Luigi Mangione Price Today & AI Analysis

LuigiSolanaAnalysis as of Jul 28, 2026

$0.000211

-0.91% 24h

Contract

Live

5XyKkFaJpAmsH4Tf2EFj3S61W3hC5cJhxNZQQ5h1pump

Chain

Solana

Holders

17,670

Market cap

$210,507

At a $1M market cap, $LUIGI would be $0.001000 (4.75x from today’s price)

Market cap calculator

Is Luigi a scam?

Unhosted check · Oct 25

No red flags

No scam signals in Unhosted’s checks, and nothing in the token can block or tax a sell.

Can you sell?

YesNothing in the token can block or tax a sell

Read from the token’s own on-chain settings, with Unhosted’s automated check: a warning signal, not a guarantee either way. The settings say whether the token can block or tax a sell, not whether its pool has the liquidity to sell into.

Ask Unhosted AI about Luigi

3 free answers a day

What's Twitter saying?Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweets Whale activityWho is accumulating or distributing What are the risks?Red flags, security, concentration Should I buy?Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

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Luigi Mangione: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-07-28 18:17 UTC

Holder addresses

17,504

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

$220,351.84

How concentrated is Luigi Mangione ownership?: Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 17,504 addresses (2026-07-28 18:17 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling Luigi Mangione?: This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is Luigi Mangione liquidity falling?: As of 2026-07-28 18:17 UTC, reported liquidity was $220,351.84. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.

Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-07-28 18:17 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

Report snapshot

as of Jul 28, 06:17 PM UTC

FDV

$737,230

Liquidity

$220,351.84

Holders

17,504

Snipers

Not available

Risk

Very High

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1h chart read; Support, resistance, Fibonacci and RSI divergence are drawn on the chart once it loads.

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AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Bearish

Luigi Mangione (LUIGI) is a Solana meme token on the pump.fun launchpad (mint: 5XyKkFaJpAmsH4Tf2EFj3S61W3hC5cJhxNZQQ5h1pump) trading at ~$0.000737 with a fully diluted valuation of ~$737K–$755K. The token experienced a dramatic 88% price surge in the past 24 hours, driven by a high-volume spike in candle [14] (03:00 UTC, $15,860 volume). Supply is heavily concentrated — the top 10 holders control 44.11% and the top 100 control 84.14%. The largest single holder controls 25.37% of supply. Holder count has been in a slow, steady decline over the past 30 days before a 24h uptick of +164, likely correlated with the price pump. No sniper data is available. The update authority is not a burn address, though the token is marked immutable (mutable: false). Overall risk is very high.

Key points

88% 24h price surge driven by a single high-volume candle (~$15,860 in one hour)
Top holder controls 25.37% of supply — extreme single-wallet concentration risk
Top 10 holders collectively own 44.11%; top 100 own 84.14%
Holder count was in slow decline for 30 days before a 24h pump-driven uptick
Mutable: false provides some immutability assurance, but update authority is not renounced to a burn address
Sell pressure slightly dominates: 55.4% sell vs 44.6% buy volume in 24h

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term · 1–48 hours

bearish

After an 88% pump driven by a single high-volume candle at 03:00 UTC, the price has already begun retracing. The most recent candle [1] shows a close at $0.000737, down from the $0.000806 open, and the 1h change is -11.2%. Sell pressure (55.4%) exceeds buy pressure (44.6%). A continued pullback toward the $0.000632–$0.000675 support zone is likely in the near term.

Target low

$0.000632

Target high

$0.000870

Support: $0.000675 (candle [8] low), $0.000632 (candle [11] low), $0.000388 (pre-pump baseline)
Resistance: $0.000870 (candle [15] high), $0.000951 (candle [14] all-time high in dataset)

Medium term · 1–4 weeks

neutral

The 30-day holder trend was declining before the pump event. Without sustained buying interest or a new narrative catalyst, the token is likely to consolidate or drift lower. The FDV of ~$737K–$755K is modest, limiting upside unless broader meme-coin sentiment improves.

Catalysts

Renewed social media attention or news cycle around the token's namesake
Broader Solana meme-coin market rally
Whale accumulation by top holders
New exchange listings or integrations

Bullish factors

88% 24h price surge demonstrates strong short-term momentum
24h buyer count (146) slightly exceeds seller count (140) by wallet
Holder count increased +164 in 24h, suggesting new interest
$220K liquidity provides moderate depth for the FDV size
Token is immutable (mutable: false), reducing rug-pull vector

Bearish factors

Sell volume (55.4%) exceeds buy volume (44.6%) in 24h
Top holder controls 25.37% — single-wallet dump risk is extreme
30-day holder trend was declining before the pump
Price already retracing: -11.2% in the last 1 hour
No verified contract, no description, pump.fun origin — speculative meme token
Update authority not renounced to burn address

Confidence: low. Price action is driven by meme sentiment and single large-volume events rather than fundamentals. The 88% pump in one candle makes directional prediction highly uncertain. Sniper data is unavailable, limiting smart-money analysis. Low confidence is warranted.

