PIE

Alpie Price Today & AI Analysis

PIESolanaAnalysis as of May 20, 2026

Price

$0.7813

-6.91% 24h

Contract

Live
aqQRs3UJmHs7ktoLo46HZAzvG9P3oCoZ41nENqFbory

Chain

Solana

Holders

973

Market cap

$371,092

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Alpie: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-05-20 19:20 UTC

Holder addresses

654

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

$88,436.13
How concentrated is Alpie ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 654 addresses (2026-05-20 19:20 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling Alpie?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is Alpie liquidity falling?
As of 2026-05-20 19:20 UTC, reported liquidity was $88,436.13. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-05-20 19:20 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

Report snapshot

as of May 20, 07:20 PM UTC

FDV

$414,374

Liquidity

$88,436.13

Holders

654

Snipers

Not available

Risk

Very High
Loading price chart…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Bearish

Alpie (PIE) is a Solana-based AI workspace token with a total supply of ~474,985 tokens and a current price of ~$0.872. The token has experienced an extraordinary 232% price surge in the past 24 hours, driven by a sharp spike in the most recent candle. With only 654 holders, $88.44K in liquidity, and a fully diluted valuation of ~$414K–$565K, PIE is a micro-cap token with high volatility and speculative characteristics. The project describes itself as an AI collaboration platform, and the token metadata is verified and non-spam.

Key points

  • Extraordinary 232% 24h price surge from ~$0.26 to ~$0.87
  • Very small supply (~474,985 tokens) creating scarcity dynamics
  • AI workspace narrative with described product utility (PDFs, code, team collaboration)
  • Verified contract with mutable=false metadata, reducing some rug risk
  • Meteora Dynamic AMM v2 liquidity pool pairing with WSOL

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term · 1–24 hours

bearish

After a parabolic 232% surge, the 5-minute price change is already -17.4%, signaling immediate exhaustion. The most recent candle (19:00 UTC) shows a high of $1.237 with a close of $0.872, forming a significant upper wick — a classic bearish rejection pattern. Short-term retracement toward the $0.50–$0.57 range is likely as momentum fades and early buyers take profits.

Target low

$0.42

Target high

$1.24

Support

$0.515 (prior candle close, 17:00 UTC), $0.416 (16:00 UTC open/low), $0.300 (pre-pump consolidation zone)

Resistance

$0.872 (current price / recent close), $1.237 (19:00 UTC intraday high), $1.00 (psychological round number)

Medium term · 7–30 days

neutral

Medium-term outlook is highly uncertain. The token spent most of the past 30 days in a slow holder decline from 652 to 587, with price consolidating in the $0.24–$0.33 range before today's spike. Sustained upside requires new catalysts such as product launches, exchange listings, or broader AI narrative momentum. Without these, reversion toward pre-pump levels is plausible.

Catalysts

  • AI workspace product adoption or partnership announcements
  • Broader Solana ecosystem rally
  • New exchange or DEX listings increasing liquidity
  • Community growth reversing the 30-day holder decline trend

Bullish factors

  • Strong 24h momentum (+232%) with volume confirmation ($63K combined)
  • AI narrative alignment with current market themes
  • Verified contract and non-spam classification
  • Small supply (~474,985 tokens) amplifies price moves on buy pressure
  • Holder count jumped +67 (10%) in 24 hours, showing new interest

Bearish factors

  • Immediate -17.4% drop in last 5 minutes signals exhaustion
  • Long upper wick on latest candle ($1.237 high vs $0.872 close) is bearish rejection
  • Sell pressure slightly dominates at 52.2% of 24h volume
  • Only $88.44K total liquidity — very shallow, high slippage risk
  • 30-day holder trend was declining before today's spike (652→587)
  • Micro-cap FDV (~$414K) with speculative utility narrative

Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to the extreme 232% single-day move, very thin liquidity ($88.44K), micro-cap status, no sniper data available, and a 30-day holder decline trend that only reversed sharply in the last 24 hours. Price action is highly susceptible to manipulation and rapid reversals in this liquidity environment.

