RAD

Radicle Price Prediction 2026

RAD
Ethereum·AI Analysis
Analysis as of Apr 16, 2026

$0.2369

+2.04%24h
LiveContract:0x31c8eacbffdd875c74b94b077895bd78cf1e64a3Chain:EthereumHolders:7.9KMarket cap:$23.69MLiquidity:$974.90K

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Ask Unhosted AI about RAD

What's Twitter saying?

Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweets

Whale activity

Who is accumulating or distributing

What are the risks?

Red flags, security, concentration

Should I buy?

Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

Movement since reportreport from Apr 16, 2026, 03:30 AM UTC
Market Cap

$11.08M

24h Volume

$3.99K

Liquidity

$1.85M

FDV

—

Holders

7.8K

Security

—

24H0 buys
0 sells0 traders

Holder Insights

Live

Total holders

—

24h change

0

Top 10 hold

—

Top acquisition

—

—

AI Executive Summary

Radicle (RAD) is a utility token for the Radworks Network, facilitating governance and rewards in a decentralized developer stack for open-source code collaboration. With a market cap of $11.08 million and trading on Uniswap v2, it occupies a niche in the developer tools sector but faces challenges from low liquidity ($1.85 million) and declining holders. Currently priced at $0.2223 with minimal recent activity, the token shows stable but unexciting performance amid a concentrated holder base.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Apr 16, 2026, 03:30 AM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Risk: high
Sentiment: neutral
Peer-to-peer code collaboration without centralized platforms
Integration with Drips for funding software dependencies
Governance-focused treasury management for infrastructure providers

Radicle Price Prediction

Low Confidence
Short-Term24h-7d
Neutral

The token has shown minimal price movement with 0% changes in the last 5 minutes, 1 hour, and 4 hours, and only a slight -0.17% decline over 24 hours, indicating stagnant short-term price action. Trading volume is extremely low at $3,993 total in 24 hours with buy pressure at 74.6%, suggesting limited momentum but slight buying interest. Without significant catalysts, the price is likely to remain range-bound unless volume picks up.

Medium-Term30d-90d
Bearish

Declining holder numbers over 7 days (-20) and 30 days (-51) point to waning interest, potentially pressuring the price downward if adoption doesn't improve. The high supply concentration (top 10 holders control 77%) increases risk of dumps, but project fundamentals in developer tools could provide upside if market conditions favor utility tokens. Overall, expect consolidation or mild downside without new developments.

Bullish Factors
  • +Buy pressure at 74.6% over sells, indicating some accumulation interest
  • +Fully circulating supply with no inflation pressure from unlocks
Bearish Factors
  • -Declining holders (-0.26% in 7 days), signaling reduced community engagement
  • -High supply concentration (98% in top 100 holders), risking price manipulation

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

Token Info

ChainEthereum
Contract0x31c8...64a3
Total Supply—
Decimals—

Key Risks

•Extreme holder concentration could lead to sudden dumps
•Low trading volume increases illiquidity and exit risks
•Declining holders signal potential abandonment

Trading Insight

neutral

Market sentiment is neutral with a slight positive tilt from 74.6% buy pressure, but overall trading activity is minimal, reflecting low investor interest. The imbalance in buy volume ($2,978) over sell volume ($1,015) suggests mild accumulation, yet the total of only 7 transactions in 24 hours indicates a dormant market. This could imply consolidation unless external factors drive volume.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d):
Neutral
Medium-Term (30d):
Bearish

Short-term trend is sideways with 0% changes in recent intervals, reflecting consolidation amid low volume. Medium-term shows a mild downtrend from the -0.17% 24h drop and declining holders, potentially continuing without catalysts. Overall, the lack of momentum indicators points to range-bound action unless buying pressure builds.

Momentum

Status:
Neutral

Momentum is neutral due to flat price action and balanced but low volume, with no signs of overbought or oversold conditions from the data.

