UMBRA

Umbra Price Today & AI Analysis

UMBRASolanaAnalysis as of May 25, 2026

Price

$0.2838

+10.85% 24h

Contract

Live
PRVT6TB7uss3FrUd2D9xs2zqDBsa3GbMJMwCQsgmeta

Chain

Solana

Holders

6,220

Market cap

$7,759,876

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Umbra: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-05-25 20:21 UTC

Holder addresses

6,244

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

$523,586.31
How concentrated is Umbra ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 6,244 addresses (2026-05-25 20:21 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling Umbra?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is Umbra liquidity falling?
As of 2026-05-25 20:21 UTC, reported liquidity was $523,586.31. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-05-25 20:21 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

Report snapshot

as of May 25, 08:21 PM UTC

FDV

$16,127,404

Liquidity

$523,586.31

Holders

6,244

Snipers

Not available

Risk

Very High
Loading price chart…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Bullish

Umbra (UMBRA) is a Solana-based privacy protocol enabling private swaps, transfers, and dApp integrations. With a current price of $0.5659 and a 24h gain of ~46.9%, the token is experiencing a sharp short-term price surge. Total supply is ~28.5M tokens with a fully diluted valuation of ~$16.1M. The token trades on Meteora Dynamic AMM v2 with $523.59K in liquidity. Despite the price spike, holder count has been declining over the past 30 days (-335, -5.4%), and supply concentration is extremely high — the top holder alone controls 47.37% of supply.

Key points

  • Privacy-focused Solana protocol enabling private swaps and transfers
  • No snipers detected in the first 1,000 blocks — clean launch
  • Strong 24h buy pressure at 62.6% of volume
  • Verified contract with no spam flag
  • Meteora Dynamic AMM v2 pairing providing structured liquidity

AI Price Analysis

bullish

Short term · 24–72 hours

bullish

Price has surged ~46.9% in 24h from ~$0.385 to $0.566, with the last few candles showing strong upward momentum. The immediate trend is bullish but overextended. A short-term pullback toward the $0.487–$0.510 zone is plausible before any continuation. Resistance sits near the recent high of $0.583.

Target low

$0.487

Target high

$0.620

Support

$0.487 (candle [2] open / candle [3] close), $0.434 (candle [4] open / candle [5] close), $0.409 (candle [6]–[8] consolidation zone)

Resistance

$0.583 (candle [1] open / candle [2] high), $0.620 (psychological extension), $0.421 (prior range high from candle [19])

Medium term · 2–4 weeks

neutral

The 30-day holder decline (-335 holders, -5.4%) and extreme supply concentration (top holder at 47.37%) create structural headwinds. If the price spike attracts new holders and the project delivers on its privacy protocol roadmap, medium-term consolidation above $0.40 is possible. However, without a reversal in holder trends, sustained upside is uncertain.

Catalysts

  • Protocol milestone announcements or dApp integrations
  • Broader Solana ecosystem rally
  • Reversal of 30-day holder decline
  • Increased DEX liquidity depth

Bullish factors

  • 46.9% 24h price gain with 62.6% buy pressure
  • No snipers detected — clean launch
  • Verified contract, not flagged as spam
  • Privacy narrative on Solana is a differentiated use case
  • 437 buys vs 501 sells but buy volume ($88.16K) significantly exceeds sell volume ($52.63K)

Bearish factors

  • Top holder controls 47.37% of supply — extreme concentration risk
  • 30-day holder count declined by 335 (-5.4%)
  • Mutable metadata with non-renounced update authority
  • Total liquidity of $523.59K is shallow relative to $16.1M FDV
  • Sharp spike may attract profit-taking from existing holders

Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to extreme supply concentration (top 10 hold 67.04%), a 30-day declining holder trend, a mutable contract with non-renounced update authority, and the sharp 46.9% single-day spike which historically increases mean-reversion risk. Only 22 hourly candles of OHLC data are available, limiting technical depth.

