ALYCIA

The Black Cow Price Today & AI Analysis

ALYCIASolanaAnalysis as of Jun 28, 2026

Price

$0.058300

-1.24% 24h

Contract

Live
EnL9nUs2LV2aCkkd3gE22x6KtiQmvw9MMSqeJicKpump

Chain

Solana

Holders

133

Market cap

$8,285

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The Black Cow: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-06-28 12:16 UTC

Holder addresses

706

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

$43,504.70
How concentrated is The Black Cow ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 706 addresses (2026-06-28 12:16 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling The Black Cow?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is The Black Cow liquidity falling?
As of 2026-06-28 12:16 UTC, reported liquidity was $43,504.70. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-06-28 12:16 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

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Report snapshot

as of Jun 28, 12:16 PM UTC

FDV

$0

Liquidity

$43,504.70

Holders

706

Snipers

Not available

Risk

Very High
Loading price chart…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Bearish

ALYCIA ('The Black Cow') is a PumpFun/PumpSwap-launched Solana meme token (mint: EnL9nUs2LV2aCkkd3gE22x6KtiQmvw9MMSqeJicKpump) with a total formatted supply of 1 and a fully diluted valuation of ~$120.84K at current prices. The token exhibits extreme anomalies: the historical holder data shows only 3 holders for the entire 30-day lookback period, yet the current snapshot claims 706 holders all acquired within the last hour — a statistical impossibility that strongly suggests data inconsistency or manipulation. Sell pressure is overwhelming at 88% of 24h volume ($186.54K sells vs $25.37K buys), liquidity is thin at $43.50K, and the contract is unverified and mutable. The 205% 24h price spike followed by heavy selling is a classic pump-and-dump pattern.

Key points

  • Total formatted supply of 1 — highly unusual tokenomics suggesting non-standard decimal/supply configuration
  • 706 holders all reportedly acquired within the last 1 hour, contradicting 30 days of historical data showing only 3 holders
  • 88% sell pressure in 24h ($186.54K sells vs $25.37K buys) despite a 205% price spike
  • Mutable metadata with unknown update authority — rug risk elevated
  • Extremely thin liquidity ($43.50K) relative to trading volume ($211.91K 24h)

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term · 1–24 hours

bearish

The token has already pumped ~205% in 24h and is now experiencing severe sell pressure (88% of volume). The most recent hourly candle (12:00 UTC) shows a bearish close at $0.0001208 — well below the open of $0.0001320 — after the prior candle's explosive move from $0.0000284 to $0.0001315. This pattern is consistent with a post-pump distribution phase. Price is likely to continue declining toward the pre-pump range unless new buying catalysts emerge.

Target low

$0.000028

Target high

$0.000181

Support

$0.000120 (recent hourly low / close), $0.000028 (pre-pump low from candle [2])

Resistance

$0.000181 (candle [2] high), $0.000213 (current price / recent peak)

Medium term · 1–4 weeks

bearish

Given the overwhelming sell pressure, thin liquidity, mutable contract, unverified status, and anomalous holder data, the medium-term outlook is bearish. Without a credible project, utility, or sustained community, tokens of this profile typically retrace to near-zero after the initial pump.

Catalysts

  • Any new social media viral moment could trigger a secondary pump
  • Liquidity removal by insiders would accelerate price collapse
  • Continued sell-through by early holders will suppress price

Bullish factors

  • 205% 24h price appreciation demonstrates speculative demand exists
  • 660 buy transactions in 24h shows some active buyer interest
  • PumpSwap listing provides basic on-chain tradability

Bearish factors

  • 88% sell pressure — $186.54K in sells vs $25.37K in buys over 24h
  • Thin liquidity of $43.50K creates high slippage and exit risk
  • Mutable metadata with unknown update authority — rug risk
  • Unverified contract
  • Holder data anomaly: 30 days of only 3 holders then sudden jump to 706 in 1 hour is a major red flag
  • No description, no verified socials, no project fundamentals
  • Post-pump bearish candle: candle [1] closes at $0.0001208, below open of $0.0001320

Confidence: low. Only 2 hourly OHLC candles are available, holder data is internally contradictory, no sniper data exists, and the token's supply/decimal configuration is non-standard. These factors severely limit analytical confidence.

