LAUNCH

LAUNCHPAD Price Today & AI Analysis

LAUNCHSolanaAnalysis as of Oct 4, 2026

Price

$0.000434

+3959.22% 24h

Contract

Live
8LrdSu2tYaehRRZxD8SDbBskXFEeCNd6n11PAJgtpump

Chain

Solana

Holders

3,056

Market cap

$433,203

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LAUNCHPAD: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-10-04 18:15 UTC

Holder addresses

3,056

Top 10 supply share

21.57%

Reported liquidity

$51,325.00
How concentrated is LAUNCHPAD ownership?
As of 2026-10-04 18:15 UTC, the provider reports that the top 10 holder addresses hold 21.57% of supply. It reports 3,056 holder addresses in total. Addresses are not people; pool, exchange, burn and related addresses have not been independently classified here.
Are large holders selling LAUNCHPAD?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. As of 2026-10-04 18:15 UTC, the preceding 24-hour DEX volume was $659,651.00 in buys and $604,708.00 in sells. Those totals describe trading activity, not which holders traded. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is LAUNCHPAD liquidity falling?
Sampled USD liquidity changed +588.83%, from $7,522.02 (2026-10-03 20:00 UTC) to $51,813.96 (2026-10-04 18:00 UTC). This compares the earliest and latest available samples, which may cover less than 24 hours. USD changes can reflect asset prices as well as liquidity deposits or withdrawals.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: Codex token aggregates, hourly liquidity samples and recent DEX swaps. Token aggregates retrieved 2026-10-04 18:15 UTC; the provider may lag the chain. Buy/sell totals cover the preceding 24 hours. Observations are saved with this report and do not update live. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Saved liquidity observations

Observation (UTC)Liquidity (USD)
2026-10-03 20:00 UTC$7,522.02
2026-10-03 22:00 UTC$7,843.36
2026-10-04 00:00 UTC$7,982.59
2026-10-04 01:00 UTC$7,979.38
2026-10-04 05:00 UTC$8,542.13
2026-10-04 06:00 UTC$9,830.59
2026-10-04 07:00 UTC$9,776.43
2026-10-04 08:00 UTC$10,214.37
2026-10-04 09:00 UTC$9,831.82
2026-10-04 10:00 UTC$9,328.55
2026-10-04 11:00 UTC$8,970.22
2026-10-04 12:00 UTC$8,982.58
2026-10-04 13:00 UTC$11,037.01
2026-10-04 14:00 UTC$11,054.99
2026-10-04 15:00 UTC$10,853.66
2026-10-04 16:00 UTC$13,047.23
2026-10-04 17:00 UTC$51,878.43
2026-10-04 18:00 UTC$51,813.96

Recent swap evidence

Up to 10 recent swaps returned by the provider within the preceding 24 hours. This is a sample, not all trades or a ranking of large holders.

Report snapshot

as of Oct 4, 06:15 PM UTC

FDV

$433,203

Liquidity

$51,325.00

Holders

3,056

Snipers

Not available

Risk

Very High
Loading price chart…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Bearish

LAUNCHPAD (LAUNCH) is a pump.fun-origin token on PumpSwap. Price rose from about $0.00001 to about $0.000434 in the last hours (reported 24h change +3959%). FDV is about $433K against $51.33K of liquidity. The move is extremely recent and violent.

Key points

  • Parabolic spike in the final two candles, with about 1.18M volume in the 17:00 candle
  • Liquidity of $51.33K is about 11.9% of FDV
  • Top-10 holders hold 21.57% across 3,056 holder addresses
  • Authority and sniper data unavailable

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term · 24-72 hours

bearish

After a roughly 40x move in a single hour, mean reversion is likely. The latest 5m change is -17.2% and the last candle closed below its open range midpoint. Outcomes are highly uncertain.

Target low

$0.00010

Target high

$0.00060

Support

$0.000367, $0.0000296, $0.0000205

Resistance

$0.000577, $0.000653

Medium term · 1-4 weeks

neutral

Direction depends on whether volume and liquidity persist. Most pump-style spikes retrace, but this cannot be determined from the data.

Catalysts

  • Sustained volume above the current level
  • Liquidity growth
  • Social or marketing activity (twitter and website links exist)

Bullish factors

  • Buy pressure is 52.2% over 24h
  • 4,175 buyers vs 2,831 sellers
  • Strong momentum, with +79% in 1h
  • Top-10 share is 21.57%, which is moderate

Bearish factors

  • Parabolic spike with a likely blow-off top at $0.000653
  • The 5m change is -17.2%
  • Thin liquidity of $51.33K against a $433K FDV
  • Authority status is unknown
  • Price was flat and illiquid before the spike

Confidence: low. Only 24 hourly candles are available, and they are dominated by one extreme spike. There is no history, authority or sniper data.

