PLINY

Pliny the Liberator Price Prediction 2026

PLINY
Solana•
AI Analysis
Analysis as of Jun 13, 2026

HEokmdJyUprjSMZ9PcioMYzrKzLtrhiSyxyAMJwfpump

$0.055518

+2.31%

FDV $5,514

LiveContract:HEokmdJyUprjSMZ9PcioMYzrKzLtrhiSyxyAMJwfpumpChain:SolanaHolders:185Market cap:$5,514

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Ask Unhosted AI about PLINY

What's Twitter saying?

Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweets

Whale activity

Who is accumulating or distributing

What are the risks?

Red flags, security, concentration

Should I buy?

Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

Report snapshotas of Jun 13, 02:19 AM
FDV

$0

Liquidity

$38,382

Holders

597

Snipers

0

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

PLINY (Pliny the Liberator) is an extremely new PumpSwap-listed Solana memecoin (mint: HEokmdJyUprjSMZ9PcioMYzrKzLtrhiSyxyAMJwfpump) that launched within the last 24 hours. The token exploded +517% in 24h but shows severe red flags: 79.4% sell pressure, only $38.38K liquidity, a mutable contract with unknown update authority, and a holder base that went from 3 to 597 in a single day. The percentage figures in the top-holder table appear to be data artifacts (values exceeding 100%), so concentration must be read from the top10=35.24% / top100=85.44% summary metrics. This is an extremely high-risk, speculative micro-cap.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Bearish
Explosive 24h price surge of +517% from near-zero base
Holder count grew from 3 to 597 in under 24 hours — entirely new token
Severe sell-side dominance: 79.4% sell pressure vs 20.6% buy pressure
Only $38.38K total liquidity — extreme slippage risk on any meaningful position
Mutable metadata with unknown update authority — rug risk cannot be dismissed
No sniper data available; no description or verified contract

Price Prediction

bearish

Short term

bearish
1–24 hours

The most recent 5-minute candle shows a -15.4% drop, and sell pressure dominates at 79.4% of 24h volume ($253.30K sells vs $65.72K buys). With only $38.38K liquidity, even modest sell orders will cause severe price impact. The token opened the most recent hour at $0.0000983 and closed at $0.0001024, but the prior hour saw a massive wick from $0.0000119 to $0.0001308 — indicating extreme volatility and likely a pump-and-dump dynamic.

Target low$0.000011
Target high$0.000130
Support: $0.0000983 (hourly open, candle [1]), $0.0000119 (hourly low, candle [2])
Resistance: $0.0001024 (hourly close/high, candle [1]), $0.0001308 (spike high, candle [2])

Medium term

bearish
7–30 days

Given the token spent 30 days with only 3 holders before a sudden viral pump, there is no organic growth history. The overwhelming sell pressure, thin liquidity, and mutable contract make sustained price appreciation unlikely without a major catalyst. Most pump-and-dump tokens of this profile retrace 80–95% from peak.

Catalysts
  • Viral social media momentum (Twitter/website listed)
  • Broader Solana memecoin market rally
  • Listing on a centralized exchange (very unlikely at this stage)
  • Liquidity addition by project team

Bullish factors

  • 517% price surge demonstrates strong initial speculative demand
  • Holder count grew by 593 in under 24 hours showing viral spread
  • 1h price change of +87% in candle [1] shows momentum buyers still active
  • Social links (Twitter, website) suggest some marketing effort

Bearish factors

  • 79.4% sell pressure ($253.30K sells vs $65.72K buys) in 24h
  • Only $38.38K total liquidity — extremely shallow market
  • 5-minute price drop of -15.4% at time of analysis
  • Token had only 3 holders for 30 days before today — no organic base
  • Mutable metadata with unknown update authority
  • Top 100 holders control 85.44% of supply
  • No verified contract, no description, decimals=0 (unusual)
  • FDV of only $102.40K with extreme concentration risk
Confidence: low. Only 2 hourly OHLC candles are available, the token is less than 24 hours old, no sniper data exists, the contract is unverified and mutable, and the holder history shows zero organic growth prior to today. Prediction confidence is necessarily low.

PLINY call history

Full track record →
Jun 13bearish
24h-83.9%
7d-97.0%
30d-96.7%

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Deep Analysis

Only 2 hourly candles are available. Candle [2] (01:00 UTC): O=$0.0000268, H=$0.0001308, L=$0.0000119, C=$0.0000990 — a massive bullish spike with a long upper wick, indicating a violent pump followed by partial retracement. Volume was $234,505. Candle [1] (02:00 UTC): O=$0.0000983, H=$0.0001024, L=$0.0000983, C=$0.0001024 — a small bullish candle with no lower wick, opening near the prior close and closing at the high. Volume dropped sharply to $61,598, suggesting momentum is fading. The pattern is consistent with a post-pump consolidation/distribution phase.

