ROBUX

ROBUX Price Today & AI Analysis

ROBUXSolanaAnalysis as of Sep 20, 2026

Price

$0.000218

+209.94% 24h · FDV $218,281

Contract

Live
Hdky1Lz84WL7cPWVk7StFWrXVXvdXwPrAcfjJoUrpump

Chain

Solana

Holders

723

Market cap

$218,281

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ROBUX: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-09-20 21:45 UTC

Holder addresses

723

Top 10 supply share

28.85%

Reported liquidity

$23,419.00
How concentrated is ROBUX ownership?
As of 2026-09-20 21:45 UTC, the provider reports that the top 10 holder addresses hold 28.85% of supply. It reports 723 holder addresses in total. Addresses are not people; pool, exchange, burn and related addresses have not been independently classified here.
Are large holders selling ROBUX?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. As of 2026-09-20 21:45 UTC, the preceding 24-hour DEX volume was $340,477.00 in buys and $323,852.00 in sells. Those totals describe trading activity, not which holders traded. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is ROBUX liquidity falling?
Sampled USD liquidity changed +146.38%, from $9,966.92 (2026-09-19 22:00 UTC) to $24,556.95 (2026-09-20 21:00 UTC). This compares the earliest and latest available samples, which may cover less than 24 hours. USD changes can reflect asset prices as well as liquidity deposits or withdrawals.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: Codex token aggregates, hourly liquidity samples and recent DEX swaps. Token aggregates retrieved 2026-09-20 21:45 UTC; the provider may lag the chain. Buy/sell totals cover the preceding 24 hours. Observations are saved with this report and do not update live. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Saved liquidity observations

Observation (UTC)Liquidity (USD)
2026-09-19 22:00 UTC$9,966.92
2026-09-19 23:00 UTC$11,912.85
2026-09-20 00:00 UTC$12,532.46
2026-09-20 01:00 UTC$15,713.04
2026-09-20 02:00 UTC$18,017.99
2026-09-20 03:00 UTC$16,550.30
2026-09-20 04:00 UTC$15,637.89
2026-09-20 05:00 UTC$13,891.15
2026-09-20 06:00 UTC$13,042.50
2026-09-20 07:00 UTC$13,771.27
2026-09-20 08:00 UTC$12,066.95
2026-09-20 09:00 UTC$15,219.65
2026-09-20 10:00 UTC$17,034.10
2026-09-20 11:00 UTC$14,502.26
2026-09-20 12:00 UTC$15,176.77
2026-09-20 13:00 UTC$13,268.95
2026-09-20 14:00 UTC$29,738.12
2026-09-20 15:00 UTC$24,654.69
2026-09-20 16:00 UTC$24,358.64
2026-09-20 17:00 UTC$23,159.39
2026-09-20 18:00 UTC$26,389.53
2026-09-20 19:00 UTC$31,373.00
2026-09-20 20:00 UTC$25,614.67
2026-09-20 21:00 UTC$24,556.95

Recent swap evidence

Up to 10 recent swaps returned by the provider within the preceding 24 hours. This is a sample, not all trades or a ranking of large holders.

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Report snapshot

as of Sep 20, 09:46 PM UTC

FDV

$218,281

Liquidity

$23,419.00

Holders

723

Snipers

Not available

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Bearish

ROBUX is a Solana meme token (pump.fun-origin, ticker ROBUX) trading at approximately $0.000218 with a fully diluted valuation of $218.28K and only $23.42K in total liquidity. The token has just experienced an extreme +209.9% 24h price spike driven by a sudden volume surge (peaking at $189K in a single hour), followed by a sharp -28.85% pullback in the most recent hour — a pattern consistent with a speculative blow-off-top and subsequent cooldown. Holder data is limited to a single snapshot (723 holder addresses, top-10 holding 28.85% of supply) with no historical trend, and critical risk inputs — mint/freeze authority status and sniper/early-buyer activity — are entirely unavailable in the data provided, leaving significant unresolved risk.

