The Last Play Price Today & AI Analysis

retireSolanaAnalysis as of May 2, 2026

$0.002106

+2.51% 24h

Contract

Live

zGh48JtNHVBb5evgoZLXwgPD2Qu4MhkWdJLGDAupump

Chain

Solana

Holders

14,476

Market cap

$2,105,561

At a $10M market cap, $RETIRE would be $0.0100 (4.75x from today’s price)

Market cap calculator

Is retire a scam?

Unhosted check · Oct 28

No red flags

No scam signals in Unhosted’s checks, and nothing in the token can block or tax a sell.

Can you sell?

YesNothing in the token can block or tax a sell

Read from the token’s own on-chain settings, with Unhosted’s automated check: a warning signal, not a guarantee either way. The settings say whether the token can block or tax a sell, not whether its pool has the liquidity to sell into.

Ask Unhosted AI about retire

3 free answers a day

What's Twitter saying?Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweets Whale activityWho is accumulating or distributing What are the risks?Red flags, security, concentration Should I buy?Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

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The Last Play: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-05-02 18:17 UTC

Holder addresses

14,927

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

$584,635.80

How concentrated is The Last Play ownership?: Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 14,927 addresses (2026-05-02 18:17 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling The Last Play?: This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is The Last Play liquidity falling?: As of 2026-05-02 18:17 UTC, reported liquidity was $584,635.80. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.

Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-05-02 18:17 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

Report snapshot

as of May 2, 06:17 PM UTC

FDV

$3,336,679

Liquidity

$584,635.80

Holders

14,927

Snipers

Not available

Risk

High

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1h chart read; Support, resistance, Fibonacci and RSI divergence are drawn on the chart once it loads.

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AI Executive Summary

Risk

High

Sentiment

Bearish

The Last Play (retire) is a Solana meme/community token launched on the pump.fun platform (mint: zGh48JtNHVBb5evgoZLXwgPD2Qu4MhkWdJLGDAupump). With a circulating supply of ~999.8M tokens and a fully diluted valuation of ~$3.34M–$4.08M, the token is currently trading at $0.003337, down ~16.7% in the past 24 hours. It has 14,927 holders and $584.64K in total liquidity on Raydium. The token shows no sniper activity, a relatively distributed top-holder structure (top 10 hold 19.15%), and a mutable-false metadata flag. However, the update authority is NOT renounced to a burn address, and the 30-day holder trend is essentially flat-to-declining, raising concerns about organic demand.

Key points

Zero sniper activity in the first 1,000 blocks — no early bot exploitation detected
Relatively healthy top-10 concentration at 19.15% of supply, with no single wallet dominating
Metadata is immutable (mutable: false), reducing rug-via-metadata risk
Substantial liquidity pool of $584.64K on Raydium relative to FDV
14,927 holders with acquisition primarily via swap (11,489), indicating organic market participation

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term · 24–72 hours

bearish

The token has dropped ~16.7% in 24 hours with sell pressure dominating at 56.1%. The most recent candle (hour 1) shows a sharp wick down to $0.003315 and a close at $0.003337, well below the prior session range of $0.003963–$0.004106. Momentum is clearly bearish in the short term. Immediate support sits near the recent low of $0.002963 (hour 2 wick low), while resistance is clustered around $0.003963–$0.004090.

Target low

$0.002963

Target high

$0.003963

Support: $0.003315 (hour 1 low), $0.002963 (hour 2 wick low)
Resistance: $0.003963 (prior session open/close cluster), $0.004090 (hour 3 high), $0.004106 (16-candle high)

Medium term · 7–30 days

neutral

The 30-day holder trend is essentially flat (net -25 over 7 days, +38 over 30 days), suggesting the token has reached a saturation point in its holder base. Without a new catalyst or narrative push, price is likely to consolidate or drift lower. A recovery above $0.004106 would signal renewed bullish momentum.

Catalysts

New social media campaign or viral moment tied to the 'retire' narrative
Broader Solana meme-coin market rally lifting all boats
Whale accumulation from current depressed levels
Listing on a centralized exchange or aggregator feature

Bullish factors

Zero sniper activity reduces early-dump overhang
Relatively healthy liquidity ($584.64K) supports price stability
Top-10 concentration of only 19.15% limits single-actor manipulation risk
Immutable metadata reduces rug risk
154 buys vs 116 sells in 24h shows more buy transactions despite lower buy volume

Bearish factors

Price down ~16.7% in 24h with sell volume ($4.50K) exceeding buy volume ($3.53K)
30-day holder trend is flat-to-declining (net -25 over 7 days)
Very low 24h volume ($8.03K) signals waning interest
Update authority not renounced to burn address
Meme token with no disclosed utility or roadmap beyond 'last play before retire'

Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to the meme-coin nature of the token, thin 24h volume ($8.03K combined), highly volatile recent price action (a single hour saw a range from $0.002963 to $0.004069), and the absence of fundamental utility metrics. Price direction is heavily sentiment-driven.

