Orca Price Today & AI Analysis

ORCASolanaAnalysis as of Apr 29, 2026

$1.68

-6.18% 24h

Contract

Live

orcaEKTdK7LKz57vaAYr9QeNsVEPfiu6QeMU1kektZE

Chain

Solana

Holders

92,380

Market cap

$102,287,636

At a $500M market cap, $ORCA would be $8.22 (4.89x from today’s price)

Market cap calculator

Is ORCA a scam?

Unhosted check · Oct 24

No red flags

No scam signals in Unhosted’s checks, and nothing in the token can block or tax a sell. A few things to know below.

Can you sell?

YesNothing in the token can block or tax a sell

The owner can still mint new supply.

Read from the token’s own on-chain settings, with Unhosted’s automated check: a warning signal, not a guarantee either way. The settings say whether the token can block or tax a sell, not whether its pool has the liquidity to sell into.

Ask Unhosted AI about ORCA

3 free answers a day

What's Twitter saying?Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweets Whale activityWho is accumulating or distributing What are the risks?Red flags, security, concentration Should I buy?Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

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Orca: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-04-29 14:47 UTC

Holder addresses

59,253

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

Not available

How concentrated is Orca ownership?: Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 59,253 addresses (2026-04-29 14:47 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling Orca?: This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is Orca liquidity falling?: Liquidity is not available in the saved inputs. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.

Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-04-29 14:47 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

Report snapshot

as of Apr 29, 02:47 PM UTC

FDV

$129,136,904

Liquidity

Not available

Holders

59,253

Snipers

Not available

Risk

High

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1h chart read; Support, resistance, Fibonacci and RSI divergence are drawn on the chart once it loads.

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AI Executive Summary

Risk

High

Sentiment

Neutral

Orca (ORCA) is a well-established, verified Solana-native DEX token representing one of the first general-purpose AMMs on the network. With a circulating supply of ~75M tokens, an FDV of ~$129M, and a current price of ~$1.72, ORCA is a mid-cap DeFi infrastructure token. The project has active social presence (Discord, Reddit, GitHub, Medium, website) and a verified contract, lending legitimacy. However, holder count is declining sharply (-10% over 7 days, -11% over 30 days), and supply concentration is extremely high (top 10 hold 64.23%, top 100 hold 94.87%), raising significant distribution concerns.

Key points

One of the first and most user-friendly AMMs on Solana with Whirlpool concentrated liquidity
Verified contract with active social channels (Discord, Reddit, GitHub, Medium)
Real utility as a DeFi money-lego for on-chain swapping and farming integrations
Positive 24h price momentum (+5.48%) against a backdrop of declining holder count
FDV of ~$129M reflects established mid-cap status in the Solana DeFi ecosystem

AI Price Analysis

neutral

Short term · 1–7 days

neutral

ORCA posted a solid +5.48% gain in the last 24 hours, suggesting short-term buying pressure. However, with no OHLC candle data available, precise support/resistance levels must be estimated from the current price of $1.7218. The declining holder trend (-0.84% in 24h) and very high supply concentration (top 10 = 64.23%) create overhead risk. A consolidation or mild pullback is plausible after the recent pump.

Target low

$1.55

Target high

$1.95

Support: $1.65 (near-term psychological support), $1.50 (round-number support), $1.35 (deeper correction level)
Resistance: $1.80 (near-term resistance), $2.00 (psychological round number), $2.20 (prior range high estimate)

Medium term · 1–3 months

neutral

Medium-term outlook is cautiously neutral. Continued holder attrition (-11% over 30 days) is a structural headwind, suggesting retail is exiting. If Solana DeFi activity picks up and Orca's Whirlpool volumes grow, ORCA could reclaim higher levels. Conversely, persistent holder decline and whale concentration could suppress price.

