OTTO

f(x, y) = k Price Today & AI Analysis

OTTO
Solana
AI Analysis
Analysis as of Jul 21, 2026

FhaCSvtpcpKJbih7p8b9kkEXhagz1yDLXvBKaQJ4pump

$0.052330

-5.75%

FDV $2,327

LiveContract:FhaCSvtpcpKJbih7p8b9kkEXhagz1yDLXvBKaQJ4pumpChain:SolanaHolders:269Market cap:$2,327

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Ask Unhosted AI about OTTO

Report snapshotas of Jul 21, 02:17 AM
FDV

$222,094

Liquidity

$53,989

Holders

125

Snipers

0

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

OTTO (f(x, y) = k) is a PumpFun-launched Solana memecoin (mint: FhaCSvtpcpKJbih7p8b9kkEXhagz1yDLXvBKaQJ4pump) with a total supply of 1,000,000,000 tokens and a current FDV of ~$222K. The token has experienced an extreme 576% 24h price spike, but the on-chain data reveals severe red flags: overwhelming sell pressure (70.4% sell volume), a dramatic collapse in holder count (from 716 to 125 in the most recent period — a drop of ~591 holders), zero top-holder data available, and total liquidity of only ~$54K. The price action is highly erratic with a 1h candle showing a range from $0.0000121 to $0.0000806. This token exhibits characteristics consistent with a pump-and-dump scheme.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Bearish
Extreme 576% 24h price spike followed by heavy sell pressure (70.4% of volume)
Holder count collapsed from 716 to 125 — a loss of ~591 holders in the most recent reporting period
Historical holder count was completely flat at 716 for 30 consecutive days prior to the collapse, suggesting artificial or dormant holder base
Total liquidity is only ~$54K against a $222K FDV — very shallow market
No top holder data, no sniper data, and unknown update authority — severe data opacity

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term

bearish
1–24 hours

The token is in a post-pump distribution phase. The most recent hourly candle (02:00 UTC) opened at $0.0000705, hit a high of $0.0000705, and closed sharply lower at $0.0000327 — a bearish engulfing/collapse candle. The prior candle (01:00 UTC) showed a massive wick from $0.0000121 to $0.0000806, indicating a violent pump-and-dump spike. With 70.4% sell pressure, 1,708 sellers vs 1,245 buyers, and only $54K in liquidity, further downside is highly probable in the near term.

Target low$0.0000121 (recent candle low / pump origin)
Target high$0.0000706 (recent candle high resistance)
Support: $0.0000327 (candle [1] close), $0.0000121 (candle [2] low — pump origin)
Resistance: $0.0000706 (candle [1] open / candle [2] close), $0.0000806 (candle [2] high — spike peak)

Medium term

bearish
1–30 days

The 30-day historical holder data shows a completely flat base of 716 holders with zero net change for an entire month, followed by a sudden collapse to 125. This pattern is consistent with a coordinated pump event followed by mass exit. Without genuine organic holder growth, sustained price appreciation is unlikely. The token is likely to retrace toward or below pre-pump levels.

Catalysts
  • Any renewed social media promotion could trigger a short-lived secondary pump
  • Broader Solana memecoin market rally could provide temporary lift
  • Absence of any utility or verified contract makes sustained recovery structurally unlikely

Bullish factors

  • 576% 24h price gain demonstrates speculative demand can materialize rapidly
  • PumpSwap listing provides some DEX accessibility
  • Social links (Twitter, website) suggest some level of project presence

Bearish factors

  • 70.4% sell pressure — sellers dominate volume ($235.8K sell vs $99.3K buy)
  • Holder count collapsed from 716 to 125 (-83% in the most recent period)
  • Only $54K total liquidity — extreme slippage risk for any meaningful position
  • Most recent hourly candle closed sharply lower (bearish engulfing pattern)
  • 30 days of completely flat holder count prior to pump suggests artificial/bot-driven base
  • No verified contract, unknown update authority, no top holder transparency
  • 5-minute price change of -11.3% at time of data capture indicates active selling
Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to: (1) only 2 hourly OHLC candles available, (2) no top holder data, (3) no sniper data, (4) unknown update authority, and (5) extreme volatility making price targets unreliable. The directional bias (bearish) is high-confidence, but specific price levels are speculative given data limitations.

