys and 1,917 sellers vs 544 buyers, distribution is clearly underway. Short-term price action is likely to remain volatile with downside bias.

Target low$0.000030
Target high$0.000088
Support: $0.0000509 (candle [1] low), $0.0000303 (candle [2] low), $0.0000185 (candle [3] low)
Resistance: $0.0000885 (candle [1] high), $0.000252 (candle [2] spike high)

Medium term

bearish
1–4 weeks

Without sustained buying interest, new utility, or a broader meme cycle catalyst, micro-cap meme tokens that spike 190% in a day typically retrace sharply. Thin liquidity ($36.47K) means any moderate sell pressure can collapse the price. The meme narrative (Shadilay/P.E.P.E.) may attract periodic attention but is unlikely to sustain price without community growth.

Catalysts
  • Broader Solana meme coin cycle revival
  • Viral social media attention to the Shadilay meme
  • New exchange listings or integrations
  • Significant liquidity additions to the PumpSwap pool

Bullish factors

  • Strong 24h price appreciation of ~190% signals speculative momentum
  • Shadilay meme has cultural resonance in certain internet communities
  • Recent 5m price change of +29.87% and 1h of +9.73% show short-term buying activity
  • Low FDV (~$70.7K) means a small capital injection can produce large percentage gains

Bearish factors

  • Sell pressure dominates at 74.7% of 24h volume ($362.9K sells vs $123.1K buys)
  • Sellers (1,917) vastly outnumber buyers (544) in 24h
  • Extremely thin liquidity at $36.47K creates high slippage and crash risk
  • Contract not verified; update authority not renounced
  • No social links provided — community infrastructure is unclear
  • Mutable metadata flag is false but update authority is an unrecognized wallet
  • 6h and 24h price change both show 0% in analytics, suggesting data anomaly or extreme volatility masking net flatness
Confidence: low. Only 3 hourly OHLC candles are available, no holder data exists, no sniper data is available, and the token is a micro-cap meme with highly speculative price action. Predictions are based on limited on-chain trading analytics and candle data only.

spepe call history

Full track record →
Aug 8bearish
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Deep Analysis

Three hourly candles are available. Candle [3] (14:00 UTC): O=$0.0000317, H=$0.0000826, L=$0.0000185, C=$0.0000542 — a wide-range bullish candle with a large lower wick, suggesting initial accumulation/pump from lows. Candle [2] (15:00 UTC): O=$0.0000564, H=$0.000252, L=$0.0000303, C=$0.0000733 — an extremely wide-range candle with a massive upper wick reaching $0.000252, a classic 'shooting star' or spike-and-reject pattern indicating a failed breakout and heavy selling at the top. Volume spiked to $338.8K. Candle [1] (16:00 UTC): O=$0.0000722, H=$0.0000885, L=$0.0000509, C=$0.0000707 — a narrowing range candle with a close near the open (near-doji), suggesting indecision and cooling momentum after the spike. Volume dropped sharply to $20.1K.

Trend

Short-term
downtrend
Medium-term
sideways

Momentum

Status
overbought

Volume

Trenddecreasing
Buy 25%Sell 75%

The short-term trend is bearish following the massive spike and rejection in candle [2]. The shooting star pattern at the $0.000252 high followed by a doji-like candle [1] signals exhaustion. The medium-term trend is sideways/unknown given only 3 candles of history.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.0000509 (candle [1] low)
Major$0.0000185 (candle [3] absolute low)
Resistance
Immediate$0.0000885 (candle [1] high)
Major$0.000252 (candle [2] spike high — likely strong resistance)

The $0.000252 level represents the spike high from candle [2] and is likely a strong resistance zone given the heavy selling that occurred there. Immediate support sits at the candle [1] low of $0.0000509. A break below this level opens the door to the candle [3] low of $0.0000185. Recovery above $0.0000885 would be needed to signal renewed bullish momentum.

Notable patterns

  • Shooting star / spike-and-reject in candle [2]: price reached $0.000252 but closed at $0.0000733 — massive upper wick indicating strong selling at highs
  • Volume exhaustion: volume collapsed from $338.8K to $20.1K between candles [2] and [1]
  • Near-doji in candle [1]: open $0.0000722 vs close $0.0000707 signals indecision and momentum loss
  • Wide lower wicks in candles [2] and [3] suggest buyers defending lower levels, but upper wick dominance in candle [2] is the more significant signal

Liquidity$36,470
Depth
Shallow
Slippage risk
high

Volume (24h)

Buy$123,140
Sell$362,900
Net flow
outflow

Traders (24h)

Unique buyers544
Unique sellers1,917

Liquidity is extremely thin at $36.47K against a 24h trading volume of ~$486K (buy + sell combined), meaning the pool turns over its entire liquidity roughly 13x per day — a hallmark of highly speculative, pump-driven activity. The sell/buy ratio is severely skewed: $362.9K in sells vs $123.1K in buys (74.7% sell pressure), with 1,917 sellers vs only 544 buyers. This net outflow strongly suggests distribution. High slippage risk is expected for any trade of meaningful size given the shallow pool. The FDV of $67.87K vs liquidity of $36.47K means liquidity represents ~54% of FDV, which is unusually high and suggests the pool is the primary market — but also that a large sell could devastate the price.

