spepe

shadilay pepe Price Today & AI Analysis

spepeSolanaAnalysis as of Aug 8, 2026

Price

$0.053022

FDV $2,899

Contract

Live
DFEj59h41x2uwiyUocyY7SYmVdZdJJo6rdsb4DjYaW7S

Chain

Solana

Holders

283

Market cap

$2,899

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shadilay pepe: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-08-08 16:19 UTC

Holder addresses

Not available

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

$36,473.22
How concentrated is shadilay pepe ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The holder count is also unavailable. A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling shadilay pepe?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is shadilay pepe liquidity falling?
As of 2026-08-08 16:19 UTC, reported liquidity was $36,473.22. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-08-08 16:19 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

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Report snapshot

as of Aug 8, 04:19 PM UTC

FDV

$70,747

Liquidity

$36,473.22

Holders

Not available

Snipers

Not available

Risk

Very High
Loading price chart…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Bearish

shadilay pepe (SPEPE) is a meme token on Solana trading on PumpSwap with a mint address of DFEj59h41x2uwiyUocyY7SYmVdZdJJo6rdsb4DjYaW7S. The token references the 1986 Italo disco song 'Shadilay' by P.E.P.E., a well-known meme in certain internet communities. With a total supply of ~960M tokens and a fully diluted valuation of ~$70.7K, this is a micro-cap meme token. The 24h price surge of ~190% is accompanied by heavily skewed sell pressure (74.7% sell volume), raising significant concerns about sustainability. Liquidity is very thin at $36.47K.

Key points

  • References the culturally resonant 'Shadilay' meme, which has a dedicated following
  • Extreme 24h price appreciation of ~190% suggests speculative momentum
  • Very low FDV (~$70.7K) means small capital can move price significantly
  • Trading on PumpSwap, consistent with pump.fun-originated tokens

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term · 1–24 hours

bearish

The token has already surged ~190% in 24h with sell pressure dominating at 74.7% of volume ($362.9K sells vs $123.1K buys). The most recent candle (16:00 UTC) shows a pullback from the high of $0.0000885 back toward $0.0000707, suggesting momentum is fading. With 6,665 sells vs 2,741 buys and 1,917 sellers vs 544 buyers, distribution is clearly underway. Short-term price action is likely to remain volatile with downside bias.

Target low

$0.000030

Target high

$0.000088

Support

$0.0000509 (candle [1] low), $0.0000303 (candle [2] low), $0.0000185 (candle [3] low)

Resistance

$0.0000885 (candle [1] high), $0.000252 (candle [2] spike high)

Medium term · 1–4 weeks

bearish

Without sustained buying interest, new utility, or a broader meme cycle catalyst, micro-cap meme tokens that spike 190% in a day typically retrace sharply. Thin liquidity ($36.47K) means any moderate sell pressure can collapse the price. The meme narrative (Shadilay/P.E.P.E.) may attract periodic attention but is unlikely to sustain price without community growth.

Catalysts

  • Broader Solana meme coin cycle revival
  • Viral social media attention to the Shadilay meme
  • New exchange listings or integrations
  • Significant liquidity additions to the PumpSwap pool

Bullish factors

  • Strong 24h price appreciation of ~190% signals speculative momentum
  • Shadilay meme has cultural resonance in certain internet communities
  • Recent 5m price change of +29.87% and 1h of +9.73% show short-term buying activity
  • Low FDV (~$70.7K) means a small capital injection can produce large percentage gains

Bearish factors

  • Sell pressure dominates at 74.7% of 24h volume ($362.9K sells vs $123.1K buys)
  • Sellers (1,917) vastly outnumber buyers (544) in 24h
  • Extremely thin liquidity at $36.47K creates high slippage and crash risk
  • Contract not verified; update authority not renounced
  • No social links provided — community infrastructure is unclear
  • Mutable metadata flag is false but update authority is an unrecognized wallet
  • 6h and 24h price change both show 0% in analytics, suggesting data anomaly or extreme volatility masking net flatness

Confidence: low. Only 3 hourly OHLC candles are available, no holder data exists, no sniper data is available, and the token is a micro-cap meme with highly speculative price action. Predictions are based on limited on-chain trading analytics and candle data only.

spepe call history

Full track record →

Aug 8bearish
24h-88.9%
7d-94.6%
30d-96.0%

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Solana
Contract
DFEj59...aW7S
Total Supply
960,054,805.975054

Key Risks

  • Extreme sell pressure: 74.7% of 24h volume is sells, with 1,917 sellers vs 544 buyers
  • Razor-thin liquidity ($36.47K) creates catastrophic slippage risk on exit
  • Unverified contract and unrenounced update authority
  • Micro-cap FDV (~$70.7K) subject to extreme manipulation

