Himgajria

The Black Bear Price Today & AI Analysis

HimgajriaSolanaAnalysis as of Jul 16, 2026

Price

$0.054759

Contract

Live
H1adbGC578HdoddVNAZT1Bn4uNrPiioTCfYmRjBHpump

Chain

Solana

Holders

1,389

Market cap

$4,758

At a $1M market cap, $HIMGAJRIA would be $0.001000 (210x from today’s price)

Market cap calculator

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The Black Bear: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-07-16 11:17 UTC

Holder addresses

349

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

$40,368.40
How concentrated is The Black Bear ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 349 addresses (2026-07-16 11:17 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling The Black Bear?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is The Black Bear liquidity falling?
As of 2026-07-16 11:17 UTC, reported liquidity was $40,368.40. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-07-16 11:17 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

Report snapshot

as of Jul 16, 11:17 AM UTC

FDV

$293,701

Liquidity

$40,368.40

Holders

349

Snipers

Not available

Risk

Very High
Loading price chart…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Bearish

The Black Bear (Himgajria) is an extremely new PumpFun-launched meme token on Solana (mint: H1adbGC578HdoddVNAZT1Bn4uNrPiioTCfYmRjBHpump) with a total supply of ~1 billion tokens and a fully diluted valuation of ~$293.7K. The token appears to have launched within the last 24 hours — all 349 current holders were acquired in the past 24 hours, and the 30-day historical holder series shows zero holders prior to today. Trading activity is heavily sell-dominated (87.3% sell pressure, $174.87K sell volume vs. $25.35K buy volume), and the 1-hour price change of -44% signals a sharp post-launch dump. Liquidity is thin at $40.37K. No top holder data, no sniper data, no social links, and no verified contract are available, making this an extremely high-risk, unverified micro-cap token.

Key points

  • Launched within the last 24 hours — all 349 holders acquired in a single day
  • Extreme sell dominance: 87.3% sell pressure with $174.87K sell volume vs. $25.35K buy volume
  • Very thin liquidity of only $40.37K on PumpSwap
  • No verified contract, no social links, no description, and update authority unknown
  • Top holder and concentration data entirely unavailable — distribution health cannot be assessed

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term · 1–24 hours

bearish

The token is in a sharp post-launch sell-off. The most recent hourly candle (11:00 UTC) closed at $0.000294, down significantly from the prior candle's high of $0.000545. With 87.3% sell pressure, 2,335 sells vs. 572 buys, and a -44% 1-hour move, the short-term trajectory is bearish. A brief 5-minute bounce of +1.2% is insufficient to signal reversal.

Target low

$0.000166

Target high

$0.000377

Support

$0.000277 (candle [1] low), $0.000206 (candle [2] low), $0.000166 (candle [3] low — recent absolute low)

Resistance

$0.000377 (candle [1] high), $0.000545 (candle [2] high — launch spike peak)

Medium term · 1–7 days

bearish

Without sustained buy interest, community development, or social presence, the token is likely to continue declining toward its launch-day lows or lower. The FDV of $293.7K is entirely speculative with no fundamental backing. Continued holder attrition (already -70 holders in 1 hour, -20%) reinforces the bearish medium-term outlook.

Catalysts

  • Any viral social media attention could temporarily spike price
  • Broader Solana meme coin market rally could lift all boats
  • Whale accumulation at depressed prices (currently undetectable due to missing holder data)

Bullish factors

  • Price is +5.97% over 24h from a very low base, suggesting some net positive momentum since launch
  • 5-minute price change of +1.23% hints at a possible micro-bounce
  • FDV of $293.7K is low enough that a small influx of buyers could move price significantly

Bearish factors

  • 87.3% sell pressure — overwhelming sell dominance
  • 1-hour price change of -43.97% — severe post-launch dump in progress
  • Holder count dropped by 70 (-20%) in just 1 hour
  • Only $40.37K in liquidity — extremely shallow, high slippage risk
  • No social links, no description, unverified contract — no community or utility signals
  • All 30 days of historical holder data show zero holders until today — brand new with no track record

Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to the extreme youth of the token (sub-24h), missing top holder and sniper data, unknown update authority, and the highly volatile and manipulable nature of PumpFun launches. The 3-candle OHLC history is insufficient for robust technical analysis.

