Pumpa

Pumpa Price Prediction 2026

Pumpa
Solana
AI Analysis
Analysis as of May 2, 2026

43kvs9Y1WEn7J43DvorotAB35KkAfLpeuQYA9TPspump

$0.051773

FDV $1,541

LiveContract:43kvs9Y1WEn7J43DvorotAB35KkAfLpeuQYA9TPspumpChain:SolanaHolders:43Market cap:$1,541

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Report snapshotas of May 2, 11:18 AM
FDV

$5,327

Liquidity

$0

Holders

191

Snipers

37

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

Pumpa (PUMPA) is a PumpFun-launched meme token on Solana with a total supply of 1,000,000,000 tokens and a current FDV of ~$5,327. The token launched very recently (within the last 24 hours based on holder data) and has experienced a catastrophic -85.1% price collapse in 24 hours, dropping from a peak near $0.000068 to $0.0000053. Trading activity is dominated by sellers (75.6% sell pressure), liquidity is effectively zero, and the top holder (the PumpSwap LP address) controls 53.47% of supply. The token was promoted via a Discord server and carries extreme risk across all dimensions.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Bearish
Launched via PumpFun/PumpSwap with Discord-based promotion (discord.gg/uxento)
Catastrophic -85.1% 24h price decline from a peak near $0.000068
Top holder (LP address CvHv8EfbCAoNcA9XGaJEUcsTgAtcphRiKSdRpYTzQJWq) controls 53.47% of supply
Reported $0.00 total liquidity despite active trading — extreme slippage and exit risk
Holder count surged from 14 to 191 in <24h, then dropped -168 (-88%) in the last hour alone

Price Prediction

bearish

Short term

bearish
1–24 hours

Price has collapsed -85.1% in 24h and -70.5% in the last hour alone. The most recent candle (11:00 UTC) closed at $0.0000053, near the session low of $0.0000052, with volume collapsing to $2,041 from $84,631 the prior hour. Sell pressure is 75.6% of volume. With zero reported liquidity and a massive holder exodus (-168 holders in 1h), further downside is the path of least resistance.

Target low$0.0000010
Target high$0.0000080
Support: $0.0000052 (recent candle low), $0.0000029 (candle [3] low)
Resistance: $0.0000084 (candle [1] open / candle [2] close area), $0.0000660 (candle [2] high / all-time high area)

Medium term

bearish
7–30 days

Given zero liquidity, a collapsing holder base, no verified contract, and a Discord-only promotional strategy, medium-term recovery is highly unlikely without a significant catalyst. The token spent 30 days with only 14 holders before launch, suggesting minimal organic community.

Catalysts
  • Unexpected viral social media attention
  • New exchange listing (extremely unlikely at this FDV)
  • Community buyback campaign via Discord

Bullish factors

  • Token is at or near all-time lows, creating a theoretical low-cost entry point
  • 24h buyer count of 478 shows some residual demand
  • FDV of ~$5,327 is extremely low, meaning even small capital inflows could move price significantly

Bearish factors

  • Price down -85.1% in 24h with -70.5% in the last hour
  • Sell pressure at 75.6% (3,127 sells vs 1,196 buys)
  • Total liquidity reported as $0.00 — extreme exit risk
  • Holder count dropped -168 (-88%) in just 1 hour
  • Top holder (LP) controls 53.47% of supply
  • No verified contract, mutable metadata unknown, update authority unknown
  • Majority of snipers (12 of 20) are in negative PnL, indicating early buyers are underwater and likely to sell
Confidence: low. Price prediction confidence is low due to: (1) zero reported liquidity making price discovery unreliable, (2) extremely thin trading history (token is <24h old in active trading), (3) meme token dynamics are inherently unpredictable, and (4) missing sniper cost-basis data limits smart money analysis.

