ALYCIA

The Black Cow Price Prediction 2026

ALYCIA
Solana•
AI Analysis
Analysis as of Jun 28, 2026

EnL9nUs2LV2aCkkd3gE22x6KtiQmvw9MMSqeJicKpump

$0.056649

-0.38%

FDV $6,636

LiveContract:EnL9nUs2LV2aCkkd3gE22x6KtiQmvw9MMSqeJicKpumpChain:SolanaHolders:156Market cap:$6,636

More tokens on Solana

BULLMAR

BULLMAR

Luke BULLmar

$0.0517183.5%
MC $1.7K
CASHLESS

CASHLESS

CASHLESS

$0.0522492.6%
MC $2.2K
TLPRO

TLPRO

TechLead Pro

$0.0548161.5%
MC $4.8K
POINTLESS

POINTLESS

Pointless Coin

$0.0553510.0%
MC $5.3K
BREZ

BREZ

The Course goat

$0.0524242.5%
MC $2.4K
ANTFUN

ANTFUN

AntFun

$0.04242.2%
MC $375.84M

Continue in chat

Ask Unhosted AI about ALYCIA

What's Twitter saying?

Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweets

Whale activity

Who is accumulating or distributing

What are the risks?

Red flags, security, concentration

Should I buy?

Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

Report snapshotas of Jun 28, 12:16 PM
FDV

$0

Liquidity

$43,505

Holders

706

Snipers

0

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

ALYCIA ('The Black Cow') is a PumpFun/PumpSwap-launched Solana meme token (mint: EnL9nUs2LV2aCkkd3gE22x6KtiQmvw9MMSqeJicKpump) with a total formatted supply of 1 and a fully diluted valuation of ~$120.84K at current prices. The token exhibits extreme anomalies: the historical holder data shows only 3 holders for the entire 30-day lookback period, yet the current snapshot claims 706 holders all acquired within the last hour — a statistical impossibility that strongly suggests data inconsistency or manipulation. Sell pressure is overwhelming at 88% of 24h volume ($186.54K sells vs $25.37K buys), liquidity is thin at $43.50K, and the contract is unverified and mutable. The 205% 24h price spike followed by heavy selling is a classic pump-and-dump pattern.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Bearish
Total formatted supply of 1 — highly unusual tokenomics suggesting non-standard decimal/supply configuration
706 holders all reportedly acquired within the last 1 hour, contradicting 30 days of historical data showing only 3 holders
88% sell pressure in 24h ($186.54K sells vs $25.37K buys) despite a 205% price spike
Mutable metadata with unknown update authority — rug risk elevated
Extremely thin liquidity ($43.50K) relative to trading volume ($211.91K 24h)

Price Prediction

bearish

Short term

bearish
1–24 hours

The token has already pumped ~205% in 24h and is now experiencing severe sell pressure (88% of volume). The most recent hourly candle (12:00 UTC) shows a bearish close at $0.0001208 — well below the open of $0.0001320 — after the prior candle's explosive move from $0.0000284 to $0.0001315. This pattern is consistent with a post-pump distribution phase. Price is likely to continue declining toward the pre-pump range unless new buying catalysts emerge.

Target low$0.000028
Target high$0.000181
Support: $0.000120 (recent hourly low / close), $0.000028 (pre-pump low from candle [2])
Resistance: $0.000181 (candle [2] high), $0.000213 (current price / recent peak)

Medium term

bearish
1–4 weeks

Given the overwhelming sell pressure, thin liquidity, mutable contract, unverified status, and anomalous holder data, the medium-term outlook is bearish. Without a credible project, utility, or sustained community, tokens of this profile typically retrace to near-zero after the initial pump.

Catalysts
  • Any new social media viral moment could trigger a secondary pump
  • Liquidity removal by insiders would accelerate price collapse
  • Continued sell-through by early holders will suppress price

Bullish factors

  • 205% 24h price appreciation demonstrates speculative demand exists
  • 660 buy transactions in 24h shows some active buyer interest
  • PumpSwap listing provides basic on-chain tradability

Bearish factors

  • 88% sell pressure — $186.54K in sells vs $25.37K in buys over 24h
  • Thin liquidity of $43.50K creates high slippage and exit risk
  • Mutable metadata with unknown update authority — rug risk
  • Unverified contract
  • Holder data anomaly: 30 days of only 3 holders then sudden jump to 706 in 1 hour is a major red flag
  • No description, no verified socials, no project fundamentals
  • Post-pump bearish candle: candle [1] closes at $0.0001208, below open of $0.0001320
Confidence: low. Only 2 hourly OHLC candles are available, holder data is internally contradictory, no sniper data exists, and the token's supply/decimal configuration is non-standard. These factors severely limit analytical confidence.

