lily

lily Price Prediction 2026

lily
Solana
AI Analysis
Analysis as of May 17, 2026

4XcjzJKsuCBKu2dUPjEh4JxC5uLzaFEGMUdqEKdypump

$0.051691

FDV $1,688

LiveContract:4XcjzJKsuCBKu2dUPjEh4JxC5uLzaFEGMUdqEKdypumpChain:SolanaHolders:131Market cap:$1,688

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Report snapshotas of May 17, 07:17 PM
FDV

$63,173

Liquidity

$0

Holders

736

Snipers

43

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

lily (LILY) is a newly launched Solana memecoin deployed via j7tracker.io on PumpSwap, with a total supply of 1 billion tokens and a fully diluted valuation of ~$63,173. The token has experienced an extreme 53.5% price crash within 24 hours, with sell pressure dominating at 75.8% of volume. Holder count surged from 15 to 736 in a single day, indicating a very recent launch event. The token is unverified, has unknown update authority, and exhibits multiple high-risk characteristics including zero reported on-chain liquidity, heavy sell-side dominance, and concentrated sniper activity.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Bearish
Extreme 24h price decline of -53.49% from launch highs
Holder base grew from 15 to 736 entirely within the last 24 hours — brand new token
75.8% sell pressure vs 24.2% buy pressure in 24h trading
Top 10 holders control 35.06% of supply; top 100 control 78.78%
20 snipers identified in first 1000 blocks, all showing positive realized PnL — profit-taking underway
Zero reported on-chain liquidity despite active trading on PumpSwap

Price Prediction

bearish

Short term

bearish
1–48 hours

The token has already shed 53.49% in 24 hours from its launch high of ~$0.000148. With 75.8% sell pressure, snipers actively taking profits (all 20 showing positive realized PnL), and zero reported liquidity depth, further downside is the most probable near-term outcome. The most recent candle closed at $0.0000632, well below the prior candle's close of $0.0000869.

Target low$0.000020
Target high$0.000095
Support: $0.0000524 (candle [1] low), $0.0000342 (candle [2] low — launch-area support)
Resistance: $0.0000869 (candle [1] open / candle [2] close), $0.000126 (candle [1] high), $0.000148 (candle [2] all-time high)

Medium term

bearish
1–4 weeks

Without a verified contract, meaningful liquidity, or a clear use case beyond a tracker-deployed memecoin, sustained price recovery is unlikely. If sniper wallets and early whales continue distributing, the token could trend toward near-zero. A speculative pump is possible if social momentum builds, but fundamentals do not support it.

Catalysts
  • Unexpected viral social media traction on Twitter/website
  • Whale accumulation at depressed prices
  • Listing on a higher-tier DEX aggregator
  • Broader Solana memecoin market rally

Bullish factors

  • Holder count grew by 721 in a single day, showing rapid initial adoption
  • Some snipers have realized 100–183% gains, indicating early price appreciation occurred
  • PumpSwap listing provides accessible trading venue
  • Social links (Twitter, website) suggest some marketing effort

Bearish factors

  • Price down -53.49% in 24 hours
  • 75.8% sell pressure (6,151 sells vs 2,163 buys)
  • Zero reported on-chain liquidity — extreme slippage risk
  • All 20 snipers in profit and actively selling
  • Unverified contract, unknown update authority
  • Deployed via generic tracker tool — no unique value proposition
  • Top 100 holders control 78.78% of supply
Confidence: low. Only 2 hourly OHLC candles are available, the token is less than 24 hours old, liquidity is reported as $0, and sniper balance data is unknown. Price prediction confidence is therefore low.

Deep Analysis

Only 2 hourly candles are available. Candle [2] (18:00 UTC): O=$0.0000349, H=$0.000148, L=$0.0000342, C=$0.0000869 — a large bullish candle with an enormous upper wick, suggesting a violent pump followed by heavy selling. Candle [1] (19:00 UTC): O=$0.0000845, H=$0.000126, L=$0.0000524, C=$0.0000632 — a bearish candle that opened near the prior close, made a lower high ($0.000126 vs $0.000148), and closed near the low, forming a bearish engulfing/continuation pattern. Volume dropped from $256,687 to $119,810, confirming fading momentum.

