Kamino Price Today & AI Analysis

KMNOSolanaAnalysis as of Apr 29, 2026

$0.0407

-4.55% 24h

Contract

Live

KMNo3nJsBXfcpJTVhZcXLW7RmTwTt4GVFE7suUBo9sS

Chain

Solana

Holders

55,549

Market cap

$238,167,967

At a $500M market cap, $KMNO would be $0.0855 (2.10x from today’s price)

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Kamino: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-04-29 19:50 UTC

Holder addresses

51,019

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

$1,306,262.26

How concentrated is Kamino ownership?: Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 51,019 addresses (2026-04-29 19:50 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling Kamino?: This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is Kamino liquidity falling?: As of 2026-04-29 19:50 UTC, reported liquidity was $1,306,262.26. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.

Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-04-29 19:50 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

Report snapshot

as of Apr 29, 07:50 PM UTC

FDV

$198,827,415

Liquidity

$1,306,262.26

Holders

51,019

Snipers

Not available

Risk

High

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1h chart read; Support, resistance, Fibonacci and RSI divergence are drawn on the chart once it loads.

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AI Executive Summary

Risk

High

Sentiment

Bearish

Kamino (KMNO) is the native governance and utility token of Kamino Finance, a DeFi protocol on Solana. With a total supply of ~10B tokens and a fully diluted valuation of ~$199M, KMNO is currently priced at ~$0.01988. The token is verified, non-spam, and has active social presence. However, the token contract remains mutable (updateAuthority not renounced), supply is highly concentrated among top holders (top 10 hold 59.25%), and the holder base has been in steep decline over the past 30 days — down ~54% in 7 days and ~110% in 30 days from peak — signaling significant distribution or airdrop recipient sell-off. Trading activity over the past 24 hours shows slight net sell pressure (51.6% sell vs 48.4% buy) with a -4.81% price decline.

Key points

Native token of Kamino Finance, a prominent Solana DeFi lending/liquidity protocol
Verified contract with active social channels (Twitter, Telegram, Reddit, Website)
Large and active trading community with 2,317 unique wallets in 24h and $2.21M combined volume
Liquidity of $1.31M on Orca Whirlpool, providing a recognized DEX venue
No snipers detected in the first 1,000 blocks — clean launch mechanics

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term · 24–72 hours

bearish

Price has declined ~4.82% in the past 24 hours, breaking below the $0.0210 support zone and closing at $0.01988. The hourly candles show a consistent sequence of lower highs and lower lows from $0.02153 (candle 15) down to $0.01988 (candle 1), indicating sustained short-term bearish momentum. Immediate support sits near $0.01985 (24h low), with resistance at $0.02040–$0.02050.

Target low

$0.0185

Target high

$0.0210

Support: $0.01985, $0.0190, $0.0180
Resistance: $0.02040, $0.02090, $0.02130

Medium term · 2–4 weeks

neutral

Medium-term direction depends heavily on whether the holder exodus stabilizes. The 30-day holder decline from ~107,700 to ~51,000 is severe and suggests post-airdrop distribution is still ongoing. If Kamino Finance releases new protocol updates or incentive programs, a recovery toward $0.022–$0.025 is plausible. Without a catalyst, continued drift toward $0.015–$0.018 is likely.

Catalysts

Kamino Finance protocol upgrades or new product launches
Broader Solana DeFi market recovery
Stabilization of holder count signaling end of airdrop sell-off
Potential exchange listings or liquidity incentive programs

Bullish factors

No snipers detected — clean launch with no early predatory accumulation
Kamino Finance is an established Solana DeFi protocol with real utility
2,317 unique wallets active in 24h shows continued community engagement
Liquidity of $1.31M on Orca Whirlpool is functional for current market cap
Verified contract, not flagged as spam

Bearish factors

Holder count down ~54% in 7 days and ~110% from 30-day peak (~107,700 to ~51,019)
Top 10 wallets hold 59.25% of supply — extreme concentration risk
Top 100 wallets hold 95.39% — nearly all supply in very few hands
Token contract is mutable (updateAuthority not renounced)
24h price decline of -4.82% with consistent lower highs in hourly candles
Slight net sell pressure: 51.6% sell vs 48.4% buy volume in 24h
22,882 holders acquired via airdrop — large potential sell cohort still unwinding

Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to the extreme holder decline (likely post-airdrop distribution still in progress), mutable contract authority, high supply concentration, and limited on-chain sniper/smart money data. Price action is clearly bearish short-term but medium-term trajectory is highly uncertain.

