dwnd

dwnd Price Prediction 2026

dwnd
Solana
AI Analysis
Analysis as of Jul 1, 2026

UcRtytWGPPkiJDx8AtJEtAu1Yt26AkaZZRPA1pJdwnd

$0.051663

FDV $1,662

LiveContract:UcRtytWGPPkiJDx8AtJEtAu1Yt26AkaZZRPA1pJdwndChain:SolanaHolders:223Market cap:$1,662

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Report snapshotas of Jul 1, 02:16 AM
FDV

$268,915

Liquidity

$54,554

Holders

466

Snipers

0

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

dwnd (DWND) is a newly viral Solana memecoin on PumpSwap with a total supply of 1,000,000,000 tokens and a current FDV of ~$269K. The token sat dormant at 50 holders for the entire month of June 2026 before exploding to 466 holders within the last 24 hours — a +416 holder surge (+89%). The 24h price change of +291% is dramatic, but the current 5-minute price is already down -5.9%, sell pressure dominates at 76.4% of volume ($278.64K sells vs $85.94K buys), and liquidity is extremely shallow at $54.55K. This is a high-risk, early-stage memecoin exhibiting classic pump dynamics.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Bearish
Explosive holder growth from 50 to 466 in under 24 hours (+89% in one day)
Extreme sell pressure: 76.4% of 24h volume is sells ($278.64K vs $85.94K buys)
Liquidity is critically shallow at $54.55K against a $269K FDV — slippage risk is very high
Token was completely dormant for 30 days before sudden viral activity
Top holder and supply concentration data unavailable — distribution opacity is a red flag
No sniper data available; early buyer behavior cannot be assessed

Price Prediction

bearish

Short term

bearish
1–24 hours

The token is already showing reversal signals: the most recent hourly candle (02:00 UTC) opened at $0.000196, spiked to $0.000314 (the session high), then collapsed to close at $0.0000332 — a massive bearish engulfing/wick-down candle. The 5-minute price is -5.9% at time of analysis. With 76.4% sell pressure and only $54.55K in liquidity, further downside is likely in the near term.

Target low$0.0000332
Target high$0.000191
Support: $0.0000332 (recent hourly close / session low), $0.000161 (hourly candle [1] low)
Resistance: $0.000191 (hourly candle [2] close / candle [1] open zone), $0.000314 (hourly candle [1] all-time high wick)

Medium term

bearish
1–7 days

Without sustained buy-side volume, new catalysts, or a significant liquidity injection, the token is likely to retrace toward its pre-pump levels. The 30-day dormancy followed by a single-day spike is a classic pump-and-dump pattern. Holders who entered near the top face significant unrealized losses if sell pressure continues.

Catalysts
  • Sustained new buyer inflow exceeding current sell pressure
  • Influencer or community-driven narrative momentum (token references 'Ansem' in description)
  • Liquidity pool deepening to reduce slippage and attract larger traders
  • Broader Solana memecoin market rally

Bullish factors

  • 291% 24h price gain demonstrates strong initial momentum
  • Holder count grew from 50 to 466 in under 24 hours — viral adoption signal
  • 758 buy transactions in 24h shows genuine retail interest
  • PumpSwap listing provides accessible on-chain trading

Bearish factors

  • 76.4% of 24h volume is sell-side ($278.64K sells vs $85.94K buys)
  • Most recent hourly candle closed at $0.0000332 — a ~83% drop from the $0.000314 intra-hour high
  • Liquidity of only $54.55K is critically shallow for a $269K FDV token
  • Token was dormant for 30 days — suggests coordinated launch rather than organic growth
  • Top holder data unavailable — concentration risk cannot be ruled out
  • Unverified contract, unknown update authority, mutable=false but authority=unknown
Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to: (1) only 2 hourly OHLC candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis; (2) top holder and supply concentration data is missing, making it impossible to assess distribution risk; (3) no sniper data available; (4) the token is extremely new and volatile, making any price target highly speculative.

dwnd call history

Full track record →
Jul 1bearish
24h-98.8%
7d-99.2%
30d-99.4%

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Deep Analysis

Only 2 hourly candles are available. Candle [2] (01:00 UTC): O=$0.0000332, H=$0.000192, L=$0.0000332, C=$0.000192 — a strong bullish candle with the open at the low and close at the high, indicating aggressive buying. Candle [1] (02:00 UTC): O=$0.000196, H=$0.000314, L=$0.000161, C=$0.0000332 — a massive bearish reversal candle. Price opened near the prior close, spiked to a new high of $0.000314 (the session peak), then collapsed to close at $0.0000332, near the session low. This is a classic 'shooting star' or bearish engulfing pattern at the top, signaling a sharp reversal after the pump.

