RUSS

The Nietzschean Dog Price Today & AI Analysis

RUSS
Solana
AI Analysis
Analysis as of Jul 25, 2026

2FCerziZbakcdDbuQNgEWPxGRPYGmBzMxEJKkqJEpump

$0.056182

-9.38%

FDV $5,964

LiveContract:2FCerziZbakcdDbuQNgEWPxGRPYGmBzMxEJKkqJEpumpChain:SolanaHolders:698Market cap:$5,964

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Report snapshotas of Jul 25, 09:17 AM
FDV

$142,916

Liquidity

$44,115

Holders

1,260

Snipers

0

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

RUSS ('The Nietzschean Dog') is a newly launched Pump.fun/PumpSwap meme token on Solana with a total supply of ~1B tokens and a fully diluted valuation of ~$142K. The token experienced a dramatic price spike of +158.9% in the past 24 hours, but this is accompanied by severe red flags: overwhelming sell pressure (73.6% of volume), extremely shallow liquidity ($44.12K), an unverified contract, unknown update authority, and a holder base that went from 24 to 1,260 in under 24 hours — a pattern consistent with a coordinated pump. The token's description links to an external PDF archive and references a Discord server, neither of which constitute meaningful project fundamentals.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Bearish
Extreme 24h price spike (+158.9%) driven almost entirely by sell-side volume (73.6% sell pressure)
Holder count exploded from 24 to 1,260 in under 24 hours — highly anomalous and consistent with a pump event
Historical holder data shows exactly 24 holders for 30 consecutive days prior to the pump, suggesting dormancy or pre-launch staging
Extremely shallow liquidity at $44.12K against $396K+ in 24h trading volume — severe slippage risk
Unverified contract, unknown update authority, and mutable=false metadata — authority status cannot be confirmed

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term

bearish
1–24 hours

The token is in a post-pump distribution phase. The most recent 5-minute price change is -17.85%, sell pressure accounts for 73.6% of 24h volume ($291.99K sells vs $104.60K buys), and there are 1,801 unique sellers vs only 664 unique buyers. With only $44.12K in liquidity, any continued selling will cause rapid price deterioration. The candle structure shows a massive wick on candle [2] (open $0.0000298, high $0.0000161, close $0.0001279) followed by candle [1] closing at the high ($0.0001429), but the 5m data already shows a -17.85% reversal.

Target low$0.000050
Target high$0.000143
Support: $0.000124 (candle [1] low), $0.000030 (candle [2] open / pre-pump base)
Resistance: $0.000143 (candle [1] close / current price), $0.000161 (candle [2] all-time high wick)

Medium term

bearish
1–7 days

Without sustained buying interest, new utility, or community development, the token is likely to retrace toward pre-pump levels (~$0.000030 or lower). The 30-day holder stagnation at 24 wallets prior to the pump suggests no organic community existed. Meme tokens of this profile typically see 80–95% retracements from pump highs within days.

Catalysts
  • Any new viral social media attention could temporarily re-ignite buying
  • Listing on a broader aggregator or influencer promotion
  • Absence of further selling pressure from early holders could stabilize price

Bullish factors

  • Price is up +158.9% in 24h, showing speculative demand exists
  • Holder count grew rapidly to 1,260, indicating broad awareness
  • Token is trading on PumpSwap with an active pair

Bearish factors

  • 73.6% of 24h volume is sell-side ($291.99K sells vs $104.60K buys)
  • Only $44.12K total liquidity — extremely shallow
  • 5-minute price already down -17.85% from recent high
  • 1,801 unique sellers vs 664 unique buyers in 24h
  • 30 days of dormancy at 24 holders before the pump — no organic community
  • Unverified contract and unknown update authority
  • No top holder data available — concentration risk cannot be assessed
Confidence: low. Only 2 hourly OHLC candles are available, providing minimal technical data. The extreme volatility, shallow liquidity, and anomalous holder data make price prediction highly uncertain. The bearish short-term bias is grounded in the 73.6% sell pressure and -17.85% 5m move, but low liquidity means price can swing violently in either direction.

