mogsem

mogsem Price Prediction 2026

mogsem
Solana•
AI Analysis
Analysis as of Jun 28, 2026

Z4S3sHmJmcY44oBNFA4sJtM5Ks2dfSnniGQwi4GaX5v

$0.052758

-1.35%

FDV $2,743

LiveContract:Z4S3sHmJmcY44oBNFA4sJtM5Ks2dfSnniGQwi4GaX5vChain:SolanaHolders:471Market cap:$2,743

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Ask Unhosted AI about mogsem

What's Twitter saying?

Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweets

Whale activity

Who is accumulating or distributing

What are the risks?

Red flags, security, concentration

Should I buy?

Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

Report snapshotas of Jun 28, 01:17 PM
FDV

$312,640

Liquidity

$77,407

Holders

1,323

Snipers

0

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

mogsem (MOGSEM) is an extremely new Solana meme token on PumpSwap with a total supply of ~1B tokens. The token launched very recently and experienced a violent 615% price spike within a single hour, driven almost entirely by speculative trading. The supply distribution is catastrophically concentrated: a single wallet holds 100% of the circulating supply (~999,999,989 tokens), making this one of the most concentrated token distributions observable. Holder count surged from 28 to 1,323 within 24 hours, entirely coinciding with the price pump. Sell pressure is overwhelming at 84.3% of 24h volume. This token exhibits nearly every hallmark of a pump-and-dump or rug-pull setup.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Bearish
Single wallet holds 100% of effective supply (~999,999,989 of ~1B tokens)
615%+ price spike in under 1 hour with 84.3% sell pressure
Holder count grew from 28 to 1,323 in 24h — entirely pump-driven
No verified contract, no social links, mutable metadata authority not renounced
Liquidity of only $77.41K against $455.65K in 24h sell volume

Price Prediction

bearish

Short term

bearish
1–24 hours

The token pumped from ~$0.000025 to ~$0.000431 within a single hour (candle [2]: L=$0.0000248, H=$0.000431), then immediately began retracing (candle [1]: C=$0.000307, down from O=$0.000392). With 84.3% sell pressure, 10,404 sells vs 2,913 buys, and a single wallet holding 100% of supply, the price is highly likely to continue declining sharply. The current price of ~$0.000313 is well below the hourly high of $0.000431.

Target low$0.000010
Target high$0.000431
Support: $0.000307 (candle [1] low), $0.000025 (candle [2] low / pre-pump level)
Resistance: $0.000392 (candle [1] open), $0.000431 (candle [2] high / all-time high)

Medium term

bearish
1–30 days

Given the extreme supply concentration (one wallet = 100%), no social presence, no verified contract, and a token that sat dormant for 30 days before a single-hour pump, the medium-term outlook is deeply bearish. Unless the controlling wallet refrains from selling, the token is likely to return to near-zero. No fundamental catalysts exist.

Catalysts
  • Controlling wallet dumping remaining supply
  • Liquidity withdrawal from PumpSwap pool
  • Loss of speculative interest as pump fades
  • No roadmap, utility, or community to sustain price

Bullish factors

  • Rapid holder acquisition (+1,295 in 24h) shows speculative interest exists
  • 24h buy volume of $84.54K indicates some demand
  • Meme token narrative could attract additional speculative buyers

Bearish factors

  • Single wallet holds 100% of effective supply — existential dump risk
  • 84.3% sell pressure ($455.65K sells vs $84.54K buys)
  • Price already retracing from $0.000431 high to $0.000307 close on candle [1]
  • Only $77.41K total liquidity — any significant sell will crater price
  • Token was dormant for 30 days with 28 holders before pump
  • No social links, no verified contract, no utility
Confidence: medium. The directional call (bearish) is high-confidence given the data. The exact price targets carry medium confidence due to the unpredictable nature of meme token speculation and the possibility of additional pump cycles by the controlling wallet.

mogsem call history

Full track record →
Jun 28bearish
24h-90.2%
7d-98.2%
30d-99.0%

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Deep Analysis

Only 2 hourly candles are available. Candle [2] (12:00 UTC): O=$0.0000480, H=$0.000431, L=$0.0000248, C=$0.000395 — an enormous bullish candle with a massive lower wick, representing the initial pump from near-zero to $0.000431. Volume was $507,648. Candle [1] (13:00 UTC): O=$0.000392, H=$0.000429, L=$0.000307, C=$0.000307 — a bearish candle closing at its low, indicating strong selling pressure after the pump. Volume dropped to $18,401. The pattern is a classic 'pump and dump' setup: explosive green candle followed by a bearish close-at-low candle.

