SNOWBALL

Snowball Price Today & AI Analysis

SNOWBALLSolanaAnalysis as of Sep 28, 2026

Price

$0.000132

+169.62% 24h

Contract

Live
HGN8K3x5ZLfYNjvE8b1hCqqu7RwupuKU6EkEhemzpump

Chain

Solana

Holders

1,369

Market cap

$116,392

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Snowball: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-09-28 21:16 UTC

Holder addresses

1,369

Top 10 supply share

16.07%

Reported liquidity

$17,366.00
How concentrated is Snowball ownership?
As of 2026-09-28 21:16 UTC, the provider reports that the top 10 holder addresses hold 16.07% of supply. It reports 1,369 holder addresses in total. Addresses are not people; pool, exchange, burn and related addresses have not been independently classified here.
Are large holders selling Snowball?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. As of 2026-09-28 21:16 UTC, the preceding 24-hour DEX volume was $403,391.00 in buys and $393,109.00 in sells. Those totals describe trading activity, not which holders traded. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is Snowball liquidity falling?
Sampled USD liquidity changed +2.73%, from $17,260.56 (2026-09-28 20:00 UTC) to $17,731.88 (2026-09-28 21:00 UTC). This compares the earliest and latest available samples, which may cover less than 24 hours. USD changes can reflect asset prices as well as liquidity deposits or withdrawals.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: Codex token aggregates, hourly liquidity samples and recent DEX swaps. Token aggregates retrieved 2026-09-28 21:16 UTC; the provider may lag the chain. Buy/sell totals cover the preceding 24 hours. Observations are saved with this report and do not update live. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Saved liquidity observations

Observation (UTC)Liquidity (USD)
2026-09-28 20:00 UTC$17,260.56
2026-09-28 21:00 UTC$17,731.88

Recent swap evidence

Up to 10 recent swaps returned by the provider within the preceding 24 hours. This is a sample, not all trades or a ranking of large holders.

Report snapshot

as of Sep 28, 09:17 PM UTC

FDV

$116,392

Liquidity

$17,366.00

Holders

1,369

Snipers

Not available

Risk

Very High
Loading price chart…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Neutral

SNOWBALL (SNOWBALL) is a micro-cap Solana token on PumpSwap with a fully diluted valuation of roughly $116.4K and total supply of ~880.55M tokens. It just underwent an extreme price spike (+169.6% over 24h, +304% in the last 1h) accompanied by very thin liquidity (~$17.37K) and heavy but roughly balanced 24h trading volume (~$403.4K buys vs ~$393.1K sells). Holder data shows 1,369 addresses with top-10 holders controlling 16.07% of supply, but no historical holder trends, sniper data, or mint/freeze authority information are available, leaving significant analytical blind spots.

Key points

  • Extremely volatile recent price action (+304% in 1h, -14% in the last 5 minutes) on very thin liquidity (~$17.37K)
  • Nearly balanced 24h buy/sell volume (50.6%/49.4%) with broad participation (3,949 buyers vs 3,300 sellers)
  • Moderate top-10 holder concentration (16.07%) but no top-100 or historical holder data available
  • Complete absence of sniper data and mint/freeze authority confirmation, creating major unknowns around rug-pull risk

AI Price Analysis

neutral

Short term · next 1-24 hours

neutral

After an explosive +169.6% 24h / +304% 1h rally, the token is showing signs of cooling with a -14% pullback in the last 5 minutes and sharply declining volume between the two most recent candles. Given the extremely thin liquidity (~$17.37K), price could swing sharply in either direction on relatively small trade sizes.

Target low

$0.000104 (recent candle low)

Target high

$0.000235 (recent candle high)

Support

$0.000104, $0.0000088

Resistance

$0.000132-0.000133, $0.000235

Medium term · next 3-14 days

neutral

No medium-term historical data (holder growth trends, extended OHLC history, sniper behavior) is available to support a confident directional call. The token's sustainability will likely depend on whether liquidity deepens, whether authority risks (mint/freeze) are clarified, and whether volume/buyer interest persists beyond the initial pump-and-fade pattern seen in the two available candles.