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

Three hourly candles are available. Candle [3] (14:00 UTC): O=$0.0000317, H=$0.0000826, L=$0.0000185, C=$0.0000542 — a wide-range bullish candle with a large lower wick, suggesting initial accumulation/pump from lows. Candle [2] (15:00 UTC): O=$0.0000564, H=$0.000252, L=$0.0000303, C=$0.0000733 — an extremely wide-range candle with a massive upper wick reaching $0.000252, a classic 'shooting star' or spike-and-reject pattern indicating a failed breakout and heavy selling at the top. Volume spiked to $338.8K. Candle [1] (16:00 UTC): O=$0.0000722, H=$0.0000885, L=$0.0000509, C=$0.0000707 — a narrowing range candle with a close near the open (near-doji), suggesting indecision and cooling momentum after the spike. Volume dropped sharply to $20.1K.

Trend

Short-term

Downtrend

Medium-term

Sideways

The short-term trend is bearish following the massive spike and rejection in candle [2]. The shooting star pattern at the $0.000252 high followed by a doji-like candle [1] signals exhaustion. The medium-term trend is sideways/unknown given only 3 candles of history.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Overbought

Volume trend

Decreasing

Buy

25%

Sell

75%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.0000509 (candle [1] low)

Major support

$0.0000185 (candle [3] absolute low)

Immediate resistance

$0.0000885 (candle [1] high)

Major resistance

$0.000252 (candle [2] spike high — likely strong resistance)

The $0.000252 level represents the spike high from candle [2] and is likely a strong resistance zone given the heavy selling that occurred there. Immediate support sits at the candle [1] low of $0.0000509. A break below this level opens the door to the candle [3] low of $0.0000185. Recovery above $0.0000885 would be needed to signal renewed bullish momentum.

Notable patterns

  • Shooting star / spike-and-reject in candle [2]: price reached $0.000252 but closed at $0.0000733 — massive upper wick indicating strong selling at highs
  • Volume exhaustion: volume collapsed from $338.8K to $20.1K between candles [2] and [1]
  • Near-doji in candle [1]: open $0.0000722 vs close $0.0000707 signals indecision and momentum loss
  • Wide lower wicks in candles [2] and [3] suggest buyers defending lower levels, but upper wick dominance in candle [2] is the more significant signal

Liquidity

Liquidity

$36,473.22

Depth

Shallow

Slippage risk

High

Liquidity is extremely thin at $36.47K against a 24h trading volume of ~$486K (buy + sell combined), meaning the pool turns over its entire liquidity roughly 13x per day — a hallmark of highly speculative, pump-driven activity. The sell/buy ratio is severely skewed: $362.9K in sells vs $123.1K in buys (74.7% sell pressure), with 1,917 sellers vs only 544 buyers. This net outflow strongly suggests distribution. High slippage risk is expected for any trade of meaningful size given the shallow pool. The FDV of $67.87K vs liquidity of $36.47K means liquidity represents ~54% of FDV, which is unusually high and suggests the pool is the primary market — but also that a large sell could devastate the price.

Supply & authorities

Total supply

960,054,805.975054

FDV

$70,747.34

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

  • Volatilityhigh

    190% price surge in 24h with a spike to $0.000252 and rejection back to $0.0000707 demonstrates extreme volatility. The token can lose the majority of its value rapidly.

  • Liquidityhigh

    Total liquidity of only $36.47K on PumpSwap. Any sell of moderate size will cause severe price impact. The pool is the sole market for this token.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Sniper DumpNot assessed

    Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.

  • AuthorityNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

  • Extreme sell pressure: 74.7% of 24h volume is sells, with 1,917 sellers vs 544 buyers
  • Razor-thin liquidity ($36.47K) creates catastrophic slippage risk on exit
  • Unverified contract and unrenounced update authority
  • Micro-cap FDV (~$70.7K) subject to extreme manipulation
  • No social links or community infrastructure provided
  • Shooting star candle pattern at $0.000252 high signals strong distribution
  • Volume collapsed 94% from candle [2] to candle [1], indicating momentum exhaustion
  • Holder and whale distribution data unavailable — concentration risk cannot be assessed

Mitigating factors

  • Metadata is immutable (mutable: false), preventing metadata rug
  • Shadilay meme has genuine cultural resonance that may attract organic interest
  • Recent 5m (+29.87%) and 1h (+9.73%) price changes suggest some short-term buying activity
  • Token is not flagged as possible spam by the data provider
  • Liquidity-to-FDV ratio (~54%) is relatively high for a micro-cap meme token

Suitable for

This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who can afford to lose their entire investment. It is entirely unsuitable for conservative investors, those unfamiliar with meme token dynamics, or anyone investing more than a trivial amount of capital. This is not financial advice.

