ULTRAS

ultras.fun Price Today & AI Analysis

ULTRAS
Solana
AI Analysis
Analysis as of Jun 11, 2026

ULTRASmBC45vXVAzBpJCXeabHFKYbNfh1tXTf14NL5K

$0.052693

FDV $2,692

LiveContract:ULTRASmBC45vXVAzBpJCXeabHFKYbNfh1tXTf14NL5KChain:SolanaHolders:476Market cap:$2,692

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Report snapshotas of Jun 11, 07:20 PM
FDV

$124,325

Liquidity

$39,792

Holders

483

Snipers

0

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

ULTRAS (ultras.fun) is an extremely new Solana meme/utility token launched on PumpSwap, themed around the 2026 FIFA World Cup as a 'fan PVP game.' The token exploded from near-zero activity to 483 holders within roughly 24 hours (from a base of 9 holders), with a 208% price surge in 24h. However, the token is flagged as possible spam, has an unknown update authority, extremely shallow liquidity (~$39.79K), heavy sell pressure (75.5% sell volume), and very high supply concentration (top 10 hold 40.77%, top 100 hold 92.5%). This is a very high-risk, speculative micro-cap token.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Bearish
Explosive 24h holder growth: from 9 to 483 holders (+98%) in a single day, all growth concentrated in the last 24 hours
208% price appreciation in 24h, but with 75.5% sell pressure dominating volume
Extremely shallow liquidity at $39.79K total, creating severe slippage risk
Top 10 wallets control 40.77% of supply; top 100 control 92.5% — extreme concentration
Flagged as possible spam with unverified contract and unknown update authority
Token was dormant for 30 days with only 9 holders before sudden launch activity

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term

bearish
1–48 hours

The token has already surged 208% in 24h and is showing heavy sell pressure (75.5% of volume). The most recent hourly candle (19:00 UTC) shows a sharp rejection from the $0.000144 high, closing at $0.0000709 — a bearish engulfing-style reversal. The 5-minute change is -11%, signaling near-term downside. With only $39.79K in liquidity and dominant selling, further price decay is likely in the short term.

Target low$0.000027
Target high$0.000144
Support: $0.000027 (candle open/low baseline), $0.000046 (candle 2 low)
Resistance: $0.000132 (candle 2 high), $0.000144 (candle 1 all-time high)

Medium term

bearish
1–4 weeks

Without sustained organic demand, new utility delivery, or broader World Cup 2026 hype catalysts, the token is likely to retrace significantly. The extreme concentration of supply in top holders and the sell-side dominance suggest distribution is already underway. A return toward launch prices ($0.000027) or lower is plausible unless new buyers absorb selling pressure.

Catalysts
  • World Cup 2026 match schedule announcements or viral social media moments
  • Listing on a mid-tier CEX or aggregator
  • Delivery of any actual PVP game functionality
  • Broader Solana meme coin market rally

Bullish factors

  • 208% 24h price gain demonstrates strong initial momentum
  • Holder count grew from 9 to 483 in under 24 hours — viral spread
  • World Cup 2026 is a real upcoming macro catalyst for sports-themed tokens
  • Active social presence (Telegram, Twitter, website)

Bearish factors

  • 75.5% of 24h volume is sell-side ($69.64K sells vs $22.60K buys)
  • Only $39.79K total liquidity — any meaningful sell order will crater price
  • Top 10 wallets hold 40.77% of supply — high dump risk
  • Token flagged as possible spam with unverified contract
  • Token was dormant for 30 days with only 9 holders — suggests pre-launch insider accumulation
  • Update authority is unknown — cannot confirm renouncement
  • 5-minute price change is -11%, indicating immediate selling pressure
Confidence: low. Only 3 hourly OHLC candles are available, the token is less than 24 hours old in terms of active trading, sniper data is unavailable, and the contract is unverified. Price prediction confidence is inherently very low for such a nascent, illiquid token.

