Holdoween

Holdoween Price Today & AI Analysis

HoldoweenSolanaAnalysis as of Sep 25, 2026

Price

$0.001071

+261.48% 24h

Contract

Live
BxftAowY2dVa2h9KMqDTPk4oMxzU9k6uVbZuoorXpump

Chain

Solana

Holders

7,220

Market cap

$1,041,700

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Holdoween: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-09-25 00:46 UTC

Holder addresses

7,220

Top 10 supply share

21.34%

Reported liquidity

$50,388.00
How concentrated is Holdoween ownership?
As of 2026-09-25 00:46 UTC, the provider reports that the top 10 holder addresses hold 21.34% of supply. It reports 7,220 holder addresses in total. Addresses are not people; pool, exchange, burn and related addresses have not been independently classified here.
Are large holders selling Holdoween?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. As of 2026-09-25 00:46 UTC, the preceding 24-hour DEX volume was $761,819.00 in buys and $727,814.00 in sells. Those totals describe trading activity, not which holders traded. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is Holdoween liquidity falling?
Sampled USD liquidity changed +103.59%, from $24,747.72 (2026-09-24 01:00 UTC) to $50,384.12 (2026-09-25 00:00 UTC). This compares the earliest and latest available samples, which may cover less than 24 hours. USD changes can reflect asset prices as well as liquidity deposits or withdrawals.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: Codex token aggregates, hourly liquidity samples and recent DEX swaps. Token aggregates retrieved 2026-09-25 00:46 UTC; the provider may lag the chain. Buy/sell totals cover the preceding 24 hours. Observations are saved with this report and do not update live. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Saved liquidity observations

Observation (UTC)Liquidity (USD)
2026-09-24 01:00 UTC$24,747.72
2026-09-24 02:00 UTC$25,177.93
2026-09-24 03:00 UTC$24,966.25
2026-09-24 04:00 UTC$24,165.89
2026-09-24 05:00 UTC$23,688.38
2026-09-24 06:00 UTC$24,764.52
2026-09-24 07:00 UTC$27,195.99
2026-09-24 08:00 UTC$27,976.71
2026-09-24 09:00 UTC$29,869.97
2026-09-24 10:00 UTC$31,038.81
2026-09-24 11:00 UTC$34,105.72
2026-09-24 12:00 UTC$39,022.69
2026-09-24 13:00 UTC$38,480.96
2026-09-24 14:00 UTC$38,496.87
2026-09-24 15:00 UTC$41,057.28
2026-09-24 16:00 UTC$47,512.21
2026-09-24 17:00 UTC$44,831.04
2026-09-24 18:00 UTC$45,979.56
2026-09-24 19:00 UTC$49,006.97
2026-09-24 20:00 UTC$47,545.69
2026-09-24 21:00 UTC$49,891.42
2026-09-24 22:00 UTC$51,506.76
2026-09-24 23:00 UTC$54,070.48
2026-09-25 00:00 UTC$50,384.12

Recent swap evidence

Up to 10 recent swaps returned by the provider within the preceding 24 hours. This is a sample, not all trades or a ranking of large holders.

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Report snapshot

as of Sep 25, 12:47 AM UTC

FDV

$1,041,700

Liquidity

$50,388.00

Holders

7,220

Snipers

Not available

Risk

Very High
Loading price chart…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Bearish

Holdoween (Holdoween) is a Halloween-themed Solana meme token trading on PumpSwap with an FDV of ~$1.04M, that just experienced a +261% 24h price surge accompanied by a >30x volume expansion, but it operates with only $50.39K in total liquidity — a severe mismatch against ~$1.49M in combined 24h volume — and lacks verified mint/freeze authority status, sniper coverage, and holder history data.

Key points

  • Extreme 24h price appreciation (+261%) driven by a volume spike (candle 17 volume of $358K vs a $2-10K baseline)
  • Severely shallow liquidity ($50.39K) relative to volume and FDV, creating outsized slippage and manipulation risk
  • Complete absence of sniper/bundler data and holder history, leaving major risk vectors (early-buyer dumping, whale accumulation trends) unassessable
  • Time-bound, narrative-driven token thesis ('hold until Halloween') that lacks conventional fundamental utility
  • Top-10 holder concentration of 21.34%, a moderate but not extreme figure, though full top-100 concentration is unknown

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term · next 4-12 hours

bearish

Given the -14.6% 1h decline and -4.6% 5m decline following an overbought blow-off candle (candle 17, high $0.00134), short-term momentum favors further consolidation or pullback toward the $0.00085-$0.00095 support band before any renewed advance, though volatility could quickly reverse this in either direction given the token's extreme historical swings.

