scalp

first in line, last to care Price Prediction 2026

scalp
Solana
AI Analysis
Analysis as of May 3, 2026

HiuNuvEdzNuAninvLLCALVXfF998vx6dSxAJM4pApump

$0.051547

+4.26%

FDV $1,545

LiveContract:HiuNuvEdzNuAninvLLCALVXfF998vx6dSxAJM4pApumpChain:SolanaHolders:190Market cap:$1,545

More tokens on Solana

Continue in chat

Ask Unhosted AI about scalp

Report snapshotas of May 3, 11:49 PM
FDV

$2,168

Liquidity

$3,964

Holders

329

Snipers

43

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

SCALP (first in line, last to care) is a Pump.fun-launched Solana memecoin (mint: HiuNuvEdzNuAninvLLCALVXfF998vx6dSxAJM4pApump) that experienced a violent pump-and-dump event on May 3, 2026. The token surged from ~$0.000035 to a peak of ~$0.000235 within hours before collapsing 94%+ back to ~$0.00000217. With only $3.96K in total liquidity, a fully diluted valuation of ~$2.17K, and the top holder (the PumpSwap LP) controlling 85.91% of supply, this token exhibits extreme concentration risk and near-zero fundamental value. The 24h holder count jumped +194 (59%) — almost entirely from the pump event — but has since begun declining (-5 in the last hour). This is a textbook low-cap memecoin pump-and-dump.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Bearish
Catastrophic 94%+ price collapse within a single trading session after a ~67x pump
Extreme supply concentration: top holder (LP/PumpSwap pair) holds 85.91%, top 10 hold 95.54%
Ultra-low liquidity of only $3.96K making any meaningful position impossible to exit without severe slippage
20 identified snipers, majority in profit — suggesting informed early buyers have already extracted value
Holder base grew from 135 (stagnant for 30 days) to 329 in 24h, almost entirely driven by the pump event

Price Prediction

bearish

Short term

bearish
1–72 hours

Price is in freefall post-pump, trading at ~$0.00000217 after collapsing from a high of ~$0.000235 (candle [7]). The last 4 hourly candles show a consistent lower-high, lower-close pattern with rapidly declining volume (from 119,049 to 4.38 USD). With only $3.96K liquidity and sell pressure at 55.4%, further downside or stagnation near current levels is the most likely outcome. Any bounce would face heavy resistance.

Target low$0.0000010
Target high$0.0000050
Support: $0.00000217 (current price / recent low), $0.00000185 (extrapolated from declining candle lows)
Resistance: $0.00000229 (candle [4] open), $0.00000251 (candle [5] close), $0.00000274 (candle [7] close / post-dump level)

Medium term

bearish
1–4 weeks

Given the token was dormant for 30 days at 135 holders before the pump, and now sits at near-zero liquidity post-dump, a sustained recovery is highly unlikely without a new catalyst. The FDV of ~$2.17K implies the market assigns almost no value. Holders who bought during the pump are likely underwater and may continue selling.

Catalysts
  • Viral social media resurgence (low probability)
  • New exchange listing (extremely unlikely given FDV)
  • Coordinated community buyback (no evidence of organized community)

Bullish factors

  • Token has social links (Twitter, website) suggesting some community presence
  • 24h buyer count of 1,009 shows residual interest
  • Sniper sell-through is partial — some early buyers still hold positions

Bearish factors

  • 94.15% price collapse in 24h from peak
  • Sell volume ($333.19K) exceeds buy volume ($268.55K) — net outflow
  • Total liquidity only $3.96K — extreme slippage risk for any exit
  • Top 10 holders control 95.54% of supply
  • Holder count already declining (-5 in last hour)
  • Token was dormant for 30+ days before the pump — no organic growth
  • FDV of $2.17K implies near-zero market confidence
Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to the extreme volatility of the pump-and-dump event, near-zero liquidity making price discovery unreliable, and the absence of any fundamental utility or roadmap data. Price at this level is driven purely by speculative sentiment.

Deep Analysis

The 10 available hourly candles tell a clear pump-and-dump story. Candles [10]–[8] (14:00–16:00 UTC) show a rapid price escalation from an open of $0.0000357 to a high of $0.000154, with massive volume ($73K–$193K). Candle [7] (17:00 UTC) marks the peak with a high of $0.000235 and an enormous wick to the downside, closing at $0.00000274 — a classic 'shooting star' / long upper wick candle signaling exhaustion and reversal. Volume was $119K. Candles [6]–[1] (18:00–23:00 UTC) show a grinding decline with progressively lower opens, lower closes, and rapidly collapsing volume (from $781 to $4.38), confirming distribution and abandonment.

