PMX

PMX Price Prediction 2026

PMX
Solana
AI Analysis
Analysis as of Aug 10, 2026

J27UYHX5oeaG1YbUGQc8BmJySXDjNWChdGB2Pi2TMDAq

$0.001394

+250.96%

FDV $1,394,195

LiveContract:J27UYHX5oeaG1YbUGQc8BmJySXDjNWChdGB2Pi2TMDAqChain:SolanaHolders:4,788Market cap:$1,394,195

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Report snapshotas of Aug 10, 09:19 PM
FDV

$1,394,195

Liquidity

$1,816,098

Holders

0

Snipers

0

Risk

High

AI Executive Summary

PMX (Polycule) is a Solana-based token launched on Meteora Dynamic AMM, associated with a Telegram trading bot for Polymarket prediction markets. The token has experienced an extraordinary 24-hour price surge of ~252%, rising from a low of ~$0.000406 to a current price of ~$0.001394. Total liquidity stands at $1.82M against an FDV of ~$1.39M — an unusual situation where liquidity exceeds FDV, suggesting deep pool seeding relative to market cap. The token is mutable with a non-renounced update authority, presenting elevated rug risk.

Risk: High
Sentiment: Neutral
Liquidity ($1.82M) exceeds FDV ($1.39M), indicating unusually deep pool seeding
252% 24h price surge from a very low base (~$0.000406 launch candle low)
Telegram trading bot utility narrative tied to Polymarket prediction markets
Mutable token with non-renounced update authority (HZfLb4eBFZj6fwgMDmg3GrzgSSkJiK2vM1RQxe7VfNBT)
No sniper data available — early buyer behavior cannot be assessed

Price Prediction

neutral

Short term

neutral
1–24 hours

After a 252% surge in 24 hours, PMX is showing signs of consolidation near $0.001394. The most recent candle (hour 1) has very low volume ($442) compared to the explosive candle 24 hours ago ($437K), suggesting momentum is fading. Price is near the top of the recent range. A pullback toward $0.001150–$0.001200 is plausible before any continuation.

Target low$0.001073
Target high$0.001600
Support: $0.001242 (hour 6–7 consolidation zone), $0.001073 (hour 5 low), $0.000878 (hour 17–18 lows)
Resistance: $0.001399 (hour 2 high, near current price), $0.001600 (hour 24 all-time high in dataset)

Medium term

bullish
1–4 weeks

If the Polycule Telegram bot gains traction on Polymarket and the project delivers on its utility narrative, sustained buying pressure could push PMX toward and beyond the $0.001600 high. However, the mutable token structure and lack of authority renouncement are significant overhangs. Medium-term trajectory depends heavily on user adoption and whether early holders distribute.

Catalysts
  • Telegram bot user growth and Polymarket trading volume
  • Potential listings on aggregators or DEX screeners driving discovery
  • Broader Solana memecoin/utility token market sentiment
  • Liquidity depth ($1.82M) supporting price stability relative to FDV

Bullish factors

  • Strong 24h buy pressure at 56.7% ($376K buys vs $287K sells)
  • Liquidity ($1.82M) significantly exceeds FDV ($1.39M), providing price support
  • Genuine utility narrative: Telegram bot for Polymarket prediction markets
  • Verified contract, not flagged as spam
  • Consistent upward price structure from $0.000406 to $0.001394 over 24 hours
  • 472 unique buyers vs 407 unique sellers in 24h — net buyer dominance

Bearish factors

  • 252% single-day surge creates extreme mean-reversion risk
  • Token is mutable with non-renounced update authority — rug risk present
  • No social links provided in metadata — limited community verification
  • Volume dropped sharply from $437K (hour 24) to $442 (hour 1) — momentum fading
  • No sniper data available — cannot assess early buyer distribution risk
  • Total supply ~1B tokens with FDV only $1.39M — very low per-token value
Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to: (1) the token is extremely new with only ~24 hours of price history available; (2) no sniper/early buyer data to assess distribution risk; (3) mutable token with non-renounced authority introduces rug risk at any time; (4) the 252% move in 24h makes mean-reversion highly probable in the short term.