ULTRAS call history

Full track record →
Jun 11bearish
24h-63.0%
7d-98.4%
30d-98.3%

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Deep Analysis

Only 3 hourly candles are available (17:00–19:00 UTC on 2026-06-11). Candle 3 (17:00): O=$0.0000269, H=$0.0000737, L=$0.0000267, C=$0.0000691 — a bullish candle with a long upper wick, suggesting initial buying momentum with some resistance. Candle 2 (18:00): O=$0.0000709, H=$0.0001324, L=$0.0000460, C=$0.0000269 — a large bearish engulfing candle; price spiked to $0.0001324 then collapsed back to the open of candle 3, indicating a sharp rejection and heavy selling. Candle 1 (19:00, most recent): O=$0.0000269, H=$0.0001440, L=$0.0001077, C=$0.0000709 — another spike to a new high of $0.0001440 followed by a close well below the high, forming a shooting star/bearish reversal pattern. The overall 3-candle pattern shows repeated spike-and-dump behavior consistent with low-liquidity pump dynamics.

Trend

Short-term
downtrend
Medium-term
sideways

Momentum

Status
overbought

Volume

Trenddecreasing
Buy 25%Sell 76%

The short-term trend is bearish following two consecutive shooting-star/rejection candles from highs. The medium-term trend is effectively undefined given the token's age, but the dominant sell pressure and repeated price rejections suggest sideways-to-down action unless new demand emerges.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.000046 (candle 2 low)
Major$0.000027 (candle 3 open / candle 2 close / repeated baseline)
Resistance
Immediate$0.000132 (candle 2 high)
Major$0.000144 (candle 1 all-time high)

The $0.000027 level has acted as a recurring floor across multiple candle opens/closes and represents the pre-pump baseline. The $0.000144 level is the all-time high and represents the maximum resistance. The $0.000046–$0.000069 range is a mid-zone where price has oscillated.

Notable patterns

  • Shooting star at $0.000144 high (candle 1, 19:00 UTC) — bearish reversal signal
  • Bearish engulfing candle (candle 2, 18:00 UTC) — price spiked to $0.0001324 then closed at $0.0000269
  • Repeated spike-and-dump pattern across all 3 candles — consistent with low-liquidity pump-and-dump dynamics
  • Volume declining from peak ($40K) to $11K — fading momentum

Total holders483
24h Δ+98
7d Δ+98
30d Δ+98
Accelerating Growth
Yes

Correlation with price

The 474-holder surge in 24h directly correlates with the 208% price spike, suggesting FOMO-driven buying. However, the sell pressure (75.5%) indicates many of these new holders may already be selling or are underwater. The token was dormant at 9 holders for 30 days, meaning all growth is concentrated in a single day — this is a launch event, not organic growth.

Holder growth is technically explosive (+98% in 24h, from 9 to 483), but this is entirely a launch-day phenomenon rather than sustained organic growth. The token sat at exactly 9 holders for the entire 30-day historical window (May 12 – June 10, 2026) with zero net change, then gained 474 holders in a single day. This pattern is consistent with a coordinated token launch where insiders pre-positioned before opening to the public. The 7d and 30d growth figures are identical to the 24h figure (98%), confirming all growth happened in the last 24 hours. Distribution breakdown shows 114 whales, 45 sharks, 130 dolphins, 40 fish, and 14 octopus wallets among the 483 holders.

Top 10 hold40.77%
Top 100 hold92.50%
Sentiment
Distributing

Notable holders

6Krfxarz6XKSdsqTPpBkg87XiQDnhQtLrnStcDsgDoXT

DEX liquidity pool (PumpSwap pair address — matches the trading pair address listed in price data)