Token Info

Chain: Solana
Contract: KMNo3n...o9sS
Total Supply: 9,999,958,341 KMNO (~10B)

Key Risks

Extreme holder decline: -54% in 7 days, -110% from 30-day peak — airdrop distribution still ongoing
Very high supply concentration: top 10 = 59.25%, top 100 = 95.39%
Mutable contract with non-renounced updateAuthority
Shallow liquidity ($1.31M) relative to FDV ($199M)

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

Over the 24 hourly candles analyzed (2026-04-28T20:00Z to 2026-04-29T19:00Z), KMNO formed a clear descending channel. Price opened around $0.02094 (candle 24) and progressively declined to $0.01988 (candle 1), establishing a sequence of lower highs and lower lows. The highest point in the window was $0.02153 (candle 15, 05:00 UTC on Apr 29), and the lowest was $0.01979 (candle 2 low). Candle 8 (12:00 UTC) showed an unusually high volume spike of 336,663 units with a bearish close, suggesting a distribution event. Candle 2 (18:00 UTC) had the widest range of the session ($0.02041–$0.01978), indicating increased volatility and selling pressure into the close.

Trend

Short-term

Downtrend

Medium-term

Downtrend

Both short-term and medium-term trends are bearish. The 24-hour candle sequence shows consistent lower highs and lower lows. The broader 30-day holder decline and price sitting near session lows confirm the medium-term downtrend. No reversal signals are present in the current data.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Oversold

Volume trend

Decreasing

Buy

48%

Sell

52%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.01985

Major support

$0.01800

Immediate resistance

$0.02040

Major resistance

$0.02130

Immediate support at $0.01985 corresponds to the 24h low (candle 2 low: $0.01978, candle 1 low: $0.01985). Major support at $0.01800 is a psychological round number below current price. Immediate resistance at $0.02040 aligns with the candle 2 high and recent consolidation zone. Major resistance at $0.02130 corresponds to the session high area (candles 9–11) and the 24h open zone.

Notable patterns

Descending channel across all 24 hourly candles — consistent lower highs and lower lows
High-volume bearish candle at 12:00 UTC (candle 8, volume 336,663) suggesting institutional or whale distribution
Narrowing range in final 3 candles (candles 1–3) — potential exhaustion of selling pressure
Wide-range bearish candle at 18:00 UTC (candle 2) with close near low — continuation signal
No bullish reversal patterns (engulfing, hammer, morning star) detected in the 24-hour window

Liquidity

$1,306,262.26

Depth

Shallow

Slippage risk

Medium

Total liquidity of $1.31M on the Orca Whirlpool pair (3ndjN1nJVUKGrJBc1hhVpER6kWTZKHdyDrPyCJyX3CXK) is relatively shallow for a token with a $199M FDV. The liquidity-to-FDV ratio of ~0.66% is low, meaning large trades will experience meaningful slippage. The 24h combined volume of ~$2.21M represents ~169% of total liquidity, indicating high turnover relative to pool depth. Net flow is slightly negative (outflow) with sell volume ($1.14M) exceeding buy volume ($1.07M) by ~$70K. The buyer/seller count is nearly balanced (1,967 vs 1,975), suggesting the sell pressure is distributed rather than concentrated in a few large sellers. With 10,282 buys and 10,461 sells, average trade size is small (~$104 buy / ~$109 sell), consistent with retail-driven activity. Slippage risk is medium — manageable for small trades but significant for positions above $10K–$20K.

Supply & authorities

Total supply

9,999,958,341 KMNO (~10B)

FDV

$198.83M (per metadata) / $199.22M (per analytics)

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

Volatilityhigh
Price declined 4.82% in 24 hours with consistent lower highs across all hourly candles. Multi-timeframe momentum is uniformly negative (5m: -0.09%, 1h: -0.25%, 6h: -4.65%, 24h: -4.68%). The token is in an active downtrend with no reversal signals.
Liquiditymedium
Total liquidity of $1.31M is shallow relative to the $199M FDV (~0.66% ratio). Medium-to-large trades will face meaningful slippage. However, the Orca Whirlpool venue is reputable and the 24h volume of $2.21M shows the pool is actively used.
ConcentrationNot assessed
Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.
Sniper DumpNot assessed
Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.
AuthorityNot assessed
Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

Extreme holder decline: -54% in 7 days, -110% from 30-day peak — airdrop distribution still ongoing
Very high supply concentration: top 10 = 59.25%, top 100 = 95.39%
Mutable contract with non-renounced updateAuthority
Shallow liquidity ($1.31M) relative to FDV ($199M)
Consistent bearish price action with no reversal signals
Large airdrop cohort (22,882 holders) with zero cost basis still potentially selling

Mitigating factors

Kamino Finance is an established, real-utility DeFi protocol on Solana
Verified contract, not flagged as spam
Zero snipers at launch — clean token distribution mechanics
Active trading community: 2,317 unique wallets in 24h
Listed on reputable DEX (Orca Whirlpool)
Social presence across multiple platforms (Twitter, Telegram, Reddit, Website)

Suitable for

Suitable only for high-risk-tolerant investors with deep familiarity with Solana DeFi tokens and airdrop dynamics. Not suitable for conservative or income-focused investors. Position sizing should be small given the extreme concentration risk and ongoing holder exodus. Any investment should be considered speculative.

