TOSHI

TOSHI Price Today & AI Analysis

TOSHISolanaAnalysis as of May 7, 2026

Price

$0.000350

FDV $7,342

Contract

Live
GzgWiux2a66CUnFfaxfnirW5pBSdTg5gbXp98FzLtnnH

Chain

Solana

Holders

92

Market cap

$7,342

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TOSHI: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-05-07 06:17 UTC

Holder addresses

425

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

Not available
How concentrated is TOSHI ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 425 addresses (2026-05-07 06:17 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling TOSHI?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is TOSHI liquidity falling?
Liquidity is not available in the saved inputs. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-05-07 06:17 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

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Report snapshot

as of May 7, 06:17 AM UTC

FDV

$201,894

Liquidity

Not available

Holders

425

Snipers

Not available

Risk

Very High
Loading price chart…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Bearish

TOSHI (GzgWiux2a66CUnFfaxfnirW5pBSdTg5gbXp98FzLtnnH) is a newly launched Solana meme token with a total supply of 21,000,000 and a current FDV of ~$201,894. Branded as 'The bitcoin of solana,' it launched within the last 24 hours, going from 2 holders to 425 in a single day. The token experienced a severe 47.69% price crash within its first 24 hours, dropping from an open of ~$0.0256 to a current price of ~$0.0096. Supply is highly concentrated, with the top holder alone controlling 38.10% of supply. Authority has been renounced (update authority is the system program 11111...1), and the token is immutable. Trading activity is moderate with $374K in buy volume vs $353K in sell volume, but liquidity depth is reported as $0.00, raising serious concerns.

Key points

  • Update authority renounced to system program — mint and freeze authority cannot be exercised
  • Extremely new token: went from 2 to 425 holders in a single day (100% growth in 24h)
  • Severe 47.69% price drop within first 24 hours from open of ~$0.0256
  • Top holder controls 38.10% of supply — extreme concentration risk
  • No snipers detected in first 1,000 blocks — clean launch in that regard
  • Reported on-chain liquidity is $0.00 despite $727K+ in 24h trading volume — critical data discrepancy

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term · 24–72 hours

bearish

The token has already crashed 47.69% from its open of $0.0256 to $0.0096. The single available hourly candle shows a massive bearish wick from $0.0263 high to a $0.0081 low, closing near the lows. With extreme supply concentration (top holder at 38.10%), near-zero reported liquidity, and a token less than 24 hours old, further downside pressure is highly probable. The 5-minute price change of -3.92% confirms continued selling pressure.

Target low

$0.0050

Target high

$0.0140

Support

$0.0081 (hourly candle low), $0.0050 (psychological round number)

Resistance

$0.0140 (mid-range recovery level), $0.0256 (hourly open / launch price)

Medium term · 7–30 days

bearish

Given the token's extreme concentration, lack of verified contract, near-zero liquidity depth, and the pattern of a sharp launch pump followed by immediate dump, medium-term prospects are highly uncertain. Sustained recovery would require significant new buyer inflows, broader community adoption, and resolution of the liquidity discrepancy. Without these, continued price erosion toward near-zero is the most likely outcome.

Catalysts

  • Broader Solana meme coin market rally lifting all tokens
  • Viral social media traction on Twitter/website driving new buyer inflows
  • Top whale (38.10%) refraining from selling and signaling long-term hold
  • Listing on a centralized exchange or aggregator increasing visibility

Bullish factors

  • No snipers detected in first 1,000 blocks — fair launch signal
  • Authority fully renounced (system program as update authority) — no rug via mint/freeze
  • 51.4% buy pressure vs 48.6% sell pressure in 24h — slight buy-side dominance
  • 975 unique buyers vs 729 unique sellers — more buyers than sellers
  • Rapid holder growth from 2 to 425 in 24h shows strong initial interest

Bearish factors

  • Price crashed 47.69% within first 24 hours
  • Top holder controls 38.10% of supply — single entity can crash price at will
  • Top 10 holders control 58.41% of supply — extreme concentration
  • Reported total liquidity is $0.00 — severe slippage risk for any meaningful trade
  • Token is unverified and less than 24 hours old with no track record
  • 5-minute price still declining at -3.92% at time of analysis
  • Hourly candle shows close near session lows — bearish price action

Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to: only one hourly OHLC candle available (insufficient price history), reported liquidity of $0.00 despite active trading (data inconsistency), extreme supply concentration, and the token being less than 24 hours old with no established price structure.