Trend

Short-term
downtrend
Medium-term
downtrend

Momentum

Status
oversold

Volume

Trenddecreasing
Buy 45%Sell 55%

Both short-term and medium-term trends are firmly bearish. The token made a single parabolic spike (candles [10]–[7]) followed by an immediate and sustained collapse. There is no evidence of a base forming — each subsequent candle posts a lower close with shrinking volume, indicating sellers remain in control and buyers have largely exited.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.00000217 (current price, recent candle low)
Major$0.00000185 (extrapolated floor based on declining candle structure)
Resistance
Immediate$0.00000229 (candle [4] open at 20:00 UTC)
Major$0.00000274 (candle [7] close — post-dump settlement level)

The key resistance cluster sits between $0.00000229 and $0.00000274, representing the post-dump settlement range. The all-time high of $0.000235 (candle [7]) is an extreme outlier and not a realistic near-term target. Support below current price is thin given the near-zero liquidity.

Notable patterns

  • Shooting star / long upper wick on candle [7] at peak ($0.000235 high, $0.00000274 close) — classic exhaustion reversal signal
  • Parabolic blow-off top across candles [10]–[7] with 3 consecutive higher highs
  • Volume climax at candle [9] ($193K) preceding the reversal candle
  • Post-dump staircase decline: each candle [6]–[1] posts lower open, lower close, lower volume — textbook distribution/abandonment pattern
  • Candle [4] shows a small wick recovery attempt (H: $0.00000229) that failed to hold

Total holders329
24h Δ+59
7d Δ+59
30d Δ+59
Accelerating Growth
No

Correlation with price

The +194 holder spike (from 135 to 329) is entirely correlated with the pump event on May 3, 2026. For the prior 30 days (April 3–May 2), holders were completely flat at 135 with zero net change. This confirms the holder growth is pump-driven, not organic. The -5 holder decline in the last hour (-1.50%) suggests the trend is already reversing as post-pump sellers exit.

Holder data reveals a deeply concerning pattern: 135 holders for 30+ consecutive days with zero growth, followed by a sudden +194 holder surge coinciding with the pump event. This is not organic community growth — it is speculative retail FOMO buying into a pump. The 7d and 30d growth figures are identical to the 24h figure (59%), confirming all growth occurred in a single day. With holders already declining (-5 in the last hour), the trend is likely to reverse toward the pre-pump baseline of ~135 as disappointed buyers sell or abandon their positions.

Top 10 hold95.54%
Top 100 hold99.54%
Sentiment
Distributing

Notable holders

Hj1sogyyrDyCtjvfSs7Y8VqAZuxEXF8hVxfLF7U7NBA9

DEX liquidity pool (PumpSwap pair address — matches the trading pair listed in price data)

85.91%

6F2xGS822g8qTRaQXtNuHw15DyYNxmE6qZPGEQGYDY5t

Individual whale or project treasury — holds 75.76M tokens (7.58%), identity unknown

7.58%

2ZC1jH2g1AxzZjiHbg1S7dcKJi8YP5no5SJqT69qBuhe

Individual whale / early buyer

0.32%

5ocNxNQUVrg2FMkjxZLr7ZEPP2mkLeDWKK5Hy6XZVKvD

Individual whale / early buyer

0.31%

2yr5Bs67bVGo1f3wQMf5rj5s4gmLsNend81YiKTGz3ZX

Individual whale / early buyer

0.26%

Supply concentration is extreme. The #1 holder (Hj1sogyyrDyCtjvfSs7Y8VqAZuxEXF8hVxfLF7U7NBA9) holds 85.91% of supply and is the PumpSwap liquidity pair address — meaning the vast majority of circulating supply is locked in the LP. The #2 holder (6F2xGS822g8qTRaQXtNuHw15DyYNxmE6qZPGEQGYDY5t) holds 7.58% and is unclassified — this is a significant concentration risk. Holders #3–#20 each hold 0.11%–0.32%, suggesting a relatively flat distribution among smaller holders. The top 100 hold 99.54% of supply, leaving only 0.46% among the remaining 229 holders. Overall sentiment is distributing, consistent with the post-pump sell-off.

Liquidity$3,960
Depth
Shallow
Slippage risk
high

Volume (24h)

Buy$268,550
Sell$333,190
Net flow
outflow

Traders (24h)

Unique buyers1,009
Unique sellers1,807

Market health is critically poor. Total liquidity of $3.96K is negligible relative to the $268K–$333K in 24h volume — this volume was generated almost entirely during the pump event and has since collapsed. The liquidity-to-volume ratio of ~0.001 means the pool is essentially empty relative to trading activity. Any position larger than a few dollars will face extreme slippage. The net flow is clearly outflow: sell volume ($333.19K) exceeds buy volume ($268.55K) by $64.64K, and unique sellers (1,807) outnumber unique buyers (1,009) by nearly 2:1. The FDV of $2.70K (per trading analytics) vs $2.17K (per metadata) reflects the near-zero market cap. This token is effectively illiquid at current price levels.

