scalp

first in line, last to care Prediction

scalp
Solana•
AI Analysis
•May 3, 11:49 PM

HiuNuvEdzNuAninvLLCALVXfF998vx6dSxAJM4pApump

$0.0000021682

-94.15%

FDV $2,168

FDV

$2,168

Liquidity

$3,964

Holders

329

Snipers

43

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

SCALP (first in line, last to care) is a Pump.fun-launched Solana memecoin (mint: HiuNuvEdzNuAninvLLCALVXfF998vx6dSxAJM4pApump) that experienced a violent pump-and-dump event on May 3, 2026. The token surged from ~$0.000035 to a peak of ~$0.000235 within hours before collapsing 94%+ back to ~$0.00000217. With only $3.96K in total liquidity, a fully diluted valuation of ~$2.17K, and the top holder (the PumpSwap LP) controlling 85.91% of supply, this token exhibits extreme concentration risk and near-zero fundamental value. The 24h holder count jumped +194 (59%) — almost entirely from the pump event — but has since begun declining (-5 in the last hour). This is a textbook low-cap memecoin pump-and-dump.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Bearish
Catastrophic 94%+ price collapse within a single trading session after a ~67x pump
Extreme supply concentration: top holder (LP/PumpSwap pair) holds 85.91%, top 10 hold 95.54%
Ultra-low liquidity of only $3.96K making any meaningful position impossible to exit without severe slippage
20 identified snipers, majority in profit — suggesting informed early buyers have already extracted value
Holder base grew from 135 (stagnant for 30 days) to 329 in 24h, almost entirely driven by the pump event

Price Prediction

bearish

Short term

bearish
1–72 hours

Price is in freefall post-pump, trading at ~$0.00000217 after collapsing from a high of ~$0.000235 (candle [7]). The last 4 hourly candles show a consistent lower-high, lower-close pattern with rapidly declining volume (from 119,049 to 4.38 USD). With only $3.96K liquidity and sell pressure at 55.4%, further downside or stagnation near current levels is the most likely outcome. Any bounce would face heavy resistance.

Target low$0.0000010
Target high$0.0000050
Support: $0.00000217 (current price / recent low), $0.00000185 (extrapolated from declining candle lows)
Resistance: $0.00000229 (candle [4] open), $0.00000251 (candle [5] close), $0.00000274 (candle [7] close / post-dump level)

Medium term

bearish
1–4 weeks

Given the token was dormant for 30 days at 135 holders before the pump, and now sits at near-zero liquidity post-dump, a sustained recovery is highly unlikely without a new catalyst. The FDV of ~$2.17K implies the market assigns almost no value. Holders who bought during the pump are likely underwater and may continue selling.

Catalysts
  • Viral social media resurgence (low probability)
  • New exchange listing (extremely unlikely given FDV)
  • Coordinated community buyback (no evidence of organized community)

Bullish factors

  • Token has social links (Twitter, website) suggesting some community presence
  • 24h buyer count of 1,009 shows residual interest
  • Sniper sell-through is partial — some early buyers still hold positions

Bearish factors

  • 94.15% price collapse in 24h from peak
  • Sell volume ($333.19K) exceeds buy volume ($268.55K) — net outflow
  • Total liquidity only $3.96K — extreme slippage risk for any exit
  • Top 10 holders control 95.54% of supply
  • Holder count already declining (-5 in last hour)
  • Token was dormant for 30+ days before the pump — no organic growth
  • FDV of $2.17K implies near-zero market confidence
Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to the extreme volatility of the pump-and-dump event, near-zero liquidity making price discovery unreliable, and the absence of any fundamental utility or roadmap data. Price at this level is driven purely by speculative sentiment.

Deep Analysis

Technical Analysis
Holder Trends
Whale Map
Risk Assessment
Investment Thesis

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Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply999,853,828.81

Key Risks

•Near-total liquidity collapse — $3.96K liquidity cannot support meaningful trading
•Extreme supply concentration (top 10 = 95.54%) creates single-point-of-failure exit risk
•Token was dormant for 30+ days before pump — no organic community or utility
•Snipers remain partially invested and represent ongoing sell pressure

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

medium confidence
High risk

Of the 20 identified snipers, 19 show positive realized PnL percentages, with several achieving 80–140%+ returns. Only 1 sniper (PcRo2hQAz9ZFGvpQi8a2a9dc1dzn7XZpXz718inLviv) is in the red at -9.5%. The majority have already sold meaningful portions of their positions, with total documented sell proceeds across top snipers exceeding $2,600. Several snipers still hold residual balances (e.g., eKKm1zAyHpiL3CsL99VjMRUiYSxo6GgRT55A873soW3 with $36 balance, 2tgUbS9UMoQD6GkDZBiqKYCURnGrSb6ocYwRABrSJUvY with $18 balance), representing potential future sell pressure. The sniper cohort clearly front-ran the pump and has largely extracted profits.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration2.00%
PnL stateMostly In Profit
Sell-through rateModerate
Profit-taking risk
high

Sniper data shows 20 identified wallets; exact balances are largely unknown, but sell activity is documented. Top sellers include HpBQZoprdtWC9MFZoLEKSi1PvSFhGFYDJt9ryxooUHCT ($907 sold, +129.3% PnL), 2tgUbS9UMoQD6GkDZBiqKYCURnGrSb6ocYwRABrSJUvY ($469 sold, +84.9% PnL), and 7XPu5j9LPRi9CythzNeC8EDbSHounnFY6tD7duJrqbKz ($721 sold, +140.2% PnL).

Predominantly extractive — early buyers (snipers) entered at launch, rode the pump, and have been systematically selling into retail demand. The high realized PnL percentages (up to +140.2%) confirm they captured the majority of the price appreciation before the collapse.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the price prediction for first in line, last to care (scalp)?

Price is in freefall post-pump, trading at ~$0.00000217 after collapsing from a high of ~$0.000235 (candle [7]). The last 4 hourly candles show a consistent lower-high, lower-close pattern with rapidly declining volume (from 119,049 to 4.38 USD). With only $3.96K liquidity and sell pressure at 55.4%, further downside or stagnation near current levels is the most likely outcome. Any bounce would face heavy resistance. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–72 hours), with a target range of $0.0000010 to $0.0000050.

Is scalp a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 9.4/100. This token is suitable only for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who fully understand they may lose 100% of their investment. It is entirely unsuitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone allocating more than a negligible speculative amount. The risk/reward profile post-pump is extremely unfavorable.

How are scalp holders trending?

first in line, last to care currently has 329 holders and is growing (24h: 59, 7d: 59, 30d: 59). Holder data reveals a deeply concerning pattern: 135 holders for 30+ consecutive days with zero growth, followed by a sudden +194 holder surge coinciding with the pump event. This is not organic community growth — it is speculative retail FOMO buying into a pump. The 7d and 30d growth figures are identical to the 24h figure (59%), confirming all growth occurred in a single day. With holders already declining (-5 in the last hour), the trend is likely to reverse toward the pre-pump baseline of ~135 as disappointed buyers sell or abandon their positions.

What does sniper activity look like for scalp?

Snipers hold roughly 2.00% of supply with PnL state "mostly_in_profit" and sell-through rate "moderate". Profit-taking risk: high.

What are the key risks of holding scalp?

Near-total liquidity collapse — $3.96K liquidity cannot support meaningful trading • Extreme supply concentration (top 10 = 95.54%) creates single-point-of-failure exit risk • Token was dormant for 30+ days before pump — no organic community or utility

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