OTTO call history

Full track record →
Jul 21bearish
24h-96.6%
7d-99.0%
30d

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Deep Analysis

Only 2 hourly candles are available. Candle [2] (01:00 UTC): O=$0.0000327, H=$0.0000806, L=$0.0000121, C=$0.0000705 — a massive bullish spike candle with a long lower wick, indicating a violent pump from $0.0000121 to $0.0000806 with a close near the high. Candle [1] (02:00 UTC): O=$0.0000705, H=$0.0000705, L=$0.0000648, C=$0.0000327 — a strong bearish candle that opened at the prior close and sold off sharply, closing at $0.0000327. This two-candle sequence is a classic pump-and-dump pattern: spike up followed by immediate distribution and collapse. Note: the current price of $0.000222 is significantly higher than both candle closes, suggesting additional price action occurred after these candles that is not captured in the 2-candle dataset.

Trend

Short-term
downtrend
Medium-term
downtrend

Momentum

Status
overbought

Volume

Trendincreasing
Buy 30%Sell 70%

The short-term trend is bearish based on the most recent candle's sharp close lower. The medium-term trend is also bearish given the 30-day flat holder base followed by a mass exit. The current price ($0.000222) being well above the candle data suggests a possible continuation pump or data lag — but the overwhelming sell pressure and holder collapse point to a distribution phase.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.0000327 (candle [1] close)
Major$0.0000121 (candle [2] low — pump origin)
Resistance
Immediate$0.0000706 (candle [1] open / candle [2] close)
Major$0.0000806 (candle [2] spike high)

Support levels are derived from the two available OHLC candles. The $0.0000327 level is the most recent candle close and acts as immediate support. The $0.0000121 level is the absolute low of the pump candle and represents the pre-pump baseline. Resistance sits at $0.0000706 (the open of the distribution candle) and $0.0000806 (the spike peak). Note: current price of $0.000222 is well above these levels, suggesting either additional candles not captured in the dataset or a data discrepancy.

Notable patterns

  • Pump-and-dump two-candle pattern: massive spike candle followed by immediate bearish reversal candle
  • Bearish engulfing on candle [1] relative to candle [2] close
  • Long lower wick on candle [2] indicating initial selling pressure absorbed before spike
  • No upper wick on candle [1] open (gap up to resistance) — distribution from the open
  • Extreme volume relative to liquidity pool size (6x turnover ratio)

Total holders125
24h Δ-591
7d Δ-591
30d Δ-591
Accelerating Growth
Yes

Correlation with price

Inverse and anomalous: the 576% price spike coincided with a massive holder exodus (-591 holders), which is the opposite of healthy organic growth. This strongly suggests the price pump was driven by a small number of wallets trading volume rather than broad new adoption. The 30-day historical data shows a completely flat 716 holders with zero net change for every single day from June 21 to July 20, 2026 — an extremely unusual pattern suggesting the holder base was static/artificial. The sudden collapse to 125 holders coincides with the pump event.

The holder data presents multiple severe red flags. For 30 consecutive days (June 21 – July 20, 2026), the holder count was exactly 716 with zero net change on every single day. This level of stasis is highly anomalous for an active token and suggests either data staleness, a dormant token, or an artificially maintained holder count. The most recent data shows a collapse to 125 holders — a loss of 591 holders (82.5% of the base). The 1h change of -914 (-730%) is mathematically inconsistent with the 24h figure and may reflect a data artifact or rapid wallet consolidation. Acquisition breakdown shows 108 via swap and 17 via transfer, with zero airdrops. The distribution metrics (whales=0, sharks=0, dolphins=0, fish=0, octopus=0) and top10/top100 concentration of 0% indicate that holder classification data is unavailable or broken for this token.