12.22%

CoGScHB8MhGvsAj74QTrmdFM7YeXfqNmStze3FcML2pm

Individual whale / possible insider — large pre-launch holder

10.97%

GwPAh75YNVWPqThJcjtnc2X6oQQLRjFPzfsktYyC2sCp

Individual whale / possible insider

5.06%

DLmjUVpmUMVEY9ijzwcm2HyGZbrjsxMRZssUa6yYEF9H

Individual whale

2.00%

3B5hWzKki7bch94bwRkcN6oXX3rZNrJLbx7qJ8ntm3vp

Individual whale

1.92%

Supply concentration is extreme: the top 10 wallets hold 40.77% and the top 100 hold 92.5% of the total 1 billion token supply. The #1 holder (6Krfxarz6XKSdsqTPpBkg87XiQDnhQtLrnStcDsgDoXT at 12.22%) matches the PumpSwap trading pair address, indicating this is the DEX liquidity pool. The #2 holder (CoGScHB8MhGvsAj74QTrmdFM7YeXfqNmStze3FcML2pm at 10.97%) and #3 holder (GwPAh75YNVWPqThJcjtnc2X6oQQLRjFPzfsktYyC2sCp at 5.06%) are likely insider/team wallets given the 30-day pre-launch dormancy period. Excluding the LP, the top non-LP whale holds ~10.97% alone. The 75.5% sell pressure in 24h combined with this concentration strongly suggests active distribution by early holders.

Liquidity$39,790
Depth
Shallow
Slippage risk
high

Volume (24h)

Buy$22,600
Sell$69,640
Net flow
outflow

Traders (24h)

Unique buyers332
Unique sellers631

Liquidity is critically shallow at $39.79K on a single PumpSwap pool (6Krfxarz6XKSdsqTPpBkg87XiQDnhQtLrnStcDsgDoXT). With a fully diluted valuation of $124.07K, the liquidity-to-FDV ratio is approximately 32% — extremely low. Any sell order of meaningful size will cause severe slippage. The 24h sell volume ($69.64K) already exceeds total liquidity, demonstrating the token's fragility. There were 631 unique sellers vs 332 unique buyers in 24h — nearly 2:1 seller-to-buyer ratio. Net flow is clearly outflow. The total 24h volume ($92.24K) is more than double the total liquidity, indicating high turnover relative to pool depth and significant price impact per trade.

Supply & Valuation

Total supply1,000,000,000 ULTRAS
FDV$124,325

Authorities

Mint authority
Active
Freeze authority
Active

The total supply is 1 billion ULTRAS with 6 decimals, standard for Solana meme tokens. The FDV is $124,325 at current price. Critically, the update authority is listed as 'unknown' in the metadata — it cannot be confirmed whether mint or freeze authorities have been renounced. The token is marked as 'Mutable: false' which is a positive signal (metadata cannot be changed), but without confirmed authority renouncement, the risk of mint or freeze actions cannot be ruled out. The contract is unverified and the token is flagged as possible spam. The combination of unknown authorities, unverified contract, and spam flag represents a significant rug-pull risk vector. Acquisition data shows 354 holders acquired via swap and 129 via transfer, with 0 airdrops.

Volatility
high

208% price surge in 24h followed by repeated spike-and-dump candle patterns. The 5-minute change is already -11%. With only 3 hours of OHLC data and $39.79K liquidity, price can move 50%+ in either direction within minutes.

Liquidity
high

Total liquidity is only $39.79K on a single PumpSwap pool. The 24h sell volume ($69.64K) already exceeds total liquidity. Any significant sell order will cause catastrophic slippage. Exit risk is extreme for any position larger than a few hundred dollars.

Concentration
high

Top 10 wallets hold 40.77% of supply; top 100 hold 92.5%. Excluding the LP pool (12.22%), a single wallet holds 10.97% of supply. The token was held by only 9 wallets for 30 days before launch, indicating heavy insider pre-positioning.

SniperDump
high

No formal sniper data available, but the 30-day dormancy period with 9 holders followed by a sudden launch is a classic insider accumulation pattern. The 75.5% sell pressure in the first 24h of trading strongly suggests early holders are dumping on new buyers. 631 unique sellers vs 332 unique buyers confirms this.

Authority
high

Update authority is listed as 'unknown' — mint and freeze authority renouncement cannot be confirmed. The contract is unverified and flagged as possible spam. This creates an unquantifiable rug-pull risk.