Supply & Valuation

Total supply999,853,828.81
FDV$2,167.89

Authorities

Mint authority
Active
Freeze authority
Active

Total supply is ~999.85M tokens (standard Pump.fun 1B supply with minor burns). The FDV of $2,167.89 is extremely low, reflecting the post-dump price collapse. Update authority is listed as 'unknown' in the metadata, and the token is marked as 'mutable: false', which is a positive signal — immutability prevents metadata changes. However, mint and freeze authority status cannot be confirmed from the provided data, so rug risk from authorities is classified as unknown. The token was launched via Pump.fun (indicated by the 'pump' suffix in the mint address), which typically uses a bonding curve mechanism. The contract is not verified. No evidence of token burns, vesting schedules, or utility beyond memecoin speculation.

Volatility
high

Price dropped 94.15% in 24h after a ~67x pump from $0.0000357 to $0.000235. Hourly candles show extreme intraday swings. This is one of the most volatile price profiles possible.

Liquidity
high

Total liquidity is only $3.96K. Any sell order above ~$50 would cause significant slippage. The token is effectively illiquid for any meaningful position size.

Concentration
high

Top 10 holders control 95.54% of supply. The #1 holder (LP) holds 85.91% and the #2 holder holds 7.58%. This extreme concentration means a single large holder exit could devastate the price.

SniperDump
high

20 identified snipers, 19 of whom are in profit (up to +140.2% realized PnL). Several still hold residual balances. Continued sniper selling into any price recovery is a significant risk.

Authority
medium

Mint and freeze authority status is unknown. The token is marked 'mutable: false' which is positive, but without confirmed authority renouncement, the risk cannot be fully dismissed. Update authority is listed as unknown.

Key risks

  • Near-total liquidity collapse — $3.96K liquidity cannot support meaningful trading
  • Extreme supply concentration (top 10 = 95.54%) creates single-point-of-failure exit risk
  • Token was dormant for 30+ days before pump — no organic community or utility
  • Snipers remain partially invested and represent ongoing sell pressure
  • Unverified contract with unknown authority status
  • Post-pump holder decline already underway (-5 in last hour)
  • FDV of $2.17K implies the market assigns near-zero value to this token

Mitigating factors

  • Token metadata is immutable (mutable: false), preventing metadata rug
  • Pump.fun launch mechanism provides some transparency on initial distribution
  • Social links (Twitter, website) exist, suggesting at least minimal community infrastructure
  • Only 1 of 20 snipers is at a loss, reducing panic-sell motivation from that cohort
Suitable for: This token is suitable only for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who fully understand they may lose 100% of their investment. It is entirely unsuitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone allocating more than a negligible speculative amount. The risk/reward profile post-pump is extremely unfavorable.

SCALP is a Pump.fun memecoin that has already completed its primary price cycle — a violent pump-and-dump on May 3, 2026. The investment thesis for new buyers is extremely weak: near-zero liquidity, extreme concentration, no utility, and a dormant pre-pump history all point to this being a spent speculative vehicle. The only plausible bull case requires a second viral moment, which is low probability.

Bull case (low)

A second viral social media moment or coordinated community effort drives renewed speculative interest, pushing price back toward the $0.000010–$0.000050 range. The meme concept (scalper culture) has broad cultural resonance and could attract a new wave of buyers.

  • Viral Twitter/social media resurgence of the 'scalp' meme narrative
  • Coordinated community buyback or influencer promotion
  • Broader Solana memecoin market rally lifting all low-cap tokens

Base case

Price stabilizes near current levels ($0.0000015–$0.0000030) with minimal trading activity, similar to the pre-pump dormant period. The token survives but trades with negligible volume and liquidity, effectively becoming a zombie token.

  • No new catalysts emerge to drive a second pump
  • Remaining 329 holders largely hold their positions without active selling
  • Liquidity pool remains intact at current $3.96K level
  • Broader Solana memecoin market remains neutral

Bear case (high)

Remaining holders continue to sell into thin liquidity, price grinds toward zero. The token returns to its pre-pump dormant state or is effectively abandoned. Liquidity is withdrawn from the PumpSwap pool, making the token untradeable.

