CUPSEY

The First Trencher Price Today & AI Analysis

CUPSEYSolanaAnalysis as of Jun 28, 2026

Price

$0.041573

+3.08% 24h

Contract

Live
BwAU6gsimrFhJrRcZqKxQJayfnkyyan63WNCJRWYpump

Chain

Solana

Holders

1,437

Market cap

$15,705

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The First Trencher: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-06-28 17:16 UTC

Holder addresses

1,700

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

$102,868.17
How concentrated is The First Trencher ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 1,700 addresses (2026-06-28 17:16 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling The First Trencher?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is The First Trencher liquidity falling?
As of 2026-06-28 17:16 UTC, reported liquidity was $102,868.17. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-06-28 17:16 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

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Report snapshot

as of Jun 28, 05:16 PM UTC

FDV

$0

Liquidity

$102,868.17

Holders

1,700

Snipers

Not available

Risk

Very High
Loading price chart…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Bearish

CUPSEY (The First Trencher) is a Pump.fun-launched Solana meme token with a total supply of 1 (likely 1 with 0 decimals, suggesting a fractional/NFT-like structure or a data anomaly). The token has experienced an extreme 448% price spike in 24 hours, but the underlying data reveals severe red flags: 75.1% sell pressure, a near-zero close on the most recent candle ($0.0000313), mutable metadata with unknown update authority, no top holder data, and a holder history that was flat at 26 for 30 days before a sudden +1,674 holder surge in the last hour. This pattern is consistent with a pump-and-dump or coordinated manipulation event.

Key points

  • Extreme 448% 24h price spike followed by a near-total collapse in the most recent candle (close ~$0.0000313 vs open ~$0.00110)
  • Total supply of 1 with 0 decimals — highly anomalous tokenomics suggesting possible data error or intentional obfuscation
  • Holder count was frozen at exactly 26 for 30 consecutive days, then jumped +1,674 in a single hour — a hallmark of artificial activity
  • 75.1% sell pressure with 4,340 sells vs 1,191 buys in 24h — overwhelming distribution
  • Mutable metadata with unknown update authority — rug risk is elevated
  • No top holder data available, preventing concentration analysis

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term · 1–24 hours

bearish

The most recent hourly candle (candle [1]) opened at ~$0.00110, spiked to a high of ~$0.00218, then collapsed to a close of ~$0.0000313 — a ~97% intra-candle crash. The current reported price of ~$0.00148 appears to be a partial recovery or data lag. With 75.1% sell pressure, 4,340 sells vs 1,191 buys, and a near-zero recent close, the short-term outlook is strongly bearish.

Target low

$0.000031 (recent candle low/close)

Target high

$0.00218 (recent candle high, unlikely to reclaim)

Support

$0.000031 (recent candle close / multi-candle low), $0.000031 (floor observed in candle [2] open)

Resistance

$0.00148 (current reported price), $0.00218 (candle [1] high / all-time high observed)

Medium term · 1–30 days

bearish

Given the structural anomalies — 30 days of zero holder growth, a sudden artificial-looking holder surge, mutable metadata, unknown authority, and overwhelming sell pressure — medium-term price recovery is highly unlikely without a new coordinated pump. The token lacks organic community growth or utility.

Catalysts

  • Any new coordinated social media pump campaign
  • Broader Solana meme coin market rally lifting all assets
  • Unexpected viral attention

Bullish factors

  • 448% 24h price gain demonstrates speculative interest exists
  • 1,700 total holders (per current snapshot) suggests some community formation
  • $102.87K liquidity provides some exit capacity
  • PumpSwap listing provides accessible trading venue

Bearish factors

  • Most recent candle closed at ~$0.0000313 — a ~97% intra-candle collapse from the high
  • 75.1% sell pressure: 4,340 sells vs 1,191 buys in 24h
  • Holder count was exactly 26 for 30 consecutive days — strongly suggests artificial/bot activity
  • +1,674 holders added in a single hour is anomalous and likely inorganic
  • Mutable metadata with unknown update authority — rug risk elevated
  • No top holder data available — concentration risk cannot be assessed
  • Total supply of 1 with 0 decimals is a major data anomaly
  • No social links, no verified contract, no description

Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to the extreme anomalies in the data: the total supply of 1 with 0 decimals is likely a data error or obfuscation, top holder data is unavailable, the holder history is clearly artificial, and the price action shows a near-complete intra-candle collapse. These factors make reliable price modeling impossible.

