Melania Meme Price Today & AI Analysis

MELANIASolanaAnalysis as of Jun 12, 2026

$0.0865

-0.99% 24h

Contract

Live

FUAfBo2jgks6gB4Z4LfZkqSZgzNucisEHqnNebaRxM1P

Chain

Solana

Holders

222,311

Market cap

$86,468,876

At a $500M market cap, $MELANIA would be $0.5000 (5.78x from today’s price)

Market cap calculator

Is MELANIA a scam?

Unhosted check · Oct 24

Verified

Marked legitimate after a manual review.

Can you sell?

YesNothing in the token can block or tax a sell

Read from the token’s own on-chain settings, with Unhosted’s automated check: a warning signal, not a guarantee either way. The settings say whether the token can block or tax a sell, not whether its pool has the liquidity to sell into.

Ask Unhosted AI about MELANIA

3 free answers a day

What's Twitter saying?Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweets Whale activityWho is accumulating or distributing What are the risks?Red flags, security, concentration Should I buy?Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

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Melania Meme: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-06-12 11:20 UTC

Holder addresses

223,326

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

$10,955,934.72

How concentrated is Melania Meme ownership?: Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 223,326 addresses (2026-06-12 11:20 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling Melania Meme?: This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is Melania Meme liquidity falling?: As of 2026-06-12 11:20 UTC, reported liquidity was $10,955,934.72. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.

Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-06-12 11:20 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

Report snapshot

as of Jun 12, 11:20 AM UTC

FDV

$85,187,641

Liquidity

$10,955,934.72

Holders

223,326

Snipers

Not available

Risk

High

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1h chart read; Support, resistance, Fibonacci and RSI divergence are drawn on the chart once it loads.

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AI Executive Summary

Risk

High

Sentiment

Neutral

MELANIA (Melania Meme) is a Solana-based meme token with ~1B total supply, currently priced at ~$0.0852 with a fully diluted valuation of ~$85.2M and $10.96M in total liquidity. The token has 223,326 holders and is experiencing a short-term price recovery (+11.57% in 24h) after a period of consolidation. However, the token exhibits extreme supply concentration — the top 10 holders control 89.86% of supply — and a persistent, slow decline in holder count over the past 30 days, raising significant structural concerns.

Key points

High liquidity relative to market cap (~12.9% liquidity/FDV ratio)
Strong 24h buy pressure at 79.4% of volume
Large and established holder base of 223,326 wallets
Verified contract with active social presence (Reddit, Twitter, website)
Extreme top-10 supply concentration at 89.86% is a critical risk factor
Persistent 30-day holder decline of -606 (-0.27%) signals slow but steady distribution

AI Price Analysis

neutral

Short term · 24–72 hours

neutral

Price has recovered from lows near $0.0764 to $0.0852, a ~11.6% gain in 24h. The most recent candle [1] shows a bearish close (open $0.0887, close $0.0852), suggesting the intraday rally may be fading. With 5m and 1h momentum turning negative (-0.46% and -2.98% respectively), a short-term pullback toward support is likely before any continuation.

Target low

$0.0771

Target high

$0.0887

Support: $0.0852 (current price / recent close), $0.0795 (candle [9] open/close zone), $0.0771 (multi-candle consolidation floor, candles [6][7][8][11])
Resistance: $0.0887 (candle [1] open / recent intraday high), $0.0895 (psychological round level above recent high)

Medium term · 2–4 weeks

bearish

The persistent 30-day holder decline and extreme supply concentration in the top 10 wallets (89.86%) create structural headwinds. Without a catalyst to attract new holders or a significant volume surge, the token is likely to drift lower or remain range-bound. The meme token narrative tied to political figures can be volatile and sentiment-driven.

Catalysts

Renewed political/media attention on the MELANIA brand
Broader Solana meme token market rally
Large holder distribution events (could accelerate decline)
New exchange listings or partnership announcements

Bullish factors

79.4% buy pressure in 24h (1,126 buys vs 827 sells)
Strong 24h price gain of +11.57%
$10.96M total liquidity provides meaningful depth
Verified contract and active social presence
6h price change of +10.46% shows momentum building intraday

Bearish factors

Top 10 holders control 89.86% of supply — extreme concentration risk
Persistent 30-day holder decline (-606 holders, -0.27%)
Most recent 5m (-0.46%) and 1h (-2.98%) momentum is negative
Very low volume on most hourly candles (some as low as $80–$235)
Update authority not renounced (mutable metadata)
Meme token with no fundamental utility beyond speculative narrative
24h buy volume of only $46.77K is thin for an $85M FDV asset

Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to the meme token nature of MELANIA, extreme supply concentration making price highly susceptible to whale actions, thin recent volume (most candles show very low volume), and the absence of sniper data. The 24h price move is driven by relatively small buy volume ($46.77K), making it potentially fragile.