Trend

Short-term
downtrend
Medium-term
downtrend

Momentum

Status
overbought

Volume

Trenddecreasing
Buy 16%Sell 84%

After a violent single-candle pump, the most recent candle closed at its low ($0.000307), forming a bearish engulfing/close-at-low pattern. The short and medium-term trend is now downward from the $0.000431 peak.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.000307 (candle [1] close/low)
Major$0.000025 (candle [2] low — pre-pump level)
Resistance
Immediate$0.000392 (candle [1] open)
Major$0.000431 (all-time high, candle [2] high)

The $0.000307 level is the most recent close and acts as immediate support. A break below this opens the path to the pre-pump level near $0.000025. Resistance sits at $0.000392 (candle [1] open) and the ATH of $0.000431.

Notable patterns

  • Pump candle: massive bullish candle with lower wick (candle [2], +$507K volume)
  • Bearish close-at-low: candle [1] closes at its low ($0.000307), signaling distribution
  • Volume collapse: 96% volume drop from candle [2] to candle [1]
  • Classic pump-and-dump two-candle pattern
  • Price 28% below hourly high after just one candle

Total holders1,323
24h Δ+98
7d Δ+98
30d Δ+98
Accelerating Growth
Yes

Correlation with price

Holder growth is entirely correlated with the price pump. The token had exactly 28 holders for the entire 30-day historical period (May 29 – June 27, 2026) with zero net change daily. Then, coinciding with the June 28 price spike of 615%, holders surged from 28 to 1,323 (+1,295, +98% of current holders) within 24 hours. This is not organic growth — it is purely pump-driven speculation.

The holder history is stark: 28 holders for 30 consecutive days with zero change, then an explosive +1,295 holders in a single day coinciding with the price pump. The 7d and 30d growth rates are identical to the 24h rate (98%), confirming all growth occurred in the last 24 hours. This pattern is characteristic of a coordinated pump event attracting retail FOMO buyers. The distribution data shows whales=1, sharks=0, dolphins=0, fish=0, octopus=0 — meaning effectively one entity controls the token. The 1,322 new holders hold negligible balances (the top 2–11 holders combined hold less than 4 tokens out of 1B supply).

Top 10 hold100.00%
Top 100 hold100.00%
Sentiment
Distributing

Notable holders

DrF7RrBo3RSF7HEbaYEp3a9QmRsBkK7zqgYLpVZa5ZEC

Project deployer / insider whale — holds 999,999,989.275 of ~1B supply (effectively 100%)

100.00%

5b4yDcVQy62T2Erngo4j3nGsTfgNCAi6tDC4BTTC5MCJ

Dust holder — balance: 0.999999 tokens

0.00%

8dSB23RUmXAmmyxxHADDhVgiZxkKNPYkk1NoS7tX3Ah

Dust holder — balance: 0.762757 tokens

0.00%

Cu6TxB41Sk6ZLcwuaV6zcom3L45abcAoj4Lt7nrk8dSN

Dust holder — balance: 0.529192 tokens

0.00%

DeNkZt9dm9uushfQtri6uY8hY8WHtRRDoFBg6Xe2Q9Vw

Dust holder — balance: 0.482816 tokens

0.00%

The whale map is the most alarming aspect of this token. A single wallet (DrF7RrBo3RSF7HEbaYEp3a9QmRsBkK7zqgYLpVZa5ZEC) holds 999,999,989.275 tokens — effectively 100% of the 999,999,993.6 total supply. All other holders combined hold less than 4 tokens. The top 10 and top 100 concentration are both 100%. This is an extreme rug-pull risk: the controlling wallet can dump the entire supply at any time, instantly collapsing the price to zero. The 84.3% sell pressure in 24h suggests distribution is already underway. The distribution health is 'very_concentrated' — this is the worst possible scenario for retail holders.

Liquidity$77,410
Depth
Shallow
Slippage risk
high

Volume (24h)

Buy$84,540
Sell$455,650
Net flow
outflow

Traders (24h)

Unique buyers576
Unique sellers2,240

Liquidity is critically shallow at $77.41K on PumpSwap (pair: 7jfcDf7XiSiAYobfu1en6vnURrpLKihUWrW6qMr2v3Ro). The 24h sell volume of $455.65K is nearly 6x the total liquidity pool, meaning the pool has already been heavily stressed. Any significant sell order will cause extreme slippage. The ratio of sellers to buyers is 2,240:576 (3.9:1), and sell volume ($455.65K) dwarfs buy volume ($84.54K) by 5.4:1. Net flow is strongly negative (outflow). The FDV of $358.02K vs liquidity of $77.41K gives a liquidity-to-FDV ratio of ~21.6%, which is low for a token of this profile. The market health is poor — this is a one-sided distribution event, not healthy two-way trading.