Trend

Short-term
downtrend
Medium-term
downtrend

Momentum

Status
oversold

Volume

Trenddecreasing
Buy 24%Sell 76%

The two available candles show a clear lower high ($0.000148 → $0.000126) and a declining close ($0.0000869 → $0.0000632), establishing a short-term downtrend from the launch spike. Medium-term trend is also bearish given the -53.49% 24h decline.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.0000524 (candle [1] low)
Major$0.0000342 (candle [2] low — launch floor)
Resistance
Immediate$0.0000869 (candle [1] open / candle [2] close)
Major$0.000148 (candle [2] all-time high)

The all-time high of $0.000148 set in candle [2] is the major resistance. The candle [1] open of ~$0.0000845 acts as immediate resistance. The candle [1] low of $0.0000524 is the nearest support, with the launch-area low of $0.0000342 as the major support floor.

Notable patterns

  • Large upper wick on candle [2] — classic pump-and-dump wick indicating aggressive selling at highs
  • Lower high in candle [1] vs candle [2] — bearish lower-high formation
  • Bearish close near candle [1] low — sellers in control
  • Volume declining with price — distribution pattern confirmed
  • Gap between candle [2] open ($0.0000349) and candle [1] open ($0.0000845) — price gapped up then reversed

Total holders736
24h Δ+721
7d Δ+721
30d Δ+721
Accelerating Growth
No

Correlation with price

Holder count grew explosively from 15 to 736 (+721) coinciding with the launch event and initial price spike. However, this growth occurred simultaneously with a -53.49% price crash, indicating that new holders are buying into a declining price — a negative divergence. The historical data shows 15 holders for the entire prior 30-day period with zero change, confirming the token was dormant before the recent launch event.

The historical holder data reveals the token sat at exactly 15 holders for the entire 30-day lookback period (April 17 – May 16, 2026) with zero net change daily. All 721 new holders joined within the last 24 hours (likely within hours of the launch event on May 17, 2026). Growth rate of +4,807% in 24h is extraordinary but entirely attributable to a single launch event rather than organic accumulation. Holder distribution shows 153 whales, 98 sharks, 350 dolphins, 110 fish, and 39 octopus — a relatively whale-heavy distribution for a token with only 736 holders.

Top 10 hold35.06%
Top 100 hold78.78%
Sentiment
Distributing

Notable holders

8oCu2N3XJbFZEX3JzDGNG3oMhqzufWRNdDGQeJSgdzRL

DEX liquidity pool (PumpSwap pair address matches the trading pair listed in metadata)

17.16%

FZjgGkz1svQ4vPCnWnbbq87NfzC6GbnH9DHEWPURzUEA

Individual whale / early buyer

2.57%

D7nbdodQFJQKmtzXNt1ZGt4hcSutjxbwMe15NQmTuTP3

Individual whale / early buyer

2.43%

7Lo3ePgVGFN7ATNjtxqcN71ckaXZRdwZNB3DdenomTwW

Individual whale / early buyer

2.13%

DWRmZ8z9BU6U4snRGm5DyawT2Ra3qY8G8fMuLmhnGb8T

Individual whale / early buyer

2.05%

The top holder at 17.16% (8oCu2N3XJbFZEX3JzDGNG3oMhqzufWRNdDGQeJSgdzRL) matches the PumpSwap pair address listed in the metadata, classifying it as the DEX liquidity pool. Excluding the LP, the next 9 holders each control 1.58%–2.57%, totaling approximately 17.9% of supply. Top 10 collectively hold 35.06% and top 100 hold 78.78%, indicating significant concentration. The remaining 21.22% is spread across 636+ holders. Given the active sell pressure and sniper profit-taking, whale sentiment is classified as distributing.

Liquidity$0.00 (as reported)
Depth
Shallow
Slippage risk
high

Volume (24h)

Buy$105,900
Sell$332,530
Net flow
outflow

Traders (24h)

Unique buyers966
Unique sellers2,128

On-chain liquidity is reported as $0.00, which is an extreme red flag — it suggests either the liquidity pool is near-empty or the data feed is not capturing it correctly. Despite this, $438,430 in total 24h volume has been processed on PumpSwap. Sell volume ($332,530) is 3.14x buy volume ($105,900), and unique sellers (2,128) outnumber unique buyers (966) by 2.2x. The net flow is strongly negative (outflow). The 5-minute price change of -3.2% with 0% reported for 1h/6h/24h suggests a data anomaly or stale feed for those intervals. Overall market health is poor: thin liquidity, dominant sell pressure, and a rapidly declining price.

