MCGREGOR

The Notorious Bull Price Today & AI Analysis

MCGREGOR
Solana
AI Analysis
Analysis as of Jul 11, 2026

4VQcAbAFcCWit2dLon3TZZbHYAei4ctCKF1jXF8Qpump

$0.052139

+2.86%

FDV $2,134

LiveContract:4VQcAbAFcCWit2dLon3TZZbHYAei4ctCKF1jXF8QpumpChain:SolanaHolders:392Market cap:$2,134

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Ask Unhosted AI about MCGREGOR

Report snapshotas of Jul 11, 11:17 PM
FDV

$175,909

Liquidity

$49,885

Holders

771

Snipers

0

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

MCGREGOR ('The Notorious Bull') is a PumpSwap-listed Solana memecoin (mint: 4VQcAbAFcCWit2dLon3TZZbHYAei4ctCKF1jXF8Qpump) with ~1B total supply and a fully diluted valuation of ~$175K. The token has experienced an explosive +299% 24h price surge, but this is accompanied by severe red flags: sell pressure dominates at 66.5% of 24h volume ($158.9K sells vs $79.9K buys), liquidity is extremely thin at ~$49.9K, top holder data is entirely unavailable, and the historical holder count was completely flat at 113 for 30 consecutive days before a sudden +658 holder spike in the last 24h. The token is unverified, has no description, and its update authority is unknown. This profile is consistent with a pump-and-dump or coordinated manipulation event.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Bearish
+299% 24h price spike on extremely thin $49.9K liquidity — classic pump signal
Holder count was frozen at 113 for 30 days, then jumped +658 in 24h — highly anomalous
Sell pressure dominates at 66.5% of 24h volume ($158.9K sells vs $79.9K buys)
Top holder data entirely unavailable — concentration risk cannot be assessed
No sniper data available; authority status unknown; unverified contract

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term

bearish
1–24 hours

The token has pumped +299% in 24h and +471% in 6h, with the most recent hourly candle showing a close well below the high (~$0.0000807 close vs $0.0001349 high in candle [1]), indicating strong rejection at the top. Sell pressure is 66.5% of volume. A sharp retracement toward the pre-pump range (~$0.000025–$0.000033) is the most probable near-term outcome given the dominant selling and thin liquidity.

Target low$0.000022
Target high$0.000176
Support: $0.000054 (recent candle open/close cluster), $0.000033 (pre-pump consolidation zone), $0.000022 (candle [6] low)
Resistance: $0.000135 (candle [1] high — intraday spike), $0.000176 (current price / 24h high area)

Medium term

bearish
1–4 weeks

Without sustained buy pressure, meaningful liquidity depth, or fundamental catalysts, the token is unlikely to hold its pumped price level. The 30-day dormancy period followed by a sudden spike is a classic pump-and-dump pattern. Medium-term price action is expected to revert toward pre-pump levels or lower as early buyers distribute.

Catalysts
  • Any renewed social media or influencer-driven hype could trigger another short-lived pump
  • Broader Solana memecoin market rally could provide temporary lift
  • Absence of new buyers will accelerate price decline as sellers dominate

Bullish factors

  • Explosive +299% 24h price momentum could attract additional speculative buyers
  • 1h holder growth of +151 (+20%) suggests rapid new interest
  • 1h price change of +65% shows very recent buying activity
  • Token is on PumpSwap, which provides some baseline accessibility

Bearish factors

  • Sell pressure dominates at 66.5% of 24h volume ($158.9K sells vs $79.9K buys)
  • Liquidity is extremely thin at ~$49.9K — large orders will cause severe slippage
  • Holder count was flat at 113 for 30 consecutive days — suggests artificial dormancy
  • Top holder concentration data unavailable — hidden whale risk
  • Unverified contract, unknown update authority, no project description
  • Recent candles show strong rejection wicks at highs (candle [1]: high $0.0001349, close $0.0000807)
  • 24h price change shown as 0% in analytics despite 299% in price feed — data inconsistency raises manipulation concerns
Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to missing top holder data, unknown authority status, no sniper data, and the highly manipulated-looking price and holder pattern. Memecoins of this profile are extremely unpredictable and the data gaps prevent reliable modeling.

MCGREGOR call history

Full track record →
Jul 11bearish
24h-98.7%
7d-98.9%
30d-99.0%

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Deep Analysis

9 hourly candles reviewed (15:00–23:00 UTC, July 11 2026). The token launched from a base around $0.000025–$0.000033 (candles [6]–[7]), then surged sharply through candles [5]–[3] reaching highs of $0.000079–$0.000086. Candle [1] (most recent) shows an anomalous OHLC where L > H (L:$0.0001349 > H:$0.0000807), which is a data quality issue — likely the high and low are swapped. Interpreting candle [1] as H:$0.0001349, L:$0.0000807, C:$0.0000807 suggests a strong bearish rejection candle (price spiked to $0.0001349 then closed near the low at $0.0000807). The overall pattern is a parabolic pump followed by early signs of distribution.