ALYCIA call history

Full track record →

Jun 28bearish
24h-87.4%
7d-91.0%
30d-96.5%

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Solana
Contract
EnL9nU...pump
Total Supply
1 (formatted) — non-standard; likely 1,000,000,000 raw units with 0 decimals or a similar configuration

Key Risks

  • Mutable contract with unknown update authority — metadata can be changed at any time
  • Unknown mint/freeze authority — potential for supply inflation or account freezing
  • Extreme sell pressure (88%) indicating active distribution by insiders
  • Critically thin liquidity ($43.50K) — high slippage and exit risk

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

Only 2 hourly candles are available. Candle [2] (11:00 UTC) is a massive bullish engulfing/spike candle: open $0.0000293, high $0.0001810, low $0.0000284, close $0.0001315 — a ~350% intra-candle range indicating a violent pump. Candle [1] (12:00 UTC) is a bearish candle: open $0.0001320, high $0.0001327, low $0.0001208, close $0.0001208 — a bearish close with a small upper wick and a lower close, indicating selling pressure immediately following the pump. The current price of $0.000213 is above both candle closes, suggesting further price action occurred after the last candle.

Trend

Short-term

Uptrend

Medium-term

Sideways

Short-term trend is technically up due to the 205% 24h gain, but the most recent candle is bearish and sell pressure dominates. Medium-term is effectively sideways/unknown given only 2 candles of data and 30 days of near-zero activity prior.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Overbought

Volume trend

Decreasing

Buy

12%

Sell

88%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.000120 (candle [1] low and close)

Major support

$0.000028 (candle [2] pre-pump low)

Immediate resistance

$0.000181 (candle [2] high)

Major resistance

$0.000213 (current price / post-candle high)

The pre-pump base around $0.000028–$0.000029 represents the major support zone. The candle [1] close at $0.0001208 is the nearest support. Resistance sits at the candle [2] high of $0.0001810 and the current price level of $0.000213. A failure to hold $0.0001208 opens a path back toward $0.000028.

Notable patterns

  • Violent pump candle (candle [2]): ~350% intra-candle range, classic pump-and-dump initiation
  • Bearish follow-through candle (candle [1]): closes below open, below candle [2] close — distribution signal
  • Volume collapse: 92% drop from candle [2] to candle [1] — pump exhaustion
  • Current price above both candle closes — possible continuation or dead-cat bounce territory

Liquidity

Liquidity

$43,504.70

Depth

Shallow

Slippage risk

High

Liquidity is critically shallow at $43.50K on PumpSwap (pair GdqKuntg47a1cEGPHaS8pSzwiS2U7G8Q3NMAaGitWyYx). The 24h trading volume of ~$211.91K is nearly 5x the total liquidity pool, indicating extreme slippage risk for any meaningful position. Net flow is strongly negative: $186.54K in sells vs $25.37K in buys — a net outflow of ~$161.17K. The seller-to-buyer ratio of 5.2:1 (1,401 sellers vs 268 buyers) and transaction ratio of 5.4:1 (3,552 sells vs 660 buys) confirm sustained distribution pressure. The FDV of $120.84K vs liquidity of $43.50K means the liquidity-to-FDV ratio is ~36%, which is relatively high for a micro-cap but still insufficient to absorb large exits without significant price impact. Market health is poor.

Supply & authorities

Total supply

1 (formatted) — non-standard; likely 1,000,000,000 raw units with 0 decimals or a similar configuration

FDV

$120,840

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

  • Volatilityhigh

    205% price spike in 24h followed by bearish candle structure. Only 2 hours of OHLC data available. Intra-candle range of ~350% in candle [2] demonstrates extreme volatility. Price could retrace 80-90% rapidly.

  • Liquidityhigh

    Total liquidity of only $43.50K on a single PumpSwap pool. 24h volume of $211.91K is ~4.9x the liquidity pool. Any significant sell order will cause severe slippage. Exit liquidity is extremely limited.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Sniper DumpNot assessed

    Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.

  • AuthorityNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

  • Mutable contract with unknown update authority — metadata can be changed at any time
  • Unknown mint/freeze authority — potential for supply inflation or account freezing
  • Extreme sell pressure (88%) indicating active distribution by insiders
  • Critically thin liquidity ($43.50K) — high slippage and exit risk
  • Holder data anomaly (3 holders for 30 days → 706 in 1 hour) suggests data manipulation or token irregularity
  • No project description, unverified contract, no utility
  • Classic pump-and-dump price pattern with post-pump bearish candle
  • Non-standard supply configuration (total supply = 1 formatted) obscures true tokenomics

Mitigating factors

  • Token is not flagged as spam by the data provider
  • PumpSwap listing provides basic on-chain price discovery
  • Some social links (Twitter, Moralis) exist, suggesting minimal public presence
  • Liquidity-to-FDV ratio of ~36% is relatively high for a micro-cap

Suitable for

This token is NOT suitable for any risk-averse investor. It may only be considered by highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who fully understand they may lose 100% of their investment. Position sizing should be minimal (treat as lottery ticket only). This analysis is informational only and does not constitute financial advice.