MELANIA call history

Full track record →

Jun 12neutral@ $0.0852

24h—

7d—

30d-4.9%

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain: Solana
Contract: FUAfBo...xM1P
Total Supply: 999,996,119.12

Key Risks

Extreme supply concentration: top 2 wallets hold 60% of supply, top 10 hold 89.86%
Persistent 30-day holder decline with no reversal signal
Mutable metadata with non-renounced update authority
Unknown mint and freeze authority status

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

The 17-candle hourly series (June 11–12, 2026) shows a base consolidation phase between $0.0764–$0.0795 (candles [10]–[17]) followed by a sharp upward move beginning around candle [4] (08:00 UTC June 12). Candle [4] is a strong bull candle (O:$0.0791, H:$0.0819, C:$0.0819) with meaningful volume ($10,005). Candle [3] continues the rally (O:$0.0820, H:$0.0852, C:$0.0852, V:$9,179). Candle [2] is a near-doji at the top (O:$0.0852, H:$0.0852, C:$0.0852, V:$19,959 — highest volume candle). Candle [1] is a bearish candle (O:$0.0887, H:$0.0887, C:$0.0852), suggesting a failed attempt to push higher and potential short-term exhaustion. The base consolidation candles [6][7][8][11] are near-identical doji candles at $0.07712, indicating a strong price floor at that level.

Trend

Short-term

Uptrend

Medium-term

Sideways

Short-term trend is bullish following the June 12 rally from $0.0769 to $0.0887. Medium-term trend is sideways, with price oscillating between $0.0764 and $0.0887 over the observed period. No clear higher highs on a multi-day basis — the range is relatively contained.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Neutral

Volume trend

Decreasing

Buy

79%

Sell

21%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.0852 (current price, recent close of candle [1] and [2])

Major support

$0.0771 (multi-candle doji floor, candles [6][7][8][11][20])

Immediate resistance

$0.0887 (candle [1] open / intraday high)

Major resistance

$0.0895–$0.0900 (psychological level above recent high)

The $0.0771 level is a very strong support zone — at least 4 candles consolidated exactly at this price with near-zero spread, suggesting a significant limit order wall or liquidity concentration. The $0.0887 level is the most recent intraday high and acts as immediate resistance. A break above $0.0887 with volume would be bullish; a failure to hold $0.0852 could see a retest of $0.0771.

Notable patterns

Doji cluster at $0.07712 (candles [6][7][8][11][20]) — strong base/support zone
Bearish shooting star / upper wick on candle [1] — potential short-term exhaustion at $0.0887
Bull engulfing sequence on candles [4] and [3] — strong upward momentum during rally
Near-doji at top on candle [2] with highest volume — possible distribution at resistance
Higher lows from candle [10] ($0.0765) to candle [5] ($0.0769) to candle [4] ($0.0779) — bullish structure

Liquidity

$10,955,934.72

Depth

Moderate

Slippage risk

Medium

Total liquidity of $10.96M on the Meteora DLMM pair (9DiruRpjnAnzhn6ts5HGLouHtJrT1JGsPbXNYCrFz2ad) is substantial relative to 24h volume ($58.92K combined), representing a liquidity-to-daily-volume ratio of ~186x. This suggests the pool is deep enough to absorb normal trading without significant slippage for retail-sized orders. However, for larger trades (e.g., whale exits), slippage risk rises to medium given the concentrated LP. The 24h net flow is clearly positive — $46.77K in buys vs $12.15K in sells, with 370 unique buyers vs 333 unique sellers. Buy pressure at 79.4% is strong but the absolute dollar volumes are thin for an $85M FDV token, suggesting limited retail participation. The 441 unique wallets active in 24h is a relatively small number for a token with 223K holders, indicating low engagement from the broader holder base.

Supply & authorities

Total supply

999,996,119.12

FDV

$85,187,641.09

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

Volatilityhigh
Meme token with political narrative — highly susceptible to sentiment swings. 24h range spans ~16% ($0.0769–$0.0887). Price can move dramatically on low volume given thin daily trading ($58.92K).
Liquiditymedium
$10.96M liquidity provides reasonable depth for retail trades, but whale-sized exits from the 30% holders could overwhelm the pool. Liquidity-to-FDV ratio of ~12.9% is acceptable but not exceptional.
ConcentrationNot assessed
Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.
Sniper DumpNot assessed
Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.
AuthorityNot assessed
Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

Extreme supply concentration: top 2 wallets hold 60% of supply, top 10 hold 89.86%
Persistent 30-day holder decline with no reversal signal
Mutable metadata with non-renounced update authority
Unknown mint and freeze authority status
Very thin 24h trading volume ($58.92K) relative to $85.19M FDV
Meme token with no fundamental utility — entirely sentiment-driven
Political narrative tokens are subject to rapid sentiment reversals
Only 441 unique wallets active in 24h from a 223K holder base — very low engagement

Mitigating factors

$10.96M liquidity provides meaningful buffer against small-to-medium sell pressure
Verified contract and active social presence (Reddit, Twitter, website)
Large holder base of 223,326 provides some distribution breadth
79.4% buy pressure in 24h suggests current market sentiment is positive
Token description mentions structured vesting — if adhered to, limits immediate dump risk from team wallets
Meteora DLMM LP is a reputable DEX venue on Solana

Suitable for

Suitable only for high-risk-tolerant, speculative traders who understand meme token dynamics and can afford to lose their entire investment. Not suitable for conservative investors, long-term holders seeking fundamental value, or those without deep familiarity with Solana DeFi risks. Position sizing should be minimal relative to overall portfolio.

