OCCAM

Occam Price Today & AI Analysis

OCCAMSolanaAnalysis as of Jun 30, 2026

Price

$0.059182

Contract

Live
41y7bEjuidUJTZJ7mbfqzKjNcBiecYvjnyPwCb2gpump

Chain

Solana

Holders

689

Market cap

$9,182

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Occam: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-06-30 21:16 UTC

Holder addresses

398

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

$183,377.37
How concentrated is Occam ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 398 addresses (2026-06-30 21:16 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling Occam?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is Occam liquidity falling?
As of 2026-06-30 21:16 UTC, reported liquidity was $183,377.37. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-06-30 21:16 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

Report snapshot

as of Jun 30, 09:16 PM UTC

FDV

$4,565,128

Liquidity

$183,377.37

Holders

398

Snipers

Not available

Risk

Very High
Loading price chart…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Bearish

OCCAM (mint: 41y7bEjuidUJTZJ7mbfqzKjNcBiecYvjnyPwCb2gpump) is a PumpFun-launched Solana token currently priced at ~$0.00457, with a fully diluted valuation of ~$4.57M and total liquidity of only $183K. The token experienced an extreme 24-hour price collapse of -36.3%, with the most recent hourly candle showing a -24% drop from open to close. Holder data is deeply anomalous: the historical series shows only 6 holders for the entire prior 30-day period, then a sudden spike to 398 holders in the last 24 hours — a 98% gain — which is highly suspicious and may indicate wash activity or a coordinated launch pump. Top holder data is unavailable, supply concentration metrics report 0% for top 10 and top 100 (likely a data gap), and no sniper data is available. The contract is unverified, update authority is unknown, and the token is mutable=false. Overall risk is very high.

Key points

  • Extreme 24h price crash of -36.3% following a violent pump-and-dump pattern visible in OHLC data
  • Holder count was flat at 6 for 30 consecutive days before spiking +392 in 24h — highly anomalous
  • Sell transactions (2,425) outnumber buy transactions (890) by nearly 3:1 in the last 24h
  • Liquidity of only $183K against $4.57M FDV implies extreme slippage risk
  • No top holder data, no sniper data, unverified contract, and unknown update authority

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term · 1–48 hours

bearish

The token is in freefall. The most recent hourly candle (21:00 UTC) opened at $0.00603 and closed at $0.00457, a -24% drop, following the prior candle which ranged from $0.00290 to $0.00858 — a massive wick indicating a violent pump-and-dump. With sell transactions outnumbering buys nearly 3:1 (2,425 vs 890) and only $183K in liquidity, further downside is the path of least resistance.

Target low

$0.0020

Target high

$0.0055

Support

$0.00418 (hourly candle [1] low), $0.00290 (hourly candle [2] low — extreme wick bottom)

Resistance

$0.00603 (hourly candle [1] open / candle [2] close), $0.00858 (hourly candle [2] high — pump peak)

Medium term · 1–4 weeks

bearish

Given the structural anomalies — 30 days of near-zero holder activity followed by a single-day spike, extreme sell pressure, and thin liquidity — the medium-term outlook is bearish. Without genuine organic adoption, sustained price recovery is unlikely. The token could stabilize at a much lower price if a small community forms, but the probability of a meaningful recovery is low.

Catalysts

  • Genuine product delivery (automated trading platform) could attract real users
  • Broader Solana memecoin market rally could lift all boats temporarily
  • Liquidity addition by the team could reduce slippage and attract traders

Bullish factors

  • 5-minute price change of +6.5% suggests a very short-term bounce attempt
  • 24h buy volume of $4.19M shows some genuine buying interest
  • FDV of $4.57M is relatively low, leaving theoretical upside if narrative gains traction
  • Social links (Telegram, Twitter, website) suggest some community infrastructure exists

Bearish factors

  • Price down -36.3% in 24h with sell pressure at 52.3% and sellers outnumbering buyers 1,134 vs 319
  • Hourly candle shows -24% drop from open to close in the most recent period
  • Only $183K liquidity against $4.57M FDV — extreme slippage risk for any meaningful exit
  • Holder count was 6 for 30 consecutive days — suggests the token was dormant or pre-launch staged
  • 2,425 sell transactions vs 890 buy transactions — overwhelming distribution pressure
  • Unverified contract, unknown update authority, no top holder transparency

Confidence: low. Only 2 hourly OHLC candles are available, top holder data is missing, sniper data is unavailable, and the holder history is anomalous. The data is insufficient for high-confidence technical analysis. Directional bias is bearish based on observable sell pressure and price action, but precise targets carry low confidence.