Token Info

Chain: Solana
Contract: zGh48J...pump
Total Supply: 999,812,680.88 tokens

Key Risks

Extreme price volatility — 38.5% range across 16 hourly candles
Very low 24h trading volume ($8.03K) making the token susceptible to manipulation
Update authority not renounced; mint/freeze authority status unknown
Flat-to-declining holder base over 30 days suggests waning organic interest

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

Reviewing the 16 most recent hourly candles (May 1–2, 2026): The token traded in a tight range of $0.003902–$0.004106 for the first 14 candles, then experienced a sharp breakdown in hour 2 (17:00 UTC May 2) with a wick down to $0.002963 on very high volume (2,121.6 units), closing at $0.003368. The most recent candle (18:00 UTC) shows a narrow range ($0.003315–$0.003362) with minimal volume (15.2 units), suggesting the sell-off has paused but not reversed. The dominant pattern is a sharp bearish breakdown from a prior consolidation zone.

Trend

Short-term

Downtrend

Medium-term

Sideways

Short-term trend is clearly bearish following the ~18% hourly drop at 17:00 UTC. Medium-term (prior 14 candles) was a sideways consolidation between $0.003902 and $0.004106. The breakdown below the consolidation range signals a potential shift to a new lower range.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Oversold

Volume trend

Increasing

Buy

44%

Sell

56%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.003315 (hour 1 low)

Major support

$0.002963 (hour 2 wick low — the 16-candle absolute low)

Immediate resistance

$0.003963 (prior consolidation floor, now resistance)

Major resistance

$0.004106 (16-candle high, hour 8)

The prior consolidation range of $0.003902–$0.004106 has now flipped to resistance. The key support to watch is the $0.002963 wick low from the breakdown candle. A sustained close below $0.003315 opens the door to a retest of $0.002963.

Notable patterns

Bearish breakdown from 14-candle sideways consolidation ($0.003902–$0.004106)
High-volume sell wick in hour 2 (2,121 units) — potential capitulation or large sell event
Doji-like narrow candle in hour 1 (most recent) after the breakdown — indecision/pause
No higher highs in the 16-candle window — consistent with distribution phase
Volume spike on down-move confirms bearish conviction

Liquidity

$584,635.80

Depth

Moderate

Slippage risk

Medium

Total liquidity of $584.64K on Raydium (pair 6HfaJi...) is moderate relative to the FDV of ~$3.34M–$4.08M, representing approximately 14–17% of FDV in liquidity — a reasonable ratio for a meme token. However, the 24h combined volume of only ~$8.03K is extremely thin relative to the liquidity pool, indicating very low trading activity. The net flow is negative (sell volume $4.50K > buy volume $3.53K), confirming outflow pressure. Slippage risk is medium: while the pool is reasonably sized, the low daily volume means large orders could move the price significantly. The sharp -18.4% hourly drop on 2,121 volume units in hour 2 demonstrates this vulnerability. 60 unique buyers vs 44 unique sellers shows more participants buying, but sellers are moving larger average sizes.

Supply & authorities

Total supply

999,812,680.88 tokens

FDV

$3,336,679.23 (per metadata) / ~$4.08M (per trading analytics)

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

Volatilityhigh
The token dropped ~18.4% in a single hour (17:00 UTC May 2) and is down ~16.7% over 24 hours. With only $8.03K in daily volume, even modest sell orders can cause outsized price moves. The 16-candle range spans from $0.002963 to $0.004106 — a 38.5% spread.
Liquiditymedium
Total liquidity of $584.64K is moderate for a meme token, providing some buffer against large exits. However, the extremely low daily volume ($8.03K) means the pool is underutilized and slippage on larger trades remains a concern.
ConcentrationNot assessed
Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.
Sniper DumpNot assessed
Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.
AuthorityNot assessed
Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

Extreme price volatility — 38.5% range across 16 hourly candles
Very low 24h trading volume ($8.03K) making the token susceptible to manipulation
Update authority not renounced; mint/freeze authority status unknown
Flat-to-declining holder base over 30 days suggests waning organic interest
Meme token with no disclosed utility — entirely sentiment-driven valuation
Top-100 concentration at 55.45% creates potential for coordinated selling

Mitigating factors

Zero sniper activity — no early-buyer dump overhang
Metadata immutability (mutable: false) prevents post-launch metadata manipulation
Relatively healthy top-10 concentration (19.15%) with no single dominant whale
Moderate liquidity pool ($584.64K) relative to FDV
Verified contract and not flagged as spam by Moralis
Acquisition primarily via swap (11,489 of 14,927 holders) — organic market participation

Suitable for

Suitable only for high-risk-tolerant speculators who understand meme token dynamics and can afford to lose their entire investment. Not suitable for risk-averse investors, those seeking yield or utility, or anyone allocating more than a small speculative position.

