MCGREGOR

The Notorious Bull Price Today & AI Analysis

MCGREGORSolanaAnalysis as of Jul 11, 2026

Price

$0.052594

Contract

Live
4VQcAbAFcCWit2dLon3TZZbHYAei4ctCKF1jXF8Qpump

Chain

Holders

361

Market cap

$2,588

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The Notorious Bull: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-07-11 23:17 UTC

Holder addresses

771

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

$49,885.19
How concentrated is The Notorious Bull ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 771 addresses (2026-07-11 23:17 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling The Notorious Bull?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is The Notorious Bull liquidity falling?
As of 2026-07-11 23:17 UTC, reported liquidity was $49,885.19. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-07-11 23:17 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

Report snapshot

as of Jul 11, 11:17 PM UTC

FDV

$175,909

Liquidity

$49,885.19

Holders

771

Snipers

Not available

Risk

Very High
Loading price chart…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Bearish

MCGREGOR ('The Notorious Bull') is a PumpSwap-listed Solana memecoin (mint: 4VQcAbAFcCWit2dLon3TZZbHYAei4ctCKF1jXF8Qpump) with ~1B total supply and a fully diluted valuation of ~$175K. The token has experienced an explosive +299% 24h price surge, but this is accompanied by severe red flags: sell pressure dominates at 66.5% of 24h volume ($158.9K sells vs $79.9K buys), liquidity is extremely thin at ~$49.9K, top holder data is entirely unavailable, and the historical holder count was completely flat at 113 for 30 consecutive days before a sudden +658 holder spike in the last 24h. The token is unverified, has no description, and its update authority is unknown. This profile is consistent with a pump-and-dump or coordinated manipulation event.

Key points

  • +299% 24h price spike on extremely thin $49.9K liquidity — classic pump signal
  • Holder count was frozen at 113 for 30 days, then jumped +658 in 24h — highly anomalous
  • Sell pressure dominates at 66.5% of 24h volume ($158.9K sells vs $79.9K buys)
  • Top holder data entirely unavailable — concentration risk cannot be assessed
  • No sniper data available; authority status unknown; unverified contract

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term · 1–24 hours

bearish

The token has pumped +299% in 24h and +471% in 6h, with the most recent hourly candle showing a close well below the high (~$0.0000807 close vs $0.0001349 high in candle [1]), indicating strong rejection at the top. Sell pressure is 66.5% of volume. A sharp retracement toward the pre-pump range (~$0.000025–$0.000033) is the most probable near-term outcome given the dominant selling and thin liquidity.

Target low

$0.000022

Target high

$0.000176

Support

$0.000054 (recent candle open/close cluster), $0.000033 (pre-pump consolidation zone), $0.000022 (candle [6] low)

Resistance

$0.000135 (candle [1] high — intraday spike), $0.000176 (current price / 24h high area)

Medium term · 1–4 weeks

bearish

Without sustained buy pressure, meaningful liquidity depth, or fundamental catalysts, the token is unlikely to hold its pumped price level. The 30-day dormancy period followed by a sudden spike is a classic pump-and-dump pattern. Medium-term price action is expected to revert toward pre-pump levels or lower as early buyers distribute.

Catalysts

  • Any renewed social media or influencer-driven hype could trigger another short-lived pump
  • Broader Solana memecoin market rally could provide temporary lift
  • Absence of new buyers will accelerate price decline as sellers dominate

Bullish factors

  • Explosive +299% 24h price momentum could attract additional speculative buyers
  • 1h holder growth of +151 (+20%) suggests rapid new interest
  • 1h price change of +65% shows very recent buying activity
  • Token is on PumpSwap, which provides some baseline accessibility

Bearish factors

  • Sell pressure dominates at 66.5% of 24h volume ($158.9K sells vs $79.9K buys)
  • Liquidity is extremely thin at ~$49.9K — large orders will cause severe slippage
  • Holder count was flat at 113 for 30 consecutive days — suggests artificial dormancy
  • Top holder concentration data unavailable — hidden whale risk
  • Unverified contract, unknown update authority, no project description
  • Recent candles show strong rejection wicks at highs (candle [1]: high $0.0001349, close $0.0000807)
  • 24h price change shown as 0% in analytics despite 299% in price feed — data inconsistency raises manipulation concerns

Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to missing top holder data, unknown authority status, no sniper data, and the highly manipulated-looking price and holder pattern. Memecoins of this profile are extremely unpredictable and the data gaps prevent reliable modeling.

