tomochi

tomochi Price Prediction 2026

tomochi
Solana•
AI Analysis
Analysis as of Jul 21, 2026

6mJoQqcPEjiQ1hFya9oH6NBCQLhvS3mwVQWV9EcTHg9u

$0.000903

-7.17%

FDV $902,905

LiveContract:6mJoQqcPEjiQ1hFya9oH6NBCQLhvS3mwVQWV9EcTHg9uChain:SolanaHolders:1,515Market cap:$902,905

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Ask Unhosted AI about tomochi

What's Twitter saying?

Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweets

Whale activity

Who is accumulating or distributing

What are the risks?

Red flags, security, concentration

Should I buy?

Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

Report snapshotas of Jul 21, 06:17 PM
FDV

$490,408

Liquidity

$63,539

Holders

194

Snipers

0

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

Tomochi (TOMOCHI) is a newly viral Solana meme token on PumpSwap with a current price of ~$0.000490 and a fully diluted valuation of ~$490K. The token experienced a massive 259% 24h price surge, but this is accompanied by extremely heavy sell pressure (74.8% of 24h volume), a sharp 1h price decline of -7.7%, and a holder base that exploded from 18 to 194 in a single day — a pattern consistent with a pump-and-dump or early speculative frenzy. Top holder data is unavailable, supply concentration metrics report 0%, and no sniper data exists, all of which severely limit analytical confidence.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Bearish
Explosive 259% 24h price gain driven by a single high-volume candle (41K USD volume at 14:00 UTC)
Holder count surged from 18 to 194 in under 24 hours — entirely within the last day
Sell pressure dominates at 74.8% of 24h volume ($64.63K sells vs $21.80K buys)
Extremely thin liquidity at $63.54K total, creating high slippage risk for any meaningful position
Token was dormant for 30+ days with exactly 18 holders before today's activity

Price Prediction

bearish

Short term

bearish
1–24 hours

The token is showing clear post-pump exhaustion. The most recent candle (18:00 UTC) shows a tight range with declining volume (212 USD vs 23,215 USD in the prior hour), and the 1h price change is already -7.69%. With 74.8% sell pressure and 416 sellers vs 156 buyers in the last 24h, further downside is the most likely near-term outcome. The price spike from $0.000135 to $0.000737 (candle 5 and 2) appears to be the peak.

Target low$0.000300
Target high$0.000520
Support: $0.000329 (candle 2 open / candle 3 high zone), $0.000309 (candle 4 open), $0.000197 (candle 5 open)
Resistance: $0.000500 (candle 1 high / psychological level), $0.000737 (candle 2 all-time high in this series)

Medium term

bearish
1–7 days

Given the token was dormant for 30+ days at 18 holders, the current spike is almost certainly speculative. Without sustained buying interest, new utility, or community growth beyond the initial pump, the price is likely to retrace significantly toward pre-pump levels (~$0.000135–$0.000200). Holder count growth will be the key metric to watch.

Catalysts
  • Sustained new buyer inflow and holder count growth above 300+
  • Reduction in sell pressure ratio below 50%
  • Liquidity deepening above $200K
  • Any verifiable project development or community milestone

Bullish factors

  • 259% 24h price gain demonstrates strong initial demand
  • Holder count grew 91% in 24h (18 → 194), showing new interest
  • Price has held above the candle 4 open ($0.000309) in recent hours
  • Token is listed on PumpSwap with active trading pairs

Bearish factors

  • 74.8% sell pressure ($64.63K sells vs $21.80K buys) in 24h
  • 1h price already down -7.69% from recent peak
  • Volume collapsed from $41K (14:00) to $212 (18:00) — 99.5% volume drop in 4 hours
  • Token was completely dormant for 30+ days with only 18 holders
  • Total liquidity is only $63.54K — extremely shallow
  • No top holder data available, making whale risk unquantifiable
  • Holder count dropped 13 in the last hour (-6.7%)
Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to: (1) no top holder data available, (2) supply concentration metrics reporting 0% which is likely a data gap, (3) no sniper data, (4) the token is only hours into its first significant trading activity after 30+ days of dormancy. The data is insufficient to make high-confidence price predictions.

tomochi call history

Full track record →
Jul 21bearish
24h-36.9%
7d-44.5%
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Deep Analysis

5 hourly candles analyzed (14:00–18:00 UTC, July 21 2026). Candle 5 (14:00): massive range candle, O:$0.000198 H:$0.000480 L:$0.000135 C:$0.000313, volume $41,380 — this is the launch/pump candle with a long lower wick suggesting initial volatility. Candle 4 (15:00): O:$0.000310 H:$0.000323 L:$0.000310 C:$0.000323, volume $11,624 — small bullish candle, continuation. Candle 3 (16:00): O:$0.000317 H:$0.000331 L:$0.000317 C:$0.000331, volume $3,153 — another small bullish candle, declining volume. Candle 2 (17:00): O:$0.000330 H:$0.000737 L:$0.000330 C:$0.000497, volume $23,216 — spike candle with a very long upper wick (high of $0.000737 vs close of $0.000497), classic shooting star / bearish reversal signal. Candle 1 (18:00): O:$0.000494 H:$0.000501 L:$0.000488 C:$0.000490, volume $212 — tiny doji/inside bar with near-zero volume, indecision after the spike.

