DEER

The Drunk Deer Price Today & AI Analysis

DEERSolanaAnalysis as of May 14, 2026

Price

$0.052404

FDV $2,402

Contract

Live
4V9ebEKuL72Cu4zHmWjgNw4sxc9uuZBXRTqPj1sHpump

Chain

Solana

Holders

121

Market cap

$2,402

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The Drunk Deer: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-05-14 15:20 UTC

Holder addresses

540

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

Not available
How concentrated is The Drunk Deer ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 540 addresses (2026-05-14 15:20 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling The Drunk Deer?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is The Drunk Deer liquidity falling?
Liquidity is not available in the saved inputs. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-05-14 15:20 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

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Report snapshot

as of May 14, 03:20 PM UTC

FDV

$43,290

Liquidity

Not available

Holders

540

Snipers

Not available

Risk

Very High
Loading price chart…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Bearish

The Drunk Deer (DEER) is a Solana meme token launched on PumpSwap with a total supply of ~1B tokens and a fully diluted valuation of ~$43,290. The token is riding a viral news cycle, claiming coverage from ABC News, the New York Times, Polymarket, and Dexerto. It experienced a massive 111.47% price surge in the past 24 hours, but is now showing sharp short-term pullback (-15.93% in the last hour, -6.83% in the last 5 minutes). Holder count exploded from 68 to 540 within the last 24 hours — almost entirely within a single day — signaling a classic viral meme pump. Sell pressure dominates at 68.1% of 24h volume, and liquidity is reported at $0.00, indicating extremely high execution risk.

Key points

  • Viral media narrative (ABC News, NYT, Polymarket, Dexerto) driving rapid holder acquisition
  • Explosive 111.47% 24h price gain on low FDV (~$43K)
  • Holder count surged from 68 to 540 (+472) in a single day — entirely event-driven
  • Top holder (PumpSwap LP address) holds 19.73% of supply
  • Zero reported liquidity depth despite active trading — extreme slippage risk
  • 20 identified snipers with mixed but net-profitable PnL, indicating early smart money activity

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term · 1–24 hours

bearish

Price is already reversing sharply from the 24h high. The most recent hourly candle (15:00 UTC) shows a bearish close at $0.00004329 after opening at $0.00004810, forming a bearish engulfing-style rejection. The prior candle (14:00 UTC) was a strong bull candle from $0.00003677 to $0.00004705. With 68.1% sell pressure, 2,947 sells vs 1,891 buys, and zero reported liquidity, the path of least resistance is downward in the near term.

Target low

$0.000020

Target high

$0.000048

Support

$0.000040 (recent hourly low), $0.000036 (prior candle open/low), $0.000020 (pre-pump baseline estimate)

Resistance

$0.000047 (prior candle close / recent high), $0.000048 (current candle open / session high)

Medium term · 1–7 days

bearish

Viral meme tokens with sub-$50K FDV and zero sustained liquidity historically revert to pre-pump levels once the news cycle fades. The token sat dormant at 68 holders for 30 days before this event. Without continued media catalysts or exchange listings, a full retracement is the most probable medium-term outcome.

Catalysts

  • Continued viral media coverage sustaining new buyer inflow
  • Listing on a centralized exchange or aggregator
  • Broader Solana meme season momentum
  • Profit-taking and sniper exits accelerating the decline

Bullish factors

  • 111.47% 24h price gain demonstrates strong initial momentum
  • Viral news narrative (ABC News, NYT) could sustain buyer interest
  • Holder count growing rapidly (+472 in 24h) shows broad retail awareness
  • Several snipers showing 100%+ realized PnL suggests early buyers are profitable and may hold

Bearish factors

  • 68.1% sell pressure dominates 24h volume ($164.96K sells vs $77.40K buys)
  • Price already down -15.93% in the last hour and -6.83% in 5 minutes
  • Zero reported liquidity — extreme slippage and exit risk
  • Token was completely dormant (68 holders, zero change) for 30 days prior to this pump
  • Top 10 holders control 38.61% of supply; top 100 control 83.81%
  • FDV of only ~$43K means even small sell orders can crater the price

Confidence: low. Only 2 hourly OHLC candles are available, making technical analysis extremely limited. The token has a very short active trading history (dormant for 30 days prior). Zero liquidity depth reported makes price targets highly unreliable. Confidence is low due to data scarcity and extreme meme-driven volatility.