Luigi call history

Full track record →

Jul 28bearish@ $0.000737

24h+6.5%

7d+190.6%

30d—

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain: Solana
Contract: 5XyKkF...pump
Total Supply: 999,828,944.74

Key Risks

Single wallet (5Q544...) controls 25.37% of supply — catastrophic dump risk
30-day holder trend was declining before the pump; new holders may be FOMO buyers who sell on retrace
Sell volume (55.4%) exceeds buy volume (44.6%) in 24h — net outflow
Price already retracing -11.2% in 1h after the pump peak

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

The 18-candle hourly dataset reveals a dramatic pump-and-partial-retrace structure. Candles [17]–[16] (Jul 27 22:00–00:00 UTC) show flat, near-zero-volume price action around $0.000378–$0.000389, establishing the pre-pump baseline. Candle [15] (02:00 UTC) is a massive bull engulfing candle: open $0.000409, high $0.000870, close $0.000798 on $2,966 volume — a 113% intrabar range. Candle [14] (03:00 UTC) is the peak-volume candle ($15,861), with a high of $0.000951 and a close of $0.000725, forming a large upper wick (bearish shooting star / gravestone doji character), signaling distribution at the top. Candles [13]–[8] show a gradual recovery from $0.000720 back toward $0.000808, with low volume. Candle [6] (12:00 UTC) shows a bearish drop to a low of $0.000657. Candle [5] (13:00 UTC) recovers to close $0.000812 on $434 volume. Candle [1] (17:00 UTC, most recent) closes at $0.000737, down from $0.000806 open — a bearish close suggesting renewed selling pressure.

Trend

Short-term

Downtrend

Medium-term

Uptrend

Medium-term trend is up from the pre-pump baseline (~$0.000379) to current ~$0.000737, representing ~95% gain. Short-term (last 2–3 candles) trend is down, with the price failing to hold above $0.000806 and the 1h change at -11.2%. The dominant pattern is a pump-and-retrace.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Overbought

Volume trend

Decreasing

Buy

45%

Sell

55%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.000675 (candle [8] low / candle [7] low zone)

Major support

$0.000389 (pre-pump baseline, candles [16]–[17])

Immediate resistance

$0.000830 (candle [2] open/close)

Major resistance

$0.000951 (candle [14] high — dataset all-time high)

The $0.000675–$0.000693 zone has acted as support multiple times (candles [7], [8], [10], [12]). A break below $0.000632 (candle [11] low) would open a path toward the pre-pump baseline near $0.000389. On the upside, $0.000870 (candle [15] high) and $0.000951 (candle [14] high) are key resistance levels that have not been retested.

Notable patterns

Bull engulfing / explosive breakout candle [15]: open $0.000409, close $0.000798, 113% intrabar range
Shooting star / gravestone doji at candle [14]: high $0.000951, close $0.000725 — bearish reversal signal at peak volume
Volume climax at candle [14] ($15,861) followed by volume collapse — classic pump exhaustion
Multiple doji-like candles [16], [17], [18] at pre-pump baseline indicating accumulation/consolidation before breakout
Lower highs forming after the peak: candle [14] high $0.000951 → candle [5] high $0.000821 → candle [1] high $0.000806 — descending resistance

Liquidity

$220,351.84

Depth

Moderate

Slippage risk

Medium

Total liquidity of $220.35K on Raydium (pair AWcXGpmBGvhyZgWE4rEfSTFoDgHHrHa12fhyjqBvqeUL) is moderate relative to the FDV of ~$737K–$755K, representing a liquidity-to-FDV ratio of roughly 29%. This is acceptable for a micro-cap meme token but means large trades will incur meaningful slippage. The 24h net flow is negative: $14.24K sell volume vs $11.47K buy volume, a net outflow of ~$2.77K. Despite more buy transactions (1,620 buys vs 1,411 sells), sell volume dominates in USD terms, suggesting larger average sell sizes. The 173 unique wallets trading in 24h is modest, indicating thin participation outside the pump event. Slippage risk is medium — a whale exiting even 1% of supply (~$7,370 at current prices) could move the price significantly given the liquidity depth.

Supply & authorities

Total supply

999,828,944.74

FDV

$737,230

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

Volatilityhigh
88% price surge in 24 hours followed by immediate -11.2% retrace in 1 hour. Candle [14] shows a 35% intrabar range ($0.000703–$0.000951). Extreme volatility is inherent to pump.fun meme tokens.
Liquiditymedium
$220.35K total liquidity on a single Raydium pool. Liquidity-to-FDV ratio ~29% is moderate. Large whale exits could cause significant slippage and price impact.
ConcentrationNot assessed
Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.
Sniper DumpNot assessed
Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.
AuthorityNot assessed
Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

Single wallet (5Q544...) controls 25.37% of supply — catastrophic dump risk
30-day holder trend was declining before the pump; new holders may be FOMO buyers who sell on retrace
Sell volume (55.4%) exceeds buy volume (44.6%) in 24h — net outflow
Price already retracing -11.2% in 1h after the pump peak
Unverified contract with no description — minimal transparency
Update authority not renounced; token creator retains some control
Thin 24h trading participation (173 unique wallets) outside the pump event
Meme token with no stated utility — value entirely sentiment-driven