Key points

  • Extremely thin liquidity ($23.42K) relative to FDV and 24h trading volume, creating high slippage and volatility risk
  • Violent 24h price action: +209.9% pump followed immediately by a -28.85% 1h reversal
  • Complete absence of mint/freeze authority verification and sniper/early-buyer data, leaving key rug and dump risks unresolved
  • Balanced but high-volume two-sided trading (51.3% buy / 48.7% sell pressure) with 1,648 unique buyers vs 1,419 unique sellers in 24h
  • Unverifiable promotional claim in token description ('earn Roblox stock') that should be treated as a marketing/manipulation red flag rather than a genuine feature

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term · 1-24 hours

bearish

Following an extreme +209.9% 24h pump that peaked at $0.000535, the token is showing a sharp -28.85% 1h reversal, a pattern consistent with post-spike exhaustion. Short-term price action is likely to test lower support levels before any renewed attempt higher.

Target low

$0.000150

Target high

$0.000280

Support

$0.000192 (recent candle low), $0.0000455 (24h low)

Resistance

$0.000324 (recent candle high), $0.000535 (24h high)

Medium term · 3-7 days

neutral

Without holder-trend history, authority verification, or sniper data, medium-term direction is highly uncertain. The token's fate will likely hinge on whether liquidity deepens and whether trading volume sustains beyond the initial spike, or whether it fades back toward pre-spike levels near $0.00006-$0.0001.

Catalysts

  • Whether liquidity providers add meaningfully to the current $23.42K pool
  • Continued social media/community attention around the 'Robux' branding
  • Any disclosure (positive or negative) regarding mint/freeze authority status
  • Sustained vs. one-off nature of the elevated trading volume

Bullish factors

  • 24h buy volume ($340.48K) slightly exceeds sell volume ($323.85K), a marginal net inflow
  • Unique buyers (1,648) outnumber unique sellers (1,419) in the past 24h
  • Active social presence (Twitter, website) may sustain retail attention

Bearish factors

  • Sharp -28.85% 1h reversal immediately after the 24h high, suggesting the pump is fading
  • Extremely shallow liquidity ($23.42K) relative to FDV ($218.28K) and volume, creating high volatility and slippage risk
  • Unresolved mint/freeze authority status introduces unpriced downside tail risk
  • No sniper/early-buyer data to rule out concentrated dump risk

Confidence: low. Confidence is low because key risk inputs (mint/freeze authority, sniper/early-buyer behavior, holder history) are entirely unavailable, liquidity is extremely shallow (making price highly manipulable), and the only price signal available is a single volatile 24h window dominated by one anomalous volume spike, which is not a reliable basis for extrapolation.

ROBUX call history

Full track record →

Sep 20bearish
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Solana
Contract
Hdky1L...pump
Total Supply
999,966,907.30 ROBUX

Key Risks

  • Extremely thin liquidity ($23.42K) relative to trading volume and FDV, exposing traders to high slippage and rapid price dislocation
  • Unknown mint/freeze authority status leaves open the possibility of supply inflation or account freezing
  • No sniper/early-buyer data available to assess dump risk from initial insiders
  • Sharp -28.85% 1h reversal immediately after a +209.9% 24h pump suggests the rally may already be unwinding

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

Over the last 24 hourly candles the token fell from an open near $0.0000603 to a low of $0.0000455 in the first two hours, then rallied in a volatile sawtooth pattern up to an intraday high of $0.000535 (candle 18) before pulling back sharply, currently trading around $0.000218-$0.000244. The most dramatic move was candle [17] (14:00 UTC) which opened at $0.0000782 and spiked to a high of $0.000493 on volume of $189K — roughly 20x the volume of preceding candles — followed by continued elevated-volume, wide-range candles through [18]-[23], indicating a sudden speculative volume surge rather than steady accumulation.

Trend

Short-term

Downtrend

Medium-term

Uptrend

Medium-term (24h) trend is sharply up (+209.9%) driven almost entirely by the volume spike beginning at candle [17], but short-term momentum (1h: -28.85%) shows the token rolling over hard from its recent peak near $0.000535, suggesting the pump has already begun to fade.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Overbought

Volume trend

Increasing

Buy

51%

Sell

49%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.000192 (candle 24 low)

Major support

$0.0000455 (candle 1 low, 24h low)

Immediate resistance

$0.000324 (candle 24 high)

Major resistance

$0.000535 (candle 18 high, 24h high)

Price is currently oscillating between roughly $0.000192-$0.000244 after failing to hold the $0.000535 peak. A break below $0.000192 would open a path toward the mid-range $0.0001 zone (seen repeatedly in candles 9-16), while reclaiming and holding above $0.000324 would be needed to challenge the $0.000535 high again.

