ALYCIA

The Black Cow Prediction

ALYCIA
Solana
AI Analysis
Analysis as of Jun 28, 2026

EnL9nUs2LV2aCkkd3gE22x6KtiQmvw9MMSqeJicKpump

$0.000213

+205.82%
LiveContract:EnL9nUs2LV2aCkkd3gE22x6KtiQmvw9MMSqeJicKpumpChain:SolanaHolders:706

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Report snapshotas of Jun 28, 12:16 PM
FDV

$0

Liquidity

$43,505

Holders

706

Snipers

0

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

ALYCIA ('The Black Cow') is a PumpFun/PumpSwap-launched Solana meme token (mint: EnL9nUs2LV2aCkkd3gE22x6KtiQmvw9MMSqeJicKpump) with a total formatted supply of 1 and a fully diluted valuation of ~$120.84K at current prices. The token exhibits extreme anomalies: the historical holder data shows only 3 holders for the entire 30-day lookback period, yet the current snapshot claims 706 holders all acquired within the last hour — a statistical impossibility that strongly suggests data inconsistency or manipulation. Sell pressure is overwhelming at 88% of 24h volume ($186.54K sells vs $25.37K buys), liquidity is thin at $43.50K, and the contract is unverified and mutable. The 205% 24h price spike followed by heavy selling is a classic pump-and-dump pattern.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Bearish
Total formatted supply of 1 — highly unusual tokenomics suggesting non-standard decimal/supply configuration
706 holders all reportedly acquired within the last 1 hour, contradicting 30 days of historical data showing only 3 holders
88% sell pressure in 24h ($186.54K sells vs $25.37K buys) despite a 205% price spike
Mutable metadata with unknown update authority — rug risk elevated
Extremely thin liquidity ($43.50K) relative to trading volume ($211.91K 24h)

Price Prediction

bearish

Short term

bearish
1–24 hours

The token has already pumped ~205% in 24h and is now experiencing severe sell pressure (88% of volume). The most recent hourly candle (12:00 UTC) shows a bearish close at $0.0001208 — well below the open of $0.0001320 — after the prior candle's explosive move from $0.0000284 to $0.0001315. This pattern is consistent with a post-pump distribution phase. Price is likely to continue declining toward the pre-pump range unless new buying catalysts emerge.

Target low$0.000028
Target high$0.000181
Support: $0.000120 (recent hourly low / close), $0.000028 (pre-pump low from candle [2])
Resistance: $0.000181 (candle [2] high), $0.000213 (current price / recent peak)

Medium term

bearish
1–4 weeks

Given the overwhelming sell pressure, thin liquidity, mutable contract, unverified status, and anomalous holder data, the medium-term outlook is bearish. Without a credible project, utility, or sustained community, tokens of this profile typically retrace to near-zero after the initial pump.

Catalysts
  • Any new social media viral moment could trigger a secondary pump
  • Liquidity removal by insiders would accelerate price collapse
  • Continued sell-through by early holders will suppress price

Bullish factors

  • 205% 24h price appreciation demonstrates speculative demand exists
  • 660 buy transactions in 24h shows some active buyer interest
  • PumpSwap listing provides basic on-chain tradability

Bearish factors

  • 88% sell pressure — $186.54K in sells vs $25.37K in buys over 24h
  • Thin liquidity of $43.50K creates high slippage and exit risk
  • Mutable metadata with unknown update authority — rug risk
  • Unverified contract
  • Holder data anomaly: 30 days of only 3 holders then sudden jump to 706 in 1 hour is a major red flag
  • No description, no verified socials, no project fundamentals
  • Post-pump bearish candle: candle [1] closes at $0.0001208, below open of $0.0001320
Confidence: low. Only 2 hourly OHLC candles are available, holder data is internally contradictory, no sniper data exists, and the token's supply/decimal configuration is non-standard. These factors severely limit analytical confidence.

ALYCIA call history

Full track record →
Jun 28bearish
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Deep Analysis

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply1 (formatted) — non-standard; likely 1,000,000,000 raw units with 0 decimals or a similar configuration

Key Risks

Mutable contract with unknown update authority — metadata can be changed at any time
Unknown mint/freeze authority — potential for supply inflation or account freezing
Extreme sell pressure (88%) indicating active distribution by insiders
Critically thin liquidity ($43.50K) — high slippage and exit risk

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

low confidence
High risk

No sniper data is available for this token. Smart money signals cannot be derived from sniper analysis. However, the trading analytics paint a concerning picture: 3,552 sell transactions vs 660 buy transactions in 24h, with 1,401 unique sellers vs 268 unique buyers. This ratio (5.2x more sellers than buyers) strongly suggests early holders and/or insiders are distributing aggressively into any buy-side liquidity.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration0.00%
PnL stateUnknown
Sell-through rateUnknown
Profit-taking risk
high

No sniper data available — endpoint returned no results.

Strongly negative — the 88% sell pressure and 5.2:1 seller-to-buyer ratio indicates early participants are exiting en masse. The 205% price spike likely benefited a small number of early holders who are now selling into retail buyers.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the price prediction for The Black Cow (ALYCIA)?

The token has already pumped ~205% in 24h and is now experiencing severe sell pressure (88% of volume). The most recent hourly candle (12:00 UTC) shows a bearish close at $0.0001208 — well below the open of $0.0001320 — after the prior candle's explosive move from $0.0000284 to $0.0001315. This pattern is consistent with a post-pump distribution phase. Price is likely to continue declining toward the pre-pump range unless new buying catalysts emerge. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.000028 to $0.000181.

Is ALYCIA a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 9.2/100. This token is NOT suitable for any risk-averse investor. It may only be considered by highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who fully understand they may lose 100% of their investment. Position sizing should be minimal (treat as lottery ticket only). This analysis is informational only and does not constitute financial advice.

How are ALYCIA holders trending?

The Black Cow currently has 706 holders and is growing (24h: 703, 7d: 703, 30d: 703). CRITICAL ANOMALY: Historical holder data shows exactly 3 holders with zero change for 30 consecutive days (May 29 – June 27, 2026). The current snapshot reports 706 holders, with all 706 acquired via swap and all growth attributed to the last 1 hour (+703, +100%). This is internally contradictory — either the historical data is stale/incorrect, or the token was effectively dormant for 30 days with only 3 holders and then experienced a sudden viral pump event. The distribution metrics show 0% concentration for top 10 and top 100, which combined with the supply of '1' formatted token suggests non-standard tokenomics that may be distorting all holder metrics. Treat all holder data with extreme skepticism.

What does sniper activity look like for ALYCIA?

Snipers hold roughly 0.00% of supply with PnL state "unknown" and sell-through rate "unknown". Profit-taking risk: high.

What are the key risks of holding ALYCIA?

Mutable contract with unknown update authority — metadata can be changed at any time • Unknown mint/freeze authority — potential for supply inflation or account freezing • Extreme sell pressure (88%) indicating active distribution by insiders

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