mogsem

mogsem Price Today & AI Analysis

mogsemSolanaAnalysis as of Jun 28, 2026

Price

$0.054169

+10.07% 24h

Contract

Live
Z4S3sHmJmcY44oBNFA4sJtM5Ks2dfSnniGQwi4GaX5v

Chain

Solana

Holders

403

Market cap

$4,142

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mogsem: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-06-28 13:17 UTC

Holder addresses

1,323

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

$77,406.68
How concentrated is mogsem ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 1,323 addresses (2026-06-28 13:17 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling mogsem?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is mogsem liquidity falling?
As of 2026-06-28 13:17 UTC, reported liquidity was $77,406.68. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-06-28 13:17 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

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Report snapshot

as of Jun 28, 01:17 PM UTC

FDV

$312,640

Liquidity

$77,406.68

Holders

1,323

Snipers

Not available

Risk

Very High
Loading price chart…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Bearish

mogsem (MOGSEM) is an extremely new Solana meme token on PumpSwap with a total supply of ~1B tokens. The token launched very recently and experienced a violent 615% price spike within a single hour, driven almost entirely by speculative trading. The supply distribution is catastrophically concentrated: a single wallet holds 100% of the circulating supply (~999,999,989 tokens), making this one of the most concentrated token distributions observable. Holder count surged from 28 to 1,323 within 24 hours, entirely coinciding with the price pump. Sell pressure is overwhelming at 84.3% of 24h volume. This token exhibits nearly every hallmark of a pump-and-dump or rug-pull setup.

Key points

  • Single wallet holds 100% of effective supply (~999,999,989 of ~1B tokens)
  • 615%+ price spike in under 1 hour with 84.3% sell pressure
  • Holder count grew from 28 to 1,323 in 24h — entirely pump-driven
  • No verified contract, no social links, mutable metadata authority not renounced
  • Liquidity of only $77.41K against $455.65K in 24h sell volume

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term · 1–24 hours

bearish

The token pumped from ~$0.000025 to ~$0.000431 within a single hour (candle [2]: L=$0.0000248, H=$0.000431), then immediately began retracing (candle [1]: C=$0.000307, down from O=$0.000392). With 84.3% sell pressure, 10,404 sells vs 2,913 buys, and a single wallet holding 100% of supply, the price is highly likely to continue declining sharply. The current price of ~$0.000313 is well below the hourly high of $0.000431.

Target low

$0.000010

Target high

$0.000431

Support

$0.000307 (candle [1] low), $0.000025 (candle [2] low / pre-pump level)

Resistance

$0.000392 (candle [1] open), $0.000431 (candle [2] high / all-time high)

Medium term · 1–30 days

bearish

Given the extreme supply concentration (one wallet = 100%), no social presence, no verified contract, and a token that sat dormant for 30 days before a single-hour pump, the medium-term outlook is deeply bearish. Unless the controlling wallet refrains from selling, the token is likely to return to near-zero. No fundamental catalysts exist.

Catalysts

  • Controlling wallet dumping remaining supply
  • Liquidity withdrawal from PumpSwap pool
  • Loss of speculative interest as pump fades
  • No roadmap, utility, or community to sustain price

Bullish factors

  • Rapid holder acquisition (+1,295 in 24h) shows speculative interest exists
  • 24h buy volume of $84.54K indicates some demand
  • Meme token narrative could attract additional speculative buyers

Bearish factors

  • Single wallet holds 100% of effective supply — existential dump risk
  • 84.3% sell pressure ($455.65K sells vs $84.54K buys)
  • Price already retracing from $0.000431 high to $0.000307 close on candle [1]
  • Only $77.41K total liquidity — any significant sell will crater price
  • Token was dormant for 30 days with 28 holders before pump
  • No social links, no verified contract, no utility

Confidence: medium. The directional call (bearish) is high-confidence given the data. The exact price targets carry medium confidence due to the unpredictable nature of meme token speculation and the possibility of additional pump cycles by the controlling wallet.

mogsem call history

Full track record →

Jun 28bearish
24h-90.2%
7d-98.2%
30d-99.0%

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Solana
Contract
Z4S3sH...aX5v
Total Supply
999,999,993.6063

Key Risks

  • Single wallet holds 100% of supply — existential rug-pull risk at any moment
  • 84.3% sell pressure with $455.65K in 24h sells vs $84.54K buys
  • Shallow liquidity ($77.41K) cannot absorb significant selling
  • Token dormant for 30 days before pump — classic pre-pump accumulation pattern