Supply & Valuation

Total supply1,000,000,000 LILY
FDV$63,172.76

Authorities

Mint authority
Active
Freeze authority
Active

Total supply is 1 billion LILY tokens (standard memecoin supply). The FDV is ~$63,173 at the current price of $0.0000632. The update authority is listed as 'unknown' in the metadata, and the contract is unverified. Mutable is set to false, which is a mild positive indicator (metadata cannot be changed), but mint and freeze authority status cannot be confirmed from the available data. The token was deployed via j7tracker.io — a generic deployment tool — which provides no additional trust signals. The unverified contract and unknown authority status mean rug risk from authorities cannot be ruled out.

Volatility
high

Price dropped -53.49% in 24 hours from a launch spike high of $0.000148 to $0.0000632. Only 2 hourly candles exist, both showing extreme wicks and high volatility. The token is less than 24 hours old.

Liquidity
high

On-chain liquidity is reported as $0.00. Even if this is a data feed issue, the shallow PumpSwap pool means large orders will face severe slippage. Exiting a meaningful position could be extremely difficult.

Concentration
high

Top 10 holders control 35.06% of supply; top 100 control 78.78%. Excluding the LP (17.16%), individual whales hold significant positions. A coordinated sell-off by top holders could devastate the price.

SniperDump
high

All 20 identified snipers are in profit (PnL range: +4.9% to +183.8%) and have been actively selling. Total sniper sell proceeds visible: ~$5,810 across 20 wallets. Unknown balances mean additional sell pressure may be pending.

Authority
medium

Update authority is unknown; mint and freeze authority status cannot be confirmed. The contract is unverified. Mutable=false provides some comfort but is insufficient without confirmed authority renouncement.

Key risks

  • Zero reported on-chain liquidity — extreme exit risk
  • All 20 snipers profitable and actively distributing
  • 75.8% sell pressure with 2.2x more sellers than buyers
  • -53.49% price decline in first 24 hours
  • Unverified contract with unknown authority status
  • Deployed via generic tool (j7tracker.io) — no unique value proposition
  • Top 100 holders control 78.78% of supply
  • Token was dormant for 30+ days before launch — suspicious pre-launch activity

Mitigating factors

  • Mutable=false prevents metadata manipulation
  • Social links present (Twitter, website, Moralis) — some marketing infrastructure
  • 736 holders acquired in 24h shows initial community interest
  • PumpSwap listing provides a trading venue
  • FDV of ~$63K is low, limiting absolute downside for the broader market
Suitable for: This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who can afford to lose 100% of their investment. It is NOT suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep familiarity with Solana memecoin dynamics and on-chain risk assessment.

lily (LILY) is a high-risk, newly launched Solana memecoin with no verified fundamentals, zero reported liquidity, and overwhelming sell pressure from snipers and early buyers. The token experienced a classic pump-and-dump pattern within its first two hours of trading. Any investment thesis is purely speculative and momentum-based.

Bull case (low)

Viral social momentum drives a second wave of retail buying, pushing price back toward the $0.000126–$0.000148 resistance zone. If the Twitter/website campaign gains traction and liquidity deepens, early accumulation at current depressed prices (~$0.0000632) could yield 2–3x returns.

  • Successful viral marketing campaign on Twitter
  • Broader Solana memecoin market rally
  • Whale accumulation at current lows
  • Liquidity pool deepening on PumpSwap

Base case

The token stabilizes in the $0.000030–$0.000065 range as initial sell pressure exhausts itself, with low trading volume and a small community of remaining holders. Price drifts sideways to slightly down over the next 1–2 weeks before fading into obscurity.

  • Sniper selling largely completes within 48 hours
  • A small core community of 200–400 holders remains
  • PumpSwap pool maintains minimal liquidity
  • No major marketing catalyst emerges

Bear case (high)

Remaining snipers and whale holders continue distributing, liquidity evaporates, and the token trends toward zero. With $0 reported liquidity and all early buyers in profit, a complete collapse to sub-$0.000010 or abandonment is plausible within days.