Supply & Valuation

Total supply999,999,993.6063
FDV$312,639.52

Authorities

Mint authority
Active
Freeze authority
Active

The update authority is TSLvdd1pWpHVjahSpsvCXUbgwsL3JAcvokwaKt1eokM — this is NOT a burn address (not 11111...) and is not labeled as renounced, meaning the token metadata can still be modified. The contract is unverified and the token is not marked as verified. Mint and freeze authority status are not explicitly provided in the metadata, so they are marked 'unknown' — this is itself a risk flag. The token is marked as mutable=false at the metadata level, which is a minor positive, but the update authority being an active wallet means the creator retains control. The FDV of $312,639 is entirely dependent on the single controlling wallet not dumping its 100% supply position. Total supply of ~1B tokens is standard for meme tokens but meaningless given the concentration.

Volatility
high

615% price spike in under 1 hour followed by immediate retracement. Only 2 candles of price history available. Extreme intraday volatility with a range from $0.0000248 to $0.000431 in a single hour.

Liquidity
high

Total liquidity of only $77.41K on a single PumpSwap pool. 24h sell volume of $455.65K is ~5.9x the liquidity pool. Any large sell will cause catastrophic slippage. No secondary markets or CEX listings.

Concentration
high

One wallet holds 100% of effective supply (999,999,989 of ~1B tokens). Top 10 and top 100 concentration are both 100%. This is the maximum possible concentration risk — a single entity can destroy all holder value instantly.

SniperDump
high

No sniper data available, but the controlling wallet (100% supply) is the de facto 'sniper.' The 84.3% sell pressure and 10,404 sells vs 2,913 buys in 24h strongly suggest the controlling wallet or coordinated insiders are actively dumping into retail demand.

Authority
high

Update authority (TSLvdd1pWpHVjahSpsvCXUbgwsL3JAcvokwaKt1eokM) is an active wallet, not renounced. Mint and freeze authority status are unknown. Contract is unverified. No social links or transparency from the team.

Key risks

  • Single wallet holds 100% of supply — existential rug-pull risk at any moment
  • 84.3% sell pressure with $455.65K in 24h sells vs $84.54K buys
  • Shallow liquidity ($77.41K) cannot absorb significant selling
  • Token dormant for 30 days before pump — classic pre-pump accumulation pattern
  • No verified contract, no social links, no community infrastructure
  • Update authority not renounced — metadata can be modified
  • Mint/freeze authority status unknown
  • Price already retracing from ATH — bearish close-at-low candle pattern

Mitigating factors

  • Metadata marked as mutable=false at the metadata level
  • Token is on PumpSwap (a legitimate DEX), providing some price discovery
  • Rapid holder acquisition (+1,295 in 24h) shows some market interest
  • FDV of ~$312K is relatively small, limiting absolute loss exposure for small positions
Suitable for: This token is NOT suitable for any investor seeking capital preservation. It may only be considered by experienced, high-risk-tolerance speculators who treat it as a lottery ticket with near-total loss probability. Position sizing should assume 100% loss. This is informational analysis only, not financial advice.

mogsem is a textbook high-risk meme token exhibiting nearly every red flag associated with pump-and-dump schemes: 100% supply concentration in one wallet, 30 days of dormancy followed by a single-hour 615% pump, overwhelming sell pressure (84.3%), shallow liquidity, and no verified contract or social presence. The investment case is almost entirely speculative and the risk of total loss is very high.

Bull case (low)

The controlling wallet does not dump, the meme narrative gains viral traction, and additional speculative capital flows in, pushing the price back toward or above the $0.000431 ATH.

  • Viral meme adoption on social media (no current evidence of this)
  • Controlling wallet choosing to hold and build community rather than dump
  • Broader Solana meme season attracting speculative capital to low-cap tokens
  • Price recovering above $0.000392 resistance to signal renewed momentum

Base case

Price continues to decline from the $0.000431 ATH as sell pressure persists. The token stabilizes at a fraction of the pump price (e.g., $0.000025–$0.000100) with low volume and declining holder interest, before eventually fading to near-zero.

  • Controlling wallet sells gradually rather than in one transaction
  • Some retail buyers continue to provide exit liquidity
  • No major new catalysts emerge to reignite speculative interest
  • Liquidity pool remains intact but continues to thin

Bear case (high)

The controlling wallet dumps its 100% supply position into the thin $77.41K liquidity pool, collapsing the price to near zero. Remaining holders are left with worthless tokens.