Supply & Valuation

Total supply960,054,805.975054
FDV$70,747.34

Authorities

Mint authority
Active
Freeze authority
Active

Total supply is ~960M SPEPE with a fully diluted valuation of ~$70.7K at current prices. The update authority is 'TSLvdd1pWpHVjahSpsvCXUbgwsL3JAcvokwaKt1eokM' — this is neither the burn address (all 1s) nor labeled as 'renounced', so authority status cannot be confirmed as renounced. Mint and freeze authority status are unknown from the provided metadata. The contract is not verified (verified contract: false). Metadata is marked as immutable (mutable: false), which is a mild positive — metadata cannot be changed. However, the unrecognized update authority and unverified contract are risk factors. No social links are provided, limiting community verification. The token description links to an external website (shadilaypepe.online) which should be treated as untrusted.

Volatility
high

190% price surge in 24h with a spike to $0.000252 and rejection back to $0.0000707 demonstrates extreme volatility. The token can lose the majority of its value rapidly.

Liquidity
high

Total liquidity of only $36.47K on PumpSwap. Any sell of moderate size will cause severe price impact. The pool is the sole market for this token.

Concentration
high

Holder distribution data is unavailable. Given the token's PumpSwap/pump.fun origin and micro-cap status, concentration risk is presumed high by default. Cannot be confirmed without wallet data.

SniperDump
medium

No sniper data is available. However, the heavily skewed sell pressure (74.7% of volume) and 1,917 sellers vs 544 buyers is consistent with early buyers distributing into the pump. Risk is elevated but unconfirmed.

Authority
medium

Update authority (TSLvdd1pWpHVjahSpsvCXUbgwsL3JAcvokwaKt1eokM) is not renounced and not the burn address. Mint and freeze authority status are unknown. Contract is not verified. Metadata is immutable (mutable: false), which partially mitigates this risk.

Key risks

  • Extreme sell pressure: 74.7% of 24h volume is sells, with 1,917 sellers vs 544 buyers
  • Razor-thin liquidity ($36.47K) creates catastrophic slippage risk on exit
  • Unverified contract and unrenounced update authority
  • Micro-cap FDV (~$70.7K) subject to extreme manipulation
  • No social links or community infrastructure provided
  • Shooting star candle pattern at $0.000252 high signals strong distribution
  • Volume collapsed 94% from candle [2] to candle [1], indicating momentum exhaustion
  • Holder and whale distribution data unavailable — concentration risk cannot be assessed

Mitigating factors

  • Metadata is immutable (mutable: false), preventing metadata rug
  • Shadilay meme has genuine cultural resonance that may attract organic interest
  • Recent 5m (+29.87%) and 1h (+9.73%) price changes suggest some short-term buying activity
  • Token is not flagged as possible spam by the data provider
  • Liquidity-to-FDV ratio (~54%) is relatively high for a micro-cap meme token
Suitable for: This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who can afford to lose their entire investment. It is entirely unsuitable for conservative investors, those unfamiliar with meme token dynamics, or anyone investing more than a trivial amount of capital. This is not financial advice.

SPEPE is a high-risk, micro-cap Solana meme token that has experienced a speculative 190% pump in 24h. The investment case is purely momentum/meme-driven with no fundamental value proposition. The dominant sell pressure, thin liquidity, and shooting star candle pattern all suggest the pump phase may be ending. Any position should be considered highly speculative with a high probability of significant loss.

Bull case (low)

The Shadilay meme gains renewed viral traction on social media (X/Twitter, Reddit, 4chan), attracting a wave of new buyers. Liquidity deepens, the token graduates to a larger DEX, and the FDV expands to $500K–$1M+ as seen with comparable meme tokens during Solana meme cycles.

  • Viral social media catalyst tied to the Shadilay/P.E.P.E. meme
  • Broader Solana meme coin season driving speculative capital into micro-caps
  • Influencer or community promotion driving new buyer inflows
  • Liquidity additions making the token more tradeable

Base case

The token consolidates in the $0.000050–$0.000088 range for a short period before gradually declining as sell pressure persists. Some residual meme interest keeps it alive at a lower price level, but it fails to recapture the $0.000252 spike high. Price drifts toward $0.000030–$0.000050 over the next 1–2 weeks.

