grug

grug Price Today & AI Analysis

grugSolanaAnalysis as of Jun 3, 2026

Price

$0.041891

FDV $14,895

Contract

Live
FUXKe7MFMjBgRU9P6zdNKowSuEwgHh2nC5jtfh43CB8q

Chain

Solana

Holders

346

Market cap

$14,895

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grug: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-06-03 17:20 UTC

Holder addresses

1,209

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

Not available
How concentrated is grug ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 1,209 addresses (2026-06-03 17:20 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling grug?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is grug liquidity falling?
Liquidity is not available in the saved inputs. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-06-03 17:20 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

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Report snapshot

as of Jun 3, 05:20 PM UTC

FDV

$368,744

Liquidity

Not available

Holders

1,209

Snipers

Not available

Risk

Very High
Loading price chart…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Bearish

grug (GRUG) is a newly launched Solana memecoin on PumpSwap with mint address FUXKe7MFMjBgRU9P6zdNKowSuEwgHh2nC5jtfh43CB8q. The token has experienced an explosive 769.7% price surge in 24 hours, rising from near-zero to $0.000369. The token was dormant for over 30 days with only 21 holders before an abrupt viral launch event on June 3, 2026, which drove holders from 21 to 1,209 within hours. Trading analytics reveal heavy sell pressure (72.2% sell volume), zero reported on-chain liquidity depth, and a very young, unverified contract with no social links or description. This is a high-risk, speculative memecoin in its earliest stages.

Key points

  • Explosive viral launch: 98% of all holders acquired within the last 24 hours, growing from 21 to 1,209
  • Extreme price appreciation: +769.7% in 24h on PumpSwap
  • Heavy sell-side dominance: 72.2% of 24h volume is sell pressure ($390.51K sells vs $150.55K buys)
  • Zero reported total liquidity despite active trading — extreme slippage risk
  • 20 snipers active in first 1000 blocks, majority in significant profit (most realized PnL >100%)

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term · 1–24 hours

bearish

The token is showing extreme sell pressure with 72.2% of 24h volume being sells and 6,907 sell transactions vs 2,384 buys. The most recent hourly candle (17:00 UTC) opened at $0.000147 and closed at $0.000030 — a massive bearish collapse of ~80% within the hour. The current price of $0.000369 appears to reflect a subsequent spike, but momentum is highly unstable. Short-term direction is bearish given profit-taking by snipers and dominant sell pressure.

Target low

$0.000020

Target high

$0.000500

Support

$0.000030 (recent hourly close low), $0.000024 (hourly candle low at 16:00 UTC)

Resistance

$0.000159 (hourly high at 16:00 UTC), $0.000147 (open of 17:00 UTC candle)

Medium term · 1–7 days

bearish

Without verified utility, social presence, or locked liquidity, grug faces the classic memecoin decay pattern. Snipers are largely in profit and likely to continue distributing. Holder growth, while explosive, is almost entirely speculative. Sustained price appreciation would require continued viral momentum and new buyer inflows, which is uncertain.

Catalysts

  • Viral social media momentum sustaining new buyer inflows
  • Influencer or community-driven narrative forming around the 'grug' meme
  • Liquidity deepening on PumpSwap to reduce slippage and attract larger traders
  • Broader Solana memecoin market rally

Bullish factors

  • Explosive holder growth from 21 to 1,209 in under 24 hours signals strong viral interest
  • Price up 769.7% in 24h demonstrates speculative demand
  • 2,384 buy transactions and 796 unique buyers show broad participation
  • Some snipers still holding (wallet [1] shows $0 balance suggesting sold, but others unknown)

Bearish factors

  • 72.2% sell pressure dominates 24h volume ($390.51K sells vs $150.55K buys)
  • Zero reported on-chain liquidity — extreme slippage and exit risk
  • Most snipers are in significant profit (avg realized PnL well above 100%) and likely distributing
  • No verified contract, no social links, no description — zero fundamental backing
  • Most recent hourly candle (17:00 UTC) shows an ~80% intra-hour price collapse from open to close
  • Token was dormant for 30+ days with only 21 holders before launch event — suspicious pre-launch setup

Confidence: low. Only 2 hourly OHLC candles are available, the token is less than 24 hours old in its active phase, liquidity is reported as $0, and price action is extremely volatile (+897% in 1h, then sharp reversal). Prediction confidence is inherently low for such a nascent, illiquid asset.