Target low

$0.00075

Target high

$0.00120

Support

$0.000846, $0.000486

Resistance

$0.00113, $0.00130, $0.00134

Medium term · 3-14 days

neutral

Medium-term direction is highly uncertain given this is a shallow-liquidity meme token whose entire thesis ('hold until Halloween') is time-bound and narrative-driven rather than fundamentals-driven; sustained appreciation would require continued buyer inflows outpacing the currently balanced buy/sell split (51.1%/48.9%), which is not assured.

Catalysts

  • Approach of Halloween (the token's namesake event) could drive renewed speculative interest or, alternatively, a 'sell the news' event once the date passes
  • Continued high trading volume and buyer/seller imbalance could sustain momentum if buy pressure increases beyond the current ~51%
  • Unknown mint/freeze authority status could become a negative catalyst if any authority-related incident occurs
  • Shallow liquidity ($50.39K) makes the token susceptible to sharp moves from relatively small capital flows in either direction

Bullish factors

  • 24h buyers (10,819) outnumber sellers (6,539) by a wide margin, suggesting broad demand
  • Net buy volume slightly exceeds sell volume (51.1% vs 48.9%)
  • Large 24h price gain (+261%) reflects strong recent speculative momentum
  • Halloween-themed narrative may draw renewed attention as the calendar date approaches

Bearish factors

  • Sharp short-term reversal: -14.6% in the last hour and -4.6% in the last 5 minutes following an apparent blow-off top
  • Extremely shallow liquidity ($50.39K) relative to $1.49M 24h volume and $1.04M FDV creates high slippage and manipulation risk
  • Unknown mint/freeze authority status leaves open the possibility of supply inflation or account freezing
  • Time-bound meme narrative (tied to Halloween) risks a 'sell the news' event once the catalyst passes
  • No sniper or historical holder data to confirm the durability of the current holder base

Confidence: low. Confidence is low because liquidity is extremely shallow relative to volume, historical holder and sniper data are unavailable, mint/freeze authority status is unverified, and the token's price action shows classic high-volatility meme-coin behavior that is difficult to forecast reliably using OHLC data alone.

Holdoween call history

Full track record →

Sep 25bearish
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Solana
Contract
BxftAo...pump
Total Supply
972,913,500.51 Holdoween

Key Risks

  • Extremely shallow liquidity ($50.39K) relative to volume and FDV, creating high slippage and drain risk
  • Unknown mint/freeze authority status — inflation or account-freezing risk cannot be ruled out
  • Extreme volatility: +261% 24h move with sharp intra-day reversals (e.g. -36% intrahour retracement in candle 17)
  • No historical holder data available to assess whether the holder base is genuinely growing or being churned by bots/snipers

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

Over the most recent 24 hourly candles, price rose from an open near $0.000293 (candle 1) to a peak high of $0.00134 (candle 17) before pulling back to close the period at $0.00107 (candle 24), a roughly 265% intraday range. The move was choppy and volatile early (candles 1-6 traded in a $0.00025-$0.00032 range) before a strong breakout began around candle 7-12, with volume spiking dramatically in candle 12 ($172.9K) and candle 17 ($358K, the largest of the set) coinciding with the highest high and a sharp reversal — the candle 17 range ($0.000486 to $0.00134) shows a long upper wick indicating rejection at highs. The final candles (18-24) show consolidation with lower highs after the candle-17 spike, and candle 24 shows a large range with a low of $0.000846 before recovering to close at $0.00107, indicating continued two-sided volatility.

Trend

Short-term

Downtrend

Medium-term

Uptrend

Medium-term (24h) trend is strongly up (+261%), but short-term momentum has turned negative, with price down -14.6% over the last hour and -4.6% over the last 5 minutes, and the most recent candles showing lower highs since the candle-17 peak of $0.00134.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Overbought

Volume trend

Increasing

Buy

51%

Sell

49%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.000846 (candle 24 low)

Major support

$0.000486 (candle 17 low / wick low)

Immediate resistance

$0.00130 (candle 24 high, near recent peak)

Major resistance

$0.00134 (candle 17 high, session peak)

The session high of $0.00134 (candle 17) acts as major resistance, with an intermediate resistance near $0.0013 formed on the most recent candle's high. On the downside, the candle 24 low of $0.000846 is the nearest support, with the deeper wick low of $0.000486 from candle 17 serving as a major support/capitulation level should selling accelerate.

