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United States Oil Fund, LP - Backpack Securities Price Today & AI Analysis

USOSolanaAnalysis as of Sep 18, 2026

Price

$158.17

-0.21% 24h · FDV $589,619

Contract

Live
USNv3NkKA27Dh4nsHJDPhW4VoEcTQmjoZyJt2dqdwFu

Chain

Solana

Holders

1,096

Market cap

$589,619

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Report snapshot

as of Sep 18, 02:16 PM UTC

FDV

$589,619

Liquidity

$392,167

Holders

0

Snipers

0

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Bearish

USO ('United States Oil Fund, LP - Backpack Securities') is a micro-cap Solana token trading at ~$158.17 with a tiny total supply of ~3,727.7 tokens and a fully diluted valuation of just ~$589.6K. It trades against a Raydium CLMM pool with only ~$392K total liquidity. The name/branding mimics a well-known real-world commodity ETF (USO), which is a red flag pattern often used to create false legitimacy — no verification status, social links, or description were provided to substantiate any legitimate backing. Only 2 hourly candles and no holder or sniper data were available, severely limiting the depth of this analysis.

Key points

  • Extremely low total supply (~3,727 tokens) combined with a high per-token price (~$158) is unusual and suggests either a highly engineered tokenomic structure or an attempt to mimic a high-priced real-world asset (oil fund shares)
  • Name references a real, unaffiliated financial product ('United States Oil Fund, LP'), which is a common spoofing/impersonation tactic in crypto — no verification, socials, or documentation confirm any legitimate link
  • Thin liquidity (~$392K) relative to 24h trading volume (~$2.57M combined buy+sell) implies high volatility and slippage risk
  • No holder distribution or sniper data is available at all, removing key due-diligence signals investors would normally rely on

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term · 1-24 hours

bearish

The most recent candle shows price rejected from an intraday high of $186.19 down to a close of $157.90, a pullback of roughly 15% from the high, with the second candle closing near its low ($157.53) after failing to hold gains. Sell pressure (59.6%) currently exceeds buy pressure (40.4%) in the 24h window, suggesting near-term downside or consolidation risk.

Target low

$150.00

Target high

$165.00

Support

$157.53 (candle 2 low), $150.00 (psychological/round-number support)

Resistance

$162.69 (candle 1 close), $186.19 (candle 1 high, recent spike top)

Medium term · 3-7 days

neutral

With only two hourly candles of data and no longer-term OHLC history, medium-term trend direction cannot be reliably established. The extreme intraday range (high of $186.19 vs low of $157.53 within roughly two hours) signals a highly volatile, thinly-traded market where price could swing sharply in either direction.

Catalysts

  • Any liquidity additions or removals given the shallow $392K pool
  • Whale/large holder activity, which cannot be assessed due to lack of holder data
  • Broader market sentiment toward tokens impersonating real-world financial products

Bullish factors

  • Slight positive 5m price change (+0.08%) suggests very short-term stabilization attempt
  • High absolute trading volume (~$2.57M over 24h) relative to FDV indicates active speculative interest

Bearish factors

  • 24h sell volume ($1.53M) exceeds buy volume ($1.04M), a net negative flow
  • Price fell sharply from the recent high of $186.19 to $157.90, a ~15% intracandle drawdown
  • Thin liquidity ($392K) makes the token vulnerable to sharp price swings and difficulty exiting large positions
  • No verifiable authority, contract verification, or social presence data increases uncertainty and rug/scam risk

Confidence: low. Only two hourly candles are available, there is no multi-day price history, no 6h change data, no holder data, and no sniper data. This severely limits the reliability of any technical or fundamental projection; conclusions here are directional observations only, not robust forecasts.

USO call history

Full track record →

Sep 18bearish
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Solana
Contract
USNv3N...dwFu
Total Supply
3,727.716508 USO

Key Risks

  • Impersonation-style naming referencing the real-world 'United States Oil Fund, LP' ETF without any verifiable affiliation, description, or social proof
  • Unknown mint/freeze authority status, leaving open the possibility of unrestricted minting or account freezing
  • Shallow liquidity (~$392K) relative to trading volume, creating high slippage and exit risk
  • Net sell-side volume dominance (59.6% sell vs 40.4% buy) over the last 24h

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

low confidenceLow risk

No sniper data was provided for this token, so no sniper-related conclusions can be drawn. Per methodology, all sniper metrics are set to neutral/unknown defaults rather than estimated.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration
0.00%
PnL state
Unknown
Sell-through rate
Unknown
Profit-taking risk
low

unknown - no sniper data available

Unable to assess — no early buyer or sniper wallet data was available in the provided dataset.

Deep Analysis

Only two hourly candles are available. Candle 1 (13:00 UTC) opened at $158.50, spiked to a high of $186.19, then pulled back to close at $162.69 — a long upper wick indicating a sharp rejection from highs. Candle 2 (14:00 UTC) opened at $162.69, made a marginal new high of $162.73, then sold off to a low of $157.53 before closing near the low at $157.90, indicating continued selling pressure and failure to sustain the prior spike.