PMX call history

Full track record →
Aug 10neutral
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Deep Analysis

The 24-hour OHLC dataset reveals a dramatic launch and recovery pattern. Candle 24 (oldest) shows the launch candle: O:$0.000408, H:$0.001600, L:$0.000406, C:$0.000921 on massive volume of $437K — a classic 'wick candle' indicating violent early price discovery. Candles 23–17 show a pullback and consolidation between $0.000738–$0.000952. Candles 16–12 show a gradual recovery from $0.000878 to $0.001036. Candles 11–7 show accelerating upside momentum with higher highs and higher lows, culminating in candle 7 (H:$0.001344, V:$50K). Candles 6–1 show continued grind higher to current $0.001394, with volume declining sharply — a potential exhaustion signal.

Trend

Short-term
uptrend
Medium-term
uptrend

Momentum

Status
overbought

Volume

Trenddecreasing
Buy 57%Sell 43%

Clear short and medium-term uptrend from the $0.000406 launch low to $0.001394 current price. The structure shows higher lows (0.000840 → 0.000878 → 0.000940 → 0.001062 → 0.001073) and higher highs (0.000952 → 0.001022 → 0.001072 → 0.001344 → 0.001399), a textbook uptrend. However, the trend is very young (24 hours) and volume is declining at the highs.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.001242 (hours 6–7 consolidation zone)
Major$0.000878 (hours 17–18 lows, post-launch base)
Resistance
Immediate$0.001399 (hour 2 high, near current price)
Major$0.001600 (hour 24 launch candle wick high — all-time high in dataset)

The $0.001242–$0.001283 zone acted as resistance in hours 6–7 and should now serve as immediate support on any pullback. The $0.001600 level represents the absolute high from the launch wick and is the key resistance to watch. A break above $0.001600 on volume would signal a new leg up. Below $0.000878, the next major support is the launch candle low near $0.000406.

Notable patterns

  • Launch wick candle (hour 24): massive upper wick from $0.000406 to $0.001600, closing at $0.000921 — classic pump-and-partial-retrace launch pattern
  • Higher highs and higher lows structure from hours 23 to 1 — confirmed uptrend
  • Volume climax at launch followed by declining volume on recovery — potential exhaustion/distribution
  • Secondary volume spike at hour 7 ($50K) coinciding with breakout above $0.001242 resistance
  • Doji-like candle at hour 1 (O:$0.001395, H:$0.001395, L:$0.001348, C:$0.001394) with near-zero volume — indecision at highs
  • Bearish volume divergence: price making new highs (hours 2–1) while volume collapses

Liquidity$1,820,000
Depth
Moderate
Slippage risk
medium

Volume (24h)

Buy$376,390
Sell$287,490
Net flow
inflow

Traders (24h)

Unique buyers472
Unique sellers407

PMX has a notably unusual liquidity profile: total liquidity of $1.82M exceeds the FDV of $1.39M. This suggests the liquidity pool was seeded with significant capital relative to the token's market cap, which can provide price stability but also raises questions about who seeded the pool and whether they can withdraw it. The 24h net flow is positive with $376K in buys vs $287K in sells (56.7% buy pressure). 472 unique buyers vs 407 unique sellers shows modest buyer dominance. The pool is on Meteora Dynamic AMM (pair 6VKwjoZgzQjfXpxJ9SMo7BYRxHh71xtSLuxzbJ8LXoeF). Slippageisk is rated medium — while liquidity is deep relative to FDV, the token is new and liquidity could be withdrawn at any time given the non-renounced authority. The 2,601 buys vs 2,150 sells in 24h (total ~4,751 transactions) indicates active trading for a new token.

Supply & Valuation

Total supply999,978,756.15
FDV$1,394,195.30

Authorities

Mint authority
Active
Freeze authority
Active

PMX has a total supply of ~1 billion tokens with an FDV of ~$1.39M, implying a price of ~$0.001394 per token. The token is marked as 'Mutable: true' with update authority held by HZfLb4eBFZj6fwgMDmg3GrzgSSkJiK2vM1RQxe7VfNBT — this is NOT the burn address (111...1111) and has NOT been renounced. This means the token metadata can be changed by the authority holder. Mint and freeze authority status are not explicitly provided in the metadata, so they are marked 'unknown'. The mutable status with a live update authority is a meaningful rug risk factor — the authority holder could potentially modify token parameters. The contract is marked as verified and not flagged as spam, which are positive signals. No social links are provided in the metadata, limiting community verification.

