MemeSeason

Meme Season Price Prediction 2026

MemeSeason
Solana
AI Analysis
Analysis as of Aug 16, 2026

aUWH9iX3BKKeMHP6aoAf2r2KPjLq8h9Kim2YC48pump

$0.000274

+204.06%

FDV $256,228

LiveContract:aUWH9iX3BKKeMHP6aoAf2r2KPjLq8h9Kim2YC48pumpChain:SolanaHolders:1,387Market cap:$256,228

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Report snapshotas of Aug 16, 08:17 AM
FDV

$256,228

Liquidity

$54,802

Holders

0

Snipers

0

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

Meme Season (MemeSeason) is an unverified Solana meme token launched on PumpSwap with a total supply of ~933.5M tokens and a fully diluted valuation of ~$259K. The token has experienced an explosive 204% price surge in the past 24 hours, rising from ~$0.000090 to ~$0.000274. Despite the dramatic price appreciation, sell pressure dominates at 65.7% of 24h volume, and the number of unique sellers (633) vastly outnumbers unique buyers (184), raising significant distribution concerns. Liquidity is shallow at $54.8K, and no contract verification, social links, or description are present — hallmarks of a high-risk speculative meme token.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Bearish
204% 24h price surge driven by a clear momentum wave across hourly candles
Sell pressure dominates at 65.7% of 24h volume despite price appreciation
Unique sellers (633) outnumber unique buyers (184) by 3.4x — distribution signal
Shallow liquidity of $54.8K creates high slippage risk for larger exits
No contract verification, no social links, no description — minimal transparency
No sniper data available; smart money signals are limited

Price Prediction

bearish

Short term

bearish
1–24 hours

The token surged from ~$0.000090 (candle 24) to a peak near $0.000381 (candle 2 high) before pulling back to ~$0.000274 at the time of analysis. The most recent candle (candle 1) shows a lower close ($0.000278) versus the prior candle's close ($0.000290), and volume has collapsed from $21K+ (candles 3–4) to $1.4K in the latest hour. The 1h price change is -20.5%, signaling momentum exhaustion. Short-term bias is bearish with risk of continued retracement toward the $0.000190–$0.000220 support zone.

Target low$0.000170
Target high$0.000310
Support: $0.000222 (candle 6 close), $0.000190 (candle 7 close), $0.000164 (candle 10 close)
Resistance: $0.000295 (candle 1 open), $0.000352 (candle 3 close), $0.000381 (candle 2 high — 24h peak)

Medium term

bearish
2–7 days

Without verified fundamentals, social presence, or utility, sustained price appreciation is unlikely. The dominant sell pressure (65.7%) and heavy seller-to-buyer ratio suggest distribution is underway. If liquidity remains shallow and no new catalysts emerge, the token is likely to retrace toward pre-pump levels near $0.000090–$0.000110.

Catalysts
  • Any new social media or influencer promotion could temporarily reignite buying
  • Broader Solana meme season narrative could provide tailwind
  • Failure to hold $0.000190 support would accelerate decline toward $0.000090

Bullish factors

  • Strong 24h momentum: +204% price appreciation
  • 6h price change still positive at +50.7%, indicating recent upward wave
  • 5m price change of +1.9% suggests very short-term micro-bounce
  • Total liquidity of $54.8K is non-trivial for a sub-$300K FDV token
  • 1,905 buy transactions in 24h shows active participation

Bearish factors

  • Sell pressure dominates at 65.7% of 24h volume ($100.9K sells vs $52.7K buys)
  • Unique sellers (633) outnumber unique buyers (184) by 3.4x
  • 1h price change is -20.5% — momentum is fading rapidly
  • Volume collapsed from $21K/hour at peak to $1.4K in the most recent candle
  • No contract verification, no social links, no description — high rug risk
  • Shallow liquidity ($54.8K) means large exits will cause severe slippage
  • Mutable: false but update authority unknown — authority risk unclear
Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to the highly speculative nature of the token, absence of verified contract, no social links, no sniper data, and no holder distribution data. Price action is driven purely by momentum and sentiment, which are inherently unpredictable for micro-cap meme tokens.