RUSS call history

Full track record →
Jul 25bearish
24h-65.6%
7d-80.0%
30d-91.0%

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Deep Analysis

Only 2 hourly candles are available. Candle [2] (08:00 UTC) shows an explosive move: open $0.0000298, high $0.0001612, close $0.0001279 — a ~440% intrabar range with a long upper wick, indicating strong selling into the pump. Candle [1] (09:00 UTC) opens at $0.0001272, reaches a high of $0.0001429, and closes at the high $0.0001429 — a bullish close but on significantly lower volume (68,287 vs 267,011). The 5-minute data showing -17.85% suggests the price has already begun reversing from candle [1]'s close.

Trend

Short-term
uptrend
Medium-term
sideways

Momentum

Status
overbought

Volume

Trenddecreasing
Buy 26%Sell 74%

Short-term trend is technically up given the 24h +158.9% gain and candle [1] closing at its high. However, the medium-term context is sideways-to-bearish: the token was dormant for 30 days, the pump appears speculative, and sell pressure dominates. The -17.85% 5m move suggests the short-term uptrend is already reversing.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.000124 (candle [1] low)
Major$0.000030 (candle [2] open — pre-pump base price)
Resistance
Immediate$0.000143 (candle [1] close / current price)
Major$0.000161 (candle [2] all-time high wick)

The pre-pump price of ~$0.000030 (candle [2] open) represents the major support and likely fair value floor. The all-time high wick at $0.000161 is the key resistance. Current price at $0.000143 is near the top of the established range with no higher timeframe support structure.

Notable patterns

  • Long upper wick on candle [2] — classic pump exhaustion / shooting star signal
  • Candle [1] closes at its high but on 74% lower volume — bearish volume divergence
  • 440% intrabar range on candle [2] indicates extreme volatility and likely wash trading or thin liquidity exploitation
  • 5-minute -17.85% move confirms early reversal from candle [1] high

Total holders1,260
24h Δ+98
7d Δ+98
30d Δ+98
Accelerating Growth
Yes

Correlation with price

The holder explosion from 24 to 1,260 (+1,236 holders, +98% of current base) occurred simultaneously with the +158.9% price pump, suggesting the holder growth is entirely driven by the speculative event rather than organic adoption. Historical data shows exactly 24 holders for all 30 days prior to July 25, 2026 — zero organic growth for a full month.

The holder data reveals a deeply anomalous pattern. For 30 consecutive days (June 25 – July 24, 2026), the token had exactly 24 holders with zero net change each day. Then, within a single 24-hour window, holders surged to 1,260 (+1,236). This is not organic growth — it is the direct result of a coordinated pump event. The 24-holder dormancy period suggests the token was either pre-staged, abandoned, or held by a small group awaiting a pump trigger. The rapid holder acquisition (1,245 via swap, 15 via transfer) confirms most new holders bought in during the pump. Critically, the distribution data shows 0% concentration across all whale/shark/dolphin/fish/octopus tiers and 0% for top 10 and top 100 — this data appears incomplete or unavailable, not that supply is evenly distributed.

Top 10 hold0.00%
Top 100 hold0.00%
Sentiment
Mixed

Notable holders

N/A

No top holder data available

0.00%

Top holder data is entirely unavailable for this token — the API returned no top 20 holders. The supply concentration metrics show 0% for both top 10 and top 100, which is almost certainly a data gap rather than a genuine reflection of even distribution. Given the token's launch profile (pump.fun origin, 24 dormant holders for 30 days, sudden pump), it is highly probable that a small number of early wallets hold a disproportionate share of supply. The absence of holder data is itself a risk signal — it prevents assessment of dump risk from concentrated positions. Investors should treat this as a very_concentrated distribution until proven otherwise.

Liquidity$44,120
Depth
Shallow
Slippage risk
high

Volume (24h)

Buy$104,600
Sell$291,990
Net flow
outflow

Traders (24h)

Unique buyers664
Unique sellers1,801

Liquidity is critically shallow at $44.12K on PumpSwap (pair KRr9G56oFyjbDmsMV1Thynjh49thFn5Br9oCNJAnMZV). The 24h trading volume of ~$396K represents approximately 9x the total liquidity pool — an extreme turnover ratio that guarantees significant slippage on any meaningful trade. Net flow is strongly negative: $291.99K in sells vs $104.60K in buys, a net outflow of ~$187K. The seller-to-buyer ratio of 1,801:664 (2.7:1) confirms sustained distribution pressure. Market health is poor — the token is in active distribution with insufficient liquidity to absorb continued selling without severe price impact.

