HOLE

BLACKHOLE Price Today & AI Analysis

HOLE
Solana
AI Analysis
Analysis as of Sep 17, 2026

DFSDCFBDewhETTit5iYnLJzytJe1J1X7SepSSyxKgT9K

$0.000289

+567.79%

FDV $289,122

LiveContract:DFSDCFBDewhETTit5iYnLJzytJe1J1X7SepSSyxKgT9KChain:SolanaHolders:349Market cap:$289,122

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Report snapshotas of Sep 17, 06:46 AM
FDV

$289,122

Liquidity

$23,052

Holders

0

Snipers

0

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

BLACKHOLE (HOLE) is a Solana SPL token trading on a Raydium CPMM pool with a current price of $0.000289 and FDV of ~$289.12K. The token experienced an extreme +567.7% 24h price surge driven by a single massive pump candle (high of $0.001226) that has since largely reversed, with volume decaying over 99% within 8 hours and price now consolidating near $0.000289. Liquidity is very shallow at just $23.05K, and critical risk indicators — holder distribution, whale concentration, sniper activity, and mint/freeze authority status — are all unavailable in the provided data, leaving significant blind spots in the risk picture.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Bearish
Extreme, already-fading pump-and-dump price pattern within the last 8 hours
Very shallow liquidity ($23.05K) relative to FDV ($289.12K) and 24h volume (~$675K combined buy+sell)
Complete absence of holder, whale, and sniper data, and unknown authority/renouncement status
Near-balanced 24h buy/sell pressure (51.5%/48.5%) despite the volatile price action

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term

bearish
24-48 hours

Given the fading volume, decaying volatility, and a recent -12.79% 1h drop after failing to hold above $0.00037, the short-term path of least resistance appears downward toward the $0.000127-$0.000287 support band unless fresh buying volume returns. The extreme +567.7% 24h figure is largely a base-rate artifact of the huge initial pump candle and is not indicative of ongoing momentum.

Target low$0.000127
Target high$0.000375
Support: $0.000287, $0.0001273, $0.0000704
Resistance: $0.000375, $0.000456, $0.001226

Medium term

neutral
7-14 days

Medium-term direction is highly uncertain given shallow liquidity ($23.05K), unknown authority/rug status, and absent holder data. Without sustained volume and liquidity growth, the token is likely to continue trading in a wide, thinly-liquid range subject to sharp moves on relatively small trades.

Catalysts
  • Any liquidity additions or removals given the shallow $23.05K pool
  • Resolution of mint/freeze authority status (renouncement would reduce rug risk)
  • Continued retail/speculative interest reflected in buy/sell wallet counts
  • Any social/marketing catalysts given active Twitter and website presence

Bullish factors

  • 24h buy volume ($347.54K) slightly exceeds sell volume ($327.71K), with more unique buyers (1,400) than sellers (1,170)
  • Active social presence (Twitter, website) may sustain speculative retail interest
  • Standard, well-known Raydium CPMM venue reduces smart-contract/infrastructure risk relative to bespoke pools

Bearish factors

  • Extremely thin liquidity ($23.05K) creates high slippage and fragility
  • Massive pump-and-dump candle pattern with 99%+ volume decay in subsequent hours signals fading momentum
  • Unknown mint/freeze authority and update authority status leaves rug-pull risk unresolved
  • No holder or whale distribution data available to confirm healthy decentralization
  • Recent -12.79% 1h decline suggests renewed selling pressure
Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to the combination of extremely shallow liquidity, missing holder/whale/sniper data, unknown token authority status, and a price history dominated by one enormous pump-and-dump candle that distorts headline 24h percentage figures. These data gaps make forward projections inherently speculative.

HOLE call history

Full track record →
Sep 17bearish
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Deep Analysis

The 8 most recent hourly candles show an explosive spike followed by a sharp retracement and stabilization. Candle [1] opened at $0.0000307, spiked intra-candle to a high of $0.001226 (a ~40x intra-hour wick), then closed at $0.000418 on very high volume ($546.2K) — classic pump-and-partial-dump signature. Candle [2] continued lower, closing at $0.000202. Candle [3] made a fresh local low of $0.0001273 before candle [4] rebounded strongly to close at $0.000308 on a high-low range from $0.0000704 to $0.000355. Candles [5]-[8] show progressively decaying volume (from ~$19.2K down to ~$1.17K) and a tightening price range between roughly $0.000287 and $0.000456, suggesting volatility compression after the initial pump.