KMNO is the native token of Kamino Finance, a legitimate and active Solana DeFi protocol. The token is currently in a significant downtrend driven primarily by post-airdrop distribution, with the holder base having declined ~52% from its peak in just 17 days. The core investment question is whether the sell pressure from airdrop recipients will exhaust before the protocol's fundamental value proposition attracts new long-term holders. The extreme supply concentration (top 10 = 59.25%) and mutable contract are structural risks that must be weighed against Kamino's real utility and established presence.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

Airdrop sell-off exhausts within 2–4 weeks, Kamino Finance releases new protocol features or incentive programs, broader Solana DeFi market recovers, and new organic buyers absorb the remaining distribution. Price recovers to $0.025–$0.035 range.

End of airdrop distribution cycle as remaining holders are more committed
New Kamino Finance product launches or yield incentives driving protocol TVL growth
Broader Solana ecosystem bull market
Potential centralized exchange listings increasing accessibility
Protocol revenue sharing or staking mechanisms for KMNO holders

Base Case

Holder decline slows as the most price-insensitive airdrop recipients have already exited. Price stabilizes in the $0.016–$0.022 range over the next 30 days with moderate volatility. No major catalysts in either direction. Token trades as a mid-tier Solana DeFi governance token.

Airdrop distribution is ~60–70% complete based on the pace of holder decline
Large top holders (treasury, team) do not sell significant positions in the near term
Kamino Finance protocol continues operating without major exploits or TVL loss
Liquidity remains sufficient on Orca Whirlpool for normal retail trading

Bear Case

Medium probability

Holder decline continues accelerating, large vesting wallets begin unlocking and selling, liquidity dries up, and price falls below $0.015 toward $0.010 or lower. FDV compression to $100M or below.

Continued airdrop recipient selling with no new buyer cohort emerging
Vesting schedule unlocks for team/investor wallets (positions 2–10 in top holders)
Broader Solana DeFi market downturn or loss of TVL on Kamino Finance
Mutable contract authority used in a way that damages token holder confidence
Liquidity pool depth insufficient to absorb selling, causing price cascade

Analysis details

Generated

Apr 29, 07:50 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-04-29 19:50 UTC

Model confidence

Medium

Data sources

On-chain token metadata (Mint: KMNo3nJsBXfcpJTVhZcXLW7RmTwTt4GVFE7suUBo9sS)
Real-time price feed via Orca Whirlpool pair (3ndjN1nJVUKGrJBc1hhVpER6kWTZKHdyDrPyCJyX3CXK)
24 hourly OHLC candles (2026-04-28T20:00Z to 2026-04-29T19:00Z)
Trading analytics (buy/sell volume, unique wallets, transaction counts)
Holder metrics and distribution data (51,019 total holders)
30-day historical holder time series (daily)
Top 20 holder wallet addresses and balances
Sniper analysis (first 1,000 blocks)

Limitations

Mint authority and freeze authority status not explicitly provided — marked as unknown
No sniper data available (0 snipers detected) — limits smart money analysis
Top holder wallet classifications are inferred from balance patterns and context, not verified on-chain labels
30-day holder history only covers back to March 30 — pre-airdrop baseline unknown
No order book depth data available — slippage estimates are approximations
Vesting schedule and token unlock dates not available in provided data
No protocol TVL or revenue data provided to assess fundamental value

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments carry significant risk including total loss of capital. Past price performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.

Frequently Asked Questions

How concentrated is Kamino ownership?

Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 51,019 addresses (2026-04-29 19:50 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.

Are large holders selling Kamino?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is Kamino liquidity falling?

As of 2026-04-29 19:50 UTC, reported liquidity was $1,306,262.26. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.

What is the short-term price outlook for Kamino (KMNO)?

Is KMNO a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as high with a risk score of 7.5/100. Suitable only for high-risk-tolerant investors with deep familiarity with Solana DeFi tokens and airdrop dynamics. Not suitable for conservative or income-focused investors. Position sizing should be small given the extreme concentration risk and ongoing holder exodus. Any investment should be considered speculative.

What are the key risks of holding KMNO?

Extreme holder decline: -54% in 7 days, -110% from 30-day peak — airdrop distribution still ongoing • Very high supply concentration: top 10 = 59.25%, top 100 = 95.39% • Mutable contract with non-renounced updateAuthority