Trend

Short-term
downtrend
Medium-term
sideways

Momentum

Status
overbought

Volume

Trenddecreasing
Buy 24%Sell 76%

Short-term trend has reversed sharply bearish after the pump peak at $0.000314. The medium-term trend is effectively sideways given the 30-day dormancy prior to this event — there is no established uptrend to build on.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.0000332 (recent hourly close and session low — double bottom zone)
Major$0.0000332 (also the pre-pump price level from candle [2] open)
Resistance
Immediate$0.000191–$0.000196 (candle [2] close / candle [1] open zone)
Major$0.000314 (candle [1] all-time high wick — the pump peak)

The $0.0000332 level is critical — it is both the pre-pump baseline and the current close. A break below this level would signal complete pump failure. Recovery above $0.000191 would be needed to re-establish bullish momentum. The $0.000314 pump peak is strong overhead resistance.

Notable patterns

  • Shooting star / bearish engulfing at pump peak (candle [1]: open near high, close near low after new high)
  • Bullish marubozu in candle [2] (open = low, close = high) — the pump initiation candle
  • Volume exhaustion: 88% volume drop from candle [2] to candle [1] alongside price collapse
  • Classic pump-and-dump price structure: 30-day dormancy → single-candle spike → immediate reversal

Total holders466
24h Δ+416
7d Δ+416
30d Δ+416
Accelerating Growth
Yes

Correlation with price

The holder surge from 50 to 466 (+416 holders, +89%) occurred simultaneously with the 291% price pump, suggesting the holder growth is directly driven by the price spike attracting new buyers rather than organic community building. The historical data shows zero holder growth for the entire 30-day period prior (50 holders flat from June 1–30), making the sudden surge entirely correlated with the pump event.

Holder growth is technically 'accelerating' but this is entirely a pump-driven phenomenon. The token had exactly 50 holders with zero net change for every single day from June 1 to June 30, 2026. All 416 new holders arrived within the last 24 hours, coinciding with the price pump. This pattern — prolonged dormancy followed by sudden holder explosion — is consistent with a coordinated launch or pump event. The distribution data shows 0% for all whale/shark/dolphin/fish/octopus categories and 0% top10/top100 concentration, which is anomalous and likely indicates a data availability issue rather than perfectly even distribution. Holder acquisition is predominantly via swap (456 of 466 holders), confirming these are market buyers rather than airdrop recipients.

Top 10 hold0.00%
Top 100 hold0.00%
Sentiment
Mixed

Notable holders

N/A

Data unavailable — no top holder list provided

0.00%

Top holder data is entirely unavailable for this token — the API returned no top 20 holders and supply concentration shows 0% for top 10 and top 100, which is almost certainly a data gap rather than a genuine reflection of distribution. This is a significant analytical blind spot. With only 466 total holders and a token that was dormant for 30 days with just 50 holders, it is highly probable that early holders (the original 50) hold a disproportionate share of supply. Without this data, concentration risk cannot be properly assessed and must be assumed HIGH by default. The 456 swap-acquired holders suggest most new holders are retail buyers who entered during the pump.

Liquidity$54,550
Depth
Shallow
Slippage risk
high

Volume (24h)

Buy$85,940
Sell$278,640
Net flow
outflow

Traders (24h)

Unique buyers270
Unique sellers1,028

Liquidity is critically shallow at $54.55K on PumpSwap (pair: 6pdREYRQde6R2mHSd3aY6BQT6r7c97aBGB5YAERfb8SR). The FDV-to-liquidity ratio is approximately 5:1 ($270K FDV vs $54.55K liquidity), meaning any meaningful sell order will cause severe slippage. The 24h trading data reveals a deeply unhealthy market: 1,028 unique sellers vs only 270 unique buyers (a 3.8:1 seller-to-buyer ratio), and sell volume of $278.64K dwarfs buy volume of $85.94K (76.4% sell pressure). There were 3,052 sell transactions vs 758 buy transactions. Net flow is clearly outflow. The market is in active distribution mode — early holders and pump participants appear to be exiting into retail buyers. This is a high-risk liquidity environment.

