ETHx

ETHx Price Today & AI Analysis

ETHx
Ethereum·AI Analysis
Analysis as of Sep 5, 2026

$2,690.56

-2.25%24h
LiveContract:0xa35b1b31ce002fbf2058d22f30f95d405200a15bChain:EthereumHolders:7.9KMarket cap:$209.74MLiquidity:$247.34K

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Movement since reportreport from Sep 5, 2026, 11:45 AM UTC
Market Cap

$209.74M

24h Volume

$52.36K

Liquidity

$247.34K

FDV

—

Holders

7.9K

24HLoading trading activity…

Holder Insights

Live

Total holders

—

AI Executive Summary

ETHx is Stader Labs' liquid staking token on Ethereum, representing staked ETH within a protocol that lowers the node-operator entry barrier to 4 ETH. The token is 39 months old, has a circulating supply of approximately 77,954 tokens fully matching its total supply, and carries a market cap of ~$209.7M. Over the past 90 days ETHx has appreciated +46.8%, though it currently trades near the lower 17% of its 90-day range and faces a liquidity environment that is thin relative to its market capitalisation. The 24-hour trading window shows exclusively sell-side activity, which warrants monitoring even if it does not override the broader medium-term uptrend.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Sep 5, 2026, 11:45 AM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Risk: high
Sentiment: bearish
Permissioned-but-accessible node operation requiring only 4 ETH, lowering barriers compared to the standard 32 ETH solo staking requirement
Multi-chain liquid staking presence across MATIC, BNB, FTM, HBAR and others, providing protocol diversification beyond Ethereum alone
Deep DeFi composability with integrations across Balancer, AAVE, Curve, and CIAN enabling ETHx holders to earn additional yield on their staked position

ETHx AI Price Analysis

Low Confidence
Short-Term24h-7d
Neutral

ETHx has been trading in a tight consolidation band over the past 7 days, with only a +0.1% net change across 14 daily closes ranging from $2,609 to $2,743. The 24-hour sell-only activity (5 sells, zero buys, $52,363 in sell volume) is a notable one-day data point but does not override the flat weekly trend. Price is currently sitting at just 17% of its 90-day range, suggesting it remains well below prior highs despite the strong 30d and 90d recoveries.

Medium-Term30d-90d
Bullish

The 30-day gain of +29.5% and 90-day gain of +46.8% establish a clear medium-term uptrend that carries meaningful momentum. However, price at 17% of the 90-day range ($1,660.45–$7,682.29) indicates substantial room to recover toward prior highs if the broader ETH staking narrative remains constructive. A sustained break above the immediate resistance cluster near $2,690–$2,743 would be the first confirmation of renewed upside.

Bullish Factors
  • +Strong 90-day price appreciation of +46.8% (from $1,660.45 low) demonstrates sustained medium-term upward momentum
  • +30-day gain of +29.5% confirms the recovery trend is not a single-day spike but a multi-week directional move
  • +Stader's multi-chain liquid staking protocol with ~$100M in assets across multiple chains provides fundamental backing for ETHx demand
  • +ETHx's 39-month contract age signals an established, non-ephemeral project rather than a newly launched speculative token
Bearish Factors
  • -Zero buy transactions in the past 24 hours against 5 sell transactions and $52,363 in sell volume represents 100% sell pressure with no observable demand
  • -Price sits at only 17% of the 90-day range, meaning it remains $5,000+ below the period high of $7,682.29, indicating significant overhead supply
  • -Total liquidity of $247,336 is extremely shallow relative to the $209.7M market cap, creating high slippage risk and vulnerability to price manipulation on modest order sizes
  • -Daily return volatility of 26.1% (annualised standard deviation of daily returns) is elevated, reflecting the token's sensitivity to broader ETH market swings

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

ETHx call history

Full track record →
Sep 5neutral
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

ChainEthereum
Contract0xa35b...a15b
Total Supply—
Decimals—

Key Risks

•Liquidity crisis risk: at $247,336 in total liquidity, a coordinated exit by even a small number of the top-10 holders (who control 80% of supply) could collapse the on-chain price before sufficient buy-side liquidity materialises
•Underlying ETH price dependency: as a liquid staking receipt token, ETHx price is fundamentally tied to ETH's value; a sustained ETH bear market would directly compress ETHx's USD price regardless of protocol-level performance
•Concentration and unknown holder composition: with 80% of supply in 10 wallets and no per-wallet classification available, the risk of a large undisclosed insider or whale position being unwound cannot be assessed or ruled out