CUPSEY call history

Full track record →

Jun 28bearish
24h-83.6%
7d-96.7%
30d-99.0%

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Solana
Contract
BwAU6g...pump
Total Supply
1 (with 0 decimals — highly anomalous; likely a data error or intentional obfuscation)

Key Risks

  • Mutable metadata with unknown update authority — creator can modify token properties
  • Total supply of 1 with 0 decimals is a major data anomaly suggesting possible obfuscation
  • Holder count frozen at exactly 26 for 30 days then +1,674 in 1 hour — strongly artificial
  • 75.1% sell pressure with sellers outnumbering buyers 5:1 by unique wallet count

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

Only 2 hourly candles are available. Candle [2] (16:00 UTC): O=$0.0000313, H=$0.001666, L=$0.0000313, C=$0.001078, V=$455K — a massive bullish engulfing/spike candle from a near-zero base, closing near the midpoint of its range. Candle [1] (17:00 UTC): O=$0.001101, H=$0.002178, L=$0.001039, C=$0.0000313, V=$67K — a bearish engulfing/shooting star that opened near the prior close, spiked to a new high of $0.002178, then collapsed to close at $0.0000313, nearly identical to the prior candle's open. This is a classic 'pump and dump' candle pattern: a spike to all-time high followed by near-total collapse.

Trend

Short-term

Downtrend

Medium-term

Downtrend

The two-candle sequence shows a sharp pump followed by an equally sharp dump. The close of the most recent candle ($0.0000313) is at the absolute low of the observed range, indicating a strong short-term downtrend. The 30-day historical holder stagnation suggests no meaningful medium-term uptrend exists.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Oversold

Volume trend

Decreasing

Buy

25%

Sell

75%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.000031 (candle [1] close and candle [2] open/low)

Major support

$0.000031 (only observed floor in the data)

Immediate resistance

$0.00148 (current reported price / approximate candle [2] close area)

Major resistance

$0.002178 (candle [1] all-time high)

Support is effectively at the near-zero floor of ~$0.0000313, which has been tested twice. Resistance exists at the current price (~$0.00148) and the all-time high of ~$0.00218. The wide spread between support and resistance reflects extreme volatility and thin liquidity.

Notable patterns

  • Shooting star / bearish engulfing in candle [1]: opened near prior close, spiked to ATH, collapsed to near-zero close — classic pump-and-dump candle
  • Candle [2] shows a near-zero open with a massive wick to the upside — initial pump ignition candle
  • Volume declining from pump candle to dump candle — distribution pattern
  • Price % change shown as 0% across all timeframes (5m, 1h, 6h, 24h) despite extreme volatility — possible data feed anomaly or stale price reporting

Liquidity

Liquidity

$102,868.17

Depth

Shallow

Slippage risk

High

Total liquidity of $102.87K is shallow relative to the $395.53K in 24h sell volume, meaning the pool has been significantly stressed. The FDV of $1.25M against $102.87K liquidity implies an 8.2% liquidity-to-FDV ratio — moderate but concerning given the sell pressure. Net flow is strongly negative: sell volume ($395.53K) is 3x buy volume ($131.07K), and unique sellers (1,338) outnumber unique buyers (278) by nearly 5:1. Slippage risk is high for any meaningful position size given the shallow pool and extreme sell pressure. The pair trades on PumpSwap (5xKxYzu4UdRKQ7Q1LFYivCDgRwdGhZC5UrDza8WEdDKx), which is a lower-liquidity venue than major DEXes.

Supply & authorities

Total supply

1 (with 0 decimals — highly anomalous; likely a data error or intentional obfuscation)

FDV

$1.25M (per trading analytics; metadata shows $0.00 FDV — discrepancy)

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

  • Volatilityhigh

    The token experienced a ~97% intra-candle collapse in candle [1] (from high $0.002178 to close $0.0000313) and a 448% 24h gain — extreme volatility in both directions. Price % change shown as 0% across all timeframes is a data anomaly that may mask further instability.

  • Liquidityhigh

    Total liquidity of $102.87K is shallow. Sell volume ($395.53K) exceeded total liquidity in 24h, indicating the pool is under severe stress. High slippage risk for any position of meaningful size.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Sniper DumpNot assessed

    Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.

  • AuthorityNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

  • Mutable metadata with unknown update authority — creator can modify token properties
  • Total supply of 1 with 0 decimals is a major data anomaly suggesting possible obfuscation
  • Holder count frozen at exactly 26 for 30 days then +1,674 in 1 hour — strongly artificial
  • 75.1% sell pressure with sellers outnumbering buyers 5:1 by unique wallet count
  • Near-total intra-candle price collapse (~97% from high to close in candle [1])
  • No top holder data — concentration and team wallet risk cannot be assessed
  • No social links, no description, unverified contract — zero transparency
  • Shallow liquidity ($102.87K) relative to sell volume ($395.53K in 24h)
  • Price feed anomaly: 0% change shown across all timeframes despite extreme volatility

Mitigating factors

  • $102.87K liquidity provides some exit capacity for small positions
  • PumpSwap listing provides accessible trading venue
  • 1,700 reported holders (though likely inflated) provides some distribution appearance
  • 24h buy volume of $131.07K shows some speculative demand exists

Suitable for

This token is unsuitable for virtually all investor profiles. The combination of artificial holder growth, extreme sell pressure, mutable/unknown authorities, anomalous tokenomics, and a near-total price collapse makes this a very high risk asset consistent with pump-and-dump activity. Only the most risk-tolerant, experienced traders with strict position sizing and stop-loss discipline should consider any exposure, and only with capital they can afford to lose entirely.