Notable patterns

  • Blow-off-style volume spike at candle [17] with a 20x+ jump in hourly volume
  • Wide-range, high-volatility candles ($0.0002-0.0003 spreads) post-spike consistent with speculative churn
  • Sharp -28.85% 1h retracement after making a new 24h high, suggesting exhaustion/rejection near $0.000535
  • Repeated failed attempts to sustain highs above $0.0001 earlier in the window before the breakout, indicating a prior consolidation range that was broken violently to the upside

Liquidity

Liquidity

$23,419.00

Depth

Shallow

Slippage risk

High

Total liquidity of just $23.42K against a fully diluted valuation of $218.28K and 24h trading volume north of $660K combined (buy+sell) represents an extremely thin liquidity base relative to trading activity — a liquidity-to-volume ratio well under 5%. This creates high slippage risk for any meaningfully sized trade and materially raises the odds of sharp price swings on modest order flow, consistent with the 1h candle showing a -28.9% move. Buy volume ($340.48K) narrowly exceeds sell volume ($323.85K), giving a slight net inflow and 51.3% buy pressure vs 48.7% sell pressure — a roughly balanced but marginally buyer-led market. Unique buyers (1,648) modestly outnumber unique sellers (1,419), suggesting broad participation rather than a single large actor dominating flow, though wallet-level identity/classification is not available to confirm this further.

Supply & authorities

Total supply

999,966,907.30 ROBUX

FDV

$218.28K

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

  • Volatilityhigh

    24h price change of +209.9% followed by a -28.85% 1h reversal, plus intra-hour ranges exceeding 100% (e.g., candle 17: low $0.0000746 to high $0.000493), demonstrates extreme volatility typical of a low-cap, thinly-traded meme token.

  • Liquidityhigh

    Total liquidity of only $23.42K against a $218.28K FDV and over $660K combined 24h volume creates a severe liquidity-to-volume mismatch, meaning even moderately sized trades can cause outsized price impact and slippage.

  • Concentrationmedium

    Top-10 holders control 28.85% of supply among 723 holder addresses. This is a real but not extreme concentration level; however, no top-100 data, wallet classification, or historical trend is available, so the full concentration picture is incomplete.

  • Sniper DumpNot assessed

    Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.

  • AuthorityNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

  • Extremely thin liquidity ($23.42K) relative to trading volume and FDV, exposing traders to high slippage and rapid price dislocation
  • Unknown mint/freeze authority status leaves open the possibility of supply inflation or account freezing
  • No sniper/early-buyer data available to assess dump risk from initial insiders
  • Sharp -28.85% 1h reversal immediately after a +209.9% 24h pump suggests the rally may already be unwinding
  • Descriptive claim in the token's own metadata ('Hold $Robux earn Roblox stock') is an unverifiable and likely misleading promotional claim typical of speculative meme tokens, and should be treated as a marketing/manipulation signal rather than a genuine product feature

Mitigating factors

  • Buy/sell volume is roughly balanced (51.3%/48.7%) rather than dominated by one-sided selling, indicating some genuine two-sided market interest
  • Unique buyer count (1,648) modestly exceeds unique seller count (1,419) in the last 24h, suggesting broad participation rather than a single dumping actor
  • Top-10 concentration of 28.85% is not unusually extreme compared to many newly-launched Solana meme tokens

Suitable for

Suitable only for highly risk-tolerant, experienced speculative traders who fully understand meme-token dynamics and can accept the possibility of total loss; unsuitable for risk-averse investors or those seeking capital preservation given the shallow liquidity, unresolved authority risk, and extreme volatility.

ROBUX is a Solana meme token (pump.fun-style origin) that experienced a violent volume-driven price spike (+209.9% in 24h) followed by an immediate sharp pullback (-28.85% in the most recent hour), against a backdrop of very thin liquidity ($23.42K) and multiple unresolved data gaps (mint/freeze authority, sniper activity, holder history). This combination points to a highly speculative, high-risk trading vehicle rather than a fundamentally-grounded investment.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

If buy-side momentum resumes and volume sustains at the elevated levels seen in candles [17]-[23], price could retest and potentially break the 24h high of $0.000535, especially if broader Solana meme-token sentiment stays favorable and the token's social presence (Twitter, website) drives continued speculative inflows.