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

Only 2 hourly candles are available. Candle [2] (12:00 UTC): O=$0.0000480, H=$0.000431, L=$0.0000248, C=$0.000395 — an enormous bullish candle with a massive lower wick, representing the initial pump from near-zero to $0.000431. Volume was $507,648. Candle [1] (13:00 UTC): O=$0.000392, H=$0.000429, L=$0.000307, C=$0.000307 — a bearish candle closing at its low, indicating strong selling pressure after the pump. Volume dropped to $18,401. The pattern is a classic 'pump and dump' setup: explosive green candle followed by a bearish close-at-low candle.

Trend

Short-term

Downtrend

Medium-term

Downtrend

After a violent single-candle pump, the most recent candle closed at its low ($0.000307), forming a bearish engulfing/close-at-low pattern. The short and medium-term trend is now downward from the $0.000431 peak.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Overbought

Volume trend

Decreasing

Buy

16%

Sell

84%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.000307 (candle [1] close/low)

Major support

$0.000025 (candle [2] low — pre-pump level)

Immediate resistance

$0.000392 (candle [1] open)

Major resistance

$0.000431 (all-time high, candle [2] high)

The $0.000307 level is the most recent close and acts as immediate support. A break below this opens the path to the pre-pump level near $0.000025. Resistance sits at $0.000392 (candle [1] open) and the ATH of $0.000431.

Notable patterns

  • Pump candle: massive bullish candle with lower wick (candle [2], +$507K volume)
  • Bearish close-at-low: candle [1] closes at its low ($0.000307), signaling distribution
  • Volume collapse: 96% volume drop from candle [2] to candle [1]
  • Classic pump-and-dump two-candle pattern
  • Price 28% below hourly high after just one candle

Liquidity

Liquidity

$77,406.68

Depth

Shallow

Slippage risk

High

Liquidity is critically shallow at $77.41K on PumpSwap (pair: 7jfcDf7XiSiAYobfu1en6vnURrpLKihUWrW6qMr2v3Ro). The 24h sell volume of $455.65K is nearly 6x the total liquidity pool, meaning the pool has already been heavily stressed. Any significant sell order will cause extreme slippage. The ratio of sellers to buyers is 2,240:576 (3.9:1), and sell volume ($455.65K) dwarfs buy volume ($84.54K) by 5.4:1. Net flow is strongly negative (outflow). The FDV of $358.02K vs liquidity of $77.41K gives a liquidity-to-FDV ratio of ~21.6%, which is low for a token of this profile. The market health is poor — this is a one-sided distribution event, not healthy two-way trading.

Supply & authorities

Total supply

999,999,993.6063

FDV

$312,639.52

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

  • Volatilityhigh

    615% price spike in under 1 hour followed by immediate retracement. Only 2 candles of price history available. Extreme intraday volatility with a range from $0.0000248 to $0.000431 in a single hour.

  • Liquidityhigh

    Total liquidity of only $77.41K on a single PumpSwap pool. 24h sell volume of $455.65K is ~5.9x the liquidity pool. Any large sell will cause catastrophic slippage. No secondary markets or CEX listings.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Sniper DumpNot assessed

    Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.

  • AuthorityNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

  • Single wallet holds 100% of supply — existential rug-pull risk at any moment
  • 84.3% sell pressure with $455.65K in 24h sells vs $84.54K buys
  • Shallow liquidity ($77.41K) cannot absorb significant selling
  • Token dormant for 30 days before pump — classic pre-pump accumulation pattern
  • No verified contract, no social links, no community infrastructure
  • Update authority not renounced — metadata can be modified
  • Mint/freeze authority status unknown
  • Price already retracing from ATH — bearish close-at-low candle pattern

Mitigating factors

  • Metadata marked as mutable=false at the metadata level
  • Token is on PumpSwap (a legitimate DEX), providing some price discovery
  • Rapid holder acquisition (+1,295 in 24h) shows some market interest
  • FDV of ~$312K is relatively small, limiting absolute loss exposure for small positions

Suitable for

This token is NOT suitable for any investor seeking capital preservation. It may only be considered by experienced, high-risk-tolerance speculators who treat it as a lottery ticket with near-total loss probability. Position sizing should assume 100% loss. This is informational analysis only, not financial advice.

mogsem is a textbook high-risk meme token exhibiting nearly every red flag associated with pump-and-dump schemes: 100% supply concentration in one wallet, 30 days of dormancy followed by a single-hour 615% pump, overwhelming sell pressure (84.3%), shallow liquidity, and no verified contract or social presence. The investment case is almost entirely speculative and the risk of total loss is very high.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

The controlling wallet does not dump, the meme narrative gains viral traction, and additional speculative capital flows in, pushing the price back toward or above the $0.000431 ATH.

