TOSHI

TOSHI Price Prediction 2026

TOSHI
Solana•
AI Analysis
Analysis as of May 7, 2026

GzgWiux2a66CUnFfaxfnirW5pBSdTg5gbXp98FzLtnnH

$0.000288

+0.97%

FDV $6,040

LiveContract:GzgWiux2a66CUnFfaxfnirW5pBSdTg5gbXp98FzLtnnHChain:SolanaHolders:101Market cap:$6,040

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Ask Unhosted AI about TOSHI

What's Twitter saying?

Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweets

Whale activity

Who is accumulating or distributing

What are the risks?

Red flags, security, concentration

Should I buy?

Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

Report snapshotas of May 7, 06:17 AM
FDV

$201,894

Liquidity

$0

Holders

425

Snipers

0

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

TOSHI (GzgWiux2a66CUnFfaxfnirW5pBSdTg5gbXp98FzLtnnH) is a newly launched Solana meme token with a total supply of 21,000,000 and a current FDV of ~$201,894. Branded as 'The bitcoin of solana,' it launched within the last 24 hours, going from 2 holders to 425 in a single day. The token experienced a severe 47.69% price crash within its first 24 hours, dropping from an open of ~$0.0256 to a current price of ~$0.0096. Supply is highly concentrated, with the top holder alone controlling 38.10% of supply. Authority has been renounced (update authority is the system program 11111...1), and the token is immutable. Trading activity is moderate with $374K in buy volume vs $353K in sell volume, but liquidity depth is reported as $0.00, raising serious concerns.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Bearish
Update authority renounced to system program — mint and freeze authority cannot be exercised
Extremely new token: went from 2 to 425 holders in a single day (100% growth in 24h)
Severe 47.69% price drop within first 24 hours from open of ~$0.0256
Top holder controls 38.10% of supply — extreme concentration risk
No snipers detected in first 1,000 blocks — clean launch in that regard
Reported on-chain liquidity is $0.00 despite $727K+ in 24h trading volume — critical data discrepancy

Price Prediction

bearish

Short term

bearish
24–72 hours

The token has already crashed 47.69% from its open of $0.0256 to $0.0096. The single available hourly candle shows a massive bearish wick from $0.0263 high to a $0.0081 low, closing near the lows. With extreme supply concentration (top holder at 38.10%), near-zero reported liquidity, and a token less than 24 hours old, further downside pressure is highly probable. The 5-minute price change of -3.92% confirms continued selling pressure.

Target low$0.0050
Target high$0.0140
Support: $0.0081 (hourly candle low), $0.0050 (psychological round number)
Resistance: $0.0140 (mid-range recovery level), $0.0256 (hourly open / launch price)

Medium term

bearish
7–30 days

Given the token's extreme concentration, lack of verified contract, near-zero liquidity depth, and the pattern of a sharp launch pump followed by immediate dump, medium-term prospects are highly uncertain. Sustained recovery would require significant new buyer inflows, broader community adoption, and resolution of the liquidity discrepancy. Without these, continued price erosion toward near-zero is the most likely outcome.

Catalysts
  • Broader Solana meme coin market rally lifting all tokens
  • Viral social media traction on Twitter/website driving new buyer inflows
  • Top whale (38.10%) refraining from selling and signaling long-term hold
  • Listing on a centralized exchange or aggregator increasing visibility

Bullish factors

  • No snipers detected in first 1,000 blocks — fair launch signal
  • Authority fully renounced (system program as update authority) — no rug via mint/freeze
  • 51.4% buy pressure vs 48.6% sell pressure in 24h — slight buy-side dominance
  • 975 unique buyers vs 729 unique sellers — more buyers than sellers
  • Rapid holder growth from 2 to 425 in 24h shows strong initial interest

Bearish factors

  • Price crashed 47.69% within first 24 hours
  • Top holder controls 38.10% of supply — single entity can crash price at will
  • Top 10 holders control 58.41% of supply — extreme concentration
  • Reported total liquidity is $0.00 — severe slippage risk for any meaningful trade
  • Token is unverified and less than 24 hours old with no track record
  • 5-minute price still declining at -3.92% at time of analysis
  • Hourly candle shows close near session lows — bearish price action
Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to: only one hourly OHLC candle available (insufficient price history), reported liquidity of $0.00 despite active trading (data inconsistency), extreme supply concentration, and the token being less than 24 hours old with no established price structure.