ALYCIA call history

Full track record →
Jun 28bearish
24h-87.4%
7d-91.0%
30d-96.5%

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Deep Analysis

Only 2 hourly candles are available. Candle [2] (11:00 UTC) is a massive bullish engulfing/spike candle: open $0.0000293, high $0.0001810, low $0.0000284, close $0.0001315 — a ~350% intra-candle range indicating a violent pump. Candle [1] (12:00 UTC) is a bearish candle: open $0.0001320, high $0.0001327, low $0.0001208, close $0.0001208 — a bearish close with a small upper wick and a lower close, indicating selling pressure immediately following the pump. The current price of $0.000213 is above both candle closes, suggesting further price action occurred after the last candle.

Trend

Short-term
uptrend
Medium-term
sideways

Momentum

Status
overbought

Volume

Trenddecreasing
Buy 12%Sell 88%

Short-term trend is technically up due to the 205% 24h gain, but the most recent candle is bearish and sell pressure dominates. Medium-term is effectively sideways/unknown given only 2 candles of data and 30 days of near-zero activity prior.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.000120 (candle [1] low and close)
Major$0.000028 (candle [2] pre-pump low)
Resistance
Immediate$0.000181 (candle [2] high)
Major$0.000213 (current price / post-candle high)

The pre-pump base around $0.000028–$0.000029 represents the major support zone. The candle [1] close at $0.0001208 is the nearest support. Resistance sits at the candle [2] high of $0.0001810 and the current price level of $0.000213. A failure to hold $0.0001208 opens a path back toward $0.000028.

Notable patterns

  • Violent pump candle (candle [2]): ~350% intra-candle range, classic pump-and-dump initiation
  • Bearish follow-through candle (candle [1]): closes below open, below candle [2] close — distribution signal
  • Volume collapse: 92% drop from candle [2] to candle [1] — pump exhaustion
  • Current price above both candle closes — possible continuation or dead-cat bounce territory

Total holders706
24h Δ+703
7d Δ+703
30d Δ+703
Accelerating Growth
Yes

Correlation with price

The sudden appearance of 703 new holders coincides exactly with the 205% price pump in the last 24h. However, the historical data shows only 3 holders for the entire 30-day lookback period (May 29 – June 27, 2026), with zero net change daily. The jump from 3 to 706 holders all within a single hour is statistically anomalous and likely reflects either a data indexing lag, a token migration/relaunch event, or data manipulation. This pattern does NOT represent organic holder growth.

CRITICAL ANOMALY: Historical holder data shows exactly 3 holders with zero change for 30 consecutive days (May 29 – June 27, 2026). The current snapshot reports 706 holders, with all 706 acquired via swap and all growth attributed to the last 1 hour (+703, +100%). This is internally contradictory — either the historical data is stale/incorrect, or the token was effectively dormant for 30 days with only 3 holders and then experienced a sudden viral pump event. The distribution metrics show 0% concentration for top 10 and top 100, which combined with the supply of '1' formatted token suggests non-standard tokenomics that may be distorting all holder metrics. Treat all holder data with extreme skepticism.

Top 10 hold0.00%
Top 100 hold0.00%
Sentiment
Mixed

Notable holders

N/A

No top holder data available — data source returned empty

0.00%

No top holder data is available from the data source. The supply concentration metrics report 0% for both top 10 and top 100 holders, which is inconsistent with any real token distribution and likely reflects a data artifact related to the non-standard total supply of '1' (formatted). The token has 0 whales, 0 sharks, 0 dolphins, 0 fish, and 0 octopus in the distribution breakdown — another anomaly. Without reliable holder concentration data, whale sentiment cannot be accurately assessed. The overwhelming sell pressure (88%) in trading analytics suggests distributing behavior from whoever holds the supply.

Liquidity$43,500
Depth
Shallow
Slippage risk
high

Volume (24h)

Buy$25,370
Sell$186,540
Net flow
outflow

Traders (24h)

Unique buyers268
Unique sellers1,401

Liquidity is critically shallow at $43.50K on PumpSwap (pair GdqKuntg47a1cEGPHaS8pSzwiS2U7G8Q3NMAaGitWyYx). The 24h trading volume of ~$211.91K is nearly 5x the total liquidity pool, indicating extreme slippage risk for any meaningful position. Net flow is strongly negative: $186.54K in sells vs $25.37K in buys — a net outflow of ~$161.17K. The seller-to-buyer ratio of 5.2:1 (1,401 sellers vs 268 buyers) and transaction ratio of 5.4:1 (3,552 sells vs 660 buys) confirm sustained distribution pressure. The FDV of $120.84K vs liquidity of $43.50K means the liquidity-to-FDV ratio is ~36%, which is relatively high for a micro-cap but still insufficient to absorb large exits without significant price impact. Market health is poor.

