NVDAX

NVIDIA xStock Price Today & AI Analysis

NVDAXSolanaAnalysis as of May 7, 2026

Price

$222.75

+1.43% 24h · FDV $71,564,768

Contract

Live
Xsc9qvGR1efVDFGLrVsmkzv3qi45LTBjeUKSPmx9qEh

Chain

Solana

Holders

93,571

Market cap

$71,564,768

More tokens on Solana

FLEXFLEXReflex Monster$0.000501+960.6%MC $481.5KLOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOONGLOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOONGLOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOONG$0.000289+481.8%MC $288.9KBABABABAAlibaba Group Holding - Backpack Securities$224.74+98.2%MC $254.5KCHILLGUYCHILLGUYJust a chill guy$0.0139+7.3%MC $13.93MKNOTSKNOTSKNOTS$0.0183-21.7%MC $18.19MNVIDIANVIDIANVIDIA$0.042359+275.8%MC $2.36M

NVIDIA xStock: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-05-07 15:17 UTC

Holder addresses

22,051

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

$2,896,693.27
How concentrated is NVIDIA xStock ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 22,051 addresses (2026-05-07 15:17 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling NVIDIA xStock?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is NVIDIA xStock liquidity falling?
As of 2026-05-07 15:17 UTC, reported liquidity was $2,896,693.27. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-05-07 15:17 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

Loading price chart…

Ask Unhosted AI about NVDAX

Continue in chat

What's Twitter saying?Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweetsWhale activityWho is accumulating or distributingWhat are the risks?Red flags, security, concentrationShould I buy?Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

Report snapshot

as of May 7, 03:17 PM UTC

FDV

$48,771,407

Liquidity

$2,896,693.27

Holders

22,051

Snipers

Not available

Risk

High

AI Executive Summary

Risk

High

Sentiment

Bullish

NVIDIA xStock (NVDAX) is a Solana-based synthetic/tokenized equity instrument tracking NVIDIA stock, trading at $210.86 with a fully diluted valuation of ~$49.28M and $2.90M in on-chain liquidity on Raydium. The token has 22,051 holders and has seen a notable 24h holder surge of +1,655 (+7.50%). Supply is highly concentrated, with the top 10 wallets controlling 79.6% and the top 100 controlling 95.84% of supply. No snipers were detected in the first 1,000 blocks, which is a positive signal. The token is verified and not flagged as spam, but update authority metadata is unknown.

Key points

  • Synthetic NVIDIA equity exposure on Solana with verified contract status
  • Zero sniper activity in first 1,000 blocks — clean launch profile
  • Strong 24h holder growth of +1,655 (+7.50%), with a large single-day spike of +1,823 on May 6
  • Tracks real-world NVIDIA stock price (~$210), providing TradFi-adjacent utility
  • Mutable=false metadata, reducing post-deploy tampering risk

AI Price Analysis

bullish

Short term · 24–48 hours

bullish

Price has been in a steady uptrend over the past 24 hours, climbing from a low of ~$204.08 (candle 24) to a current close of $210.86. The most recent candles show a pullback from the intraday high of $213.99 (candle 2), suggesting short-term consolidation. Buy pressure at 56.6% supports mild bullish continuation, though the 1h and 5m changes are slightly negative (-0.70% and -0.63%), indicating near-term cooling.

Target low

$207.50

Target high

$214.00

Support

$208.50, $207.17, $205.41

Resistance

$213.07, $213.99, $215.00

Medium term · 7–30 days

bullish

If NVIDIA's underlying stock continues to perform well and holder growth sustains its recent acceleration, NVDAX could push toward new highs. However, extreme supply concentration (top 10 = 79.6%) poses a persistent overhang risk. Continued holder onboarding and liquidity deepening would be needed to sustain a medium-term rally.

