Luigi

Luigi Mangione Prediction

Luigi
Solana
AI Analysis
Analysis as of Jul 28, 2026

5XyKkFaJpAmsH4Tf2EFj3S61W3hC5cJhxNZQQ5h1pump

$0.000737

+88.05%

FDV $737,230

LiveContract:5XyKkFaJpAmsH4Tf2EFj3S61W3hC5cJhxNZQQ5h1pumpChain:SolanaHolders:17,504Market cap:$737,230

More tokens on Solana

Continue in chat

Ask Unhosted AI about Luigi

Report snapshotas of Jul 28, 06:17 PM
FDV

$737,230

Liquidity

$220,352

Holders

17,504

Snipers

0

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

Luigi Mangione (LUIGI) is a Solana meme token on the pump.fun launchpad (mint: 5XyKkFaJpAmsH4Tf2EFj3S61W3hC5cJhxNZQQ5h1pump) trading at ~$0.000737 with a fully diluted valuation of ~$737K–$755K. The token experienced a dramatic 88% price surge in the past 24 hours, driven by a high-volume spike in candle [14] (03:00 UTC, $15,860 volume). Supply is heavily concentrated — the top 10 holders control 44.11% and the top 100 control 84.14%. The largest single holder controls 25.37% of supply. Holder count has been in a slow, steady decline over the past 30 days before a 24h uptick of +164, likely correlated with the price pump. No sniper data is available. The update authority is not a burn address, though the token is marked immutable (mutable: false). Overall risk is very high.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Bearish
88% 24h price surge driven by a single high-volume candle (~$15,860 in one hour)
Top holder controls 25.37% of supply — extreme single-wallet concentration risk
Top 10 holders collectively own 44.11%; top 100 own 84.14%
Holder count was in slow decline for 30 days before a 24h pump-driven uptick
Mutable: false provides some immutability assurance, but update authority is not renounced to a burn address
Sell pressure slightly dominates: 55.4% sell vs 44.6% buy volume in 24h

Price Prediction

bearish

Short term

bearish
1–48 hours

After an 88% pump driven by a single high-volume candle at 03:00 UTC, the price has already begun retracing. The most recent candle [1] shows a close at $0.000737, down from the $0.000806 open, and the 1h change is -11.2%. Sell pressure (55.4%) exceeds buy pressure (44.6%). A continued pullback toward the $0.000632–$0.000675 support zone is likely in the near term.

Target low$0.000632
Target high$0.000870
Support: $0.000675 (candle [8] low), $0.000632 (candle [11] low), $0.000388 (pre-pump baseline)
Resistance: $0.000870 (candle [15] high), $0.000951 (candle [14] all-time high in dataset)

Medium term

neutral
1–4 weeks

The 30-day holder trend was declining before the pump event. Without sustained buying interest or a new narrative catalyst, the token is likely to consolidate or drift lower. The FDV of ~$737K–$755K is modest, limiting upside unless broader meme-coin sentiment improves.

Catalysts
  • Renewed social media attention or news cycle around the token's namesake
  • Broader Solana meme-coin market rally
  • Whale accumulation by top holders
  • New exchange listings or integrations

Bullish factors

  • 88% 24h price surge demonstrates strong short-term momentum
  • 24h buyer count (146) slightly exceeds seller count (140) by wallet
  • Holder count increased +164 in 24h, suggesting new interest
  • $220K liquidity provides moderate depth for the FDV size
  • Token is immutable (mutable: false), reducing rug-pull vector

Bearish factors

  • Sell volume (55.4%) exceeds buy volume (44.6%) in 24h
  • Top holder controls 25.37% — single-wallet dump risk is extreme
  • 30-day holder trend was declining before the pump
  • Price already retracing: -11.2% in the last 1 hour
  • No verified contract, no description, pump.fun origin — speculative meme token
  • Update authority not renounced to burn address
Confidence: low. Price action is driven by meme sentiment and single large-volume events rather than fundamentals. The 88% pump in one candle makes directional prediction highly uncertain. Sniper data is unavailable, limiting smart-money analysis. Low confidence is warranted.

Luigi call history

Full track record →
Jul 28bearish
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Deep Analysis

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply999,828,944.74

Key Risks

Single wallet (5Q544...) controls 25.37% of supply — catastrophic dump risk
30-day holder trend was declining before the pump; new holders may be FOMO buyers who sell on retrace
Sell volume (55.4%) exceeds buy volume (44.6%) in 24h — net outflow
Price already retracing -11.2% in 1h after the pump peak

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

low confidence
High risk

No sniper data is available for this token. Smart money signals cannot be derived from sniper activity. The 88% price pump in a single hour (candle [14], $15,861 volume) is consistent with either a coordinated whale buy or an organic news-driven spike, but cannot be attributed to snipers without data. The large upper wick on candle [14] and subsequent volume collapse suggest early buyers may be distributing into retail demand.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration0.00%
PnL stateUnknown
Sell-through rateUnknown
Profit-taking risk
high

No sniper data available — the sniper analysis endpoint returned no data for this token.

Unknown — no sniper data available. However, the pre-pump baseline (~$0.000379) vs current price (~$0.000737) means any wallet that held from before the pump is sitting on ~95% unrealized gains, creating significant profit-taking incentive.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the price prediction for Luigi Mangione (Luigi)?

After an 88% pump driven by a single high-volume candle at 03:00 UTC, the price has already begun retracing. The most recent candle [1] shows a close at $0.000737, down from the $0.000806 open, and the 1h change is -11.2%. Sell pressure (55.4%) exceeds buy pressure (44.6%). A continued pullback toward the $0.000632–$0.000675 support zone is likely in the near term. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–48 hours), with a target range of $0.000632 to $0.000870.

Is Luigi a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 8.5/100. Suitable only for highly risk-tolerant, experienced crypto traders who understand meme token dynamics and can afford to lose their entire investment. Not suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without active position monitoring. Position sizing should be minimal relative to portfolio.

How are Luigi holders trending?

Luigi Mangione currently has 17,504 holders and is growing (24h: 164, 7d: 145, 30d: 75). Holder count was in a slow, steady decline for the entire 30-day observation window, losing roughly 2–10 holders per day on most days. The net 30-day change is approximately +75 (from 17,429 baseline to 17,504 current), but this masks the underlying trend: the base was declining until the pump event. The 24h surge of +164 new holders is a direct response to the price pump and may not be sustained if price retraces. Distribution breakdown shows 119 whales, 58 sharks, 426 dolphins, 861 fish, and 1,563 octopus-tier holders, indicating a broad retail base with a meaningful whale layer. Acquisition is dominated by swaps (15,884 of 17,504), confirming this is a trading-driven token.

What does sniper activity look like for Luigi?

Snipers hold roughly 0.00% of supply with PnL state "unknown" and sell-through rate "unknown". Profit-taking risk: high.

What are the key risks of holding Luigi?

Single wallet (5Q544...) controls 25.37% of supply — catastrophic dump risk • 30-day holder trend was declining before the pump; new holders may be FOMO buyers who sell on retrace • Sell volume (55.4%) exceeds buy volume (44.6%) in 24h — net outflow

Track Luigi