INDEX

INDEX Price Today & AI Analysis

INDEX
Ethereum·AI Analysis
Analysis as of Jul 23, 2026

$0.2567

+0.67%24h
LiveContract:0x0954906da0bf32d5479e25f46056d22f08464cabChain:EthereumHolders:5.9KMarket cap:$2.57MLiquidity:$58.41K

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Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweets

Whale activity

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Red flags, security, concentration

Should I buy?

Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

Movement since reportreport from Jul 23, 2026, 08:01 PM UTC
Market Cap

$2.25M

24h Volume

$46.58K

Liquidity

$130.60K

FDV

—

Holders

5.9K

24HLoading trading activity…

Holder Insights

Live

Total holders

—

AI Executive Summary

Index (INDEX) is the governance token of Index Coop, a 69.5-month-old DeFi protocol on Ethereum that packages complex DeFi strategies into ERC20 tokens. The token is currently experiencing a sharp breakout — up 33.6% over 7 days and 30.0% over 30 days — from a prolonged $0.23–$0.25 consolidation, with the current price of $0.3246 testing immediate resistance at $0.3282. Despite the bullish price action, on-chain fundamentals are mixed: the holder base has been slowly declining over 31 days, liquidity is thin at $130K, and the largest individual whale (21.68% of supply) acquired its position via transfer rather than market purchase. INDEX is a legitimate, established DeFi governance token with verified contracts and institutional backing, but its current rally warrants scrutiny given the shallow market depth and concentrated dumpable supply.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Jul 23, 2026, 08:01 PM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Risk: medium
Sentiment: bullish
Established 69.5-month track record as a DeFi index protocol with a verified, audited contract and real institutional backing
Fully circulating supply with no future token unlocks, removing a common source of sell pressure for governance tokens
Smart money participants have generated six-figure realized profits trading INDEX, indicating the token has historically provided alpha opportunities for informed traders

INDEX AI Price Analysis

Medium Confidence
Short-Term24h-7d
Bullish

INDEX has surged 33.6% over the past 7 days and 30.0% over 30 days, with the most recent daily close jumping from a tight $0.23–$0.25 consolidation band to $0.3246 — a clear breakout. Buy pressure stands at 70.5% of 24h volume ($32,820 buys vs $13,756 sells), confirming demand is absorbing supply. The price currently sits at 41% of its 88-day range, with immediate resistance at $0.3282 already being tested.

Medium-Term30d-90d
Bullish

With both the 7-day (+33.6%) and 30-day (+30.0%) trends aligned to the upside and no 90-day baseline available for comparison, the medium-term momentum is clearly constructive. A sustained hold above the $0.2486 immediate support — the former consolidation zone — would confirm the breakout and open a path toward the $0.4820 major resistance. However, the 8.3% daily volatility and shallow liquidity ($130K) mean any reversal could be sharp.

Bullish Factors
  • +7-day price gain of +33.6% and 30-day gain of +30.0% represent a synchronized multi-timeframe uptrend, not a one-day spike
  • +Buy pressure at 70.5% of 24h volume ($32,820 buys vs $13,756 sells) shows demand materially outpacing supply in the current session
  • +Smart money traders have extracted significant realized profits — top wallet 0x452372 booked +$234,151 (+41%) over 975 trades, and 0xaa1284 achieved +$230,074 (+1,358%) over just 4 trades — indicating the token has historically rewarded informed participants
  • +Fully circulating supply (10M of 10M tokens in circulation) eliminates future unlock-driven sell pressure from vesting schedules
Bearish Factors
  • -The largest individual whale (0x68a25b, 21.68% of supply) received its position via transfer/airdrop with no DEX swap history, and its wallet was first active on 2025-10-30 — a very recent activation date for a token launched in 2020, raising insider-allocation concerns
  • -The 31-day holder trajectory is declining (5,834 → 5,830, net -4), meaning the token is losing holders even as price rises — a divergence that historically signals distribution rather than organic accumulation
  • -Total liquidity of $130,596 is shallow relative to the $2.25M market cap (~5.8% liquidity-to-mcap ratio), meaning even moderate sell orders will cause significant price impact
  • -Dumpable supply stands at 40.7% of total tokens, concentrated among individual whales and labelled wallets, representing a material overhang if sentiment shifts