Deep Analysis

Three hourly candles are available. Candle [3] (09:00 UTC): O=$0.0000346, H=$0.0000680, L=$0.0000296, C=$0.0000614 — a strong bullish candle with a wide range, closing near the high. Candle [2] (10:00 UTC): O=$0.0000612, H=$0.0000659, L=$0.0000057, C=$0.0000086 — a massive bearish engulfing/crash candle with an enormous upper wick and a close near the session low, signaling a violent reversal and distribution. Volume spiked to $84,631. Candle [1] (11:00 UTC): O=$0.0000084, H=$0.0000084, L=$0.0000052, C=$0.0000053 — a small bearish candle with no upper wick, confirming continued selling pressure. Volume collapsed to $2,041, indicating capitulation or abandonment.

Trend

Short-term
downtrend
Medium-term
downtrend

Momentum

Status
oversold

Volume

Trenddecreasing
Buy 24%Sell 76%

The token formed a sharp pump-and-dump pattern: a rapid rise to $0.0000680 followed by a catastrophic collapse to $0.0000053 within two hours. Both short-term and medium-term trends are firmly bearish. There is no evidence of stabilization.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.0000052 (candle [1] low)
Major$0.0000030 (candle [3] low at $0.0000296, rounded)
Resistance
Immediate$0.0000084 (candle [1] open = candle [2] close area)
Major$0.0000660 (candle [2] high / all-time high)

The all-time high of $0.0000680 (candle [2] high) represents the peak of the pump and is now a major resistance zone. Immediate resistance sits at $0.0000084 (the open of the most recent candle). Immediate support is the recent low of $0.0000052. Below that, the candle [3] low of ~$0.0000296 is not applicable as it is above current price — the token has broken below all prior support levels.

Notable patterns

  • Pump-and-dump pattern: rapid rise to $0.0000680 followed by >90% collapse within 2 hours
  • Massive bearish engulfing candle at candle [2] with upper wick spanning from $0.0000086 to $0.0000659
  • Volume climax at the top (candle [2] $84,631) followed by volume collapse (candle [1] $2,041) — classic distribution signature
  • No lower wick on candle [1] open, suggesting no buying support at open price

Total holders191
24h Δ+177
7d Δ+177
30d Δ+177
Accelerating Growth
No

Correlation with price

Holder count surged from 14 (pre-launch baseline) to a peak during the pump phase, then collapsed by -168 (-88%) in the last hour as price crashed -70.5%. This is a strong negative correlation: holders are exiting rapidly as price falls, consistent with a pump-and-dump dynamic.

The historical holder data shows the token sat dormant with exactly 14 holders for the entire 30-day observation period (April 2 – May 1, 2026), with zero net change daily. This strongly suggests the token was pre-mined or held by insiders before a coordinated launch. The 24h net change of +177 holders (to 191 total) reflects the pump phase attracting retail buyers. However, the -168 holder drop in just the last hour is alarming — nearly 88% of the newly acquired holders have already exited or been wiped out. The 30d/7d/24h growth figures are identical (+177) because all growth occurred within the last 24 hours. Growth is not accelerating; it is sharply reversing.

Top 10 hold70.99%
Top 100 hold89.10%
Sentiment
Distributing

Notable holders

CvHv8EfbCAoNcA9XGaJEUcsTgAtcphRiKSdRpYTzQJWq

DEX liquidity pool (PumpSwap pair address)

