WARD

WARDKEEP Price Prediction 2026

WARD
Solana•
AI Analysis
Analysis as of Aug 14, 2026

H4j2x2AxcRhXro8k3FtjDj3VZfoS9Uq4BhEoGyqthPJf

$0.000145

+1885.12%

FDV $140,665

LiveContract:H4j2x2AxcRhXro8k3FtjDj3VZfoS9Uq4BhEoGyqthPJfChain:SolanaHolders:482Market cap:$140,665

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Ask Unhosted AI about WARD

What's Twitter saying?

Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweets

Whale activity

Who is accumulating or distributing

What are the risks?

Red flags, security, concentration

Should I buy?

Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

Report snapshotas of Aug 14, 11:17 AM
FDV

$140,665

Liquidity

$49,293

Holders

0

Snipers

0

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

WARDKEEP (WARD) is a Solana memecoin launched on StonkFun with a current price of ~$0.000145 and a fully diluted valuation of ~$140K. The token has experienced an extraordinary 1,885% 24-hour price surge, suggesting a very recent launch or viral pump event. Total liquidity stands at just $49.29K, indicating a micro-cap token with significant risk. The update authority is not renounced (held by 5CEbueQnq1Ym2uSSx2xXds3jQAqT1BDnkA59RZobSPAG), and the contract is unverified. Social presence (Telegram, Twitter, website) exists, but the token is unverified and carries very high speculative risk.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Neutral
Launched on StonkFun platform with 1,885% 24h price appreciation
Active trading with 322 unique buyers and 1,789 buy transactions in 24h
Slight buy-side dominance: 54.1% buy pressure vs 45.9% sell pressure
Micro-cap FDV of ~$140K with only $49.29K in liquidity
Mutable metadata is false, reducing one vector of rug risk

Price Prediction

neutral

Short term

neutral
1–24 hours

After a massive 1,885% 24h surge, WARD is showing signs of consolidation. The most recent hourly candles (candles 1–2) show price oscillating between ~$18.57 and ~$19.15 (in WSOL-denominated terms per the OHLC data), with moderate volume. The 5-minute change is slightly negative (-0.16%) while the 1h change is slightly positive (+0.90%), suggesting a short-term tug-of-war. Given the extreme prior move, a mean-reversion pullback is a significant risk.

Target low$0.000090
Target high$0.000200
Support: $0.000130 (recent consolidation base), $0.000100 (psychological round number)
Resistance: $0.000160 (near recent high), $0.000200 (extension target)

Medium term

bearish
1–4 weeks

Tokens launched on launchpads like StonkFun with 1,885% single-day pumps historically face severe retracements as early buyers take profits. Without verified contracts, renounced authorities, or confirmed holder distribution data, the medium-term outlook is cautious. Sustained price appreciation would require continued community growth and liquidity deepening.

Catalysts
  • Community-driven social media momentum (Telegram, Twitter, website active)
  • Potential listing on additional DEXs or aggregators
  • Broader Solana memecoin market sentiment
  • Profit-taking by early buyers could accelerate decline

Bullish factors

  • Strong 24h buy pressure at 54.1% of volume
  • 1,789 buy transactions vs 1,133 sell transactions in 24h — net buyer activity
  • 322 unique buyers vs 220 unique sellers — more participants buying than selling
  • Positive price momentum across 1h (+0.90%), 6h (+1.61%), and 24h (+0.78%) timeframes
  • Social presence (Telegram, Twitter, website) suggests active community

Bearish factors

  • Extreme 1,885% 24h price surge — historically precedes sharp retracements
  • Very shallow liquidity at $49.29K — large trades will cause severe slippage
  • Unverified contract and non-renounced update authority
  • FDV of only ~$140K — extremely small cap with high manipulation risk
  • Launched on StonkFun — launchpad tokens carry elevated dump risk post-launch
  • No sniper or holder data available to assess distribution risk
Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to: (1) no holder distribution data available, (2) no sniper data available, (3) extreme 1,885% 24h move makes price discovery unreliable, (4) very shallow liquidity ($49.29K) amplifies volatility, and (5) unverified contract with non-renounced update authority.