Catalysts

Solana ecosystem DeFi volume expansion driving Orca protocol revenue
New Whirlpool integrations or product launches attracting fresh holders
Broader crypto bull market lifting mid-cap DeFi tokens
Reduction in top-holder concentration through distribution events

Bullish factors

Strong 24h price gain of +5.48% (~$0.089)
Verified contract and established DeFi protocol with real utility
Active social ecosystem and developer presence on GitHub
Positive net inflow implied by buy-side 24h price action
Orca Whirlpool is a leading concentrated liquidity venue on Solana

Bearish factors

Holder count declining sharply: -495 (-0.84%) in 24h, -6,209 (-10%) in 7d, -6,379 (-11%) in 30d
Extreme supply concentration: top 10 holders control 64.23%, top 100 control 94.87%
Update authority not renounced (mutable metadata), introducing governance/rug risk
No OHLC or trading analytics data available to confirm technical trend
Sniper and whale top-holder data unavailable, limiting smart money visibility

Confidence: low. No OHLC candle data or trading analytics were available, making technical price targets highly speculative. Estimates are based solely on current price ($1.7218), 24h change (+5.48%), holder metrics, and fundamental context. Confidence is therefore low.

Token Info

Chain: Solana
Contract: orcaEK...ktZE
Total Supply: 74,999,558.68 ORCA

Key Risks

Extreme supply concentration — top 10 holders control 64.23%, creating whale manipulation risk
Accelerating holder decline — lost 6,209 holders in 7 days, nearly the entire 30-day loss
Non-renounced update authority with mutable metadata
Mint and freeze authority status unknown

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

No OHLC candle data was provided for this analysis. All technical observations are derived from available price metrics only: current price $1.7218, 24h change +5.48% (+$0.0894). No candlestick patterns, moving averages, or historical OHLC-based levels can be computed.

Trend

Short-term

Uptrend

Medium-term

Sideways

Short-term trend appears mildly bullish based on the +5.48% 24h price gain. Medium-term trend is indeterminate without historical candle data, but the persistent 30-day holder decline suggests underlying distribution pressure that may cap upside.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Neutral

Volume trend

Stable

Buy

52%

Sell

48%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$1.65

Major support

$1.50

Immediate resistance

$1.80

Major resistance

$2.00

Support and resistance levels are estimated from the current price of $1.7218 and round-number psychology, as no historical OHLC data is available. $1.65 represents ~4% below current price as near-term support; $1.50 is a key psychological floor. $1.80 and $2.00 are logical resistance targets above.

Notable patterns

No candle patterns identifiable — OHLC data not provided
24h price gain of +5.48% suggests short-term bullish momentum
Holder count declining while price rises — potential divergence / distribution signal
High supply concentration (top 10 = 64.23%) may indicate whale-driven price action

Liquidity

Not available

Depth

Not assessed

Slippage risk

Not assessed

Liquidity depth and slippage risk cannot be assessed without a liquidity observation.

Supply & authorities

Total supply

74,999,558.68 ORCA

FDV

$129,136,903.86

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

Volatilitymedium
ORCA is a mid-cap DeFi token (~$129M FDV) on Solana, subject to significant price swings typical of the asset class. The 5.48% single-day move illustrates this volatility. Without historical OHLC data, precise volatility metrics cannot be computed, but mid-cap Solana DeFi tokens routinely experience 20–50% drawdowns.
LiquidityNot assessed
A liquidity observation is not available in the saved inputs.
ConcentrationNot assessed
Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.
Sniper DumpNot assessed
Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.
AuthorityNot assessed
Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

Extreme supply concentration — top 10 holders control 64.23%, creating whale manipulation risk
Accelerating holder decline — lost 6,209 holders in 7 days, nearly the entire 30-day loss
Non-renounced update authority with mutable metadata
Mint and freeze authority status unknown
No OHLC, volume, or liquidity TVL data available — limits analytical confidence
Price rising while holders decline — potential distribution by large holders into retail buying

Mitigating factors

Verified contract with false spam classification — legitimate established project
Active social presence across 6 channels (Discord, Reddit, GitHub, Medium, website, Moralis)
Orca Whirlpool is a leading Solana DEX with real protocol utility and integrations
FDV of ~$129M reflects established market position, not a speculative new launch
Concentrated liquidity (Whirlpool) provides better capital efficiency than standard AMMs
Positive 24h price momentum (+5.48%) suggests current market demand

Suitable for

Suitable only for experienced DeFi investors with high risk tolerance who understand Solana ecosystem dynamics. The extreme supply concentration, accelerating holder decline, and non-renounced authorities make this unsuitable for conservative or risk-averse investors. Position sizing should be limited given the structural concentration risks.