53.47%

HHFDsTfzrLDpLcdbddeLXoTPTPubAT26iLnqwgSFnXDE

Individual whale / early holder

3.20%

AtiFKncxhPxRNjM628VG9C5eEpXWhG8WdhyX5DvmdVM3

Individual whale / early holder

2.35%

5yBFrJcjxG2Mh3jHQpxbmpvucQjeFZc817yJ5YdW1tyT

Individual whale / early holder

2.31%

2cUvcdQzXWB4FE1pqcG5eAtc3w3EfchegTGXdVtwyoJf

Individual whale / early holder

2.03%

Supply concentration is extreme. The top holder at 53.47% is the PumpSwap liquidity pool address (CvHv8EfbCAoNcA9XGaJEUcsTgAtcphRiKSdRpYTzQJWq), which matches the trading pair address listed in the price data. This is the LP, not a single entity, but it means over half the token supply is locked in the pool (or was). Holders 2–10 each hold between 1.30% and 3.20%, totaling ~17.52% of supply among 9 wallets. The top 10 collectively hold 70.99% and the top 100 hold 89.1%. With only 191 total holders, this is an extremely concentrated distribution. The overall sentiment is distributing, consistent with the 75.6% sell pressure and -168 holder drop in 1 hour.

Liquidity$0.00
Depth
Shallow
Slippage risk
high

Volume (24h)

Buy$39,270
Sell$121,840
Net flow
outflow

Traders (24h)

Unique buyers478
Unique sellers1,279

Liquidity is reported as $0.00, which is the most critical red flag in this analysis. Despite $161,110 in combined 24h volume ($39.27K buys + $121.84K sells), there is effectively no liquidity depth. This means any attempt to buy or sell a meaningful position will face extreme slippage. The net flow is strongly negative: sell volume ($121.84K) is 3.1x buy volume ($39.27K), and unique sellers (1,279) outnumber unique buyers (478) by 2.7x. The token trades on PumpSwap (pair CvHv8EfbCAoNcA9XGaJEUcsTgAtcphRiKSdRpYTzQJWq) with 63.56 WSOL in the native pair, but the USD liquidity figure of $0.00 suggests the pool may be nearly drained or the data feed is stale. Market health is critically poor.

Supply & Valuation

Total supply1,000,000,000 PUMPA
FDV$5,327.05

Authorities

Mint authority
Active
Freeze authority
Active

Total supply is 1,000,000,000 (1 billion) tokens with 6 decimals, standard for PumpFun launches. The FDV at current price is only $5,327.05, reflecting the near-total collapse in price. Update authority is listed as 'unknown' in the metadata, and the contract is not verified. Mutable is set to false, which is a mild positive (metadata cannot be changed), but mint and freeze authority status cannot be confirmed from available data. The token was launched via PumpFun (mint address ends in 'pump'), which typically uses a bonding curve mechanism before graduating to PumpSwap. The description references only a Discord server (discord.gg/uxento), with no whitepaper, roadmap, or utility described. Rug risk from authorities is classified as unknown due to missing authority data, but the overall tokenomics profile is consistent with a speculative meme launch with no fundamental value proposition.

Volatility
high

Price dropped -85.1% in 24h and -70.5% in 1h. The token went from $0.0000680 to $0.0000053 within two hours of peak — a 92% collapse. Extreme volatility in both directions is characteristic of PumpFun meme launches.

Liquidity
high

Total liquidity is reported as $0.00. Despite $161K in 24h volume, there is no depth to absorb orders. Any position of meaningful size cannot be exited without catastrophic slippage.

Concentration
high

Top 10 holders control 70.99% of supply. The LP address alone holds 53.47%. Holders 2–10 each hold 1.30%–3.20%, representing significant individual whale positions that could dump at any time.

SniperDump
high

20 snipers were active in the first 1,000 blocks. 15 of 20 have already sold. The remaining 5 (including those with $0 balance or $4 balance) appear to have fully exited or hold negligible amounts. Sniper dump risk has largely materialized already.

Authority
medium

Update authority is unknown. Contract is not verified. Mutable is false (positive). Mint and freeze authority status cannot be confirmed. The PumpFun launch mechanism provides some structural constraints, but authority risks cannot be fully assessed.