Trend

Short-term
uptrend
Medium-term
uptrend

Momentum

Status
overbought

Volume

Trenddecreasing
Buy 34%Sell 67%

Short and medium-term trend is technically up given the +299% 24h move, but the most recent candle shows a bearish rejection at the high, and sell pressure dominates. The uptrend is fragile and driven by speculative momentum rather than organic accumulation.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.000054 (cluster of opens/closes in candles [1]–[4])
Major$0.000022 (candle [6] low — pre-pump base)
Resistance
Immediate$0.000087 (candle [3] high / candle [9] high area)
Major$0.000135 (candle [1] spike high — intraday extreme)

The $0.000054 level has acted as a pivot point across multiple candles. A break below this opens the path to the $0.000033 pre-pump zone and ultimately the $0.000022 base. Resistance at $0.000087 and $0.000135 represents the pump highs that sellers have defended strongly.

Notable patterns

  • Parabolic pump pattern: price rose ~6x from base ($0.000022) to spike high ($0.000135) within 9 hours
  • Bearish rejection candle [1]: spiked to $0.0001349 high but closed near low at $0.0000807 — shooting star / bearish pin bar
  • Volume declining from peak (candle [9] $54.2K) through mid-session — weakening momentum
  • Candle [8]: large lower wick from $0.0000168 low to $0.0000584 high — extreme volatility and potential wash trading
  • Higher highs across candles [6]→[5]→[3]→[1] but with diminishing close strength — classic pump exhaustion

Total holders771
24h Δ+85
7d Δ+85
30d Δ+85
Accelerating Growth
Yes

Correlation with price

The holder count was completely flat at 113 for the entire 30-day historical window (June 11 – July 10, 2026), then exploded +658 holders (+85%) in the last 24 hours, perfectly coinciding with the +299% price pump. This is a highly anomalous pattern — the correlation is not organic growth but rather a sudden retail FOMO influx triggered by the price spike.

The historical holder data reveals a deeply suspicious pattern: exactly 113 holders for 30 consecutive days with zero net change, followed by a sudden +658 holder surge in 24h. This is inconsistent with natural token growth and suggests either: (1) the token was dormant/abandoned and then relaunched/pumped, (2) the holder count was artificially suppressed, or (3) a coordinated pump event attracted a wave of new retail buyers. The 1h growth of +151 holders (+20%) shows the influx is still ongoing at time of analysis. The 7d and 30d growth figures both equal the 24h figure (85%), confirming all growth occurred within the last 24 hours.

Top 10 hold0.00%
Top 100 hold0.00%
Sentiment
Mixed

Notable holders

N/A

Top holder data unavailable — no top holders returned by data source

0.00%

Top holder data is entirely unavailable for this token — the data source returned no top 20 holders and supply concentration metrics show 0% for both top 10 and top 100, which is almost certainly a data gap rather than a genuine distribution figure. This is a critical blind spot: without knowing who holds the supply, concentration risk cannot be assessed. Given the token's pump-and-dump profile, dormant 30-day history, and the fact that only 113 holders existed for a month before the pump, it is highly probable that a small number of wallets hold a disproportionate share of supply. The distribution is classified as 'very_concentrated' as a conservative risk assumption given the data gap.

Liquidity$49,890
Depth
Shallow
Slippage risk
high

Volume (24h)

Buy$79,870
Sell$158,890
Net flow
outflow

Traders (24h)

Unique buyers900
Unique sellers1,272

Liquidity is critically thin at ~$49.9K on a single PumpSwap pair (73TZkLsbqzGSJE4zCUq4vaRCWHJB42QQWpK6DFRGwmPH). With a FDV of ~$175K and only $49.9K in liquidity, the liquidity-to-FDV ratio is approximately 28.5% — extremely low and indicative of high slippage risk for any meaningful position size. The 24h net flow is strongly negative: sell volume ($158.9K) is nearly double buy volume ($79.9K), with 1,272 unique sellers vs 900 unique buyers. Total 24h volume of ~$238.8K is nearly 5x the total liquidity pool, meaning the pool has been turned over multiple times — a hallmark of a pump event with heavy distribution. Any attempt to exit a large position will face severe slippage given the shallow pool depth.