Trading Insight

bearish

The 24-hour trading window is unambiguously one-sided: zero buy transactions against 5 sell transactions totalling $52,363 in sell volume, yielding 100% sell pressure and 0% buy pressure. This is an extreme short-term imbalance, though the flat 7-day price trend suggests this has not yet translated into a sustained directional breakdown. The Curve exchange venue and shallow liquidity pool mean even modest sell orders can move price meaningfully.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d):
Neutral
Medium-Term (30d):
Bullish

The 7-day net change of +0.1% across 14 daily closes (ranging $2,609–$2,743) confirms a short-term sideways consolidation with no directional bias. The medium-term picture is clearly bullish: the 30-day gain of +29.5% and 90-day gain of +46.8% from the $1,660.45 low establish a well-defined uptrend. The current consolidation near $2,689–$2,690 may represent a base-building phase within the broader recovery.

Momentum

Status:
Neutral

After a strong 30-day and 90-day advance, price has entered a tight 7-day consolidation band with daily closes oscillating between $2,609 and $2,743. The absence of a continued push higher despite the prior momentum, combined with the 24-hour sell-only flow, suggests momentum has temporarily stalled. The 26.1% daily return volatility indicates the token remains capable of sharp moves in either direction.

Volume Analysis

Buy 0%Sell 100%

Volume Trend: Decreasing

Only 5 transactions were recorded in the past 24 hours, all on the sell side, with zero buy volume. Multi-day volume history is not available, but the current 24-hour activity level is extremely low for a token with a $209.7M market cap, suggesting either a period of low interest or that most ETHx activity occurs off the observed Curve pool.

Recent Price Action

The 14 most recent daily closes show a narrow consolidation range of approximately $2,609–$2,743, with no clear higher-high or lower-low sequence. The price has oscillated around the $2,680–$2,710 zone without establishing a breakout direction.

Tight consolidation following a strong 30-day and 90-day advance is often a continuation pattern, but the 100% sell pressure in the most recent 24-hour window introduces downside risk if buy-side demand does not re-emerge. A sustained close above $2,743 (recent range high) would be the first bullish confirmation; a break below $2,609 (recent range low) would signal a potential reversal of the medium-term uptrend.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$2,689.10
Major$1,660.45
Resistance
Immediate$2,690.56
Major$7,682.29

The immediate support ($2,689.10) and immediate resistance ($2,690.56) are separated by less than $1.50, reflecting the current price compression and the fact that ETHx is trading almost exactly at a prior swing pivot. A decisive move through either level would likely accelerate given the thin liquidity. Major support at $1,660.45 represents the 90-day range low — a level that would imply a ~38% drawdown from current price. Major resistance at $7,682.29 is the 90-day range high, approximately 185% above current price, underscoring how much of the prior peak has yet to be recovered.

Overall Risk:
High
68/100

Risk Breakdown

Volatility
High

Daily return volatility of 26.1% (standard deviation of daily returns) is elevated. The 90-day price range of $1,660.45 to $7,682.29 — a spread of over 360% — illustrates the token's capacity for extreme drawdowns and recoveries. Current price at 17% of that range means significant downside to the range low remains possible.

Liquidity
High

Total on-chain liquidity of $247,336 against a $209.7M market cap yields a liquidity-to-market-cap ratio of approximately 0.12%, which is extremely thin. The 24-hour sell volume of $52,363 already represents ~21% of the liquidity pool, meaning even moderate-sized transactions will incur substantial slippage. This also makes the token vulnerable to price manipulation by actors with relatively small capital.

Concentration
High

The top 10 holders control 80% of ETHx supply. Per-wallet classification data is unavailable, so it cannot be determined how much of this concentration resides in protocol contracts or exchange custody versus individual holders with dumpable positions. In the absence of that classification, the 80% aggregate figure must be treated as a high concentration risk.

Smart Contract
Medium

No contract-security data is available on this chain's data provider, so this is an uninformed default rather than an actual assessment. The token's 39-month operational history without a known exploit provides some comfort, but the absence of verifiable audit data means smart contract risk cannot be formally rated.

Regulatory
Medium

Liquid staking tokens occupy a regulatory grey area in multiple jurisdictions, with ongoing debate about whether staking-as-a-service products constitute securities. Stader's multi-chain, DAO-operated structure may face evolving compliance requirements, particularly in the US and EU markets.