Notable patterns

  • Long upper-wick candle at the peak (candle 17: open $0.00099, high $0.00134, close $0.00087) suggesting a blow-off top / rejection
  • Volume climax on candle 17 ($358K, the largest 1h volume in the sample) coinciding with maximum price extension — classic exhaustion signature
  • Sequence of higher highs and higher closes from candles 7-16 (steady uptrend structure) followed by choppier, lower-high price action in candles 18-24 (early reversal/consolidation structure)
  • Sharp red wick on candle 24 (low $0.000846 vs close $0.00107) showing a shakeout followed by a partial recovery

Liquidity

Liquidity

$50,388.00

Depth

Shallow

Slippage risk

High

Total liquidity of just $50.39K is extremely shallow relative to a 24h trading volume near $1.49M combined (buy+sell) and an FDV of ~$1.04M, implying very high turnover relative to pool depth and significant slippage risk for any meaningfully sized trade. Buy volume ($761.82K, 51.1%) slightly exceeds sell volume ($727.81K, 48.9%), producing a mild net inflow bias, and unique buyers (10,819) substantially outnumber unique sellers (6,539), consistent with strong speculative demand during the 24h price surge. However, the ratio of trading volume (~30x) to liquidity is a red flag: this pool can be drained or heavily distorted quickly, and the shallow depth means the 261% 24h price move can partly reflect thin-liquidity mechanics rather than durable demand.

Supply & authorities

Total supply

972,913,500.51 Holdoween

FDV

$1.04M

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

  • Volatilityhigh

    24h price change of +261.48% with intra-hour swings such as the 1h candle from ~$0.00099 to a high of $0.00134 then a drop to $0.00087 (candle 17), and a very recent 1h decline of -14.6% and 5m decline of -4.6%, demonstrate extreme volatility typical of a low-cap, thinly-traded meme token.

  • Liquidityhigh

    Total liquidity of only $50.39K against ~$1.49M in combined 24h volume and a $1.04M FDV creates a severe liquidity-to-volume mismatch, meaning large trades can cause substantial slippage and the pool is vulnerable to rapid drain.

  • Concentrationmedium

    Top-10 holders control 21.34% of supply, a moderate concentration figure; however, top-100 concentration and wallet classifications are unavailable, so the full concentration picture (including possible team/insider wallets) cannot be assessed with confidence.

  • Sniper DumpNot assessed

    Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.

  • AuthorityNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

  • Extremely shallow liquidity ($50.39K) relative to volume and FDV, creating high slippage and drain risk
  • Unknown mint/freeze authority status — inflation or account-freezing risk cannot be ruled out
  • Extreme volatility: +261% 24h move with sharp intra-day reversals (e.g. -36% intrahour retracement in candle 17)
  • No historical holder data available to assess whether the holder base is genuinely growing or being churned by bots/snipers
  • Meme-token narrative ('Hold this coin until Halloween') with limited fundamental utility beyond speculation and a time-bound theme that expires, which could trigger a sell-off after Halloween
  • No sniper/bundler coverage data to assess early-buyer dump risk

Mitigating factors

  • 24h buyer count (10,819) outpaces seller count (6,539), suggesting broad-based speculative demand rather than a single whale-driven pump
  • Buy volume slightly exceeds sell volume (51.1% vs 48.9%), indicating a mild net inflow bias over the last 24h
  • Top-10 concentration of 21.34% is not extreme compared to many nascent meme tokens, though it is not verified against the full top-100

Suitable for

Only suitable for highly risk-tolerant, speculative traders comfortable with total loss; unsuitable for conservative investors or those seeking fundamental-value exposure given the unresolved authority risks, shallow liquidity, and extreme volatility.

Holdoween is a Halloween-themed Solana meme token that has seen an extreme +261% 24h price surge on the back of a >30x volume expansion, but it trades with dangerously shallow liquidity ($50.39K) relative to its volume and FDV, and critical risk data points (mint/freeze authority, sniper activity, holder history) are entirely unavailable. This is a highly speculative, high-risk asset suited only for traders comfortable with total capital loss.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

Continued speculative momentum and narrative attention (potentially amplified as Halloween approaches) draws in more buyers than sellers, pushing price toward or beyond the recent $0.00134 high, supported by the current 51.1%/48.9% buy-dominant volume split and a buyer count nearly double the seller count over the last 24h.