Catalysts

  • NVIDIA earnings or stock price appreciation driving synthetic token demand
  • Continued holder growth acceleration (7d +9.10%, 30d +13.00%)
  • Broader Solana DeFi ecosystem growth increasing synthetic asset adoption
  • Potential new DEX listings or liquidity incentive programs

Bullish factors

  • 56.6% buy pressure vs 43.4% sell pressure in 24h
  • 24h price up +3.27%, consistent uptrend across 24 candles from $204.08 to $210.86
  • Strong holder growth: +1,655 in 24h (+7.50%), +2,005 in 7d (+9.10%)
  • Zero sniper activity — no early predatory accumulation
  • Verified contract, not flagged as spam, mutable=false

Bearish factors

  • Top 10 holders control 79.6% of supply — extreme concentration risk
  • Top holder alone controls 40.82% (94,408 tokens) — single point of failure
  • Unknown update authority introduces governance uncertainty
  • Sell transactions (3,657) exceed buy transactions (3,502) despite net buy volume dominance
  • Unique sellers (721) nearly double unique buyers (375) — broad distribution pressure
  • Synthetic asset peg integrity cannot be verified from on-chain data alone

Confidence: low. Price prediction confidence is low due to the highly concentrated supply (top 10 = 79.6%), unknown update authority, and the synthetic/tokenized nature of the asset which introduces oracle and peg-maintenance risks not visible in on-chain data alone. The short data window (24 hourly candles) limits technical conviction.

Token Info

Chain
Solana
Contract
Xsc9qv...9qEh
Total Supply
231,293.27 NVDAX

Key Risks

  • Single wallet (S7vYFFWH6BjJyEsdrPQpqpYTqLTrPRK6KW3VwsJuRaS) controls 40.82% of supply — catastrophic sell risk
  • Unknown mint/freeze authority status — potential for supply manipulation or transfer freezing
  • Synthetic equity peg integrity unverifiable from on-chain data — oracle failure or de-peg risk
  • Unique sellers (721) nearly double unique buyers (375) despite net buy volume — unusual market microstructure

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

Over the 24 hourly candles from 2026-05-06T16:00Z to 2026-05-07T15:00Z, NVDAX traced a clear uptrend from a low of $204.08 (candle 24) to an intraday high of $213.99 (candle 2), before pulling back to close at $210.86 (candle 1). The overall structure shows higher lows and higher highs across the session. Candles 22–18 show a recovery from the $205.41 low, candles 17–10 consolidate in the $206–$209 range, candles 9–2 push higher toward $213.99, and candle 1 shows a bearish close (open $212.78, close $210.86) — a potential short-term exhaustion signal after the run-up.

Trend

Short-term

Uptrend

Medium-term

Uptrend

Both short- and medium-term trends are bullish. The 24-candle window shows a consistent series of higher lows (from $204.08 → $205.41 → $206.15 → $207.17 → $208.50) and higher highs (from $205.79 → $207.30 → $208.22 → $209.63 → $213.99). The pullback in candle 1 is minor relative to the overall move.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Neutral

Volume trend

Decreasing

Buy

57%

Sell

43%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$208.50

Major support

$204.08

Immediate resistance

$213.07

Major resistance

$213.99

Immediate support at $208.50 corresponds to the low of candle 7 and the consolidation zone from candles 6–8. Major support at $204.08 is the 24-candle low (candle 24). Immediate resistance at $213.07 is the high of candle 1 (the most recent candle's high). Major resistance at $213.99 is the 24-candle high from candle 2. A break above $213.99 on volume would be a bullish continuation signal.

Notable patterns

  • Higher highs and higher lows across the full 24-candle window — confirmed uptrend
  • High-volume breakout candle (candle 2: 201K USD volume, high $213.99) followed by lower-volume pullback (candle 1: 36K USD) — potential exhaustion/distribution at top
  • Bearish close on candle 1: open $212.78, close $210.86 — bearish engulfing relative to candle 2's close
  • Consolidation range $206.40–$209.36 across candles 7–16 before breakout
  • Volume spike on candle 22 (60K USD) at the $205.41 low — potential accumulation zone