Supply & Valuation

Total supply1,000,000,000 DWND
FDV$268,914.68

Authorities

Mint authority
Active
Freeze authority
Active

Total supply is 1 billion tokens with a current FDV of ~$269K at $0.000269/token. The update authority is listed as 'unknown' in the metadata, and the contract is unverified. The token is marked as mutable=false, which is a mild positive signal (metadata cannot be changed), but with update authority unknown, mint and freeze authority status cannot be confirmed as renounced. The contract is not verified and is not flagged as spam. The description references 'Ansem' and 'pump and airdrop' narratives — typical memecoin marketing language. Without confirmed renouncement of mint and freeze authorities, rug risk from authorities must be classified as unknown. Investors should treat this as potentially high authority risk until on-chain authority accounts are verified as burned/renounced.

Volatility
high

The token pumped 291% in 24 hours and the most recent hourly candle shows an ~83% intra-hour collapse from $0.000314 to $0.0000332. Extreme volatility in both directions makes position sizing and risk management extremely difficult.

Liquidity
high

Total liquidity is only $54.55K against a $269K FDV. Any sell order of meaningful size will cause severe slippage. The 3.8:1 seller-to-buyer ratio and 76.4% sell pressure indicate active liquidity drain.

Concentration
high

Top holder data is entirely unavailable. The token had only 50 holders for 30 days before the pump — those early holders likely control a large portion of supply. With 0% reported for all concentration metrics, this is almost certainly a data gap, not genuine distribution. Concentration risk must be assumed high.

SniperDump
high

No sniper data is available. However, the 30-day dormancy with 50 holders followed by a sudden pump is consistent with coordinated early accumulation. The original 50 holders had ample time to accumulate at near-zero cost and are likely selling into the current pump (evidenced by the dominant sell pressure).

Authority
medium

Update authority is 'unknown', contract is unverified, and mint/freeze authority status cannot be confirmed as renounced. Mutable=false is a mild positive. Until authorities are confirmed burned on-chain, this risk remains elevated.

Key risks

  • Extreme sell pressure (76.4% of volume) with only $54.55K liquidity — exit risk is very high
  • Top holder data unavailable — unknown concentration risk from original 50 holders
  • Token was dormant for 30 days before pump — strong pump-and-dump pattern indicators
  • Most recent candle shows ~83% intra-hour price collapse from pump peak
  • Unverified contract with unknown mint/freeze authority status
  • No sniper data — early buyer behavior and profit-taking risk cannot be assessed
  • Only 466 total holders — extremely thin community base

Mitigating factors

  • Token is marked mutable=false — metadata cannot be altered
  • 466 holders acquired in 24h shows genuine retail interest
  • PumpSwap listing provides transparent on-chain trading
  • Not flagged as spam by data provider
  • Social links present (Twitter, website, Moralis) suggesting some project presence
Suitable for: This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant traders who fully understand memecoin dynamics and can afford to lose 100% of their investment. It is NOT suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep familiarity with Solana pump-and-dump mechanics. Position sizes should be minimal if any exposure is taken.

dwnd is a high-risk Solana memecoin that experienced a sudden viral pump after 30 days of complete dormancy. The token exhibits multiple classic pump-and-dump indicators: coordinated early accumulation, explosive price action, dominant sell pressure, and shallow liquidity. While the 291% 24h gain is attention-grabbing, the on-chain data paints a picture of active distribution into retail buyers. The investment thesis is almost entirely speculative and momentum-dependent.

Bull case (low)

If the 'Ansem' narrative gains traction on social media and new capital continues to flow in, the token could sustain or extend its pump. A second wave of buyers could push price back toward the $0.000314 peak or beyond, especially if liquidity deepens.

  • Viral social media momentum driven by Ansem/influencer narrative
  • Sustained new buyer inflow exceeding current sell pressure
  • Liquidity pool growth reducing slippage and attracting larger traders
  • Broader Solana memecoin market tailwind

Base case

The token experiences a partial retracement from the pump peak, stabilizing somewhere between $0.0000332 and $0.000191 as some buyers hold and sellers exhaust. Volume declines significantly over the next 24–48 hours. The token may see periodic volatility spikes if social media activity resurfaces, but without sustained narrative momentum, it gradually fades.

  • Sell pressure moderates as early holders finish distributing
  • A small core community of ~200–400 holders remains active
  • No major new catalyst or influencer promotion in the near term
  • Liquidity remains thin, keeping the token highly volatile

Bear case (high)

The pump has already peaked. Early holders (the original 50) continue selling into retail buyers, liquidity drains further, and the price collapses back toward pre-pump levels (~$0.0000332 or lower). The token fades into obscurity with no follow-through.