Token Info

Chain
Solana
Contract
4V9ebE...pump
Total Supply
999,999,171.02

Key Risks

  • Zero reported liquidity makes exit extremely difficult and slippage catastrophic
  • Token was dormant for 30+ days — entire holder base entered in the last 24 hours at elevated prices
  • 68.1% sell pressure with sellers outnumbering buyers 2:1
  • Top 100 holders control 83.81% of supply — extreme concentration

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

Only 2 hourly candles are available. Candle [2] (14:00 UTC): O=$0.00003677, H=$0.00004705, L=$0.00003677, C=$0.00004705 — a strong bullish candle with no upper wick and a close at the high, indicating aggressive buying. Candle [1] (15:00 UTC): O=$0.00004810, H=$0.00004810, L=$0.00004035, C=$0.00004329 — a bearish candle opening above the prior close (gap up), then selling off to close near the midpoint. This forms a bearish shooting-star/engulfing pattern, suggesting the rally is losing steam. Volume dropped sharply from $155,184 to $16,567 (-89%), confirming fading momentum.

Trend

Short-term

Downtrend

Medium-term

Sideways

The short-term trend has flipped bearish after the 15:00 UTC candle rejected from the $0.000048 high. The medium-term context is effectively 'sideways' given the token was dormant for 30 days and only has 2 candles of active price history to analyze.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Overbought

Volume trend

Decreasing

Buy

32%

Sell

68%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.000040 (15:00 candle low)

Major support

$0.000036 (14:00 candle open/low — base of the pump)

Immediate resistance

$0.000047 (14:00 candle close)

Major resistance

$0.000048 (15:00 candle open / session high)

The $0.000040 level is the first line of defense as it represents the most recent hourly low. A break below $0.000036 would signal a full retracement of the pump candle. On the upside, $0.000047–$0.000048 is a double resistance zone formed by the prior candle close and the current candle open.

Notable patterns

  • Bearish shooting star / engulfing on the 15:00 UTC candle — rejection from $0.000048 high
  • Volume exhaustion: 89% volume drop from candle [2] to candle [1]
  • Gap-up open on candle [1] above prior close ($0.000048 vs $0.000047) followed by immediate sell-off
  • Only 2 candles available — pattern analysis is severely limited by data scarcity

Liquidity

Liquidity

Not available

Depth

Not assessed

Slippage risk

Not assessed

Liquidity depth and slippage risk cannot be assessed without a liquidity observation.

Supply & authorities

Total supply

999,999,171.02

FDV

$43,290.05

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

  • Volatilityhigh

    111.47% pump in 24h followed by -15.93% in 1 hour and -6.83% in 5 minutes. Extreme intraday volatility with only 2 candles of price history available.

  • LiquidityNot assessed

    A liquidity observation is not available in the saved inputs.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Sniper DumpNot assessed

    Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.

  • AuthorityNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

  • Zero reported liquidity makes exit extremely difficult and slippage catastrophic
  • Token was dormant for 30+ days — entire holder base entered in the last 24 hours at elevated prices
  • 68.1% sell pressure with sellers outnumbering buyers 2:1
  • Top 100 holders control 83.81% of supply — extreme concentration
  • Viral news cycle is ephemeral; once coverage fades, demand driver disappears
  • Unverified contract and unknown authority status
  • Sniper profit-taking overhang from 20 identified early buyers
  • FDV of ~$43K means the token is trivially easy to manipulate

Mitigating factors

  • Mutable=false reduces metadata manipulation risk
  • PumpFun/PumpSwap origin suggests standard token mechanics with likely burned mint authority
  • Genuine viral media coverage (ABC News, NYT) provides real-world narrative catalyst
  • Rapid holder growth (+472 in 24h) shows broad retail awareness
  • Some snipers still holding suggests not all early money has exited

Suitable for

Suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who understand meme token mechanics, can monitor positions in real-time, and are prepared to lose 100% of their investment. Absolutely not suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone investing more than they can afford to lose entirely. This is a high-risk, short-duration speculative trade at best.

DEER is a pure viral meme play with no fundamental value proposition beyond its news cycle narrative. The investment case is entirely dependent on whether the 'Drunk Deer' story continues to attract new buyers faster than existing holders sell. The token's dormancy for 30+ days followed by a single-day explosion confirms this is an event-driven trade, not an organic growth story. The risk/reward is extremely asymmetric and unfavorable for new entrants at current prices.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

The viral media narrative sustains or intensifies over the next 24–72 hours, driving continued retail FOMO. New buyers absorb sell pressure, liquidity deepens, and the token achieves a higher FDV milestone (e.g., $100K–$500K). A centralized exchange listing or influencer amplification could extend the pump.