LAUNCH call history

Full track record →

Oct 4bearish
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Solana
Contract
8LrdSu...pump
Total Supply
998,085,580.62

Key Risks

  • Parabolic spike with a high chance of retracement
  • Thin liquidity
  • Unknown mint and freeze authority
  • No sniper data

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

The price was flat at about $0.00001 for hours with many zero-volume candles. It then climbed gradually to about $0.0000225 at 07:00 and pulled back. At 17:00 it exploded from $0.0000296 to a $0.000653 high and closed at $0.000438 on 1.18M volume. The 18:00 candle was a range of $0.000367 to $0.000577, closing at $0.000434.

Trend

Short-term

Uptrend

Medium-term

Uptrend

The trend is up in absolute terms, but nearly all of it comes from one candle. The structure is unstable.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Overbought

Volume trend

Increasing

Buy

52%

Sell

48%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.000367

Major support

$0.0000296

Immediate resistance

$0.000577

Major resistance

$0.000653

There is almost no price history between $0.00003 and $0.00037, so a breakdown could fall through a large gap.

Notable patterns

  • Parabolic blow-off candle with a long upper wick (high $0.000653, close $0.000438)
  • Consolidation after the spike
  • Many zero-volume candles before the spike, indicating illiquidity
  • Higher highs and higher lows across the 05:00-16:00 period

Liquidity

Liquidity

$51,325.00

Depth

Shallow

Slippage risk

High

Net buy volume is about $55K (7,696 buys vs 5,601 sells). Liquidity of $51.33K is thin against $1.26M of 24h volume and a $433K FDV. Large exits would cause heavy slippage.

Supply & authorities

Total supply

998,085,580.62

FDV

$433.20K

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

  • Volatilityhigh

    The price rose about 3959% in 24h, with a 17:00 candle range from $0.0000296 to $0.000653. The latest 5m change is -17%.

  • Liquidityhigh

    Liquidity is $51.33K against a $433K FDV, so exits are costly.

  • Concentrationmedium

    The top-10 share is 21.57%. Top-100 data and wallet classification are unavailable.

  • Sniper DumpNot assessed

    Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.

  • AuthorityNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

  • Parabolic spike with a high chance of retracement
  • Thin liquidity
  • Unknown mint and freeze authority
  • No sniper data
  • Very short trading history

Mitigating factors

  • Balanced buy and sell flow
  • 3,056 holder addresses
  • Top-10 share of 21.57% is moderate
  • Social links exist, but they are unverified

Suitable for

Suitable only for speculative traders who accept the potential for total loss. Not financial advice.

This is a momentum-driven microcap after a vertical move. The risk-to-reward is unfavorable without further verification of authorities and liquidity.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

Momentum and community interest continue, and liquidity grows to support a higher market cap.

  • Sustained buy pressure
  • Liquidity growth
  • Broader attention

Base Case

Heavy volatility with a choppy, declining bias as volume fades.

  • Volume declines from the peak
  • Liquidity stays near $50K
  • No major catalyst

Bear Case

High probability

The blow-off top retraces sharply into the empty price range below $0.00037 as early holders take profit.

  • Overextension of about 40x in one hour
  • Thin liquidity
  • Unknown authorities

Analysis details

Generated

Oct 4, 06:15 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-10-04 18:15 UTC

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

  • Token metadata
  • Hourly OHLC (24 candles)
  • Trading analytics
  • Codex holder aggregates

Limitations

  • No sniper data
  • No authority checks
  • No holder history or wallet classification
  • Only 24 hourly candles
  • Native price and 24h $ change unknown

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Informational analysis only, not financial advice. Crypto tokens, especially new memecoins, carry a high risk of total loss.

Frequently Asked Questions

How concentrated is LAUNCHPAD ownership?

As of 2026-10-04 18:15 UTC, the provider reports that the top 10 holder addresses hold 21.57% of supply. It reports 3,056 holder addresses in total. Addresses are not people; pool, exchange, burn and related addresses have not been independently classified here.

Are large holders selling LAUNCHPAD?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. As of 2026-10-04 18:15 UTC, the preceding 24-hour DEX volume was $659,651.00 in buys and $604,708.00 in sells. Those totals describe trading activity, not which holders traded. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is LAUNCHPAD liquidity falling?

Sampled USD liquidity changed +588.83%, from $7,522.02 (2026-10-03 20:00 UTC) to $51,813.96 (2026-10-04 18:00 UTC). This compares the earliest and latest available samples, which may cover less than 24 hours. USD changes can reflect asset prices as well as liquidity deposits or withdrawals.

What is the short-term price outlook for LAUNCHPAD (LAUNCH)?

After a roughly 40x move in a single hour, mean reversion is likely. The latest 5m change is -17.2% and the last candle closed below its open range midpoint. Outcomes are highly uncertain. Short-term outlook is bearish (24-72 hours), with a target range of $0.00010 to $0.00060.

Is LAUNCH a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as very high with a risk score of 88/100. Suitable only for speculative traders who accept the potential for total loss. Not financial advice.

What are the key risks of holding LAUNCH?

Parabolic spike with a high chance of retracement • Thin liquidity • Unknown mint and freeze authority

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