  • Continued net outflow (sellers outnumber buyers 1,807 vs 1,009)
  • Sniper residual positions being sold into any minor recovery
  • Holder count declining (-5 in last hour) accelerating as FOMO buyers exit at a loss
  • Near-zero liquidity making recovery self-defeating (any buy moves price, attracting immediate sell pressure)

GeneratedMay 3, 11:49 PM
Data freshnessData reflects on-chain state as of approximately 23:00 UTC on May 3, 2026. OHLC data covers the most recent 10 hourly candles (14:00–23:00 UTC May 3, 2026). Holder history covers the prior 30 days.
Model confidence
medium

Data sources

  • On-chain token metadata (Pump.fun mint)
  • PumpSwap DEX price and OHLC data (hourly candles)
  • Trading analytics (24h volume, buyer/seller counts)
  • Holder metrics and historical holder time series (30-day daily)
  • Top 20 holder distribution data
  • Sniper analysis (first 1,000 blocks, 20 wallets)

Limitations

  • Sniper wallet balances and total sniped USD amounts are unknown — sniper concentration percentage is estimated
  • Mint and freeze authority status could not be confirmed from provided metadata
  • Update authority is listed as 'unknown' — cannot assess authority rug risk definitively
  • No order book depth data available — slippage estimates are approximations based on liquidity pool size
  • Historical OHLC data only covers 10 candles (10 hours) — longer-term technical analysis is not possible
  • No on-chain program audit or contract verification data available
  • Social sentiment data (Twitter, website content) not provided — community strength cannot be assessed

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially low-cap memecoins, carry extreme risk of total loss. Past price performance (including pump events) is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research before making any investment decision.

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply999,853,828.81

Key Risks

Near-total liquidity collapse — $3.96K liquidity cannot support meaningful trading
Extreme supply concentration (top 10 = 95.54%) creates single-point-of-failure exit risk
Token was dormant for 30+ days before pump — no organic community or utility
Snipers remain partially invested and represent ongoing sell pressure

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

medium confidence
High risk

Of the 20 identified snipers, 19 show positive realized PnL percentages, with several achieving 80–140%+ returns. Only 1 sniper (PcRo2hQAz9ZFGvpQi8a2a9dc1dzn7XZpXz718inLviv) is in the red at -9.5%. The majority have already sold meaningful portions of their positions, with total documented sell proceeds across top snipers exceeding $2,600. Several snipers still hold residual balances (e.g., eKKm1zAyHpiL3CsL99VjMRUiYSxo6GgRT55A873soW3 with $36 balance, 2tgUbS9UMoQD6GkDZBiqKYCURnGrSb6ocYwRABrSJUvY with $18 balance), representing potential future sell pressure. The sniper cohort clearly front-ran the pump and has largely extracted profits.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration2.00%
PnL stateMostly In Profit
Sell-through rateModerate
Profit-taking risk
high

Sniper data shows 20 identified wallets; exact balances are largely unknown, but sell activity is documented. Top sellers include HpBQZoprdtWC9MFZoLEKSi1PvSFhGFYDJt9ryxooUHCT ($907 sold, +129.3% PnL), 2tgUbS9UMoQD6GkDZBiqKYCURnGrSb6ocYwRABrSJUvY ($469 sold, +84.9% PnL), and 7XPu5j9LPRi9CythzNeC8EDbSHounnFY6tD7duJrqbKz ($721 sold, +140.2% PnL).

Predominantly extractive — early buyers (snipers) entered at launch, rode the pump, and have been systematically selling into retail demand. The high realized PnL percentages (up to +140.2%) confirm they captured the majority of the price appreciation before the collapse.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the price prediction for first in line, last to care (scalp)?

Price is in freefall post-pump, trading at ~$0.00000217 after collapsing from a high of ~$0.000235 (candle [7]). The last 4 hourly candles show a consistent lower-high, lower-close pattern with rapidly declining volume (from 119,049 to 4.38 USD). With only $3.96K liquidity and sell pressure at 55.4%, further downside or stagnation near current levels is the most likely outcome. Any bounce would face heavy resistance. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–72 hours), with a target range of $0.0000010 to $0.0000050.

Is scalp a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 9.4/100. This token is suitable only for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who fully understand they may lose 100% of their investment. It is entirely unsuitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone allocating more than a negligible speculative amount. The risk/reward profile post-pump is extremely unfavorable.

How are scalp holders trending?

first in line, last to care currently has 329 holders and is growing (24h: 59, 7d: 59, 30d: 59). Holder data reveals a deeply concerning pattern: 135 holders for 30+ consecutive days with zero growth, followed by a sudden +194 holder surge coinciding with the pump event. This is not organic community growth — it is speculative retail FOMO buying into a pump. The 7d and 30d growth figures are identical to the 24h figure (59%), confirming all growth occurred in a single day. With holders already declining (-5 in the last hour), the trend is likely to reverse toward the pre-pump baseline of ~135 as disappointed buyers sell or abandon their positions.

What does sniper activity look like for scalp?

Snipers hold roughly 2.00% of supply with PnL state "mostly_in_profit" and sell-through rate "moderate". Profit-taking risk: high.

What are the key risks of holding scalp?

Near-total liquidity collapse — $3.96K liquidity cannot support meaningful trading • Extreme supply concentration (top 10 = 95.54%) creates single-point-of-failure exit risk • Token was dormant for 30+ days before pump — no organic community or utility

Track scalp