Trend

Short-term
downtrend
Medium-term
sideways

Momentum

Status
neutral

Volume

Trenddecreasing
Buy 52%Sell 49%

Short-term (last few hours) price has been drifting down from the $0.00037-0.00046 area toward $0.000289, a mild downtrend following the initial spike. Medium-term, since the huge pump-and-dump in candle [1], price has been chopping sideways in a $0.000127-$0.000456 range with lower volume, indicating consolidation after the initial volatility shock.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.000287 (candle 8 low/close area)
Major$0.0000704–$0.0001273 (candle 3-4 lows)
Resistance
Immediate$0.000375–$0.000456 (candle 5-6 highs)
Major$0.001226 (candle 1 spike high)

Price is currently trading near its immediate support of ~$0.000287-0.000289. A break below could open a retest of the $0.0001273-$0.0000704 zone established during the post-pump crash. On the upside, the $0.000375-0.000456 zone has repeatedly capped rallies (candles 5 and 6), and the extreme spike high of $0.001226 remains a distant, likely unsustainable resistance from the initial pump wick.

Notable patterns

  • Pump-and-dump wick on candle [1]: massive intra-candle spike to $0.001226 followed by a close far below the high, signaling an unsustainable initial spike with heavy profit-taking
  • Volatility compression/decay: volume decreasing from $546K to ~$1.2K over 8 hours while price range narrows, typical of post-pump consolidation
  • Lower high pattern across candles 5-6-7-8, showing sellers capping each rally attempt at progressively lower levels
  • Recent -12.79% 1h drop suggests renewed selling pressure breaking the brief consolidation

Liquidity$23.05K
Depth
Shallow
Slippage risk
high

Volume (24h)

Buy$347.54K
Sell$327.71K
Net flow
inflow

Traders (24h)

Unique buyers1,400
Unique sellers1,170

Total liquidity of just $23.05K is extremely shallow relative to the $289.12K FDV and the $347.54K/$327.71K in 24h buy/sell volume, meaning volume-to-liquidity ratio is over 15x. This creates significant slippage risk for any meaningfully sized trade in either direction. Despite the thin liquidity pool, 24h volume shows a near-balanced but slightly buy-dominant flow (51.5% buy vs 48.5% sell, ~$19.8K net inflow), with more unique buyers (1,400) than sellers (1,170), suggesting still-active speculative interest. However, thin liquidity means the pool can be easily manipulated or drained, and large sells could cause outsized price impact.

Supply & Valuation

Total supply1,000,000,000 HOLE
FDV$289.12K

Authorities

Mint authority
Active
Freeze authority
Active

Metadata fields for update authority, mutability, verified contract status, and mint/freeze authority are all marked 'unknown' in the source data. Without confirmation that mint and freeze authorities have been renounced, there remains an unquantified risk that the token supply could be altered or accounts frozen by a privileged authority. The FDV of $289.12K against a fixed 1B total supply at $0.000289 per token implies the full supply is accounted for in this valuation, but with no authority verification this should be treated cautiously. The token's self-description ('a treasury with no way out... assets go in, rewards compound') is unverified marketing copy from the token creator and should not be treated as functional evidence — it is flagged here per policy as unverified/promotional language embedded in metadata.

Volatility
high

24h price change of +567.8% followed by an intra-hour swing from a high of $0.001226 down to a low of $0.0000307 (candle [1]) and a further -12.79% move in the most recent 1h window shows extreme volatility. This is a newly-pumped, highly unstable price action pattern typical of very early-stage or thinly-traded tokens.

Liquidity
high

Only $23.05K total liquidity against $289.12K FDV and hundreds of thousands in daily volume creates severe slippage risk and vulnerability to liquidity removal or large sell walls.

Concentration
high

No holder or whale distribution data is available to verify concentration, which itself is a risk — the inability to verify decentralization of supply must be treated as a risk factor rather than assumed benign.