Supply & Valuation

Total supply999,999,909.39
FDV$142,915.75

Authorities

Mint authority
Active
Freeze authority
Active

Total supply is ~1B tokens (999,999,909.39), a standard pump.fun issuance. The FDV is $142,915.75 at current price. The update authority is listed as 'unknown' in the metadata, and the contract is unverified — this means mint and freeze authority status cannot be confirmed. The token is marked as mutable=false, which is a positive signal suggesting metadata cannot be changed, but this does not confirm authority renouncement. The absence of verified contract status and unknown authority state represent meaningful rug risk that cannot be dismissed. The token description links to an external PDF (a Nietzsche/Wagner archive document) and a Discord server — neither constitutes a whitepaper, roadmap, or legitimate project documentation.

Volatility
high

Price surged +158.9% in 24h and is already reversing -17.85% in 5 minutes. Only 2 hourly candles exist, showing a 440% intrabar range on candle [2]. Extreme volatility is inherent to this token's profile.

Liquidity
high

Total liquidity is only $44.12K against $396K+ in 24h volume (9x turnover). Any sell order of meaningful size will cause severe slippage. Exiting a position quickly at a fair price is extremely difficult.

Concentration
high

Top holder data is unavailable. The token had only 24 holders for 30 days before the pump, strongly implying concentrated early ownership. The 0% concentration figures in the data appear to be a data gap, not genuine distribution.

SniperDump
high

No sniper data is available, but the 73.6% sell pressure, 6,080 sell transactions from 1,801 unique sellers, and the pattern of 24 dormant holders followed by a sudden pump are all consistent with early holders dumping into retail buyers.

Authority
high

Update authority is 'unknown', contract is unverified. Mint and freeze authority status cannot be confirmed. This leaves open the possibility of supply manipulation or account freezing, though mutable=false is a partial mitigant.

Key risks

  • Overwhelming sell pressure (73.6% of volume) indicates active distribution into the pump
  • Critically shallow liquidity ($44.12K) creates extreme slippage and exit risk
  • 30 days of dormancy at 24 holders followed by sudden pump — classic pre-staged pump-and-dump pattern
  • Unknown update authority and unverified contract — rug risk cannot be ruled out
  • No top holder data available — concentration risk is unquantifiable but likely severe
  • Token description is a PDF link and Discord invite — no legitimate project fundamentals
  • -17.85% price move in 5 minutes signals the pump may already be reversing

Mitigating factors

  • Token is marked mutable=false, suggesting metadata cannot be altered
  • Token is trading on PumpSwap with a live pair — not a complete exit scam at this moment
  • Holder count grew to 1,260, providing some distribution of supply
  • The token has social links (Twitter, website) which could indicate some community presence
Suitable for: This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who fully understand they may lose 100% of their investment. It is entirely unsuitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone not prepared for immediate total loss. This analysis is informational only and does not constitute financial advice.

No analysis available for this section yet — refresh in a moment.

Bull case (low)

No analysis available for this section yet — refresh in a moment.

Base case

No analysis available for this section yet — refresh in a moment.

Bear case (low)

No analysis available for this section yet — refresh in a moment.