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

INDEX call history

Full track record →
Jul 23bullish
24h-22.7%
7d-21.4%
30d—

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

ChainEthereum
Contract0x0954...4cab
Total Supply—
Decimals—

Key Risks

•Single-whale concentration: the wallet 0x68a25b holds 21.68% of supply acquired via transfer (not market purchase), with a wallet first activated October 2025 — if this represents an insider or OTC allocation, an unannounced sale into the thin $130K liquidity pool could cause a 50%+ price collapse
•Liquidity fragility: at $130,596 total liquidity, the token is vulnerable to coordinated selling; the 40.7% dumpable supply represents approximately $915K at current prices against a pool that cannot absorb even a fraction of that without severe slippage
•Declining holder base: the 31-day holder count declining from 5,834 to 5,830 while price rises 30% is a classic distribution signal — if existing holders are selling into the rally to new buyers, the rally may be unsustainable

Trading Insight

bullish

Trading sentiment is bullish based on a 70.5% buy-pressure ratio and a 2.4:1 buy-to-sell volume ratio over 24 hours. However, the transaction count data reveals a nuance: only 11 unique buyers drove 111 buy transactions versus 28 unique sellers across 102 sell transactions, suggesting a small number of wallets are responsible for the bulk of buying activity.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d):
Bullish
Medium-Term (30d):
Bullish

The daily OHLC series tells a clear story: INDEX traded in a tight $0.23–$0.25 range for the first 13 of the 14 available daily closes before a sharp breakout to $0.3246 on the most recent close — a single-session move of approximately 30%. Both the 7-day (+33.6%) and 30-day (+30.0%) windows confirm the uptrend is not a flash event but a sustained directional shift. The price at 41% of the 88-day range ($0.2154–$0.4820) indicates meaningful upside remains before the major resistance is tested.

Momentum

Status:
Overbought

A ~30% single-day candle following 13 days of sub-1% daily moves represents an extreme momentum event. With daily volatility at 8.3% (standard deviation of daily returns) and the price having moved roughly 3.6x the average daily range in a single session, short-term momentum indicators would read deeply overbought. A consolidation or partial retracement toward the $0.2486 immediate support is statistically likely before any continuation.

Volume Analysis

Buy 70.5%Sell 29.5%

Volume Trend: Increasing

Volume surged in the 4-hour window (97 buys, 80 sells) relative to the broader 24-hour period, confirming the breakout was accompanied by elevated activity. The 70.5% buy pressure ratio is a strong signal, though the concentration among 11 unique buyers tempers the interpretation — this is not broad-based accumulation.

Recent Price Action

Extended flat consolidation ($0.23–$0.25 for ~13 days) followed by a sharp single-session breakout to $0.3246, with the price now testing the immediate resistance at $0.3282.

Breakouts from prolonged consolidation ranges on elevated volume are classically bullish continuation patterns. However, the breakout candle's magnitude (~30% in one session) on thin liquidity raises the possibility of a short-squeeze or coordinated buy rather than organic demand expansion, which would imply a higher reversion risk.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.2486
Major$0.2154
Resistance
Immediate$0.3282
Major$0.4820

The immediate support at $0.2486 corresponds to the top of the prior 13-day consolidation range and is the most critical near-term level — a close below it would signal the breakout has failed. Major support at $0.2154 represents the 88-day swing low and the last line of defense for the medium-term bullish thesis. Immediate resistance at $0.3282 is being tested at the current price ($0.3246), and a confirmed close above it would open the path to the major resistance at $0.4820, the 88-day swing high.

Holder Metrics

Total Holders5,941
24h Change+2
Growth Rate+0.034%

Despite the sharp price rally, the 31-day holder trajectory shows a net decline from 5,834 to 5,830 holders — a bearish divergence. The 24h addition of 2 holders and 7-day addition of 14 holders are statistically insignificant against a base of 5,941 and do not reverse the declining trend. This pattern suggests the price appreciation is being driven by existing holders trading among themselves rather than new capital entering the ecosystem.

Holder Distribution

Top 10 Holders75%
Top 100 Holders92%
Retail Holders8.0%
Concentration Risk:
Medium

While the top 10 holders control 75% of supply — a figure that appears alarming in isolation — the classification reveals that positions 2 (Coinbase, 15.93%), 3 (Index Coop protocol contract, 15.53%), 4 (Burn Addresses, 10.00%), 5, 8, and 10 are protocol contracts, exchange custodians, or burn addresses that are not dumpable. The genuine dumpable supply is 40.7%, concentrated in individual whales at positions 1 (21.68%), 6 (1.91%), 7 (1.79%), and 9 (1.74%). The top whale alone (21.68%) represents the primary concentration risk, warranting a medium rather than high rating given the non-dumpable nature of the majority of top-10 holdings.