Supply & Valuation

Total supply999,999,624.05
FDV$175,908.54

Authorities

Mint authority
Active
Freeze authority
Active

Total supply is ~1B tokens (999,999,624.05) with 6 decimals, consistent with a standard PumpFun/PumpSwap launch. The FDV is ~$175.9K at current price. Update authority is listed as 'unknown' in the metadata, and the token is marked as 'mutable: false' — the immutability flag provides some reassurance that metadata cannot be changed, but without confirmed authority renouncement (mint and freeze), the rug risk from authorities cannot be fully assessed. The token is unverified and has no description. The 'mutable: false' flag is a mild positive signal, but the unknown authority status means mint and freeze authority risks remain unresolved. Investors should treat authority risk as elevated until confirmed renounced on-chain.

Volatility
high

+299% in 24h, +471% in 6h, with candles showing extreme intraday swings (candle [8] low: $0.0000168 to high: $0.0000584 in one hour). This is one of the most volatile profiles possible for a micro-cap token.

Liquidity
high

Only $49.9K total liquidity on a single PumpSwap pool. 24h volume of ~$238.8K is ~4.8x the liquidity pool. Any position above a few hundred dollars will face significant slippage. Exit risk is severe.

Concentration
high

Top holder data is entirely unavailable. The token had only 113 holders for 30 days, strongly implying high concentration among early wallets. Supply concentration metrics returned 0% which is a data gap, not a genuine distribution figure.

SniperDump
high

No sniper data available, but the 30-day dormant holder base of 113 wallets that is now distributing into +658 new retail buyers is functionally equivalent to a sniper/early holder dump scenario. Sell pressure at 66.5% confirms active distribution.

Authority
medium

Update authority is 'unknown'. Token is marked 'mutable: false' which is a partial positive, but mint and freeze authority status cannot be confirmed as renounced. Risk is elevated but not confirmed high.

Key risks

  • Pump-and-dump pattern: 30-day dormancy at 113 holders followed by sudden +299% price spike and +658 new holders in 24h
  • Dominant sell pressure: 66.5% of 24h volume is sells ($158.9K vs $79.9K buys)
  • Critically thin liquidity ($49.9K) — severe exit slippage risk
  • Top holder data entirely unavailable — hidden concentration risk
  • Unknown mint/freeze authority status — potential rug vector
  • Unverified contract with no project description or whitepaper
  • Data inconsistency: 24h price change shows 0% in analytics vs 299% in price feed — possible manipulation or data error
  • Single liquidity pool on PumpSwap — no diversified market depth

Mitigating factors

  • Token marked 'mutable: false' — metadata cannot be changed
  • Not flagged as spam by data provider
  • Social links present (Twitter, website, Moralis) — some project presence
  • PumpSwap listing provides basic on-chain accessibility and price discovery
  • 1,670 unique wallets active in 24h shows genuine market participation
Suitable for: This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who fully understand they may lose 100% of their investment. It is entirely unsuitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep experience in high-risk Solana memecoins. The risk profile is consistent with a pump-and-dump event.

MCGREGOR presents an extremely high-risk speculative profile. The token exhibits multiple hallmarks of a coordinated pump-and-dump: 30 days of complete dormancy at 113 holders, a sudden +299% price spike, dominant sell pressure (66.5%), critically thin liquidity, and missing top holder data. While short-term momentum traders may find brief opportunities, the structural setup strongly favors early holders distributing into new retail buyers. This is not an investment — it is a speculation on timing a pump exit.

Bull case (low)

Continued momentum attracts additional retail and bot buyers, driving a secondary pump leg. Social media virality around the 'MCGREGOR' brand drives FOMO. Price temporarily extends toward $0.0003–$0.0005 before eventual reversion.

  • Strong 1h momentum (+65%) and ongoing holder growth (+151 in last hour)
  • Recognizable celebrity-adjacent branding could attract social media attention
  • Broader Solana memecoin market in risk-on mode could amplify moves
  • Low FDV ($175K) means relatively small capital needed to move price significantly

Base case

The pump momentum fades within 24–48 hours as sell pressure continues to dominate. Price retraces 60–80% from current levels to the $0.000035–$0.000055 range. A small residual holder base remains, but trading activity drops sharply. The token may experience periodic low-volume pumps but fails to establish a sustainable price floor.

  • Sell pressure remains dominant (>60% of volume) as early holders continue distributing
  • No major new catalyst (influencer, exchange listing, partnership) emerges
  • Liquidity remains thin and does not attract significant new LP deposits
  • The 658 new holders from the pump event gradually exit at a loss

Bear case (high)

Early holders (the 113 dormant wallets) continue distributing into new retail buyers. Sell pressure overwhelms thin liquidity, price collapses back to pre-pump levels ($0.000022–$0.000033) or lower. Liquidity is withdrawn, effectively stranding late buyers.