  • Single wallet with 100% supply has every incentive and ability to dump
  • 84.3% sell pressure already indicates active distribution
  • Liquidity too shallow to absorb any significant sell
  • No utility, community, or fundamentals to support price
  • Historical pattern: 30 days dormant → pump → dump

GeneratedJun 28, 01:17 PM
Data freshnessData reflects on-chain state as of approximately June 28, 2026 13:00–14:00 UTC. OHLC data covers only the most recent 2 hourly candles.
Model confidence
medium

Data sources

  • On-chain token metadata (Mint: Z4S3sHmJmcY44oBNFA4sJtM5Ks2dfSnniGQwi4GaX5v)
  • PumpSwap pair data (7jfcDf7XiSiAYobfu1en6vnURrpLKihUWrW6qMr2v3Ro)
  • Hourly OHLC candle data (2 candles, June 28 2026)
  • 24h trading analytics (buy/sell volume, unique wallets)
  • Holder metrics and distribution data
  • Historical holder series (30 days daily)
  • Top 20 holder balances
  • Sniper analysis endpoint (no data returned)

Limitations

  • Only 2 hourly OHLC candles available — technical analysis is severely limited
  • No sniper data available — early buyer PnL and sell-through rate cannot be computed
  • Mint and freeze authority status not explicitly provided in metadata
  • Update authority wallet (TSLvdd1pWpHVjahSpsvCXUbgwsL3JAcvokwaKt1eokM) not identified/labeled
  • No social links or off-chain information available for qualitative assessment
  • Historical holder data only goes back 30 days and shows zero activity until the pump day
  • Price change percentages for 5m, 6h, and 24h all show 0% which may indicate data lag or API artifact

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially meme tokens, carry extreme risk of total loss. The data analyzed was provided externally and treated as untrusted evidence. Always conduct your own research before making any investment decisions.

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply999,999,993.6063

Key Risks

•Single wallet holds 100% of supply — existential rug-pull risk at any moment
•84.3% sell pressure with $455.65K in 24h sells vs $84.54K buys
•Shallow liquidity ($77.41K) cannot absorb significant selling
•Token dormant for 30 days before pump — classic pre-pump accumulation pattern

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

low confidence
High risk

No sniper data was provided for this token. However, the on-chain data reveals an extreme red flag: a single wallet (DrF7RrBo3RSF7HEbaYEp3a9QmRsBkK7zqgYLpVZa5ZEC) holds 100% of the effective supply (~999,999,989 tokens). This wallet is almost certainly the token deployer/insider. The 30-day dormancy period followed by a sudden pump is consistent with a coordinated manipulation event. The 10,404 sells vs 2,913 buys in 24h suggests early holders (likely the controlling wallet or coordinated actors) are actively distributing into retail demand.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration0.00%
PnL stateUnknown
Sell-through rateUnknown
Profit-taking risk
high

No sniper data available for this token.

Highly negative — the token was dormant for 30 days with only 28 holders before the pump. Early holders are almost certainly insiders who are now distributing. The overwhelming sell pressure (84.3%) confirms early buyers/insiders are exiting.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the price prediction for mogsem (mogsem)?

The token pumped from ~$0.000025 to ~$0.000431 within a single hour (candle [2]: L=$0.0000248, H=$0.000431), then immediately began retracing (candle [1]: C=$0.000307, down from O=$0.000392). With 84.3% sell pressure, 10,404 sells vs 2,913 buys, and a single wallet holding 100% of supply, the price is highly likely to continue declining sharply. The current price of ~$0.000313 is well below the hourly high of $0.000431. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.000010 to $0.000431.

Is mogsem a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 9.7/100. This token is NOT suitable for any investor seeking capital preservation. It may only be considered by experienced, high-risk-tolerance speculators who treat it as a lottery ticket with near-total loss probability. Position sizing should assume 100% loss. This is informational analysis only, not financial advice.

How are mogsem holders trending?

mogsem currently has 1,323 holders and is growing (24h: 98, 7d: 98, 30d: 98). The holder history is stark: 28 holders for 30 consecutive days with zero change, then an explosive +1,295 holders in a single day coinciding with the price pump. The 7d and 30d growth rates are identical to the 24h rate (98%), confirming all growth occurred in the last 24 hours. This pattern is characteristic of a coordinated pump event attracting retail FOMO buyers. The distribution data shows whales=1, sharks=0, dolphins=0, fish=0, octopus=0 — meaning effectively one entity controls the token. The 1,322 new holders hold negligible balances (the top 2–11 holders combined hold less than 4 tokens out of 1B supply).

What does sniper activity look like for mogsem?

Snipers hold roughly 0.00% of supply with PnL state "unknown" and sell-through rate "unknown". Profit-taking risk: high.

What are the key risks of holding mogsem?

Single wallet holds 100% of supply — existential rug-pull risk at any moment • 84.3% sell pressure with $455.65K in 24h sells vs $84.54K buys • Shallow liquidity ($77.41K) cannot absorb significant selling

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