  • Sell pressure moderates but does not reverse
  • No major new catalyst or viral moment emerges
  • Liquidity remains thin, limiting both upside and downside velocity
  • The Shadilay meme retains a small but non-growing audience

Bear case (high)

The 190% pump was driven by a small group of early buyers who are now distributing. Sell pressure continues to dominate, liquidity drains, and the price retraces to pre-pump levels near $0.0000185–$0.0000303 (candle [3] and [2] lows). The token becomes illiquid and effectively dead.

  • 74.7% sell pressure with 1,917 sellers vs 544 buyers already in progress
  • Volume exhaustion: $338.8K in candle [2] collapsed to $20.1K in candle [1]
  • Shooting star rejection at $0.000252 — a classic distribution signal
  • No verified contract, no social links, no community infrastructure
  • Thin $36.47K liquidity cannot absorb continued selling

GeneratedAug 8, 04:19 PM
Data freshnessData reflects on-chain state as of approximately 2026-08-08T16:00 UTC. Only 3 hourly candles are available, limiting historical context.
Model confidence
low

Data sources

  • On-chain token metadata (Solana, mint: DFEj59h41x2uwiyUocyY7SYmVdZdJJo6rdsb4DjYaW7S)
  • PumpSwap pair data (pair: 4At5V12cjscJmvPzL7TN38TESX92QEAA66cc2nqncM71)
  • Hourly OHLC candle data (3 candles, 2026-08-08 14:00–16:00 UTC)
  • 24h trading analytics (buy/sell volume, buyer/seller counts, price changes)
  • Sniper analysis endpoint (returned no data)

Limitations

  • Only 3 hourly OHLC candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis
  • No holder count, growth, or distribution data available (endpoints retired)
  • No sniper/early buyer wallet data available
  • No whale concentration data available
  • Contract is unverified — on-chain program behavior cannot be confirmed
  • Mint and freeze authority status are unknown from provided metadata
  • 6h and 24h price change both show 0% in analytics despite obvious price movement — possible data anomaly
  • Token metadata (name, description, website) is supplied by the creator and treated as untrusted

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Meme tokens carry extreme risk of total loss. Always conduct your own research before making any investment decision. The analyst has no position in SPEPE.

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply960,054,805.975054

Key Risks

Extreme sell pressure: 74.7% of 24h volume is sells, with 1,917 sellers vs 544 buyers
Razor-thin liquidity ($36.47K) creates catastrophic slippage risk on exit
Unverified contract and unrenounced update authority
Micro-cap FDV (~$70.7K) subject to extreme manipulation

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

low confidence
Low risk

No sniper data is available for SPEPE. Smart money signals cannot be derived from sniper activity. The trading analytics do show a heavily sell-skewed market (74.7% sell volume, 1,917 sellers vs 544 buyers in 24h), which may suggest early buyers or insiders are distributing into the 190% price pump, but this cannot be confirmed without sniper/wallet-level data.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration0.00%
PnL stateUnknown
Sell-through rateUnknown
Profit-taking risk
low

No sniper data available for this token.

Unknown — no sniper or early buyer wallet data is available. The dominant sell pressure in 24h trading analytics is consistent with early buyers taking profits into the pump, but this is inferential only.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the price prediction for shadilay pepe (spepe)?

The token has already surged ~190% in 24h with sell pressure dominating at 74.7% of volume ($362.9K sells vs $123.1K buys). The most recent candle (16:00 UTC) shows a pullback from the high of $0.0000885 back toward $0.0000707, suggesting momentum is fading. With 6,665 sells vs 2,741 buys and 1,917 sellers vs 544 buyers, distribution is clearly underway. Short-term price action is likely to remain volatile with downside bias. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.000030 to $0.000088.

Is spepe a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 9.1/100. This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who can afford to lose their entire investment. It is entirely unsuitable for conservative investors, those unfamiliar with meme token dynamics, or anyone investing more than a trivial amount of capital. This is not financial advice.

What does sniper activity look like for spepe?

Snipers hold roughly 0.00% of supply with PnL state "unknown" and sell-through rate "unknown". Profit-taking risk: low.

What are the key risks of holding spepe?

Extreme sell pressure: 74.7% of 24h volume is sells, with 1,917 sellers vs 544 buyers • Razor-thin liquidity ($36.47K) creates catastrophic slippage risk on exit • Unverified contract and unrenounced update authority

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