Trend

Short-term
downtrend
Medium-term
uptrend

Momentum

Status
overbought

Volume

Trenddecreasing
Buy 25%Sell 75%

Short-term trend has turned bearish following the shooting star candle at 17:00 UTC and the subsequent volume collapse. The medium-term trend from the 30-day dormancy baseline is technically an uptrend given the price has risen dramatically, but this is driven by a single speculative event rather than organic accumulation.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.000488 (candle 1 low)
Major$0.000135 (candle 5 absolute low — pre-pump level)
Resistance
Immediate$0.000501 (candle 1 high)
Major$0.000737 (candle 2 spike high)

Immediate support is the candle 1 low at $0.000488. A break below this opens the door to the $0.000329–$0.000310 zone (candles 2–4 open levels). Major support is the pre-pump low of $0.000135. Immediate resistance is $0.000501 (candle 1 high). The major resistance is the spike high of $0.000737, which is unlikely to be retested without significant new volume.

Notable patterns

  • Shooting star / bearish reversal candle at 17:00 UTC (long upper wick, close near open, high volume)
  • Volume exhaustion: 99.5% volume collapse from peak candle to most recent candle
  • Inside bar / doji at 18:00 UTC — indecision after the spike
  • Classic pump-and-dump candle structure: explosive launch candle → continuation → spike with wick → volume collapse
  • Higher highs from candles 5→4→3→2 but close-to-close momentum stalling

Total holders194
24h Δ+176
7d Δ+176
30d Δ+176
Accelerating Growth
Yes

Correlation with price

The holder count explosion from 18 to 194 (+176, +91%) occurred simultaneously with the 259% price surge on July 21, 2026. Prior to this, the token had exactly 18 holders for 30+ consecutive days with zero net change. The correlation is direct: the price pump attracted new buyers, inflating the holder count. However, the 1h holder count already dropped by 13 (-6.7%), suggesting early entrants are already exiting as price pulls back.

The historical holder data reveals a deeply concerning pattern: the token sat completely dormant with exactly 18 holders from at least June 21 through July 20, 2026 — a full 30 days of zero holder growth. All 176 new holders arrived within the last 24 hours, entirely driven by today's speculative pump. This is not organic community growth; it is a sudden influx of speculative traders. The immediate 1h holder decline of 13 suggests the holder base is already beginning to contract as the pump fades. Sustained holder growth above 200+ will be critical to watch.

Top 10 hold0.00%
Top 100 hold0.00%
Sentiment
Mixed

Notable holders

N/A

No top holder data available

0.00%

Top holder data is entirely unavailable for this token — the API returned no top holders list. The supply concentration metrics report 0% for both top 10 and top 100, which is almost certainly a data gap rather than a genuine reflection of distribution. Given the token has only 194 holders and was dormant with 18 holders for 30+ days, it is highly probable that the original 18 holders hold a very significant portion of supply. The absence of this data is itself a risk signal — investors cannot assess whale concentration or dump risk. Distribution is classified as very_concentrated by inference from the holder history, not from confirmed data.

Liquidity$63,540
Depth
Shallow
Slippage risk
high

Volume (24h)

Buy$21,800
Sell$64,630
Net flow
outflow

Traders (24h)

Unique buyers156
Unique sellers416

Liquidity is extremely shallow at $63.54K total on a single PumpSwap pair (6GX7k4wGCiyGFLtjJTZaVv4St3zT5ZwM1VE1dQoEqheT). With a fully diluted valuation of $490K, the liquidity-to-FDV ratio is approximately 13%, which is very low and means even modest sell orders will cause significant price impact. The 24h net flow is strongly negative: $64.63K in sell volume vs $21.80K in buy volume, a 3:1 sell-to-buy ratio. There are 416 unique sellers vs 156 unique buyers — sellers outnumber buyers 2.67:1. This is a clear outflow market. Any large holder attempting to exit will face severe slippage and will likely crash the price further.