Trend

Short-term

Downtrend

Medium-term

Sideways

The very limited two-candle dataset shows a clear short-term downtrend: a spike to $186.19 was fully rejected, with price now trading back near the level where the spike began ($158.50). Medium-term trend cannot be determined confidently from just two data points, so it is classified as sideways/undetermined pending more data.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Neutral

Volume trend

Increasing

Buy

40%

Sell

60%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$157.53

Major support

$150.00 (psychological, untested)

Immediate resistance

$162.69

Major resistance

$186.19

The $186.19 high from candle 1 stands as the major resistance and appears to be a spike/wick level that was immediately rejected, making it a low-probability near-term target. Immediate resistance sits at $162.69 (candle 1 close). Support currently rests at $157.53 (candle 2 low), with no tested support below that in the available data; $150 is used as a speculative round-number support level.

Notable patterns

  • Long upper-wick rejection candle (candle 1) indicating a failed breakout attempt near $186
  • Bearish follow-through candle (candle 2) closing near session lows after a lower high, suggesting momentum shifting to sellers
  • Rising volume on a declining price move (volume/price divergence), typically a bearish signal

Liquidity

Liquidity

$392,170 (392.17K)

Depth

Shallow

Slippage risk

High

Total liquidity of ~$392K is very shallow relative to the 24h combined trading volume of roughly $2.57M (a turnover ratio of over 6x liquidity), indicating that large trades could cause significant slippage and price impact. Sell volume ($1.53M) outweighs buy volume ($1.04M), producing a net outflow bias of about 19 percentage points, consistent with the bearish candle action observed. Unique sellers (3,566) are slightly fewer than unique buyers (3,822), but the sell-side volume dominance suggests larger average sell sizes or more aggressive selling. This combination of shallow liquidity and net sell pressure raises the risk of sharp downside moves and difficulty executing large orders without material price impact.

Flow (24h)

Buy volume

$1.04M (40.4% of volume)

Sell volume

$1.53M (59.6% of volume)

Net flow

Outflow

Unique buyers

3,822

Unique sellers

3,566

Supply & authorities

Total supply

3,727.716508 USO

FDV

$589,619

Mint authority

Active

Freeze authority

Active

Update authority, mint authority, and freeze authority status are all listed as 'unknown' in the provided metadata, as is verification status and mutability. The total supply is unusually small (~3,727.7 tokens), giving each token a high nominal price (~$158) despite a modest FDV of ~$589.6K. The token's name directly references 'United States Oil Fund, LP,' a real-world regulated commodity ETF, without any verified affiliation, description, or social presence to substantiate legitimacy — this naming pattern is commonly associated with impersonation or misleading-branding schemes in the token space. Because authority renouncement cannot be confirmed, rug-pull risk from mint/freeze authority cannot be ruled out and is rated as unknown, which should be treated cautiously (i.e., assume elevated risk until proven otherwise).

  • Volatilityhigh

    Observed intracandle swings of nearly 18% (from $158.50 to $186.19 and back down to $157.53 within roughly two hours) demonstrate extreme short-term volatility.

  • Liquidityhigh

    Only ~$392K in total liquidity against ~$2.57M in 24h volume creates a high risk of slippage and difficulty exiting positions, especially for larger trades.

  • Concentrationhigh

    No holder or whale distribution data is available, which itself is a red flag; concentration risk cannot be verified and should be assumed elevated absent transparency.

  • Sniper Dumpmedium

    No sniper data was available to quantify early-buyer concentration or dump risk; given the token's newness signals (tiny supply, high volatility) this risk is treated as medium by default rather than dismissed.

  • Authorityhigh

    Mint authority, freeze authority, verification status, and update authority are all unknown/unconfirmed, meaning the possibility of further minting, freezing, or supply manipulation cannot be ruled out.

Key risks

  • Impersonation-style naming referencing the real-world 'United States Oil Fund, LP' ETF without any verifiable affiliation, description, or social proof
  • Unknown mint/freeze authority status, leaving open the possibility of unrestricted minting or account freezing
  • Shallow liquidity (~$392K) relative to trading volume, creating high slippage and exit risk
  • Net sell-side volume dominance (59.6% sell vs 40.4% buy) over the last 24h
  • No holder distribution, whale concentration, or sniper data available for verification, removing key due-diligence signals
  • Extreme short-term price volatility with a rejected spike to $186.19 followed by a swift retracement below the pre-spike level

Mitigating factors

  • Active two-sided trading interest with thousands of unique buyers (3,822) and sellers (3,566) in 24h, suggesting some organic market activity rather than a completely dead market
  • Small negative 24h price change (-0.21%) suggests price has not yet collapsed outright despite the intracandle volatility

Suitable for

This token is suitable only for highly risk-tolerant, speculative traders who fully understand the risks of thinly-liquid, unverified Solana tokens with unconfirmed authority status and an impersonation-style name. It is not appropriate for risk-averse investors, those seeking exposure to the actual United States Oil Fund ETF, or anyone unable to tolerate the potential for rapid, severe losses including possible total loss of capital.