Key risks

  • Unknown mint/freeze authority — potential for unlimited token minting or account freezing
  • Extreme supply concentration: top 10 hold 40.77%, top 100 hold 92.5%
  • Token dormant for 30 days with 9 holders — strong insider pre-positioning signal
  • 75.5% sell pressure in 24h — active distribution by early holders
  • Only $39.79K liquidity — catastrophic slippage risk on any meaningful exit
  • Unverified contract flagged as possible spam
  • No sniper data available — early buyer behavior cannot be fully assessed
  • Single DEX pool — no liquidity diversification
  • Meme/sports token with no confirmed utility delivery

Mitigating factors

  • Token metadata is marked 'Mutable: false' — metadata cannot be altered post-deployment
  • Active social presence (Telegram, Twitter, website) suggests some level of project organization
  • World Cup 2026 is a real upcoming event that could drive speculative interest
  • Rapid holder growth (9 to 483 in 24h) shows genuine market interest, however short-lived
  • FDV of $124K is very small — limited absolute downside in dollar terms for small positions
Suitable for: Suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who can afford to lose 100% of their investment. Absolutely not suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone allocating more than a negligible portion of their portfolio. This token exhibits multiple hallmarks of a pump-and-dump scheme.

ULTRAS is a World Cup 2026-themed meme token on Solana that launched with explosive 24h metrics but carries extreme risk. The token was dormant for 30 days with only 9 holders before a sudden launch, suggesting coordinated insider pre-positioning. While the 208% price surge and rapid holder growth are attention-grabbing, the 75.5% sell pressure, $39.79K shallow liquidity, 40.77% top-10 concentration, unknown authorities, and spam flag paint a picture of a high-risk speculative instrument with significant dump risk.

Bull case (low)

World Cup 2026 hype drives sustained retail FOMO into sports-themed tokens. ULTRAS gains viral traction on social media, liquidity deepens, and the PVP game concept attracts genuine users. Price could reach or exceed the $0.000144 ATH and potentially 5–10x from current levels if the project delivers.

  • Viral World Cup 2026 social media momentum
  • Delivery of actual PVP game functionality
  • Liquidity deepening via additional pools or CEX listing
  • Broader Solana meme coin bull market

Base case

The token experiences a typical meme coin lifecycle: initial pump fades, price stabilizes 70–90% below ATH, holder count plateaus around 500–800, and the token trades with minimal volume as a low-cap speculative instrument tied to World Cup news cycles.

  • No rug pull or authority exploit occurs
  • Some residual World Cup 2026 interest maintains a small holder base
  • Liquidity remains above $10K minimum viable threshold
  • No major CEX listing or viral catalyst emerges

Bear case (high)

Early insider holders continue distributing into retail demand. Liquidity drains as sellers overwhelm buyers. Price retraces to near-zero ($0.000001–$0.000005) as the initial pump fades and no utility is delivered. Token becomes effectively worthless.

  • Continued 75.5%+ sell pressure from concentrated early holders
  • No utility delivery — pure meme with no game
  • Liquidity pool drains below viable trading threshold
  • Spam flag leads to delistings or warnings on aggregators
  • Unknown authority risk materializes as rug pull

GeneratedJun 11, 07:20 PM
Data freshnessPrice and trading data current as of approximately 2026-06-11T19:00 UTC. OHLC data covers only the last 3 hours. Historical holder data covers May 12 – June 10, 2026 (30 days prior to launch day).
Model confidence
low

Data sources

  • On-chain Solana token metadata (Mint: ULTRASmBC45vXVAzBpJCXeabHFKYbNfh1tXTf14NL5K)
  • PumpSwap DEX pair data (6Krfxarz6XKSdsqTPpBkg87XiQDnhQtLrnStcDsgDoXT)
  • Hourly OHLC candle data (3 candles, 2026-06-11 17:00–19:00 UTC)
  • 24h trading analytics (volume, buyer/seller counts, price changes)
  • Top 20 holder wallet data with balance percentages
  • Historical daily holder metrics (30-day series, May 12 – June 10, 2026)
  • Holder acquisition and distribution metrics
  • Sniper analysis endpoint (returned no data)