Token Info

Chain
Solana
Contract
GzgWiu...tnnH
Total Supply
21,000,000

Key Risks

  • Top holder controls 38.10% of supply — single point of failure for price stability
  • Reported liquidity of $0.00 — extreme slippage and execution risk
  • Token is less than 24 hours old with no established price history or community
  • 47.69% price crash on launch day — most current holders are at a loss

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

Only one hourly OHLC candle is available (2026-05-07T06:00Z): Open $0.02565, High $0.02631, Low $0.00806, Close $0.00961. This is an extremely bearish candle — a massive bearish engulfing/crash candle with a close near the session low. The candle body spans from $0.02565 open to $0.00961 close, a drop of ~62.5% within a single hour. The upper wick is minimal ($0.02631 high vs $0.02565 open), while the lower wick is also small relative to the body ($0.00806 low vs $0.00961 close), indicating sustained selling pressure with no meaningful recovery. This is consistent with a launch pump immediately followed by a sharp dump.

Trend

Short-term

Downtrend

Medium-term

Downtrend

With only one candle available, the trend is definitively bearish. The token opened at $0.02565, briefly touched $0.02631 (the all-time high), then crashed to a low of $0.00806 before closing at $0.00961. The current price of $0.00961 represents a 62.5% decline from the open within the first hour of available data. No uptrend structure can be identified.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Oversold

Volume trend

Decreasing

Buy

51%

Sell

49%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.0081 (hourly candle low — the only confirmed on-chain low)

Major support

$0.0050 (psychological level, no prior price history to confirm)

Immediate resistance

$0.0140 (mid-point between current price and open)

Major resistance

$0.0256–$0.0263 (launch open and all-time high)

Support and resistance levels are derived from the single available hourly candle. The $0.0081 low is the only confirmed on-chain support. The $0.0256–$0.0263 range represents the launch zone and acts as major resistance. With only one candle, these levels carry low reliability and should be treated as rough guides only.

Notable patterns

  • Bearish crash candle: open near high, close near low — classic dump pattern
  • No upper wick recovery — sellers in full control from the open
  • Price closing above the session low ($0.00961 vs $0.00806) suggests minor buying at the bottom but insufficient to reverse trend
  • Launch pump and immediate dump pattern — consistent with early holder distribution

Liquidity

Liquidity

Not available

Depth

Not assessed

Slippage risk

Not assessed

Liquidity depth and slippage risk cannot be assessed without a liquidity observation.

Supply & authorities

Total supply

21,000,000

FDV

$201,894.44

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

  • Volatilityhigh

    The token crashed 47.69% in its first 24 hours, with the hourly candle showing a range from $0.02631 high to $0.00806 low — a 69.4% intra-candle range. Extreme volatility is expected to continue given the token's age and thin liquidity.

  • LiquidityNot assessed

    A liquidity observation is not available in the saved inputs.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Sniper DumpNot assessed

    Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.

  • AuthorityNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

  • Top holder controls 38.10% of supply — single point of failure for price stability
  • Reported liquidity of $0.00 — extreme slippage and execution risk
  • Token is less than 24 hours old with no established price history or community
  • 47.69% price crash on launch day — most current holders are at a loss
  • Unverified contract — no third-party audit or verification
  • Top 100 holders control 90.64% — only 9.36% of supply is broadly distributed
  • Data inconsistencies (FDV = $0 in analytics vs $201,894 in metadata) suggest potential reporting issues

Mitigating factors

  • Authority fully renounced — no mint, freeze, or metadata manipulation possible
  • No snipers in first 1,000 blocks — fair launch mechanics
  • 51.4% buy pressure and 975 unique buyers vs 729 sellers — retail interest exists
  • Rapid holder growth (2 to 425 in 24h) shows genuine market interest
  • Fixed supply of 21,000,000 — no inflation risk

Suitable for

This token is suitable ONLY for highly risk-tolerant, speculative traders who can afford to lose their entire investment. It is NOT suitable for conservative investors, income-seeking investors, or anyone without deep familiarity with Solana meme token risks. Position sizing should be minimal (e.g., <1% of portfolio) if any exposure is taken.