MemeSeason call history

Full track record →
Aug 16bearish
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Deep Analysis

The 24-hour OHLC series (candles 24→1, oldest to newest) shows a clear pump-and-dump pattern. Price bottomed near $0.000090 (candle 23–24 range) and staged a sustained rally through candles 18–4, with higher highs and higher lows across most of the sequence. The peak was reached at candle 2's high of $0.000381. However, candle 2 closed at $0.000290 — well below its high — forming a long upper wick (bearish shooting star / gravestone doji character). Candle 1 then opened at $0.000295, failed to reclaim the prior high, and closed lower at $0.000278 with sharply reduced volume ($1.4K vs $12.9K prior), confirming momentum exhaustion. The rally phase (candles 18–4) featured expanding volume and progressively higher closes, but the final two candles signal a reversal.

Trend

Short-term
downtrend
Medium-term
uptrend

Momentum

Status
overbought

Volume

Trenddecreasing
Buy 34%Sell 66%

The medium-term trend (past 24h) is technically an uptrend given the move from $0.000090 to $0.000274, but the short-term (last 2–3 hours) has turned to a downtrend as price pulls back from the $0.000381 peak with collapsing volume and a -20.5% 1h change.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.000269 (candle 1 low)
Major$0.000162 (candle 9–10 lows)
Resistance
Immediate$0.000295 (candle 1 open / recent pivot)
Major$0.000381 (candle 2 high — 24h peak)

Immediate support sits at the candle 1 low of $0.000269. A break below this opens the door to $0.000222 (candle 6 close) and then $0.000162–$0.000164 (candles 9–10 lows). On the upside, $0.000295 is the first resistance (candle 1 open), with the 24h peak of $0.000381 as major resistance. Given the sell-heavy flow and volume collapse, the path of least resistance appears downward.

Notable patterns

  • Shooting star / long upper wick on candle 2 at the 24h high — bearish reversal signal
  • Volume exhaustion: 93% volume decline from peak (candles 3–4) to most recent candle (candle 1)
  • Higher highs and higher lows across candles 23–4 (bull run phase)
  • Lower high and lower close on candle 1 vs candle 2 — early downtrend confirmation
  • Candle 7 shows a long lower wick (intrabar recovery) suggesting prior support near $0.000170
  • Candle 17 shows a wide-range bullish candle with high volume ($18.7K) — the initial breakout candle

Liquidity$54,800
Depth
Shallow
Slippage risk
high

Volume (24h)

Buy$52,660
Sell$100,920
Net flow
outflow

Traders (24h)

Unique buyers184
Unique sellers633

Liquidity is shallow at $54.8K on a single PumpSwap pool (B2cUPqoXnczG6ta3VMba992xcVXUPhzb7N2NVy1t5nU3). With an FDV of ~$259K, the liquidity-to-FDV ratio is approximately 21%, which is low and implies significant slippage for any meaningful position size. The 24h net flow is strongly negative: sell volume ($100.9K) is nearly double buy volume ($52.7K), representing a net outflow of ~$48.3K. The seller count (633) dwarfs the buyer count (184), indicating broad distribution pressure. Market health is poor — the token is experiencing a classic post-pump distribution phase with thinning liquidity and dominant sell-side activity.

Supply & Valuation

Total supply933,464,420.44
FDV$259,610

Authorities

Mint authority
Active
Freeze authority
Active

Total supply is ~933.5M tokens with an FDV of ~$259.6K at current prices. The token was launched via PumpFun (mint address ends in 'pump'), which typically auto-renounces mint and freeze authority upon bonding curve graduation. However, the update authority is listed as 'unknown' in the metadata, and the contract is unverified. The token is marked as mutable: false, which is a positive signal suggesting metadata cannot be changed. No description or social links are provided, limiting transparency. Given the PumpFun origin, mint/freeze authority renouncement is plausible but cannot be confirmed from the available data. Rug risk from authorities is rated unknown pending verification.