ALYCIA ('The Black Cow') presents as a high-risk speculative micro-cap meme token on Solana with multiple severe red flags: mutable unverified contract, unknown authorities, extreme sell pressure (88%), thin liquidity, anomalous holder data, and a textbook pump-and-dump price pattern. There is no discernible fundamental value proposition. The investment thesis is almost entirely speculative momentum-based, and the data strongly suggests the pump phase has already occurred with distribution underway.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

A secondary viral social media moment or influencer promotion drives a new wave of retail buyers, temporarily pushing price above the $0.000181 resistance and potentially toward new highs. The 268 unique buyers in 24h shows some demand exists.

  • Viral social media catalyst (Twitter/X promotion)
  • Broader Solana meme coin market rally
  • New retail FOMO wave attracted by the 205% 24h gain headline
  • Thin liquidity means even small buy pressure can move price significantly

Base Case

Price gradually bleeds down from current levels as sellers continue to outpace buyers. Token stabilizes at a fraction of current price with minimal trading activity, joining the long tail of dormant PumpFun tokens.

  • No major new catalysts emerge
  • Liquidity remains in place but is not added to
  • Sell pressure gradually exhausts as weak hands exit
  • Token does not get rug-pulled outright but simply fades

Bear Case

High probability

Continued insider/early holder distribution overwhelms thin liquidity, price retraces to pre-pump levels near $0.000028–$0.000029 (an ~87% decline from current). Liquidity is removed by the deployer, effectively ending tradability.

  • 88% sell pressure already dominant in 24h trading
  • Mutable contract allows deployer to modify or abandon the token
  • Only $43.50K liquidity cannot absorb continued selling
  • No fundamental value or utility to support price floor
  • Anomalous holder data suggests token infrastructure is unreliable

Analysis details

Generated

Jun 28, 12:16 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-06-28 12:16 UTC

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

  • Moralis on-chain token metadata API
  • PumpSwap DEX trading analytics (pair GdqKuntg47a1cEGPHaS8pSzwiS2U7G8Q3NMAaGitWyYx)
  • Hourly OHLC price data (2 candles available)
  • Holder metrics and historical holder series (30-day daily)
  • Sniper analysis endpoint (returned no data)

Limitations

  • Only 2 hourly OHLC candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis
  • No sniper/early buyer data available — smart money signals are inferred from trading analytics only
  • Top holder data unavailable — whale map cannot be constructed from actual holder addresses
  • Holder metrics are internally contradictory (30 days of 3 holders vs current 706) — data reliability is questionable
  • Non-standard total supply of '1' (formatted) distorts all supply-based calculations
  • Update authority listed as 'unknown' — cannot confirm or deny renouncement
  • No historical price data beyond 2 candles — medium-term technical analysis is speculative
  • Token description is 'none' — no project fundamentals to evaluate

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does NOT constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially micro-cap meme tokens, carry extreme risk including total loss of capital. The data used is sourced from third-party APIs and may contain errors or inconsistencies. Always conduct your own research (DYOR) before making any investment decisions.

Frequently Asked Questions

How concentrated is The Black Cow ownership?

Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 706 addresses (2026-06-28 12:16 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.

Are large holders selling The Black Cow?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is The Black Cow liquidity falling?

As of 2026-06-28 12:16 UTC, reported liquidity was $43,504.70. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.

What is the short-term price outlook for The Black Cow (ALYCIA)?

The token has already pumped ~205% in 24h and is now experiencing severe sell pressure (88% of volume). The most recent hourly candle (12:00 UTC) shows a bearish close at $0.0001208 — well below the open of $0.0001320 — after the prior candle's explosive move from $0.0000284 to $0.0001315. This pattern is consistent with a post-pump distribution phase. Price is likely to continue declining toward the pre-pump range unless new buying catalysts emerge. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.000028 to $0.000181.

Is ALYCIA a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as very high with a risk score of 9.2/100. This token is NOT suitable for any risk-averse investor. It may only be considered by highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who fully understand they may lose 100% of their investment. Position sizing should be minimal (treat as lottery ticket only). This analysis is informational only and does not constitute financial advice.

What are the key risks of holding ALYCIA?

Mutable contract with unknown update authority — metadata can be changed at any time • Unknown mint/freeze authority — potential for supply inflation or account freezing • Extreme sell pressure (88%) indicating active distribution by insiders

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