Whale Activity

Sentiment:
Mixed

The largest recent on-chain swaps are modest in size: wallet 0xa580ad executed a buy of $1,719, a buy of $1,395, and a sell of $1,272 — suggesting active but small-scale trading rather than large-block accumulation or distribution. Wallet 0x315d2e made two buys totaling $2,225, and 0xeb9863 bought $1,219.

  • •0xa580ad bought $1,719 and $1,395 then sold $1,272 — net buyer but also taking partial profits, consistent with short-term trading
  • •0x315d2e accumulated $2,225 across two buy transactions with no corresponding sell, suggesting short-term accumulation

Recent whale-level transactions are small relative to the $130K liquidity pool, indicating the price move was driven by sustained small-order buying rather than a single large block trade. The largest individual whale (21.68% of supply) shows no DEX activity on this token, meaning the breakout was not initiated by the dominant holder — this is both reassuring (no imminent dump signal) and concerning (the whale's intentions remain opaque).

Smart Money Indicators

Confidence:
High
Profit-Taking Risk:
Medium

Multiple smart money wallets have extracted substantial realized profits: 0x452372 booked +$234,151 (+41%) over 975 trades (high-frequency, consistent alpha), 0xaa1284 achieved +$230,074 (+1,358%) over just 4 trades (high-conviction swing trades), and 0xf4b4e6 realized +$225,041 (+146%) over 427 trades. The presence of six wallets each with six-figure realized PnL confirms INDEX has historically been a tradeable asset for informed participants.

The smart money data reveals two distinct trading styles: high-frequency traders (0x452372 with 975 trades, 0xf4b4e6 with 427 trades) who extract value through volume, and swing traders (0xaa1284 with 4 trades at +1,358%) who take concentrated positions. The +1,358% return on 4 trades by 0xaa1284 is particularly notable — it suggests this wallet timed major INDEX moves with high precision. With the current breakout underway, profit-taking risk from smart money is medium, as these wallets have demonstrated willingness to exit positions.

Liquidity Analysis

Total Liquidity$130,595.96
Depth:
Shallow
Slippage Risk:
High

At $130,596, the liquidity pool represents only 5.8% of the $2.25M market cap — a dangerously thin ratio for a token of this age and market cap. The largest recent trade was just $1,719, and even that modest size likely caused measurable slippage. Any attempt by the 21.68% whale to liquidate even 1% of its position (~$22,500 at current prices) would represent 17% of the entire liquidity pool, causing severe price impact. This shallow liquidity is the single largest structural risk for INDEX at current prices.

Overall Risk:
Medium
52/100

Risk Breakdown

Volatility
High

Daily volatility of 8.3% (standard deviation of daily returns) is elevated, and the most recent session produced a ~30% single-day move from a flat consolidation — extreme even by crypto standards. The 88-day range of $0.2154–$0.4820 represents a 124% spread, confirming high historical volatility.

Liquidity
High

Total liquidity of $130,596 against a $2.25M market cap (5.8% ratio) is dangerously shallow. Trades above ~$5,000 will face meaningful slippage, and the 40.7% dumpable supply could not be liquidated without catastrophic price impact.

Concentration
Medium

While the top 10 holders control 75% of supply, the majority are non-dumpable (Coinbase custody, Index Coop protocol contract, burn addresses). The genuine dumpable supply of 40.7% — led by a single wallet at 21.68% — is the real risk, but the non-DEX acquisition method of that wallet provides limited near-term sell signal.

Smart Contract
Medium

The 64/100 security score with a verified contract indicates known but unspecified contract-level risks. The 69.5-month operational history without exploit is a mitigating factor, but the below-average security score cannot be ignored.

Regulatory
Medium

As a governance token for a DeFi index protocol, INDEX could face regulatory scrutiny under securities frameworks in multiple jurisdictions, particularly given its governance rights over a fee-generating protocol. The institutional backing of Index Coop may provide some regulatory navigation capacity.