  • Sustained buyer dominance in daily transaction counts (10,819 buyers vs 6,539 sellers)
  • Renewed social/narrative attention tied to the Halloween theme
  • Momentum-driven speculative inflows typical of trending Solana meme tokens on PumpSwap

Base Case

Price consolidates in a wide range roughly between the candle-24 low ($0.000846) and the recent high ($0.00134) as the market digests the rapid 24h rally, with continued high volatility and roughly balanced buy/sell flow (currently 51.1%/48.9%) until a clearer catalyst (positive or negative) emerges.

  • Buy/sell volume balance remains close to the current near-50/50 split without a decisive shift
  • No major authority-related incident (e.g., mint dilution) occurs during the consolidation window
  • Liquidity remains near current levels ($50.39K) without a sudden major withdrawal

Bear Case

Medium probability

The blow-off top pattern seen in candle 17 (long upper wick, volume climax) resolves into a deeper correction as short-term sellers take profits, exacerbated by the extremely thin $50.39K liquidity pool that cannot absorb large sell orders without severe slippage, potentially cascading into a rapid price collapse; this risk is compounded by unknown mint/freeze authority status and total absence of sniper/holder history data.

  • Already-visible -14.6% 1h and -4.6% 5m negative momentum immediately following the peak
  • Shallow liquidity relative to trading volume (~30x mismatch) magnifying any sell pressure
  • Unverified mint/freeze authority creates unquantified tail risk of supply dilution or account freezing
  • Time-bound 'hold until Halloween' narrative could trigger post-catalyst profit-taking

Analysis details

Generated

Sep 25, 12:47 AM UTC

Saved observation

2026-09-25 00:46 UTC

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

  • On-chain metadata (mint, supply, decimals)
  • PumpSwap pair pricing and 24h price change data
  • 24-hour hourly OHLCV candle data (24 candles)
  • Trading analytics (buy/sell volume, buyer/seller counts, liquidity)
  • Codex holder aggregate snapshot (holder count, top-10 concentration)

Limitations

  • No sniper/bundler data was available ('No sniper data available'), preventing assessment of early-buyer dump risk or sniper PnL
  • No historical holder count data (24h/7d/30d) was available, only a current snapshot, preventing growth trend or accumulation/distribution analysis
  • No wallet classification data was available, preventing identification of notable holders (exchanges, team wallets, etc.)
  • Mint authority, freeze authority, and contract verification status were all unknown, preventing a rug-risk assessment from authorities
  • Top-100 holder concentration was not provided, only top-10, limiting the full concentration picture
  • 6h price change data was unavailable

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is generated from on-chain and market data for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency assets, especially low-liquidity meme tokens, carry very high risk including potential total loss of capital. Data marked 'unknown' reflects genuine gaps in the provided evidence and should not be interpreted as either a positive or negative signal. Always conduct independent due diligence before making investment decisions.

Frequently Asked Questions

How concentrated is Holdoween ownership?

As of 2026-09-25 00:46 UTC, the provider reports that the top 10 holder addresses hold 21.34% of supply. It reports 7,220 holder addresses in total. Addresses are not people; pool, exchange, burn and related addresses have not been independently classified here.

Are large holders selling Holdoween?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. As of 2026-09-25 00:46 UTC, the preceding 24-hour DEX volume was $761,819.00 in buys and $727,814.00 in sells. Those totals describe trading activity, not which holders traded. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is Holdoween liquidity falling?

Sampled USD liquidity changed +103.59%, from $24,747.72 (2026-09-24 01:00 UTC) to $50,384.12 (2026-09-25 00:00 UTC). This compares the earliest and latest available samples, which may cover less than 24 hours. USD changes can reflect asset prices as well as liquidity deposits or withdrawals.

What is the short-term price outlook for Holdoween (Holdoween)?

Given the -14.6% 1h decline and -4.6% 5m decline following an overbought blow-off candle (candle 17, high $0.00134), short-term momentum favors further consolidation or pullback toward the $0.00085-$0.00095 support band before any renewed advance, though volatility could quickly reverse this in either direction given the token's extreme historical swings. Short-term outlook is bearish (next 4-12 hours), with a target range of $0.00075 to $0.00120.

Is Holdoween a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as very high with a risk score of 85/100. Only suitable for highly risk-tolerant, speculative traders comfortable with total loss; unsuitable for conservative investors or those seeking fundamental-value exposure given the unresolved authority risks, shallow liquidity, and extreme volatility.

What are the key risks of holding Holdoween?

Extremely shallow liquidity ($50.39K) relative to volume and FDV, creating high slippage and drain risk • Unknown mint/freeze authority status — inflation or account-freezing risk cannot be ruled out • Extreme volatility: +261% 24h move with sharp intra-day reversals (e.g. -36% intrahour retracement in candle 17)

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