Catalysts

  • Potential liquidity additions that could reduce slippage and volatility
  • Clarification of mint/freeze authority status, which could reduce or confirm rug risk
  • Continued organic buyer interest evidenced by unique buyer/seller counts
  • Broader PumpSwap/pump.fun market sentiment affecting similar micro-cap tokens

Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to an extremely limited data window (only 2 hourly candles), no historical holder or sniper data, unknown mint/freeze authority status, and a very thin liquidity base that makes price highly susceptible to manipulation and outsized moves from small trades.

SNOWBALL call history

Full track record →

Sep 28neutral
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Solana
Contract
HGN8K3...pump
Total Supply
880,552,463.02 SNOWBALL

Key Risks

  • Extremely thin liquidity (~$17.37K) relative to trading volume, enabling high slippage and easy price manipulation
  • Extreme short-term volatility (+304% in 1h, +169.6% in 24h, -14% in 5m) typical of a nascent, speculative pump.fun-style token
  • Mint/freeze authority status unknown — cannot rule out rug-pull mechanics such as unlimited minting or account freezing
  • No sniper coverage available, so early-buyer dump risk cannot be quantified

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

Only two hourly candles were provided. Candle 1 (20:00 UTC) opened at $0.00000877, spiked to a high of $0.000225, dipped back to a low equal to its open ($0.00000877), and closed at $0.000130 — an enormous range candle with a long lower wick relative to close, on volume of ~748.7K (in volume units). Candle 2 (21:00 UTC) opened at $0.000130, pushed to a new high of $0.000235, pulled back to a low of $0.000104, and closed at $0.000132, roughly flat versus its open, on much lower volume (~135K). This pattern shows a violent initial pump-and-partial-retrace on very high volume, followed by a consolidation/retest candle with lower volume and a higher low than candle 1's low.

Trend

Short-term

Uptrend

Medium-term

Sideways

Short-term (within the two available hourly candles) price action shows a strong upward move from the candle 1 open near $0.0000088 to current price near $0.000132, a multi-fold increase. However, with only two candles of data and a -14% move in the most recent 5 minutes, the very short-term trend is losing steam and could be characterized as consolidating/sideways after the initial spike; medium-term trend cannot be reliably assessed with only 2 hours of data.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Overbought

Volume trend

Decreasing

Buy

51%

Sell

49%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

~$0.000104 (candle 2 low)

Major support

~$0.0000088 (candle 1 open/low)

Immediate resistance

~$0.000132-0.000133 (current price/candle 2 close area)

Major resistance

~$0.000235 (candle 2 high, near-term all-time high in the data window)

The two provided candles bracket a huge range from ~$0.0000088 to ~$0.000235. Immediate support sits near the candle 2 low of $0.000104, with major support far below at the candle 1 origin near $0.0000088 (a level that, if retested, would represent a near-total round-trip of the recent spike). Immediate resistance is around the current price/high-$0.000130s, while major resistance is the recent spike high near $0.000235. Given only two hourly candles of data, these levels are provisional and should be treated with caution.

Notable patterns

  • Long-wick spike candle (candle 1) suggesting a rapid pump followed by a steep intra-candle retrace
  • Volume climax on candle 1 followed by sharply decreasing volume on candle 2, a potential early exhaustion signal
  • Recent 5-minute -14% pullback following a +304% 1h rally, consistent with post-spike profit-taking

Liquidity

Liquidity

$17,366.00

Depth

Shallow

Slippage risk

High

Total pool liquidity of only ~$17.37K is extremely thin relative to the 24h traded volume of over $796K combined (buy+sell), implying the pool is being turned over roughly 45x in a single day. This is a classic sign of a shallow, low-cap pump.fun/PumpSwap pair where even modest trade sizes can move price dramatically (consistent with the +170% 24h and +304% 1h price swings, and a -14% 5m dump). Buy volume ($403.39K) slightly exceeds sell volume ($393.11K), a marginal net inflow (50.6% vs 49.4%), but the split is close to balanced and buyer count (3,949) modestly exceeds seller count (3,300), suggesting broad retail participation on both sides rather than a single dominant flow. Given the tiny liquidity base, slippage risk for any meaningfully sized trade is high, and price action should be treated as highly manipulable/volatile.