Himgajria call history

Full track record →

Jul 16bearish
24h-70.7%
7d-71.7%
30d-9.1%

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Solana
Contract
H1adbG...pump
Total Supply
999,999,999.999969

Key Risks

  • Extreme sell dominance (87.3%) with $174.87K in sell volume vs. $25.35K buy volume in 24h
  • Holder count declining rapidly: -70 holders (-20%) in just 1 hour
  • Unknown update/mint/freeze authority — potential for rug pull or supply manipulation
  • Unverified contract with no social links or description — zero community or utility signals

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

Only 3 hourly candles are available (09:00–11:00 UTC on 2026-07-16). Candle [3] (09:00): O=$0.000230, H=$0.000272, L=$0.000166, C=$0.000272 — a bullish candle closing at its high, suggesting initial launch momentum. Candle [2] (10:00): O=$0.000218, H=$0.000545, L=$0.000206, C=$0.000348 — a massive spike candle with a very long upper wick (high of $0.000545 vs. close of $0.000348), a classic 'shooting star' or 'wick rejection' pattern indicating strong selling pressure at the top. Volume was 73,559 — the highest of the three candles. Candle [1] (11:00): O=$0.000341, H=$0.000377, L=$0.000277, C=$0.000294 — a bearish candle closing near its low, confirming the rejection from the spike high. Volume collapsed to 5,644, indicating fading interest. The overall 3-candle pattern is: launch spike → wick rejection → bearish follow-through.

Trend

Short-term

Downtrend

Medium-term

Downtrend

The token spiked sharply in its first two hours of trading then reversed hard. The most recent candle closed near its low with collapsing volume, confirming a short-term downtrend from the $0.000545 peak. With only 3 candles available, medium-term trend assessment is limited but directionally bearish.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Oversold

Volume trend

Decreasing

Buy

13%

Sell

87%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.000277 (candle [1] low)

Major support

$0.000166 (candle [3] absolute low — launch-day floor)

Immediate resistance

$0.000377 (candle [1] high)

Major resistance

$0.000545 (candle [2] spike high — launch peak)

The $0.000166 level represents the lowest traded price since launch and is the key support floor. The $0.000545 spike high is the major resistance — reclaiming this level would require a significant shift in buyer sentiment. The current price of $0.000294 sits between these extremes, closer to the lower end of the range.

Notable patterns

  • Shooting star / wick rejection in candle [2]: massive upper wick from $0.000545 high to $0.000348 close signals strong sell pressure at the top
  • Bearish follow-through in candle [1]: opened near prior close, failed to hold gains, closed near low
  • Volume exhaustion: 95% volume decline from candle [3] to candle [1] — fading buyer interest
  • Classic pump-and-dump price structure: rapid spike followed by sharp reversal on high sell volume

Liquidity

Liquidity

$40,368.40

Depth

Shallow

Slippage risk

High

Liquidity is extremely shallow at $40.37K on a single PumpSwap pool (Fr6RcBHB6TX77qJm5rpgKKFRsS85VNgET6D8A2bJgs58). The FDV-to-liquidity ratio is approximately 7.3:1, meaning the market cap is over 7x the available liquidity — a sign of very thin market depth. Slippage risk is high; any moderately sized sell order could move the price significantly. The 24h net flow is strongly negative: $174.87K in sell volume vs. $25.35K in buy volume represents a net outflow of ~$149.5K. With 1,030 unique sellers vs. 212 unique buyers, the market is in clear distribution mode. This is not a healthy market structure for new entrants.

Supply & authorities

Total supply

999,999,999.999969

FDV

$293,701.03

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

  • Volatilityhigh

    The token has moved from a low of $0.000166 to a high of $0.000545 and back to $0.000294 within 3 hours — a range of over 3x. The 1-hour price change of -44% and the 24h sell pressure of 87.3% confirm extreme volatility.

  • Liquidityhigh

    Total liquidity is only $40.37K on a single PumpSwap pool. The FDV-to-liquidity ratio of ~7.3:1 means large trades will cause severe slippage. Exit liquidity for any significant position is extremely limited.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Sniper DumpNot assessed

    Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.

  • AuthorityNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

  • Extreme sell dominance (87.3%) with $174.87K in sell volume vs. $25.35K buy volume in 24h
  • Holder count declining rapidly: -70 holders (-20%) in just 1 hour
  • Unknown update/mint/freeze authority — potential for rug pull or supply manipulation
  • Unverified contract with no social links or description — zero community or utility signals
  • Extremely thin liquidity ($40.37K) — high slippage and exit risk
  • Brand new token (sub-24h) with no track record, no audits, and no fundamentals
  • Classic pump-and-dump price structure observed in 3-candle OHLC history

Mitigating factors

  • Token is marked 'mutable: false', suggesting metadata cannot be altered
  • Launched on PumpFun which has a standardized bonding curve mechanism providing some structural transparency
  • 'Possible spam' flag is false per the data provider
  • FDV of $293.7K is low, meaning absolute dollar loss potential is bounded for small positions

Suitable for

This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who fully understand PumpFun meme coin dynamics and are prepared to lose 100% of any capital deployed. It is entirely unsuitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep familiarity with on-chain Solana trading. Position sizing should be minimal if any exposure is taken.