CUPSEY (The First Trencher) presents a profile overwhelmingly consistent with a pump-and-dump scheme. The token was dormant for 30 days with exactly 26 holders, then experienced a coordinated pump with +1,674 holders and a 448% price spike in a single hour, followed by a near-total price collapse. Sell pressure is 75.1%, sellers outnumber buyers 5:1, metadata is mutable with unknown authority, and no top holder data is available. There is no identifiable utility, community, or fundamental value proposition.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

A second coordinated pump wave attracts new retail buyers, temporarily pushing price back toward the $0.00218 ATH. Viral social media attention could drive short-term speculative inflows.

  • Broader Solana meme coin market rally
  • New coordinated social media campaign
  • Viral attention from the 'trencher' meme narrative
  • Low absolute price ($0.00148) attracting lottery-ticket buyers

Base Case

The token stabilizes at a fraction of its pump high, trading in a low-liquidity range between $0.0000313 and $0.00148 with declining volume and holder attrition as speculators exit.

  • No new coordinated pump occurs
  • Liquidity pool remains intact
  • Creator does not execute a rug pull via metadata mutation
  • Some residual speculative interest maintains minimal trading activity

Bear Case

High probability

The pump fully unwinds, price returns to the near-zero floor (~$0.0000313) or lower as remaining holders exit. Liquidity drains, the token becomes untradeable, and the project is abandoned.

  • Overwhelming sell pressure (75.1%) continues
  • Artificial holder base provides no organic buying support
  • Mutable metadata enables rug pull by creator
  • No utility, community, or development activity evident
  • Shallow liquidity cannot absorb continued selling

Analysis details

Generated

Jun 28, 05:16 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-06-28 17:16 UTC

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

  • Solana on-chain metadata (mint, decimals, supply, authority)
  • Price feed (USD spot price, 24h change)
  • OHLC candle data (hourly, 2 candles)
  • Trading analytics (volume, buy/sell pressure, unique wallets)
  • Holder metrics (total, acquisition method, distribution tiers)
  • Historical holder series (30-day daily)
  • Top holder data (unavailable — no data returned)
  • Sniper analysis (unavailable — no data returned)

Limitations

  • Only 2 OHLC candles available — technical analysis is severely limited
  • No top holder data returned — whale/concentration analysis impossible
  • No sniper data available — smart money analysis relies on indirect signals only
  • Total supply of 1 with 0 decimals is anomalous and may indicate a data error
  • Update authority listed as 'unknown' — authority risk cannot be fully assessed
  • Price % change shown as 0% across all timeframes despite extreme volatility — possible data feed issue
  • Holder distribution tiers all show 0 — possible data reporting failure
  • FDV discrepancy between metadata ($0.00) and trading analytics ($1.25M)

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially in newly launched meme tokens, carry extreme risk of total loss. The data analyzed shows multiple red flags consistent with pump-and-dump activity. Do not invest more than you can afford to lose entirely. Always conduct your own research.

Frequently Asked Questions

How concentrated is The First Trencher ownership?

Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 1,700 addresses (2026-06-28 17:16 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.

Are large holders selling The First Trencher?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is The First Trencher liquidity falling?

As of 2026-06-28 17:16 UTC, reported liquidity was $102,868.17. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.

What is the short-term price outlook for The First Trencher (CUPSEY)?

The most recent hourly candle (candle [1]) opened at ~$0.00110, spiked to a high of ~$0.00218, then collapsed to a close of ~$0.0000313 — a ~97% intra-candle crash. The current reported price of ~$0.00148 appears to be a partial recovery or data lag. With 75.1% sell pressure, 4,340 sells vs 1,191 buys, and a near-zero recent close, the short-term outlook is strongly bearish. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.000031 (recent candle low/close) to $0.00218 (recent candle high, unlikely to reclaim).

Is CUPSEY a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as very high with a risk score of 9.2/100. This token is unsuitable for virtually all investor profiles. The combination of artificial holder growth, extreme sell pressure, mutable/unknown authorities, anomalous tokenomics, and a near-total price collapse makes this a very high risk asset consistent with pump-and-dump activity. Only the most risk-tolerant, experienced traders with strict position sizing and stop-loss discipline should consider any exposure, and only with capital they can afford to lose entirely.

What are the key risks of holding CUPSEY?

Mutable metadata with unknown update authority — creator can modify token properties • Total supply of 1 with 0 decimals is a major data anomaly suggesting possible obfuscation • Holder count frozen at exactly 26 for 30 days then +1,674 in 1 hour — strongly artificial

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