TRACE

trace Price Today & AI Analysis

TRACESolanaAnalysis as of May 3, 2026

Price

$0.055061

FDV $5,060

Contract

Live
TrcHfHQrfCczwT1qJGXNwuh9DYQGpB23zB8XBQ5Star

Chain

Solana

Holders

80

Market cap

$5,060

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trace: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-05-03 06:47 UTC

Holder addresses

75

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

Not available
How concentrated is trace ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 75 addresses (2026-05-03 06:47 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling trace?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is trace liquidity falling?
Liquidity is not available in the saved inputs. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-05-03 06:47 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

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Report snapshot

as of May 3, 06:47 AM UTC

FDV

$97,711

Liquidity

Not available

Holders

75

Snipers

Not available

Risk

Very High
Loading price chart…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Bearish

TRACE (trace) is an extremely early-stage Solana token launched on Meteora Dynamic AMM v2, associated with a 'voice-first reminder app' concept. The token has a total supply of 1,000,000,000 and a fully diluted valuation of ~$97,711. It experienced a massive 97% price surge in the past 24 hours, driven by a sudden influx of 74 new holders (from 1 to 75) in a single day — indicating the token effectively launched publicly within the last 24 hours. Concentration is extreme: the top holder controls 40% of supply and the top 10 hold 81.79%. Liquidity is reported as $0.00, raising serious concerns about exit risk. No social links, no verified contract, mutable metadata, and a non-renounced update authority compound the risk profile significantly.

Key points

  • Token effectively launched within the last 24 hours — holder count went from 1 to 75 in a single day
  • Extreme supply concentration: top holder holds 40%, top 10 hold 81.79%
  • Zero reported on-chain liquidity despite ~$95K in 24h trading volume
  • No snipers detected in the first 1,000 blocks — unusual for a new launch
  • Mutable metadata with active update authority (not renounced), creating rug risk
  • Associated with a real-world app concept (voice-first reminders), though no verifiable product links provided

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term · 1–24 hours

bearish

After a 97% pump in 24h, the most recent hourly candles show a sharp reversal: price dropped from a high of ~$0.0001106 (candle 6) to a close of ~$0.0000285 (candle 1), a decline of over 74% from the session high. The 1h change is -39.58%, confirming strong selling pressure. With $0 reported liquidity and extreme concentration, further downside is likely in the short term.

Target low

$0.000022

Target high

$0.000065

Support

$0.000022 (candle 5 low), $0.000024 (candle 3 open/close)

Resistance

$0.000065 (candle 1 low / recent pivot), $0.0001106 (candle 6 high / session peak)

Medium term · 7–30 days

bearish

Without verified liquidity, a real product launch, social presence, or renounced authorities, medium-term price sustainability is highly questionable. The token spent 30 days with only 1 holder before its launch event, suggesting pre-launch accumulation by insiders. Unless significant community growth, liquidity injection, and product milestones materialize, price is likely to drift lower as early buyers take profits.

Catalysts

  • Verified product launch or app store listing
  • Liquidity pool deepening on Meteora
  • Social media campaign driving new holder growth beyond 75
  • Authority renouncement to reduce rug risk perception

Bullish factors

  • 97.2% 24h price gain shows strong initial demand
  • 51.2% buy pressure vs 48.8% sell pressure — marginally net buying
  • 522 buys vs 357 sells in 24h — more buy transactions than sells
  • No snipers detected, suggesting no predatory early accumulation
  • Real-world app concept (voice-first reminders) could attract genuine users if product is real

Bearish factors

  • Price already down 74% from session high within hours of peak
  • 1h change: -39.58% — sharp and accelerating decline
  • $0.00 reported total liquidity — extreme slippage and exit risk
  • Top holder controls 40% of supply — single entity can crash price at will
  • Token was held by only 1 wallet for 30 days before launch — insider pre-accumulation
  • Mutable metadata and non-renounced update authority — rug risk
  • No social links, no verified contract, no community infrastructure

Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to: (1) $0 reported liquidity making price discovery unreliable, (2) only 75 holders with extreme concentration, (3) no historical price data beyond 6 hourly candles, (4) mutable metadata and active update authority, and (5) no verifiable product or social presence to anchor fundamental value.