MELANIA is a high-risk, speculative meme token with a recognizable political brand, meaningful liquidity, and a large holder base — but critically undermined by extreme supply concentration (top 10 hold 89.86%), persistent holder decline, mutable metadata, and thin daily trading volume. The token is best characterized as a speculative trading vehicle rather than an investment, with asymmetric downside risk from whale distribution events.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

Renewed political/media attention on the MELANIA brand triggers a viral meme cycle, driving significant retail inflows. Buy pressure sustains above $0.0887 resistance, with volume expanding 10x+ from current levels. Holder count reverses and grows, and the token rides a broader Solana meme season to retest prior highs.

Viral social media moment or political event tied to the MELANIA brand
Broader Solana meme token bull market
New CEX listing driving retail discovery
Project team executing on vesting schedule without dumping, building confidence

Base Case

MELANIA continues to trade in a range between $0.0771 and $0.0887, with occasional sentiment-driven spikes. Holder count continues its slow decline of ~20/day. Volume remains thin. The token maintains its liquidity pool and verified status but fails to attract significant new capital without a catalyst.

No major distribution events from top holders
Solana meme token market remains broadly stable
Project team adheres to stated vesting schedule
No new exchange listings or major catalysts in the near term
Current liquidity pool depth is maintained

Bear Case

Medium probability

One or both of the 30% treasury/team wallets begins distributing tokens into the market. Even a 1% unlock would represent ~3M tokens (~$255K at current prices) — significant relative to $46.77K daily buy volume. This triggers panic selling, holder decline accelerates, and price collapses toward the $0.0771 support and potentially much lower.

Large holder distribution from project-controlled wallets
Continued holder decline eroding market confidence
Broader meme token sentiment reversal
Political narrative fading or turning negative
Failure to hold $0.0771 support triggering stop-loss cascade

Analysis details

Generated

Jun 12, 11:20 AM UTC

Saved observation

2026-06-12 11:20 UTC

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

On-chain token metadata (Mint: FUAfBo2jgks6gB4Z4LfZkqSZgzNucisEHqnNebaRxM1P)
Real-time price feed via Meteora DLMM pair (9DiruRpjnAnzhn6ts5HGLouHtJrT1JGsPbXNYCrFz2ad)
17 hourly OHLC candles (June 11–12, 2026)
24h trading analytics (buy/sell volume, unique wallets)
Top 20 holder distribution data
30-day daily historical holder count series
Sniper analysis endpoint (returned no data)

Limitations

Sniper data is unavailable — early buyer behavior and smart money signals cannot be assessed
Mint and freeze authority status not explicitly provided in metadata fields
Only 17 hourly candles available — insufficient for robust multi-timeframe technical analysis
Holder classification for top wallets is inferred from balance patterns and cross-referencing with pair address, not from verified on-chain labels
24h volume is very thin ($58.92K), making technical signals less reliable
No order book depth data available — slippage estimates are approximations
Historical price data beyond the 17 candles is not available for longer-term trend analysis

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does NOT constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an endorsement of the MELANIA token. Cryptocurrency investments, especially meme tokens, carry extreme risk including total loss of capital. Always conduct your own research (DYOR) and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Melania Meme (MELANIA) a scam?

Marked legitimate after a manual review. Checked Oct 24, 2026. This is Unhosted’s automated risk check, a warning signal rather than a guarantee either way.

Can I sell Melania Meme (MELANIA)?

Yes. Nothing in the token’s on-chain settings can block or tax a sell: no freeze authority, no transfer fee and no transfer hook. Checked Oct 24, 2026. This reads the token’s own settings; whether its pool has enough liquidity to sell into is a separate question.

How concentrated is Melania Meme ownership?

Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 223,326 addresses (2026-06-12 11:20 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.

Are large holders selling Melania Meme?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is Melania Meme liquidity falling?

As of 2026-06-12 11:20 UTC, reported liquidity was $10,955,934.72. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.

What is the short-term price outlook for Melania Meme (MELANIA)?

Is MELANIA a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as high with a risk score of 7.8/100. Suitable only for high-risk-tolerant, speculative traders who understand meme token dynamics and can afford to lose their entire investment. Not suitable for conservative investors, long-term holders seeking fundamental value, or those without deep familiarity with Solana DeFi risks. Position sizing should be minimal relative to overall portfolio.

What are the key risks of holding MELANIA?

Extreme supply concentration: top 2 wallets hold 60% of supply, top 10 hold 89.86% • Persistent 30-day holder decline with no reversal signal • Mutable metadata with non-renounced update authority