Supply & Valuation

Total supply1 (formatted) — non-standard; likely 1,000,000,000 raw units with 0 decimals or a similar configuration
FDV$120,840

Authorities

Mint authority
Active
Freeze authority
Active

The token reports a total formatted supply of 1 with 0 decimals, which is highly unusual and likely a data display artifact — most PumpFun tokens have 1 billion supply with 6 decimals. The update authority is listed as 'unknown' and the contract is mutable, meaning metadata can be changed by the deployer at any time. Mint and freeze authority status are unknown, which combined with the mutable flag represents elevated rug risk. The FDV of $120.84K at current prices ($0.000213) is consistent with a micro-cap speculative token. No description is provided, the contract is unverified, and there are no on-chain signals of authority renouncement. The 'possible spam' flag is false per the data source, but the overall tokenomics profile is highly irregular.

Volatility
high

205% price spike in 24h followed by bearish candle structure. Only 2 hours of OHLC data available. Intra-candle range of ~350% in candle [2] demonstrates extreme volatility. Price could retrace 80-90% rapidly.

Liquidity
high

Total liquidity of only $43.50K on a single PumpSwap pool. 24h volume of $211.91K is ~4.9x the liquidity pool. Any significant sell order will cause severe slippage. Exit liquidity is extremely limited.

Concentration
high

Top holder data is unavailable and all concentration metrics return 0%, which is a data anomaly rather than genuine distribution. The token had only 3 holders for 30 days, suggesting extreme concentration prior to the pump event. True concentration is likely very high.

SniperDump
high

No sniper data available, but the 88% sell pressure, 5.2:1 seller-to-buyer ratio, and post-pump bearish candle are consistent with early holder/sniper dumping into retail buyers. The pump-and-dump pattern is textbook.

Authority
high

Contract is mutable with unknown update authority. Mint and freeze authority status are unknown. No evidence of renouncement. The deployer retains the ability to modify token metadata, freeze accounts, or potentially mint additional supply.

Key risks

  • Mutable contract with unknown update authority — metadata can be changed at any time
  • Unknown mint/freeze authority — potential for supply inflation or account freezing
  • Extreme sell pressure (88%) indicating active distribution by insiders
  • Critically thin liquidity ($43.50K) — high slippage and exit risk
  • Holder data anomaly (3 holders for 30 days → 706 in 1 hour) suggests data manipulation or token irregularity
  • No project description, unverified contract, no utility
  • Classic pump-and-dump price pattern with post-pump bearish candle
  • Non-standard supply configuration (total supply = 1 formatted) obscures true tokenomics

Mitigating factors

  • Token is not flagged as spam by the data provider
  • PumpSwap listing provides basic on-chain price discovery
  • Some social links (Twitter, Moralis) exist, suggesting minimal public presence
  • Liquidity-to-FDV ratio of ~36% is relatively high for a micro-cap
Suitable for: This token is NOT suitable for any risk-averse investor. It may only be considered by highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who fully understand they may lose 100% of their investment. Position sizing should be minimal (treat as lottery ticket only). This analysis is informational only and does not constitute financial advice.

ALYCIA ('The Black Cow') presents as a high-risk speculative micro-cap meme token on Solana with multiple severe red flags: mutable unverified contract, unknown authorities, extreme sell pressure (88%), thin liquidity, anomalous holder data, and a textbook pump-and-dump price pattern. There is no discernible fundamental value proposition. The investment thesis is almost entirely speculative momentum-based, and the data strongly suggests the pump phase has already occurred with distribution underway.

Bull case (low)

A secondary viral social media moment or influencer promotion drives a new wave of retail buyers, temporarily pushing price above the $0.000181 resistance and potentially toward new highs. The 268 unique buyers in 24h shows some demand exists.

  • Viral social media catalyst (Twitter/X promotion)
  • Broader Solana meme coin market rally
  • New retail FOMO wave attracted by the 205% 24h gain headline
  • Thin liquidity means even small buy pressure can move price significantly

Base case

Price gradually bleeds down from current levels as sellers continue to outpace buyers. Token stabilizes at a fraction of current price with minimal trading activity, joining the long tail of dormant PumpFun tokens.

  • No major new catalysts emerge
  • Liquidity remains in place but is not added to
  • Sell pressure gradually exhausts as weak hands exit
  • Token does not get rug-pulled outright but simply fades

Bear case (high)

Continued insider/early holder distribution overwhelms thin liquidity, price retraces to pre-pump levels near $0.000028–$0.000029 (an ~87% decline from current). Liquidity is removed by the deployer, effectively ending tradability.