  • Continued or escalating mainstream media coverage
  • Influencer/KOL amplification on social media
  • Broader Solana meme season momentum lifting all meme tokens
  • CEX or aggregator listing increasing accessibility

Base Case

Price consolidates in the $0.000025–$0.000040 range over the next 24–48 hours as initial excitement fades but some residual interest remains. Gradual bleed lower over 7 days as holders who bought the pump slowly exit, settling 60–80% below the 24h high.

  • Media coverage provides a brief tail of interest but does not sustain a second leg up
  • Liquidity remains thin, limiting both upside and orderly downside
  • Sniper and whale selling continues at a moderate pace
  • No major new catalysts emerge (no CEX listing, no influencer push)

Bear Case

High probability

The news cycle fades within hours. Sniper and whale profit-taking accelerates, sell pressure overwhelms thin liquidity, and the price retraces 80–95% back toward pre-pump levels (~$0.000005–$0.000010). The token returns to dormancy with a small residual holder base.

  • News cycle is already 24h old — attention span for viral memes is extremely short
  • 68.1% sell pressure already dominant with sellers 2x buyers
  • Zero liquidity depth means price impact of selling is severe
  • Token was dormant for 30 days prior — no organic community or utility
  • Sniper overhang with profitable early buyers still holding

Analysis details

Generated

May 14, 03:20 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-05-14 15:20 UTC

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

  • On-chain Solana token metadata (mint: 4V9ebEKuL72Cu4zHmWjgNw4sxc9uuZBXRTqPj1sHpump)
  • PumpSwap DEX price and pair data (pair: 879dCFsLT62wDbcAR2dA6hjwwTuhZH5ZHZs3Ymc4mpAM)
  • Hourly OHLC candle data (2 candles, 2026-05-14 14:00–15:00 UTC)
  • 24h trading analytics (buy/sell volume, unique wallets, price changes)
  • Holder metrics and distribution data (total holders, acquisition method, concentration)
  • Historical holder time series (30 days, daily)
  • Top 20 holder addresses and balances
  • Sniper analysis (20 snipers, first 1,000 blocks)
  • Token description and social metadata

Limitations

  • Only 2 hourly OHLC candles available — technical analysis is severely constrained
  • Total liquidity reported as $0.00 — may be a data artifact; true liquidity depth unknown
  • Sniper sniped amounts and current balances are largely 'unknown' — concentration calculations are estimates
  • Mint and freeze authority status cannot be confirmed from provided data
  • Update authority listed as 'unknown' — rug risk from authorities cannot be fully assessed
  • 6h and 24h price change reported as 0% in analytics despite clear price movement — possible data inconsistency
  • No order book depth data available
  • No historical price data beyond 2 candles

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Meme tokens carry extreme risk of total loss. Past price performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and never invest more than you can afford to lose entirely.

Frequently Asked Questions

How concentrated is The Drunk Deer ownership?

Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 540 addresses (2026-05-14 15:20 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.

Are large holders selling The Drunk Deer?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is The Drunk Deer liquidity falling?

Liquidity is not available in the saved inputs. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.

What is the short-term price outlook for The Drunk Deer (DEER)?

Price is already reversing sharply from the 24h high. The most recent hourly candle (15:00 UTC) shows a bearish close at $0.00004329 after opening at $0.00004810, forming a bearish engulfing-style rejection. The prior candle (14:00 UTC) was a strong bull candle from $0.00003677 to $0.00004705. With 68.1% sell pressure, 2,947 sells vs 1,891 buys, and zero reported liquidity, the path of least resistance is downward in the near term. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.000020 to $0.000048.

Is DEER a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as very high with a risk score of 9.1/100. Suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who understand meme token mechanics, can monitor positions in real-time, and are prepared to lose 100% of their investment. Absolutely not suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone investing more than they can afford to lose entirely. This is a high-risk, short-duration speculative trade at best.

What are the key risks of holding DEER?

Zero reported liquidity makes exit extremely difficult and slippage catastrophic • Token was dormant for 30+ days — entire holder base entered in the last 24 hours at elevated prices • 68.1% sell pressure with sellers outnumbering buyers 2:1

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