Deep Analysis

Only one hourly OHLC candle is available (2026-05-07T06:00Z): Open $0.02565, High $0.02631, Low $0.00806, Close $0.00961. This is an extremely bearish candle — a massive bearish engulfing/crash candle with a close near the session low. The candle body spans from $0.02565 open to $0.00961 close, a drop of ~62.5% within a single hour. The upper wick is minimal ($0.02631 high vs $0.02565 open), while the lower wick is also small relative to the body ($0.00806 low vs $0.00961 close), indicating sustained selling pressure with no meaningful recovery. This is consistent with a launch pump immediately followed by a sharp dump.

Trend

Short-term
downtrend
Medium-term
downtrend

Momentum

Status
oversold

Volume

Trenddecreasing
Buy 51%Sell 49%

With only one candle available, the trend is definitively bearish. The token opened at $0.02565, briefly touched $0.02631 (the all-time high), then crashed to a low of $0.00806 before closing at $0.00961. The current price of $0.00961 represents a 62.5% decline from the open within the first hour of available data. No uptrend structure can be identified.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.0081 (hourly candle low — the only confirmed on-chain low)
Major$0.0050 (psychological level, no prior price history to confirm)
Resistance
Immediate$0.0140 (mid-point between current price and open)
Major$0.0256–$0.0263 (launch open and all-time high)

Support and resistance levels are derived from the single available hourly candle. The $0.0081 low is the only confirmed on-chain support. The $0.0256–$0.0263 range represents the launch zone and acts as major resistance. With only one candle, these levels carry low reliability and should be treated as rough guides only.

Notable patterns

  • Bearish crash candle: open near high, close near low — classic dump pattern
  • No upper wick recovery — sellers in full control from the open
  • Price closing above the session low ($0.00961 vs $0.00806) suggests minor buying at the bottom but insufficient to reverse trend
  • Launch pump and immediate dump pattern — consistent with early holder distribution

Total holders425
24h Δ+100
7d Δ+100
30d Δ+100
Accelerating Growth
Yes

Correlation with price

Holder growth is inversely correlated with price in this case — the token gained 423 holders in 24 hours while the price crashed 47.69%. This suggests that new buyers are entering at lower prices (potentially bargain hunting or FOMO from social media), but the influx of new holders has not been sufficient to arrest the price decline. The rapid holder growth is entirely a 24-hour phenomenon; for the prior 30 days the token sat at just 2 holders.

The historical holder data reveals a stark picture: TOSHI had exactly 2 holders for the entire 30-day period from April 7 to May 6, 2026, with zero net change each day. Then on May 7, 2026, the token launched publicly and exploded to 425 holders — a 100% growth rate in 24 hours (from 2 to 425, net +423). This is consistent with a brand-new token launch. The holder distribution shows 108 whales, 65 sharks, 171 dolphins, 68 fish, and 27 octopus-classified wallets. While the rapid holder growth is superficially positive, the context of a simultaneous 47.69% price crash tempers enthusiasm significantly.

Top 10 hold58.41%
Top 100 hold90.64%
Sentiment
Mixed

Notable holders

FhVo3mqL8PW5pH5U2CN4XE33DokiyZnUwuGpH2hmHLuM

Project treasury or team wallet — holds 38.10% (8,001,046 tokens), an extraordinarily large single-wallet concentration for a token with only 425 holders. This wallet alone can dictate price direction.

38.10%

8CfJRXbCB9Z1VecoN59JsmuKwN5SJHsJ93QWiWBc1uds

Individual whale — holds 4.03% (846,486 tokens). Second largest holder, likely an early buyer or insider.

4.03%

CeHS3qdj5LayycEFJSx7dfpqVKocSSZfrFDuzF6BC9Ph

Individual whale — holds 3.73% (782,802 tokens). Third largest holder.