WARD call history

Full track record →
Aug 14neutral
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Deep Analysis

The 8 available hourly OHLC candles (in WSOL-denominated price terms) reveal a two-phase structure. Candles 8–6 (Aug 13, 14:00–18:00) show very low volume (53–75 units) with tight price ranges around 18.66–18.79, indicating near-dormant trading. Candle 5 (Aug 13, 22:00) is a doji-like single-price candle (O=H=L=C=18.65) with negligible volume (~0.97 units), confirming illiquidity. Candles 4 and 3 (Aug 14, 08:00–09:00) also show minimal volume (75–132 units) with tight ranges. The significant shift occurs in Candle 2 (Aug 14, 10:00) where volume surges to 78,844 units and price moves from 18.78 to a high of 19.12, followed by Candle 1 (Aug 14, 11:00) with the highest volume at 194,798 units, a high of 19.15, and a close of 18.95. This volume explosion in the final two candles is the primary driver of the 1,885% 24h USD price change, likely reflecting the token's initial liquidity event or viral pump.

Trend

Short-term
uptrend
Medium-term
sideways

Momentum

Status
overbought

Volume

Trendincreasing
Buy 54%Sell 46%

Short-term trend is upward driven by the volume surge in the last two candles. Medium-term is effectively sideways/undefined given the token's very recent launch and sparse historical data. The price action prior to the surge was essentially flat with negligible volume.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate~18.59 WSOL / ~$0.000138 USD (Candle 3 low)
Major~18.57 WSOL / ~$0.000130 USD (Candle 2 low)
Resistance
Immediate~19.12 WSOL / ~$0.000160 USD (Candle 2 high)
Major~19.15 WSOL / ~$0.000165 USD (Candle 1 all-time high)

Support is defined by the recent consolidation lows in candles 2–3 (~18.57–18.59 WSOL). Resistance sits at the recent highs of candles 1–2 (~19.12–19.15 WSOL). A break above 19.15 would signal continuation; a break below 18.57 would suggest the pump is reversing.

Notable patterns

  • Volume explosion: near-zero volume for 6+ candles followed by 194K-unit candle — classic launch/pump signature
  • Doji candle at Aug 13 22:00 (O=H=L=C) indicating complete illiquidity prior to pump
  • Upper wick on Candle 1 (high 19.15, close 18.95) — potential shooting star / exhaustion signal
  • Candle 2 shows bullish momentum with close near high (18.76 close vs 19.12 high — partial retracement)
  • Price consolidation in candles 3–8 at ~18.59–18.80 range before breakout

Liquidity$49,290
Depth
Shallow
Slippage risk
high

Volume (24h)

Buy$147,550
Sell$125,110
Net flow
inflow

Traders (24h)

Unique buyers322
Unique sellers220

WARD's total liquidity of $49.29K is extremely shallow relative to its 24h trading volume of ~$272.66K (buy + sell combined). The volume-to-liquidity ratio exceeds 5:1, meaning the pool is being turned over multiple times per day — a hallmark of high-volatility micro-cap tokens. Slippage risk is high: any trade above a few hundred dollars will materially move the price. The net flow is positive (inflow) with $147.55K in buys vs $125.11K in sells, and 322 unique buyers vs 220 unique sellers. The Raydium pair (CmQkAdhKmBs7zJSb8NoStGc2uUPuMnbMAbAhoQWXcpNm) is the sole liquidity venue identified. The FDV of ~$140K vs $49.29K liquidity implies roughly 35% of market cap is in the pool, which is relatively high for a micro-cap but still insufficient to absorb significant selling pressure.

Supply & Valuation

Total supply969,895,221.34 WARD
FDV$140,664.67

Authorities

Mint authority
Active
Freeze authority
Active

WARD has a total supply of ~969.9 million tokens with a fully diluted valuation of ~$140.6K. The update authority is held by wallet 5CEbueQnq1Ym2uSSx2xXds3jQAqT1BDnkA59RZobSPAG — this is NOT the burn address (111...111) and has not been renounced, meaning the token metadata could potentially be modified. However, the 'Mutable' flag is set to false, which limits metadata mutability at the program level. Mint and freeze authority status are not explicitly provided in the data; they are marked as 'unknown'. The contract is unverified. The token was launched on StonkFun, a launchpad platform. The combination of unverified contract, non-renounced update authority, and unknown mint/freeze authority status warrants a medium authority risk rating. The false 'Mutable' flag is a partial mitigating factor.

