TOSHI Prediction
GzgWiux2a66CUnFfaxfnirW5pBSdTg5gbXp98FzLtnnH
$0.009614
FDV $201,894
GzgWiux2a66CUnFfaxfnirW5pBSdTg5gbXp98FzLtnnHChain:SolanaHolders:425Market cap:$201,894More tokens on Solana
Continue in chat
Ask Unhosted AI about TOSHI
$201,894
$0
425
0
Very High
AI Executive Summary
TOSHI (GzgWiux2a66CUnFfaxfnirW5pBSdTg5gbXp98FzLtnnH) is a newly launched Solana meme token with a total supply of 21,000,000 and a current FDV of ~$201,894. Branded as 'The bitcoin of solana,' it launched within the last 24 hours, going from 2 holders to 425 in a single day. The token experienced a severe 47.69% price crash within its first 24 hours, dropping from an open of ~$0.0256 to a current price of ~$0.0096. Supply is highly concentrated, with the top holder alone controlling 38.10% of supply. Authority has been renounced (update authority is the system program 11111...1), and the token is immutable. Trading activity is moderate with $374K in buy volume vs $353K in sell volume, but liquidity depth is reported as $0.00, raising serious concerns.
Price Prediction
Short term
The token has already crashed 47.69% from its open of $0.0256 to $0.0096. The single available hourly candle shows a massive bearish wick from $0.0263 high to a $0.0081 low, closing near the lows. With extreme supply concentration (top holder at 38.10%), near-zero reported liquidity, and a token less than 24 hours old, further downside pressure is highly probable. The 5-minute price change of -3.92% confirms continued selling pressure.
Resistance: $0.0140 (mid-range recovery level), $0.0256 (hourly open / launch price)
Medium term
Given the token's extreme concentration, lack of verified contract, near-zero liquidity depth, and the pattern of a sharp launch pump followed by immediate dump, medium-term prospects are highly uncertain. Sustained recovery would require significant new buyer inflows, broader community adoption, and resolution of the liquidity discrepancy. Without these, continued price erosion toward near-zero is the most likely outcome.
Catalysts
- Broader Solana meme coin market rally lifting all tokens
- Viral social media traction on Twitter/website driving new buyer inflows
- Top whale (38.10%) refraining from selling and signaling long-term hold
- Listing on a centralized exchange or aggregator increasing visibility
Bullish factors
- No snipers detected in first 1,000 blocks — fair launch signal
- Authority fully renounced (system program as update authority) — no rug via mint/freeze
- 51.4% buy pressure vs 48.6% sell pressure in 24h — slight buy-side dominance
- 975 unique buyers vs 729 unique sellers — more buyers than sellers
- Rapid holder growth from 2 to 425 in 24h shows strong initial interest
Bearish factors
- Price crashed 47.69% within first 24 hours
- Top holder controls 38.10% of supply — single entity can crash price at will
- Top 10 holders control 58.41% of supply — extreme concentration
- Reported total liquidity is $0.00 — severe slippage risk for any meaningful trade
- Token is unverified and less than 24 hours old with no track record
- 5-minute price still declining at -3.92% at time of analysis
- Hourly candle shows close near session lows — bearish price action
Deep Analysis
Token Info
Key Risks
Smart Money & Sniper Analysis
No snipers were detected in the first 1,000 blocks of this token's existence, which is a positive signal for launch fairness — early block sniping bots did not front-run the launch. However, the absence of sniper data does not eliminate concentration risk; the top holder (38.10%) and top 10 holders (58.41%) represent extreme concentration that could reflect team/insider allocations acquired through other means. With only 425 holders and the token less than 24 hours old, smart money signals are limited. The near-even buy/sell volume split ($374K vs $353K) with 975 buyers vs 729 sellers suggests retail participation but no clear institutional accumulation signal.
AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.
Sniper details
No snipers detected in the first 1,000 blocks. Sniper concentration is 0%.
Early buyer sentiment is mixed-to-negative. The token launched and immediately crashed 47.69%, meaning most buyers who entered at or near the open are currently at a significant loss. The 425 holders who acquired in the last 24 hours are predominantly underwater given the price drop from ~$0.0256 open to ~$0.0096 current.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the price prediction for TOSHI (TOSHI)?
The token has already crashed 47.69% from its open of $0.0256 to $0.0096. The single available hourly candle shows a massive bearish wick from $0.0263 high to a $0.0081 low, closing near the lows. With extreme supply concentration (top holder at 38.10%), near-zero reported liquidity, and a token less than 24 hours old, further downside pressure is highly probable. The 5-minute price change of -3.92% confirms continued selling pressure. Short-term outlook is bearish (24–72 hours), with a target range of $0.0050 to $0.0140.
Is TOSHI a safe investment on Solana?
Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 9.1/100. This token is suitable ONLY for highly risk-tolerant, speculative traders who can afford to lose their entire investment. It is NOT suitable for conservative investors, income-seeking investors, or anyone without deep familiarity with Solana meme token risks. Position sizing should be minimal (e.g., <1% of portfolio) if any exposure is taken.
How are TOSHI holders trending?
TOSHI currently has 425 holders and is growing (24h: 100, 7d: 100, 30d: 100). The historical holder data reveals a stark picture: TOSHI had exactly 2 holders for the entire 30-day period from April 7 to May 6, 2026, with zero net change each day. Then on May 7, 2026, the token launched publicly and exploded to 425 holders — a 100% growth rate in 24 hours (from 2 to 425, net +423). This is consistent with a brand-new token launch. The holder distribution shows 108 whales, 65 sharks, 171 dolphins, 68 fish, and 27 octopus-classified wallets. While the rapid holder growth is superficially positive, the context of a simultaneous 47.69% price crash tempers enthusiasm significantly.
What does sniper activity look like for TOSHI?
Snipers hold roughly 0.00% of supply with PnL state "unknown" and sell-through rate "unknown". Profit-taking risk: high.
What are the key risks of holding TOSHI?
Top holder controls 38.10% of supply — single point of failure for price stability • Reported liquidity of $0.00 — extreme slippage and execution risk • Token is less than 24 hours old with no established price history or community
Track TOSHI