Limitations

  • Only 3 hourly OHLC candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis
  • No sniper data available — early buyer behavior cannot be fully quantified
  • Update authority status is unknown — authority risk cannot be precisely assessed
  • Token is less than 24 hours old in active trading — all metrics are launch-day snapshots
  • Holder wallet classifications are inferred from on-chain patterns, not verified identities
  • No order book depth data available — slippage estimates are approximations
  • Spam flag source and criteria not disclosed — cannot assess false positive probability

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does NOT constitute financial advice. ULTRAS exhibits multiple very-high-risk characteristics including possible spam classification, unknown authorities, extreme supply concentration, and shallow liquidity. The analyst has no position in this token. Past price performance does not guarantee future results. Cryptocurrency investments, especially micro-cap meme tokens, can result in total loss of capital.

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply1,000,000,000 ULTRAS

Key Risks

Unknown mint/freeze authority — potential for unlimited token minting or account freezing
Extreme supply concentration: top 10 hold 40.77%, top 100 hold 92.5%
Token dormant for 30 days with 9 holders — strong insider pre-positioning signal
75.5% sell pressure in 24h — active distribution by early holders

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

low confidence
High risk

No sniper data is available for ULTRAS. However, the historical holder data reveals a highly suspicious pattern: the token had exactly 9 holders for the entire 30-day period from May 12 to June 10, 2026, before exploding to 483 holders in a single day. This strongly implies a small group of insiders held the token for weeks before a coordinated launch/pump. The 9 pre-launch wallets likely represent team/insider positions. The top 2 holders alone control 23.19% of supply (12.22% + 10.97%), and the top 10 control 40.77%. The 75.5% sell pressure in the first 24h of active trading suggests early holders are actively distributing.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration0.00%
PnL stateUnknown
Sell-through rateUnknown
Profit-taking risk
high

No sniper data available — the sniper analysis endpoint returned no data for this token.

Highly suspicious — 9 wallets held the token for 30 days before launch, suggesting coordinated insider pre-positioning. These early holders are likely in significant profit and represent the primary sell-side pressure observed in the 75.5% sell volume ratio.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the short-term price outlook for ultras.fun (ULTRAS)?

The token has already surged 208% in 24h and is showing heavy sell pressure (75.5% of volume). The most recent hourly candle (19:00 UTC) shows a sharp rejection from the $0.000144 high, closing at $0.0000709 — a bearish engulfing-style reversal. The 5-minute change is -11%, signaling near-term downside. With only $39.79K in liquidity and dominant selling, further price decay is likely in the short term. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–48 hours), with a target range of $0.000027 to $0.000144.

Is ULTRAS a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 9.1/100. Suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who can afford to lose 100% of their investment. Absolutely not suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone allocating more than a negligible portion of their portfolio. This token exhibits multiple hallmarks of a pump-and-dump scheme.

How are ULTRAS holders trending?

ultras.fun currently has 483 holders and is growing (24h: 98, 7d: 98, 30d: 98). Holder growth is technically explosive (+98% in 24h, from 9 to 483), but this is entirely a launch-day phenomenon rather than sustained organic growth. The token sat at exactly 9 holders for the entire 30-day historical window (May 12 – June 10, 2026) with zero net change, then gained 474 holders in a single day. This pattern is consistent with a coordinated token launch where insiders pre-positioned before opening to the public. The 7d and 30d growth figures are identical to the 24h figure (98%), confirming all growth happened in the last 24 hours. Distribution breakdown shows 114 whales, 45 sharks, 130 dolphins, 40 fish, and 14 octopus wallets among the 483 holders.

What does sniper activity look like for ULTRAS?

Snipers hold roughly 0.00% of supply with PnL state "unknown" and sell-through rate "unknown". Profit-taking risk: high.

What are the key risks of holding ULTRAS?

Unknown mint/freeze authority — potential for unlimited token minting or account freezing • Extreme supply concentration: top 10 hold 40.77%, top 100 hold 92.5% • Token dormant for 30 days with 9 holders — strong insider pre-positioning signal

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