Volatility
high

1,885% 24h price surge indicates extreme volatility. The token is in early price discovery with no established price history. Micro-cap FDV of ~$140K amplifies volatility further.

Liquidity
high

Total liquidity of only $49.29K against 24h volume of ~$272K creates severe slippage risk. Large exits could crash the price significantly. Single Raydium pool is the only liquidity venue.

Concentration
high

Holder distribution data is unavailable. For a StonkFun-launched token with a 1,885% pump, concentration risk is presumed high as early participants likely hold large positions. Cannot be quantified without holder data.

SniperDump
medium

No sniper data is available. Given the extreme price appreciation, any early buyers are in significant profit and represent latent sell pressure. Risk is rated medium rather than high only because sniper presence cannot be confirmed.

Authority
medium

Update authority (5CEbueQnq1Ym2uSSx2xXds3jQAqT1BDnkA59RZobSPAG) is not renounced. Mint and freeze authority status are unknown. Contract is unverified. Partially mitigated by Mutable=false flag.

Key risks

  • Extreme 1,885% 24h pump — high probability of sharp retracement
  • Shallow liquidity ($49.29K) — high slippage and price impact on exits
  • Unverified contract with non-renounced update authority
  • Unknown mint and freeze authority status
  • No holder distribution data — concentration risk cannot be assessed
  • StonkFun launchpad tokens historically face post-launch dumps
  • Micro-cap FDV (~$140K) — susceptible to manipulation
  • No sniper data — early buyer profit-taking risk is unquantifiable

Mitigating factors

  • Mutable flag is set to false — limits metadata modification risk
  • Net buy pressure: 54.1% buy vs 45.9% sell volume in 24h
  • More unique buyers (322) than sellers (220) in 24h
  • Active social presence (Telegram, Twitter, website)
  • Positive price momentum across multiple timeframes (1h, 6h, 24h)
  • Not flagged as possible spam by data provider
Suitable for: Suitable only for highly risk-tolerant, experienced crypto traders who understand memecoin dynamics and can afford to lose their entire investment. Not suitable for risk-averse investors, long-term holders, or those without deep familiarity with Solana micro-cap tokens. Position sizing should be minimal (e.g., <1% of portfolio). This is a speculative instrument, not an investment.

WARDKEEP (WARD) is a high-risk, high-speculation micro-cap memecoin on Solana launched via StonkFun. The token has experienced a dramatic 1,885% 24h price surge with active trading (335 unique wallets, $272K combined volume), but is constrained by extremely shallow liquidity ($49.29K), an unverified contract, non-renounced authorities, and a complete absence of holder/sniper data. The investment thesis is purely speculative momentum-based, with the bear case being the dominant probability.

Bull case (low)

Community momentum sustains buying pressure, liquidity deepens, and WARD achieves broader visibility on Solana DEX aggregators and social media, driving FDV toward $500K–$1M range.

  • Continued net buy pressure (54.1% buy volume) sustains price
  • Active social channels (Telegram, Twitter, website) drive new buyer discovery
  • Broader Solana memecoin market in bull phase amplifies micro-cap moves
  • Liquidity deepening reduces slippage and attracts larger traders
  • Viral social media moment or influencer attention

Base case

WARD consolidates near current levels with declining volume over the next 1–2 weeks, gradually losing momentum as initial excitement fades, with price settling 40–60% below the 24h high.

  • Buy and sell pressure remain roughly balanced in the near term
  • No major new catalysts emerge to drive a second leg up
  • Liquidity remains at current shallow levels (~$49K)
  • Early buyers gradually exit over days rather than all at once
  • Token does not get listed on centralized exchanges or major aggregators

Bear case (high)

Early buyers take profits following the 1,885% pump, liquidity is insufficient to absorb selling, and price retraces 70–90% from current levels within days.