Token Info

Chain
Solana
Contract
TrcHfH...Star
Total Supply
1,000,000,000 TRACE

Key Risks

  • Single holder controls 40% of supply — catastrophic dump risk
  • $0.00 reported liquidity — exit liquidity may not exist
  • Token held by 1 wallet for 30 days before launch — clear insider pre-accumulation
  • Mutable metadata with active, non-renounced update authority

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

Six hourly candles are available (2026-05-03 00:00–06:00 UTC). Candle 6 (00:00): O=$0.0001106, H=$0.0001106, L=$0.0000282, C=$0.0000462 — a large bearish candle with a massive upper wick, indicating a failed pump and strong rejection at the high. Candle 5 (01:00): O=$0.0000462, H=$0.0000467, L=$0.0000220, C=$0.0000335 — continued selling, lower low at $0.0000220. Candle 4 (02:00): O=$0.0000346, H=$0.0000346, L=$0.0000250, C=$0.0000258 — bearish, lower close. Candle 3 (03:00): O=$0.0000238, H=$0.0000238, L=$0.0000238, C=$0.0000238 — flat doji-like candle with zero range, very low volume ($117), suggesting price stagnation. Candle 2 (05:00): O=$0.0000285, H=$0.0000285, L=$0.0000285, C=$0.0000238 — slight decline. Candle 1 (06:00): O=$0.0000238, H=$0.0000285 (note: H < L in raw data suggesting data anomaly), C=$0.0000285 — ambiguous. Overall pattern: sharp pump followed by rapid distribution, classic 'pump and dump' candle structure with lower highs and lower lows after the peak.

Trend

Short-term

Downtrend

Medium-term

Downtrend

The short-term trend is clearly bearish following the session peak at $0.0001106. Price has made a series of lower highs and lower lows across the 6 available candles. No medium-term trend data exists beyond these 6 hours, but the trajectory is strongly downward from the launch pump.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Oversold

Volume trend

Decreasing

Buy

51%

Sell

49%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.000022 (candle 5 intraday low)

Major support

$0.000022 (session low — only 6 candles of history available)

Immediate resistance

$0.000065 (candle 1 reported low / mid-range pivot)

Major resistance

$0.0001106 (candle 6 high — session peak)

With only 6 hours of price history, support and resistance levels are highly tentative. The session low of ~$0.0000220 represents the only identifiable major support. The session high of ~$0.0001106 is the only major resistance. The $0.0000238–$0.0000285 range appears to be a consolidation zone in the most recent candles.

Notable patterns

  • Shooting star / bearish rejection at session high ($0.0001106) in candle 6 — large upper wick, bearish close
  • Series of lower highs and lower lows across candles 6→3 — confirmed downtrend
  • Doji-like flat candle at candle 3 with near-zero volume ($117) — price indecision / liquidity vacuum
  • Classic pump-and-dump candle structure: vertical spike followed by rapid staircase decline
  • Possible data anomaly in candle 1 where reported Low ($0.0000639) > High ($0.0000285) — treat with caution

Liquidity

Liquidity

Not available

Depth

Not assessed

Slippage risk

Not assessed

Liquidity depth and slippage risk cannot be assessed without a liquidity observation.

Supply & authorities

Total supply

1,000,000,000 TRACE

FDV

$97,711.44

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

  • Volatilityhigh

    Price swung +97% in 24h then retraced ~74% from the session high within hours. The 1h change is -39.58%. With only 75 holders and $0 liquidity, price can move violently in either direction with minimal capital.

  • LiquidityNot assessed

    A liquidity observation is not available in the saved inputs.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Sniper DumpNot assessed

    Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.

  • AuthorityNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

  • Single holder controls 40% of supply — catastrophic dump risk
  • $0.00 reported liquidity — exit liquidity may not exist
  • Token held by 1 wallet for 30 days before launch — clear insider pre-accumulation
  • Mutable metadata with active, non-renounced update authority
  • Unknown mint and freeze authority status
  • No verified contract, no social links, no community infrastructure
  • Only 75 holders — extremely thin and fragile holder base
  • Price already down 74% from session high within hours of peak
  • 8 holders exited in the last hour (-11%) as price declined

Mitigating factors

  • No snipers detected in first 1,000 blocks — no predatory bot accumulation
  • Marginally positive net buy flow (51.2% buy pressure) in 24h
  • Real-world app concept described (voice-first reminders) — potential legitimate use case
  • 522 buy transactions vs 357 sell transactions — more buyers than sellers by count
  • Token not flagged as possible spam by the data provider

Suitable for

This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who fully understand they may lose 100% of their investment. It is entirely unsuitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone not prepared for complete capital loss. Position sizing should be minimal (treat as lottery ticket). This is NOT suitable for portfolio allocation.