SniperDump
medium

No sniper data was available for this token, so sniper-driven dump risk cannot be directly measured. Given the token's fresh, highly volatile pump/dump-like candle pattern, undetected sniper or insider activity remains a plausible but unverified risk.

Authority
high

Mint authority, freeze authority, update authority, mutability, and verified-contract status are all unknown. Without renouncement confirmation, the token creator could theoretically mint additional supply or freeze holder accounts.

Key risks

  • Extremely shallow liquidity ($23.05K) relative to trading volume and FDV, creating high slippage and manipulation risk
  • Unknown mint/freeze authority status — cannot rule out supply inflation or account freezing
  • No holder distribution or whale concentration data available, meaning concentration risk is unverifiable and must be assumed elevated
  • Extreme volatility: +567.7% 24h move with an intra-day range spanning from $0.0000307 to $0.001226, indicative of a low-liquidity pump that has already partially reversed
  • No sniper data available to assess early-buyer dump risk
  • Promotional/vague token description ('treasury with no way out... rewards compound') suggests unverified yield claims that are not substantiated by on-chain mechanics in the provided data

Mitigating factors

  • 24h volume shows relatively balanced buy/sell pressure (51.5%/48.5%) with more unique buyers than sellers, suggesting some organic two-sided interest rather than one-sided dumping
  • Trading is occurring on a standard Raydium CPMM pool, a widely used and audited AMM infrastructure
Suitable for: Suitable only for highly risk-tolerant, experienced speculative traders who can actively monitor positions; unsuitable for passive or risk-averse investors given the unresolved authority status, shallow liquidity, and extreme volatility.

No analysis available for this section yet — refresh in a moment.

Bull case (low)

No analysis available for this section yet — refresh in a moment.

Base case

No analysis available for this section yet — refresh in a moment.

Bear case (low)

No analysis available for this section yet — refresh in a moment.

GeneratedSep 17, 06:46 AM
Data freshnessReal-time on-chain data
Model confidence
low

Data sources

Limitations

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply1,000,000,000 HOLE

Key Risks

Extremely shallow liquidity ($23.05K) relative to trading volume and FDV, creating high slippage and manipulation risk
Unknown mint/freeze authority status — cannot rule out supply inflation or account freezing
No holder distribution or whale concentration data available, meaning concentration risk is unverifiable and must be assumed elevated
Extreme volatility: +567.7% 24h move with an intra-day range spanning from $0.0000307 to $0.001226, indicative of a low-liquidity pump that has already partially reversed

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

low confidence
Low risk

No sniper analysis data was provided for this token ('No sniper data available'), so sniper concentration, PnL state, and sell-through rate cannot be determined. This is a gap in visibility into early-buyer behavior rather than evidence of an absence of snipers.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration0.00%
PnL stateUnknown
Sell-through rateUnknown
Profit-taking risk
low

unknown

Unknown — no sniper or early-wallet data available to assess sentiment of the earliest buyers following the apparent price pump.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the short-term price outlook for BLACKHOLE (HOLE)?

Given the fading volume, decaying volatility, and a recent -12.79% 1h drop after failing to hold above $0.00037, the short-term path of least resistance appears downward toward the $0.000127-$0.000287 support band unless fresh buying volume returns. The extreme +567.7% 24h figure is largely a base-rate artifact of the huge initial pump candle and is not indicative of ongoing momentum. Short-term outlook is bearish (24-48 hours), with a target range of $0.000127 to $0.000375.

Is HOLE a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 88/100. Suitable only for highly risk-tolerant, experienced speculative traders who can actively monitor positions; unsuitable for passive or risk-averse investors given the unresolved authority status, shallow liquidity, and extreme volatility.

What does sniper activity look like for HOLE?

Snipers hold roughly 0.00% of supply with PnL state "unknown" and sell-through rate "unknown". Profit-taking risk: low.

What are the key risks of holding HOLE?

Extremely shallow liquidity ($23.05K) relative to trading volume and FDV, creating high slippage and manipulation risk • Unknown mint/freeze authority status — cannot rule out supply inflation or account freezing • No holder distribution or whale concentration data available, meaning concentration risk is unverifiable and must be assumed elevated

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