INDEX

INDEX Price Today & AI Analysis

INDEXEthereumAnalysis as of Jul 23, 2026

Price

$0.3307

-3.10% 24h

Contract

Live
0x0954906da0bf32d5479e25f46056d22f08464cab

Holders

6.0K

Market cap

$3.31M

Liquidity

$75.37K

At a $10M market cap, $INDEX would be $1 (3.02x from today’s price)

Market cap calculator

Is INDEX a scam?

Unhosted check · Oct 22

No red flags

No scam signals in Unhosted’s checks.

Unhosted’s automated check, re-run in the background: a warning signal, not a guarantee either way. Taxes come from a test trade through one pool and can change if the owner changes them.

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INDEX: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-07-23 20:01 UTC

Holder addresses

5,941

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

$130,595.96
How concentrated is INDEX ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 5,941 addresses (2026-07-23 20:01 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling INDEX?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is INDEX liquidity falling?
As of 2026-07-23 20:01 UTC, reported liquidity was $130,595.96. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-07-23 20:01 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

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Movement since report

report from Jul 23, 2026, 08:01 PM UTC

Market Cap

$2.25M

24h Volume

$46.58K

Liquidity

$130.60K

FDV

—

Holders

5,941

24h

Loading trading activity…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Medium

Sentiment

Bullish

Index (INDEX) is the governance token of Index Coop, a 69.5-month-old DeFi protocol on Ethereum that packages complex DeFi strategies into ERC20 tokens. The token is currently experiencing a sharp breakout — up 33.6% over 7 days and 30.0% over 30 days — from a prolonged $0.23–$0.25 consolidation, with the current price of $0.3246 testing immediate resistance at $0.3282. Despite the bullish price action, on-chain fundamentals are mixed: the holder base has been slowly declining over 31 days, liquidity is thin at $130K, and the largest individual whale (21.68% of supply) acquired its position via transfer rather than market purchase. INDEX is a legitimate, established DeFi governance token with verified contracts and institutional backing, but its current rally warrants scrutiny given the shallow market depth and concentrated dumpable supply.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Jul 23, 2026, 08:01 PM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Key points

  • Established 69.5-month track record as a DeFi index protocol with a verified, audited contract and real institutional backing
  • Fully circulating supply with no future token unlocks, removing a common source of sell pressure for governance tokens
  • Smart money participants have generated six-figure realized profits trading INDEX, indicating the token has historically provided alpha opportunities for informed traders

INDEX AI Price Analysis

Medium Confidence

Short-Term · 24h-7d

Bullish

INDEX has surged 33.6% over the past 7 days and 30.0% over 30 days, with the most recent daily close jumping from a tight $0.23–$0.25 consolidation band to $0.3246 — a clear breakout. Buy pressure stands at 70.5% of 24h volume ($32,820 buys vs $13,756 sells), confirming demand is absorbing supply. The price currently sits at 41% of its 88-day range, with immediate resistance at $0.3282 already being tested.

Medium-Term · 30d-90d

Bullish

With both the 7-day (+33.6%) and 30-day (+30.0%) trends aligned to the upside and no 90-day baseline available for comparison, the medium-term momentum is clearly constructive. A sustained hold above the $0.2486 immediate support — the former consolidation zone — would confirm the breakout and open a path toward the $0.4820 major resistance. However, the 8.3% daily volatility and shallow liquidity ($130K) mean any reversal could be sharp.

Bullish Factors

  • 7-day price gain of +33.6% and 30-day gain of +30.0% represent a synchronized multi-timeframe uptrend, not a one-day spike
  • Buy pressure at 70.5% of 24h volume ($32,820 buys vs $13,756 sells) shows demand materially outpacing supply in the current session
  • Smart money traders have extracted significant realized profits — top wallet 0x452372 booked +$234,151 (+41%) over 975 trades, and 0xaa1284 achieved +$230,074 (+1,358%) over just 4 trades — indicating the token has historically rewarded informed participants
  • Fully circulating supply (10M of 10M tokens in circulation) eliminates future unlock-driven sell pressure from vesting schedules

Bearish Factors

  • The largest individual whale (0x68a25b, 21.68% of supply) received its position via transfer/airdrop with no DEX swap history, and its wallet was first active on 2025-10-30 — a very recent activation date for a token launched in 2020, raising insider-allocation concerns
  • The 31-day holder trajectory is declining (5,834 → 5,830, net -4), meaning the token is losing holders even as price rises — a divergence that historically signals distribution rather than organic accumulation
  • Total liquidity of $130,596 is shallow relative to the $2.25M market cap (~5.8% liquidity-to-mcap ratio), meaning even moderate sell orders will cause significant price impact
  • Dumpable supply stands at 40.7% of total tokens, concentrated among individual whales and labelled wallets, representing a material overhang if sentiment shifts