3.73%

6uAtfXZfGMLFaJf9wLoivdrpdYKnF1TfpeTQpdAXKzQz

Individual whale — holds 2.24% (470,479 tokens).

2.24%

HwYSNFZQYTV3s5pg6nLmVYCqH1EVHMvxrtkn7PDQSM1y

Individual whale — holds 2.19% (459,862 tokens).

2.19%

Supply distribution is extremely concentrated. The top holder alone controls 38.10% of the 21,000,000 total supply (8,001,046 tokens). The top 10 holders collectively control 58.41%, and the top 100 control 90.64%, leaving only 9.36% of supply distributed among the remaining holders. This is a very_concentrated distribution that poses severe rug and dump risk. The top holder's wallet classification is ambiguous — it could be a project treasury, team wallet, or a single large buyer — but its size relative to total supply makes it the single greatest risk factor for this token. No wallets were identifiable as known centralized exchanges or DEX liquidity pools from the addresses provided.

Liquidity$0.00 (as reported — likely a data error or liquidity was removed)
Depth
Shallow
Slippage risk
high

Volume (24h)

Buy$374,250
Sell$353,480
Net flow
inflow

Traders (24h)

Unique buyers975
Unique sellers729

The reported total liquidity is $0.00, which is a critical red flag. Despite $727,730 in combined 24-hour trading volume (3,171 buys and 2,075 sells across 989 unique wallets), the on-chain liquidity pool on Meteora DLMM (pair 9kTT1hnx2sv1C1QSGRHULtexYwV185PkrTGQa4PMZRgB) shows zero liquidity depth. This discrepancy could indicate: (1) liquidity was added and then removed (rug-adjacent behavior), (2) a data reporting lag or API error, or (3) the liquidity is extremely thin and rounds to zero. Any of these scenarios represents high slippage risk for traders. The net flow is technically inflow (buy volume exceeds sell volume by ~$20,770), and there are more unique buyers (975) than sellers (729), but this positive signal is severely undermined by the zero liquidity reading and the 47.69% price crash. The FDV reported by trading analytics is also $0.00, conflicting with the metadata FDV of $201,894 — further evidence of data inconsistency that traders must be aware of.

Supply & Valuation

Total supply21,000,000
FDV$201,894.44

Authorities

Mint authority
Renounced
Freeze authority
Renounced

TOSHI has a fixed total supply of 21,000,000 tokens (a deliberate reference to Bitcoin's 21 million supply cap, consistent with the 'bitcoin of solana' branding). The update authority is set to 11111111111111111111111111111111 — the Solana system program, which is the standard burn/renounce address. This means the token metadata is immutable (confirmed by mutable: false), and mint/freeze authorities cannot be exercised by any party. From an authority perspective, the rug risk is low — no one can mint new tokens or freeze wallets. However, this does NOT eliminate rug risk from supply concentration: the top holder's 38.10% stake can be sold at any time, which is the primary risk vector. The FDV of $201,894 at current price of $0.009614 is micro-cap territory, making this highly speculative.

Volatility
high

The token crashed 47.69% in its first 24 hours, with the hourly candle showing a range from $0.02631 high to $0.00806 low — a 69.4% intra-candle range. Extreme volatility is expected to continue given the token's age and thin liquidity.

Liquidity
high

Reported total liquidity is $0.00 on the Meteora DLMM pool despite $727K+ in 24h volume. This creates extreme slippage risk and the possibility that any meaningful sell order could move the price dramatically or fail to execute.

Concentration
high

Top holder controls 38.10% of supply. Top 10 holders control 58.41%. Top 100 control 90.64%. A single wallet decision to sell could devastate the price. This is the most critical risk factor.

SniperDump
low

No snipers were detected in the first 1,000 blocks, which is a positive signal. However, the top holder's large position (38.10%) could represent an equivalent or greater dump risk than snipers would pose.

Authority
low

Update authority is renounced to the system program (11111...1). Token is immutable (mutable: false). Mint and freeze authorities cannot be exercised. No new tokens can be created and wallets cannot be frozen by the issuer.