  • Continued sniper profit-taking
  • No new buyer demand to absorb sell pressure
  • Zero liquidity making price discovery impossible
  • Lack of unique value proposition or verified contract

GeneratedMay 17, 07:17 PM
Data freshnessPrice and trading data current as of ~19:00–20:00 UTC May 17, 2026. OHLC data covers only 2 hourly candles. Historical holder data through May 16, 2026 (day prior to launch event).
Model confidence
low

Data sources

  • Solana on-chain metadata (mint, supply, authority)
  • PumpSwap DEX trading data (pair: 8oCu2N3XJbFZEX3JzDGNG3oMhqzufWRNdDGQeJSgdzRL)
  • Hourly OHLC candle data (2 candles, May 17 2026)
  • 24h trading analytics (volume, buys/sells, unique wallets)
  • Top 20 holder snapshot
  • 30-day historical holder series (daily)
  • Sniper analysis (first 1,000 blocks, 20 snipers)
  • Token metadata (j7tracker.io deployment, social links)

Limitations

  • Only 2 hourly OHLC candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis
  • Sniper token balances and total sniped USD amounts are unknown
  • On-chain liquidity reported as $0.00 — possible data feed issue
  • Update authority, mint authority, and freeze authority status are unknown
  • 1h/6h/24h price change reported as 0% — likely a data feed anomaly
  • Token is less than 24 hours old — all metrics are extremely preliminary
  • No verified contract — on-chain code cannot be audited

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does NOT constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially newly launched memecoins, carry extreme risk including total loss of capital. Always conduct your own research (DYOR) before making any investment decisions.

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply1,000,000,000 LILY

Key Risks

Zero reported on-chain liquidity — extreme exit risk
All 20 snipers profitable and actively distributing
75.8% sell pressure with 2.2x more sellers than buyers
-53.49% price decline in first 24 hours

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

medium confidence
High risk

All 20 snipers identified in the first 1,000 blocks are in profit, with realized PnL percentages ranging from +4.9% (sniper #13) to +183.8% (sniper #3). High-value sellers include kEFiAX3jo5NmemysQov342TZ9mGh6yp92GDRjhA8XDf ($1,155 sold, +98.8%), 3XSYLa8VqkTV4RxKGG92nQb3gPziFFFEVLCYkEaEtZ5k ($1,147 sold, +104%), and E9RXTAXtXHwyuguYkRu7BVkYDN6Gp4JzNzopwBLHQTDq ($1,763 sold, +95.5%). The fact that all snipers are profitable and actively selling is a strong bearish signal — early buyers are distributing into retail demand.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration0.00%
PnL stateMostly In Profit
Sell-through rateModerate
Profit-taking risk
high

All 20 identified snipers show positive realized PnL (range: +4.9% to +183.8%). Sold amounts range from $1 to $1,763 per sniper. Exact token balances are unknown, so concentration % cannot be precisely calculated.

Negative — all 20 snipers are in profit and have been actively selling. This indicates early buyers are treating this as a quick flip rather than a long-term hold. The high realized PnL percentages (many above 100%) suggest they bought at launch and are now exiting.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the price prediction for lily (lily)?

The token has already shed 53.49% in 24 hours from its launch high of ~$0.000148. With 75.8% sell pressure, snipers actively taking profits (all 20 showing positive realized PnL), and zero reported liquidity depth, further downside is the most probable near-term outcome. The most recent candle closed at $0.0000632, well below the prior candle's close of $0.0000869. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–48 hours), with a target range of $0.000020 to $0.000095.

Is lily a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 9.1/100. This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who can afford to lose 100% of their investment. It is NOT suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep familiarity with Solana memecoin dynamics and on-chain risk assessment.

How are lily holders trending?

lily currently has 736 holders and is growing (24h: 721, 7d: 721, 30d: 721). The historical holder data reveals the token sat at exactly 15 holders for the entire 30-day lookback period (April 17 – May 16, 2026) with zero net change daily. All 721 new holders joined within the last 24 hours (likely within hours of the launch event on May 17, 2026). Growth rate of +4,807% in 24h is extraordinary but entirely attributable to a single launch event rather than organic accumulation. Holder distribution shows 153 whales, 98 sharks, 350 dolphins, 110 fish, and 39 octopus — a relatively whale-heavy distribution for a token with only 736 holders.

What does sniper activity look like for lily?

Snipers hold roughly 0.00% of supply with PnL state "mostly_in_profit" and sell-through rate "moderate". Profit-taking risk: high.

What are the key risks of holding lily?

Zero reported on-chain liquidity — extreme exit risk • All 20 snipers profitable and actively distributing • 75.8% sell pressure with 2.2x more sellers than buyers

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