Volume Analysis

Buy 74.6%Sell 25.4%

Volume Trend: Stable

Volume is stable but at critically low levels ($3,993 in 24h), which is below typical for a $11M market cap token and indicates poor liquidity; this could lead to exaggerated price swings on minimal trades.

Recent Price Action

Flat consolidation with minor downside tick

This pattern typically indicates indecision and low conviction, often preceding a breakout if volume increases or continued drift lower in bearish markets.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate0.22
Major0.20
Resistance
Immediate0.23
Major0.25

Immediate support at $0.22 aligns with current price, while major support at $0.20 could hold if selling intensifies; resistance levels at $0.23 and $0.25 may cap upside without volume surge, based on recent stability.

Holder Metrics

Total Holders7,773
24h Change-5
Growth Rate-0.064%

The declining holder trend over 24h, 7d, and 30d suggests eroding community interest, which could pressure price if not reversed by adoption growth.

Holder Distribution

Top 10 Holders77%
Top 100 Holders98%
Retail Holders2.0%
Concentration Risk:
Critical

Extreme concentration with top 100 holding 98% leaves the token vulnerable to whale decisions, reducing decentralization and increasing dump risks compared to healthier distributions where retail holds >10%.

Whale Activity

Sentiment:
Holding

No significant recent movements detected due to low transaction volume

  • •Minimal sells from 3 unique sellers in 24h
  • •Slight buys from 3 unique buyers

Whale sentiment appears as holding, with no major distributions, but the high concentration implies potential for volatility if large holders move.

Smart Money Indicators

Confidence:
Low
Profit-Taking Risk:
Medium

Early buyers via transfers (4759) and airdrops (169) form the base, but recent inactivity suggests they're not adding positions.

Smart money behavior indicates caution, with low confidence in upside due to stagnant activity, suggesting limited conviction in near-term growth.

Liquidity Analysis

Total Liquidity$1,850,377.79
Depth:
Moderate
Slippage Risk:
High

Liquidity of $1.85M is moderate for the $11M market cap but shallow relative to potential trades, leading to high slippage risk on larger orders and implying challenges for efficient trading.

Overall Risk:
High
75/100

Risk Breakdown

Volatility
High

Low volume and liquidity amplify price swings on small trades

Liquidity
High

Total liquidity of $1.85M is insufficient for the market cap, risking high slippage

Concentration
High

98% supply in top 100 holders creates manipulation potential

Smart Contract
Medium

Verified contract with 67/100 score indicates moderate vulnerabilities

Regulatory
Low

Utility focus in developer tools poses minimal regulatory hurdles currently

Key Risks

  • •Extreme holder concentration could lead to sudden dumps
  • •Low trading volume increases illiquidity and exit risks
  • •Declining holders signal potential abandonment

Mitigating Factors

  • •Fully circulating supply reduces inflation risk
  • •Verified contract provides basic security

Investor Suitability

Suitable for risk-tolerant investors interested in niche developer tools, not for conservative portfolios

RAD offers potential in decentralized developer infrastructure, but high concentration and low activity temper upside. Bull case hinges on adoption growth, while bear case involves continued decline.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case
Low

Price appreciates to $0.50+ on increased Radicle usage and market recovery

  • +Adoption by open-source communities
  • +Positive crypto sector momentum
Base Case

Price consolidates around $0.20-0.25 with gradual adoption

  • •Stable market conditions
  • •No major whale movements
Bear Case
Medium

Price drops below $0.15 amid whale dumps and fading interest

  • -Continued holder decline
  • -Lack of volume and catalysts

Analysis Details

GeneratedApr 16, 2026, 03:30 AM UTC
Data FreshnessReal-time on-chain data
Model Confidence
Low

Data Snapshot

Price$0.222304705426026317
Market Cap$11.08M
24h Volume$4.0K
Holders7,773
Liquidity$1.85M

Data Sources

On-chain transaction data
Holder distribution analytics
Trading volume metrics
Smart contract analysis

Limitations

  • •Limited historical chart data for precise TA
  • •Assumptions on market context without real-time global data

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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