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

INDEX call history

Full track record →

Jul 23bullish
24h-22.7%
7d-21.4%
30d—

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Ethereum
Contract
0x0954...4cab
Total Supply
—
Decimals
—

Key Risks

  • Single-whale concentration: the wallet 0x68a25b holds 21.68% of supply acquired via transfer (not market purchase), with a wallet first activated October 2025 — if this represents an insider or OTC allocation, an unannounced sale into the thin $130K liquidity pool could cause a 50%+ price collapse
  • Liquidity fragility: at $130,596 total liquidity, the token is vulnerable to coordinated selling; the 40.7% dumpable supply represents approximately $915K at current prices against a pool that cannot absorb even a fraction of that without severe slippage
  • Declining holder base: the 31-day holder count declining from 5,834 to 5,830 while price rises 30% is a classic distribution signal — if existing holders are selling into the rally to new buyers, the rally may be unsustainable

Trading Insight

bullish

Trading sentiment is bullish based on a 70.5% buy-pressure ratio and a 2.4:1 buy-to-sell volume ratio over 24 hours. However, the transaction count data reveals a nuance: only 11 unique buyers drove 111 buy transactions versus 28 unique sellers across 102 sell transactions, suggesting a small number of wallets are responsible for the bulk of buying activity.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d)

Bullish

Medium-Term (30d)

Bullish

The daily OHLC series tells a clear story: INDEX traded in a tight $0.23–$0.25 range for the first 13 of the 14 available daily closes before a sharp breakout to $0.3246 on the most recent close — a single-session move of approximately 30%. Both the 7-day (+33.6%) and 30-day (+30.0%) windows confirm the uptrend is not a flash event but a sustained directional shift. The price at 41% of the 88-day range ($0.2154–$0.4820) indicates meaningful upside remains before the major resistance is tested.

Momentum

Status

Overbought

A ~30% single-day candle following 13 days of sub-1% daily moves represents an extreme momentum event. With daily volatility at 8.3% (standard deviation of daily returns) and the price having moved roughly 3.6x the average daily range in a single session, short-term momentum indicators would read deeply overbought. A consolidation or partial retracement toward the $0.2486 immediate support is statistically likely before any continuation.

Volume Analysis

Buy

70.5%

Sell

29.5%

Volume Trend

Increasing

Volume surged in the 4-hour window (97 buys, 80 sells) relative to the broader 24-hour period, confirming the breakout was accompanied by elevated activity. The 70.5% buy pressure ratio is a strong signal, though the concentration among 11 unique buyers tempers the interpretation — this is not broad-based accumulation.

Recent Price Action

Extended flat consolidation ($0.23–$0.25 for ~13 days) followed by a sharp single-session breakout to $0.3246, with the price now testing the immediate resistance at $0.3282.

Breakouts from prolonged consolidation ranges on elevated volume are classically bullish continuation patterns. However, the breakout candle's magnitude (~30% in one session) on thin liquidity raises the possibility of a short-squeeze or coordinated buy rather than organic demand expansion, which would imply a higher reversion risk.

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.2486

Major support

$0.2154

Immediate resistance

$0.3282

Major resistance

$0.4820

The immediate support at $0.2486 corresponds to the top of the prior 13-day consolidation range and is the most critical near-term level — a close below it would signal the breakout has failed. Major support at $0.2154 represents the 88-day swing low and the last line of defense for the medium-term bullish thesis. Immediate resistance at $0.3282 is being tested at the current price ($0.3246), and a confirmed close above it would open the path to the major resistance at $0.4820, the 88-day swing high.

AI overall risk

Medium

Risk Score

52/100

Risk Breakdown

  • VolatilityHigh

    Daily volatility of 8.3% (standard deviation of daily returns) is elevated, and the most recent session produced a ~30% single-day move from a flat consolidation — extreme even by crypto standards. The 88-day range of $0.2154–$0.4820 represents a 124% spread, confirming high historical volatility.

  • LiquidityHigh

    Total liquidity of $130,596 against a $2.25M market cap (5.8% ratio) is dangerously shallow. Trades above ~$5,000 will face meaningful slippage, and the 40.7% dumpable supply could not be liquidated without catastrophic price impact.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Smart ContractNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

  • RegulatoryMedium

    As a governance token for a DeFi index protocol, INDEX could face regulatory scrutiny under securities frameworks in multiple jurisdictions, particularly given its governance rights over a fee-generating protocol. The institutional backing of Index Coop may provide some regulatory navigation capacity.