Token Info

Chain
Solana
Contract
PRVT6T...meta
Total Supply
28,499,908.693982

Key Risks

  • Single wallet (3kX3E...) holds 47.37% of total supply — extreme dump risk
  • Mutable metadata with active update authority not renounced
  • 30-day holder decline of 335 wallets (-5.4%) despite price appreciation
  • Shallow liquidity ($523.59K) relative to $16.1M FDV — high slippage risk

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

The 22 hourly candles show a clear two-phase structure: (1) a prolonged consolidation/sideways phase from candle [22] through candle [11] (~$0.385–$0.417 range, low volume), and (2) a sharp breakout phase beginning at candle [19] (00:00 UTC May 25) with a large bullish candle (O:$0.390, H:$0.421, C:$0.411, V:36,332) followed by a staircase of higher highs and higher lows through candle [2] (H:$0.583, V:36,128) and candle [1] closing at $0.566. The breakout candle [19] and candle [2] both show high volume (36K+ units), confirming institutional or large-wallet participation in the move.

Trend

Short-term

Uptrend

Medium-term

Sideways

Short-term trend is a strong uptrend with a series of higher highs and higher lows from candle [19] onward. Medium-term (prior 30 days of holder data) shows a sideways-to-declining structure in holder base, suggesting the price uptrend is not yet confirmed by fundamental accumulation.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Overbought

Volume trend

Increasing

Buy

63%

Sell

37%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.487 (candle [3] close / candle [2] open)

Major support

$0.409 (candles [6]–[9] consolidation cluster)

Immediate resistance

$0.583 (candle [1] open / candle [2] high)

Major resistance

$0.620 (psychological extension above recent high)

The $0.409–$0.413 zone served as a multi-hour consolidation base (candles [6]–[15]) and represents strong structural support. The $0.487 level is the first meaningful pullback target. On the upside, $0.583 is the most recent swing high and acts as immediate resistance.

Notable patterns

  • Strong bullish breakout candle at [19] with high volume — confirmed momentum shift
  • Staircase of higher highs and higher lows from candle [19] to candle [2]
  • Candle [6] shows near-doji with extremely low volume (134 units) — exhaustion before breakout
  • Candle [2] is a large bullish candle with close near high — continuation signal
  • Candle [1] shows upper wick (H:$0.583, C:$0.566) — potential short-term rejection at resistance

Liquidity

Liquidity

$523,586.31

Depth

Shallow

Slippage risk

High

Total liquidity of $523.59K is shallow relative to the $16.1M FDV — a ratio of approximately 3.2%, well below healthy thresholds (typically 5–10%+). This means large trades will experience significant slippage. The 24h net flow is positive (inflow), with buy volume of $88.16K exceeding sell volume of $52.63K by ~$35.5K. Unique buyers (170) slightly outnumber unique sellers (158), but the sell count (501 transactions) exceeds buy count (437), suggesting sellers are making more frequent but smaller trades while buyers are making fewer but larger purchases. The single trading pair on Meteora Dynamic AMM v2 (9uuneA2P...) concentrates all liquidity risk in one pool. A large sell order from the top wallet could severely impact price given the shallow depth.

Supply & authorities

Total supply

28,499,908.693982

FDV

$16,127,403.80

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

  • Volatilityhigh

    46.9% single-day price spike with 40.4% 6h gain indicates extreme short-term volatility. Mean reversion risk is elevated. The token has moved from ~$0.385 to $0.566 in under 24 hours.

  • Liquidityhigh

    Total liquidity of $523.59K against a $16.1M FDV yields a ~3.2% liquidity-to-FDV ratio. Large trades will incur significant slippage. Single-pool concentration on Meteora AMM v2 adds fragility.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Sniper DumpNot assessed

    Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.

  • AuthorityNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

  • Single wallet (3kX3E...) holds 47.37% of total supply — extreme dump risk
  • Mutable metadata with active update authority not renounced
  • 30-day holder decline of 335 wallets (-5.4%) despite price appreciation
  • Shallow liquidity ($523.59K) relative to $16.1M FDV — high slippage risk
  • Sharp 46.9% 24h spike increases mean-reversion probability
  • Unknown mint and freeze authority status

Mitigating factors

  • Zero snipers in first 1,000 blocks — fair launch
  • Verified contract, not flagged as spam
  • Positive 24h net buy flow ($88.16K buys vs $52.63K sells)
  • Differentiated privacy narrative on Solana
  • 170 unique buyers in 24h showing genuine market interest
  • No master edition — standard SPL token structure

Suitable for

Suitable only for high-risk-tolerant, experienced DeFi traders who understand the risks of extreme supply concentration, shallow liquidity, and mutable token authorities. Not suitable for conservative or retail investors. Position sizing should be minimal given the 47.37% single-wallet concentration risk.