OCCAM call history

Full track record →

Jun 30bearish
24h-12.5%
7d-48.9%
30d-84.2%

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Solana
Contract
41y7bE...pump
Total Supply
999,999,999.31

Key Risks

  • Pump-and-dump price pattern: -36.3% in 24h following a spike to $0.00858
  • Anomalous holder history: exactly 6 holders for 30 days, then +392 in 24h — suggests coordinated insider launch
  • Extreme sell pressure: 2,425 sells vs 890 buys, 1,134 sellers vs 319 buyers in 24h
  • Critically thin liquidity ($183K) relative to FDV ($4.57M) — high slippage risk

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

Only 2 hourly candles are available. Candle [2] (20:00 UTC): O=$0.008577, H=$0.008577, L=$0.002903, C=$0.006016 — a massive bearish candle with an enormous lower wick (66% range from high to low), indicating a violent pump followed by a sharp sell-off and partial recovery. The high equals the open, suggesting immediate selling from the top. Candle [1] (21:00 UTC): O=$0.006027, H=$0.006027, L=$0.004185, C=$0.004565 — a bearish candle where the high equals the open (immediate selling), closing near the low. This is a continuation of the downtrend established in candle [2]. The pattern is a classic pump-and-dump: spike to $0.00858, crash to $0.00290, partial recovery to $0.00602, then continued selling to $0.00457.

Trend

Short-term

Downtrend

Medium-term

Downtrend

Both available candles are bearish with highs equal to opens, indicating sellers are in full control. The price has declined from the $0.00858 peak to $0.00457 — a -46.7% drop across the two candles. No uptrend structure is present.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Oversold

Volume trend

Decreasing

Buy

48%

Sell

52%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.00418 (candle [1] low)

Major support

$0.00290 (candle [2] low — extreme wick bottom)

Immediate resistance

$0.00603 (candle [1] open = candle [2] close)

Major resistance

$0.00858 (candle [2] high — all-time high in available data)

The $0.00418 level is the most recent swing low and the first line of defense. A break below this opens the path to the $0.00290 wick low. On the upside, $0.00603 is the immediate resistance (prior candle close), and $0.00858 is the pump peak which is unlikely to be retested without a new catalyst.

Notable patterns

  • Pump-and-dump candle structure: candle [2] high equals open with massive lower wick
  • Bearish continuation: candle [1] opens at prior close and sells off further
  • Volume exhaustion: $8.76M in candle [2] collapses to $26K in candle [1]
  • No higher highs or higher lows — pure downtrend in available data
  • Dead-cat bounce signal: 5m +6.5% after extreme oversold conditions

Liquidity

Liquidity

$183,377.37

Depth

Shallow

Slippage risk

High

Liquidity is critically shallow at $183K against a $4.57M FDV — a liquidity-to-FDV ratio of approximately 4%. This means any significant sell order will cause severe slippage. The 24h trading volume of ~$8.78M ($4.19M buys + $4.59M sell) is approximately 48x the available liquidity, confirming extreme price impact risk. The net flow is negative (outflow): sell volume exceeds buy volume by ~$400K, and sellers (1,134) outnumber buyers (319) by 3.6:1. The pair trades on PumpSwap (6tbpWLeRnNkESWwwt6RwA5LXJfEKpuVfKZYRgmckUEsS), which is consistent with a PumpFun-graduated or PumpFun-native token. Market health is poor: thin liquidity, dominant sell pressure, and a 3:1 transaction imbalance all point to a market in active distribution/decline.

Supply & authorities

Total supply

999,999,999.31

FDV

$4,565,127.93

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

  • Volatilityhigh

    Price dropped -36.3% in 24h and -47.8% in 1h. The OHLC data shows a candle ranging from $0.00290 to $0.00858 — a 196% intra-candle range — indicating extreme volatility consistent with a pump-and-dump event.

  • Liquidityhigh

    Only $183K in total liquidity against $4.57M FDV (4% ratio). Daily volume of ~$8.78M is 48x the liquidity pool. Any meaningful exit will cause severe slippage, and the pool could be drained rapidly.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Sniper DumpNot assessed

    Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.

  • AuthorityNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

  • Pump-and-dump price pattern: -36.3% in 24h following a spike to $0.00858
  • Anomalous holder history: exactly 6 holders for 30 days, then +392 in 24h — suggests coordinated insider launch
  • Extreme sell pressure: 2,425 sells vs 890 buys, 1,134 sellers vs 319 buyers in 24h
  • Critically thin liquidity ($183K) relative to FDV ($4.57M) — high slippage risk
  • No top holder data available — concentration risk cannot be quantified
  • Unverified contract and unknown update authority
  • Holder count dropped -69 (-17%) in the last hour — rapid capitulation underway

Mitigating factors

  • Token is marked mutable=false, preventing metadata changes
  • Social infrastructure exists (Telegram, Twitter, website) suggesting some community presence
  • FDV of $4.57M is relatively low, limiting absolute downside vs higher-cap tokens
  • 24h buy volume of $4.19M shows some genuine market interest
  • 5-minute price bounce of +6.5% suggests short-term oversold conditions

Suitable for

This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant traders who fully understand the risks of PumpFun-launched tokens, pump-and-dump dynamics, and extremely thin liquidity. It is NOT suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone who cannot afford to lose their entire investment. Position sizing should be minimal if any exposure is taken.