  • Viral meme adoption on social media (no current evidence of this)
  • Controlling wallet choosing to hold and build community rather than dump
  • Broader Solana meme season attracting speculative capital to low-cap tokens
  • Price recovering above $0.000392 resistance to signal renewed momentum

Base Case

Price continues to decline from the $0.000431 ATH as sell pressure persists. The token stabilizes at a fraction of the pump price (e.g., $0.000025–$0.000100) with low volume and declining holder interest, before eventually fading to near-zero.

  • Controlling wallet sells gradually rather than in one transaction
  • Some retail buyers continue to provide exit liquidity
  • No major new catalysts emerge to reignite speculative interest
  • Liquidity pool remains intact but continues to thin

Bear Case

High probability

The controlling wallet dumps its 100% supply position into the thin $77.41K liquidity pool, collapsing the price to near zero. Remaining holders are left with worthless tokens.

  • Single wallet with 100% supply has every incentive and ability to dump
  • 84.3% sell pressure already indicates active distribution
  • Liquidity too shallow to absorb any significant sell
  • No utility, community, or fundamentals to support price
  • Historical pattern: 30 days dormant → pump → dump

Analysis details

Generated

Jun 28, 01:17 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-06-28 13:17 UTC

Model confidence

Medium

Data sources

  • On-chain token metadata (Mint: Z4S3sHmJmcY44oBNFA4sJtM5Ks2dfSnniGQwi4GaX5v)
  • PumpSwap pair data (7jfcDf7XiSiAYobfu1en6vnURrpLKihUWrW6qMr2v3Ro)
  • Hourly OHLC candle data (2 candles, June 28 2026)
  • 24h trading analytics (buy/sell volume, unique wallets)
  • Holder metrics and distribution data
  • Historical holder series (30 days daily)
  • Top 20 holder balances
  • Sniper analysis endpoint (no data returned)

Limitations

  • Only 2 hourly OHLC candles available — technical analysis is severely limited
  • No sniper data available — early buyer PnL and sell-through rate cannot be computed
  • Mint and freeze authority status not explicitly provided in metadata
  • Update authority wallet (TSLvdd1pWpHVjahSpsvCXUbgwsL3JAcvokwaKt1eokM) not identified/labeled
  • No social links or off-chain information available for qualitative assessment
  • Historical holder data only goes back 30 days and shows zero activity until the pump day
  • Price change percentages for 5m, 6h, and 24h all show 0% which may indicate data lag or API artifact

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially meme tokens, carry extreme risk of total loss. The data analyzed was provided externally and treated as untrusted evidence. Always conduct your own research before making any investment decisions.

Frequently Asked Questions

How concentrated is mogsem ownership?

Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 1,323 addresses (2026-06-28 13:17 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.

Are large holders selling mogsem?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is mogsem liquidity falling?

As of 2026-06-28 13:17 UTC, reported liquidity was $77,406.68. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.

What is the short-term price outlook for mogsem (mogsem)?

The token pumped from ~$0.000025 to ~$0.000431 within a single hour (candle [2]: L=$0.0000248, H=$0.000431), then immediately began retracing (candle [1]: C=$0.000307, down from O=$0.000392). With 84.3% sell pressure, 10,404 sells vs 2,913 buys, and a single wallet holding 100% of supply, the price is highly likely to continue declining sharply. The current price of ~$0.000313 is well below the hourly high of $0.000431. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.000010 to $0.000431.

Is mogsem a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as very high with a risk score of 9.7/100. This token is NOT suitable for any investor seeking capital preservation. It may only be considered by experienced, high-risk-tolerance speculators who treat it as a lottery ticket with near-total loss probability. Position sizing should assume 100% loss. This is informational analysis only, not financial advice.

What are the key risks of holding mogsem?

Single wallet holds 100% of supply — existential rug-pull risk at any moment • 84.3% sell pressure with $455.65K in 24h sells vs $84.54K buys • Shallow liquidity ($77.41K) cannot absorb significant selling

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