  • Sustained high volume and buy pressure similar to the recent spike
  • Continued growth in unique buyer count beyond the current 1,648/24h
  • Positive meme/narrative momentum around the 'Robux/Roblox' branding attracting retail attention

Base Case

Price likely continues to oscillate within a wide, volatile range (roughly $0.0001-$0.0003) as speculative traders churn in and out, without a clear sustained directional trend, given the balanced 51.3%/48.7% buy/sell split and shallow liquidity that will keep generating sharp swings in both directions.

  • No major liquidity injection or authority disclosure occurs in the near term
  • Trading remains dominated by short-term speculative flow rather than long-term holders
  • No holder-history or sniper data becomes available to change the risk picture

Bear Case

High probability

The token continues its post-spike reversal, breaking below the immediate support of $0.000192 and retracing toward the pre-spike consolidation range around $0.0001 or lower, exacerbated by the extremely shallow $23.42K liquidity pool amplifying downside moves.

  • Already-observed -28.85% 1h decline immediately following the pump, a classic blow-off-top signature
  • Thin liquidity magnifying sell pressure impact
  • Unknown mint/freeze authority status and lack of sniper visibility creating unpriced tail risk
  • Unverifiable promotional claim ('earn Roblox stock') that may erode trust once scrutinized

Analysis details

Generated

Sep 20, 09:46 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-09-20 21:45 UTC

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

  • On-chain metadata (mint, supply, decimals)
  • USD price and 24h change data
  • Hourly OHLC candle data (last 24 hours)
  • Trading analytics (buy/sell volume, buyer/seller counts)
  • Sniper analysis (not available for this token)
  • Codex holder aggregates (current snapshot only: holder count, top-10 concentration)

Limitations

  • No sniper/early-buyer wallet data available — sniper concentration, PnL, and dump risk are unknown
  • No mint or freeze authority verification data available — rug risk from authorities is unknown
  • Holder data limited to a single current snapshot (723 addresses, 28.85% top-10 concentration) with no historical trend, growth rate, or wallet classification
  • Top-100 holder concentration not provided
  • Verified-contract, spam-flag, mutability, and master-edition metadata status all marked unknown
  • Only 24 hourly candles available, limiting longer-term technical pattern analysis
  • Token description and social claims are creator-supplied and unverified; treated as potential marketing/manipulation signals, not facts

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. It is generated from limited, partially incomplete on-chain data and carries significant uncertainty, particularly regarding authority permissions, sniper/insider activity, and holder history. Cryptocurrency trading, especially in low-liquidity meme tokens, carries a high risk of substantial or total loss. Conduct independent due diligence before making any investment decision.

Frequently Asked Questions

How concentrated is ROBUX ownership?

As of 2026-09-20 21:45 UTC, the provider reports that the top 10 holder addresses hold 28.85% of supply. It reports 723 holder addresses in total. Addresses are not people; pool, exchange, burn and related addresses have not been independently classified here.

Are large holders selling ROBUX?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. As of 2026-09-20 21:45 UTC, the preceding 24-hour DEX volume was $340,477.00 in buys and $323,852.00 in sells. Those totals describe trading activity, not which holders traded. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is ROBUX liquidity falling?

Sampled USD liquidity changed +146.38%, from $9,966.92 (2026-09-19 22:00 UTC) to $24,556.95 (2026-09-20 21:00 UTC). This compares the earliest and latest available samples, which may cover less than 24 hours. USD changes can reflect asset prices as well as liquidity deposits or withdrawals.

What is the short-term price outlook for ROBUX (ROBUX)?

Following an extreme +209.9% 24h pump that peaked at $0.000535, the token is showing a sharp -28.85% 1h reversal, a pattern consistent with post-spike exhaustion. Short-term price action is likely to test lower support levels before any renewed attempt higher. Short-term outlook is bearish (1-24 hours), with a target range of $0.000150 to $0.000280.

Is ROBUX a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as very high with a risk score of 85/100. Suitable only for highly risk-tolerant, experienced speculative traders who fully understand meme-token dynamics and can accept the possibility of total loss; unsuitable for risk-averse investors or those seeking capital preservation given the shallow liquidity, unresolved authority risk, and extreme volatility.

What are the key risks of holding ROBUX?

Extremely thin liquidity ($23.42K) relative to trading volume and FDV, exposing traders to high slippage and rapid price dislocation • Unknown mint/freeze authority status leaves open the possibility of supply inflation or account freezing • No sniper/early-buyer data available to assess dump risk from initial insiders

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