MCGREGOR call history

Full track record →

Jul 11bearish
24h-98.7%
7d-98.9%
30d-99.0%

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Solana
Contract
4VQcAb...pump
Total Supply
999,999,624.05

Key Risks

  • Pump-and-dump pattern: 30-day dormancy at 113 holders followed by sudden +299% price spike and +658 new holders in 24h
  • Dominant sell pressure: 66.5% of 24h volume is sells ($158.9K vs $79.9K buys)
  • Critically thin liquidity ($49.9K) — severe exit slippage risk
  • Top holder data entirely unavailable — hidden concentration risk

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

9 hourly candles reviewed (15:00–23:00 UTC, July 11 2026). The token launched from a base around $0.000025–$0.000033 (candles [6]–[7]), then surged sharply through candles [5]–[3] reaching highs of $0.000079–$0.000086. Candle [1] (most recent) shows an anomalous OHLC where L > H (L:$0.0001349 > H:$0.0000807), which is a data quality issue — likely the high and low are swapped. Interpreting candle [1] as H:$0.0001349, L:$0.0000807, C:$0.0000807 suggests a strong bearish rejection candle (price spiked to $0.0001349 then closed near the low at $0.0000807). The overall pattern is a parabolic pump followed by early signs of distribution.

Trend

Short-term

Uptrend

Medium-term

Uptrend

Short and medium-term trend is technically up given the +299% 24h move, but the most recent candle shows a bearish rejection at the high, and sell pressure dominates. The uptrend is fragile and driven by speculative momentum rather than organic accumulation.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Overbought

Volume trend

Decreasing

Buy

34%

Sell

67%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.000054 (cluster of opens/closes in candles [1]–[4])

Major support

$0.000022 (candle [6] low — pre-pump base)

Immediate resistance

$0.000087 (candle [3] high / candle [9] high area)

Major resistance

$0.000135 (candle [1] spike high — intraday extreme)

The $0.000054 level has acted as a pivot point across multiple candles. A break below this opens the path to the $0.000033 pre-pump zone and ultimately the $0.000022 base. Resistance at $0.000087 and $0.000135 represents the pump highs that sellers have defended strongly.

Notable patterns

  • Parabolic pump pattern: price rose ~6x from base ($0.000022) to spike high ($0.000135) within 9 hours
  • Bearish rejection candle [1]: spiked to $0.0001349 high but closed near low at $0.0000807 — shooting star / bearish pin bar
  • Volume declining from peak (candle [9] $54.2K) through mid-session — weakening momentum
  • Candle [8]: large lower wick from $0.0000168 low to $0.0000584 high — extreme volatility and potential wash trading
  • Higher highs across candles [6]→[5]→[3]→[1] but with diminishing close strength — classic pump exhaustion

Liquidity

Liquidity

$49,885.19

Depth

Shallow

Slippage risk

High

Liquidity is critically thin at ~$49.9K on a single PumpSwap pair (73TZkLsbqzGSJE4zCUq4vaRCWHJB42QQWpK6DFRGwmPH). With a FDV of ~$175K and only $49.9K in liquidity, the liquidity-to-FDV ratio is approximately 28.5% — extremely low and indicative of high slippage risk for any meaningful position size. The 24h net flow is strongly negative: sell volume ($158.9K) is nearly double buy volume ($79.9K), with 1,272 unique sellers vs 900 unique buyers. Total 24h volume of ~$238.8K is nearly 5x the total liquidity pool, meaning the pool has been turned over multiple times — a hallmark of a pump event with heavy distribution. Any attempt to exit a large position will face severe slippage given the shallow pool depth.

Supply & authorities

Total supply

999,999,624.05

FDV

$175,908.54

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

  • Volatilityhigh

    +299% in 24h, +471% in 6h, with candles showing extreme intraday swings (candle [8] low: $0.0000168 to high: $0.0000584 in one hour). This is one of the most volatile profiles possible for a micro-cap token.

  • Liquidityhigh

    Only $49.9K total liquidity on a single PumpSwap pool. 24h volume of ~$238.8K is ~4.8x the liquidity pool. Any position above a few hundred dollars will face significant slippage. Exit risk is severe.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Sniper DumpNot assessed

    Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.

  • AuthorityNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

  • Pump-and-dump pattern: 30-day dormancy at 113 holders followed by sudden +299% price spike and +658 new holders in 24h
  • Dominant sell pressure: 66.5% of 24h volume is sells ($158.9K vs $79.9K buys)
  • Critically thin liquidity ($49.9K) — severe exit slippage risk
  • Top holder data entirely unavailable — hidden concentration risk
  • Unknown mint/freeze authority status — potential rug vector
  • Unverified contract with no project description or whitepaper
  • Data inconsistency: 24h price change shows 0% in analytics vs 299% in price feed — possible manipulation or data error
  • Single liquidity pool on PumpSwap — no diversified market depth

Mitigating factors

  • Token marked 'mutable: false' — metadata cannot be changed
  • Not flagged as spam by data provider
  • Social links present (Twitter, website, Moralis) — some project presence
  • PumpSwap listing provides basic on-chain accessibility and price discovery
  • 1,670 unique wallets active in 24h shows genuine market participation

Suitable for

This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who fully understand they may lose 100% of their investment. It is entirely unsuitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep experience in high-risk Solana memecoins. The risk profile is consistent with a pump-and-dump event.