Top 10 hold0.00%
Top 100 hold0.00%
Sentiment
Mixed

Notable holders

No top holder data available

Data unavailable — top holders endpoint returned no results for this token

0.00%

No top holder data is available for OTTO. The top holders endpoint returned no results, and the supply concentration metrics show 0% for both top 10 and top 100 — this is almost certainly a data availability issue rather than a genuine reflection of distribution. With only 125 current holders and a total supply of 1B tokens, concentration is likely very high in practice but cannot be quantified from the available data. The absence of whale/shark/dolphin/fish/octopus classifications further confirms the holder distribution data is not populated. This opacity is itself a risk factor — investors cannot assess concentration risk without this data. Given the pump-and-dump price pattern and holder collapse, the sentiment is assessed as 'mixed' (some holders may still be holding while others have exited).

Liquidity$53,990
Depth
Shallow
Slippage risk
high

Volume (24h)

Buy$99,330
Sell$235,800
Net flow
outflow

Traders (24h)

Unique buyers1,245
Unique sellers1,708

The liquidity situation is critically shallow. With only ~$54K in total liquidity on PumpSwap (pair: Gk4bTMVvhK8PfVx8f5ZSRFGmpzoY1sE1WBu1dsuZkHci), any trade of meaningful size will incur severe slippage. The 24h volume of ~$335K is approximately 6.2x the total liquidity pool — an extremely high turnover ratio indicating the pool is being churned rapidly. Net flow is strongly negative: $235.8K in sell volume vs $99.3K in buy volume represents a $136.5K net outflow. There are 463 more unique sellers than buyers (1,708 vs 1,245), and sell transactions outnumber buy transactions 4,190 to 2,512. The FDV-to-liquidity ratio of ~4.1x ($222K FDV / $54K liquidity) is poor, meaning a large portion of the market cap is not backed by accessible liquidity. Market health is assessed as very poor.

Supply & Valuation

Total supply1,000,000,000 OTTO
FDV$222,093.84

Authorities

Mint authority
Active
Freeze authority
Active

The token has a fixed supply of 1,000,000,000 (1B) OTTO with 6 decimal places. The FDV at current price is ~$222K. The update authority is listed as 'unknown' in the metadata, and the contract is not verified. The 'Mutable: false' flag is a mild positive — it suggests the token metadata cannot be changed. However, mint and freeze authority status cannot be confirmed from the available data (update authority is 'unknown' rather than a known burn address). The token was launched via PumpFun (indicated by the 'pump' suffix in the mint address), which typically involves a bonding curve mechanism. The lack of a description, unverified contract, and unknown authority status are all risk factors. The token has social links (Twitter, website, Moralis) but no description, which is unusual. The 'possible spam: false' flag from the data provider offers minimal reassurance given the other red flags present.

Volatility
high

576% 24h price gain with a 1h candle showing a range from $0.0000121 to $0.0000806 (567% intra-hour range). The 5-minute price change of -11.3% at data capture time confirms ongoing extreme volatility. This level of volatility is consistent with a pump-and-dump event.

Liquidity
high

Total liquidity is only ~$54K against a $222K FDV. The 24h volume of ~$335K is 6.2x the liquidity pool. Any position larger than a few hundred dollars will face significant slippage. Exit liquidity is severely limited.

Concentration
high

Top holder data is entirely unavailable (0% shown for top 10 and top 100), making concentration risk impossible to quantify. With only 125 current holders and 1B token supply, concentration is almost certainly very high. The 30-day flat holder count of exactly 716 with zero daily change is anomalous and may indicate a concentrated or coordinated holder base.

SniperDump
high

No sniper data is available, but indirect signals are strongly negative: 70.4% sell pressure, 1,708 unique sellers vs 1,245 buyers, and a holder count collapse from 716 to 125 (-82.5%) coinciding with the price pump. This pattern is consistent with early holders (potential snipers) executing a coordinated exit during the pump.

Authority
high

Update authority is 'unknown' — cannot confirm whether mint or freeze authorities have been renounced. The contract is unverified. While 'Mutable: false' is a positive signal for metadata immutability, the inability to confirm authority renunciation leaves open the possibility of malicious token actions.