Key risks

  • Top holder controls 38.10% of supply — single point of failure for price stability
  • Reported liquidity of $0.00 — extreme slippage and execution risk
  • Token is less than 24 hours old with no established price history or community
  • 47.69% price crash on launch day — most current holders are at a loss
  • Unverified contract — no third-party audit or verification
  • Top 100 holders control 90.64% — only 9.36% of supply is broadly distributed
  • Data inconsistencies (FDV = $0 in analytics vs $201,894 in metadata) suggest potential reporting issues

Mitigating factors

  • Authority fully renounced — no mint, freeze, or metadata manipulation possible
  • No snipers in first 1,000 blocks — fair launch mechanics
  • 51.4% buy pressure and 975 unique buyers vs 729 sellers — retail interest exists
  • Rapid holder growth (2 to 425 in 24h) shows genuine market interest
  • Fixed supply of 21,000,000 — no inflation risk
Suitable for: This token is suitable ONLY for highly risk-tolerant, speculative traders who can afford to lose their entire investment. It is NOT suitable for conservative investors, income-seeking investors, or anyone without deep familiarity with Solana meme token risks. Position sizing should be minimal (e.g., <1% of portfolio) if any exposure is taken.

TOSHI is a brand-new Solana meme token launched within the last 24 hours, branded as 'The bitcoin of solana' with a fixed 21M supply. While the renounced authority and no-sniper launch are positive structural signals, the token faces severe headwinds: a 47.69% launch-day crash, extreme supply concentration (38.10% in one wallet), zero reported liquidity, and no verified contract. The investment thesis is highly speculative and dependent almost entirely on viral social momentum overcoming these structural weaknesses.

Bull case (low)

TOSHI gains viral traction on Solana Twitter/CT, the top holder refrains from selling, liquidity is added to the pool, and the 'bitcoin of solana' narrative resonates with the broader meme coin community. New buyer inflows push the holder count into the thousands and price recovers toward or beyond the $0.0256 launch price.

  • Viral social media campaign on Twitter and website gaining traction
  • Top whale (38.10%) holding or adding to position rather than distributing
  • Solana meme coin market entering a broader bull cycle
  • Liquidity pool being replenished to enable larger trades without slippage
  • Community-driven marketing creating FOMO among new buyers

Base case

TOSHI stabilizes in the $0.006–$0.012 range with low trading volume, slowly accumulating a small but dedicated holder base. The token neither moons nor goes to zero in the near term, but remains a highly speculative micro-cap with limited liquidity and high volatility.

  • Top holder does not immediately dump their entire position
  • Some organic community growth continues beyond launch day
  • Liquidity data discrepancy is resolved and some pool depth exists
  • No major negative catalysts (e.g., top holder dump, exchange delisting)

Bear case (high)

The top holder (38.10%) begins distributing their position into any price recovery, liquidity remains near zero, and the token gradually loses trading interest as the initial launch excitement fades. Price drifts toward near-zero as holders capitulate.

  • Top holder selling 38.10% stake into the market
  • Liquidity remaining at or near $0.00 making exit difficult for holders
  • Failure to gain social media traction beyond initial launch day
  • Broader Solana meme coin market cooling
  • Holders who bought at launch (~$0.0256) capitulating at current prices (~$0.0096)

GeneratedMay 7, 06:17 AM
Data freshnessData reflects on-chain state as of 2026-05-07T06:00Z. The token is less than 24 hours old. Only 1 hourly OHLC candle is available, severely limiting technical analysis.
Model confidence
low

Data sources

  • Solana on-chain metadata (mint, authority, supply)
  • Meteora DLMM trading pair data (9kTT1hnx2sv1C1QSGRHULtexYwV185PkrTGQa4PMZRgB)
  • 24h trading analytics (buy/sell volume, unique wallets)
  • OHLC candle data (hourly, 1 candle available)
  • Top 20 holder snapshot
  • Historical holder series (30 days daily)
  • Sniper analysis (first 1,000 blocks)
  • Price feed (USD and WSOL native)