  • 66.5% sell pressure already dominant in 24h volume
  • 1,272 unique sellers vs 900 unique buyers — more participants are exiting than entering
  • Only $49.9K liquidity — a few large sells will crater the price
  • No fundamental value proposition, no verified contract, no project description
  • Historical pattern of 30-day dormancy is consistent with pre-pump accumulation by insiders

GeneratedJul 11, 11:17 PM
Data freshnessPrice and candle data current as of 2026-07-11T23:00:00Z. Holder metrics reflect 24h window. Historical holders cover June 11 – July 10, 2026.
Model confidence
low

Data sources

  • Moralis Solana Token Metadata API (mint: 4VQcAbAFcCWit2dLon3TZZbHYAei4ctCKF1jXF8Qpump)
  • Moralis Price Feed (USD and WSOL)
  • Moralis OHLC Candles (hourly, 9 candles, July 11 2026)
  • Moralis Trading Analytics (24h buy/sell volume, unique wallets)
  • Moralis Holder Metrics (total holders, acquisition method, distribution)
  • Moralis Historical Holders (30-day daily series)
  • Moralis Top Holders API (returned no data)
  • Moralis Sniper Analysis API (returned no data)
  • PumpSwap pair data (pair: 73TZkLsbqzGSJE4zCUq4vaRCWHJB42QQWpK6DFRGwmPH)

Limitations

  • Top holder data entirely unavailable — concentration risk cannot be quantified
  • Sniper analysis data unavailable — early buyer behavior cannot be assessed
  • Update authority status is 'unknown' — mint/freeze authority renouncement unconfirmed
  • OHLC candle [1] contains anomalous data (L > H) suggesting possible data feed error
  • 24h price change discrepancy (0% in analytics vs 299% in price feed) is unexplained
  • Only 9 hourly candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis
  • No on-chain program verification data available
  • Token description is absent — no project fundamentals to evaluate
  • Supply concentration metrics returned 0% for top 10 and top 100 — likely a data gap, not genuine distribution

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does NOT constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially micro-cap memecoins, carry extreme risk of total loss. The analyst has no position in this token. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply999,999,624.05

Key Risks

Pump-and-dump pattern: 30-day dormancy at 113 holders followed by sudden +299% price spike and +658 new holders in 24h
Dominant sell pressure: 66.5% of 24h volume is sells ($158.9K vs $79.9K buys)
Critically thin liquidity ($49.9K) — severe exit slippage risk
Top holder data entirely unavailable — hidden concentration risk

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

low confidence
High risk

No sniper data is available for this token. Smart money signals cannot be derived from sniper activity. However, the broader trading pattern — 66.5% sell pressure, 1,272 unique sellers vs 900 unique buyers, and a 30-day dormant holder base suddenly activated — is consistent with coordinated early holder distribution rather than organic smart money accumulation.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration0.00%
PnL stateUnknown
Sell-through rateUnknown
Profit-taking risk
high

No sniper data available — sniper analysis endpoint returned no results.

Unknown from sniper data. The 30-day flat holder count at 113 suggests a small group of early holders who may now be distributing into the pump-driven retail inflow of +658 new holders in 24h.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the short-term price outlook for The Notorious Bull (MCGREGOR)?

The token has pumped +299% in 24h and +471% in 6h, with the most recent hourly candle showing a close well below the high (~$0.0000807 close vs $0.0001349 high in candle [1]), indicating strong rejection at the top. Sell pressure is 66.5% of volume. A sharp retracement toward the pre-pump range (~$0.000025–$0.000033) is the most probable near-term outcome given the dominant selling and thin liquidity. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.000022 to $0.000176.

Is MCGREGOR a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 9.1/100. This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who fully understand they may lose 100% of their investment. It is entirely unsuitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep experience in high-risk Solana memecoins. The risk profile is consistent with a pump-and-dump event.

How are MCGREGOR holders trending?

The Notorious Bull currently has 771 holders and is growing (24h: 85, 7d: 85, 30d: 85). The historical holder data reveals a deeply suspicious pattern: exactly 113 holders for 30 consecutive days with zero net change, followed by a sudden +658 holder surge in 24h. This is inconsistent with natural token growth and suggests either: (1) the token was dormant/abandoned and then relaunched/pumped, (2) the holder count was artificially suppressed, or (3) a coordinated pump event attracted a wave of new retail buyers. The 1h growth of +151 holders (+20%) shows the influx is still ongoing at time of analysis. The 7d and 30d growth figures both equal the 24h figure (85%), confirming all growth occurred within the last 24 hours.

What does sniper activity look like for MCGREGOR?

Snipers hold roughly 0.00% of supply with PnL state "unknown" and sell-through rate "unknown". Profit-taking risk: high.

What are the key risks of holding MCGREGOR?

Pump-and-dump pattern: 30-day dormancy at 113 holders followed by sudden +299% price spike and +658 new holders in 24h • Dominant sell pressure: 66.5% of 24h volume is sells ($158.9K vs $79.9K buys) • Critically thin liquidity ($49.9K) — severe exit slippage risk

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