Supply & Valuation

Total supply999,999,999.999999
FDV$490,408

Authorities

Mint authority
Active
Freeze authority
Active

Total supply is ~1 billion tokens (999,999,999.999999). The update authority is TSLvdd1pWpHVjahSpsvCXUbgwsL3JAcvokwaKt1eokM — this is NOT the burn address (11111...) and is NOT explicitly renounced, meaning the token metadata could potentially be modified. However, the token is marked as 'Mutable: false', which reduces metadata manipulation risk. Mint and freeze authority status cannot be confirmed from the provided data — these are marked as unknown. The contract is unverified. The combination of an unrenounced update authority (though mutable=false), unverified contract, and unknown mint/freeze authority status warrants a medium rug risk rating from authorities alone. The FDV of $490K is modest, limiting the financial incentive for a sophisticated rug, but the shallow liquidity makes exit scams trivially easy.

Volatility
high

259% 24h price surge followed by immediate -7.69% 1h decline and 99.5% volume collapse. The token moved from $0.000135 to $0.000737 intraday — a 5.5x range. Extreme volatility is confirmed.

Liquidity
high

Total liquidity is only $63.54K on a single PumpSwap pool. The liquidity-to-FDV ratio is ~13%. Any sell order above a few hundred dollars will cause significant slippage. Exit risk for any meaningful position is very high.

Concentration
high

Top holder data is unavailable. The token had only 18 holders for 30+ days before today's pump. It is highly probable that a small number of wallets control a dominant share of supply. This data gap itself is a major risk.

SniperDump
high

No sniper data available. However, the original 18 holders who held through 30+ days of dormancy are almost certainly in significant profit following the 259% pump. The 74.8% sell pressure and 416 sellers vs 156 buyers strongly suggest active distribution by early holders.

Authority
medium

Update authority (TSLvdd1pWpHVjahSpsvCXUbgwsL3JAcvokwaKt1eokM) is not renounced and not the burn address. Token is marked mutable=false which partially mitigates this. Mint and freeze authority status is unknown. Contract is unverified.

Key risks

  • Token was dormant for 30+ days with 18 holders — sudden pump is highly suspicious
  • 74.8% sell pressure with sellers outnumbering buyers 2.67:1
  • Volume collapsed 99.5% from peak in 4 hours — pump momentum exhausted
  • No top holder data — whale concentration and dump risk cannot be assessed
  • Extremely shallow liquidity ($63.54K) — high slippage and exit risk
  • Holder count already declining (-13 in last hour)
  • Unverified contract with non-renounced update authority
  • No sniper data available — early buyer behavior unquantifiable

Mitigating factors

  • Token marked as mutable=false, reducing metadata manipulation risk
  • FDV of $490K is modest, limiting large-scale financial fraud incentive
  • 194 holders in 24h shows some genuine new interest
  • Listed on PumpSwap with an active trading pair
  • No spam flag from data provider
Suitable for: This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant traders who understand meme token dynamics and can afford to lose their entire investment. It is NOT suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep familiarity with Solana pump-and-dump patterns. Position sizing should be minimal (treat as lottery ticket only).

Tomochi (TOMOCHI) is a high-risk speculative meme token that experienced a sudden 259% pump after 30+ days of complete dormancy. The on-chain data paints a picture of a classic pump event: explosive price action, overwhelming sell pressure (74.8%), volume exhaustion, and a holder base that appeared overnight. Without top holder data, verified contract, or sniper analysis, the risk profile is extremely high. The token may offer short-term trading opportunities for experienced traders but carries substantial risk of rapid price collapse.

Bull case (low)

Community momentum sustains: new holders continue accumulating, sell pressure normalizes below 50%, and the token develops genuine social media traction. Price consolidates above $0.000400 and builds toward a retest of the $0.000737 spike high.

  • Sustained social media virality (Telegram/Twitter community growth)
  • New buyer inflow exceeding seller outflow
  • Liquidity deepening above $200K
  • Holder count growing past 500+ organically
  • Broader Solana meme season tailwinds

Base case

Price stabilizes in the $0.000280–$0.000400 range as initial sell pressure exhausts, with moderate holder count around 150–200. Token trades with low volume and high volatility for days before either fading to near-zero or experiencing another speculative spike.

  • Sell pressure gradually normalizes as early sellers exit
  • A small core community of 100–200 holders remains
  • No major new catalysts emerge in the near term
  • Liquidity remains thin but stable around $40–80K

Bear case (high)

The pump fully reverses: early holders (original 18) continue distributing into any remaining buy pressure, liquidity drains, and the price retraces to pre-pump levels near $0.000135–$0.000200. Holder count collapses back toward 20–50.