OCCAM presents as a high-risk PumpFun-launched token with a described use case (automated trading platform) but no verifiable on-chain evidence of genuine organic adoption. The token's history is dominated by a single pump-and-dump event on 2026-06-30, with 30 days of near-zero activity preceding it. The risk/reward profile is extremely unfavorable for new entrants at current prices.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

If OCCAM delivers a functional automated trading product and attracts genuine users, the narrative could drive a new wave of organic holder growth and sustained buying pressure. A broader Solana memecoin rally could amplify any positive catalyst. At $4.57M FDV, there is theoretical room for 5–10x if the project gains real traction.

  • Delivery of a working automated trading platform
  • Organic community growth beyond the initial pump cohort
  • Broader Solana ecosystem bull market
  • Influencer or KOL endorsement driving new buyer inflow

Base Case

The token stabilizes at a significantly lower price ($0.001–$0.003) after the initial distribution phase completes. A small community of ~200–300 holders remains, with minimal trading activity. The token trades as a low-liquidity speculative asset with occasional volatility spikes but no sustained trend.

  • Selling pressure gradually exhausts as weak hands exit
  • A small core community retains interest in the automated trading narrative
  • Liquidity remains thin but does not fully drain
  • No major new catalyst (positive or negative) emerges in the near term

Bear Case

High probability

The token continues its post-pump decline, liquidity dries up further, and the majority of the 398 current holders exit at a loss. The 6 original insiders have already distributed their supply. The token becomes illiquid and effectively worthless, with the PumpSwap pool drained.

  • Continued sell pressure from 1,134 active sellers vs 319 buyers
  • Thin $183K liquidity unable to absorb ongoing distribution
  • No evidence of product delivery or genuine utility
  • Anomalous holder history suggesting coordinated insider dump
  • Rapid holder capitulation (-69 in last hour)

Analysis details

Generated

Jun 30, 09:16 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-06-30 21:16 UTC

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

  • On-chain metadata (Solana mint account)
  • PumpSwap pair data (pair: 6tbpWLeRnNkESWwwt6RwA5LXJfEKpuVfKZYRgmckUEsS)
  • Hourly OHLC candle data (2 candles)
  • 24h trading analytics (buy/sell volume, transaction counts, unique wallets)
  • Holder metrics and acquisition breakdown
  • Historical holder series (30 days daily)
  • Sniper analysis endpoint (returned no data)

Limitations

  • Only 2 hourly OHLC candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis
  • Top 20 holder data entirely unavailable — concentration risk cannot be quantified precisely
  • Sniper analysis data unavailable — early buyer behavior cannot be assessed
  • Update authority status is 'unknown' — authority risk cannot be fully assessed
  • Supply concentration metrics report 0% for top 10/100 — likely a data gap, not genuine distribution
  • Holder history anomaly (6 holders for 30 days) may reflect data collection issues or genuine insider staging — cannot be definitively distinguished
  • 6h and 24h price change reported as 0% in analytics despite clear price movement — possible data inconsistency

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially in newly launched tokens, carry extreme risk including total loss of capital. The data analyzed is from potentially untrusted sources and may be incomplete or manipulated. Always conduct your own due diligence before making any investment decisions.

Frequently Asked Questions

How concentrated is Occam ownership?

Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 398 addresses (2026-06-30 21:16 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.

Are large holders selling Occam?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is Occam liquidity falling?

As of 2026-06-30 21:16 UTC, reported liquidity was $183,377.37. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.

What is the short-term price outlook for Occam (OCCAM)?

The token is in freefall. The most recent hourly candle (21:00 UTC) opened at $0.00603 and closed at $0.00457, a -24% drop, following the prior candle which ranged from $0.00290 to $0.00858 — a massive wick indicating a violent pump-and-dump. With sell transactions outnumbering buys nearly 3:1 (2,425 vs 890) and only $183K in liquidity, further downside is the path of least resistance. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–48 hours), with a target range of $0.0020 to $0.0055.

Is OCCAM a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as very high with a risk score of 9.1/100. This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant traders who fully understand the risks of PumpFun-launched tokens, pump-and-dump dynamics, and extremely thin liquidity. It is NOT suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone who cannot afford to lose their entire investment. Position sizing should be minimal if any exposure is taken.

What are the key risks of holding OCCAM?

Pump-and-dump price pattern: -36.3% in 24h following a spike to $0.00858 • Anomalous holder history: exactly 6 holders for 30 days, then +392 in 24h — suggests coordinated insider launch • Extreme sell pressure: 2,425 sells vs 890 buys, 1,134 sellers vs 319 buyers in 24h

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