Volatility
high

252% price surge in 24 hours from a $0.000406 launch low. Extreme volatility typical of newly launched Solana tokens. The launch candle alone had a range from $0.000406 to $0.001600 — a 294% intracandle range.

Liquidity
medium

Liquidity of $1.82M exceeds FDV of $1.39M, which is unusual and provides some price support. However, liquidity is not locked (mutable token, non-renounced authority) and could be withdrawn. Slippage risk is moderate for larger trades.

Concentration
high

Holder distribution data is unavailable. For a newly launched token with no holder data, concentration risk defaults to high as a conservative assumption. Early buyers from the $0.000406 launch low hold significant unrealized gains.

SniperDump
medium

No sniper data is available, so sniper dump risk cannot be precisely quantified. However, the launch candle pattern (massive wick to $0.001600 followed by pullback to $0.000921) is consistent with early buyer activity. Any wallets that bought near the launch low are up ~243% and represent latent sell pressure.

Authority
high

Token is mutable (Mutable: true) with update authority held by HZfLb4eBFZj6fwgMDmg3GrzgSSkJiK2vM1RQxe7VfNBT — not renounced, not the burn address. Mint and freeze authority status unknown. This represents a meaningful rug/manipulation risk as the authority holder retains control over token parameters.

Key risks

  • Non-renounced, mutable update authority — token parameters can be changed by authority holder
  • Extreme 252% 24h volatility — high mean-reversion risk
  • No holder distribution data — concentration risk cannot be assessed
  • No sniper data — early buyer profit-taking risk is unquantifiable
  • No social links in metadata — limited community/team verification
  • Very new token (~24 hours of price history) — high uncertainty
  • Liquidity pool seeding exceeds FDV — unusual structure that warrants scrutiny
  • Volume collapsed 99.9% from launch candle to most recent candle — momentum exhaustion

Mitigating factors

  • Verified contract, not flagged as spam
  • Liquidity ($1.82M) exceeds FDV ($1.39M) — deep pool relative to market cap
  • Net buy pressure: 56.7% buys vs 43.3% sells in 24h
  • 472 unique buyers vs 407 unique sellers — genuine buyer interest
  • Genuine utility narrative: Telegram bot for Polymarket prediction markets
  • Consistent higher-highs/higher-lows price structure over 24 hours
Suitable for: Suitable only for high-risk-tolerant, experienced DeFi traders who understand the risks of newly launched Solana tokens. Position sizing should be minimal (1–3% of portfolio maximum). Not suitable for risk-averse investors, those unfamiliar with Solana DEX mechanics, or anyone who cannot afford to lose their entire investment. This is a speculative, high-risk asset.

PMX presents a high-risk, high-reward speculative opportunity tied to the Polycule Telegram trading bot for Polymarket. The token has demonstrated explosive early price action (+252% in 24h) with genuine buy-side dominance and unusually deep liquidity relative to FDV. However, the mutable token structure, non-renounced authority, lack of social links, and absence of holder/sniper data create significant information gaps that elevate risk substantially. The investment thesis hinges entirely on whether the Polycule bot achieves real user adoption on Polymarket.

Bull case (low)

Polycule bot gains significant traction among Polymarket traders, driving sustained demand for PMX. The deep liquidity pool ($1.82M) supports price stability as new buyers enter. The token breaks above the $0.001600 launch wick high and establishes a new price range, potentially reaching $0.003–$0.005 as the utility narrative spreads through crypto Twitter and Telegram communities.

  • Polycule Telegram bot achieves meaningful Polymarket trading volume
  • Crypto community adoption of prediction market trading tools
  • Sustained buy pressure maintaining 56%+ buy dominance
  • Break above $0.001600 all-time high on volume
  • Authority renouncement or lock announcements building trust

Base case

PMX consolidates in the $0.001000–$0.001400 range over the next 1–2 weeks as early excitement fades. The Polycule bot generates modest but real usage, maintaining some buy pressure. Price gradually drifts lower as early holders take partial profits, settling around $0.000800–$0.001100 absent a major catalyst.