  • 88% sell pressure already dominant in 24h trading
  • Mutable contract allows deployer to modify or abandon the token
  • Only $43.50K liquidity cannot absorb continued selling
  • No fundamental value or utility to support price floor
  • Anomalous holder data suggests token infrastructure is unreliable

GeneratedJun 28, 12:16 PM
Data freshnessPrice and trading data current as of analysis time. OHLC data covers 2 hourly candles (11:00–12:00 UTC June 28, 2026). Historical holder data covers May 29 – June 27, 2026. Sniper data unavailable.
Model confidence
low

Data sources

  • Moralis on-chain token metadata API
  • PumpSwap DEX trading analytics (pair GdqKuntg47a1cEGPHaS8pSzwiS2U7G8Q3NMAaGitWyYx)
  • Hourly OHLC price data (2 candles available)
  • Holder metrics and historical holder series (30-day daily)
  • Sniper analysis endpoint (returned no data)

Limitations

  • Only 2 hourly OHLC candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis
  • No sniper/early buyer data available — smart money signals are inferred from trading analytics only
  • Top holder data unavailable — whale map cannot be constructed from actual holder addresses
  • Holder metrics are internally contradictory (30 days of 3 holders vs current 706) — data reliability is questionable
  • Non-standard total supply of '1' (formatted) distorts all supply-based calculations
  • Update authority listed as 'unknown' — cannot confirm or deny renouncement
  • No historical price data beyond 2 candles — medium-term technical analysis is speculative
  • Token description is 'none' — no project fundamentals to evaluate

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does NOT constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially micro-cap meme tokens, carry extreme risk including total loss of capital. The data used is sourced from third-party APIs and may contain errors or inconsistencies. Always conduct your own research (DYOR) before making any investment decisions.

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply1 (formatted) — non-standard; likely 1,000,000,000 raw units with 0 decimals or a similar configuration

Key Risks

•Mutable contract with unknown update authority — metadata can be changed at any time
•Unknown mint/freeze authority — potential for supply inflation or account freezing
•Extreme sell pressure (88%) indicating active distribution by insiders
•Critically thin liquidity ($43.50K) — high slippage and exit risk

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

low confidence
High risk

No sniper data is available for this token. Smart money signals cannot be derived from sniper analysis. However, the trading analytics paint a concerning picture: 3,552 sell transactions vs 660 buy transactions in 24h, with 1,401 unique sellers vs 268 unique buyers. This ratio (5.2x more sellers than buyers) strongly suggests early holders and/or insiders are distributing aggressively into any buy-side liquidity.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration0.00%
PnL stateUnknown
Sell-through rateUnknown
Profit-taking risk
high

No sniper data available — endpoint returned no results.

Strongly negative — the 88% sell pressure and 5.2:1 seller-to-buyer ratio indicates early participants are exiting en masse. The 205% price spike likely benefited a small number of early holders who are now selling into retail buyers.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the price prediction for The Black Cow (ALYCIA)?

The token has already pumped ~205% in 24h and is now experiencing severe sell pressure (88% of volume). The most recent hourly candle (12:00 UTC) shows a bearish close at $0.0001208 — well below the open of $0.0001320 — after the prior candle's explosive move from $0.0000284 to $0.0001315. This pattern is consistent with a post-pump distribution phase. Price is likely to continue declining toward the pre-pump range unless new buying catalysts emerge. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.000028 to $0.000181.

Is ALYCIA a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 9.2/100. This token is NOT suitable for any risk-averse investor. It may only be considered by highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who fully understand they may lose 100% of their investment. Position sizing should be minimal (treat as lottery ticket only). This analysis is informational only and does not constitute financial advice.

How are ALYCIA holders trending?

The Black Cow currently has 706 holders and is growing (24h: 703, 7d: 703, 30d: 703). CRITICAL ANOMALY: Historical holder data shows exactly 3 holders with zero change for 30 consecutive days (May 29 – June 27, 2026). The current snapshot reports 706 holders, with all 706 acquired via swap and all growth attributed to the last 1 hour (+703, +100%). This is internally contradictory — either the historical data is stale/incorrect, or the token was effectively dormant for 30 days with only 3 holders and then experienced a sudden viral pump event. The distribution metrics show 0% concentration for top 10 and top 100, which combined with the supply of '1' formatted token suggests non-standard tokenomics that may be distorting all holder metrics. Treat all holder data with extreme skepticism.

What does sniper activity look like for ALYCIA?

Snipers hold roughly 0.00% of supply with PnL state "unknown" and sell-through rate "unknown". Profit-taking risk: high.

What are the key risks of holding ALYCIA?

Mutable contract with unknown update authority — metadata can be changed at any time • Unknown mint/freeze authority — potential for supply inflation or account freezing • Extreme sell pressure (88%) indicating active distribution by insiders

← Back to all predictions

Track ALYCIA