Key risks

  • Zero reported liquidity — cannot exit positions without extreme slippage
  • Price already down -85.1% in 24h with continued selling pressure
  • Top 10 holders control 70.99% of supply with no lock-up information
  • Token sat dormant with 14 holders for 30 days before launch — suggests coordinated insider pre-positioning
  • No verified contract, no whitepaper, no utility — pure speculative meme
  • Holder count dropped -168 (-88%) in 1 hour — mass exodus underway
  • Discord-only promotion with no established community or social proof
  • Majority of snipers (12/20) in negative PnL — early buyers underwater and likely to continue selling

Mitigating factors

  • Mutable metadata is set to false, preventing metadata manipulation
  • Token launched on PumpSwap, a known DEX with some structural transparency
  • FDV of $5,327 is so low that catastrophic loss in absolute dollar terms is limited for small positions
  • Some snipers (7/20) are in profit, suggesting not all early buyers are distressed sellers
  • 24h buyer count of 478 shows residual demand exists
Suitable for: This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who can afford to lose 100% of their investment. It is entirely unsuitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep familiarity with PumpFun meme token dynamics. Given the zero liquidity, extreme concentration, and ongoing price collapse, even experienced traders face near-certain loss.

Pumpa (PUMPA) is a classic PumpFun meme token that has already completed its pump-and-dump cycle within hours of launch. The token surged to a peak of ~$0.0000680 before collapsing -92% to $0.0000053. With zero liquidity, extreme holder concentration, a mass holder exodus, and predominantly negative sniper PnL, there is no credible investment thesis for new entrants. The only scenario for upside is a speculative second-wave pump driven by social media attention, which is low probability.

Bull case (low)

A second viral wave on Discord or Crypto Twitter attracts new buyers, driving a short-term price recovery toward the $0.0000084–$0.0000066 resistance zone. The extremely low FDV ($5,327) means even $10,000–$50,000 of new inflows could produce a 2x–10x move from current levels.

  • Viral social media campaign via Discord (discord.gg/uxento) or Twitter
  • Broader Solana meme coin market rally lifting all tokens
  • Coordinated community buyback
  • Influencer promotion

Base case

Price stabilizes in the $0.0000030–$0.0000060 range with minimal trading activity as the initial frenzy subsides. The token persists on-chain with a small residual holder base (50–100 wallets) but sees no meaningful price appreciation. Volume dries up to near zero within 48–72 hours.

  • Some residual buyers continue to trade at very low volumes
  • No major new catalyst (positive or negative) emerges
  • Remaining whale holders (positions 2–10) do not immediately dump
  • PumpSwap pool remains active with minimal liquidity

Bear case (high)

Liquidity continues to drain, remaining holders exit, and the token becomes effectively untradeable. Price drifts toward zero as the LP is withdrawn and no new buyers emerge. The token joins the vast graveyard of failed PumpFun launches.

  • Zero liquidity making exit impossible for remaining holders
  • Continued 75.6% sell pressure with no reversal signal
  • Mass holder exodus (-168 in 1h) showing no confidence
  • No utility, no verified contract, no established community
  • Majority of snipers already sold or underwater

GeneratedMay 2, 11:18 AM
Data freshnessPrice and trading data current as of approximately 2026-05-02T11:00 UTC. OHLC data covers the last 3 hours. Holder history covers 30 days with daily granularity. Sniper data covers the first 1,000 blocks post-launch.
Model confidence
low

Data sources

  • On-chain Solana token metadata (Mint: 43kvs9Y1WEn7J43DvorotAB35KkAfLpeuQYA9TPspump)
  • PumpSwap DEX trading data (Pair: CvHv8EfbCAoNcA9XGaJEUcsTgAtcphRiKSdRpYTzQJWq)
  • Hourly OHLC candle data (3 candles, 2026-05-02 09:00–11:00 UTC)
  • 24h trading analytics (buy/sell volume, unique wallets)
  • Top 20 holder distribution data
  • 30-day historical holder time series (daily)
  • Sniper analysis (first 1,000 blocks, 20 snipers)
  • Token metadata including social links and description