Trend

Short-term
uptrend
Medium-term
sideways

Momentum

Status
overbought

Volume

Trenddecreasing
Buy 21%Sell 79%

Short-term trend is technically up from the launch price, but the massive upper wick in candle [2] and the -15.4% 5-minute drop suggest the uptrend is exhausting. Medium-term is sideways-to-down given the sell pressure dominance.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.0000983 (candle [1] open/low)
Major$0.0000119 (candle [2] absolute low — launch-area floor)
Resistance
Immediate$0.0001024 (candle [1] high/close)
Major$0.0001308 (candle [2] spike high)

The $0.0000983 level is the immediate support as it was the open of the most recent candle. A break below this targets the $0.0000119 launch-area low. Resistance sits at $0.0001024 (recent close) and the spike high of $0.0001308. Given thin liquidity, these levels can be breached rapidly in either direction.

Notable patterns

  • Long upper wick on candle [2] — classic pump-and-dump wick indicating seller dominance at highs
  • Volume collapse from candle [2] to candle [1] (74% drop) — fading momentum signal
  • Candle [1] opens at prior close with no lower wick — short-term consolidation but no buying conviction
  • Post-pump distribution pattern: high sell volume (79.4%) with declining price action in 5m timeframe

Total holders597
24h Δ+593
7d Δ+593
30d Δ+593
Accelerating Growth
Yes

Correlation with price

The entire holder base (594 of 597 holders) was acquired within the last 24 hours, coinciding exactly with the +517% price spike. This is a textbook pump-driven holder accumulation pattern — holders are not growing organically but are being attracted by the price spike. Prior to today, the token had only 3 holders for 30 consecutive days (May 14 – June 12, 2026), indicating zero organic community development.

Holder growth is technically accelerating (from 0 new holders/day for 30 days to +593 in one day), but this is entirely pump-driven rather than organic. The historical holder data shows a flat line at 3 holders from May 14 to June 12, 2026 — 30 days of complete inactivity. The sudden explosion to 597 holders in under 24 hours is consistent with a coordinated pump event. Acquisition method is predominantly swap (585 of 597), confirming market-driven buying rather than team distribution or airdrops. Holder distribution: 149 whales, 55 sharks, 199 dolphins, 42 fish, 16 octopus — the high whale count relative to total holders is concerning.

Top 10 hold35.24%
Top 100 hold85.44%
Sentiment
Distributing

Notable holders

CsdEcJYmWfydFLxxTj2QNt3pntLN4RkAVC3LmgXLBwkg

DEX liquidity pool (PumpSwap pair address — matches the trading pair address listed in price data)

13.72%

AuPp4YTMTyqxYXQnHc5KUc6pUuCSsHQpBJhgnD45yqrf

Individual whale / early holder

3.55%

GijFWw4oNyh9ko3FaZforNsi3jk6wDovARpkKahPD4o5

Individual whale / early holder

3.40%

CQy5z2PJxVoRFp1jhFTPgrpu3HrypwbdoptR44dDJ4at

Individual whale / early holder

3.06%

K27kZNq1P9a7A9HMSrkcwzLD7maN2S4VjhZW1ZSAvaG

Individual whale / early holder

2.19%

The top 10 holders control 35.24% of supply and the top 100 control 85.44%, indicating very high concentration. Note: the percentage figures displayed in the raw holder table (e.g., '13724177232035700.00%') are clearly data artifacts — likely caused by the token's unusual supply representation (decimals=0, total supply=1 in formatted terms but raw balances in the hundreds of trillions). The summary metrics (top10=35.24%, top100=85.44%) are used as the authoritative figures. The largest holder (CsdEcJYmWfydFLxxTj2QNt3pntLN4RkAVC3LmgXLBwkg) matches the PumpSwap pair address, classifying it as the DEX liquidity pool. The remaining top holders appear to be individual wallets that acquired tokens via swap. With 79.4% sell pressure dominating 24h volume, the overall whale sentiment is distributing.

Liquidity$38,380
Depth
Shallow
Slippage risk
high

Volume (24h)

Buy$65,720
Sell$253,300
Net flow
outflow

Traders (24h)

Unique buyers398
Unique sellers1,472

Liquidity is critically shallow at $38.38K against an FDV of $102.40K — a liquidity-to-FDV ratio of ~37.5%, which sounds reasonable but in absolute terms means any trade above a few hundred dollars will experience significant slippage. The 24h sell volume of $253.30K is 3.85x the buy volume of $65.72K, and unique sellers (1,472) outnumber unique buyers (398) by 3.7:1. Net flow is strongly negative (outflow). The 24h buy/sell transaction count (1,175 buys vs 4,613 sells) further confirms heavy distribution. Market health is poor — this token is in active distribution phase with insufficient liquidity to absorb selling pressure without severe price impact.