Key Risks

  • Single-whale concentration: the wallet 0x68a25b holds 21.68% of supply acquired via transfer (not market purchase), with a wallet first activated October 2025 — if this represents an insider or OTC allocation, an unannounced sale into the thin $130K liquidity pool could cause a 50%+ price collapse
  • Liquidity fragility: at $130,596 total liquidity, the token is vulnerable to coordinated selling; the 40.7% dumpable supply represents approximately $915K at current prices against a pool that cannot absorb even a fraction of that without severe slippage
  • Declining holder base: the 31-day holder count declining from 5,834 to 5,830 while price rises 30% is a classic distribution signal — if existing holders are selling into the rally to new buyers, the rally may be unsustainable

Mitigating Factors

  • Fully circulating supply with no future unlock events eliminates a major category of sell pressure common in governance tokens
  • 69.5-month operational history with verified contracts and institutional backing (Index Coop) provides fundamental legitimacy that distinguishes INDEX from speculative or anonymous tokens

Investor Suitability

INDEX may be suitable for DeFi-native investors with high risk tolerance who understand governance token dynamics, can tolerate 8%+ daily volatility, and are comfortable with thin liquidity that limits position sizing. It is not suitable for risk-averse investors, those requiring liquidity for large positions, or those unfamiliar with DeFi governance mechanics.

INDEX presents a technically bullish setup with a confirmed multi-week breakout and strong buy pressure, backed by a legitimate 69.5-month-old DeFi protocol with real smart money participation. The core tension is between the constructive price action and the structural vulnerabilities of thin liquidity, a declining holder base, and an opaque 21.68% whale position acquired outside of market mechanisms.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Medium probability

The breakout from the $0.23–$0.25 consolidation zone is genuine and sustained, driven by renewed DeFi sector interest in index products. Price advances through the $0.3282 immediate resistance and targets the $0.4820 major resistance — a further 48% gain from current levels. Smart money wallets that have historically extracted six-figure profits from INDEX recognize the setup and add to positions.

  • Sustained buy pressure (70.5%) converting into a confirmed close above $0.3282 immediate resistance
  • Broader DeFi sector rotation into governance and index tokens driving new holder acquisition and reversing the declining holder trend

Base Case

INDEX consolidates in the $0.25–$0.35 range following the breakout, with the immediate support at $0.2486 holding on pullbacks. The token maintains its position as a legitimate but illiquid micro-cap governance token, with price action driven primarily by DeFi sector sentiment rather than INDEX-specific catalysts.

  • The 21.68% whale does not sell its position in the near term, removing the largest single source of potential sell pressure
  • Index Coop protocol continues operating without major exploits or regulatory actions, maintaining the fundamental legitimacy of the governance token

Bear Case

Medium probability

The breakout is a low-liquidity pump driven by a small cohort of 11 buyers executing repeated transactions. The 21.68% whale — whose position origin and intentions are unknown — begins distributing into the rally. Price fails to hold above $0.2486 immediate support and reverts toward the $0.2154 major support, erasing the entire recent gain.

  • The 21.68% whale (0x68a25b) initiating sales into the thin $130K liquidity pool, causing cascading price impact
  • Declining holder trajectory continuing as existing holders distribute to the small cohort of active buyers, exhausting demand

Analysis Details

Generated

Jul 23, 2026, 08:01 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-07-23 20:01 UTC

Model Confidence

Medium

Data Snapshot

Price

$0.324615040190915416

Market Cap

$2.25M

24h Volume

$46.6K

Holders

5,941

Liquidity

$130,595.96

Data Sources

On-chain transaction data (Uniswap v4 swap history)Holder distribution analytics (Moralis holder tier classification)Daily OHLC price history (88-day series)Smart money realized PnL data (top profitable traders)Whale wallet forensics (DEX swap history, wallet activation dates)Token contract security assessment (64/100 score)Notable recent trades (largest on-chain swaps)

Limitations

  • No 90-day price change data is available, limiting the ability to contextualize the current move within a longer trend window
  • The exact security score flags (what specific issues drove the 64/100 rating) are not disclosed in the available data, limiting the depth of smart contract risk assessment
  • The identity and intent of the 21.68% whale (0x68a25b, wallet first active 2025-10-30) cannot be determined from available data — this is the single largest unknown in the risk profile

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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