stLINK

Staked LINK Price Today & AI Analysis

stLINKEthereumAnalysis as of Sep 2, 2026

Price

$11.97

-2.51% 24h

Contract

Live
0xb8b295df2cd735b15be5eb419517aa626fc43cd5

Chain

Ethereum

Holders

1.3K

Market cap

$85.73M

Liquidity

$2.63M

At a $500M market cap, $STLINK would be $69.78 (5.83x from today’s price)

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Staked LINK: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-09-02 23:15 UTC

Holder addresses

1,118

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

$2,348,119.00
How concentrated is Staked LINK ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 1,118 addresses (2026-09-02 23:15 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling Staked LINK?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is Staked LINK liquidity falling?
As of 2026-09-02 23:15 UTC, reported liquidity was $2,348,119.00. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-09-02 23:15 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

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Movement since report

report from Sep 2, 2026, 11:15 PM UTC

Market Cap

$79.00M

24h Volume

$66.42K

Liquidity

$2.35M

FDV

—

Holders

1,118

24h

Loading trading activity…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Medium

Sentiment

Bearish

stLINK is the liquid staking receipt token issued by stake.link, a delegated liquid staking protocol built on Chainlink's staking infrastructure, and has been live on Ethereum for approximately 44.9 months. With a market cap of ~$79M, 7.13M tokens in full circulation, and $2.35M in on-chain liquidity via Curve, it occupies a niche but structurally meaningful role in the Chainlink ecosystem. The token has delivered strong medium-term performance (+48.5% over 90 days) but is currently experiencing a short-term pullback from its 90-day high of $12.37, trading at $11.09 with dominant sell pressure in the most recent 24-hour window. Holder adoption remains limited at 1,118 wallets, and trading activity is very thin, which amplifies both upside and downside price sensitivity.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Sep 2, 2026, 11:15 PM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Key points

  • First-mover liquid staking protocol specifically designed for Chainlink's delegated staking program, giving it a unique niche with no direct on-chain competitor
  • stLINK enables DeFi composability for staked LINK, allowing holders to earn staking rewards while retaining liquidity — a structural advantage over native locked staking
  • Protocol governance is tied to the SDL token, creating a two-token ecosystem where stLINK serves purely as a yield-bearing receipt rather than a speculative governance asset

Staked LINK AI Price Analysis

Medium Confidence

Short-Term · 24h-7d

Bearish

stLINK has pulled back 1.8% over the past 7 days after reaching a 90-day high near $12.37, and the recent daily close sequence shows a clear step-down from $12.18 to $11.09. The token is sitting just above immediate support at $11.00, and with sell pressure dominating at 86.9% of 24h volume, the path of least resistance is a test of that level in the near term.

Medium-Term · 30d-90d

Bullish

The 30-day gain of +35.0% and 90-day gain of +48.5% establish a strong underlying uptrend that a short-term 7-day pullback of -1.8% does not negate. Price sitting at 76% of its 90-day range ($7.07–$12.37) indicates the token has already reclaimed most of its range and retains room to challenge the major resistance at $12.37 if broader market conditions remain supportive. The liquid staking narrative for Chainlink's LINK token provides a structural demand driver as Chainlink's staking program matures.

Bullish Factors

  • 90-day price appreciation of +48.5% and 30-day gain of +35.0% confirm a sustained uptrend well above the $7.07 period low
  • Price at 76% of the 90-day range signals the token has already absorbed the bulk of its recovery and is positioned near the upper half of its established range
  • stLINK is backed by a real, operational protocol (stake.link) with a defined utility as a liquid staking receipt for Chainlink node operators, providing fundamental demand beyond speculation

Bearish Factors

  • Seven consecutive daily closes declining from $12.18 to $11.09 indicate near-term distribution pressure following the recent peak
  • 24-hour sell pressure stands at 86.9% ($57,698 sell volume vs. $8,725 buy volume), reflecting active net outflow from the token
  • Total liquidity of $2.35M is shallow relative to the $79M market cap, meaning even modest sell orders can move price materially against holders

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

stLINK call history

Full track record →

Sep 2bearish
24h+6.6%
7d+5.9%
30d+27.7%

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Ethereum
Contract
0xb8b2...3cd5
Total Supply
—
Decimals
—

