lily

lily Price Today & AI Analysis

lilySolanaAnalysis as of May 17, 2026

Price

$0.052200

FDV $2,196

Contract

Live
4XcjzJKsuCBKu2dUPjEh4JxC5uLzaFEGMUdqEKdypump

Chain

Solana

Holders

121

Market cap

$2,196

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lily: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-05-17 19:17 UTC

Holder addresses

736

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

Not available
How concentrated is lily ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 736 addresses (2026-05-17 19:17 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling lily?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is lily liquidity falling?
Liquidity is not available in the saved inputs. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-05-17 19:17 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

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Report snapshot

as of May 17, 07:17 PM UTC

FDV

$63,173

Liquidity

Not available

Holders

736

Snipers

Not available

Risk

Very High
Loading price chart…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Bearish

lily (LILY) is a newly launched Solana memecoin deployed via j7tracker.io on PumpSwap, with a total supply of 1 billion tokens and a fully diluted valuation of ~$63,173. The token has experienced an extreme 53.5% price crash within 24 hours, with sell pressure dominating at 75.8% of volume. Holder count surged from 15 to 736 in a single day, indicating a very recent launch event. The token is unverified, has unknown update authority, and exhibits multiple high-risk characteristics including zero reported on-chain liquidity, heavy sell-side dominance, and concentrated sniper activity.

Key points

  • Extreme 24h price decline of -53.49% from launch highs
  • Holder base grew from 15 to 736 entirely within the last 24 hours — brand new token
  • 75.8% sell pressure vs 24.2% buy pressure in 24h trading
  • Top 10 holders control 35.06% of supply; top 100 control 78.78%
  • 20 snipers identified in first 1000 blocks, all showing positive realized PnL — profit-taking underway
  • Zero reported on-chain liquidity despite active trading on PumpSwap

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term · 1–48 hours

bearish

The token has already shed 53.49% in 24 hours from its launch high of ~$0.000148. With 75.8% sell pressure, snipers actively taking profits (all 20 showing positive realized PnL), and zero reported liquidity depth, further downside is the most probable near-term outcome. The most recent candle closed at $0.0000632, well below the prior candle's close of $0.0000869.

Target low

$0.000020

Target high

$0.000095

Support

$0.0000524 (candle [1] low), $0.0000342 (candle [2] low — launch-area support)

Resistance

$0.0000869 (candle [1] open / candle [2] close), $0.000126 (candle [1] high), $0.000148 (candle [2] all-time high)

Medium term · 1–4 weeks

bearish

Without a verified contract, meaningful liquidity, or a clear use case beyond a tracker-deployed memecoin, sustained price recovery is unlikely. If sniper wallets and early whales continue distributing, the token could trend toward near-zero. A speculative pump is possible if social momentum builds, but fundamentals do not support it.

Catalysts

  • Unexpected viral social media traction on Twitter/website
  • Whale accumulation at depressed prices
  • Listing on a higher-tier DEX aggregator
  • Broader Solana memecoin market rally

Bullish factors

  • Holder count grew by 721 in a single day, showing rapid initial adoption
  • Some snipers have realized 100–183% gains, indicating early price appreciation occurred
  • PumpSwap listing provides accessible trading venue
  • Social links (Twitter, website) suggest some marketing effort

Bearish factors

  • Price down -53.49% in 24 hours
  • 75.8% sell pressure (6,151 sells vs 2,163 buys)
  • Zero reported on-chain liquidity — extreme slippage risk
  • All 20 snipers in profit and actively selling
  • Unverified contract, unknown update authority
  • Deployed via generic tracker tool — no unique value proposition
  • Top 100 holders control 78.78% of supply

Confidence: low. Only 2 hourly OHLC candles are available, the token is less than 24 hours old, liquidity is reported as $0, and sniper balance data is unknown. Price prediction confidence is therefore low.

Token Info

Chain
Solana
Contract
4XcjzJ...pump
Total Supply
1,000,000,000 LILY

Key Risks

  • Zero reported on-chain liquidity — extreme exit risk
  • All 20 snipers profitable and actively distributing
  • 75.8% sell pressure with 2.2x more sellers than buyers
  • -53.49% price decline in first 24 hours

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

Only 2 hourly candles are available. Candle [2] (18:00 UTC): O=$0.0000349, H=$0.000148, L=$0.0000342, C=$0.0000869 — a large bullish candle with an enormous upper wick, suggesting a violent pump followed by heavy selling. Candle [1] (19:00 UTC): O=$0.0000845, H=$0.000126, L=$0.0000524, C=$0.0000632 — a bearish candle that opened near the prior close, made a lower high ($0.000126 vs $0.000148), and closed near the low, forming a bearish engulfing/continuation pattern. Volume dropped from $256,687 to $119,810, confirming fading momentum.

Trend

Short-term

Downtrend

Medium-term

Downtrend

The two available candles show a clear lower high ($0.000148 → $0.000126) and a declining close ($0.0000869 → $0.0000632), establishing a short-term downtrend from the launch spike. Medium-term trend is also bearish given the -53.49% 24h decline.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Oversold

Volume trend

Decreasing

Buy

24%

Sell

76%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.0000524 (candle [1] low)

Major support

$0.0000342 (candle [2] low — launch floor)

Immediate resistance

$0.0000869 (candle [1] open / candle [2] close)

Major resistance

$0.000148 (candle [2] all-time high)

The all-time high of $0.000148 set in candle [2] is the major resistance. The candle [1] open of ~$0.0000845 acts as immediate resistance. The candle [1] low of $0.0000524 is the nearest support, with the launch-area low of $0.0000342 as the major support floor.