Token Info

Chain
Solana
Contract
aqQRs3...bory
Total Supply
474,985.024954 PIE

Key Risks

  • Extreme price volatility — 5x intraday range with immediate post-spike reversal
  • Critically shallow liquidity ($88.44K) making large exits nearly impossible without major slippage
  • Top 100 wallets hold 93.61% of supply — extreme concentration risk
  • Non-renounced update authority with unknown mint/freeze authority status

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

The 14-candle hourly series reveals a clear pump pattern. Candles 14–8 (May 19 22:00 to May 20 09:00) show tight consolidation in the $0.235–$0.263 range with minimal volume (0.17–490 units). Candle 9 (06:00 UTC) marks the breakout attempt to $0.303. Candles 4–3 (16:00–17:00 UTC) show accelerating momentum from $0.416 to $0.515 on rising volume. Candle 2 (18:00 UTC) is a high-volume bearish candle (42,020 volume) opening at $0.565 and closing lower at $0.501 — a red candle suggesting distribution. Candle 1 (19:00 UTC) is the most recent: opens $0.501, spikes to $1.237 (the all-time high in this dataset), but closes at $0.872 — forming a large upper wick (shooting star / bearish rejection). This is a classic pump-and-partial-dump pattern.

Trend

Short-term

Uptrend

Medium-term

Sideways

Short-term trend is technically upward given the 24h price action, but the shooting star candle at the top and -17.4% 5-minute drop suggest the uptrend is stalling. Medium-term (30-day) trend was sideways-to-declining in the $0.24–$0.33 range before today's spike.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Overbought

Volume trend

Increasing

Buy

48%

Sell

52%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.515 (17:00 UTC close / 16:00 UTC high)

Major support

$0.296–$0.303 (pre-pump consolidation zone, candles 7–9)

Immediate resistance

$0.872 (current price, recent close)

Major resistance

$1.237 (19:00 UTC intraday high — all-time high in dataset)

The $0.50–$0.52 zone is the first meaningful support, representing the breakout level from the afternoon pump. Below that, the $0.296–$0.330 zone served as multi-hour consolidation and would be the major support on a full retracement. Resistance is the current price ($0.872) and the spike high at $1.237.

Notable patterns

  • Shooting star / bearish rejection candle at $1.237 high (candle 1, 19:00 UTC)
  • High-volume red candle at 18:00 UTC suggesting distribution
  • Breakout from multi-hour consolidation range ($0.235–$0.263) starting candle 9
  • Progressive higher highs and higher lows from candles 9 through 1 (short-term uptrend structure)
  • Near-zero volume consolidation in candles 10–13 indicating accumulation phase before pump

Liquidity

Liquidity

$88,436.13

Depth

Shallow

Slippage risk

High

Liquidity is critically shallow at $88.44K on a single Meteora Dynamic AMM v2 pool (H1HkFYy8ga3oYBkxK4hTieZFPBSdh8ot5BsbRjJqj79V). With an FDV of ~$414K–$565K and only $88.44K in liquidity, the liquidity-to-FDV ratio is approximately 15–21%, which is low. Any significant sell order will cause substantial price impact. The 24h volume of ~$63K exceeds total liquidity, indicating high turnover relative to pool depth. Net flow is slightly negative (sell volume $32.93K > buy volume $30.11K), confirming marginal outflow pressure. The 321 buys vs 335 sells with nearly equal buyer/seller counts (134 vs 135) suggests a contested market with no clear directional dominance. High slippage risk is a major concern for any position size above a few hundred dollars.

Supply & authorities

Total supply

474,985.024954 PIE

FDV

$414,373.97 (metadata) / $564,680 (analytics)

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

  • Volatilityhigh

    232% 24h price surge followed by immediate -17.4% 5-minute drop. Hourly candles show price ranging from $0.235 to $1.237 within 24 hours — a 5x intraday range. Extreme volatility typical of micro-cap pump events.

  • Liquidityhigh

    Only $88.44K total liquidity in a single Meteora pool. 24h volume ($63K) nearly equals total liquidity. Any position above a few hundred dollars will experience significant slippage. Exit liquidity is severely limited.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Sniper DumpNot assessed

    Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.

  • AuthorityNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

  • Extreme price volatility — 5x intraday range with immediate post-spike reversal
  • Critically shallow liquidity ($88.44K) making large exits nearly impossible without major slippage
  • Top 100 wallets hold 93.61% of supply — extreme concentration risk
  • Non-renounced update authority with unknown mint/freeze authority status
  • 30-day holder decline trend suggests weak organic demand prior to pump
  • Single liquidity pool on Meteora — no diversified liquidity sources
  • Micro-cap FDV (~$414K) highly susceptible to manipulation

Mitigating factors

  • Verified contract and non-spam classification from Moralis
  • Metadata mutable=false prevents metadata manipulation
  • Described product utility (AI workspace) provides narrative backing
  • Social presence across telegram, twitter, website, and moralis
  • Holder count grew +67 (+10%) in 24 hours showing new interest
  • Small total supply (~474,985) limits absolute dollar exposure

Suitable for

Suitable only for high-risk-tolerant speculators with small position sizes they can afford to lose entirely. Not suitable for conservative investors, long-term holders seeking stability, or anyone unable to monitor positions in real time given the extreme volatility.