Key risks

  • Pump-and-dump pattern: 576% spike with immediate heavy sell pressure and holder collapse
  • Only $54K liquidity — extreme slippage and exit risk
  • Holder count collapsed 82.5% (716 → 125) coinciding with the pump event
  • 30 days of completely flat holder count (zero change daily) prior to pump — highly anomalous
  • Unknown update authority — mint/freeze authority status unconfirmed
  • No top holder data — concentration risk cannot be assessed
  • No verified contract — no code audit or transparency
  • 70.4% sell volume dominance — active distribution in progress
  • FDV ($222K) is 4.1x the available liquidity ($54K)

Mitigating factors

  • Mutable: false — token metadata cannot be altered
  • PumpFun launch provides some standardized launch mechanism transparency
  • Social links present (Twitter, website) — some level of project presence
  • Possible spam flag is false per data provider
  • Token is trading on PumpSwap DEX — some baseline accessibility
Suitable for: This token is NOT suitable for risk-averse or retail investors. The combination of pump-and-dump price action, collapsing holder count, shallow liquidity, unknown authority status, and absent holder/sniper data creates an extremely high-risk profile. Only highly experienced traders with strict position sizing, stop-losses, and full awareness of potential total loss should consider any exposure. This analysis is informational only and does not constitute financial advice.

OTTO (f(x, y) = k) presents as a high-risk PumpFun memecoin in an active distribution phase following a violent pump event. The on-chain data is overwhelmingly bearish: 70.4% sell pressure, an 82.5% holder count collapse, only $54K in liquidity, unknown authority status, and no top holder or sniper transparency. The 30-day flat holder history prior to the pump is a major red flag suggesting an artificial or coordinated setup. There is no identifiable utility, no verified contract, and no description. The risk/reward profile is extremely unfavorable for new entrants at current prices.

Bull case (low)

A secondary pump driven by social media momentum or broader Solana memecoin market activity temporarily pushes price higher, allowing early holders to exit at better prices. The token's mathematical name (f(x, y) = k — the constant product AMM formula) could attract niche DeFi community attention.

  • Renewed social media promotion or viral moment
  • Broader Solana memecoin market rally lifting all boats
  • Niche DeFi community interest in the AMM formula branding
  • Low float if most supply is concentrated — small buy pressure could move price significantly

Base case

Price stabilizes at a significantly lower level than the pump peak as the most aggressive sellers exit. A small residual community of 50–125 holders remains. Trading volume drops sharply. The token trades in a low-liquidity, high-volatility range with occasional speculative spikes but no sustained upward trend.

  • Sell pressure gradually exhausts as motivated sellers exit
  • Remaining holders are longer-term speculators or lost wallets
  • No new significant catalysts emerge to drive organic adoption
  • Liquidity pool remains at current shallow levels (~$54K)

Bear case (high)

The pump-and-dump completes its cycle: remaining holders exit, liquidity drains further, and the token price collapses back toward or below pre-pump levels (~$0.0000121 candle low or lower). The token becomes dormant again with a small residual holder base.

  • 70.4% sell pressure continues as remaining holders exit
  • Liquidity pool drains as LPs withdraw following the pump
  • Holder count continues declining from 125 toward single digits
  • No utility, no verified contract, no organic growth catalysts
  • Unknown authority status could enable additional malicious actions

GeneratedJul 21, 02:17 AM
Data freshnessPrice and trading data appears current as of approximately 2026-07-21T02:00 UTC. Historical holder data covers June 21 – July 20, 2026. Only 2 hourly OHLC candles were provided, severely limiting technical analysis depth.
Model confidence
low

Data sources

  • Moralis on-chain token metadata API
  • PumpSwap DEX trading analytics
  • Hourly OHLC price candles (2 candles available)
  • Holder metrics and historical holder time series (30 days)
  • Trading volume and buyer/seller analytics
  • Sniper analysis endpoint (returned no data)

Limitations

  • Only 2 hourly OHLC candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis
  • No top holder data returned — concentration risk cannot be quantified
  • No sniper data available — early buyer behavior cannot be assessed
  • Update authority listed as 'unknown' — authority renunciation status unconfirmed
  • Holder distribution metrics (whales/sharks/dolphins/fish/octopus) all show zero — data appears unpopulated
  • Top 10 and top 100 supply concentration both show 0% — likely a data availability issue, not genuine distribution
  • The 1h holder change of -914 (-730%) is mathematically inconsistent with the 24h figure of -591 (-470%) and may reflect a data artifact
  • Current price ($0.000222) is significantly higher than both OHLC candle closes ($0.0000327 and $0.0000705), suggesting additional price action not captured in the 2-candle dataset
  • No contract code available for audit — smart contract risk cannot be assessed

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does NOT constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially micro-cap memecoins, carry extreme risk including total loss of capital. The data analyzed comes from on-chain sources and third-party APIs which may contain errors, delays, or gaps. Always conduct your own research (DYOR) before making any investment decisions. Past price performance is not indicative of future results.

