Chill House Price Today & AI Analysis

Analyzing 23 hourly candles from 2026-05-03T06:00Z to 2026-05-04T05:00Z. The token traded in a tight range of $0.002519–$0.002567 from candles 23 through 13 (approximately 12 hours of sideways action with very low volume, often under $1K). A breakout began at Candle 12 (18:00 UTC, May 3) with a high of $0.002659, accelerating through Candle 8 (22:00 UTC) which printed a wide-range bullish candle (O:$0.002712, H:$0.003051, C:$0.002968, V:$6,743). The rally continued into Candle 4 (02:00 UTC, May 4) which hit the session high of $0.003485 on $23,805 volume — the highest volume candle in the series. Candle 2 (04:00 UTC) reached the absolute high of $0.003561 before Candle 1 (05:00 UTC) closed at $0.003177, forming a bearish reversal from the top.

Medium-term trend is up — price moved from ~$0.002534 (candles 20–22) to $0.003177 current, a gain of ~25%. However, the short-term (last 2 candles) shows a reversal: the peak of $0.003561 was rejected and price has pulled back to $0.003177, suggesting a short-term downtrend or consolidation is underway.

Key Price Levels

The $0.002505–$0.002520 zone served as a multi-hour consolidation base (candles 12–19) and represents strong structural support. The $0.003561 high is the key resistance to reclaim for continuation. The $0.003142–$0.003177 zone is now the critical near-term pivot — a break below risks a retest of $0.002920.

Holder count has been in a slow but persistent decline over the 30-day observation window, falling from a peak of ~15,899 (April 16) to 15,755 currently — a net loss of 144 holders (-0.91% from peak). The decline accelerated in late April: April 17 saw -26, April 18 saw -23, April 21 saw -24. Recent days show continued negative momentum: May 3 was -19, May 2 was -7. The acquisition breakdown (swap=10,233, transfer=4,658, airdrop=864) shows this is primarily a traded token rather than airdrop-distributed. The holder distribution (whales=167, sharks=90, dolphins=455, fish=581, octopus=781) shows a relatively broad base but with meaningful whale presence. The declining holder trend despite a 25% price spike in 24h is a bearish divergence signal.

The top 10 holders control 31.02% of supply and the top 100 control 75.58%, indicating meaningful concentration. The #1 holder (35TqQMeiRwEbK6FR5qiPwastuAAvo32VjnULJpxVSxUK at 8.22%) matches the PumpSwap trading pair address listed in the price data, meaning this is the DEX liquidity pool — not a whale. Excluding the LP, the next largest holders are #2 (4.99%) and #3 (4.71%), which are unclassified individual wallets or potentially team/treasury addresses. Holder #8 (B5hcNUxRw625xWKhZk7eahekR2PZGbWNvvbEVvoXTmh8) holds exactly 13,000,000 tokens — a suspiciously round number suggesting a team allocation or OTC purchase. Similarly, holders #19 (10,000,000) and #20 (9,986,807) have near-round balances. The whale distribution (167 whales per the distribution data) combined with top-100 holding 75.58% creates meaningful dump risk if large holders decide to exit. Sentiment is mixed — no clear accumulation or distribution signal from on-chain data alone.

Total liquidity of $537K is relatively healthy for a token with a $3.19M FDV — representing approximately 16.8% of FDV in liquidity, which is above average for PumpFun-launched tokens. The PumpSwap pair (35TqQMeiRwEbK6FR5qiPwastuAAvo32VjnULJpxVSxUK) holds 8.22% of supply as the LP position. However, the 24h trading activity reveals a deeply imbalanced market: 590 sell transactions vs. 161 buy transactions, 257 unique sellers vs. 95 unique buyers, and $98K in sell volume vs. only $19K in buy volume (83.5% sell pressure). This is a clear net outflow environment. The slippage risk is rated medium — $537K liquidity can absorb moderate trades, but a large whale exit (e.g., the 4.99% or 4.71% holders) could cause significant price impact. The 24h price gain of +25% despite overwhelming sell pressure suggests a small number of aggressive buyers drove the price up, which is unsustainable without sustained demand.

Total supply is ~998.58M tokens (effectively 1B supply, standard for PumpFun launches). The FDV is $3.17M at current price. The token metadata shows 'Mutable: false', which means the token's metadata fields cannot be changed — a positive signal reducing metadata-based rug risk. However, the update authority is set to 'TSLvdd1pWpHVjahSpsvCXUbgwsL3JAcvokwaKt1eokM' (not a burn address or known renounced address), meaning the deployer retains some authority. Mint authority and freeze authority status are not explicitly provided in the metadata — these are marked as 'unknown' in this analysis. The 'Mutable: false' flag is the strongest positive tokenomics signal. The absence of explicit mint/freeze authority renouncement data warrants caution. Investors should verify on-chain via Solana Explorer that mint authority is disabled (null) before committing significant capital.

CHILLHOUSE is a community meme token on Solana with a clean launch (no snipers), moderate liquidity, and a verified contract. However, the token faces structural headwinds: a persistently declining holder base, overwhelming sell pressure (83.5%), and high supply concentration (top 100 hold 75.58%). The recent 25% price spike appears to be a low-buy-volume pump rather than organic demand growth. The investment case is speculative and sentiment-dependent.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, particularly meme tokens, carry extreme risk including total loss of capital. All data is sourced from on-chain metrics and third-party analytics at a specific point in time. Past price performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research (DYOR) before making any investment decisions.