Key Risks

  • Liquidity risk is the most immediate concern: with only $2.35M in on-chain liquidity and ~$66K in daily volume, any meaningful sell pressure from the concentrated top-10 holders (54.1% of supply) could cause severe price dislocation
  • Protocol dependency risk: stLINK's value and yield are entirely contingent on Chainlink's staking program continuing to operate and generate rewards — any changes to Chainlink's staking mechanics, reward rates, or node operator eligibility would directly impact stLINK holders
  • Smart contract risk cannot be assessed due to unavailable security data; the protocol involves multiple contract interactions (deposit, delegation to node operators, receipt minting) each representing a potential attack surface that has not been independently verified in this analysis

Trading Insight

bearish

Current market sentiment for stLINK is decisively bearish on a short-term basis, with 86.9% of 24-hour volume coming from sell-side activity and only 5 unique buyers versus 6 unique sellers across a total of just 20 transactions. This is a very low-activity market where a handful of participants are driving price, making the sell-pressure reading meaningful rather than statistical noise.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d)

Bearish

Medium-Term (30d)

Bullish

The short-term trend is bearish: the 14 most recent daily closes show a peak at $12.18 followed by a consistent step-down to $11.09, a decline of approximately 9% from the local high. The medium-term trend remains firmly bullish, with the 30-day return of +35.0% and 90-day return of +48.5% both strongly positive, indicating the current pullback is a correction within a larger uptrend rather than a trend reversal.

Momentum

Status

Overbought

After a 48.5% run over 90 days and a peak near the 90-day high of $12.37, stLINK entered the current session in a momentum cooling phase. The sequential decline across 7 daily closes from $12.18 to $11.09 is consistent with post-rally mean reversion. Daily volatility of 3.2% (standard deviation of daily returns) is moderate for a liquid staking derivative, reflecting the token's sensitivity to both LINK price movements and protocol-specific flows.

Volume Analysis

Buy

13.1%

Sell

86.9%

Volume Trend

Decreasing

24-hour trading volume of approximately $66,423 is very thin for a $79M market cap asset, implying a daily volume-to-market-cap ratio of roughly 0.08% — well below typical DeFi token norms. The Curve pool venue is appropriate for a liquid staking receipt token but limits price discovery to a narrow participant set. The decreasing buy-side participation (only 6 buy transactions from 5 unique buyers) suggests waning demand at current price levels.

Recent Price Action

Descending daily closes over the past 7 sessions following a local peak at $12.18, with price now consolidating just above the $11.00 immediate support level. The most recent close at $11.09 is only $0.09 above that support.

This pattern of lower highs and lower closes following a peak is a classic short-term distribution signal. The proximity to $11.00 support makes the next 1-2 daily closes pivotal — a hold above $11.00 would suggest the correction is exhausting, while a break below would open a path toward the $7.07 major support, though that level is far removed from current price.

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$11.00

Major support

$7.07

Immediate resistance

$11.39

Major resistance

$12.37

The $11.00 immediate support is the most critical near-term level, sitting just $0.09 below the current price of $11.09 — a breach on daily close would confirm continued short-term weakness. The $11.39 immediate resistance represents the most recent area of prior consolidation and is the first hurdle for any recovery. The $12.37 major resistance is the 90-day swing high and would represent a new multi-month high if reclaimed. The $7.07 major support is the 90-day period low and serves as a structural floor for the broader uptrend.

AI overall risk

Medium

Risk Score

42/100

Risk Breakdown

  • VolatilityMedium

    Daily return volatility of 3.2% (standard deviation) is moderate for a liquid staking derivative. The 90-day range of $7.07 to $12.37 represents a 75% swing, indicating that while stLINK tracks LINK directionally, it can experience amplified moves. The current position at 76% of the range means downside to the major support is substantial in percentage terms.

  • LiquidityHigh

    Total on-chain liquidity of $2.35M against a $79M market cap yields a liquidity-to-market-cap ratio of approximately 3%, which is low. Any participant attempting to exit a position exceeding $50,000–$100,000 would face meaningful slippage on Curve. The 24-hour volume of ~$66,423 further confirms that this is a low-turnover market where large orders cannot be absorbed without price impact.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Smart ContractNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

  • RegulatoryMedium

    Liquid staking derivatives occupy an evolving regulatory gray area in multiple jurisdictions, particularly regarding whether staking-as-a-service constitutes a securities offering. stLINK's dependency on Chainlink's staking program also means any regulatory action targeting Chainlink or its node operators would have direct downstream effects on the protocol.