Supply & authorities

Total supply

880,552,463.02 SNOWBALL

FDV

$116,392 (also stated as $116.39K in trading analytics)

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

  • Volatilityhigh

    24h price change of +169.6%, 1h change of +304%, and a -14% move in just 5 minutes indicate extreme volatility. The OHLC candles show wicks from ~$0.0000088 to ~$0.000235 within a single hour, a >25x intra-candle range, confirming erratic price discovery.

  • Liquidityhigh

    Total liquidity is only ~$17.37K against ~$796K in combined 24h volume, meaning the pool turns over many times daily. Any moderately sized trade can cause severe slippage or price impact.

  • Concentrationmedium

    Top-10 holders hold 16.07% of supply, which is moderate rather than extreme concentration, but top-100 concentration and wallet classification data are unavailable, so full distribution risk cannot be fully assessed.

  • Sniper DumpNot assessed

    Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.

  • AuthorityNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

  • Extremely thin liquidity (~$17.37K) relative to trading volume, enabling high slippage and easy price manipulation
  • Extreme short-term volatility (+304% in 1h, +169.6% in 24h, -14% in 5m) typical of a nascent, speculative pump.fun-style token
  • Mint/freeze authority status unknown — cannot rule out rug-pull mechanics such as unlimited minting or account freezing
  • No sniper coverage available, so early-buyer dump risk cannot be quantified
  • No historical holder data available to assess whether holder base is growing organically or is a fleeting speculative crowd
  • Low FDV (~$116K) micro-cap token with only 1,369 holder addresses, a small and fragile ecosystem

Mitigating factors

  • Buy and sell volumes are nearly balanced (50.6%/49.4%), suggesting no overwhelming one-sided dumping in the last 24h
  • Top-10 holder concentration (16.07%) is not extreme by micro-cap token standards
  • Broad participation with nearly 4,000 unique buyers and 3,300 unique sellers in 24h, rather than concentration in a handful of wallets

Suitable for

Suitable only for highly risk-tolerant, speculative traders who fully understand and accept the possibility of near-total loss of capital. Not appropriate for investors seeking capital preservation, predictable returns, or those unable to monitor positions actively given the extreme volatility and thin liquidity. This is not financial advice.

SNOWBALL is a micro-cap (~$116.4K FDV) token trading on PumpSwap that just experienced an extreme, likely speculative price spike (+169.6% 24h, +304% 1h) on very thin liquidity (~$17.37K). The nearly balanced 24h buy/sell volume split (50.6%/49.4%) and broad participation (3,949 buyers vs 3,300 sellers) suggest active two-sided retail trading rather than a single coordinated dump, but critical risk data — mint/freeze authority status, sniper activity, and historical holder trends — are all unavailable, leaving major blind spots. This is a highly speculative, high-risk asset suited only for traders comfortable with potential total loss.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

If buying interest continues and liquidity providers add depth to the pool, the token could consolidate gains from its recent spike and potentially retest or exceed the recent high of ~$0.000235, especially if organic community interest (evidenced by nearly 4,000 unique 24h buyers) continues to build.

  • Sustained buyer interest reflected in high unique buyer counts (3,949 in 24h)
  • Nearly balanced buy/sell volume suggesting no immediate mass exodus
  • Moderate (not extreme) top-10 holder concentration of 16.07%, reducing single-whale dump risk somewhat

Base Case

Price likely remains highly volatile and range-bound between the recent candle low (~$0.000104) and high (~$0.000235) in the near term, with elevated risk of a sharp pullback toward or below the pre-spike levels if buying momentum fades further, consistent with the sharp volume decline already observed.