TOSHI is a brand-new Solana meme token launched within the last 24 hours, branded as 'The bitcoin of solana' with a fixed 21M supply. While the renounced authority and no-sniper launch are positive structural signals, the token faces severe headwinds: a 47.69% launch-day crash, extreme supply concentration (38.10% in one wallet), zero reported liquidity, and no verified contract. The investment thesis is highly speculative and dependent almost entirely on viral social momentum overcoming these structural weaknesses.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

TOSHI gains viral traction on Solana Twitter/CT, the top holder refrains from selling, liquidity is added to the pool, and the 'bitcoin of solana' narrative resonates with the broader meme coin community. New buyer inflows push the holder count into the thousands and price recovers toward or beyond the $0.0256 launch price.

  • Viral social media campaign on Twitter and website gaining traction
  • Top whale (38.10%) holding or adding to position rather than distributing
  • Solana meme coin market entering a broader bull cycle
  • Liquidity pool being replenished to enable larger trades without slippage
  • Community-driven marketing creating FOMO among new buyers

Base Case

TOSHI stabilizes in the $0.006–$0.012 range with low trading volume, slowly accumulating a small but dedicated holder base. The token neither moons nor goes to zero in the near term, but remains a highly speculative micro-cap with limited liquidity and high volatility.

  • Top holder does not immediately dump their entire position
  • Some organic community growth continues beyond launch day
  • Liquidity data discrepancy is resolved and some pool depth exists
  • No major negative catalysts (e.g., top holder dump, exchange delisting)

Bear Case

High probability

The top holder (38.10%) begins distributing their position into any price recovery, liquidity remains near zero, and the token gradually loses trading interest as the initial launch excitement fades. Price drifts toward near-zero as holders capitulate.

  • Top holder selling 38.10% stake into the market
  • Liquidity remaining at or near $0.00 making exit difficult for holders
  • Failure to gain social media traction beyond initial launch day
  • Broader Solana meme coin market cooling
  • Holders who bought at launch (~$0.0256) capitulating at current prices (~$0.0096)

Analysis details

Generated

May 7, 06:17 AM UTC

Saved observation

2026-05-07 06:17 UTC

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

  • Solana on-chain metadata (mint, authority, supply)
  • Meteora DLMM trading pair data (9kTT1hnx2sv1C1QSGRHULtexYwV185PkrTGQa4PMZRgB)
  • 24h trading analytics (buy/sell volume, unique wallets)
  • OHLC candle data (hourly, 1 candle available)
  • Top 20 holder snapshot
  • Historical holder series (30 days daily)
  • Sniper analysis (first 1,000 blocks)
  • Price feed (USD and WSOL native)

Limitations

  • Only 1 hourly OHLC candle available — technical analysis is severely constrained
  • Reported total liquidity is $0.00 despite active trading — data may be inaccurate or liquidity was removed
  • FDV reported as $0.00 in trading analytics conflicts with $201,894 in metadata
  • Token is less than 24 hours old — no established price history, community, or track record
  • Top holder classification is unknown — cannot confirm if 38.10% wallet is team, treasury, or external whale
  • No sniper data available (0 snipers) — cannot assess early buyer PnL distribution
  • Historical holder data shows only 2 holders for 30 days prior to launch — no pre-launch community data
  • Social link content (Twitter, website) not analyzed — sentiment from social channels unknown

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does NOT constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially newly launched meme tokens, carry extreme risk of total loss. Always conduct your own research (DYOR) before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Frequently Asked Questions

How concentrated is TOSHI ownership?

Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 425 addresses (2026-05-07 06:17 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.

Are large holders selling TOSHI?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is TOSHI liquidity falling?

Liquidity is not available in the saved inputs. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.

What is the short-term price outlook for TOSHI (TOSHI)?

The token has already crashed 47.69% from its open of $0.0256 to $0.0096. The single available hourly candle shows a massive bearish wick from $0.0263 high to a $0.0081 low, closing near the lows. With extreme supply concentration (top holder at 38.10%), near-zero reported liquidity, and a token less than 24 hours old, further downside pressure is highly probable. The 5-minute price change of -3.92% confirms continued selling pressure. Short-term outlook is bearish (24–72 hours), with a target range of $0.0050 to $0.0140.

Is TOSHI a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as very high with a risk score of 9.1/100. This token is suitable ONLY for highly risk-tolerant, speculative traders who can afford to lose their entire investment. It is NOT suitable for conservative investors, income-seeking investors, or anyone without deep familiarity with Solana meme token risks. Position sizing should be minimal (e.g., <1% of portfolio) if any exposure is taken.

What are the key risks of holding TOSHI?

Top holder controls 38.10% of supply — single point of failure for price stability • Reported liquidity of $0.00 — extreme slippage and execution risk • Token is less than 24 hours old with no established price history or community

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