  • Post-pump profit-taking by early participants with large unrealized gains
  • Shallow $49.29K liquidity cannot absorb significant sell orders
  • No fundamental value proposition beyond speculative momentum
  • Unverified contract and non-renounced authority erode trust
  • StonkFun launchpad tokens historically dump post-initial pump
  • Absence of holder data makes it impossible to assess distribution risk

GeneratedAug 14, 11:17 AM
Data freshnessData reflects on-chain state as of approximately 2026-08-14T11:00 UTC based on the most recent OHLC candle timestamp
Model confidence
low

Data sources

  • On-chain token metadata (Mint: H4j2x2AxcRhXro8k3FtjDj3VZfoS9Uq4BhEoGyqthPJf)
  • Raydium DEX pair data (CmQkAdhKmBs7zJSb8NoStGc2uUPuMnbMAbAhoQWXcpNm)
  • Hourly OHLC candle data (8 candles, Aug 13–14 2026)
  • 24h trading analytics (volume, buyers, sellers, price changes)
  • Sniper analysis endpoint (returned no data)

Limitations

  • Holder distribution data is entirely unavailable — concentration and whale risk cannot be quantified
  • Sniper analysis returned no data — early buyer PnL and concentration are unknown
  • Only 8 hourly OHLC candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis
  • Contract is unverified — on-chain program behavior cannot be confirmed
  • Mint and freeze authority status not explicitly provided in metadata
  • Token is extremely new (launched on StonkFun) — no historical price data for trend analysis
  • OHLC values appear to be WSOL-denominated rather than USD, creating potential confusion with the USD price ($0.000145) — analysis notes this discrepancy
  • No liquidity pool composition data (token vs SOL ratio) available

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially micro-cap memecoins, carry extreme risk of total loss. The data analyzed was provided by potentially untrusted sources including token metadata that may have been set by the token's creator. Always conduct your own research (DYOR) before making any investment decisions. Past price performance is not indicative of future results.

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply969,895,221.34 WARD

Key Risks

•Extreme 1,885% 24h pump — high probability of sharp retracement
•Shallow liquidity ($49.29K) — high slippage and price impact on exits
•Unverified contract with non-renounced update authority
•Unknown mint and freeze authority status

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

low confidence
Low risk

No sniper data is available for WARD. Smart money signals cannot be derived from sniper activity. The token was launched on StonkFun, and while 322 unique buyers participated in the last 24h, the distribution of early buyers and their PnL status is unknown. The 1,885% price surge suggests early participants (if any sniped the launch) would be in significant profit, raising profit-taking risk.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration0.00%
PnL stateUnknown
Sell-through rateUnknown
Profit-taking risk
low

No sniper data available — sniper analysis endpoint returned no data for this token.

Unknown — no sniper or early buyer data available. Given the 1,885% 24h price appreciation, any early buyers are likely sitting on substantial unrealized gains, which historically increases sell pressure.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the price prediction for WARDKEEP (WARD)?

After a massive 1,885% 24h surge, WARD is showing signs of consolidation. The most recent hourly candles (candles 1–2) show price oscillating between ~$18.57 and ~$19.15 (in WSOL-denominated terms per the OHLC data), with moderate volume. The 5-minute change is slightly negative (-0.16%) while the 1h change is slightly positive (+0.90%), suggesting a short-term tug-of-war. Given the extreme prior move, a mean-reversion pullback is a significant risk. Short-term outlook is neutral (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.000090 to $0.000200.

Is WARD a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 8.5/100. Suitable only for highly risk-tolerant, experienced crypto traders who understand memecoin dynamics and can afford to lose their entire investment. Not suitable for risk-averse investors, long-term holders, or those without deep familiarity with Solana micro-cap tokens. Position sizing should be minimal (e.g., <1% of portfolio). This is a speculative instrument, not an investment.

What does sniper activity look like for WARD?

Snipers hold roughly 0.00% of supply with PnL state "unknown" and sell-through rate "unknown". Profit-taking risk: low.

What are the key risks of holding WARD?

Extreme 1,885% 24h pump — high probability of sharp retracement • Shallow liquidity ($49.29K) — high slippage and price impact on exits • Unverified contract with non-renounced update authority

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