PIE is a high-risk, high-volatility micro-cap AI narrative token on Solana. The investment case rests entirely on speculative momentum and the AI workspace narrative. The token has demonstrated it can make explosive moves (+232% in 24h) but shows immediate signs of exhaustion. The fundamental case requires product adoption and community growth to sustain any valuation above pre-pump levels.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

AI narrative momentum sustains, product gains real users, liquidity deepens, and the token establishes a new price floor above $0.50 with growing holder base.

  • Successful AI workspace product launch with measurable user adoption
  • Broader AI token sector rally on Solana
  • Liquidity pool deepening through additional LP providers
  • Sustained holder growth reversing the 30-day decline trend
  • Exchange listings or partnership announcements driving visibility

Base Case

Price consolidates in the $0.40–$0.65 range after the initial pump exhaustion, with moderate holder growth continuing. The token maintains its AI narrative but struggles to break above $1.00 without new catalysts.

  • Some profit-taking occurs but not a full retracement to pre-pump levels
  • Holder count stabilizes around 600–700 as new buyers offset some exits
  • Liquidity remains at current levels (~$88K) without significant additions or removals
  • No major negative events (rug, exploit, authority misuse) occur
  • AI narrative remains relevant in the broader crypto market

Bear Case

High probability

Post-pump exhaustion leads to rapid retracement toward pre-pump levels ($0.24–$0.33). Shallow liquidity accelerates the decline as early buyers exit. Holder count returns to declining trend.

  • Shooting star candle and -17.4% 5-minute drop signal immediate reversal
  • 52.2% sell pressure dominance in 24h trading
  • Only $88.44K liquidity cannot absorb significant sell pressure
  • 30-day holder decline trend was the baseline before today's spike
  • No sniper data to assess early buyer overhang risk
  • Micro-cap tokens frequently retrace 70–90% after parabolic pumps

Analysis details

Generated

May 20, 07:20 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-05-20 19:20 UTC

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

  • Moralis token metadata API
  • On-chain price feed (Meteora Dynamic AMM v2 pool)
  • OHLC hourly candle data (14 candles)
  • Trading analytics (24h volume, buyer/seller counts)
  • Holder metrics and distribution data
  • Historical holder time series (30 days daily)
  • Top 20 holder wallet data
  • Sniper analysis (no data available)

Limitations

  • No sniper/early buyer data available — smart money signals are severely limited
  • Mint and freeze authority status not explicitly provided — authority risk partially unknown
  • Only 14 hourly candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis (no moving averages, RSI, MACD calculable)
  • Top holder wallet classifications are inferred without on-chain transaction history or labeling data
  • FDV discrepancy between metadata ($414K) and analytics ($565K) suggests price feed differences
  • 30-day holder history ends May 19 — the dramatic 24h change is not reflected in daily series
  • Single liquidity pool data only — no cross-DEX liquidity aggregation
  • No order book data available for depth analysis

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially micro-cap tokens, carry extreme risk of total loss. Past price performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research (DYOR) before making any investment decisions.

Frequently Asked Questions

How concentrated is Alpie ownership?

Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 654 addresses (2026-05-20 19:20 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.

Are large holders selling Alpie?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is Alpie liquidity falling?

As of 2026-05-20 19:20 UTC, reported liquidity was $88,436.13. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.

What is the short-term price outlook for Alpie (PIE)?

After a parabolic 232% surge, the 5-minute price change is already -17.4%, signaling immediate exhaustion. The most recent candle (19:00 UTC) shows a high of $1.237 with a close of $0.872, forming a significant upper wick — a classic bearish rejection pattern. Short-term retracement toward the $0.50–$0.57 range is likely as momentum fades and early buyers take profits. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.42 to $1.24.

Is PIE a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as very high with a risk score of 8.5/100. Suitable only for high-risk-tolerant speculators with small position sizes they can afford to lose entirely. Not suitable for conservative investors, long-term holders seeking stability, or anyone unable to monitor positions in real time given the extreme volatility.

What are the key risks of holding PIE?

Extreme price volatility — 5x intraday range with immediate post-spike reversal • Critically shallow liquidity ($88.44K) making large exits nearly impossible without major slippage • Top 100 wallets hold 93.61% of supply — extreme concentration risk

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