WARD

WARDKEEP Price Today & AI Analysis

WARDSolanaAnalysis as of Aug 14, 2026

Price

$0.057898

-0.12% 24h

Contract

Live
H4j2x2AxcRhXro8k3FtjDj3VZfoS9Uq4BhEoGyqthPJf

Chain

Solana

Holders

365

Market cap

$7,657

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WARDKEEP: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-08-14 11:17 UTC

Holder addresses

Not available

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

$49,292.76
How concentrated is WARDKEEP ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The holder count is also unavailable. A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling WARDKEEP?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is WARDKEEP liquidity falling?
As of 2026-08-14 11:17 UTC, reported liquidity was $49,292.76. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-08-14 11:17 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

Report snapshot

as of Aug 14, 11:17 AM UTC

FDV

$140,665

Liquidity

$49,292.76

Holders

Not available

Snipers

Not available

Risk

Very High
Loading price chart…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Neutral

WARDKEEP (WARD) is a Solana memecoin launched on StonkFun with a current price of ~$0.000145 and a fully diluted valuation of ~$140K. The token has experienced an extraordinary 1,885% 24-hour price surge, suggesting a very recent launch or viral pump event. Total liquidity stands at just $49.29K, indicating a micro-cap token with significant risk. The update authority is not renounced (held by 5CEbueQnq1Ym2uSSx2xXds3jQAqT1BDnkA59RZobSPAG), and the contract is unverified. Social presence (Telegram, Twitter, website) exists, but the token is unverified and carries very high speculative risk.

Key points

  • Launched on StonkFun platform with 1,885% 24h price appreciation
  • Active trading with 322 unique buyers and 1,789 buy transactions in 24h
  • Slight buy-side dominance: 54.1% buy pressure vs 45.9% sell pressure
  • Micro-cap FDV of ~$140K with only $49.29K in liquidity
  • Mutable metadata is false, reducing one vector of rug risk

AI Price Analysis

neutral

Short term · 1–24 hours

neutral

After a massive 1,885% 24h surge, WARD is showing signs of consolidation. The most recent hourly candles (candles 1–2) show price oscillating between ~$18.57 and ~$19.15 (in WSOL-denominated terms per the OHLC data), with moderate volume. The 5-minute change is slightly negative (-0.16%) while the 1h change is slightly positive (+0.90%), suggesting a short-term tug-of-war. Given the extreme prior move, a mean-reversion pullback is a significant risk.

Target low

$0.000090

Target high

$0.000200

Support

$0.000130 (recent consolidation base), $0.000100 (psychological round number)

Resistance

$0.000160 (near recent high), $0.000200 (extension target)

Medium term · 1–4 weeks

bearish

Tokens launched on launchpads like StonkFun with 1,885% single-day pumps historically face severe retracements as early buyers take profits. Without verified contracts, renounced authorities, or confirmed holder distribution data, the medium-term outlook is cautious. Sustained price appreciation would require continued community growth and liquidity deepening.

Catalysts

  • Community-driven social media momentum (Telegram, Twitter, website active)
  • Potential listing on additional DEXs or aggregators
  • Broader Solana memecoin market sentiment
  • Profit-taking by early buyers could accelerate decline

Bullish factors

  • Strong 24h buy pressure at 54.1% of volume
  • 1,789 buy transactions vs 1,133 sell transactions in 24h — net buyer activity
  • 322 unique buyers vs 220 unique sellers — more participants buying than selling
  • Positive price momentum across 1h (+0.90%), 6h (+1.61%), and 24h (+0.78%) timeframes
  • Social presence (Telegram, Twitter, website) suggests active community

Bearish factors

  • Extreme 1,885% 24h price surge — historically precedes sharp retracements
  • Very shallow liquidity at $49.29K — large trades will cause severe slippage
  • Unverified contract and non-renounced update authority
  • FDV of only ~$140K — extremely small cap with high manipulation risk
  • Launched on StonkFun — launchpad tokens carry elevated dump risk post-launch
  • No sniper or holder data available to assess distribution risk

Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to: (1) no holder distribution data available, (2) no sniper data available, (3) extreme 1,885% 24h move makes price discovery unreliable, (4) very shallow liquidity ($49.29K) amplifies volatility, and (5) unverified contract with non-renounced update authority.