Limitations

  • Only 1 hourly OHLC candle available — technical analysis is severely constrained
  • Reported total liquidity is $0.00 despite active trading — data may be inaccurate or liquidity was removed
  • FDV reported as $0.00 in trading analytics conflicts with $201,894 in metadata
  • Token is less than 24 hours old — no established price history, community, or track record
  • Top holder classification is unknown — cannot confirm if 38.10% wallet is team, treasury, or external whale
  • No sniper data available (0 snipers) — cannot assess early buyer PnL distribution
  • Historical holder data shows only 2 holders for 30 days prior to launch — no pre-launch community data
  • Social link content (Twitter, website) not analyzed — sentiment from social channels unknown

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does NOT constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially newly launched meme tokens, carry extreme risk of total loss. Always conduct your own research (DYOR) before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply21,000,000

Key Risks

•Top holder controls 38.10% of supply — single point of failure for price stability
•Reported liquidity of $0.00 — extreme slippage and execution risk
•Token is less than 24 hours old with no established price history or community
•47.69% price crash on launch day — most current holders are at a loss

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

low confidence
High risk

No snipers were detected in the first 1,000 blocks of this token's existence, which is a positive signal for launch fairness — early block sniping bots did not front-run the launch. However, the absence of sniper data does not eliminate concentration risk; the top holder (38.10%) and top 10 holders (58.41%) represent extreme concentration that could reflect team/insider allocations acquired through other means. With only 425 holders and the token less than 24 hours old, smart money signals are limited. The near-even buy/sell volume split ($374K vs $353K) with 975 buyers vs 729 sellers suggests retail participation but no clear institutional accumulation signal.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration0.00%
PnL stateUnknown
Sell-through rateUnknown
Profit-taking risk
high

No snipers detected in the first 1,000 blocks. Sniper concentration is 0%.

Early buyer sentiment is mixed-to-negative. The token launched and immediately crashed 47.69%, meaning most buyers who entered at or near the open are currently at a significant loss. The 425 holders who acquired in the last 24 hours are predominantly underwater given the price drop from ~$0.0256 open to ~$0.0096 current.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the price prediction for TOSHI (TOSHI)?

The token has already crashed 47.69% from its open of $0.0256 to $0.0096. The single available hourly candle shows a massive bearish wick from $0.0263 high to a $0.0081 low, closing near the lows. With extreme supply concentration (top holder at 38.10%), near-zero reported liquidity, and a token less than 24 hours old, further downside pressure is highly probable. The 5-minute price change of -3.92% confirms continued selling pressure. Short-term outlook is bearish (24–72 hours), with a target range of $0.0050 to $0.0140.

Is TOSHI a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 9.1/100. This token is suitable ONLY for highly risk-tolerant, speculative traders who can afford to lose their entire investment. It is NOT suitable for conservative investors, income-seeking investors, or anyone without deep familiarity with Solana meme token risks. Position sizing should be minimal (e.g., <1% of portfolio) if any exposure is taken.

How are TOSHI holders trending?

TOSHI currently has 425 holders and is growing (24h: 100, 7d: 100, 30d: 100). The historical holder data reveals a stark picture: TOSHI had exactly 2 holders for the entire 30-day period from April 7 to May 6, 2026, with zero net change each day. Then on May 7, 2026, the token launched publicly and exploded to 425 holders — a 100% growth rate in 24 hours (from 2 to 425, net +423). This is consistent with a brand-new token launch. The holder distribution shows 108 whales, 65 sharks, 171 dolphins, 68 fish, and 27 octopus-classified wallets. While the rapid holder growth is superficially positive, the context of a simultaneous 47.69% price crash tempers enthusiasm significantly.

What does sniper activity look like for TOSHI?

Snipers hold roughly 0.00% of supply with PnL state "unknown" and sell-through rate "unknown". Profit-taking risk: high.

What are the key risks of holding TOSHI?

Top holder controls 38.10% of supply — single point of failure for price stability • Reported liquidity of $0.00 — extreme slippage and execution risk • Token is less than 24 hours old with no established price history or community

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