  • Continued 74.8%+ sell pressure from early holders
  • Volume exhaustion (already at $212 in last hour vs $41K peak)
  • Holder count already declining (-13 in 1h)
  • No verifiable utility or development activity
  • Shallow liquidity amplifying downside moves

GeneratedJul 21, 06:17 PM
Data freshnessPrice and trading data current as of ~18:00 UTC July 21 2026. Holder historical data covers June 21 – July 20 2026 (daily). Most recent candle closes at 18:00 UTC.
Model confidence
low

Data sources

  • On-chain metadata (Mint: 6mJoQqcPEjiQ1hFya9oH6NBCQLhvS3mwVQWV9EcTHg9u)
  • PumpSwap pair data (6GX7k4wGCiyGFLtjJTZaVv4St3zT5ZwM1VE1dQoEqheT)
  • Hourly OHLC candles (5 candles, 14:00–18:00 UTC July 21 2026)
  • 24h trading analytics (volume, buyer/seller counts)
  • Historical holder metrics (30-day daily series)
  • Holder distribution metrics
  • Sniper analysis endpoint (returned no data)

Limitations

  • Top 20 holder data is entirely unavailable — whale concentration cannot be assessed
  • Supply concentration metrics report 0% for top 10 and top 100, likely a data gap
  • No sniper data available — early buyer PnL and concentration unknown
  • Mint and freeze authority status not confirmed in provided data
  • Only 5 hourly candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis
  • Token has only ~4 hours of meaningful trading history
  • Update authority is not the burn address and renouncement status is unconfirmed
  • 6h and 24h price change both report 0% in analytics despite clear price movement — possible data inconsistency

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does NOT constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially newly launched meme tokens, carry extreme risk of total loss. The data analyzed is from a single point in time and market conditions can change rapidly. Never invest more than you can afford to lose. This analysis is based entirely on on-chain and market data provided — no independent verification of project claims has been performed.

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply999,999,999.999999

Key Risks

•Token was dormant for 30+ days with 18 holders — sudden pump is highly suspicious
•74.8% sell pressure with sellers outnumbering buyers 2.67:1
•Volume collapsed 99.5% from peak in 4 hours — pump momentum exhausted
•No top holder data — whale concentration and dump risk cannot be assessed

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

low confidence
High risk

No sniper data is available for this token. Smart money signals cannot be derived from sniper analysis. What can be inferred from trading analytics: 416 sellers vs 156 buyers in 24h, with sell volume ($64.63K) nearly 3x buy volume ($21.80K), suggests early participants are actively distributing. The holder count dropped 13 in the last hour, consistent with profit-taking or loss-cutting by early entrants. The token's 30-day dormancy followed by a sudden pump is a pattern often associated with coordinated pump activity.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration0.00%
PnL stateUnknown
Sell-through rateUnknown
Profit-taking risk
high

No sniper data available — endpoint returned no results.

Cannot be determined from sniper data (unavailable). However, the 259% price surge from dormancy suggests early holders (the original 18) are likely in significant profit and the sell pressure data implies active distribution.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the price prediction for tomochi (tomochi)?

The token is showing clear post-pump exhaustion. The most recent candle (18:00 UTC) shows a tight range with declining volume (212 USD vs 23,215 USD in the prior hour), and the 1h price change is already -7.69%. With 74.8% sell pressure and 416 sellers vs 156 buyers in the last 24h, further downside is the most likely near-term outcome. The price spike from $0.000135 to $0.000737 (candle 5 and 2) appears to be the peak. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.000300 to $0.000520.

Is tomochi a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 9.1/100. This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant traders who understand meme token dynamics and can afford to lose their entire investment. It is NOT suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep familiarity with Solana pump-and-dump patterns. Position sizing should be minimal (treat as lottery ticket only).

How are tomochi holders trending?

tomochi currently has 194 holders and is growing (24h: 176, 7d: 176, 30d: 176). The historical holder data reveals a deeply concerning pattern: the token sat completely dormant with exactly 18 holders from at least June 21 through July 20, 2026 — a full 30 days of zero holder growth. All 176 new holders arrived within the last 24 hours, entirely driven by today's speculative pump. This is not organic community growth; it is a sudden influx of speculative traders. The immediate 1h holder decline of 13 suggests the holder base is already beginning to contract as the pump fades. Sustained holder growth above 200+ will be critical to watch.

What does sniper activity look like for tomochi?

Snipers hold roughly 0.00% of supply with PnL state "unknown" and sell-through rate "unknown". Profit-taking risk: high.

What are the key risks of holding tomochi?

Token was dormant for 30+ days with 18 holders — sudden pump is highly suspicious • 74.8% sell pressure with sellers outnumbering buyers 2.67:1 • Volume collapsed 99.5% from peak in 4 hours — pump momentum exhausted

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