ORCA represents a legitimate, established Solana DeFi infrastructure token with real utility as one of the network's leading AMMs. The bull case rests on Solana ecosystem growth and Orca's Whirlpool product leadership. The bear case is driven by alarming holder attrition (-10% in 7 days), extreme supply concentration (top 10 = 64.23%), and non-renounced authorities. This is a speculative mid-cap DeFi position, not a safe-haven asset.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

Solana DeFi renaissance drives Orca Whirlpool volume to new highs, generating protocol revenue and attracting new holders. ORCA reclaims $2.50–$3.00+ as ecosystem TVL grows and the token benefits from increased utility demand.

Solana ecosystem TVL and DeFi activity expansion
Orca Whirlpool gaining market share vs. competitors (Raydium, Meteora)
New product launches or integrations driving fresh demand
Broader crypto bull market lifting mid-cap DeFi tokens
Reduction in holder concentration through organic distribution

Base Case

ORCA consolidates in the $1.40–$2.00 range over the next 1–3 months. Holder decline stabilizes as the remaining base is more committed. Protocol continues operating but lacks a major catalyst to drive significant new holder acquisition or price appreciation.

Holder decline rate slows from -10%/week to a more sustainable pace
Orca Whirlpool maintains its position as a top Solana DEX
No adverse authority actions or protocol exploits
Crypto market remains range-bound without major directional catalyst
Supply concentration remains high but large holders do not aggressively exit

Bear Case

Medium probability

Continued holder attrition accelerates as large holders distribute into any price strength. Supply concentration leads to a coordinated or organic sell-off, driving ORCA below $1.00 as retail confidence erodes.

Accelerating holder decline (-10% in 7 days) continues or worsens
Whale distribution into retail buying (price/holder divergence)
Broader Solana DeFi competition eroding Orca's market share
Non-renounced authority risk materializing
Macro crypto downturn compressing mid-cap DeFi valuations

Analysis details

Generated

Apr 29, 02:47 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-04-29 14:47 UTC

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

Token metadata (mint, name, symbol, decimals, supply, FDV, update authority, mutability)
Price data (USD price, 24h change, native pair address)
Holder metrics (total holders, acquisition breakdown, 1h/24h/7d/30d changes, distribution tiers, top10/top100 concentration)
Social links metadata (Discord, Reddit, GitHub, Medium, website, Moralis)

Limitations

No OHLC candle data — all technical support/resistance levels are estimated, not derived from historical price action
No trading analytics — volume, buy/sell pressure, and liquidity depth cannot be precisely quantified
No top holder addresses — whale classification is inferred from aggregate concentration data only
No historical holder time series — daily holder trend analysis relies solely on the summary change figures provided
No sniper analysis data — smart money signals section is largely indeterminate
Mint and freeze authority status not explicitly provided in metadata
Analysis timestamp is approximate; real-time market conditions may differ

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments carry substantial risk of loss. The extreme supply concentration, declining holder base, and data limitations identified in this report mean conclusions should be treated with significant caution. Always conduct your own research (DYOR) before making any investment decisions.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Orca (ORCA) a scam?

No scam signals in Unhosted’s checks, and nothing in the token can block or tax a sell. A few things to know below. The owner can still mint new supply. Checked Oct 24, 2026. This is Unhosted’s automated risk check, a warning signal rather than a guarantee either way.

Can I sell Orca (ORCA)?

Yes. Nothing in the token’s on-chain settings can block or tax a sell: no freeze authority, no transfer fee and no transfer hook. Checked Oct 24, 2026. This reads the token’s own settings; whether its pool has enough liquidity to sell into is a separate question.

How concentrated is Orca ownership?

Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 59,253 addresses (2026-04-29 14:47 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.

Are large holders selling Orca?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is Orca liquidity falling?

Liquidity is not available in the saved inputs. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.

What is the short-term price outlook for Orca (ORCA)?

Is ORCA a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as high with a risk score of 7.2/100. Suitable only for experienced DeFi investors with high risk tolerance who understand Solana ecosystem dynamics. The extreme supply concentration, accelerating holder decline, and non-renounced authorities make this unsuitable for conservative or risk-averse investors. Position sizing should be limited given the structural concentration risks.

What are the key risks of holding ORCA?

Extreme supply concentration — top 10 holders control 64.23%, creating whale manipulation risk • Accelerating holder decline — lost 6,209 holders in 7 days, nearly the entire 30-day loss • Non-renounced update authority with mutable metadata