  • No major liquidity injection occurs in the near term, keeping the pool shallow and volatile
  • Buy/sell volume remains roughly balanced without one side decisively dominating
  • No new negative catalysts (e.g., confirmed active mint authority or large holder dump) emerge, though this cannot be ruled out given data gaps

Bear Case

High probability

The parabolic spike (+304% in 1h) on a token with only $17.37K liquidity is a classic setup for a rapid reversal/rug-style dump, especially since volume already fell ~82% between the two most recent candles and price has pulled back -14% in just 5 minutes. Unknown mint/freeze authority status adds tail risk of outright rug mechanics.

  • Extremely thin liquidity relative to trading volume, enabling severe price swings on modest sell pressure
  • Rapidly decreasing volume after the initial spike, a common precursor to price collapse
  • Unknown mint/freeze authority — cannot rule out supply inflation or account freezing
  • No sniper data available to rule out early-buyer coordinated dumping
  • -14% pullback in the most recent 5 minutes already signaling reversal momentum

Analysis details

Generated

Sep 28, 09:17 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-09-28 21:16 UTC

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

  • Token metadata (mint, supply, FDV) as provided
  • USD price and % change data
  • OHLC hourly candles (2 most recent)
  • Trading analytics (24h buy/sell volume, buyer/seller counts, liquidity)
  • Codex holder aggregates (current snapshot: holder count, top-10 concentration)
  • Sniper analysis (none available for this token)

Limitations

  • Only 2 hourly OHLC candles were provided, severely limiting technical trend analysis and pattern reliability
  • No sniper data available, preventing any assessment of early-buyer concentration or dump risk
  • No historical holder data available, preventing growth trend or accumulation/distribution analysis
  • Mint authority, freeze authority, verified-contract status, and spam flags are all unknown, leaving a major gap in rug-pull risk assessment
  • Top-100 holder concentration was not provided, limiting full distribution risk assessment
  • Extremely low liquidity (~$17.37K) means reported prices and volumes may not be fully representative of executable trade sizes

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. It is generated from limited, partially incomplete on-chain and market data as supplied, may contain gaps or inaccuracies, and should not be the sole basis for any investment decision. Cryptocurrency trading, especially in micro-cap and newly launched tokens, carries a high risk of substantial or total loss of capital. Always conduct your own independent research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Frequently Asked Questions

How concentrated is Snowball ownership?

As of 2026-09-28 21:16 UTC, the provider reports that the top 10 holder addresses hold 16.07% of supply. It reports 1,369 holder addresses in total. Addresses are not people; pool, exchange, burn and related addresses have not been independently classified here.

Are large holders selling Snowball?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. As of 2026-09-28 21:16 UTC, the preceding 24-hour DEX volume was $403,391.00 in buys and $393,109.00 in sells. Those totals describe trading activity, not which holders traded. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is Snowball liquidity falling?

Sampled USD liquidity changed +2.73%, from $17,260.56 (2026-09-28 20:00 UTC) to $17,731.88 (2026-09-28 21:00 UTC). This compares the earliest and latest available samples, which may cover less than 24 hours. USD changes can reflect asset prices as well as liquidity deposits or withdrawals.

What is the short-term price outlook for Snowball (SNOWBALL)?

After an explosive +169.6% 24h / +304% 1h rally, the token is showing signs of cooling with a -14% pullback in the last 5 minutes and sharply declining volume between the two most recent candles. Given the extremely thin liquidity (~$17.37K), price could swing sharply in either direction on relatively small trade sizes. Short-term outlook is neutral (next 1-24 hours), with a target range of $0.000104 (recent candle low) to $0.000235 (recent candle high).

Is SNOWBALL a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as very high with a risk score of 88/100. Suitable only for highly risk-tolerant, speculative traders who fully understand and accept the possibility of near-total loss of capital. Not appropriate for investors seeking capital preservation, predictable returns, or those unable to monitor positions actively given the extreme volatility and thin liquidity. This is not financial advice.

What are the key risks of holding SNOWBALL?

Extremely thin liquidity (~$17.37K) relative to trading volume, enabling high slippage and easy price manipulation • Extreme short-term volatility (+304% in 1h, +169.6% in 24h, -14% in 5m) typical of a nascent, speculative pump.fun-style token • Mint/freeze authority status unknown — cannot rule out rug-pull mechanics such as unlimited minting or account freezing

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