SPEPE is a high-risk, micro-cap Solana meme token that has experienced a speculative 190% pump in 24h. The investment case is purely momentum/meme-driven with no fundamental value proposition. The dominant sell pressure, thin liquidity, and shooting star candle pattern all suggest the pump phase may be ending. Any position should be considered highly speculative with a high probability of significant loss.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

The Shadilay meme gains renewed viral traction on social media (X/Twitter, Reddit, 4chan), attracting a wave of new buyers. Liquidity deepens, the token graduates to a larger DEX, and the FDV expands to $500K–$1M+ as seen with comparable meme tokens during Solana meme cycles.

  • Viral social media catalyst tied to the Shadilay/P.E.P.E. meme
  • Broader Solana meme coin season driving speculative capital into micro-caps
  • Influencer or community promotion driving new buyer inflows
  • Liquidity additions making the token more tradeable

Base Case

The token consolidates in the $0.000050–$0.000088 range for a short period before gradually declining as sell pressure persists. Some residual meme interest keeps it alive at a lower price level, but it fails to recapture the $0.000252 spike high. Price drifts toward $0.000030–$0.000050 over the next 1–2 weeks.

  • Sell pressure moderates but does not reverse
  • No major new catalyst or viral moment emerges
  • Liquidity remains thin, limiting both upside and downside velocity
  • The Shadilay meme retains a small but non-growing audience

Bear Case

High probability

The 190% pump was driven by a small group of early buyers who are now distributing. Sell pressure continues to dominate, liquidity drains, and the price retraces to pre-pump levels near $0.0000185–$0.0000303 (candle [3] and [2] lows). The token becomes illiquid and effectively dead.

  • 74.7% sell pressure with 1,917 sellers vs 544 buyers already in progress
  • Volume exhaustion: $338.8K in candle [2] collapsed to $20.1K in candle [1]
  • Shooting star rejection at $0.000252 — a classic distribution signal
  • No verified contract, no social links, no community infrastructure
  • Thin $36.47K liquidity cannot absorb continued selling

Analysis details

Generated

Aug 8, 04:19 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-08-08 16:19 UTC

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

  • On-chain token metadata (Solana, mint: DFEj59h41x2uwiyUocyY7SYmVdZdJJo6rdsb4DjYaW7S)
  • PumpSwap pair data (pair: 4At5V12cjscJmvPzL7TN38TESX92QEAA66cc2nqncM71)
  • Hourly OHLC candle data (3 candles, 2026-08-08 14:00–16:00 UTC)
  • 24h trading analytics (buy/sell volume, buyer/seller counts, price changes)
  • Sniper analysis endpoint (returned no data)

Limitations

  • Only 3 hourly OHLC candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis
  • No holder count, growth, or distribution data available (endpoints retired)
  • No sniper/early buyer wallet data available
  • No whale concentration data available
  • Contract is unverified — on-chain program behavior cannot be confirmed
  • Mint and freeze authority status are unknown from provided metadata
  • 6h and 24h price change both show 0% in analytics despite obvious price movement — possible data anomaly
  • Token metadata (name, description, website) is supplied by the creator and treated as untrusted

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Meme tokens carry extreme risk of total loss. Always conduct your own research before making any investment decision. The analyst has no position in SPEPE.

Frequently Asked Questions

How concentrated is shadilay pepe ownership?

Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The holder count is also unavailable. A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.

Are large holders selling shadilay pepe?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is shadilay pepe liquidity falling?

As of 2026-08-08 16:19 UTC, reported liquidity was $36,473.22. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.

What is the short-term price outlook for shadilay pepe (spepe)?

The token has already surged ~190% in 24h with sell pressure dominating at 74.7% of volume ($362.9K sells vs $123.1K buys). The most recent candle (16:00 UTC) shows a pullback from the high of $0.0000885 back toward $0.0000707, suggesting momentum is fading. With 6,665 sells vs 2,741 buys and 1,917 sellers vs 544 buyers, distribution is clearly underway. Short-term price action is likely to remain volatile with downside bias. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.000030 to $0.000088.

Is spepe a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as very high with a risk score of 9.1/100. This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who can afford to lose their entire investment. It is entirely unsuitable for conservative investors, those unfamiliar with meme token dynamics, or anyone investing more than a trivial amount of capital. This is not financial advice.

What are the key risks of holding spepe?

Extreme sell pressure: 74.7% of 24h volume is sells, with 1,917 sellers vs 544 buyers • Razor-thin liquidity ($36.47K) creates catastrophic slippage risk on exit • Unverified contract and unrenounced update authority

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