Liquidity

Liquidity

$2,896,693.27

Depth

Moderate

Slippage risk

Medium

Total on-chain liquidity of $2.90M on Raydium is moderate relative to the $49.28M FDV — a liquidity-to-FDV ratio of approximately 5.9%, which is below the 10%+ threshold considered healthy for large-cap tokens. This means significant slippage could occur on larger trades. The 24h net flow is positive (inflow): buy volume of $736K vs sell volume of $565K, a net inflow of ~$171K. However, a notable anomaly exists: despite net buy volume dominance, unique sellers (721) nearly double unique buyers (375), and total sell transactions (3,657) exceed buy transactions (3,502). This suggests a pattern where fewer buyers are making larger purchases while more sellers are making smaller exits — potentially indicating whale accumulation against retail distribution, or that the buy/sell volume asymmetry is driven by a small number of large buy orders. The 24h unique wallet count of 937 shows reasonable activity for a synthetic equity token.

Supply & authorities

Total supply

231,293.27 NVDAX

FDV

$49.28M

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

  • Volatilitymedium

    24h price range of $204.08–$213.99 represents a ~4.9% intraday swing. As a synthetic equity token, NVDAX inherits both crypto market volatility and NVIDIA stock price volatility. The token has shown consistent upward movement over 24 hours but could reverse sharply given concentration dynamics.

  • Liquiditymedium

    Total liquidity of $2.90M against $49.28M FDV yields a ~5.9% liquidity ratio. Large trades (>$50K) would face meaningful slippage. The single Raydium pool (49iMat...) holding 1.54% of supply is the primary liquidity venue — a single point of failure for on-chain exit.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Sniper DumpNot assessed

    Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.

  • AuthorityNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

  • Single wallet (S7vYFFWH6BjJyEsdrPQpqpYTqLTrPRK6KW3VwsJuRaS) controls 40.82% of supply — catastrophic sell risk
  • Unknown mint/freeze authority status — potential for supply manipulation or transfer freezing
  • Synthetic equity peg integrity unverifiable from on-chain data — oracle failure or de-peg risk
  • Unique sellers (721) nearly double unique buyers (375) despite net buy volume — unusual market microstructure
  • Low liquidity-to-FDV ratio (~5.9%) — large trades face significant slippage
  • Holder growth spike (+1,823 in one day) may be artificial or driven by airdrop farming

Mitigating factors

  • Zero sniper activity — clean launch with no predatory early accumulation
  • Verified contract, not flagged as spam, mutable=false metadata
  • Consistent 24h uptrend with 56.6% buy pressure
  • 22,051 total holders with diverse acquisition methods (swap, transfer, airdrop)
  • Raydium DEX listing provides accessible on-chain liquidity
  • No evidence of active whale distribution — price trending up

Suitable for

Suitable only for high-risk-tolerant investors with deep understanding of synthetic Solana tokens, on-chain equity instruments, and concentration risks. Not suitable for conservative or income-focused investors. Position sizing should account for the possibility of a large-wallet exit event. Due diligence on mint/freeze authority status is strongly recommended before any significant investment.

NVDAX offers a novel on-chain synthetic exposure to NVIDIA stock on Solana, with a clean launch (zero snipers), verified contract, and accelerating holder growth. However, extreme supply concentration (top 10 = 79.6%, single wallet = 40.82%) and unknown authority status create significant structural risks that overshadow the positive momentum signals. The token is best viewed as a high-risk, speculative instrument for those seeking NVIDIA equity exposure in a DeFi context.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

NVIDIA stock continues its bull run, driving demand for NVDAX as a DeFi-native equity proxy. Holder growth sustains above 1,000/day, liquidity deepens to >$5M, and the dominant whale wallet demonstrates long-term holding behavior. New integrations or yield strategies on Solana DeFi protocols attract institutional-grade capital.

  • NVIDIA stock price appreciation driving synthetic token demand
  • Sustained holder growth acceleration beyond the May 6 spike
  • Liquidity deepening through additional DEX pools or incentive programs
  • Dominant whale wallet (40.82%) remains dormant or adds to position
  • Broader Solana DeFi adoption of tokenized real-world assets

Base Case

NVDAX continues to track NVIDIA stock price with moderate volatility, holder count grows slowly (50–200/day), and the token maintains its current liquidity profile. The dominant whale holds, price oscillates in the $200–$220 range, and the token remains a niche instrument for DeFi-native NVIDIA exposure without major catalysts in either direction.