WARD call history

Full track record →

Aug 14neutral
24h—
7d—
30d-94.3%

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Solana
Contract
H4j2x2...hPJf
Total Supply
969,895,221.34 WARD

Key Risks

  • Extreme 1,885% 24h pump — high probability of sharp retracement
  • Shallow liquidity ($49.29K) — high slippage and price impact on exits
  • Unverified contract with non-renounced update authority
  • Unknown mint and freeze authority status

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

The 8 available hourly OHLC candles (in WSOL-denominated price terms) reveal a two-phase structure. Candles 8–6 (Aug 13, 14:00–18:00) show very low volume (53–75 units) with tight price ranges around 18.66–18.79, indicating near-dormant trading. Candle 5 (Aug 13, 22:00) is a doji-like single-price candle (O=H=L=C=18.65) with negligible volume (~0.97 units), confirming illiquidity. Candles 4 and 3 (Aug 14, 08:00–09:00) also show minimal volume (75–132 units) with tight ranges. The significant shift occurs in Candle 2 (Aug 14, 10:00) where volume surges to 78,844 units and price moves from 18.78 to a high of 19.12, followed by Candle 1 (Aug 14, 11:00) with the highest volume at 194,798 units, a high of 19.15, and a close of 18.95. This volume explosion in the final two candles is the primary driver of the 1,885% 24h USD price change, likely reflecting the token's initial liquidity event or viral pump.

Trend

Short-term

Uptrend

Medium-term

Sideways

Short-term trend is upward driven by the volume surge in the last two candles. Medium-term is effectively sideways/undefined given the token's very recent launch and sparse historical data. The price action prior to the surge was essentially flat with negligible volume.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Overbought

Volume trend

Increasing

Buy

54%

Sell

46%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

~18.59 WSOL / ~$0.000138 USD (Candle 3 low)

Major support

~18.57 WSOL / ~$0.000130 USD (Candle 2 low)

Immediate resistance

~19.12 WSOL / ~$0.000160 USD (Candle 2 high)

Major resistance

~19.15 WSOL / ~$0.000165 USD (Candle 1 all-time high)

Support is defined by the recent consolidation lows in candles 2–3 (~18.57–18.59 WSOL). Resistance sits at the recent highs of candles 1–2 (~19.12–19.15 WSOL). A break above 19.15 would signal continuation; a break below 18.57 would suggest the pump is reversing.

Notable patterns

  • Volume explosion: near-zero volume for 6+ candles followed by 194K-unit candle — classic launch/pump signature
  • Doji candle at Aug 13 22:00 (O=H=L=C) indicating complete illiquidity prior to pump
  • Upper wick on Candle 1 (high 19.15, close 18.95) — potential shooting star / exhaustion signal
  • Candle 2 shows bullish momentum with close near high (18.76 close vs 19.12 high — partial retracement)
  • Price consolidation in candles 3–8 at ~18.59–18.80 range before breakout

Liquidity

Liquidity

$49,292.76

Depth

Shallow

Slippage risk

High

WARD's total liquidity of $49.29K is extremely shallow relative to its 24h trading volume of ~$272.66K (buy + sell combined). The volume-to-liquidity ratio exceeds 5:1, meaning the pool is being turned over multiple times per day — a hallmark of high-volatility micro-cap tokens. Slippage risk is high: any trade above a few hundred dollars will materially move the price. The net flow is positive (inflow) with $147.55K in buys vs $125.11K in sells, and 322 unique buyers vs 220 unique sellers. The Raydium pair (CmQkAdhKmBs7zJSb8NoStGc2uUPuMnbMAbAhoQWXcpNm) is the sole liquidity venue identified. The FDV of ~$140K vs $49.29K liquidity implies roughly 35% of market cap is in the pool, which is relatively high for a micro-cap but still insufficient to absorb significant selling pressure.

Supply & authorities

Total supply

969,895,221.34 WARD

FDV

$140,664.67

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

  • Volatilityhigh

    1,885% 24h price surge indicates extreme volatility. The token is in early price discovery with no established price history. Micro-cap FDV of ~$140K amplifies volatility further.

  • Liquidityhigh

    Total liquidity of only $49.29K against 24h volume of ~$272K creates severe slippage risk. Large exits could crash the price significantly. Single Raydium pool is the only liquidity venue.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Sniper DumpNot assessed

    Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.

  • AuthorityNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

  • Extreme 1,885% 24h pump — high probability of sharp retracement
  • Shallow liquidity ($49.29K) — high slippage and price impact on exits
  • Unverified contract with non-renounced update authority
  • Unknown mint and freeze authority status
  • No holder distribution data — concentration risk cannot be assessed
  • StonkFun launchpad tokens historically face post-launch dumps
  • Micro-cap FDV (~$140K) — susceptible to manipulation
  • No sniper data — early buyer profit-taking risk is unquantifiable

Mitigating factors

  • Mutable flag is set to false — limits metadata modification risk
  • Net buy pressure: 54.1% buy vs 45.9% sell volume in 24h
  • More unique buyers (322) than sellers (220) in 24h
  • Active social presence (Telegram, Twitter, website)
  • Positive price momentum across multiple timeframes (1h, 6h, 24h)
  • Not flagged as possible spam by data provider

Suitable for

Suitable only for highly risk-tolerant, experienced crypto traders who understand memecoin dynamics and can afford to lose their entire investment. Not suitable for risk-averse investors, long-term holders, or those without deep familiarity with Solana micro-cap tokens. Position sizing should be minimal (e.g., <1% of portfolio). This is a speculative instrument, not an investment.