The Black Bear (Himgajria) is a sub-24-hour-old PumpFun meme token exhibiting all the hallmarks of a post-launch dump: extreme sell pressure, rapid holder attrition, thin liquidity, and no fundamental backing. The investment case is almost entirely speculative and momentum-driven. The risk/reward is highly unfavorable at current price levels given the ongoing distribution.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

A viral social media moment or influencer promotion drives a new wave of buyers, temporarily pushing price back toward the $0.000545 launch spike high or beyond, rewarding early accumulators at current depressed prices.

  • Viral social media attention (Twitter/X, Telegram) driving FOMO buying
  • Broader Solana meme coin market rally lifting speculative tokens
  • Whale accumulation at current lows creating a price floor and reversal signal
  • Low FDV ($293.7K) making a 2–5x move relatively easy with modest capital inflow

Base Case

The token stabilizes at a lower price level ($0.000150–$0.000200) after the initial dump completes, trades sideways with minimal volume, and gradually fades into obscurity as a failed PumpFun launch with no community traction.

  • Sell pressure moderates as early sellers exhaust their positions
  • A small residual holder base (50–100 wallets) maintains minimal trading activity
  • No new catalysts emerge to drive significant buyer interest
  • Liquidity remains thin but sufficient for micro-trades

Bear Case

High probability

Continued sell pressure exhausts remaining buyers, liquidity dries up further, and the token trends toward near-zero as early holders complete their exit. The token becomes illiquid and effectively abandoned.

  • Sustained 87.3% sell pressure with no catalyst for buyer re-entry
  • Continued holder attrition (already -20% in 1 hour)
  • No social presence, community, or utility to attract new buyers
  • Unknown authority status creating fear of rug pull
  • Thin $40.37K liquidity unable to absorb ongoing sell pressure

Analysis details

Generated

Jul 16, 11:17 AM UTC

Saved observation

2026-07-16 11:17 UTC

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

  • On-chain Solana token metadata (mint: H1adbGC578HdoddVNAZT1Bn4uNrPiioTCfYmRjBHpump)
  • PumpSwap DEX trading analytics (pair: Fr6RcBHB6TX77qJm5rpgKKFRsS85VNgET6D8A2bJgs58)
  • Hourly OHLC candle data (3 candles, 2026-07-16 09:00–11:00 UTC)
  • Holder metrics and historical holder series (30-day daily)
  • Trading volume and buyer/seller analytics (24h)
  • Sniper analysis endpoint (returned no data)

Limitations

  • Only 3 hourly OHLC candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis
  • Top 20 holder data unavailable — whale map and concentration analysis are severely limited
  • Sniper analysis data unavailable — smart money signals cannot be quantified
  • Update authority, mint authority, and freeze authority status all unknown — authority risk cannot be precisely assessed
  • Token is less than 24 hours old — all metrics reflect launch-day dynamics only, with no historical baseline
  • No social links or project description — fundamental analysis is impossible
  • Supply concentration metrics (top10=0%, top100=0%) likely reflect a data gap rather than genuine equal distribution

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does NOT constitute financial advice. Investing in newly launched meme tokens carries extreme risk of total capital loss. The analyst has no position in this token. All data is sourced from on-chain metrics and third-party APIs which may contain errors or gaps. Never invest more than you can afford to lose entirely.

Frequently Asked Questions

How concentrated is The Black Bear ownership?

Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 349 addresses (2026-07-16 11:17 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.

Are large holders selling The Black Bear?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is The Black Bear liquidity falling?

As of 2026-07-16 11:17 UTC, reported liquidity was $40,368.40. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.

What is the short-term price outlook for The Black Bear (Himgajria)?

The token is in a sharp post-launch sell-off. The most recent hourly candle (11:00 UTC) closed at $0.000294, down significantly from the prior candle's high of $0.000545. With 87.3% sell pressure, 2,335 sells vs. 572 buys, and a -44% 1-hour move, the short-term trajectory is bearish. A brief 5-minute bounce of +1.2% is insufficient to signal reversal. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.000166 to $0.000377.

Is Himgajria a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as very high with a risk score of 9.2/100. This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who fully understand PumpFun meme coin dynamics and are prepared to lose 100% of any capital deployed. It is entirely unsuitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep familiarity with on-chain Solana trading. Position sizing should be minimal if any exposure is taken.

What are the key risks of holding Himgajria?

Extreme sell dominance (87.3%) with $174.87K in sell volume vs. $25.35K buy volume in 24h • Holder count declining rapidly: -70 holders (-20%) in just 1 hour • Unknown update/mint/freeze authority — potential for rug pull or supply manipulation

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