Supply & Valuation

Total supply1 (formatted) — raw balances suggest the actual on-chain supply is in the hundreds of trillions with 0 decimals; the formatted supply of '1' is likely a data display artifact
FDV$102,400

Authorities

Mint authority
Active
Freeze authority
Active

The token metadata shows decimals=0 and a formatted total supply of 1, which is almost certainly a display artifact — the raw holder balances (e.g., 137 trillion for the top holder) indicate the actual supply is in the hundreds of trillions of base units. The update authority is listed as 'unknown' and the contract is mutable, meaning the token creator retains the ability to modify metadata. Mint and freeze authority status cannot be confirmed from available data. The combination of mutable metadata, unknown authority, unverified contract, and no description creates meaningful rug-pull risk. The FDV of $102.40K is extremely small, making this a micro-cap with all associated risks. No vesting schedules, team allocations, or tokenomics documentation are available.

Volatility
high

517% price increase in 24h followed by -15.4% in 5 minutes. Only 2 hourly candles available, both showing extreme volatility. The candle [2] wick spans from $0.0000119 to $0.0001308 — an 11x range in a single hour.

Liquidity
high

Total liquidity of only $38.38K. Any position above ~$500 will experience material slippage. The liquidity pool is the largest single holder at ~13.72% of supply.

Concentration
high

Top 10 holders control 35.24% of supply; top 100 control 85.44%. With 597 total holders, the distribution is extremely concentrated. 149 'whale' classification holders exist in a 597-holder base.

SniperDump
medium

No sniper data is available, so sniper dump risk cannot be directly quantified. However, the token had only 3 holders for 30 days before today, suggesting the original 3 holders are likely insiders/team who could dump at any time. The 79.4% sell pressure strongly suggests early holders are already distributing.

Authority
high

Update authority is unknown, contract is mutable, mint and freeze authority status are unconfirmed. The token is unverified and has no description. This combination represents maximum authority risk — the creator could modify metadata, freeze accounts, or mint additional tokens without warning.

Key risks

  • Mutable contract with unknown update authority — potential rug pull vector
  • Only $38.38K liquidity — extreme slippage and exit risk
  • 79.4% sell pressure with 4,613 sells vs 1,175 buys in 24h — active distribution
  • Token had 3 holders for 30 days before today — no organic community
  • Top 100 holders control 85.44% of supply — extreme concentration
  • No verified contract, no description, decimals=0 anomaly
  • Micro-cap FDV of $102.40K with no fundamental backing
  • Unique sellers (1,472) outnumber unique buyers (398) by 3.7:1

Mitigating factors

  • Token is listed on PumpSwap with an active trading pair
  • Social links (Twitter, website) suggest some level of project presence
  • Holder count grew to 597 in 24h showing some community interest
  • Top holder is the DEX liquidity pool, not a single insider wallet
  • Not flagged as spam by the data provider
Suitable for: This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who can afford to lose 100% of their investment. It is entirely unsuitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep familiarity with Solana memecoin dynamics and pump-and-dump patterns.

PLINY is a brand-new Solana memecoin that experienced a violent pump on launch day (+517% in 24h) but shows all the hallmarks of a pump-and-dump: overwhelming sell pressure, thin liquidity, extreme concentration, mutable/unknown authority, and zero organic history. The risk/reward is highly asymmetric to the downside at current prices.

Bull case (low)

Viral memecoin momentum continues — PLINY catches a broader Solana memecoin wave, social media amplification drives new buyer inflows, liquidity deepens, and the token sustains above $0.0001 with a path toward $0.0003–0.0005 range.

  • Sustained Twitter/social media viral momentum
  • Broader Solana memecoin market rally
  • Influential accounts promoting the token
  • Liquidity addition by team or market makers

Base case

Token stabilizes in a lower range after the initial pump fades. Price consolidates between $0.000020–0.000060 as speculative interest wanes, volume drops to near zero, and the token joins the long tail of inactive Solana memecoins.

  • Some buyers hold positions hoping for a second pump
  • No rug pull or freeze event occurs
  • Liquidity remains thin but present on PumpSwap
  • No major catalyst emerges to reignite momentum

Bear case (high)

Classic pump-and-dump collapse — early holders (the original 3 wallets active for 30 days) and large whales continue distributing into retail demand, liquidity drains, and the price retraces 80–95% from peak to the $0.000006–0.000020 range.