MCGREGOR presents an extremely high-risk speculative profile. The token exhibits multiple hallmarks of a coordinated pump-and-dump: 30 days of complete dormancy at 113 holders, a sudden +299% price spike, dominant sell pressure (66.5%), critically thin liquidity, and missing top holder data. While short-term momentum traders may find brief opportunities, the structural setup strongly favors early holders distributing into new retail buyers. This is not an investment — it is a speculation on timing a pump exit.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

Continued momentum attracts additional retail and bot buyers, driving a secondary pump leg. Social media virality around the 'MCGREGOR' brand drives FOMO. Price temporarily extends toward $0.0003–$0.0005 before eventual reversion.

  • Strong 1h momentum (+65%) and ongoing holder growth (+151 in last hour)
  • Recognizable celebrity-adjacent branding could attract social media attention
  • Broader Solana memecoin market in risk-on mode could amplify moves
  • Low FDV ($175K) means relatively small capital needed to move price significantly

Base Case

The pump momentum fades within 24–48 hours as sell pressure continues to dominate. Price retraces 60–80% from current levels to the $0.000035–$0.000055 range. A small residual holder base remains, but trading activity drops sharply. The token may experience periodic low-volume pumps but fails to establish a sustainable price floor.

  • Sell pressure remains dominant (>60% of volume) as early holders continue distributing
  • No major new catalyst (influencer, exchange listing, partnership) emerges
  • Liquidity remains thin and does not attract significant new LP deposits
  • The 658 new holders from the pump event gradually exit at a loss

Bear Case

High probability

Early holders (the 113 dormant wallets) continue distributing into new retail buyers. Sell pressure overwhelms thin liquidity, price collapses back to pre-pump levels ($0.000022–$0.000033) or lower. Liquidity is withdrawn, effectively stranding late buyers.

  • 66.5% sell pressure already dominant in 24h volume
  • 1,272 unique sellers vs 900 unique buyers — more participants are exiting than entering
  • Only $49.9K liquidity — a few large sells will crater the price
  • No fundamental value proposition, no verified contract, no project description
  • Historical pattern of 30-day dormancy is consistent with pre-pump accumulation by insiders

Analysis details

Generated

Jul 11, 11:17 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-07-11 23:17 UTC

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

  • Moralis Solana Token Metadata API (mint: 4VQcAbAFcCWit2dLon3TZZbHYAei4ctCKF1jXF8Qpump)
  • Moralis Price Feed (USD and WSOL)
  • Moralis OHLC Candles (hourly, 9 candles, July 11 2026)
  • Moralis Trading Analytics (24h buy/sell volume, unique wallets)
  • Moralis Holder Metrics (total holders, acquisition method, distribution)
  • Moralis Historical Holders (30-day daily series)
  • Moralis Top Holders API (returned no data)
  • Moralis Sniper Analysis API (returned no data)
  • PumpSwap pair data (pair: 73TZkLsbqzGSJE4zCUq4vaRCWHJB42QQWpK6DFRGwmPH)

Limitations

  • Top holder data entirely unavailable — concentration risk cannot be quantified
  • Sniper analysis data unavailable — early buyer behavior cannot be assessed
  • Update authority status is 'unknown' — mint/freeze authority renouncement unconfirmed
  • OHLC candle [1] contains anomalous data (L > H) suggesting possible data feed error
  • 24h price change discrepancy (0% in analytics vs 299% in price feed) is unexplained
  • Only 9 hourly candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis
  • No on-chain program verification data available
  • Token description is absent — no project fundamentals to evaluate
  • Supply concentration metrics returned 0% for top 10 and top 100 — likely a data gap, not genuine distribution

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does NOT constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially micro-cap memecoins, carry extreme risk of total loss. The analyst has no position in this token. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Frequently Asked Questions

How concentrated is The Notorious Bull ownership?

Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 771 addresses (2026-07-11 23:17 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.

Are large holders selling The Notorious Bull?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is The Notorious Bull liquidity falling?

As of 2026-07-11 23:17 UTC, reported liquidity was $49,885.19. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.

What is the short-term price outlook for The Notorious Bull (MCGREGOR)?

The token has pumped +299% in 24h and +471% in 6h, with the most recent hourly candle showing a close well below the high (~$0.0000807 close vs $0.0001349 high in candle [1]), indicating strong rejection at the top. Sell pressure is 66.5% of volume. A sharp retracement toward the pre-pump range (~$0.000025–$0.000033) is the most probable near-term outcome given the dominant selling and thin liquidity. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.000022 to $0.000176.

Is MCGREGOR a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as very high with a risk score of 9.1/100. This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who fully understand they may lose 100% of their investment. It is entirely unsuitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep experience in high-risk Solana memecoins. The risk profile is consistent with a pump-and-dump event.

What are the key risks of holding MCGREGOR?

Pump-and-dump pattern: 30-day dormancy at 113 holders followed by sudden +299% price spike and +658 new holders in 24h • Dominant sell pressure: 66.5% of 24h volume is sells ($158.9K vs $79.9K buys) • Critically thin liquidity ($49.9K) — severe exit slippage risk

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