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply1,000,000,000 OTTO

Key Risks

Pump-and-dump pattern: 576% spike with immediate heavy sell pressure and holder collapse
Only $54K liquidity — extreme slippage and exit risk
Holder count collapsed 82.5% (716 → 125) coinciding with the pump event
30 days of completely flat holder count (zero change daily) prior to pump — highly anomalous

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

low confidence
High risk

No sniper data is available for OTTO. Smart money signals cannot be derived from sniper activity. However, indirect signals from trading analytics are strongly negative: 70.4% sell pressure, 1,708 unique sellers vs 1,245 unique buyers, and a holder count collapse from 716 to 125 all suggest that early participants (whoever they are) are aggressively exiting positions. The 30-day flat holder count prior to the pump is anomalous and may indicate a coordinated or bot-driven holder base that was positioned for the pump event.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration0.00%
PnL stateUnknown
Sell-through rateUnknown
Profit-taking risk
high

No sniper data available — the sniper analysis endpoint returned no results for this token.

Cannot be determined from sniper data (unavailable). Indirect evidence from the holder collapse (-591 holders in the most recent period) and dominant sell volume strongly suggests early buyers are distributing/exiting.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the short-term price outlook for f(x, y) = k (OTTO)?

The token is in a post-pump distribution phase. The most recent hourly candle (02:00 UTC) opened at $0.0000705, hit a high of $0.0000705, and closed sharply lower at $0.0000327 — a bearish engulfing/collapse candle. The prior candle (01:00 UTC) showed a massive wick from $0.0000121 to $0.0000806, indicating a violent pump-and-dump spike. With 70.4% sell pressure, 1,708 sellers vs 1,245 buyers, and only $54K in liquidity, further downside is highly probable in the near term. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.0000121 (recent candle low / pump origin) to $0.0000706 (recent candle high resistance).

Is OTTO a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 9.2/100. This token is NOT suitable for risk-averse or retail investors. The combination of pump-and-dump price action, collapsing holder count, shallow liquidity, unknown authority status, and absent holder/sniper data creates an extremely high-risk profile. Only highly experienced traders with strict position sizing, stop-losses, and full awareness of potential total loss should consider any exposure. This analysis is informational only and does not constitute financial advice.

How are OTTO holders trending?

f(x, y) = k currently has 125 holders and is declining (24h: -591, 7d: -591, 30d: -591). The holder data presents multiple severe red flags. For 30 consecutive days (June 21 – July 20, 2026), the holder count was exactly 716 with zero net change on every single day. This level of stasis is highly anomalous for an active token and suggests either data staleness, a dormant token, or an artificially maintained holder count. The most recent data shows a collapse to 125 holders — a loss of 591 holders (82.5% of the base). The 1h change of -914 (-730%) is mathematically inconsistent with the 24h figure and may reflect a data artifact or rapid wallet consolidation. Acquisition breakdown shows 108 via swap and 17 via transfer, with zero airdrops. The distribution metrics (whales=0, sharks=0, dolphins=0, fish=0, octopus=0) and top10/top100 concentration of 0% indicate that holder classification data is unavailable or broken for this token.

What does sniper activity look like for OTTO?

Snipers hold roughly 0.00% of supply with PnL state "unknown" and sell-through rate "unknown". Profit-taking risk: high.

What are the key risks of holding OTTO?

Pump-and-dump pattern: 576% spike with immediate heavy sell pressure and holder collapse • Only $54K liquidity — extreme slippage and exit risk • Holder count collapsed 82.5% (716 → 125) coinciding with the pump event

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