The Last Play (retire) is a pure meme/sentiment token on Solana with no disclosed utility. Its investment case rests entirely on community momentum and narrative virality. The token has a relatively clean launch profile (no snipers, immutable metadata, distributed top holders) but faces significant headwinds: declining price (-16.7% in 24h), flat holder growth, thin volume, and unrenounced authorities. The risk/reward is highly asymmetric and speculative.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

A viral social media moment or broader Solana meme-coin rally reignites interest in the 'retire' narrative, driving new holder inflows and volume. The clean launch profile (no sniper overhang) means any rally is not immediately sold into by early bots. Price recovers above $0.004106 and targets new highs.

Viral Twitter/Telegram campaign around the 'last play before retire' narrative
Broader Solana ecosystem meme-coin season lifting sentiment
Whale accumulation at current depressed prices ($0.003337)
CEX listing or major aggregator feature driving discovery

Base Case

The token continues to trade in a new lower range of $0.003000–$0.003963 following the breakdown, with low volume and flat holder counts. No major catalyst emerges in the near term, and the token slowly bleeds as speculative interest fades. Liquidity remains intact but underutilized.

No major positive or negative catalyst in the next 30 days
Holder base remains stable around 14,500–15,000
Daily volume stays in the $5K–$15K range
Liquidity pool remains intact on Raydium

Bear Case

Medium probability

Continued holder attrition and low volume lead to a liquidity death spiral. Large holders (top 100 controlling 55.45%) begin distributing, overwhelming the thin buy-side. Price breaks below $0.002963 support and continues declining toward sub-$0.002 levels.

Sustained sell pressure with no new buyer catalyst
Top-100 whale distribution into thin liquidity
Broader meme-coin market fatigue or Solana ecosystem downturn
Update authority executing adverse token actions (if mint/freeze not renounced)

Analysis details

Generated

May 2, 06:17 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-05-02 18:17 UTC

Model confidence

Medium

Data sources

Moralis token metadata API
On-chain price feed (Raydium pair 6HfaJiUuTXFZEfmdkQSNbvfe6i95Nh2wUVJ5dWMf7gtw)
Hourly OHLC candle data (16 candles, May 1–2 2026)
Trading analytics (24h buy/sell volume, unique wallets)
Holder metrics and distribution data
Historical daily holder counts (30-day series)
Top 20 holder wallet data
Sniper analysis (first 1,000 blocks)

Limitations

Mint authority and freeze authority status not explicitly provided — marked unknown
Sniper data shows 0 snipers but total sniped USD and transaction count are unknown — cannot fully verify
Update authority (TSLvdd1p...) classification is uncertain without additional on-chain lookup
No order book depth data available — slippage estimates are approximate
FDV discrepancy between metadata ($3.34M) and analytics ($4.08M) suggests different price snapshots
No vesting schedule, team wallet identification, or tokenomics documentation available
Holder classification (whale/shark/dolphin/fish/octopus) thresholds not defined in source data

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially meme tokens, carry extreme risk including total loss of capital. Past price performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research (DYOR) before making any investment decisions.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is The Last Play (retire) a scam?

No scam signals in Unhosted’s checks, and nothing in the token can block or tax a sell. Checked Oct 28, 2026. This is Unhosted’s automated risk check, a warning signal rather than a guarantee either way.

Can I sell The Last Play (retire)?

Yes. Nothing in the token’s on-chain settings can block or tax a sell: no freeze authority, no transfer fee and no transfer hook. Checked Oct 28, 2026. This reads the token’s own settings; whether its pool has enough liquidity to sell into is a separate question.

How concentrated is The Last Play ownership?

Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 14,927 addresses (2026-05-02 18:17 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.

Are large holders selling The Last Play?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is The Last Play liquidity falling?

As of 2026-05-02 18:17 UTC, reported liquidity was $584,635.80. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.

What is the short-term price outlook for The Last Play (retire)?

Is retire a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as high with a risk score of 7.2/100. Suitable only for high-risk-tolerant speculators who understand meme token dynamics and can afford to lose their entire investment. Not suitable for risk-averse investors, those seeking yield or utility, or anyone allocating more than a small speculative position.

What are the key risks of holding retire?

Extreme price volatility — 38.5% range across 16 hourly candles • Very low 24h trading volume ($8.03K) making the token susceptible to manipulation • Update authority not renounced; mint/freeze authority status unknown