  • Dominant whale wallet (40.82%) remains inactive or accumulates slowly
  • NVIDIA stock price stays range-bound near current levels (~$210)
  • Liquidity remains stable at ~$2.90M on Raydium
  • No mint/freeze authority events occur
  • Holder growth normalizes to 50–150/day after the May 6 spike subsides

Bear Case

Medium probability

The dominant 40.82% wallet begins distributing, overwhelming the $2.90M liquidity pool and causing a rapid price collapse. Unknown mint authority is exploited to create new supply, diluting existing holders. The May 6 holder spike proves to be airdrop farming with no sticky demand, leading to mass exits.

  • Large wallet (40.82%) initiating a sell program into thin liquidity
  • Mint authority not renounced — potential supply dilution event
  • Holder growth reversal as airdrop recipients exit positions
  • NVIDIA stock price decline reducing synthetic token demand
  • Regulatory scrutiny of tokenized equity instruments on-chain

Analysis details

Generated

May 7, 03:17 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-05-07 15:17 UTC

Model confidence

Medium

Data sources

  • On-chain Solana token metadata (mint, decimals, supply, mutability)
  • Raydium DEX price feed and OHLC candle data (24 hourly candles)
  • On-chain trading analytics (buy/sell volume, unique wallets, transaction counts)
  • Holder metrics and distribution data (total holders, acquisition methods, tier breakdown)
  • Historical holder time series (30-day daily snapshots)
  • Top 20 holder wallet addresses and balances
  • Sniper analysis (first 1,000 blocks post-launch)
  • Token social metadata (telegram, twitter, website, moralis)

Limitations

  • Update authority status is unknown — mint and freeze authority cannot be confirmed as renounced
  • No sniper data available (zero snipers) — cannot assess early buyer PnL dynamics
  • Only 24 hourly candles provided — insufficient for multi-day technical pattern analysis
  • Synthetic equity peg mechanism and oracle infrastructure not visible in on-chain data
  • Top holder wallet classifications are inferred, not confirmed — no on-chain labels available
  • Holder growth spike on May 6 (+1,823) may include airdrop recipients who are not genuine buyers
  • No order book depth data — slippage estimates are approximations based on liquidity-to-FDV ratio

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency and synthetic token investments carry significant risk of total loss. Past price performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own due diligence and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Frequently Asked Questions

How concentrated is NVIDIA xStock ownership?

Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 22,051 addresses (2026-05-07 15:17 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.

Are large holders selling NVIDIA xStock?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is NVIDIA xStock liquidity falling?

As of 2026-05-07 15:17 UTC, reported liquidity was $2,896,693.27. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.

What is the short-term price outlook for NVIDIA xStock (NVDAX)?

Price has been in a steady uptrend over the past 24 hours, climbing from a low of ~$204.08 (candle 24) to a current close of $210.86. The most recent candles show a pullback from the intraday high of $213.99 (candle 2), suggesting short-term consolidation. Buy pressure at 56.6% supports mild bullish continuation, though the 1h and 5m changes are slightly negative (-0.70% and -0.63%), indicating near-term cooling. Short-term outlook is bullish (24–48 hours), with a target range of $207.50 to $214.00.

Is NVDAX a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as high with a risk score of 7.5/100. Suitable only for high-risk-tolerant investors with deep understanding of synthetic Solana tokens, on-chain equity instruments, and concentration risks. Not suitable for conservative or income-focused investors. Position sizing should account for the possibility of a large-wallet exit event. Due diligence on mint/freeze authority status is strongly recommended before any significant investment.

What are the key risks of holding NVDAX?

Single wallet (S7vYFFWH6BjJyEsdrPQpqpYTqLTrPRK6KW3VwsJuRaS) controls 40.82% of supply — catastrophic sell risk • Unknown mint/freeze authority status — potential for supply manipulation or transfer freezing • Synthetic equity peg integrity unverifiable from on-chain data — oracle failure or de-peg risk

← Back to all predictions

Track NVDAX