  • Polycule bot has real but limited initial user base
  • Liquidity pool remains intact (not withdrawn)
  • No adverse use of mutable authority
  • Broader Solana market remains stable
  • Early buyers take partial profits but do not fully exit

Bear case (medium)

Early buyers from the $0.000406 launch low begin distributing into the market, overwhelming buy pressure. The mutable authority is used to modify token parameters or liquidity is withdrawn. Price retraces to the $0.000406–$0.000500 launch range, representing an ~65–70% drawdown from current levels.

  • Early buyer profit-taking from 243%+ unrealized gains
  • Liquidity withdrawal by pool seeder (non-locked liquidity)
  • Failure of Polycule bot to gain user traction
  • Mutable authority used adversarially
  • Volume exhaustion (current candle: $442 vs $437K launch candle)

GeneratedAug 10, 09:19 PM
Data freshnessData current as of the most recent candle close at 2026-08-10T21:00:00Z. Price data reflects ~24 hours of trading history since token launch.
Model confidence
low

Data sources

  • On-chain token metadata (Mint: J27UYHX5oeaG1YbUGQc8BmJySXDjNWChdGB2Pi2TMDAq)
  • Meteora Dynamic AMM pair data (6VKwjoZgzQjfXpxJ9SMo7BYRxHh71xtSLuxzbJ8LXoeF)
  • 24-hour hourly OHLC candle data (24 candles)
  • 24-hour trading analytics (buy/sell volume, unique wallets, price changes)
  • Sniper analysis endpoint (returned no data)

Limitations

  • Holder distribution data is entirely unavailable — concentration and whale analysis cannot be performed
  • Sniper/early buyer data is unavailable — profit-taking risk from early wallets cannot be quantified
  • Only 24 hours of price history available — insufficient for robust technical analysis
  • Mint and freeze authority status not explicitly provided in metadata
  • No social links or external verification sources available in the data
  • Token is mutable — on-chain state could change after analysis timestamp
  • FDV exceeding liquidity inversion is unusual and may indicate non-standard pool mechanics not fully captured in this analysis
  • All analysis is based solely on the data provided — no external research was conducted

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially newly launched tokens, carry extreme risk including total loss of capital. The token data was provided by a potentially adversarial source and has been treated as evidence only. Always conduct your own research before making any investment decisions.

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply999,978,756.15

Key Risks

Non-renounced, mutable update authority — token parameters can be changed by authority holder
Extreme 252% 24h volatility — high mean-reversion risk
No holder distribution data — concentration risk cannot be assessed
No sniper data — early buyer profit-taking risk is unquantifiable

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

low confidence
Low risk

No sniper data is available for PMX. Early buyer behavior, sniper concentration, and profit-taking risk from snipers cannot be assessed. The absence of sniper data means we cannot determine whether early wallets are sitting on large unrealized gains that could be distributed into the market. Given the 252% price surge, any early buyers from the $0.000406 launch low are sitting on significant unrealized profits, creating latent sell pressure — but the specific wallets and amounts are unknown.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration0.00%
PnL stateUnknown
Sell-through rateUnknown
Profit-taking risk
low

No sniper data available

Unknown — no sniper data available. However, given the launch candle low of $0.000406 and current price of $0.001394, any wallet that bought near the launch low is up ~243%. This creates significant latent profit-taking risk from early participants.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the price prediction for PMX (PMX)?

After a 252% surge in 24 hours, PMX is showing signs of consolidation near $0.001394. The most recent candle (hour 1) has very low volume ($442) compared to the explosive candle 24 hours ago ($437K), suggesting momentum is fading. Price is near the top of the recent range. A pullback toward $0.001150–$0.001200 is plausible before any continuation. Short-term outlook is neutral (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.001073 to $0.001600.

Is PMX a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated high with a risk score of 7.5/100. Suitable only for high-risk-tolerant, experienced DeFi traders who understand the risks of newly launched Solana tokens. Position sizing should be minimal (1–3% of portfolio maximum). Not suitable for risk-averse investors, those unfamiliar with Solana DEX mechanics, or anyone who cannot afford to lose their entire investment. This is a speculative, high-risk asset.

What does sniper activity look like for PMX?

Snipers hold roughly 0.00% of supply with PnL state "unknown" and sell-through rate "unknown". Profit-taking risk: low.

What are the key risks of holding PMX?

Non-renounced, mutable update authority — token parameters can be changed by authority holder • Extreme 252% 24h volatility — high mean-reversion risk • No holder distribution data — concentration risk cannot be assessed

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