Token Info

Chain
Solana
Contract
FUXKe7...CB8q
Total Supply
999,999,175.02

Key Risks

  • Zero reported liquidity with $541K+ daily volume — extreme exit risk and slippage
  • 72.2% sell pressure with 2,156 unique sellers vs 796 buyers — sustained distribution
  • 20 snipers mostly in profit (avg ~148% realized PnL) with likely remaining sell pressure
  • Token dormant for 30+ days with only 21 holders before launch — suggests coordinated insider setup

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

Only 2 hourly candles are available. Candle [2] (16:00 UTC): O=$0.0000302, H=$0.0001588, L=$0.0000237, C=$0.0001474 — a strong bullish candle with a long lower wick, suggesting a sharp intra-hour recovery from lows. Candle [1] (17:00 UTC): O=$0.0001475, H=$0.0001475, L=$0.0000969, C=$0.0000302 — a strongly bearish candle where the open equals the high (no upper wick), price collapsed ~80% to close near the low. This 'bearish marubozu/shooting star' pattern at the top of a spike is a classic distribution signal. The current price of $0.000369 is significantly above both candle closes, suggesting a further spike occurred after the 17:00 candle, but this is not captured in the provided OHLC data.

Trend

Short-term

Uptrend

Medium-term

Sideways

Short-term trend is technically upward given the 24h price surge of 769.7%, but the most recent candle shows a severe bearish reversal. The medium-term trend is effectively undefined given the token only became active within the last 24 hours. The overall pattern is a classic pump-and-volatile-chop structure.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Overbought

Volume trend

Increasing

Buy

28%

Sell

72%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.000030 (17:00 UTC candle close / 16:00 UTC open)

Major support

$0.000024 (16:00 UTC candle low — absolute recent floor)

Immediate resistance

$0.000147–$0.000148 (17:00 UTC open = high; 16:00 UTC close)

Major resistance

$0.000159 (16:00 UTC candle high — recent spike peak in available data)

The $0.000030 level is a critical pivot — it served as both the 17:00 candle close and the 16:00 candle open. The $0.000024 level is the lowest recorded price in available data. Resistance clusters between $0.000147–$0.000159, the zone where sellers overwhelmed buyers in the 17:00 candle. Current price of $0.000369 is well above all available OHLC data, suggesting a subsequent pump not captured in the 2-candle dataset.

Notable patterns

  • Bearish marubozu on 17:00 UTC candle (open = high, sharp close near low) — strong distribution signal
  • Bullish recovery candle at 16:00 UTC with long lower wick — initial demand absorption
  • Classic pump-and-dump price structure: dormant for 30+ days, then explosive spike followed by sharp reversal
  • Open equals high on 17:00 UTC candle — no buying pressure at open, immediate sell-off

Liquidity

Liquidity

Not available

Depth

Not assessed

Slippage risk

Not assessed

Liquidity depth and slippage risk cannot be assessed without a liquidity observation.

Supply & authorities

Total supply

999,999,175.02

FDV

$368,744.16

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

  • Volatilityhigh

    769.7% price increase in 24 hours, with intra-hour swings of 80%+ (17:00 UTC candle). The 1-hour price change of +897.7% confirms extreme volatility. This token can lose 80%+ of value within a single hour as demonstrated by available candle data.

  • LiquidityNot assessed

    A liquidity observation is not available in the saved inputs.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Sniper DumpNot assessed

    Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.

  • AuthorityNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

  • Zero reported liquidity with $541K+ daily volume — extreme exit risk and slippage
  • 72.2% sell pressure with 2,156 unique sellers vs 796 buyers — sustained distribution
  • 20 snipers mostly in profit (avg ~148% realized PnL) with likely remaining sell pressure
  • Token dormant for 30+ days with only 21 holders before launch — suggests coordinated insider setup
  • No verified contract, no social links, no description, no utility — pure speculation
  • Mint and freeze authority status unknown — potential rug vectors unconfirmed as closed
  • Intra-hour price collapses of 80% already observed in available candle data

Mitigating factors

  • Mutable=false metadata flag reduces risk of metadata manipulation
  • Broad holder distribution with 1,209 holders across whale/shark/dolphin/fish tiers
  • High transaction count (9,291 total 24h transactions) shows genuine market activity
  • PumpSwap AMM structure provides some baseline liquidity mechanism
  • Top individual holder (ex-LP) is only 2.44% — no single dominant whale outside the LP

Suitable for

Suitable only for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who understand memecoin dynamics and can afford to lose 100% of invested capital. Not suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep familiarity with Solana DEX trading and sniper/pump dynamics. Position sizing should be minimal ("lottery ticket" sizing only).

grug is a pure speculative memecoin with no fundamental value proposition. Its investment case rests entirely on viral momentum continuation. The token launched explosively after 30+ days of dormancy, gained 769.7% in 24 hours, and attracted 1,209 holders — but faces severe headwinds from dominant sell pressure, zero reported liquidity, and profit-taking snipers. The risk/reward is highly asymmetric and unfavorable for new entrants at current prices.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

Viral memecoin momentum sustains: grug catches broader social media attention (Twitter/X, Telegram communities), new buyer waves overwhelm existing sell pressure, and the token achieves a 10x+ from current FDV of $368K to $3M+ FDV — consistent with successful Solana memecoins.