TRACE is an ultra-early-stage, extremely high-risk Solana token that launched publicly within the last 24 hours. It is associated with a voice-first reminder app concept but has no verifiable product, no social presence, no renounced authorities, and critically — $0 reported liquidity. The token experienced a classic pump-and-dump price pattern on launch day. The only potential bull case rests on the app concept being real and gaining traction. The bear case — which has the highest probability — is that this is an insider-accumulated token with no sustainable demand.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

The TRACE team delivers a functional voice-first reminder app, builds a community around the token, injects real liquidity into the pool, and renounces authorities. New holder growth continues beyond the initial 75, and the token finds utility within the app ecosystem, driving sustained demand.

  • Verified product launch with app store listing
  • Liquidity pool deepening to >$50K TVL
  • Authority renouncement (mint, freeze, update)
  • Social media presence and community building
  • Holder growth to 500+ organically

Base Case

The token stabilizes in the $0.000022–$0.000035 range short-term as early buyers hold and no major dumps occur. Holder count grows slowly to 150–300 over the next 30 days. Liquidity remains thin. Without a product launch or major catalyst, price drifts lower over time as interest fades.

  • Top holder does not dump immediately
  • Some liquidity is added to the Meteora pool
  • The app concept generates modest organic interest
  • No authority exploits occur in the near term

Bear Case

High probability

The top holder (40%) and second holder (21.61%) begin distributing their positions into any remaining buy pressure. With $0 liquidity, even small sells cause catastrophic price impact. The holder count continues to decline (already -8 in last hour), and the token fades to near-zero with no product or community to sustain it.

  • Top holder dumping 40% supply position
  • Continued liquidity vacuum preventing fair price discovery
  • No product launch or social presence to attract new buyers
  • Holder attrition accelerating (already -11% in 1h)
  • Mutable metadata changes eroding trust

Analysis details

Generated

May 3, 06:47 AM UTC

Saved observation

2026-05-03 06:47 UTC

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

  • On-chain token metadata (Solana)
  • Meteora Dynamic AMM v2 trading pair data
  • OHLC price candles (hourly, USD)
  • 24h trading analytics (buy/sell volume, unique wallets)
  • Top 20 holder snapshot
  • Historical daily holder count (30-day series)
  • Sniper analysis (first 1,000 blocks)
  • Holder distribution metrics (whales/sharks/dolphins/fish/octopus classification)

Limitations

  • Only 6 hourly OHLC candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis
  • Total liquidity reported as $0.00 — may be a data lag or reporting error, but cannot be confirmed
  • Mint and freeze authority status not explicitly provided in metadata
  • No sniper data available (0 snipers detected) — limits smart money analysis
  • Token is less than 24 hours old in terms of public trading — all metrics are extremely preliminary
  • No social links or external data sources to verify the app concept or team identity
  • Top holder classification is inferred, not confirmed — wallet DDBYTJBNsiscMwKTFL86Ja4Bs7jwXZN19Dqov3C8PtC2 may or may not be the deployer
  • OHLC candle 1 shows a data anomaly where Low > High — treated with caution
  • FDV reported as $97,711.44 in metadata but $0.00 in trading analytics — discrepancy noted, metadata figure used

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does NOT constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an endorsement of this token. Cryptocurrency investments, especially micro-cap tokens less than 24 hours old, carry extreme risk of total capital loss. Always conduct your own research (DYOR) and consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The analyst has no position in TRACE and receives no compensation related to this token.

Frequently Asked Questions

How concentrated is trace ownership?

Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 75 addresses (2026-05-03 06:47 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.

Are large holders selling trace?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is trace liquidity falling?

Liquidity is not available in the saved inputs. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.

What is the short-term price outlook for trace (TRACE)?

After a 97% pump in 24h, the most recent hourly candles show a sharp reversal: price dropped from a high of ~$0.0001106 (candle 6) to a close of ~$0.0000285 (candle 1), a decline of over 74% from the session high. The 1h change is -39.58%, confirming strong selling pressure. With $0 reported liquidity and extreme concentration, further downside is likely in the short term. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.000022 to $0.000065.

Is TRACE a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as very high with a risk score of 9.2/100. This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who fully understand they may lose 100% of their investment. It is entirely unsuitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone not prepared for complete capital loss. Position sizing should be minimal (treat as lottery ticket). This is NOT suitable for portfolio allocation.

What are the key risks of holding TRACE?

Single holder controls 40% of supply — catastrophic dump risk • $0.00 reported liquidity — exit liquidity may not exist • Token held by 1 wallet for 30 days before launch — clear insider pre-accumulation

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