Mitigating factors

Token marked mutable: false — metadata cannot be altered
Pump.fun origin typically means mint authority is burned at launch
$220.35K liquidity provides moderate buffer against small trades
17,504 total holders provides a broad base
Social links present (discord, telegram, twitter, website, github, email) — some community infrastructure
24h buyer count (146) slightly exceeds seller count (140) by wallet

Suitable for

Suitable only for highly risk-tolerant, experienced crypto traders who understand meme token dynamics and can afford to lose their entire investment. Not suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without active position monitoring. Position sizing should be minimal relative to portfolio.

Luigi Mangione (LUIGI) is a high-risk, sentiment-driven meme token that experienced an 88% pump in 24 hours. The investment case is purely speculative — there is no utility, no verified contract, and no description. The token's fate depends entirely on whether the pump narrative sustains new buyer interest or whether the dominant whale (25.37% holder) and other large holders distribute into the rally.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

Sustained meme momentum drives continued buying, the top holder does not dump, and the token reaches or exceeds the $0.000951 all-time high in the dataset, potentially targeting $0.0015–$0.002 if broader Solana meme-coin sentiment is favorable.

Renewed viral social media attention around the token's namesake
Top whale (25.37%) holds or accumulates rather than distributing
Broader Solana meme-coin market rally lifts all boats
New CEX listing or influencer promotion drives FOMO buying

Base Case

Price consolidates in the $0.000600–$0.000800 range over the next 1–2 weeks as the pump fades. Holder count stabilizes or slowly declines. The token remains a micro-cap meme with FDV under $1M, trading on thin volume with occasional volatility spikes.

Top whale does not immediately dump entire position
Liquidity remains at current levels on Raydium
No major new catalyst (positive or negative) emerges
Broader Solana market remains range-bound

Bear Case

High probability

The 88% pump was a one-time event. The top holder begins distributing, sell pressure continues to dominate, and the price retraces toward the pre-pump baseline of ~$0.000389, representing a ~47% decline from current levels.

Top holder (25.37%) exits position into pump-driven liquidity
30-day declining holder trend resumes as FOMO buyers sell
Sell volume dominance (55.4%) continues and accelerates
No new catalyst to sustain narrative momentum
Thin liquidity amplifies downside moves

Analysis details

Generated

Jul 28, 06:17 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-07-28 18:17 UTC

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

On-chain token metadata (mint, decimals, supply, authority fields)
Raydium DEX price and liquidity data (pair AWcXGpmBGvhyZgWE4rEfSTFoDgHHrHa12fhyjqBvqeUL)
Hourly OHLCV candle data (18 candles, Jul 27–28 2026)
24h trading analytics (volume, buys/sells, unique wallets)
Holder metrics and distribution data
Top 20 holder wallet balances
30-day daily historical holder count series
Sniper analysis endpoint (returned no data)

Limitations

No sniper data available — smart money / early buyer analysis is incomplete
Mint authority and freeze authority status not explicitly confirmed in metadata
Top holder wallet classification is inferred, not verified on-chain
Only 18 hourly candles available — limited technical analysis window
No order book depth data — slippage estimates are approximate
Token has no description or verified contract — fundamental analysis is not possible
Meme token valuation is entirely sentiment-driven and unpredictable

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does NOT constitute financial advice. Meme tokens carry extreme risk of total loss. Past price performance, including the 88% 24h surge, is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analyst has no position in this token.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Luigi Mangione (Luigi) a scam?

No scam signals in Unhosted’s checks, and nothing in the token can block or tax a sell. Checked Oct 25, 2026. This is Unhosted’s automated risk check, a warning signal rather than a guarantee either way.

Can I sell Luigi Mangione (Luigi)?

Yes. Nothing in the token’s on-chain settings can block or tax a sell: no freeze authority, no transfer fee and no transfer hook. Checked Oct 25, 2026. This reads the token’s own settings; whether its pool has enough liquidity to sell into is a separate question.

How concentrated is Luigi Mangione ownership?

Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 17,504 addresses (2026-07-28 18:17 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.

Are large holders selling Luigi Mangione?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is Luigi Mangione liquidity falling?

As of 2026-07-28 18:17 UTC, reported liquidity was $220,351.84. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.

What is the short-term price outlook for Luigi Mangione (Luigi)?

Is Luigi a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as very high with a risk score of 8.5/100. Suitable only for highly risk-tolerant, experienced crypto traders who understand meme token dynamics and can afford to lose their entire investment. Not suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without active position monitoring. Position sizing should be minimal relative to portfolio.

What are the key risks of holding Luigi?

Single wallet (5Q544...) controls 25.37% of supply — catastrophic dump risk • 30-day holder trend was declining before the pump; new holders may be FOMO buyers who sell on retrace • Sell volume (55.4%) exceeds buy volume (44.6%) in 24h — net outflow