  • Sustained viral social media narrative around the 'grug' meme character
  • Influencer promotion driving new buyer cohorts
  • Broader Solana memecoin market in risk-on mode
  • Liquidity deepening on PumpSwap reducing slippage barriers
  • Sniper sell pressure absorbed by strong incoming demand

Base Case

Token experiences continued high volatility with multiple pump-and-dump cycles over 24–72 hours, ultimately settling 70–85% below current peak price as initial excitement fades, leaving a small residual holder base of 200–400 wallets.

  • Sell pressure remains dominant but some speculative buying continues
  • Snipers gradually exit remaining positions over 24–48 hours
  • No major influencer or viral catalyst emerges to sustain momentum
  • Liquidity remains thin, amplifying price swings in both directions
  • Token survives (no rug) but decays naturally through distribution

Bear Case

High probability

Classic pump-and-dump collapse: snipers and early holders continue distributing into any price strength, liquidity evaporates, holder count peaks and reverses, and the token retraces 90%+ from current levels back toward launch prices ($0.000020–$0.000040 range).

  • Dominant sell pressure (72.2%) continues overwhelming buyers
  • Sniper profit-taking accelerates as price remains elevated
  • Zero liquidity depth means any large sell cascades price
  • No fundamental narrative or utility to sustain holder interest
  • Token's 30-day pre-launch dormancy pattern consistent with coordinated pump schemes

Analysis details

Generated

Jun 3, 05:20 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-06-03 17:20 UTC

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

  • On-chain Solana token metadata (mint: FUXKe7MFMjBgRU9P6zdNKowSuEwgHh2nC5jtfh43CB8q)
  • PumpSwap DEX trading analytics (pair: 5i8wuYt93o4e8FefUJX8SjpR6yR6kqBvLgzcPUZJnQgD)
  • Hourly OHLC candle data (2 candles: 16:00–17:00 UTC June 3, 2026)
  • Holder metrics and distribution data
  • 30-day historical holder time series (May 4 – June 3, 2026)
  • Top 20 holder wallet data
  • Sniper analysis (first 1,000 blocks, 20 snipers)

Limitations

  • Only 2 hourly OHLC candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis
  • Total liquidity reported as $0.00 — may be a data feed anomaly; true liquidity depth unknown
  • Sniper 'sniped' amounts and remaining balances are largely unknown — PnL analysis is partial
  • Mint and freeze authority status not provided — rug risk from authorities cannot be fully assessed
  • Update authority listed as 'unknown' — cannot confirm renouncement status
  • No social links or project information available — fundamental analysis impossible
  • 6h and 24h price change reported as 0% in analytics despite obvious price movement — likely data feed lag or anomaly
  • Token is less than 24 hours old in active phase — all trend analysis is based on extremely limited history

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially newly launched memecoins, carry extreme risk including total loss of capital. Past price performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Frequently Asked Questions

How concentrated is grug ownership?

Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 1,209 addresses (2026-06-03 17:20 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.

Are large holders selling grug?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is grug liquidity falling?

Liquidity is not available in the saved inputs. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.

What is the short-term price outlook for grug (grug)?

The token is showing extreme sell pressure with 72.2% of 24h volume being sells and 6,907 sell transactions vs 2,384 buys. The most recent hourly candle (17:00 UTC) opened at $0.000147 and closed at $0.000030 — a massive bearish collapse of ~80% within the hour. The current price of $0.000369 appears to reflect a subsequent spike, but momentum is highly unstable. Short-term direction is bearish given profit-taking by snipers and dominant sell pressure. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.000020 to $0.000500.

Is grug a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as very high with a risk score of 9.1/100. Suitable only for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who understand memecoin dynamics and can afford to lose 100% of invested capital. Not suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep familiarity with Solana DEX trading and sniper/pump dynamics. Position sizing should be minimal ("lottery ticket" sizing only).

What are the key risks of holding grug?

Zero reported liquidity with $541K+ daily volume — extreme exit risk and slippage • 72.2% sell pressure with 2,156 unique sellers vs 796 buyers — sustained distribution • 20 snipers mostly in profit (avg ~148% realized PnL) with likely remaining sell pressure

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