USO presents as a high-risk, low-transparency Solana token whose branding closely echoes a well-known real-world oil ETF without any verifiable connection, description, or social presence. Trading data shows elevated volatility, thin liquidity, and net sell pressure over the last 24 hours. With no holder, whale, or sniper data available, and unknown authority/verification status, this token should be treated as speculative and unproven pending further transparency.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

If the project provides credible verification of legitimacy (e.g., renounced authorities, transparent team, real utility or backing), and liquidity deepens while buy pressure returns above 50%, the token could stabilize and see renewed upside, potentially retesting the recent high near $186.19.

  • Liquidity growth reducing slippage and attracting larger buyers
  • Verification of contract, authorities, and any real-world backing claims
  • Sustained buy-volume dominance over sell-volume in coming sessions

Base Case

Absent new information, the token likely continues to trade in a volatile, range-bound manner between roughly $150 and $165 in the near term, reflecting the current tug-of-war between buyers and sellers within a shallow liquidity environment, with elevated risk of sharp moves in either direction.

  • No major liquidity or authority changes occur in the immediate term
  • Trading volume and buyer/seller counts remain at similar levels to the current 24h snapshot
  • No verified news emerges regarding the token's legitimacy or affiliation claims

Bear Case

High probability

Given unknown mint/freeze authority status, no holder transparency, and an impersonation-style name, the token could suffer a rapid loss of confidence, continued net selling, or an outright liquidity pull, driving price sharply lower from current levels.

  • Sell volume already exceeding buy volume (59.6% vs 40.4%) over 24h
  • Shallow liquidity (~$392K) vulnerable to a large sell order or liquidity removal
  • Unresolved authority/verification risk allowing potential supply manipulation
  • Rejection from the $186.19 high with no signs of renewed buying strength

Analysis details

Generated

Sep 18, 02:16 PM UTC

Data freshness

Price and candle data current as of 2026-09-18T14:00:00Z; only the two most recent hourly candles were provided, limiting historical depth.

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

  • Token metadata block
  • On-chain USD price feed
  • Raydium CLMM pair data
  • Hourly OHLC candles (2 most recent)
  • 24h trading analytics (buy/sell volume, buyer/seller counts)
  • Sniper analysis endpoint (returned no data)

Limitations

  • No holder data available — holder counts, growth trends, and distribution could not be assessed
  • No whale/top-holder concentration data available
  • No sniper wallet data available — sniper concentration and PnL state could not be computed
  • Only two hourly OHLC candles provided, preventing robust technical trend analysis beyond very short-term observations
  • Contract verification, mint authority, freeze authority, and update authority status are all unknown
  • No social links, description, or documentation provided to verify project legitimacy or any claimed affiliation with real-world entities

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. It is based solely on the limited on-chain and market data provided, which contains significant gaps (holder data, whale data, sniper data, authority status, and extended price history are all missing or unknown). The token's name references a real-world financial product without verified affiliation; treat this and all creator-supplied metadata as unverified and potentially misleading. Conduct independent research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Cryptocurrency investments, especially in low-liquidity, unverified tokens, carry a high risk of substantial or total loss.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the short-term price outlook for United States Oil Fund, LP - Backpack Securities (USO)?

The most recent candle shows price rejected from an intraday high of $186.19 down to a close of $157.90, a pullback of roughly 15% from the high, with the second candle closing near its low ($157.53) after failing to hold gains. Sell pressure (59.6%) currently exceeds buy pressure (40.4%) in the 24h window, suggesting near-term downside or consolidation risk. Short-term outlook is bearish (1-24 hours), with a target range of $150.00 to $165.00.

Is USO a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very high with a risk score of 85/100. This token is suitable only for highly risk-tolerant, speculative traders who fully understand the risks of thinly-liquid, unverified Solana tokens with unconfirmed authority status and an impersonation-style name. It is not appropriate for risk-averse investors, those seeking exposure to the actual United States Oil Fund ETF, or anyone unable to tolerate the potential for rapid, severe losses including possible total loss of capital.

What does sniper activity look like for USO?

Snipers hold roughly 0.00% of supply with PnL state "unknown" and sell-through rate "unknown". Profit-taking risk: low.

What are the key risks of holding USO?

Impersonation-style naming referencing the real-world 'United States Oil Fund, LP' ETF without any verifiable affiliation, description, or social proof • Unknown mint/freeze authority status, leaving open the possibility of unrestricted minting or account freezing • Shallow liquidity (~$392K) relative to trading volume, creating high slippage and exit risk

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