Volatility
high

The token has moved +204% in 24 hours and is already pulling back -20.5% in the last hour. Hourly candles show swings of 30–50%+ intrabar. Extreme volatility is inherent to micro-cap meme tokens of this profile.

Liquidity
high

Total liquidity is only $54.8K on a single PumpSwap pool. Any position above a few hundred dollars will face significant slippage. A large seller could drain the pool and crash the price rapidly.

Concentration
high

Holder distribution data is unavailable, but the token's micro-cap meme profile and PumpFun origin suggest high concentration risk. The 3.4x seller-to-buyer ratio implies a small group of early buyers is distributing to a larger pool of retail participants.

SniperDump
medium

No sniper data is available, so direct sniper dump risk cannot be quantified. However, the dominant sell pressure (65.7%) and high seller count relative to buyers are consistent with early participants exiting positions.

Authority
medium

Update authority is listed as unknown. The token is mutable: false, which reduces metadata manipulation risk. PumpFun tokens typically have renounced mint/freeze authority, but this cannot be confirmed. Contract is unverified.

Key risks

  • Extreme price volatility — 204% pump followed by rapid -20.5% 1h reversal
  • Shallow liquidity ($54.8K) creates severe slippage and exit risk
  • Dominant sell pressure: 65.7% of volume is sells, sellers outnumber buyers 3.4x
  • No contract verification, no social links, no project description
  • Update authority unknown — cannot confirm full authority renouncement
  • No holder distribution data — concentration risk cannot be assessed
  • Classic pump-and-dump price pattern with volume exhaustion at peak
  • Single liquidity pool on PumpSwap — no diversified liquidity

Mitigating factors

  • Token is marked mutable: false, reducing metadata manipulation risk
  • PumpFun origin suggests likely (though unconfirmed) mint/freeze authority renouncement
  • Liquidity of $54.8K is non-trivial relative to FDV for a micro-cap meme token
  • No spam flag from the data provider
  • Active trading with 725 unique wallets in 24h shows genuine market participation
Suitable for: This token is suitable only for highly experienced, risk-tolerant traders who fully understand the speculative nature of micro-cap meme tokens and can afford to lose their entire investment. It is NOT suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep familiarity with Solana meme token dynamics and exit strategies.

Meme Season (MemeSeason) is a high-risk, unverified micro-cap meme token on Solana that has experienced a sharp 204% pump in 24 hours. The token exhibits all the hallmarks of a speculative momentum trade: explosive price action, thin liquidity, dominant sell pressure, and no fundamental backing. The investment thesis is purely momentum-based with a very short time horizon. The risk of a rapid retracement to pre-pump levels is high and growing as volume collapses and sellers dominate.

Bull case (low)

Continued meme season narrative drives fresh retail inflows, the token gains social media traction, and the price consolidates above $0.000270 before making another leg up toward $0.000381 and beyond.

  • Broader Solana meme season narrative provides sector tailwind
  • New social media or influencer promotion attracts fresh buyers
  • Price holds above $0.000269 support and forms a base for continuation
  • Volume recovers from the current $1.4K/hour collapse

Base case

The token experiences a partial retracement to the $0.000162–$0.000190 range (prior consolidation zone from candles 7–10) over the next 24–48 hours, with intermittent bounces driven by residual momentum before stabilizing at a lower equilibrium.

  • No major new catalysts emerge to reignite buying
  • Sell pressure gradually normalizes but remains elevated
  • Liquidity holds at current levels without a catastrophic drain
  • Price finds support at the $0.000162–$0.000190 zone established during the rally phase

Bear case (high)

Sell pressure continues to dominate, liquidity is drained by large sellers, and the price retraces to pre-pump levels near $0.000090–$0.000110 within 24–72 hours.