WARDKEEP (WARD) is a high-risk, high-speculation micro-cap memecoin on Solana launched via StonkFun. The token has experienced a dramatic 1,885% 24h price surge with active trading (335 unique wallets, $272K combined volume), but is constrained by extremely shallow liquidity ($49.29K), an unverified contract, non-renounced authorities, and a complete absence of holder/sniper data. The investment thesis is purely speculative momentum-based, with the bear case being the dominant probability.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

Community momentum sustains buying pressure, liquidity deepens, and WARD achieves broader visibility on Solana DEX aggregators and social media, driving FDV toward $500K–$1M range.

  • Continued net buy pressure (54.1% buy volume) sustains price
  • Active social channels (Telegram, Twitter, website) drive new buyer discovery
  • Broader Solana memecoin market in bull phase amplifies micro-cap moves
  • Liquidity deepening reduces slippage and attracts larger traders
  • Viral social media moment or influencer attention

Base Case

WARD consolidates near current levels with declining volume over the next 1–2 weeks, gradually losing momentum as initial excitement fades, with price settling 40–60% below the 24h high.

  • Buy and sell pressure remain roughly balanced in the near term
  • No major new catalysts emerge to drive a second leg up
  • Liquidity remains at current shallow levels (~$49K)
  • Early buyers gradually exit over days rather than all at once
  • Token does not get listed on centralized exchanges or major aggregators

Bear Case

High probability

Early buyers take profits following the 1,885% pump, liquidity is insufficient to absorb selling, and price retraces 70–90% from current levels within days.

  • Post-pump profit-taking by early participants with large unrealized gains
  • Shallow $49.29K liquidity cannot absorb significant sell orders
  • No fundamental value proposition beyond speculative momentum
  • Unverified contract and non-renounced authority erode trust
  • StonkFun launchpad tokens historically dump post-initial pump
  • Absence of holder data makes it impossible to assess distribution risk

Analysis details

Generated

Aug 14, 11:17 AM UTC

Saved observation

2026-08-14 11:17 UTC

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

  • On-chain token metadata (Mint: H4j2x2AxcRhXro8k3FtjDj3VZfoS9Uq4BhEoGyqthPJf)
  • Raydium DEX pair data (CmQkAdhKmBs7zJSb8NoStGc2uUPuMnbMAbAhoQWXcpNm)
  • Hourly OHLC candle data (8 candles, Aug 13–14 2026)
  • 24h trading analytics (volume, buyers, sellers, price changes)
  • Sniper analysis endpoint (returned no data)

Limitations

  • Holder distribution data is entirely unavailable — concentration and whale risk cannot be quantified
  • Sniper analysis returned no data — early buyer PnL and concentration are unknown
  • Only 8 hourly OHLC candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis
  • Contract is unverified — on-chain program behavior cannot be confirmed
  • Mint and freeze authority status not explicitly provided in metadata
  • Token is extremely new (launched on StonkFun) — no historical price data for trend analysis
  • OHLC values appear to be WSOL-denominated rather than USD, creating potential confusion with the USD price ($0.000145) — analysis notes this discrepancy
  • No liquidity pool composition data (token vs SOL ratio) available

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially micro-cap memecoins, carry extreme risk of total loss. The data analyzed was provided by potentially untrusted sources including token metadata that may have been set by the token's creator. Always conduct your own research (DYOR) before making any investment decisions. Past price performance is not indicative of future results.

Frequently Asked Questions

How concentrated is WARDKEEP ownership?

Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The holder count is also unavailable. A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.

Are large holders selling WARDKEEP?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is WARDKEEP liquidity falling?

As of 2026-08-14 11:17 UTC, reported liquidity was $49,292.76. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.

What is the short-term price outlook for WARDKEEP (WARD)?

After a massive 1,885% 24h surge, WARD is showing signs of consolidation. The most recent hourly candles (candles 1–2) show price oscillating between ~$18.57 and ~$19.15 (in WSOL-denominated terms per the OHLC data), with moderate volume. The 5-minute change is slightly negative (-0.16%) while the 1h change is slightly positive (+0.90%), suggesting a short-term tug-of-war. Given the extreme prior move, a mean-reversion pullback is a significant risk. Short-term outlook is neutral (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.000090 to $0.000200.

Is WARD a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as very high with a risk score of 8.5/100. Suitable only for highly risk-tolerant, experienced crypto traders who understand memecoin dynamics and can afford to lose their entire investment. Not suitable for risk-averse investors, long-term holders, or those without deep familiarity with Solana micro-cap tokens. Position sizing should be minimal (e.g., <1% of portfolio). This is a speculative instrument, not an investment.

What are the key risks of holding WARD?

Extreme 1,885% 24h pump — high probability of sharp retracement • Shallow liquidity ($49.29K) — high slippage and price impact on exits • Unverified contract with non-renounced update authority

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