Key Risks

  • •Single-whale concentration: the wallet 0x68a25b holds 21.68% of supply acquired via transfer (not market purchase), with a wallet first activated October 2025 — if this represents an insider or OTC allocation, an unannounced sale into the thin $130K liquidity pool could cause a 50%+ price collapse
  • •Liquidity fragility: at $130,596 total liquidity, the token is vulnerable to coordinated selling; the 40.7% dumpable supply represents approximately $915K at current prices against a pool that cannot absorb even a fraction of that without severe slippage
  • •Declining holder base: the 31-day holder count declining from 5,834 to 5,830 while price rises 30% is a classic distribution signal — if existing holders are selling into the rally to new buyers, the rally may be unsustainable

Mitigating Factors

  • •Fully circulating supply with no future unlock events eliminates a major category of sell pressure common in governance tokens
  • •69.5-month operational history with verified contracts and institutional backing (Index Coop) provides fundamental legitimacy that distinguishes INDEX from speculative or anonymous tokens

Investor Suitability

INDEX may be suitable for DeFi-native investors with high risk tolerance who understand governance token dynamics, can tolerate 8%+ daily volatility, and are comfortable with thin liquidity that limits position sizing. It is not suitable for risk-averse investors, those requiring liquidity for large positions, or those unfamiliar with DeFi governance mechanics.

INDEX presents a technically bullish setup with a confirmed multi-week breakout and strong buy pressure, backed by a legitimate 69.5-month-old DeFi protocol with real smart money participation. The core tension is between the constructive price action and the structural vulnerabilities of thin liquidity, a declining holder base, and an opaque 21.68% whale position acquired outside of market mechanisms.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case
Medium

The breakout from the $0.23–$0.25 consolidation zone is genuine and sustained, driven by renewed DeFi sector interest in index products. Price advances through the $0.3282 immediate resistance and targets the $0.4820 major resistance — a further 48% gain from current levels. Smart money wallets that have historically extracted six-figure profits from INDEX recognize the setup and add to positions.

  • +Sustained buy pressure (70.5%) converting into a confirmed close above $0.3282 immediate resistance
  • +Broader DeFi sector rotation into governance and index tokens driving new holder acquisition and reversing the declining holder trend
Base Case

INDEX consolidates in the $0.25–$0.35 range following the breakout, with the immediate support at $0.2486 holding on pullbacks. The token maintains its position as a legitimate but illiquid micro-cap governance token, with price action driven primarily by DeFi sector sentiment rather than INDEX-specific catalysts.

  • •The 21.68% whale does not sell its position in the near term, removing the largest single source of potential sell pressure
  • •Index Coop protocol continues operating without major exploits or regulatory actions, maintaining the fundamental legitimacy of the governance token
Bear Case
Medium

The breakout is a low-liquidity pump driven by a small cohort of 11 buyers executing repeated transactions. The 21.68% whale — whose position origin and intentions are unknown — begins distributing into the rally. Price fails to hold above $0.2486 immediate support and reverts toward the $0.2154 major support, erasing the entire recent gain.

  • -The 21.68% whale (0x68a25b) initiating sales into the thin $130K liquidity pool, causing cascading price impact
  • -Declining holder trajectory continuing as existing holders distribute to the small cohort of active buyers, exhausting demand

Analysis Details

GeneratedJul 23, 2026, 08:01 PM UTC
Data FreshnessReal-time on-chain data
Model Confidence
Medium

Data Snapshot

Price$0.324615040190915416
Market Cap$2.25M
24h Volume$46.6K
Holders5,941
Liquidity$130.6K

Data Sources

On-chain transaction data (Uniswap v4 swap history)
Holder distribution analytics (Moralis holder tier classification)
Daily OHLC price history (88-day series)
Smart money realized PnL data (top profitable traders)
Whale wallet forensics (DEX swap history, wallet activation dates)
Token contract security assessment (64/100 score)
Notable recent trades (largest on-chain swaps)

Limitations

  • •No 90-day price change data is available, limiting the ability to contextualize the current move within a longer trend window
  • •The exact security score flags (what specific issues drove the 64/100 rating) are not disclosed in the available data, limiting the depth of smart contract risk assessment
  • •The identity and intent of the 21.68% whale (0x68a25b, wallet first active 2025-10-30) cannot be determined from available data — this is the single largest unknown in the risk profile

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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