Limitations

  • Only 3 hourly OHLC candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis
  • Sniper USD amounts sniped and current balances are unknown for all 20 snipers, preventing precise concentration calculation
  • Total liquidity reported as $0.00 — may be a data feed issue or reflect actual pool drainage
  • Update authority, mint authority, and freeze authority status are unknown — cannot fully assess rug risk
  • Token is <24 hours old in active trading, making all trend analysis preliminary
  • 6h and 24h price change reported as 0% in analytics despite clear price movement — possible data anomaly
  • No order book depth data available
  • No social sentiment data beyond the Discord link in the description

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially newly launched meme tokens, carry extreme risk including total loss of capital. Past price action is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research before making any investment decision.

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply1,000,000,000 PUMPA

Key Risks

Zero reported liquidity — cannot exit positions without extreme slippage
Price already down -85.1% in 24h with continued selling pressure
Top 10 holders control 70.99% of supply with no lock-up information
Token sat dormant with 14 holders for 30 days before launch — suggests coordinated insider pre-positioning

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

low confidence
Low risk

Sniper data is severely incomplete — sniped amounts in USD and current balances are unknown for most wallets, making precise concentration calculations impossible. However, the sell-through behavior is clear: 15 of 20 snipers have sold (some partially, some fully), and the majority (12/20) are in negative PnL territory, indicating the token launched at a price that was already elevated relative to where most snipers entered, or the dump was too fast to exit profitably. Notable losses include sniper [14] at -66.1%, sniper [11] at -34.9%, and sniper [18] at -43.2%. The largest realized sale was sniper [5] at $849 with -14.2% PnL.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration0.00%
PnL stateMixed
Sell-through rateHigh
Profit-taking risk
low

Sniper cost basis and balance data are largely unknown; 15 of 20 snipers have sold meaningful amounts. Of the 20 snipers, 12 show negative realized PnL (ranging from -3.2% to -66.1%) and 7 show positive PnL (ranging from +3.1% to +28.6%), with 1 at 0%. The majority are underwater.

Predominantly negative — 12 of 20 snipers are in realized losses, and the price has collapsed -85.1% from peak. Early buyers who did not exit quickly are deeply underwater.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the price prediction for Pumpa (Pumpa)?

Price has collapsed -85.1% in 24h and -70.5% in the last hour alone. The most recent candle (11:00 UTC) closed at $0.0000053, near the session low of $0.0000052, with volume collapsing to $2,041 from $84,631 the prior hour. Sell pressure is 75.6% of volume. With zero reported liquidity and a massive holder exodus (-168 holders in 1h), further downside is the path of least resistance. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.0000010 to $0.0000080.

Is Pumpa a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 9.5/100. This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who can afford to lose 100% of their investment. It is entirely unsuitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep familiarity with PumpFun meme token dynamics. Given the zero liquidity, extreme concentration, and ongoing price collapse, even experienced traders face near-certain loss.

How are Pumpa holders trending?

Pumpa currently has 191 holders and is growing (24h: 177, 7d: 177, 30d: 177). The historical holder data shows the token sat dormant with exactly 14 holders for the entire 30-day observation period (April 2 – May 1, 2026), with zero net change daily. This strongly suggests the token was pre-mined or held by insiders before a coordinated launch. The 24h net change of +177 holders (to 191 total) reflects the pump phase attracting retail buyers. However, the -168 holder drop in just the last hour is alarming — nearly 88% of the newly acquired holders have already exited or been wiped out. The 30d/7d/24h growth figures are identical (+177) because all growth occurred within the last 24 hours. Growth is not accelerating; it is sharply reversing.

What does sniper activity look like for Pumpa?

Snipers hold roughly 0.00% of supply with PnL state "mixed" and sell-through rate "high". Profit-taking risk: low.

What are the key risks of holding Pumpa?

Zero reported liquidity — cannot exit positions without extreme slippage • Price already down -85.1% in 24h with continued selling pressure • Top 10 holders control 70.99% of supply with no lock-up information

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