  • 76.4% sell pressure with only 270 unique buyers vs 1,028 sellers
  • Most recent candle already shows ~83% collapse from pump peak
  • Shallow $54.55K liquidity cannot absorb continued selling
  • No verified contract, unknown authorities, no confirmed tokenomics safety
  • 30-day dormancy pattern consistent with coordinated dump-into-pump

GeneratedJul 1, 02:16 AM
Data freshnessPrice and trading data current as of analysis time. OHLC data covers only 2 hourly candles. Historical holder data covers June 1–30, 2026 (daily). Sniper data unavailable.
Model confidence
low

Data sources

  • Moralis on-chain token metadata API
  • PumpSwap DEX trading analytics (pair: 6pdREYRQde6R2mHSd3aY6BQT6r7c97aBGB5YAERfb8SR)
  • Hourly OHLC price candles (2 candles available)
  • Holder metrics and historical holder series (30-day daily)
  • Sniper analysis endpoint (returned no data)

Limitations

  • Only 2 hourly OHLC candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis or trend identification
  • Top 20 holder data entirely unavailable — concentration and whale analysis is severely limited
  • Supply concentration metrics (top10%, top100%) returned 0% — likely a data gap, not genuine distribution
  • Sniper data unavailable — early buyer behavior and smart money signals cannot be assessed
  • Mint and freeze authority status unknown — rug risk from authorities cannot be confirmed
  • Update authority listed as 'unknown' — cannot verify contract safety
  • Token is extremely new (viral activity only in last 24h) — limited historical data for pattern analysis
  • Distribution category data (whales/sharks/dolphins/fish/octopus) all returned 0 — data gap

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does NOT constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially memecoins, carry extreme risk including total loss of capital. The data analyzed is sourced from third-party APIs and may be incomplete or inaccurate. Always conduct your own research (DYOR) before making any investment decisions. Past price performance is not indicative of future results.

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply1,000,000,000 DWND

Key Risks

Extreme sell pressure (76.4% of volume) with only $54.55K liquidity — exit risk is very high
Top holder data unavailable — unknown concentration risk from original 50 holders
Token was dormant for 30 days before pump — strong pump-and-dump pattern indicators
Most recent candle shows ~83% intra-hour price collapse from pump peak

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

low confidence
Low risk

No sniper data is available for this token. Early buyer behavior, sniper PnL state, and sell-through rates cannot be assessed. The absence of sniper data, combined with the token's 30-day dormancy followed by a sudden viral spike, raises questions about coordinated early accumulation that cannot be verified or ruled out from the available data.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration0.00%
PnL stateUnknown
Sell-through rateUnknown
Profit-taking risk
low

No sniper data available — sniper concentration cannot be calculated.

Unknown — no sniper or early buyer data available. The token had only 50 holders for 30 days before the pump, suggesting a small, potentially coordinated group of early holders whose behavior cannot be analyzed from the provided data.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the price prediction for dwnd (dwnd)?

The token is already showing reversal signals: the most recent hourly candle (02:00 UTC) opened at $0.000196, spiked to $0.000314 (the session high), then collapsed to close at $0.0000332 — a massive bearish engulfing/wick-down candle. The 5-minute price is -5.9% at time of analysis. With 76.4% sell pressure and only $54.55K in liquidity, further downside is likely in the near term. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.0000332 to $0.000191.

Is dwnd a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 9.1/100. This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant traders who fully understand memecoin dynamics and can afford to lose 100% of their investment. It is NOT suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep familiarity with Solana pump-and-dump mechanics. Position sizes should be minimal if any exposure is taken.

How are dwnd holders trending?

dwnd currently has 466 holders and is growing (24h: 416, 7d: 416, 30d: 416). Holder growth is technically 'accelerating' but this is entirely a pump-driven phenomenon. The token had exactly 50 holders with zero net change for every single day from June 1 to June 30, 2026. All 416 new holders arrived within the last 24 hours, coinciding with the price pump. This pattern — prolonged dormancy followed by sudden holder explosion — is consistent with a coordinated launch or pump event. The distribution data shows 0% for all whale/shark/dolphin/fish/octopus categories and 0% top10/top100 concentration, which is anomalous and likely indicates a data availability issue rather than perfectly even distribution. Holder acquisition is predominantly via swap (456 of 466 holders), confirming these are market buyers rather than airdrop recipients.

What does sniper activity look like for dwnd?

Snipers hold roughly 0.00% of supply with PnL state "unknown" and sell-through rate "unknown". Profit-taking risk: low.

What are the key risks of holding dwnd?

Extreme sell pressure (76.4% of volume) with only $54.55K liquidity — exit risk is very high • Top holder data unavailable — unknown concentration risk from original 50 holders • Token was dormant for 30 days before pump — strong pump-and-dump pattern indicators

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