  • Continued 79.4% sell pressure exhausts buyer demand
  • Thin $38.38K liquidity cannot absorb whale exits
  • Mutable contract manipulation or rug pull by unknown authority
  • No fundamental value or utility to sustain price
  • Retail FOMO buyers run out — demand collapses

GeneratedJun 13, 02:19 AM
Data freshnessPrice and trading data current as of candle close 2026-06-13T02:00:00Z. Holder data reflects state at time of query. Historical holder series covers May 14 – June 12, 2026.
Model confidence
low

Data sources

  • Moralis on-chain token metadata API
  • PumpSwap DEX trading analytics
  • Hourly OHLC price feed (2 candles)
  • Holder metrics and historical holder series (30-day daily)
  • Top 20 holder distribution data
  • Trading volume and buyer/seller analytics

Limitations

  • Only 2 hourly OHLC candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis
  • No sniper data available — smart money signals are inferred only
  • Token supply display appears to be a data artifact (formatted supply=1 with decimals=0 but raw balances in trillions) — actual tokenomics are unclear
  • Update authority, mint authority, and freeze authority status are all unknown — rug risk cannot be precisely quantified
  • Holder percentage figures in raw data appear to be artifacts exceeding 100% — summary metrics used instead
  • No description, whitepaper, or project documentation available
  • Token is less than 24 hours old — all metrics are based on extremely limited history
  • 6h and 24h price change fields show 0% which conflicts with other data — likely a data pipeline issue for very new tokens

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does NOT constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially micro-cap memecoins, carry extreme risk of total loss. The analyst has no position in PLINY. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply1 (formatted) — raw balances suggest the actual on-chain supply is in the hundreds of trillions with 0 decimals; the formatted supply of '1' is likely a data display artifact

Key Risks

•Mutable contract with unknown update authority — potential rug pull vector
•Only $38.38K liquidity — extreme slippage and exit risk
•79.4% sell pressure with 4,613 sells vs 1,175 buys in 24h — active distribution
•Token had 3 holders for 30 days before today — no organic community

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

low confidence
Low risk

No sniper data is available for PLINY. The token is less than 24 hours old and launched on PumpSwap. Without sniper data, smart money signals cannot be reliably assessed. The overwhelming sell pressure (79.4% of volume) and rapid holder accumulation from 3 to 597 in one day suggest early buyers are distributing to retail. The 4,613 sell transactions vs 1,175 buy transactions in 24h is a strong signal of early-mover profit-taking.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration0.00%
PnL stateUnknown
Sell-through rateUnknown
Profit-taking risk
low

No sniper data available — the sniper analysis endpoint returned no data for this token.

Likely distributing — 4,613 sell transactions vs 1,175 buy transactions in 24h, with $253.30K in sell volume vs $65.72K in buy volume, strongly suggests early holders are selling into retail demand.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the price prediction for Pliny the Liberator (PLINY)?

The most recent 5-minute candle shows a -15.4% drop, and sell pressure dominates at 79.4% of 24h volume ($253.30K sells vs $65.72K buys). With only $38.38K liquidity, even modest sell orders will cause severe price impact. The token opened the most recent hour at $0.0000983 and closed at $0.0001024, but the prior hour saw a massive wick from $0.0000119 to $0.0001308 — indicating extreme volatility and likely a pump-and-dump dynamic. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.000011 to $0.000130.

Is PLINY a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 9.1/100. This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who can afford to lose 100% of their investment. It is entirely unsuitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep familiarity with Solana memecoin dynamics and pump-and-dump patterns.

How are PLINY holders trending?

Pliny the Liberator currently has 597 holders and is growing (24h: 593, 7d: 593, 30d: 593). Holder growth is technically accelerating (from 0 new holders/day for 30 days to +593 in one day), but this is entirely pump-driven rather than organic. The historical holder data shows a flat line at 3 holders from May 14 to June 12, 2026 — 30 days of complete inactivity. The sudden explosion to 597 holders in under 24 hours is consistent with a coordinated pump event. Acquisition method is predominantly swap (585 of 597), confirming market-driven buying rather than team distribution or airdrops. Holder distribution: 149 whales, 55 sharks, 199 dolphins, 42 fish, 16 octopus — the high whale count relative to total holders is concerning.

What does sniper activity look like for PLINY?

Snipers hold roughly 0.00% of supply with PnL state "unknown" and sell-through rate "unknown". Profit-taking risk: low.

What are the key risks of holding PLINY?

Mutable contract with unknown update authority — potential rug pull vector • Only $38.38K liquidity — extreme slippage and exit risk • 79.4% sell pressure with 4,613 sells vs 1,175 buys in 24h — active distribution

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