Key Risks

  • Liquidity risk is the most immediate concern: with only $2.35M in on-chain liquidity and ~$66K in daily volume, any meaningful sell pressure from the concentrated top-10 holders (54.1% of supply) could cause severe price dislocation
  • Protocol dependency risk: stLINK's value and yield are entirely contingent on Chainlink's staking program continuing to operate and generate rewards — any changes to Chainlink's staking mechanics, reward rates, or node operator eligibility would directly impact stLINK holders
  • Smart contract risk cannot be assessed due to unavailable security data; the protocol involves multiple contract interactions (deposit, delegation to node operators, receipt minting) each representing a potential attack surface that has not been independently verified in this analysis

Mitigating Factors

  • 44.9 months of operational history without a publicly reported exploit provides meaningful evidence of contract robustness relative to newer DeFi protocols
  • stLINK is backed by real LINK collateral staked in Chainlink's native program, providing fundamental asset backing that distinguishes it from purely speculative tokens

Investor Suitability

stLINK is most suitable for existing LINK holders who want yield exposure to Chainlink's staking program while maintaining some liquidity optionality, and who understand the liquidity constraints of a $2.35M pool. It is not appropriate for investors requiring high liquidity, those unfamiliar with liquid staking derivative mechanics, or those seeking broad DeFi exposure without specific conviction on Chainlink's ecosystem growth.

stLINK represents a yield-bearing derivative on Chainlink's staking program with a proven 44.9-month track record and strong medium-term price momentum (+48.5% over 90 days), but its investment case is constrained by thin liquidity, a narrow holder base, and a short-term distribution pattern following its recent peak. The core thesis is a bet on Chainlink's staking ecosystem expanding, which would drive both protocol TVL and stLINK demand.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Medium probability

Chainlink's staking program expands its capacity and reward rates, driving significant new LINK deposits into stake.link and growing stLINK supply and holder count. Broader DeFi integration of stLINK as collateral or yield source increases demand beyond the current 1,118 holders. Price reclaims the $12.37 major resistance and establishes a new range above it.

  • Chainlink staking program expansion increasing protocol TVL and stLINK issuance
  • DeFi protocol integrations accepting stLINK as collateral, creating secondary demand beyond direct staking participants

Base Case

stLINK consolidates between $11.00 and $11.39 in the near term as the post-rally correction exhausts itself, then resumes the medium-term uptrend in line with the 30-day and 90-day momentum, targeting a retest of the $12.37 major resistance over the next 30–60 days. Trading activity remains thin and driven by a small number of participants.

  • The $11.00 immediate support holds on a daily close basis, preventing a deeper correction
  • Chainlink's staking program continues operating without material changes to reward mechanics or node operator eligibility

Bear Case

Low probability

The $11.00 immediate support fails on a daily close, triggering further selling in a thin liquidity environment. Concentrated holders (54.1% in top 10) begin reducing positions, and the lack of buy-side depth accelerates the decline toward the $7.07 major support. Broader LINK price weakness compounds the drawdown.

  • Breach of $11.00 immediate support with sustained daily closes below that level in a low-liquidity environment
  • Concentrated holder distribution creating asymmetric sell pressure if large wallets decide to exit simultaneously

Analysis Details

Generated

Sep 2, 2026, 11:15 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-09-02 23:15 UTC

Model Confidence

Medium

Data Snapshot

Price

$11.0853479692

Market Cap

$79.00M

24h Volume

$66.4K

Holders

1,118

Liquidity

$2,348,119.00

Data Sources

Unhosted DEX market data (price, volume, liquidity)Daily OHLC price historyAggregate holder count and top-10 concentration

Limitations

  • Holder-growth history is unavailable for this chain, preventing any assessment of whether the holder base is expanding or contracting over time
  • Whale transaction data is unavailable, so individual large-holder behavior and recent accumulation or distribution patterns cannot be observed
  • Contract-security data (audit scores, ownership status, vulnerability flags) is unavailable from this chain's data provider, leaving smart contract risk unassessed
  • Per-wallet holder classification is unavailable, preventing decomposition of the 54.1% top-10 concentration into protocol contracts vs. individual dumpable positions
  • Smart-money cohort (top profitable trader) data is unavailable, so informed-money positioning cannot be assessed

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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