GeneratedJul 25, 09:17 AM
Data freshnessPrice and trading data current as of candle close 2026-07-25T09:00:00Z. Historical holder data covers June 25 – July 24, 2026. Only 2 hourly OHLC candles available — severely limited technical analysis basis.
Model confidence
low

Data sources

  • On-chain metadata (Solana mint account)
  • PumpSwap DEX pair data (KRr9G56oFyjbDmsMV1Thynjh49thFn5Br9oCNJAnMZV)
  • OHLC candle data (hourly, 2 candles)
  • Trading analytics (24h volume, buy/sell breakdown, unique wallets)
  • Holder metrics and historical holder series (30 days daily)
  • Sniper analysis endpoint (returned no data)

Limitations

  • Only 2 hourly OHLC candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis
  • No top holder data returned — whale concentration cannot be quantified
  • Sniper data unavailable — early buyer behavior cannot be directly assessed
  • Update authority status is 'unknown' — authority risk cannot be fully evaluated
  • Supply concentration metrics show 0% for all tiers, which appears to be a data gap rather than genuine even distribution
  • No order book depth data available — slippage estimates are approximations
  • Token is extremely new with minimal price history

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially newly launched meme tokens, carry extreme risk including total loss of capital. The data used is sourced from on-chain and DEX analytics and may be incomplete or subject to manipulation. Always conduct your own research before making any investment decision.

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply999,999,909.39

Key Risks

Overwhelming sell pressure (73.6% of volume) indicates active distribution into the pump
Critically shallow liquidity ($44.12K) creates extreme slippage and exit risk
30 days of dormancy at 24 holders followed by sudden pump — classic pre-staged pump-and-dump pattern
Unknown update authority and unverified contract — rug risk cannot be ruled out

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

low confidence
High risk

No sniper data is available for RUSS. Smart money signals must be inferred from aggregate trading analytics alone. The 73.6% sell pressure ($291.99K in sells vs $104.60K in buys) across 6,080 sell transactions from 1,801 unique sellers strongly suggests early buyers and/or insiders are distributing into retail demand generated by the pump. The ratio of sellers to buyers (1,801 vs 664) is highly unfavorable and consistent with a dump-into-pump pattern.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration0.00%
PnL stateUnknown
Sell-through rateUnknown
Profit-taking risk
high

No sniper data available — the sniper analysis endpoint returned no data for this token.

Likely distributing — the overwhelming sell-side dominance (73.6% of volume, 6,080 sells vs 2,802 buys, 1,801 sellers vs 664 buyers) indicates early participants are aggressively exiting positions into the price spike.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the short-term price outlook for The Nietzschean Dog (RUSS)?

The token is in a post-pump distribution phase. The most recent 5-minute price change is -17.85%, sell pressure accounts for 73.6% of 24h volume ($291.99K sells vs $104.60K buys), and there are 1,801 unique sellers vs only 664 unique buyers. With only $44.12K in liquidity, any continued selling will cause rapid price deterioration. The candle structure shows a massive wick on candle [2] (open $0.0000298, high $0.0000161, close $0.0001279) followed by candle [1] closing at the high ($0.0001429), but the 5m data already shows a -17.85% reversal. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.000050 to $0.000143.

Is RUSS a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 9.2/100. This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who fully understand they may lose 100% of their investment. It is entirely unsuitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone not prepared for immediate total loss. This analysis is informational only and does not constitute financial advice.

How are RUSS holders trending?

The Nietzschean Dog currently has 1,260 holders and is growing (24h: 98, 7d: 98, 30d: 98). The holder data reveals a deeply anomalous pattern. For 30 consecutive days (June 25 – July 24, 2026), the token had exactly 24 holders with zero net change each day. Then, within a single 24-hour window, holders surged to 1,260 (+1,236). This is not organic growth — it is the direct result of a coordinated pump event. The 24-holder dormancy period suggests the token was either pre-staged, abandoned, or held by a small group awaiting a pump trigger. The rapid holder acquisition (1,245 via swap, 15 via transfer) confirms most new holders bought in during the pump. Critically, the distribution data shows 0% concentration across all whale/shark/dolphin/fish/octopus tiers and 0% for top 10 and top 100 — this data appears incomplete or unavailable, not that supply is evenly distributed.

What does sniper activity look like for RUSS?

Snipers hold roughly 0.00% of supply with PnL state "unknown" and sell-through rate "unknown". Profit-taking risk: high.

What are the key risks of holding RUSS?

Overwhelming sell pressure (73.6% of volume) indicates active distribution into the pump • Critically shallow liquidity ($44.12K) creates extreme slippage and exit risk • 30 days of dormancy at 24 holders followed by sudden pump — classic pre-staged pump-and-dump pattern

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