Key Risks

  • •Liquidity crisis risk: at $247,336 in total liquidity, a coordinated exit by even a small number of the top-10 holders (who control 80% of supply) could collapse the on-chain price before sufficient buy-side liquidity materialises
  • •Underlying ETH price dependency: as a liquid staking receipt token, ETHx price is fundamentally tied to ETH's value; a sustained ETH bear market would directly compress ETHx's USD price regardless of protocol-level performance
  • •Concentration and unknown holder composition: with 80% of supply in 10 wallets and no per-wallet classification available, the risk of a large undisclosed insider or whale position being unwound cannot be assessed or ruled out

Mitigating Factors

  • •39-month operational history without a publicly known smart contract exploit provides meaningful track record evidence for protocol resilience
  • •Multi-protocol DeFi integrations (AAVE, Balancer, Curve, CIAN) distribute ETHx utility across multiple venues, reducing single-point-of-failure dependency for liquidity and demand

Investor Suitability

ETHx may be suitable for experienced DeFi participants who already hold ETH and seek liquid staking yield with DeFi composability, and who understand the liquidity constraints, concentration risks, and smart contract risks inherent in liquid staking protocols. It is not suitable for risk-averse investors, those requiring high liquidity for position exits, or those without a strong understanding of Ethereum staking mechanics.

ETHx presents a medium-term bullish case grounded in its 46.8% 90-day price recovery and Stader's established multi-chain liquid staking infrastructure, but this is tempered by critically thin on-chain liquidity, 80% top-10 holder concentration with unknown composition, and a 24-hour trading window showing zero buy-side activity. The token's investment merit is closely tied to the broader Ethereum staking narrative and Stader's ability to grow its TVL and DeFi integrations.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case
Medium

Ethereum staking demand continues to grow as ETH price appreciates, driving new deposits into Stader's protocol and expanding ETHx supply and liquidity. Stader's multi-chain presence and DeFi integrations attract institutional and sophisticated retail capital, pushing ETHx back toward its 90-day high of $7,682.29 and beyond.

  • +Sustained ETH price appreciation and growing institutional interest in liquid staking as a yield-generating ETH strategy
  • +Expansion of ETHx liquidity pools and DeFi integrations reducing the current liquidity risk and attracting larger capital allocations
Base Case

ETHx continues to consolidate in the $2,609–$2,743 range established over the past 7 days, with the medium-term uptrend intact but requiring a catalyst — either broader ETH market strength or a specific Stader protocol development — to resume the recovery toward prior highs.

  • •Ethereum market conditions remain broadly stable without a major directional move in either direction over the next 30 days
  • •No large-scale unwinding of top-10 holder positions occurs, preserving the current price floor near the $2,689 immediate support level
Bear Case
Medium

The current 100% sell pressure persists or intensifies, and one or more large holders from the top-10 concentration (80% of supply) begin unwinding positions into the thin $247,336 liquidity pool, triggering a cascading price decline toward the major support at $1,660.45 — a potential drawdown of approximately 38% from current levels.

  • -Continued absence of buy-side demand in a low-liquidity environment amplifying the price impact of even modest sell orders
  • -Broader ETH market weakness or negative regulatory developments targeting liquid staking protocols reducing protocol TVL and ETHx demand

Analysis Details

GeneratedSep 5, 2026, 11:45 AM UTC
Data FreshnessReal-time on-chain data
Model Confidence
Low

Data Snapshot

Price$2690.55892521
Market Cap$209.74M
24h Volume$52.4K
Holders7,883
Liquidity$247.3K

Data Sources

Codex DEX market data (price, volume, liquidity)
Daily OHLC price history
Aggregate holder count and top-10 concentration

Limitations

  • •Holder-growth history and size-tier distribution data were unavailable for this chain, preventing any assessment of accumulation or distribution trends
  • •Whale transaction and individual wallet behaviour data were unavailable, making it impossible to classify the nature of the top-10 holder concentration or assess dumpable supply
  • •Contract-security audit data was unavailable on this chain's data provider, so smart contract risk could not be formally assessed
  • •Smart-money cohort (profitable trader) data was unavailable, preventing any assessment of informed capital positioning
  • •Launch allocation forensics and deployer profile data were unavailable, so insider allocation risk at genesis could not be inspected

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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