  • Volume exhaustion: 93% decline from peak volume to current levels
  • Sellers outnumber buyers 3.4x with sell volume nearly double buy volume
  • No fundamental backing, no social presence, no verified contract
  • Shallow liquidity amplifies downside moves
  • Classic post-pump distribution pattern confirmed by candle structure

GeneratedAug 16, 08:17 AM
Data freshnessData reflects on-chain state as of approximately 2026-08-16T08:00–08:30 UTC based on the most recent OHLC candle timestamp
Model confidence
low

Data sources

  • On-chain token metadata (mint, supply, decimals, mutability)
  • USD price feed and 24h price change data
  • Hourly OHLC candle data (24 candles)
  • Trading analytics (buy/sell volume, buyer/seller counts, unique wallets)
  • PumpSwap liquidity pool data
  • Sniper analysis endpoint (returned no data)

Limitations

  • Holder distribution data is unavailable — concentration and whale analysis cannot be performed
  • Sniper data is unavailable — early buyer PnL and smart money signals cannot be quantified
  • Update authority is listed as unknown — mint/freeze authority renouncement cannot be confirmed
  • Contract is unverified — on-chain code cannot be audited
  • No social links or project description — fundamental analysis is not possible
  • Single liquidity pool data only — no cross-DEX liquidity aggregation
  • OHLC data covers only 24 hours — longer-term trend analysis is not possible
  • FDV figures show minor discrepancy between metadata ($256,227) and analytics ($259,610) due to price timing differences

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Meme tokens are extremely high-risk speculative assets. Past price performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and never invest more than you can afford to lose entirely.

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply933,464,420.44

Key Risks

Extreme price volatility — 204% pump followed by rapid -20.5% 1h reversal
Shallow liquidity ($54.8K) creates severe slippage and exit risk
Dominant sell pressure: 65.7% of volume is sells, sellers outnumber buyers 3.4x
No contract verification, no social links, no project description

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

low confidence
Low risk

No sniper data was provided for this token. Smart money signals cannot be derived from sniper activity. The only available proxy for early buyer behavior is the trading analytics: 184 unique buyers vs 633 unique sellers in 24h, with sell volume ($100.9K) nearly double buy volume ($52.7K). This ratio suggests that early participants who bought during the initial pump phase are actively distributing into the rally, though this cannot be confirmed without sniper-level data.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration0.00%
PnL stateUnknown
Sell-through rateUnknown
Profit-taking risk
low

No sniper data available

Likely distributing based on the 3.4x seller-to-buyer ratio and dominant sell volume, but unconfirmed without sniper data.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the price prediction for Meme Season (MemeSeason)?

The token surged from ~$0.000090 (candle 24) to a peak near $0.000381 (candle 2 high) before pulling back to ~$0.000274 at the time of analysis. The most recent candle (candle 1) shows a lower close ($0.000278) versus the prior candle's close ($0.000290), and volume has collapsed from $21K+ (candles 3–4) to $1.4K in the latest hour. The 1h price change is -20.5%, signaling momentum exhaustion. Short-term bias is bearish with risk of continued retracement toward the $0.000190–$0.000220 support zone. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.000170 to $0.000310.

Is MemeSeason a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 9.1/100. This token is suitable only for highly experienced, risk-tolerant traders who fully understand the speculative nature of micro-cap meme tokens and can afford to lose their entire investment. It is NOT suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep familiarity with Solana meme token dynamics and exit strategies.

What does sniper activity look like for MemeSeason?

Snipers hold roughly 0.00% of supply with PnL state "unknown" and sell-through rate "unknown". Profit-taking risk: low.

What are the key risks of holding MemeSeason?

Extreme price volatility — 204% pump followed by rapid -20.5% 1h reversal • Shallow liquidity ($54.8K) creates severe slippage and exit risk • Dominant sell pressure: 65.7% of volume is sells, sellers outnumber buyers 3.4x

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