Notable patterns

  • Large upper wick on candle [2] — classic pump-and-dump wick indicating aggressive selling at highs
  • Lower high in candle [1] vs candle [2] — bearish lower-high formation
  • Bearish close near candle [1] low — sellers in control
  • Volume declining with price — distribution pattern confirmed
  • Gap between candle [2] open ($0.0000349) and candle [1] open ($0.0000845) — price gapped up then reversed

Liquidity

Liquidity

Not available

Depth

Not assessed

Slippage risk

Not assessed

Liquidity depth and slippage risk cannot be assessed without a liquidity observation.

Supply & authorities

Total supply

1,000,000,000 LILY

FDV

$63,172.76

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

  • Volatilityhigh

    Price dropped -53.49% in 24 hours from a launch spike high of $0.000148 to $0.0000632. Only 2 hourly candles exist, both showing extreme wicks and high volatility. The token is less than 24 hours old.

  • LiquidityNot assessed

    A liquidity observation is not available in the saved inputs.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Sniper DumpNot assessed

    Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.

  • AuthorityNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

  • Zero reported on-chain liquidity — extreme exit risk
  • All 20 snipers profitable and actively distributing
  • 75.8% sell pressure with 2.2x more sellers than buyers
  • -53.49% price decline in first 24 hours
  • Unverified contract with unknown authority status
  • Deployed via generic tool (j7tracker.io) — no unique value proposition
  • Top 100 holders control 78.78% of supply
  • Token was dormant for 30+ days before launch — suspicious pre-launch activity

Mitigating factors

  • Mutable=false prevents metadata manipulation
  • Social links present (Twitter, website, Moralis) — some marketing infrastructure
  • 736 holders acquired in 24h shows initial community interest
  • PumpSwap listing provides a trading venue
  • FDV of ~$63K is low, limiting absolute downside for the broader market

Suitable for

This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who can afford to lose 100% of their investment. It is NOT suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep familiarity with Solana memecoin dynamics and on-chain risk assessment.

lily (LILY) is a high-risk, newly launched Solana memecoin with no verified fundamentals, zero reported liquidity, and overwhelming sell pressure from snipers and early buyers. The token experienced a classic pump-and-dump pattern within its first two hours of trading. Any investment thesis is purely speculative and momentum-based.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

Viral social momentum drives a second wave of retail buying, pushing price back toward the $0.000126–$0.000148 resistance zone. If the Twitter/website campaign gains traction and liquidity deepens, early accumulation at current depressed prices (~$0.0000632) could yield 2–3x returns.

  • Successful viral marketing campaign on Twitter
  • Broader Solana memecoin market rally
  • Whale accumulation at current lows
  • Liquidity pool deepening on PumpSwap

Base Case

The token stabilizes in the $0.000030–$0.000065 range as initial sell pressure exhausts itself, with low trading volume and a small community of remaining holders. Price drifts sideways to slightly down over the next 1–2 weeks before fading into obscurity.

  • Sniper selling largely completes within 48 hours
  • A small core community of 200–400 holders remains
  • PumpSwap pool maintains minimal liquidity
  • No major marketing catalyst emerges

Bear Case

High probability

Remaining snipers and whale holders continue distributing, liquidity evaporates, and the token trends toward zero. With $0 reported liquidity and all early buyers in profit, a complete collapse to sub-$0.000010 or abandonment is plausible within days.

  • Continued sniper profit-taking
  • No new buyer demand to absorb sell pressure
  • Zero liquidity making price discovery impossible
  • Lack of unique value proposition or verified contract

Analysis details

Generated

May 17, 07:17 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-05-17 19:17 UTC

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

  • Solana on-chain metadata (mint, supply, authority)
  • PumpSwap DEX trading data (pair: 8oCu2N3XJbFZEX3JzDGNG3oMhqzufWRNdDGQeJSgdzRL)
  • Hourly OHLC candle data (2 candles, May 17 2026)
  • 24h trading analytics (volume, buys/sells, unique wallets)
  • Top 20 holder snapshot
  • 30-day historical holder series (daily)
  • Sniper analysis (first 1,000 blocks, 20 snipers)
  • Token metadata (j7tracker.io deployment, social links)

Limitations

  • Only 2 hourly OHLC candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis
  • Sniper token balances and total sniped USD amounts are unknown
  • On-chain liquidity reported as $0.00 — possible data feed issue
  • Update authority, mint authority, and freeze authority status are unknown
  • 1h/6h/24h price change reported as 0% — likely a data feed anomaly
  • Token is less than 24 hours old — all metrics are extremely preliminary
  • No verified contract — on-chain code cannot be audited

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does NOT constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially newly launched memecoins, carry extreme risk including total loss of capital. Always conduct your own research (DYOR) before making any investment decisions.

Frequently Asked Questions

How concentrated is lily ownership?

Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 736 addresses (2026-05-17 19:17 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.

Are large holders selling lily?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is lily liquidity falling?

Liquidity is not available in the saved inputs. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.

What is the short-term price outlook for lily (lily)?

The token has already shed 53.49% in 24 hours from its launch high of ~$0.000148. With 75.8% sell pressure, snipers actively taking profits (all 20 showing positive realized PnL), and zero reported liquidity depth, further downside is the most probable near-term outcome. The most recent candle closed at $0.0000632, well below the prior candle's close of $0.0000869. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–48 hours), with a target range of $0.000020 to $0.000095.

Is lily a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as very high with a risk score of 9.1/100. This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who can afford to lose 100% of their investment. It is NOT suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep familiarity with Solana memecoin dynamics and on-chain risk assessment.

What are the key risks of holding lily?

Zero reported on-chain liquidity — extreme exit risk • All 20 snipers profitable and actively distributing • 75.8% sell pressure with 2.2x more sellers than buyers

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