Umbra presents a compelling privacy narrative on Solana — a genuinely differentiated use case in a market where most tokens lack fundamental utility. The clean launch (zero snipers), verified contract, and strong 24h buy pressure are positives. However, the investment case is severely challenged by extreme supply concentration (47.37% in one wallet), a 30-day declining holder trend, shallow liquidity, and mutable token authorities. The 46.9% 24h spike may be a momentum trade opportunity but carries significant mean-reversion risk.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

Privacy protocol gains traction as Solana ecosystem matures, attracting dApp integrations and new users. The top wallet is confirmed as a locked treasury, holder decline reverses, and liquidity deepens. Price sustains above $0.50 and targets $0.80–$1.00 range.

  • Confirmed treasury lock or burn of top wallet holdings
  • Successful dApp integrations driving protocol revenue
  • Reversal of 30-day holder decline with sustained new entrants
  • Broader Solana ecosystem bull market
  • Liquidity expansion beyond current $523.59K

Base Case

Price consolidates in the $0.43–$0.55 range following the spike, with moderate volatility. Holder count stabilizes near current levels. The project continues development but lacks a major catalyst to drive sustained upside. Liquidity remains shallow and concentration risk persists.

  • Top wallet remains inactive (holding)
  • No major protocol announcements in the near term
  • 24h buyer interest fades as momentum cools
  • Holder count stabilizes around 6,200–6,300
  • Liquidity remains at current $523.59K level

Bear Case

Medium probability

The top wallet (47.37%) begins distributing, triggering a cascade sell-off. Shallow liquidity amplifies the price impact. Holder decline accelerates, and the 46.9% spike proves to be a pump-and-dump event. Price retraces to pre-spike levels (~$0.385) or lower.

  • Top wallet distribution or team exit
  • Failure to deliver on privacy protocol roadmap
  • Continued 30-day holder decline accelerating
  • Liquidity withdrawal from Meteora pool
  • Broader Solana market downturn

Analysis details

Generated

May 25, 08:21 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-05-25 20:21 UTC

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

  • On-chain token metadata (Mint: PRVT6TB7uss3FrUd2D9xs2zqDBsa3GbMJMwCQsgmeta)
  • Real-time price feed ($0.5659 USD)
  • 22 hourly OHLC candles (May 24–25, 2026)
  • 24h trading analytics (buy/sell volume, unique wallets)
  • Top 20 holder snapshot with balances and percentages
  • 30-day daily historical holder series
  • Sniper analysis (first 1,000 blocks)
  • Meteora Dynamic AMM v2 liquidity data

Limitations

  • Only 22 hourly candles available — insufficient for robust multi-timeframe technical analysis
  • Mint and freeze authority status not explicitly provided in metadata
  • Top wallet (47.37%) classification is inferred — not confirmed as treasury, team, or other
  • Sniper data covers only first 1,000 blocks; later accumulation by sophisticated actors not captured
  • 30-day holder data shows daily net changes but not gross inflows/outflows separately
  • No vesting schedule, tokenomics documentation, or whitepaper data provided
  • Update authority wallet identity not verified on-chain beyond address matching

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments carry significant risk of total loss. The extreme supply concentration (47.37% single wallet) and mutable token authorities identified in this report represent material risks. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.

Frequently Asked Questions

How concentrated is Umbra ownership?

Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 6,244 addresses (2026-05-25 20:21 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.

Are large holders selling Umbra?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is Umbra liquidity falling?

As of 2026-05-25 20:21 UTC, reported liquidity was $523,586.31. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.

What is the short-term price outlook for Umbra (UMBRA)?

Price has surged ~46.9% in 24h from ~$0.385 to $0.566, with the last few candles showing strong upward momentum. The immediate trend is bullish but overextended. A short-term pullback toward the $0.487–$0.510 zone is plausible before any continuation. Resistance sits near the recent high of $0.583. Short-term outlook is bullish (24–72 hours), with a target range of $0.487 to $0.620.

Is UMBRA a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as very high with a risk score of 8.2/100. Suitable only for high-risk-tolerant, experienced DeFi traders who understand the risks of extreme supply concentration, shallow liquidity, and mutable token authorities. Not suitable for conservative or retail investors. Position sizing should be minimal given the 47.37% single-wallet concentration risk.

What are the key risks of holding UMBRA?

Single wallet (3kX3E...) holds 47.37% of total supply — extreme dump risk • Mutable metadata with active update authority not renounced • 30-day holder decline of 335 wallets (-5.4%) despite price appreciation

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